matching – Suchprozesse am Arbeitsmarkt
Offene Stellen bei gleichzeitiger Arbeitslosigkeit - was Arbeitsmarkttheorien u. a. mit "unvollkommener Information" begründen, ist für Unternehmen und Arbeitsuchende oft nur schwer nachzuvollziehen: Unternehmen können freie Stellen nicht besetzen, trotzdem finden Arbeitsuchende nur schwer den passenden Job. Wie gestalten sich die Suchprozesse bei Unternehmen und Arbeitsuchenden, welche Konzessionen sind beide Seiten bereit einzugehen, wie lässt sich das "matching" verbessern?
Diese Infoplattform bietet wissenschaftliche Literatur zur theoretischen und empirischen Auseinandersetzung mit dem Thema.
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Literaturhinweis
Overeducation, performance pay and wages: evidence from Germany (2026)
Zitatform
Baktash, Mehrzad B. (2026): Overeducation, performance pay and wages: evidence from Germany. In: Education Economics, Jg. 34, H. 4, S. 529-549. DOI:10.1080/09645292.2025.2546445
Abstract
"Overeducated workers are more productive and have higher wages in comparison to their adequately educated coworkers in the same jobs. However, they have lower wages than their similarly educated peers who are in correctly matched jobs. This study examines the hypotheses that overeducated workers sort into performance pay jobs as an adjustment mechanism and that performance pay enhances their wages. Using the SOEP, I show that overeducation associates with a higher likelihood of sorting into performance pay jobs and that performance pay significantly improves the wages of overeducated workers. The findings hold in endogenous switching regressions and several robustness checks." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Decomposing Variations in Labor Market Mismatch (2026)
Zitatform
Bauer, Anja & Enzo Weber (2026): Decomposing Variations in Labor Market Mismatch. (IAB-Discussion Paper 03/2026), Nürnberg, 19 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.DP.2603
Abstract
"Dieses Diskussionspapier zeigt, wie Veränderungen des Arbeitsmarkt-Mismatch auf die Komponenten Arbeitslosigkeit, offene Stellen und Matchingeffizienz zurückgeführt werden können. Wir stellen fest, dass die Arbeitslosigkeit der wichtigste Faktor ist und auch die zyklischen Schwankungen bestimmt, während die Beiträge der offenen Stellen geringer und antizyklisch sind. Wir unterscheiden nach der Ursache der Arbeitslosigkeit und zeigen, dass Ströme gegenüber der Beschäftigung den Mismatch verstärken, während dies für Nichtbeschäftigung und Ausbildung / Weiterbildung nicht der Fall ist." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)
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Literaturhinweis
Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy (2026)
Zitatform
Birinci, Serdar, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan & Kurt See (2026): Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy. In: Journal of monetary economics, Jg. 159. DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103928
Abstract
"We develop a heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model with a frictional labor market and on-the-job search to study how employer-to-employer (EE) transitions affect macroeconomic outcomes and monetary policy. We show that accounting for market incompleteness quantitatively alters the positive and normative implications of EE fluctuations. Under imperfect self-insurance, when a higher EE rate causes higher inflation and a higher real interest rate, wealthy individuals — who are more sensitive to interest rate changes — cut consumption by more. As a result, an economy with perfect self-insurance overestimates the decline in aggregate demand when the EE rate is higher. The optimal simple monetary policy rule responds to inflationary pressures from a higher EE rate by raising the nominal rate less aggressively when markets are complete relative to a model with imperfect self-insurance." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Wage effects of skill mismatches across domains: the importance of ICT skills (2026)
Zitatform
Bischof, Stephan & Rolf van der Velden (2026): Wage effects of skill mismatches across domains: the importance of ICT skills. In: Oxford economic papers, Jg. 78, H. 2, S. 388-409. DOI:10.1093/oep/gpag001
Abstract
"To date, it is unclear in which skills mismatches are most relevant for individuals’ wages, and whether surpluses or deficits in one domain can offset those in another. This study addresses these gaps by examining how mismatches in five key skill domains (ICT, reading, mathematics, science, and reasoning) are linked to individuals’ wages. Utilizing data from the 2016 wave of the German National Educational Panel Study (NEPS) Adult Cohort, our findings reveal that skill deficits consistently result in lower wages, whereas surpluses do not pay off in each domain. Notably, mismatches in ICT skills are most significant for individuals’ wages: ICT deficits not only reduce wages, but can also negate wage benefits from surpluses in other skills. Conversely, ICT surpluses can compensate for wage penalties associated with deficits in other domains. These findings underscore the importance of digital skills for productivity and wage potential in the modern labour market." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Labor Demand on a Tight Leash (2026)
Zitatform
Bossler, Mario & Martin Popp (2026): Labor Demand on a Tight Leash. In: ILR review, Jg. 79, H. 4, S. 617-651., 2025-10-21. DOI:10.1177/00197939261435961
Abstract
"Using detailed information on vacancies and job seekers, the authors study the effect of labor market tightness on labor demand for the near-universe of German firms. To this end, novel Bartik instruments are constructed that combine firms’ predetermined employment shares with nationwide shifts at the occupational level. The results show that tightness significantly reduces firms’ labor demand, implying that the observed doubling in tightness between 2012 and 2019 reduced employment by 5%. At the aggregate level, the negative tightness effect creates search externalities, which reduce the own-wage elasticity of labor demand from −0.7 to −0.5 through reallocation of workers between firms. To guide the analysis, the authors embed elements of the canonical search-and-matching model into a labor demand equation, while allowing vacancy posting costs to increase in tight markets. Through the lens of this model, the pre-match component of hiring costs amounts to 16–24% of annual wage payments." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Sage) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Finding a job through social networks - Monetary and nonmonetary returns for employed and unemployed job seekers (2026)
Zitatform
Drasch, Katrin & Gerhard Krug (2026): Finding a job through social networks - Monetary and nonmonetary returns for employed and unemployed job seekers. (SocArXiv papers), 40 S. DOI:10.31235/osf.io/kz9e6_v1
Abstract
"This study examines the impact of job vacancy information obtained through personal contacts on monetary and nonmonetary job search outcomes. We hypothesise that the effects will be positive for both kinds of outcome, and that these effects may depend on employment status prior to finding a new job. Additionally, we hypothesise that information from professional personal contacts will lead to better job search outcomes than information from private personal contacts. We use panel data from the German Panel Study "Labour Market and Social Security" (PASS) and fixed effects regressions to test these hypotheses. Monetary outcomes are measured by wages and nonmonetary outcomes by job satisfaction. Overall, we find that the employed tend to benefit more than the unemployed. However, the specific pattern differs depending on whether vacancy information stems from personal or professional contacts and on the type of outcome (monetary or nonmonetary)." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Finding a job through social networks: monetary and nonmonetary returns for employed and unemployed job seekers (2026)
Zitatform
Drasch, Katrin & Gerhard Krug (2026): Finding a job through social networks: monetary and nonmonetary returns for employed and unemployed job seekers. In: European Societies, S. 1-28. DOI:10.1162/euso.a.106
Abstract
"This study examines the impact of job vacancy information obtained through personal contacts on monetary and nonmonetary job search outcomes. We hypothesise that the effects will be positive for both kinds of outcome, and that these effects may depend on employment status prior to finding a new job. Additionally, we hypothesise that information from professional personal contacts will lead to better job search outcomes than information from private personal contacts. We use panel data from the German Panel Study “Labour Market and Social Security” (PASS) and fixed effects regressions to test these hypotheses. Monetary outcomes are measured by wages and nonmonetary outcomes by job satisfaction. Overall, we find that the employed tend to benefit more than the unemployed. However, the specific pattern differs depending on whether vacancy information stems from personal or professional contacts and on the type of outcome (monetary or nonmonetary)." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Online social class cues and employability: Experimental evidence from Germany (2026)
Zitatform
Galos, Diana Roxana & Joris Frese (2026): Online social class cues and employability: Experimental evidence from Germany. In: Social science research, Jg. 133. DOI:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2025.103258
Abstract
"Social media platforms, such as Twitter or Instagram, offer easily accessible information – relevant or not – for employers when evaluating candidates for a position. In particular, they tend to be sources of information about individuals’ interests and leisure activities.Because interests are highly stratified by social class (e.g., engagement in highbrow and lowbrow activities), this represents a new way for class to potentially manifest itself in the hiring process. To study discrimination in hiring based on online social class cues, we conducted a pre-registered survey experiment in Germany with samples of employers and non-employers, manipulating job applicants’ class cues on social media(highbrow versus lowbrow). Overall, we found no difference in preferences for the candidates displaying highbrow and lowbrow activities on their social media profiles. However, this masks important differences in the specific activities proxying for class. When these activities have no relevance for the jobs in question, higher-class candidates are preferred. Exploratory analyses show that respondents are more likely to express positive sentiments toward the higher-class profiles, with highbrow activities being positively associated with work-related traits. Our findings highlight the need to consider how digital environments and, more specifically, online social class cues, may contribute to class bias in hiring." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc.) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Imperfect Self-knowledge about Skills and Skill Mismatch (2026)
Zitatform
Goller, Daniel, Enzo Brox & Stefan C. Wolter (2026): Imperfect Self-knowledge about Skills and Skill Mismatch. (Working paper / Swiss Leading House 253), Zürich, 40 S., App.
Abstract
"Why do young people sort into poorly fitting occupations? This paper shows that imperfect self-knowledge about skills is an important source of skill mismatch at labor market entry. We use unique data from standardized professional aptitude tests linked to administrative records on educational trajectories and early labor market outcomes in Switzerland. The data allow us to observe objective skills and subjective skill beliefs for many productivity-relevant skills in a high-stakes setting. We document large differences among individuals in how well their beliefs align with their skills. Imperfect self-knowledge predicts misaligned occupational aspirations, higher realized skill mismatch, and a higher probability of dropout. Guided by a Roy-style model of occupational choice with imperfect self-knowledge, we interpret these findings as evidence that distorted self-assessments at the school-to-work transition contribute to the misallocation of talent." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Bargaining with Renegotiation in Models with On-the-Job Search (2026)
Gottfries, Axel;Zitatform
Gottfries, Axel (2026): Bargaining with Renegotiation in Models with On-the-Job Search. In: Review of Economic Dynamics, Jg. 61. DOI:10.1016/j.red.2026.101343
Abstract
"I present an on-the-job search model with bargaining and renegotiation in which turnover depends on the contracted wage. There is a unique monotone Markov equilibrium. The model encompasses elements of dynamic monopsony and rent sharing. Firms benefit from the reduced turnover associated with a higher wage and workers extract rents due to their bargaining power. Shorter wage contracts reduce the response of turnover to the contracted wage, reducing a firm’s willingness to increase pay, and thereby the worker’s equilibrium share of the match surplus. As renegotiation becomes continuous, linear surplus sharing is obtained. The model further generates spillover effects from minimum wages due to firms’ incentives to increase contracted wages to reduce turnover. These incentives, and therefore the spillovers, are weaker when wage contracts are shorter. Finally, I endogenize the frequency of renegotiation, and find that, generically, the equilibrium features infrequently renegotiated wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2026 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc.) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Firm-Worker Matches: Experience or Inspection Goods? (2026)
Zitatform
Gregory, Victoria, Guido Menzio & Giovanni M. Topa (2026): Firm-Worker Matches: Experience or Inspection Goods? (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 35236), Cambridge, Mass, 39 S.
Abstract
"We propose a novel empirical strategy to infer the extent to which firm-worker matches are inspection or experience goods. We argue that the informative content of the signals that firms and workers receive about the productivity of their match before entering an employment relationship can be inferred from the gaps between the separation rates of workers hired from unemployment, employment at low-tenure jobs, and employment at high-tenure jobs. We implement the strategy using German administrative data. We find that, before entering an employment relationship, a firm and a worker receive a signal that reduces the variance of their beliefs about the productivity of the match by 67%. The informative content of the signal varies according to the gender and the education of the worker, and it has increased over time. If matches were pure inspection goods, labor productivity would be 1.5% higher, and output 2% higher. If matches were pure experience goods, labor productivity would be 2% lower, and output 4% lower." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
Ähnliche Treffer
auch erschienen als: Working Papers, 2026-009 -
Literaturhinweis
Matching for three: The search activities of workers, firms, and employment services (2026)
Zitatform
Hartl, Tobias, Christian Hutter & Enzo Weber (2026): Matching for three: The search activities of workers, firms, and employment services. In: Economic Modelling, Jg. 155, 2025-12-08. DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107434
Abstract
"The standard labour market matching function neglects a substantial variation of hirings. A crucial driver of this latent part is the search intensity of job seekers and firms, as well as the placement intensity of employment agencies. However, there is still a lack of integration of all three search and placement intensities into a unified theoretical framework. Their combined labour market effects have not been estimated so far. We feed all three intensities into the theoretical framework of a labour market matching function to estimate their impact on the job finding rate – effects which are not settled a priori. This could provide important stylised facts for subsequent theory building. For measuring the search and placement intensities, we use big data on online activity obtained from the job exchange of the German Federal Employment Agency and from its internal placement-software. The results show that all three intensities significantly contribute to the variation in job findings beyond vacancies and unemployment. During the COVID-19 crisis, reduced search intensities accounted for 44 percent of lost hirings and 16 percent of the labour market related increase in unemployment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 Elsevier) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Berufseinsteiger*innen im Fokus: Unternehmen setzen auf Soft Skills und Künstliche Intelligenz (2026)
Hennrich, Jonas; Schaller, Daria;Zitatform
Hennrich, Jonas & Daria Schaller (2026): Berufseinsteiger*innen im Fokus: Unternehmen setzen auf Soft Skills und Künstliche Intelligenz. In: Ifo-Schnelldienst, Jg. 79, H. 01, S. 77-84.
Abstract
"Das ifo Institut befragt in Zusammenarbeit mit Randstad Deutschland quartalsweise deutsche HR-Abteilungen zu personalpolitisch relevanten Themen. Neben wiederkehrenden Standardfragen standen im vierten Quartal Berufseinsteiger*innen und die Bedeutung von Berufserfahrung im Fokus. Etwa ein Drittel der Unternehmen sieht Berufserfahrung inzwischen als stärkeres Einstellungskriterium, während die Mehrheit keinen Bedeutungszuwachs beobachtet. Bei Einsteiger*innen zählen vor allem Kommunikations- und Teamfähigkeit, gefolgt von Selbstorganisation und Verantwortungsbewusstsein. Außerdem gewinnt Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) an Bedeutung: Viele Unternehmen planen, KI bei typischen Einsteigeraufgaben einzusetzen, einen großflächigen Ersatz von Mitarbeitenden erwarten jedoch nur wenige. Die meisten Betriebe planen, die Zahl der Einstiegsstellen stabil zu halten." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)
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Literaturhinweis
Strategic Wage Posting, Market Power, and Mismatch (2026)
Zitatform
Jungbauer, Thomas (2026): Strategic Wage Posting, Market Power, and Mismatch. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 44, H. 2, S. 481-514. DOI:10.1086/733046
Abstract
"This paper analyzes the effects of firms posting multiple but varying number of vacancies, hence differing in their market power, in professional labor markets. I find that strategic wage Posting does, in general, not result in an efficient assignment of workers to firms. This is because firms with a larger number of vacancies pay on average lower wages than their competitors due to alack of within-firm rivalry. If highly productive firms hire more, the resulting welfare loss dueto mismatch may be substantial. Moreover, I provide a potential explanation why firms postuniform wages, missing out on more-skilled workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Gender differences in job seekers’ access, activation, and returns to social capital (2026)
Zitatform
Krug, Gerhard (2026): Gender differences in job seekers’ access, activation, and returns to social capital. (SocArXiv papers), 23 S. DOI:10.31235/osf.io/sjym4_v1
Abstract
"Persistent gender inequalities in labor markets are often attributed to gendered differences in social capital and the use of social networks during job search. This study examines gender disparities in social capital among job seekers using eighteen waves of the German Panel Study Labour Market and Social Security (PASS) and a novel causal decomposition approach (Yu & Elwert 2025). We distinguish between access to social capital (available network resources), activation (received job search resources), and returns (outcomes such as wages, job satisfaction, and job interviews). While women in the general population have more limited access to weak ties and high-status contacts, these differences narrow substantially among active job seekers. Consistent with this pattern, women and men receive similar levels of network-based job search support. Crucially, we find no evidence of a gender-specific returns deficit in wages or job satisfaction and only limited evidence for job interviews. Overall, the findings suggest that gender inequalities in job search outcomes are not primarily driven by differential access to, activation of, or returns from social capital." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Teaching two-sided labor search theory to undergraduates: A model and some exercises (2026)
Loewy, Michael B.;Zitatform
Loewy, Michael B. (2026): Teaching two-sided labor search theory to undergraduates: A model and some exercises. In: The journal of economic education, Jg. 57, H. 1, S. 27-38. DOI:10.1080/00220485.2025.2549718
Abstract
"Although the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides (DMP) model originated roughly 40 years ago and its authors shared the 2010 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, their work is still absent from several recent editions of popular intermediate macroeconomics textbooks. In contrast, Stephen Williamson's textbook (2014, 2018) presents an early static version of the DMP model accessible to undergraduates. This article's author compensates for the topic's omission in some intermediate-level textbooks by discussing Williamson's static DMP model and presenting four additional exercises not covered in his main text: (1) a change in a vacancy's posting price; (2) an increase in workers' relative bargaining power; (3) the introduction of a minimum wage; and (4) the introduction of an endogenous unemployment insurance benefit. The latter exercise yields an interesting neutrality result." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Projecting Labour Market Imbalances and Skill Mismatch Under Demographic Change in the EU (2026)
Zitatform
Marois, Guillaume, Michaela Potancoková, Agnieszka Bezat & Jesús Crespo Cuaresma (2026): Projecting Labour Market Imbalances and Skill Mismatch Under Demographic Change in the EU. In: European Journal of Population, Jg. 42, H. 1. DOI:10.1007/s10680-025-09758-2
Abstract
"We assess long-term labour mismatches in the European Union (EU27) by projecting the occupational distribution of workers and skill-specific labour demand up to 2060. Using a dynamic microsimulation approach (Link4Skills-Mic ), we jointly model demographic, educational, and labour force dynamics at the individual level and combine country-specific projections of labour supply with projections of occupational demand. The analysis highlights growing imbalances: although the supply of highly educated workers continues to rise, shifts in demand are not evenly distributed across skill levels. Consequently, underutilization of high-skilled workers is projected to coexist with persistent vacancies in medium- and low-skilled occupations. Rather than indicating widespread labour shortages, these trends point to structural mismatches driven by the misalignment of worker qualifications, job characteristics, and hiring practices. To explore potential responses, we examine a series of policy scenarios such as expanded immigration, education reform, mid-career retraining, delayed retirement, and employer-led automation and upskilling. The findings show that, while certain policies can reduce specific mismatches, no single intervention closes all the gaps that emerge. Notably, automation reduces vacancies but increases underutilization, whereas human capital strategies shift mismatches across skill levels. These results suggest that addressing future labour mismatches will require coordinated, comprehensive and varied strategies that integrate demographic realities with evolving job demands in Europe’s ageing and increasingly digitalized and knowledge-based economies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Machine learning for labor market matching (2026)
Zitatform
Mühlbauer, Sabrina & Enzo Weber (2026): Machine learning for labor market matching. In: Machine learning with applications, Jg. 23, 2026-02-03. DOI:10.1016/j.mlwa.2026.100861
Abstract
"This paper develops a large-scale machine learning framework to improve labor market matching using rich administrative data. Matching is defined as a job seeker entering employment in a specific occupational field. We exploit comprehensive employment biographies from Germany, covering individual characteristics and job-related information, to estimate employment probabilities across occupations and generate personalized job recommendations. The contribution lies in demonstrating why machine learning methods are particularly well suited for administrative labor market data and outperform traditional statistical approaches. We compare logit, ordinary least squares (OLS), k-nearest neighbors, and random forest (RF). RF consistently achieves the highest predictive performance. Its advantage is rooted in key methodological properties: RF builds an ensemble of decision trees trained on bootstrap samples, introduces random feature selection at each split, and aggregates predictions through majority voting. This enables RF to capture nonlinear relationships and complex interactions, remain robust in high-dimensional settings, and reduce overfitting — features that are particularly relevant for heterogeneous and imbalanced administrative data. Compared to conventional models, RF better exploits the full informational content of employment histories, especially when estimating on all employment spells rather than restricting the sample to unemployment-to-employment transitions. The sample comprises approximately 55 million spells, representing about 6 percent of the German workforce from 2012 to 2018. Our results suggest that ML-based matching, relative to standard statistical approaches, could hypothetically reduce the unemployment rate by up to 0.3 percentage points, highlighting the practical relevance of RF-based decision support for labor market policy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))
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Literaturhinweis
Grundsicherung: Die wahrgenommenen Erfolgsaussichten nehmen mit zunehmender Dauer der Arbeitsuche ab (2026)
Zitatform
Schmidtke, Julia (2026): Grundsicherung: Die wahrgenommenen Erfolgsaussichten nehmen mit zunehmender Dauer der Arbeitsuche ab. In: IAB-Forum H. 20.07.2026. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20260720.01
Abstract
"Eine aktuelle IAB-Befragung zeigt: 63 Prozent derjenigen, die im Frühjahr 2025 Bürgergeld bezogen hatten und mindestens ein Jahr auf Arbeitsuche waren, führten in den letzten vier Wochen vor der Befragung keine Bewerbungsgespräche. Bei denjenigen, die weniger als ein Jahr arbeitsuchend waren, war dieser Anteil mit 45 Prozent deutlich niedriger. Dabei unterscheidet sich die Zahl der Bewerbungen selbst nur moderat." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)
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Literaturhinweis
The Impact of Higher Education on Employer Perceptions (2026)
Zitatform
Stans, Renske, Laura Ehrmantraut, Malin Siemers & Pia Pinger (2026): The Impact of Higher Education on Employer Perceptions. In: The Economic Journal, Jg. 136, H. 674, S. 602-625. DOI:10.1093/ej/ueaf061
Abstract
"Do employers seek to attract individuals with more education because it enhances human capital or because it signals higher levels of pre-existing traits? We experimentally vary master’s degree completion rates on applicant résumés and examine how this influences candidates’ desirability and employer perceptions of their productive characteristics. Our findings show that while a completed master’s degree increases desirability, an incomplete master’s degree is perceived by human resource managers as less favorable than a bachelor’s degree. This suggests that employersprefer candidates with higher education mainly because they view the degree as a signal of pre-existing productive traits. Consistent with this, employers perceive both cognitive and non-cognitive traits as stronger in master graduates but non-cognitive traits as weaker in master dropouts compared to bachelor’s degree holders. Overall, perceived cognitiveand non-cognitive traits play a larger role in determining a candidate ’s attractiveness than expertise. This paper thus provides causal evidence on the origins of the education premium." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))