Springe zum Inhalt

Dossier

Mindestlohn

Seit Inkrafttreten des Mindestlohngesetzes am 1. Januar 2015 gilt ein allgemeingültiger flächendeckender Mindestlohn in Deutschland. Lohnuntergrenzen gibt es in beinahe allen europäischen Staaten und den USA. Die Mindestlohn-Gesetze haben das Ziel, Lohn-Dumping, also die nicht verhältnismäßige Bezahlung von Arbeitnehmerinnen und Arbeitnehmern, zu verhindern.
Dieses Themendossier dokumentiert die Diskussion rund um die Einführung des flächendeckenden Mindestlohns in Deutschland und die Ergebnisse empirischer Forschung der zu flächendeckenden und branchenspezifischen Mindestlöhnen. Mit dem Filter „Autorenschaft“ können Sie auf IAB-(Mit-)Autorenschaft eingrenzen.

Zurück zur Übersicht
Ergebnisse pro Seite: 20 | 50 | 100
  • Literaturhinweis

    WSI-Mindestlohnbericht 2025: Neuorientierung der Mindestlohnpolitik führt zu realer Aufwertung (2025)

    Lübker, Malte; Schulten, Thorsten;

    Zitatform

    Lübker, Malte & Thorsten Schulten (2025): WSI-Mindestlohnbericht 2025. Neuorientierung der Mindestlohnpolitik führt zu realer Aufwertung. (WSI-Report 100), Düsseldorf, 19 S.

    Abstract

    "Auch in diesem Jahr setzt sich der Trend zu deutlichen nominalen Mindestlohnerhöhungen fort. Angesichts rückläufiger Inflationsraten führt dies in den meisten Ländern Europas zu kräftigen Kaufkraftzuwächsen für Mindestlohnempfänger*innen. Hintergrund ist die Umsetzung der Europäischen Mindestlohnrichtlinie, die in vielen Ländern zu einer Neuorientierung der Mindestlohnpolitik geführt hat und so die Dynamik der Mindestlöhne beflügelt. Die meisten EU-Länder folgen nun den in der Richtlinie verankerten Referenzwerten für angemessene Mindestlöhne, die bei 60 % des Medianlohns bzw. 50 % des Durchschnittslohns liegen. Damit auch Deutschland den Schritt zu einem angemessenen Mindestlohn macht, ist allerdings nach wie vor eine strukturelle Erhöhung notwendig." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    10 Jahre Mindestlohn: Bilanz und Ausblick: Gemeinsame Stellungnahme von WSI und IMK anlässlich der schriftlichen Anhörung der Mindestlohnkommission 2025 (2025)

    Lübker, Malte; Schulten, Thorsten; Herzog-Stein, Alexander ;

    Zitatform

    Lübker, Malte, Thorsten Schulten & Alexander Herzog-Stein (2025): 10 Jahre Mindestlohn: Bilanz und Ausblick. Gemeinsame Stellungnahme von WSI und IMK anlässlich der schriftlichen Anhörung der Mindestlohnkommission 2025. (WSI Policy Brief / Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliches Institut 88), Düsseldorf, 42 S.

    Abstract

    "In der folgenden Stellungnahme soll die Entwicklung des Mindestlohns im Lichte der hier diskutierten Orientierungsgrößen analysiert werden. Dazu zählen die Tarifentwicklung (Abschnitt 2), der Referenzwert von 60 % des Bruttomedianlohns der Vollzeitbeschäftigten (Abschnitt 3) sowie die weiteren Kriterien aus Artikel 5 (4) der Europäischen Mindestlohnrichtlinie (Abschnitt 4). Auf Grundlage dieser Analyse wird in einem kurzen Fazit der Rahmen für zukünftige Mindestlohnerhöhungen abgesteckt (Abschnitt 5)." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Does aging matter in the impact of the minimum wage on inflation? (2025)

    Majchrowska, Aleksandra ; Roszkowska, Sylwia;

    Zitatform

    Majchrowska, Aleksandra & Sylwia Roszkowska (2025): Does aging matter in the impact of the minimum wage on inflation? (MPRA paper / University Library of Munich 123506), München, 17 S.

    Abstract

    "We examine how demographic changes impact the transmission of minimum wage increases to inflation. The minimum wage growth can raise the prices of goods and services and accelerate inflationary processes. At the same time, a shrinking workforce and changes in its structure could lead to changes in the impact of minimum wage increases on the economy. We use the minimum wage augmented Phillips curve framework extended with the demographic variables. We employ the sample of 21 European Union countries in 2003-2023 and panel data techniques. Our study proves that the strength of the minimum wage pass-through effects on inflation depends on demographic factors. Aging of the workforce and shrinking workforce size weakens the impact of minimum wage increase on inflation. Contrary, a lower proportion of the less educated working-age population strengthens the minimum wage pass-through effects on inflation. Our results have important implications for macroeconomic, minimum wage, and education policies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum Wage Laws and Job Search (2025)

    Melo, Vitor C.; Farren, Michael D.; Kaiser, Christopher; Palagashvili, Liya; Neumark, David ;

    Zitatform

    Melo, Vitor C., Christopher Kaiser, David Neumark, Liya Palagashvili & Michael D. Farren (2025): Minimum Wage Laws and Job Search. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 33433), Cambridge, Mass, 37 S.

    Abstract

    "A large theoretical literature on job search predicts that a higher minimum wage will increase the number of job seekers for affected jobs, which can lead to more job creation and higher employment. This paper uses novel data on job search in all U.S. states to examine the effect of minimum wage increases on the number of job seekers for low-skilled positions. We find no evidence that higher minimum wages increase job search for low-skilled jobs. Instead, the evidence suggests that higher minimum wages decrease the number of workers seeking employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Employment effects of minimum wage indexing: Establishment evidence from Oregon restaurants (2025)

    Miller, Stephen; Plemmons, Alicia ; Wagner, Gary A. ;

    Zitatform

    Miller, Stephen, Gary A. Wagner & Alicia Plemmons (2025): Employment effects of minimum wage indexing: Establishment evidence from Oregon restaurants. In: Economic Inquiry, S. 1-34. DOI:10.1111/ecin.13284

    Abstract

    "Though 18 states will index their minimum wage to the Consumer Price Index by 2025, few studies have examined indexing's differential employment effects. Leveraging a period of stability in minimum wages (2000–2007) and two distinct national geocoded databases of establishments, we explore how indexing affected employment in Oregon restaurants, one of the earliest indexing states (2003). Nearest-neighbor matching is used as a preprocessing step before regression, pairing individual restaurants in Oregon to restaurants with similar characteristics in states where the minimum wage was unchanged. We find evidence that establishment employment falls 3.6% after indexing, implying an employment elasticity of −0.18." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum Wage and Effects on Unemployment: The Case of Spain and Its Implications on Simpson’s Paradox and Geographical Mobility (2025)

    Monray, Jorge; Morillo, Juan;

    Zitatform

    Monray, Jorge & Juan Morillo (2025): Minimum Wage and Effects on Unemployment: The Case of Spain and Its Implications on Simpson’s Paradox and Geographical Mobility. In: International journal of economics and finance, Jg. 17, H. 2, S. 26-44. DOI:10.5539/ijef.v17n2p26

    Abstract

    "This research explains the effects of the Government’s regular increases in the minimum wages on unemployment in Spain. Using a longitudinal analysis covering the years 2010 to 2023 the research collects data split by gender, age group, and Autonomous Community (AC). The data has been adjusted calculating the minimum wage Mean and Mode values. A negative or inverse correlation between minimum wage variables and unemployment is observed presenting Pearson values between -0.4 and -0.6 in most groups. Also, the research applies a one-way ANOVA test. It shows findings of unemployment reduction, specifically in the categories of young males, even though, the minimum wage in Spain has been regularly increased during the last years, in line with other authors. The aggregated and disaggregated data obtained vary and move in opposite directions confirming in a certain way that the principle of the Simpson’s Paradox could take place here. The research also confirms a relevant Estimated Size Effect (ETA) when comparing Autonomous Communities and their influence on unemployment for 55+ years old people." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    The Minimum Wage in Greece: A Review of Institutional Features, Developments and Effects Between 1975 and 2023 (2025)

    Nicolitsas, Daphne ;

    Zitatform

    Nicolitsas, Daphne (2025): The Minimum Wage in Greece: A Review of Institutional Features, Developments and Effects Between 1975 and 2023. In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Jg. 245, H. 1-2, S. 79-111. DOI:10.1515/jbnst-2023-0041

    Abstract

    "This paper takes a historical perspective and assesses the evolution of the institutional features in setting the minimum wage in Greece between 1975 and 2023. It also evaluates developments regarding the minimum wage level, its bite and alignment with productivity. The paper reviews the limited available empirical literature on the association of the minimum wage with labour market outcomes (average wages, employment, inequality). It presents new estimates of the elasticity of average wages to the minimum wage. One of the paper’s key points is that the minimum wage setting mechanism has changed over time as the economic environment has changed. Reviewing the evolution of the minimum wage over time to evaluate whether the minimum wage follows productivity developments and whether the minimum wage bites leads to the second and third takeaways of the paper. The minimum wage follows productivity developments over the longer term but not always in the short term. The bite of the minimum wage is high and appears to be higher when government intervention in setting the minimum wage is stronger. As for the impact of the minimum wage on average wages, the new estimates of the elasticity of the average to the minimum wage the paper provides, use more precisely measured wage rates, which show a high elasticity of average to minimum wages. Finally, the review of the existing literature on the employment effects of the minimum wage shows that, as in other countries, the results are mixed with modest negative or no effects." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Effects of the German Minimum Wage on Earnings and Working Time Using Establishment Data (2025)

    Ohlert, Clemens ;

    Zitatform

    Ohlert, Clemens (2025): Effects of the German Minimum Wage on Earnings and Working Time Using Establishment Data. In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Jg. 245, H. 1-2, S. 185-213. DOI:10.1515/jbnst-2024-0025

    Abstract

    "Diese Studie untersucht die Auswirkungen der Einführung des gesetzlichen Mindestlohns in Deutschland auf Stundenlöhne, Monatslöhne und bezahlte Arbeitszeiten. Es wird ein auf der Verdienststrukturerhebung (VSE) 2014 und der Verdiensterhebung (VSE) 2015 basierender Paneldatensatz genutzt und ein Differenz-in-Differenzen-Ansatz auf Betriebsebene angewendet. Die Vorteile und Grenzen dieses Ansatzes werden im Vergleich zu früheren Studien erörtert. Die Ergebnisse deuten auf einen Effekt der Einführung des gesetzlichen Mindestlohns auf die Stundenlöhne von etwa 13 Prozent hin. Aufgrund negativer Effekte auf die Arbeitszeit von etwa minus 6 Prozent sind die Auswirkungen auf den monatlichen Bruttoverdienst geringer, betragen aber immer noch etwa 8 Prozent. Der Mindestlohn hat vor allem bei Geringverdienern in Teilzeitbeschäftigung und in Ostdeutschland zu einer Erhöhung der Monatslöhne geführt. Damit werden neue Erkenntnisse zur Debatte über die Existenz und das Ausmaß von Mindestlohneffekten auf Verdienste und Arbeitszeiten sowie zu deren politischen Implikationen vorgelegt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Effects of the German Minimum Wage on Wages and Household Income (2025)

    Pusch, Toralf ;

    Zitatform

    Pusch, Toralf (2025): Effects of the German Minimum Wage on Wages and Household Income. In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Jg. 245, H. 1-2, S. 153-183. DOI:10.1515/jbnst-2023-0024

    Abstract

    "This article examines the effects of the introduction of the statutory minimum wage on the distribution of individual income from wages, as well as gross and net means-weighted income of workers in Germany. For the first time, data from the Survey of Income and Consumption was used, in which incomes are recorded in great detail. Both descriptive findings and the results of Unconditional Quantile Regressions indicate that the incomes of workers in regions with a high level of minimum wage intervention experienced significant increases after the introduction of the minimum wage, ranging into the middle band of the income distribution. Accordingly, the minimum wage has positively influenced the incomes of a large number of employee households." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    The impact of a minimum wage increase on hours worked: heterogeneous effects by gender and sector (2025)

    Redmond, Paul ; McGuinness, Seamus ;

    Zitatform

    Redmond, Paul & Seamus McGuinness (2025): The impact of a minimum wage increase on hours worked: heterogeneous effects by gender and sector. In: Economica, Jg. 92, H. 365, S. 84-106. DOI:10.1111/ecca.12555

    Abstract

    "A minimum wage increase could lead to adverse employment effects for certain subgroups of minimum wage workers, while leaving others unaffected. This heterogeneity could be overlooked in studies that examine the overall population of minimum wage workers. In this paper, we test for heterogeneous effects of a minimum wage increase on the hours worked of minimum wage employees in Ireland. For all minimum wage workers, we find that a 10% increase in the minimum wage leads to a one-hour reduction in weekly hours worked, equating to an hours elasticity of approximately −0.3. However, for industry workers and those in the accommodation & food sector, the impact is larger, with elasticity −0.8. We also find a negative impact on the hours worked among men on minimum wage, with no significant effect for women. This is due to the disproportionate number of men working in sectors that show the greatest impact on hours. In line with suggestions from the recent literature, we attempt to identify directly those in receipt of minimum wage using hourly wage data, while also studying the dynamic impact on hours worked over multiple time periods using a fully flexible difference-in-differences estimator." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Labour Market Dynamics of Minimum Wage Workers (2025)

    Redmond, Paul ; McGuinness, Seamus ; Kelly, Elish ;

    Zitatform

    Redmond, Paul, Seamus McGuinness & Elish Kelly (2025): Labour Market Dynamics of Minimum Wage Workers. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17598), Bonn, 16 S.

    Abstract

    "Ireland is the only country in Europe with a direct question in its Labour Force Survey to identify minimum wage employees. By combining this with the longitudinal component of the Labour Force Survey, we examine the labor market transitions of minimum wage employees over a period of up to five quarters. After one quarter, just over half of minimum wage employees are still on minimum wage while 28 percent have moved to higher pay. After one year, almost half have moved to higher pay, with just one-third remaining on minimum wage. Employees that move to higher pay are more likely to change jobs compared to those that stay on minimum wage. Despite this, the majority (almost 90 percent) of minimum wage employees that transition to higher pay do so with the same employer. We employ a dynamic random effects probit model to estimate the degree of genuine state dependence of minimum wage employment. While there is some degree of true state dependence, much of the persistence in minimum wage employment is due to observed and unobserved heterogeneity, whereby minimum wage employees possess characteristics that result in them entering, and staying on, minimum wage. Our results also indicate that minimum wage employees are about five times more likely than higher paid employees to transition into economic inactivity. However, the majority of these are young people in education, and as such may not be overly concerning to policymakers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    The Netherlands’ Minimum Wage 1969–2022: Can We Learn from Decline? (2025)

    Salverda, Wiemer ;

    Zitatform

    Salverda, Wiemer (2025): The Netherlands’ Minimum Wage 1969–2022: Can We Learn from Decline? In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Jg. 245, H. 1-2, S. 45-78. DOI:10.1515/jbnst-2023-0036

    Abstract

    "This paper evaluates the evolution of the Dutch minimum wage since its introduction in 1969 and discusses this as an intriguing case suggesting that a deeper, economic analysis of firm and employee behaviors is required for minimum-wage analysis in general. The real level of the minimum wage has fallen tremendously after 1979, all the way back nowadays to the level of the early 1970s, due to the system of uprating and to government interventions. The minimum-wage employment share shows an even stronger decline after 1979, but, surprisingly, the share below the unchanged real minimum wage of 1979 and in bands above this has remained largely unchanged. Intriguingly, firms have continued paying the same. Composition shifts in minimum-wage employment are significant, towards larger enterprise on the demand side and towards part-time employees on the supply side. Nationally and internationally, virtually all available minimum-wage analyses of employment effects focus on rises of the minimum wage and ignore drops. However, OECD data show that declines are surprisingly frequent, making them perfectly normal economic occurrences that firms will account for. I argue that declines deserve examination in their own right, certainly also from a monopsonistic perspective. Plausibly, declines incite different responses from increases, and their analysis will require the examination of heterogeneous behavior of both firms and employees. Such analysis will reinforce the economics of minimum-wage analysis as advocated by David Neumark and its integration in labor economics as advocated by David Card." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum or Living Wage? Framing Effects on Preferences and Expectations (2025)

    Schaitberger, Tim ;

    Zitatform

    Schaitberger, Tim (2025): Minimum or Living Wage? Framing Effects on Preferences and Expectations. In: BJIR, Jg. 63, H. 2, S. 249-265. DOI:10.1111/bjir.12847

    Abstract

    "Living wage campaigns are widely studied, yet less is known about how the frame differs from the minimum wage regarding public opinion and preferences. Such framing effects hold policy implications, as in 2016, UK Government changed the name of the regulatory wage floor to a living wage, concurrent with calls for welfare benefits cuts. This study explores how using the frame of ‘living’ rather than ‘minimum’ wage changes public socioeconomic expectations and preferences, and examines how a proposed wage increase, ranging from 50p to £6, comparatively influences public support for welfare spending. Methodologically, a sample from the United Kingdom's general population was recruited to participate in a series of online survey experiments. Treatment frames were randomly administered, followed by questions regarding the regulatory wage floor, and socioeconomic and redistributive preferences. Findings suggest introducing the term ‘living wage’ results in (1) higher expected real wages and unemployment effects; (2) raises the preferred wage floor for the United Kingdom and London; (3) greater desire for separate regional wage floors and (4) modest evidence suggesting that a living wage frame increases support for welfare spending. Interestingly, a proposed monetary wage floor increase had a null effect on welfare preferences when calling for a low or modest increase. However, a substantial proposed increase of over 50% led to a sharp reduction in support for benefits spending." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Mind the gap: effects of the national minimum wage on the gender wage gap of full-time workers in Germany (2025)

    Schmid, Ramona ;

    Zitatform

    Schmid, Ramona (2025): Mind the gap: effects of the national minimum wage on the gender wage gap of full-time workers in Germany. In: Journal of Economic Inequality, S. 1-30. DOI:10.1007/s10888-025-09669-6

    Abstract

    "Since 2015, the national minimum wage aims to benefit primarily low-wage workers in Germany. I examine how the minimum wage influences gender wage gaps of full-time workers within the lower half of the wage distribution on a regional level. Using administrative data, distinct regional differences in the extent of gender wage gaps and responses to the minimum wage become clear. Overall, wage gaps between men and women at the 10th percentile decrease by 2.46 and 6.34 percentage points in the West and East of Germany after 2015. Applying counterfactual wage distributions, I show that introducing the minimum wage explains decreases in gender wage gaps by 60% to 95%. Group-specific analyses demonstrate various responses based on age, educational level and occupational activity. Counterfactual aggregate Oaxaca-Blinder decompositions indicate that discriminatory remuneration structures decrease in the West of Germany after introducing the minimum wage." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    The impact of minimum wages on overall health and well-being: Global evidence from the Gallup World Poll (2025)

    Sotirakopoulos, Panagiotis ; Guven, Cahit ; Ulker, Aydogan ; Graham, Carol ;

    Zitatform

    Sotirakopoulos, Panagiotis, Cahit Guven, Aydogan Ulker & Carol Graham (2025): The impact of minimum wages on overall health and well-being: Global evidence from the Gallup World Poll. In: Social Science & Medicine, Jg. 375. DOI:10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.118064

    Abstract

    "We examine the impact of minimum wage increases on the overall self-reported health and subjective well-being of low-skilled workers using the Gallup World Poll from 2009 to 2020. We identify effects using within-country changes over time and cross-country variations in the timing and intensity of minimum wage increases across 87 countries. Our findings suggest that minimum wage increases benefit health and certain dimensions of subjective well-being. Specifically, we estimate a range of specifications and find that a 10 percent increase in the minimum wage leads to an increase in self-reported health ranging from 0 % to 1 % and an increase in satisfaction with the standard of living between 1 % and 6 %, at the outcome means. Minimum wage increases are linked to higher incomes, a lower likelihood of overtime work, enhanced social interactions, and more positive daily experiences. These benefits are especially significant in countries with stronger rule of law, among male workers, and for individuals in nations with free and universal healthcare access. A series of sensitivity and placebo tests confirm the robustness of these findings." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    The Effects of Dutch Youth Minimum Wage Increases on Income Inequality (2025)

    Steenks, Koen ; Vervliet, Tobias; Heyma, Arjan ;

    Zitatform

    Steenks, Koen, Arjan Heyma & Tobias Vervliet (2025): The Effects of Dutch Youth Minimum Wage Increases on Income Inequality. In: De Economist, S. 1-32. DOI:10.1007/s10645-025-09451-z

    Abstract

    "This study employs increases in the Dutch Youth Minimum Wage (YMW) in 2017 and 2019 for certain age groups as a natural experiment to examine the impact of changes in minimum wages on income inequality through the employment-channel. Using the Difference-in-Difference (DiD) and Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) methods, it estimates the effects of YMW increases on hourly wages and working hours across various income segments. These effects are then used to simulate the monthly income distribution after the YMW increases in 2017 and 2019. This way, a comparative analysis is conducted between the observed income distribution prior to the YMW increases and the simulated income distribution thereafter, focusing on the aspect of income inequality. The findings reveal distinct effects based on the magnitude of the wage increase. Modest increases (for individuals aged 18–19) and substantial increases (for individuals aged 20–22 in 2017 and 20–21 in 2019) both generate spike and spillover effects, influencing individuals earning hourly wages up to at least 120% of the new minimum wage. Small increases reduce working hours for higher-income individuals, while larger increases negatively affect working hours for middle-income earners (100–150% of the new YMW) but benefit those earning below 100% and above 150% of the new threshold. Overall, both small and large YMW increases contribute to income redistribution by altering wages and working hours." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Analyzing the effects of minimum wages: a microeconomic approach (2025)

    Thielen, Clemens ; Weinschenk, Philipp;

    Zitatform

    Thielen, Clemens & Philipp Weinschenk (2025): Analyzing the effects of minimum wages: a microeconomic approach. In: Economic Theory, Jg. 79, H. 3, S. 945-991. DOI:10.1007/s00199-024-01607-3

    Abstract

    "We use a microeconomic approach to analyze the effects of minimum wages. Agents are allowed to have different productivities at different principals as well as different costs of working. We obtain several new and interesting effects. Minimum wages could influence the generated surplus when leaving employment unaffected, and destroy jobs that generate relatively high levels of surplus when affecting employment. Furthermore, minimum wages could harm agents even if these stay employed, while principals could benefit from them. We provide a complete characterization of the effects and show that these hold independently of the specific bargaining procedure and information structure." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum Wage Effects and Monopsony Explanations (2025)

    Wiltshire, Justin; McPherson, Carl; Reich, Michael ; Sosinskiy, Denis;

    Zitatform

    Wiltshire, Justin, Carl McPherson, Michael Reich & Denis Sosinskiy (2025): Minimum Wage Effects and Monopsony Explanations. In: Journal of labor economics, S. 1-46. DOI:10.1086/735551

    Abstract

    "We present the first causal analysis of a seven-year run-up of minimum wages to $15. Using a novel stacked county-level synthetic control estimator and data on fast-food restaurants, we find substantial pay growth and no disemployment. Our results hold among lower-wage counties and counties without local minimum wages. Minimum wage increases reduce Separation rates and raise wages faster than prices at McDonald’s stores; both findings imply a monopsonistic labor market with declining rents. In the tight post-pandemic labor market, when laborsupply becomes more elastic, we find positive employment effects. These become larger and statistically significant after addressing pandemic-response confounds." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Distributional Effects of Local Minimum Wages: A Spatial Job Search Approach (2025)

    Zhang, Weilong ; Todd, Petra E.;

    Zitatform

    Zhang, Weilong & Petra E. Todd (2025): Distributional Effects of Local Minimum Wages: A Spatial Job Search Approach. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 43, H. S1, S. S221-S267. DOI:10.1086/734391

    Abstract

    "This paper develops a spatial general equilibrium job search model to study the effects of local and universal minimum wage policies on employment, wages, job postings, vacancies, migration, and welfare. Workers search for jobs locally and in neighboring areas, deciding whether to migrate or commute after receiving remote offers. The model, estimated using ACS and QWI data, reliably forecasts commuting responses to city minimum wage hikes. Simulations show that low-skill (noncollege) workers benefit from local wage increases up to $12.50. The greatest per capita welfare gain for all workers is achieved by a $15.25 universal minimum wage." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen
  • Literaturhinweis

    Two birds, one stone: minimum wage and child labor (2025)

    Özmen, Mustafa Utku ; Turan, Belgi ;

    Zitatform

    Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Belgi Turan (2025): Two birds, one stone: minimum wage and child labor. In: International Journal of Manpower, Jg. 46, H. 1, S. 168-196. DOI:10.1108/ijm-08-2023-0440

    Abstract

    "Purpose: This paper investigates the impact of quasi-exogenous and substantial increases in the minimum wage on child labor outcomes in Türkiye. The study aims to provide empirical evidence on how minimum wage policies affect child labor outcomes in a developing country context, with a focus on gender and age differences. It seeks to understand whether minimum wage increases lead to a reduction in child labor and whether the impact is different for various demographic groups. Design/methodology/Approach: The research employs a difference-in-differences methodology using data from the 2012 and 2019 Child Labor Force Survey in Türkiye. The treatment group consists of children from households with minimum wage earners, while the control group comprises children from other households. Various labor market outcomes are analyzed, and robustness checks are performed. Findings: Our findings indicate that while the overall effect of minimum wage increases on child labor is statistically insignificant, there are notable heterogeneous impacts across different demographic groups and employment sectors. Specifically, we observe a significant reduction in the employment probability of girls under the age of 15 and unpaid family workers. Additionally, the likelihood of younger children being wage earners decreases, and the minimum wage increase reduces employment in the agriculture and services sectors for certain subgroups. The impact is also more limited for children in single-adult-worker households. Social implications: These results underscore the varying effects of minimum wage policies on child labor and highlight the importance of considering demographic and sectoral differences in policy formulation. Policymakers should complement such policies with income-generating programs and targeted education initiatives to address child labor issues more comprehensively and sustainably. Originality/value: This study fills a critical gap in the limited international literature on the causal effects of minimum wage policies on child labor incidence. One notable exception, Menon and van der Meulen Rodgers (2018) have explored the impact of minimum wage on child labor in India using regional variation, our study uniquely analyzes the effects at the household level in Türkiye. This approach provides valuable insights into how minimum wage changes affect child labor outcomes in a developing economy context with a high prevalence of minimum wage earners. It also contributes to the broader economic understanding of child labor and household income dynamics." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © Emerald Group)

    mehr Informationen
    weniger Informationen