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Tåhlin, Michael & Johan Westerman (2020): Youth employment decline and the structural change of skill. In: European Societies, Jg. 22, H. 1, S. 47-76. DOI:10.1080/14616696.2018.1552981

Abstract

"Labor market prospects for youth have deteriorated significantly in many OECD countries over recent decades. While the extent and consequences of falling youth employment are commonly studied, attempts at understanding its causes have been much more limited. The present paper attempts to fill this explanatory gap. We suggest that the secular decline in youth employment can be accounted for by the structural change of skill. This process of structural change has two interrelated components: (a) one part where skill supply (individual educational attainment) and skill demand (educational requirements of jobs) grow together in what can be called matched upgrading and (b) another part where excess skill supply leads to mismatch and crowding-out. These components of skill growth have commonly been treated separately and incompletely in the literature. We build on both of them in developing our account of why the labor market for youth has weakened. Using data on 10 European countries from the EU Labor Force Surveys over the period 1998 to 2015, we estimate associations between the structural change of skill and youth employment decline. The main conclusion is that both matched skill upgrading and overeducation are strongly and negatively linked to young people's employment chances." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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International Labour Office (2020): Global employment trends for youth 2020. Technology and the future of jobs. (Global employment trends for youth ...), Genf, 184 S.

Abstract

"Incorporating the most recent labour market information available, Global Employment Trends for Youth sets out the youth labour market situation around the world. It shows where progress has or has not been made, updates world and regional youth labour market indicators, and gives detailed analyses of medium-term trends in youth population, labour force, employment and unemployment. The 2020 edition discusses the implications of technological change for the nature of jobs available to young people. It focuses on shifts in job characteristics, sectors and skills, as well as examining the impact of technological change on inequalities in youth labour markets." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Bayrak, Riza & Halim Tatli (2019): The determinants of youth unemployment: A panel data analysis of OECD countries. In: European Journal of Comparative Economics, Jg. 15, H. 2, S. 231-248. DOI:10.25428/1824-2979/201802-231-248

Abstract

"The aim of this study was to determine some of the key factors affecting youth employment from 2000-2015. Youth unemployment rate (YU) was the dependent variable while consumer price index (INF), domestic gross savings (GS), labor productivity (LP) and economic growth rate (GR) were the independent variables. Data from 31 OECD countries were obtained from World Bank (WB) and OECD databases. Panel Data Analysis was used to analyze the data. The results show that growth, inflation, and savings affect youth unemployment negatively while labor productivity affects youth employment positively. It is therefore concluded that growth, inflation, savings and labor productivity are among the key determinants of youth unemployment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Marimpi, Maria & Pierre Koning (2018): Youth minimum wages and youth employment. In: IZA journal of labor policy, Jg. 7, S. 1-18. DOI:10.1186/s40173-018-0098-4

Abstract

"This paper performs a cross-country level analysis on the impact of the level of specific youth minimum wages on the labor market performance of young individuals. We use information on the use and level of youth minimum wages, as compared to the level of adult minimum wages as well as to the median wage (i.e., the Kaitz index). We complement these data with variables on the employment, labor force participation, and unemployment rates of 5-year age interval categories - all derived from the official OECD database. We distinguish between countries without minimum wages, countries with uniform minimum wages for all age groups, and countries with separate youth and adult minimum wages. Our results indicate that the relative employment rates of young individuals below the age of 25 - as compared to the older workers - in countries with youth minimum wages are close to those in countries without minimum wages at all. Turning to the smaller sample of countries with minimum wages, increases in the level of (youth) minimum wages exert a substantial negative impact on the employment rate for young individuals." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Pastore, Francesco (2018): Why is youth unemployment so high and different across countries? Young people experience worse labor market outcomes than adults worldwide but the difference varies greatly internationally. (IZA world of labor 420), Bonn, 11 S. DOI:10.15185/izawol.420

Abstract

"Ungeachtet eines kontinuierlich steigenden Bildungsniveaus sehen sich junge Menschen im Vergleich zu Älteren immer noch mit weniger Beschäftigung und Einkommen, niedrigeren Erwerbsquoten und deutlich höherer Arbeitslosigkeit konfrontiert. Der Anteil der Sekundar- und Hochschulabsolventen, die Jobs unterhalb ihres Qualifikationsniveaus annehmen, ist in vielen Ländern sehr hoch. Hauptgrund dafür ist das geringe Niveau arbeitsbezogene Kompetenzen junger Menschen. Diese Befähigungen zu schaffen, sollte für moderne Bildungssysteme oberste Priorität haben. Flexiblere Arbeitsmärkte sollten einen früheren Eintritt in den Arbeitsmarkt ermöglichen, sich jedoch nicht nur auf befristete Verträge stützen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Bruno, Giovanni S. F., Misbah Tanveer Choudhry, Enrico Marelli & Marcello Signorelli (2017): The short- and long-run impacts of financial crises on youth unemployment in OECD countries. In: Applied Economics, Jg. 49, H. 34, S. 3372-3394. DOI:10.1080/00036846.2016.1259753

Abstract

"The impact of financial crises on the youth unemployment rate (YUR), compared to the total unemployment rate (UR), is estimated for a panel of OECD countries over the period 1981 - 2009, using bias-corrected dynamic panel data estimators of short- and long-run coefficients. Both YUR and UR are found highly persistent. Also, short- and long-run effects of financial crises on YUR are significantly large, respectively, some 1.9 and 1.5 - 1.7 times higher than the short- and long-run effects on UR. Similar results are found for the unemployment impacts of GDP growth lagged 1 year and institutional variables. These results are robust to various dynamic specifications." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Brzinsky-Fay, Christian (2017): The interplay of educational and labour market institutions and links to relative youth unemployment. In: Journal of European social policy, Jg. 27, H. 4, S. 346-359. DOI:10.1177/0958928717719198

Abstract

"Many institutional theories assume that institutions function in conjunction with each other and, therefore, constitute regimes. Moreover, when analysing institutional effects most researchers maintain a purely variable-oriented approach and its ceteris-paribus logic of causal association. This article analyses associations between configurations of labour market and education institutions and relative youth unemployment by examining 30 countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). The analysis reveals that no single institution constitutes a sufficient or necessary condition for relative youth unemployment. Institutions unfold their effects only in combination with other institutions, that is, they are always conjunctural. Low relative youth unemployment cannot be explained adequately. Employment protection is only associated with high relative youth unemployment if vocational specificity, standardisation and stratification is low." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Cockx, Bart (2016): Do youths graduating in a recession incur permanent losses? Penalties may last ten years or more, especially for high-educated youth and in rigid labor markets. (IZA world of labor 281), Bonn, 11 S. DOI:10.15185/izawol.281

Abstract

"The Great Recession that began in 2008 - 2009 dramatically increased youth unemployment. But did it have long-lasting, adverse effects on the careers of youths? Are cohorts that graduate during a recession doomed to fall permanently behind those that graduate at other times? Are the impacts different for low- and high-educated individuals? If recessions impose penalties that persist over time, then more government outlays are justified to stabilize economic activity. Scientific evidence from a variety of countries shows that rigid labor markets can reinforce the persistence of these setbacks, which has important policy implications." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Kis, Viktória (2016): Work-based learning for youth at risk. Getting employers on board. (OECD education working papers 150), Paris, 44 S. DOI:10.1787/5e122a91-en

Abstract

"Work-based learning can provide a bridge into careers and its potential benefits are particularly noticeable for youth at risk - those most likely to face difficulties in accessing jobs and learning opportunities. If this potential is to be fully realised, work-based learning programmes must be attractive to employers. Achieving this requires a closer look at the costs and benefits for employers when they offer work-based learning. This paper looks at tools designed to help get employers on board for work-based learning, with an emphasis on work-based learning for youth at risk. International experience suggests that financial incentives, such as subsidies and tax breaks are not the answer. Attention should be focussed instead on non-financial measures that improve the cost-benefit balance of apprenticeship to employers. These include adjusting key parameters of apprenticeship schemes, better preparing youth at risk for apprenticeship and providing support (e.g. remedial courses, mentoring) to youth at risk during apprenticeship." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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OECD (2016): Society at a glance 2016. OECD social indicators. (Society at a glance 08), Paris, 135 S. DOI:10.1787/9789264261488-en

Abstract

"Society at a Glance 2016' bietet einen Überblick über die aktuellen soziale Trends in den 35 OECD- sowie ausgewählten Partnerländern, darunter Brasilien, Russland, China und Indien.
Im Mittelpunkt stehen diesmal vor allem Jugendliche und junge Erwachsene ohne Schulabschluss oder Berufsausbildung. Darüber hinaus wurden alle bisherigen Indikatoren aktualisiert und ergänzt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Eichhorst, Werner & Ulf Rinne (2015): Promoting youth employment through activation strategies. (IZA research report 65), Bonn, 61 S.

Abstract

"The working paper provides an overview of the main features of youth activation strategies around the world. It covers strategies implemented in 33 selected countries from different regions with a view to contributing to the discussion on the emerging approach of activation strategies as a tool to tackle the youth employment challenge. It provides an overview of the main features of these strategies and attempts to conduct a preliminary assessment of what works and what does not in their implementation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2015): OECD skills outlook 2015. Youth, skills and employability. (OECD skills outlook), Paris, 153 S. DOI:10.1787/9789264234178-en

Abstract

"Im OECD-Raum sind heute mehr als 35 Millionen junge Leute weder in Beschäftigung noch in Bildung oder Ausbildung. Der Bericht baut auf der Internationalen Vergleichsstudie über die Kompetenzen Erwachsener (PIAAC) auf und analysiert, wie junge Menschen Kompetenzen erwerben, wie sie ihre Fähigkeiten einsetzen und welchen Hindernissen sie bei Berufseinstieg und Karriere begegnen. Er gibt Empfehlungen für Politikmaßnahmen, mit denen die Länder die Beschäftigungslage junger Menschen verbessern können." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Sachs, Andreas & Werner Smolny (2014): Youth unemployment in the OECD. The role of institutions. (ZEW discussion paper 2014-080), Mannheim, 23 S.

Abstract

"This paper analyzes the role of labor market institutions for youth unemployment, as contrasted to total unemployment. The empirical results are basically consistent with an insider view of labor market institutions. Labor market institutions tend to protect (older) employees but might harm (young) entrants. Remarkable is especially the significant and very high effect of employment protection for regular jobs on youth unemployment. In addition, the combined effects of powerful unions and a coordinated wage bargaining system are beneficial for older people and detrimental to youth. Finally, the paper establishes significant labor supply effects and effects of the education system on youth and total unemployment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Aassve, Arnstein, Elena Cottini & Agnese Vitali (2013): Youth prospects in a time of economic recession. In: Demographic Research, Jg. 29, S. 949-962. DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2013.29.36

Abstract

"Background - The paper gives an update to earlier analysis considering youth poverty and transition to adulthood, which is timely given the economic crisis engulfing many countries in Europe. Whereas the crisis is affecting young people in particular, there is also a certain degree of variation across Europe.
Objective - We document the short-term consequences of the current recession on the transition to adulthood of young Europeans, focusing on two main cornerstones in the transition to adulthood: economic independence and residential autonomy.
Methods - We use a combination of OECD Employment Statistics for 2012 and micro-level data from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) for the period 2005-2011 for 24 countries.
Results - We document an increase in economic hardship experienced by young adults in several European countries during the recession, which is starting to translate into higher rates of co-residence with parents, hence delaying the process of leaving home and gaining economic independence.
Conclusions - The way countries are reacting to the recession is not yet clear-cut, but economic uncertainty and deprivation is on the rise in those countries hardest hit, which is likely to delay the key markers of transition to adulthood." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Abstract

"Timely support for young unemployed is essential for a smooth transition into the labour market. The first youth guarantees (measures that reduce the time a young person spends not in employment, education or training) were introduced by the Nordic European countries in 1980s and 1990s. Similar programmes to reduce the inactivity period of youth have been put in place more recently in Austria, Germany, the Netherlands and Poland, and more European countries will be introducing similar measures following Youth Guarantee Recommendation agreed by the EU's Council of Employment and Social Affairs Ministers in February 2013.
In 2013 and 2014, following up on its earlier work on Local Youth Employment Strategies, the OECD Local Economic and Employment Development Programme is undertaking a review of the implementation of youth guarantee in 8 European countries to identify key conditions and success factors and provide a set of practical policy recommendations relevant to national and local policy makers and practitioners. The final report will be presented at the 10th Annual meeting of the OECD Forum on Partnerships and Local Development in Stockholm on 24-25 April 2014." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Bernal-Verdugo, Lorenzo E., Davide Furceri & Dominique Guillaume (2012): Labor market flexibility and unemployment. New empirical evidence of static and dynamic effects. In: Comparative Economic Studies, Jg. 54, H. 2, S. 251-273. DOI:10.1057/ces.2012.3

Abstract

"The aim of this paper is to analyze the relationship between labor market flexibility and unemployment outcomes. Using a panel of 97 countries from 1985 to 2008, the results of the paper suggest that improvements in labor market flexibility have a statistically and significant negative impact on unemployment outcomes (over unemployment, youth unemployment, and long-term unemployment). Among the different labor market flexibility indicators analyzed, hiring and firing regulations and hiring costs are found to have the strongest effect." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Kawaguchi, Daiji & Tetsushi Murao (2012): Who bears the cost of the business cycle? Labor-market institutions and volatility of the youth unemployment rate. In: IZA journal of labor policy, Jg. 1, S. 1-28. DOI:10.1186/2193-9004-1-10

Abstract

"The way age-specific unemployment rates fluctuate over the business cycle differs significantly across countries. This paper examines the effect of labor-market institutions on the fluctuations of age-specific unemployment rates based on panel data of 18 OECD countries between 1971 and 2008. Empirical results suggest that the cost of the business cycle disproportionately falls on youths in countries with stricter employment protection. This implies that a higher adjustment cost of an existing workforce induces the employment adjustment of new entrants into the labor market." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2012): Bildung auf einen Blick 2012. OECD-Indikatoren. (Bildung auf einen Blick. OECD-Indikatoren), Bielefeld: Bertelsmann, 687 S. DOI:10.1787/eag-2012-de

Abstract

"Der Anteil junger Menschen, die weder in Beschäftigung noch in schulischer oder beruflicher Ausbildung sind, ist in Deutschland auch in den Krisenjahren stabil geblieben. 2010 lag er für 15 bis 29-Jährige bei 12,0 Prozent und damit weit unter dem OECD-Durchschnitt von 15,8 Prozent. Deutschland und auch die Schweiz gehören somit zu einer kleinen Gruppe von OECD-Ländern, in denen sich die Bildungs- und Berufschancen der jungen Generation trotz des weltweiten wirtschaftlichen Abschwungs nicht verschlechtert haben.
Deutschland ist zudem das einzige Land innerhalb der OECD, in dem die Arbeitslosigkeit zwischen 2008 und 2010 quer durch alle Bildungsgruppen abgenommen hat.
Es zeigt sich auch, dass der Ausbau der Bildungssysteme in fast allen OECD-Ländern dazu geführt hat, dass junge Menschen einen höheren Bildungsstand erreichen als ihre Eltern. In Deutschland hingegen ist die Bildungsmobilität eher gering. Hier sind 20 Prozent der 25 bis 34-jährigen Erwerbstätigen höher gebildet als ihre Eltern, während 22 Prozent einen niedrigeren Abschluss haben. Im OECD-Vergleich erreichen 37 Prozent der jungen Erwerbstätigen einen höheren Bildungsstand als ihre Eltern und nur 13 Prozent verharren auf einem niedrigeren Niveau." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Noelke, Clemens (2011): The consequences of employment protection legislation for the youth labour market. (Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung. Arbeitspapiere 144), Mannheim, 34 S.

Abstract

"Understanding the causes of unemployment and job insecurity among young people remains a central concern for social scientists and policy makers. This study focuses on one potential institutional cause of high youth unemployment, employment protection legislation (EPL). While many are sceptical of a link between EPL and high aggregate unemployment rates, a consensus has emerged linking EPL to high youth unemployment in particular. The review of theoretical and empirical research conducted here challenges this consensus. Search and matching theoretic explanations have difficulty making unambiguous predictions about the effects of EPL on youth unemployment and empirical research has undertaken little effort to uncover its causal effects. The empirical analysis tests for the existence of aggregate employment effects of EPL across youth labour markets using aggregate data from affluent OECD countries (1985 - 2007) and individual data from labour force surveys for 15 Western European countries and the U.S. (1992 - 2007). It conducts conventional regression analyses and also implements a Difference-in-Difference design. Neither conventional nor Difference-in-Difference analyses yield any robust evidence whatsoever linking either dimension of EPL to inferior youth labour market performance, for any of the education groups or institutional conditions tested. Altogether, this study rejects the view that strict EPL is or has been the cause of high youth unemployment rates or low youth employment rates, at least for the sample of countries tested here." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Melnik, Ekaterina, Martine Möbus, Noemie Olympio & Remi Trehin-Lalanne (2010): Les eleves sans qualification. La France et les pays de l'OCDE. Rapport pour le Haut Conseil de l'Education. Paris, 169 S.

Abstract

"Cette synthèse comparative et européenne fait le point sur les élèves qui sortent du système scolaire sans qualification en France, en Allemagne et au Royaume-Uni. Les auteurs analysent le contenu et la portée du 'benckmark' européen concernant les jeunes sortis précocement du système puis exposent pour les trois pays en question les caractéristiques des jeunes sans qualification et leur devenir sur le marché du travail. Enfin sont examinés les dispositifs d'action publique qui s'efforcent de remédier aux difficultés rencontrées par ces jeunes." (Resume d'auteur, IAB-Doku) ((fr))