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matching – Suchprozesse am Arbeitsmarkt

Offene Stellen bei gleichzeitiger Arbeitslosigkeit - was Arbeitsmarkttheorien u. a. mit "unvollkommener Information" begründen, ist für Unternehmen und Arbeitsuchende oft nur schwer nachzuvollziehen: Unternehmen können freie Stellen nicht besetzen, trotzdem finden Arbeitsuchende nur schwer den passenden Job. Wie gestalten sich die Suchprozesse bei Unternehmen und Arbeitsuchenden, welche Konzessionen sind beide Seiten bereit einzugehen, wie lässt sich das "matching" verbessern?
Diese Infoplattform bietet wissenschaftliche Literatur zur theoretischen und empirischen Auseinandersetzung mit dem Thema.

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Auszubildende über Social Media finden (2025)

    Arndt, Franziska; Herzer, Philip; Risius, Paula;

    Zitatform

    Arndt, Franziska, Philip Herzer & Paula Risius (2025): Auszubildende über Social Media finden. (KOFA kompakt / Kompetenzzentrum Fachkräftesicherung 2025,01), Köln, 6 S.

    Abstract

    "Die Lage am Ausbildungsmarkt ist angespannt: Viele Unternehmen können ihre Ausbildungsplätze nicht besetzen, während gleichzeitig zahlreiche Jugendliche ohne Ausbildungsplatz bleiben. Um diese Passungsprobleme zu überwinden, ist es wichtig, dass Unternehmen ihre Ausbildungsplätze dort bewerben, wo Jugendliche suchen. Besonders wichtig sind für Jugendliche Online-Stellenanzeigen und die Vermittlungsangebote der Bundesagentur für Arbeit. An dritter Stelle stehen Social-Media-Kanäle. Die passgenaue Auswahl von Social-Media-Kanälen und -Inhalten kann Unternehmen somit näher an Jugendliche bringen. Doch: Während Jugendliche vor allem über Instagram, YouTube und WhatsApp suchen, nutzen Unternehmen neben Instagram eher Facebook, LinkedIn und Xing. Gerade Facebook ist für Jugendliche jedoch kaum relevant. Die direkte Ansprache von Jugendlichen mit Haupt- und Realschulabschluss bietet besonders großes Potenzial, denn es zeigt sich, dass Haupt- und Realschüler:innen anders suchen als Abiturient:innen: Haupt- und Realschüler:innen nutzen neben Online-Stellenanzeigen besonders analoge Formate. In den sozialen Medien nutzen sie vorwiegend Instagram, WhatsApp und YouTube." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Overeducation, performance pay and wages: evidence from Germany (2025)

    Baktash, Mehrzad B. ;

    Zitatform

    Baktash, Mehrzad B. (2025): Overeducation, performance pay and wages: evidence from Germany. In: Education Economics, S. 1-21. DOI:10.1080/09645292.2025.2546445

    Abstract

    "Overeducated workers are more productive and have higher wages in comparison to their adequately educated coworkers in the same jobs. However, they have lower wages than their similarly educated peers who are in correctly matched jobs. This study examines the hypotheses that overeducated workers sort into performance pay jobs as an adjustment mechanism and that performance pay enhances their wages. Using the SOEP, I show that overeducation associates with a higher likelihood of sorting into performance pay jobs and that performance pay significantly improves the wages of overeducated workers. The findings hold in endogenous switching regressions and several robustness checks." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Gendered Job Search: An Analysis of Gender Differences in Reservation Wages and Job Applications (2025)

    Basbug, Gokce ; Fernandez, Roberto M.;

    Zitatform

    Basbug, Gokce & Roberto M. Fernandez (2025): Gendered Job Search: An Analysis of Gender Differences in Reservation Wages and Job Applications. In: ILR review, Jg. 78, H. 1, S. 217-239. DOI:10.1177/00197939241298623

    Abstract

    "Using a weekly survey of unemployed workers, this study examines gender differences in reservation wages and applied-for occupational categories. The analysis shows that a large portion of the gender difference in reservation wages is attributable to the fact that women and men search for different occupations. Findings further demonstrate that women are more likely to apply to occupations with higher percentages of female incumbents, and they target these occupations from the earlier stages of their job search, rather than adjusting their preferences over the course of unemployment. Further analysis shows that women are more likely to apply for occupational categories that offer greater flexibility in working hours, more opportunities for interpersonal interactions, less critical decision-making, and a less competitive environment. Finally, the analysis reveals that household responsibilities, particularly the number of children, and willingness to take risks are important factors influencing women’s decisions to pursue occupations with less demanding work hours." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    When an Accountant Becomes a Taxi Driver: Unemployment, Labor Market Institutions, and Economic Theory (2025)

    Benanav, Aaron;

    Zitatform

    Benanav, Aaron (2025): When an Accountant Becomes a Taxi Driver: Unemployment, Labor Market Institutions, and Economic Theory. In: History of political economy. DOI:10.1215/00182702-12134470

    Abstract

    "This article reconstructs the history of how economists came to understand unemployment as a distinct category and how that understanding transformed over time. In the early twentieth century, governments regulated access to unemployment benefits and established labor market protections, drawing sharper boundaries between employment and unemployment. Historians have shown that these boundaries were politically constructed, but economic theory largely treated them as given. Postwar Keynesian models assumed that unemployment was a temporary and measurable condition between spells of stable, high-wage work. However, that assumption rested on a historically specific labor market structure that began to unravel in the 1970s and 1980s. As stable jobs contracted, more workers cycled through precarious employment rather than remaining fully unemployed or finding new stable work. Economic theory responded with new models focused on individual incentives and firm behavior, but these also tended to treat emerging patterns as evidence of how unemployment had always functioned, rather than as signs of a shifting institutional landscape. By tracing how the category of unemployment was constructed and transformed—and how economists responded to those shifts—this article shows how changes in institutional context shape the development of economic thought itself." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Job Applications and Labor Market Flows (2025)

    Birinci, Serdar ; Wee, Shu Lin; See, Kurt;

    Zitatform

    Birinci, Serdar, Kurt See & Shu Lin Wee (2025): Job Applications and Labor Market Flows. In: The Review of Economic Studies, Jg. 92, H. 3, S. 1438-1496. DOI:10.1093/restud/rdae064

    Abstract

    "Job applications have risen over time, yet job-finding rates remain unchanged. Meanwhile, separations have declined. We argue that increased applications raise the probability of a good match rather than the probability of job-finding. Using a search model with multiple applications and costly information, we show that when applications increase, firms invest in identifying good matches, reducing separations. Concurrently, increased congestion and selectivity over which offer to accept temper increases in job-finding rates. Our framework contains testable implications for changes in offers, acceptances, reservation wages, applicants per vacancy, and tenure, objects that enable it to generate the trends in unemployment flows." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Hiring opportunities for new firms and the business cycle (2025)

    Brixy, Udo ; Murmann, Martin ;

    Zitatform

    Brixy, Udo & Martin Murmann (2025): Hiring opportunities for new firms and the business cycle. In: Small business economics, Jg. 64, H. 3, S. 1387-1413., 2024-06-24. DOI:10.1007/s11187-024-00948-6

    Abstract

    "Whether firms founded during or outside economic crises have greater growth potential is an important question for both prospective entrepreneurs and policy makers. Existing research offers conflicting answers, and mostly either focuses on aggregate cohort-level effects or selectively excludes small new firms from the analyses. Using extensive linked employer-employee data on young German firms around and during the Global Financial Crisis, a period of sharply reduced access to external capital and recession, we show that young firms respond to cyclical conditions in highly heterogeneous ways. Our firm-level results reveal that the average new firm found it easier to hire its first employees when it was founded during the crisis. These firms achieved countercyclical growth by hiring career entrants. More specifically, hiring in very young (<1.5 years) and small to medium-sized (below the 90th percentile) young firms was countercyclical, while this was not the case for older and larger young firms. Thus, the firm-specific effects for young entrepreneurial firms may be very different from those reported in previous research. Our results suggest that market entry during a crisis may facilitate hiring and that policies that promote entrepreneurship may usefully complement policies that encourage labor hoarding by incumbents during recessions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Brixy, Udo ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Job search under changing labour taxes (2025)

    Bryson, Alex ; Dale-Olsen, Harald ;

    Zitatform

    Bryson, Alex & Harald Dale-Olsen (2025): Job search under changing labour taxes. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 95. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102750

    Abstract

    "Workers’ job mobility decisions are related to firms’ wage policies but also depend on tax schedules. Using Norwegian population-wide administrative linked employer-employee data for 2010–2019, we study how the job-to-job turnover of employees is affected by marginal taxes and firms’ pay policies, thus drawing inferences on job search behaviour. By paying higher wages, job-to-job separation rates drop, but this negative relationship is weakened when income taxes increase, consistent with higher taxes reducing search activity. However, consistent with theory, the tax effect is smaller where workers receive performance bonuses." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Analysepotenziale von OnlineStellenanzeigen und Methoden Maschinellen Lernens am Beispiel der Mindestlohnforschung: Hat der Mindestlohn die Nachfrage von Kompetenzen durch Arbeitgeber verändert? (2025)

    Busch, Anne; Krieger, Benedikt; Krusee, Sebastian; Goluchowicz, Kerstin; Baumann, Fabienne-Agnes;

    Zitatform

    Busch, Anne, Fabienne-Agnes Baumann, Benedikt Krieger, Kerstin Goluchowicz & Sebastian Krusee (2025): Analysepotenziale von OnlineStellenanzeigen und Methoden Maschinellen Lernens am Beispiel der Mindestlohnforschung. Hat der Mindestlohn die Nachfrage von Kompetenzen durch Arbeitgeber verändert? (iit Perspektive / Institut für Innovation und Technik 80), Berlin, 17 S. DOI:10.23776/2025_09

    Abstract

    "Diese iit-perspektive beleuchtet das Potenzial innovativer Datenzugänge (Online-Stellenanzeigen) und Analysemethoden (Methoden des maschinellen Lernens) für sozialwissenschaftliche Fragestellungen am Beispiel der Mindestlohnforschung. So ist es mit Online-Stellenanzeigen als Datengrundlage beispielsweise möglich zu untersuchen, inwieweit die Einführung bzw. Erhöhung des Mindestlohns die von Arbeitgebern geforderten beruflichen Kompetenzen verändert hat." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Essays on Wages and Minimum Wages in Frictional Labor Markets (2025)

    Börschlein, Erik-Benjamin;

    Zitatform

    Börschlein, Erik-Benjamin (2025): Essays on Wages and Minimum Wages in Frictional Labor Markets. 237 S. DOI:10.5283/epub.76880

    Abstract

    "In Deutschland ist das Zusammenspiel zwischen Löhnen und institutionellen sowie marktbedingten Friktionen ein zentrales Thema wirtschaftspolitischer Debatten. Diese Dissertation untersucht in drei empirischen Studien kausale Zusammenhänge zwischen Löhnen und Mindestlöhnen, Matchingfriktionen und Arbeitsmarktanspannung. Die Analysen basieren auf umfangreichen administrativen Daten der Bundesagentur für Arbeit und nutzen fortgeschrittene ökonometrische Methoden zur kausalen Inferenz. Die ersten beiden Kapitel betrachten institutionelle Effekte – insbesondere die Einführung des gesetzlichen Mindestlohns im Jahr 2015 – während das dritte Kapitel den Fokus auf veränderte Marktbedingungen legt, insbesondere den zunehmenden Fachkräftemangel. Ziel ist es, die Wirkungsmechanismen zwischen Löhnen und Arbeitsmarktfriktionen differenziert darzustellen. Kapitel 1 Dieses Kapitel entwickelt einen innovativen Machine-Learning-Ansatz zur verbesserten Schätzung langfristiger Lohneffekte des Mindestlohns. Übliche Studien basieren auf einem fixen Pre-Treatment-Indikator („Bite“), basierend auf Löhnen vor der Politikmaßnahme, der die Betroffenheit von der Mindestlohneinführung nur kurzfristig akkurat abbildet. Um langfristige dynamische Veränderungen zu erfassen, werden hier ein zeitvariable Bite-Indikatoren mittels LASSO-basierter Vorhersagemodelle konstruiert, welche die Inzidenz und die Intensität der Mindestlohnbetroffenheit abbilden. Basierend auf administrativen Daten der Jahre 2010–2014 wird die Mindestlohnbetroffenheit für den Zeitraum 2015–2020 vorhergesagt. In der anschließenden Differenz-von-Differenzen-Analyse zeigen sich signifikant positive Lohneffekte, die im Vergleich zu herkömmlichen Methoden jedoch geringer ausfallen und über die Zeit konstant bleiben. Die Ergebnisse deuten darauf hin, dass traditionelle Evaluierungen die Effekte überschätzen könnten, da sie dynamische Selektionseffekte und mindestlohnunabhängige Lohnentwicklungen nicht ausreichend berücksichtigen. Kapitel 2 In diesem Kapitel wird untersucht, wie sich die Einführung des Mindestlohns auf offene Stellen und damit verbundene Friktionen im Matching-Prozess ausgewirkt hat. Die Analyse basiert auf administrativen Vakanzdaten und Erwerbsbiographien. Die Analyse erfolgt auf der Berufsebenen für den Zeitraum 2013–2019 und nutzt ein Differenz-von-Differenzen-Design. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass die Anzahl neu gemeldeter Stellen durch die Mindestlohneinführung insgesamt nicht zurückging. Jedoch stieg der Anteil stornierter Vakanzen um 4–9 Prozent, und die Dauer erfolgreicher Besetzungsprozesse erhöhte sich um 5–6 Prozent. Dies deutet auf verstärkte Such- und Matchingfriktionen hin, etwa durch höhere Einstellungsstandards oder reduzierte berufliche Mobilität. Ergänzende Analysen zeigen geringere Übergänge zwischen Arbeitgebern, insbesondere bei Berufswechseln. Somit wird deutlich, dass die Mindestlohneinführung zwar nur geringe Auswirkungen auf die Beschäftigung hatte, aber dennoch Matchingprozesse erheblich beeinflusst hat. Kapitel 3 Dieses Kapitel wechselt die Perspektive und untersucht, wie zunehmende Arbeitsmarktanspannung – gemessen als Verhältnis von offenen Stellen zu Arbeitssuchenden – die Lohnentwicklung beeinflusst hat. Mithilfe eines Leave-One-Out-Instruments wird der kausale Effekt lokaler Arbeitsmarktanspannung in beruflichen Arbeitsmärkten auf Löhne geschätzt. Die Ergebnisse zeigen moderate, aber signifikant positive Lohneffekte, die etwa 7–19 Prozent des realen Lohnwachstums in Deutschland zwischen 2012 und 2022 erklären. Besonders stark profitieren neu Eingestellte, Hochqualifizierte, Beschäftigte im Dienstleistungssektor und Arbeitnehmer in Ostdeutschland. Zudem steigt der Lohn in Niedriglohnunternehmen überdurchschnittlich stark, was auf eine Verringerung der Lohnungleichheit hindeutet. Im Gesamtfazit werden die Erkenntnisse der drei Studien zusammengeführt. Die Arbeit zeigt, wie institutionelle Eingriffe wie der Mindestlohn einerseits Löhne anheben, gleichzeitig aber neue Friktionen erzeugen können. Andererseits können veränderte Marktbedingungen auch ohne staatliche Eingriffe Löhne steigern – wie etwa bei hoher Arbeitsmarktanspannung. Methodisch hebt die Dissertation die Bedeutung administrativer Mikrodaten und robuster kausaler Analyseverfahren in der Arbeitsmarktforschung hervor." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Börschlein, Erik-Benjamin;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Search, Screening, and Sorting (2025)

    Cai, Xiaoming ; Wolthoff, Ronald; Gautier, Pieter;

    Zitatform

    Cai, Xiaoming, Pieter Gautier & Ronald Wolthoff (2025): Search, Screening, and Sorting. In: American Economic Journal. Macroeconomics, Jg. 17, H. 3, S. 205-236. DOI:10.1257/mac.20240026

    Abstract

    "We examine how search frictions impact labor market sorting by constructing a model consistent with evidence that employers interview a subset of a pool of applicants. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for sorting in applications and matches. Positive sorting is obtained when production complementarities outweigh a counterforce measured by a (novel) quality-quantity elasticity. Interestingly, the threshold for the complementarities depends on the fraction of high-type workers and can be increasing in the number of interviews. Our model shows how policies like Ban the Box can backfire because when screening workers becomes harder, firms may discourage certain workers from applying." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Firm Pay and Worker Search (2025)

    Caldwell, Sydnee; Haegele, Ingrid; Heining, Jörg;

    Zitatform

    Caldwell, Sydnee, Ingrid Haegele & Jörg Heining (2025): Firm Pay and Worker Search. (IAB-Discussion Paper 04/2025), Nürnberg, 141 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.DP.2504

    Abstract

    "Ob und wie Arbeitnehmer am Arbeitsplatz suchen, hängt von ihren Vorstellungen über die Bezahlung und die Arbeitsbedingungen in anderen Unternehmen ab. Dennoch ist wenig darüber bekannt, wie viel Arbeitnehmer tatsächlich über die Arbeitsentgelte außerhalb ihrer aktuellen Beschäftigung Bescheid wissen. Wir nutzen eine groß angelegte Umfrage unter deutschen Vollzeitbeschäftigten, welche mit Sozialversicherungsdaten verknüpft wurde, um Gehaltserwartungen und Präferenzen gegenüber bestimmten externen Unternehmen zu ermitteln. Arbeitnehmer glauben, dass sie mit erheblicher Heterogenität hinsichtlich der Vergütung bei anderen Unternehmen konfrontiert sind und richten ihre Suche nach einem neuen Arbeitsplatz auf Unternehmen aus, von denen sie ausgehen, dass diese mehr bezahlen. Die von den Arbeitnehmern erwarteten unternehmensspezifischen Lohnaufschläge korrelieren sowohl stark mit den Vergütungsschemata, die sich anhand von administrativen Daten zeigen, als auch mit der Würdigung von firmenspezifischer Annehmlichkeiten. Die meisten Arbeiter sind auch bei einer erheblichen Erhöhung des Gehalts nicht bereit, sich einen neuen Job zu suchen – oder ihr derzeitiges Unternehmen zu verlassen. Die Kosten eines Jobwechsel betragen zwischen 7 und 18 Prozent des Jahreslohns eines Arbeitnehmers. Die Zugehörigkeit zu einem Arbeitgeber variiert je nach Arbeitgeber und kann nicht anhand von Unterschieden in firmenspezifischen Annehmlichkeiten oder den Kosten des Jobwechsels erklärt werden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Heining, Jörg;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Is labor matching effectiveness dependent on education level, age or gender? (2025)

    Cheregi, Valentina Ioana ;

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    Cheregi, Valentina Ioana (2025): Is labor matching effectiveness dependent on education level, age or gender? In: Baltic journal of economics, Jg. 25, H. 1, S. 1-20. DOI:10.1080/1406099x.2024.2442841

    Abstract

    "This paper explores the role of employment pool composition on labor matching effectiveness in ten Central and Eastern European countries from 2005 to 2023. We control for the structure of the labor force in terms of education, age, and gender. The results point towards a significant impact of labor force structure on labor market outcomes. In particular, an improvement in labor matching is associated with a larger share of the labor force with advanced education. In contrast, the opposite is true for the share of women and younger persons in the labor force. The results are robust to different specifications of the model when we control for the role of institutional factors in regulating national labor markets. From a policy perspective, this study highlights the need for targeted policies to increase the efficiency of the matching process aimed at specific structures of the labor force." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Marshallian agglomeration, labour pooling and skills matching (2025)

    Corradini, Carlo ; Vanino, Enrico ; Morris, David ;

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    Corradini, Carlo, David Morris & Enrico Vanino (2025): Marshallian agglomeration, labour pooling and skills matching. In: Cambridge Journal of Economics, Jg. 49, H. 3, S. 527-557. DOI:10.1093/cje/beaf010

    Abstract

    "Better skills matching has long been proposed as one of the key advantages of agglomeration economies. Yet, support for this improved matching has remained largely founded upon indirect proxies for skills such as wages and education. This paper contributes to the literature by offering novel empirical evidence on the relationship between specific measures of localised skills deficiencies and agglomeration economies, in the form of industrial density. Developing an instrumental variable approach and controlling for unobserved heterogeneity and other region-industry idiosyncratic effects across a panel dataset for the period 2009–2019 in England and Wales, our analysis reveals a positive effect of agglomeration economies in reducing both skills gaps within the employed workforce and skills shortages in the labour market external to the firm. We consider these findings in the context of persistent regional imbalances and the importance of strengthening skills provision within current regional industrial strategies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Recruiting Intensity, Hires, and Vacancies: Evidence from Firm-Level Data (2025)

    Forsythe, Eliza ; Weinstein, Russell ;

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    Forsythe, Eliza & Russell Weinstein (2025): Recruiting Intensity, Hires, and Vacancies: Evidence from Firm-Level Data. In: The Economic Journal, Jg. 135, H. 669, S. 1734-1748. DOI:10.1093/ej/ueaf002

    Abstract

    "We investigate employer recruiting behaviour, using detailed firm-level data from a national survey of employers hiring recent college graduates. We find this behaviour is responsive to the business cycle, beliefs about labour market tightness, and the intended number of hires. Specifically, employers adjust planned recruiting effort and compensation. We then show that when firms expend greater recruiting effort they ultimately hire more individuals per vacancy. These results suggest that when firms want to increase hires they adjust both the quantity of vacancies and the recruiting intensity per vacancy. If this is true more broadly in the labour market, it may help explain the breakdown in the standard matching function during the Great Recession." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Output costs of education and skill mismatch in OECD countries (2025)

    Garibaldi, Pietro ; Sopraseuth, Thepthida ; Gomes, Pedro ;

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    Garibaldi, Pietro, Pedro Gomes & Thepthida Sopraseuth (2025): Output costs of education and skill mismatch in OECD countries. In: Economics Letters, Jg. 250. DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112278

    Abstract

    "We quantify the output costs of education and skills mismatch for 17 OECD economies, using a calibrated model of vertical mismatch. Eliminating the frictions generating mismatch would raise output by 3% to 4% on average, varying between 0.5% to 9% across countries. Although the education and skill mismatch measures are constructed using different methods and differ in size, the output costs are similar between the two measures." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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    This time it’s different – Generative artificial intelligence and occupational choice (2025)

    Goller, Daniel ; Gschwendt, Christian ; Wolter, Stefan C. ;

    Zitatform

    Goller, Daniel, Christian Gschwendt & Stefan C. Wolter (2025): This time it’s different – Generative artificial intelligence and occupational choice. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 95. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102746

    Abstract

    "We show the causal influence of the launch of generative artificial intelligence (AI) in the form of ChatGPT on the search behavior of young people for apprenticeship vacancies. To estimate the short- and medium-term effects, we use a variety of methods, including a difference-in-discontinuity approach exploiting the exogenous nature of the unanticipated launch of ChatGPT in 2022. There is a strong short- and medium-term decline in the intensity of searches for vacancies, indicating a notable reduction in the supply of young people actively seeking apprenticeships and suggesting great uncertainty among the affected cohort. Occupations with a high proportion of cognitive tasks and with high demands on language skills were particularly affected by the decline. Interestingly, the revealed preferences in the search behavior of young job seekers contrasted with previous expert assessments on the automation risks of occupations and aligned with the most recent assessments of the AI and language model exposure of occupations – before these new assessments existed. Notably, while the supply decline did not reduce the number of signed apprenticeship contracts, we find evidence of declining applicant quality, particularly for commercial employees, the most widely offered apprenticeship in Switzerland." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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    Estimation of the wage offer distribution using both accepted and rejected offers (2025)

    Guo, Junjie ;

    Zitatform

    Guo, Junjie (2025): Estimation of the wage offer distribution using both accepted and rejected offers. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 96. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102756

    Abstract

    "This paper estimates the wage offer distribution using workers who received multiple offers in a short period of time, including both accepted and rejected offers. We show that, after accounting for worker heterogeneity and measurement error, each wage offer is a random draw from the same distribution, and a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 0.137 is consistent with data. The dispersion is smaller than most estimates in the literature, increasing in the unemployment rate for workers without a bachelor’s degree, but not significantly related to a worker’s age or employment status." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 Elsevier B.V. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Labor Market Monopsony: Fundamentals and Frontiers (2025)

    Kline, Patrick;

    Zitatform

    Kline, Patrick (2025): Labor Market Monopsony: Fundamentals and Frontiers. (RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 2025,36), Berlin, 82 S.

    Abstract

    "This chapter reviews the theory of monopsonistic wage setting, its empirical implications, and some puzzles the framework has struggled to explain. We begin by examining the fundamentals of monopsonistic wage determination. The core of the theory is a mapping from the distribution of worker outside options to wages. We study non-parametric shape restrictions that ensure this mapping is unique. Building on these results, we introduce a menu of tractable parametrizations of labor supply to the firm, some of which are shown to emerge naturally from equilibrium search models. Next, we review why wage markdowns do not necessarily signal inefficiency and discuss some criteria for assessing misallocation in a monopsony model with search frictions. Turning to the model’s empirical implications, we examine how the magnitude of productivity-wage passthrough depends on the super-elasticity of labor supply to the firm and establish that compensating differentials for firm amenities depend on the curvature of the outside option distribution. We show that firm-specific shifts in either productivity or amenities can be used as instruments to identify labor supply elasticities and review strategies for estimating non-constant elasticities. We then consider extensions of the basic model involving third-degree wage discrimination and examine their ability to rationalize patterns of worker-firm sorting. Monopsony models traditionally assume that firms commit to posted wages. Relaxing this assumption, we develop a connection between the first-order conditions of the monopsony model and models of bargaining with incomplete information. These models explain why bilateral inefficiencies may persist in the presence of negotiation, yield predictions about the response of within-firm wage dispersion to productivity shocks, and suggest reasons why some productivity shifters may not constitute excludable instruments. Next, we endogenize productivity by allowing for efficiency wages, non-constant returns to scale, and price-cost markups. Empirical monopsony estimates often suggest that firms enjoy implausibly large profit margins. We argue that allowing for non-constant labor supply elasticities and firm adjustment costs can potentially resolve this difficulty. Finally, we review why the strong passthrough of minimum wages to product prices presents a challenging puzzle for standard monopsony models and discuss potential reconciliations to this puzzle involving firm heterogeneity, quality upgrading, and lumpy price adjustment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Search and multiple jobholding (2025)

    Lalé, Etienne ;

    Zitatform

    Lalé, Etienne (2025): Search and multiple jobholding. In: Economic Theory. DOI:10.1007/s00199-025-01647-3

    Abstract

    "This paper develops an equilibrium model of the labor market that incorporates hours worked, off- and on-the-job search, and both single and multiple jobholders. Central to the model’s mechanism is that taking on a second job ties the worker to her primary employer, while simultaneously providing the worker with a stronger outside option when bargaining with the secondary employer. The model quantitatively accounts for both the incidence of multiple jobholding and worker flows in and out of second jobs. It also sheds light on how multiple jobholding shapes outcomes that are typically the focus of search models. Multiple jobholding has opposing effects on job-to-job transitions, which largely offset each other. At the same time, the option of holding second jobs extends the survival of a worker’s main job, thereby reducing job separations and increasing the employment rate. These findings have significant implications for calibrating standard search models that ignore multiple jobholding." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Gender-Specific Application Behaviour, Matching, and the Residual Gender Earnings Gap (2025)

    Lochner, Benjamin ; Merkl, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Lochner, Benjamin & Christian Merkl (2025): Gender-Specific Application Behaviour, Matching, and the Residual Gender Earnings Gap. (CESifo working paper 11813), München, 35 S., Anhang.

    Abstract

    "This paper examines how gender-specific application behaviour, firms’ hiring practices, and flexibility demands relate to the gender earnings gap, using linked data from the German Job Vacancy Survey and administrative records. Women are less likely than men to apply to high-wage firms with high flexibility requirements, although their hiring chances are similar when they do. We show that compensating differentials for firms’ flexibility demands help explain the residual gender earnings gap. Among women, mothers experience the largest earnings penalties relative to men in jobs with high flexibility requirements." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Lochner, Benjamin ;
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    Teaching two-sided labor search theory to undergraduates: A model and some exercises (2025)

    Loewy, Michael B.;

    Zitatform

    Loewy, Michael B. (2025): Teaching two-sided labor search theory to undergraduates: A model and some exercises. In: The journal of economic education, S. 1-12. DOI:10.1080/00220485.2025.2549718

    Abstract

    "Although the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides (DMP) model originated roughly 40 years ago and its authors shared the 2010 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, their work is still absent from several recent editions of popular intermediate macroeconomics textbooks. In contrast, Stephen Williamson's textbook (2014, 2018) presents an early static version of the DMP model accessible to undergraduates. This article's author compensates for the topic's omission in some intermediate-level textbooks by discussing Williamson's static DMP model and presenting four additional exercises not covered in his main text: (1) a change in a vacancy's posting price; (2) an increase in workers' relative bargaining power; (3) the introduction of a minimum wage; and (4) the introduction of an endogenous unemployment insurance benefit. The latter exercise yields an interesting neutrality result." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The Immobile Incumbent Problem in a Model of Short-Term Wage-Posting (2025)

    Manning, Alan ;

    Zitatform

    Manning, Alan (2025): The Immobile Incumbent Problem in a Model of Short-Term Wage-Posting. In: German Economic Review, S. 1-46. DOI:10.1515/ger-2024-0127

    Abstract

    "This paper takes the canonical Burdett-Mortensen model of wage-posting and relaxes the assumption that wages are set once-for-all, instead assuming they can only be committed one period at a time. It derives a closed-form solution for a steady-state Markov Rank-Preserving Equilibrium and shows how this relates to the canonical model and performs some comparative statics on it. But it is shown that a Rank-Preserving Equilibrium may fail to exist because employers have more monopsony power over existing workers than new recruits and that this non-existence can be a problem for plausible parameter values. It is shown how a Rank-Inverting Equilibrium may exist. It is argued that this problem is likely to occur in a wide range of search models." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Fiscal tightening and skills mismatch (2025)

    Mavrigiannakis, Konstantinos; Vella, Eugenia ; Vasilatos, Andreas;

    Zitatform

    Mavrigiannakis, Konstantinos, Andreas Vasilatos & Eugenia Vella (2025): Fiscal tightening and skills mismatch. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 174. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.104984

    Abstract

    "The paper establishes a new link between fiscal tightening and the vertical skills mismatch rate, defined as the share of over-qualified workers. Using cross-country evidence for Europe, we show that fiscal tightening can increase skills mismatch. We then introduce the latter in a DSGE model with heterogeneous households, capital-skill complementarity (CSC) and labor frictions. We calibrate the model for Greece, where the over-qualification rate exceeds one-third. A fiscal tightening shock raises the mismatch rate in the model, in line also with SVAR analysis. Skills mismatch can act as a buffer for high-skilled workers during recessions induced by tax shocks and is more counter-cyclical when CSC is weak. We also use the model to conduct welfare and policy analyses." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 Elsevier B.V. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Beschäftigungsaufnahmen von Personen in der Grundsicherung: Entfernung zwischen bisherigem Wohnort und Arbeitsort (2025)

    Mense, Andreas ; Wolf, Katja;

    Zitatform

    Mense, Andreas & Katja Wolf (2025): Beschäftigungsaufnahmen von Personen in der Grundsicherung: Entfernung zwischen bisherigem Wohnort und Arbeitsort. (IAB-Forschungsbericht 16/2025), Nürnberg, 26 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FB.2516

    Abstract

    "Vor dem Hintergrund aktueller Reformüberlegungen zur Zumutbarkeit von Arbeit nach § 10 SGB II untersucht dieser Forschungsbericht, welche Entfernungen zwischen Wohnort und Arbeitsort bei Beschäftigungsaufnahmen von Personen im Grundsicherungsbezug typischerweise auftreten. Im Fokus stehen dabei systematische Unterschiede nach Personengruppen. Grundlage der Analysen sind administrative Daten aus den Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien (IEB) und der Leistungshistorik Grundsicherung (LHG) für das Jahr 2022. Untersucht werden erwerbsfähige Leistungsberechtigte im SGB II, die aus dem Grundsicherungsbezug heraus eine sozialversicherungspflichtige Beschäftigung aufgenommen haben. Ergänzend werden Befragungsdaten aus der ersten Welle des Online-Panel for Labour Market Research (OPAL) des IAB verwendet, um das beobachtete Verhalten mit den Selbstangaben von Grundsicherungsbeziehenden zu ihrem Arbeitssuchverhalten abzugleichen. Die Mehrheit nimmt eine Beschäftigung in Wohnortnähe auf. In 69 Prozent der Fälle liegt der Arbeitsort weniger als 15 km entfernt, in 17 Prozent zwischen 15 und 50 km. Gleichzeitig nimmt ein nicht unerheblicher Anteil auch größere Distanzen in Kauf: In 8,7 % der Fälle liegt der neue Arbeitsort mehr als 100 km vom bisherigen Wohnort entfernt. Die durchschnittliche Entfernung variiert deutlich zwischen unterschiedlichen Personengruppen. Alleinerziehende, Eltern minderjähriger Kinder, Ältere sowie Personen mit gesundheitlichen Einschränkungen nehmen im Mittel kürzere Distanzen in Kauf. Auch Teilzeitbeschäftigte verbleiben häufiger in der Nähe ihres bisherigen Wohnorts. Umgekehrt nehmen junge, alleinstehende oder hochqualifizierte Personen im Mittel Arbeitsstellen in durchschnittlich größerer Entfernung an. Ähnliche Unterschiede zeigen sich auch bei der Wahrscheinlichkeit, eine Beschäftigung in mehr als 100 km Entfernung aufzunehmen. Die meisten dürften dafür umziehen. Die Analysen basieren auf multivariaten Regressionsmodellen, die eine Vielzahl potenziell relevanter Merkmale kontrollieren. Die Unterschiede zwischen den Gruppen bleiben auch nach Kontrolle dieser Merkmale bestehen und decken sich mit den Ausnahmeregelungen des § 10 Abs. 2 SGB II. Diese sehen vor, dass bei der Prüfung der Zumutbarkeit persönliche, familiäre und gesundheitliche Gründe zu berücksichtigen sind. Die OPAL-Befragungsdaten bestätigen diese Befunde tendenziell. So zeigen sich ähnliche gruppenspezifische Muster bei der Selbsteinschätzung zur Bereitschaft, längere Pendelzeiten oder einen Umzug in Kauf zu nehmen. Frauen, ältere Personen, Alleinerziehende und Personen, die eine Teilzeitbeschäftigung suchen, geben seltener an, für eine Stelle über 60 Minuten pendeln oder umziehen zu wollen. Gleichzeitig zeigen Personen mit Hochschulabschluss sowie ausländischer Staatsangehörigkeit eine höhere Bereitschaft zu räumlicher Mobilität. Die in den administrativen Daten erkennbaren Unterschiede in den Entfernungen zwischen Wohn- und Arbeitsort lassen sich also durch Unterschiede im Arbeitssuchverhalten plausibel erklären. Diese Befunde lassen sich weniger als Folge der aktuellen gesetzlichen Ausnahmeregelungen interpretieren, sondern vielmehr als deren empirische Grundlage: Denn § 10 SGB II trägt den gruppenspezifisch variierenden Mobilitätsmöglichkeiten Rechnung. Die Ausnahmetatbestände in § 10 SGB II wurden eben gerade deshalb geschaffen, weil Alleinerziehende und andere räumlich weniger mobile Personen seltener weite Pendelwege oder einen Umzug in Kauf nehmen können oder wollen. Es erscheint daher sinnvoll, bestehende Mobilitätshemmnisse gezielt abzubauen, die Bereitschaft zu überregionaler Mobilität bei der Vermittlung zu berücksichtigen und so individuelle Vermittlungsstrategien zu stärken. Zudem sollte die Politik die institutionellen Rahmenbedingungen – etwa Möglichkeiten zur Kinderbetreuung, den Wohnungsmarkt, und die Verkehrssituation – in den Blick nehmen, um die Mobilitätsbereitschaft zu erhöhen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Mense, Andreas ; Wolf, Katja;
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    What makes a good place to work? The effect of internal corporate social responsibility on word-of-mouth for employers (2025)

    Mutter, Anna ; Armbrüster, Thomas ; Afrahi, Jasmin ;

    Zitatform

    Mutter, Anna, Jasmin Afrahi & Thomas Armbrüster (2025): What makes a good place to work? The effect of internal corporate social responsibility on word-of-mouth for employers. In: The International Journal of Human Resource Management, Jg. 36, H. 11, S. 1807-1833. DOI:10.1080/09585192.2025.2534339

    Abstract

    "Word-of-mouth for employers (WOME; i.e., employees talking positively about their employer organization) is a valuable corporate means of recruitment in times of employee shortage and war for talent. However, research on the determinants of WOME is fragmented, and the identification of success factors is incomplete. Based on research on word-of-mouth mechanisms and social exchange theory, which explains exchange relationships between sender and receiver, we elaborate on a model of WOME that comprises classic and emerging factors of workplace attractiveness (monetary compensation, work environment, and workplace fun) and internal corporate social responsibility (ICSR). We hypothesize that ICSR exhibits the greatest explanatory power for WOME. We tested our assumption with a data set of 132,995 participants from 13 industrial sectors in Germany and ran a multiple linear regression analysis with four independent variables and WOME as the dependent variable. ICSR proved to have the greatest effect on WOME, which we consider a result of employees’ interest in a fair exchange relationship with their employers, followed by workplace fun, the work environment, and monetary compensation. We discuss the results in terms of the above-mentioned theories and point out directions for future research as well as practical implications." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    More Than a Match: “Fit” as a Tool in Hiring Decisions (2025)

    Nichols, Bethany J. ; Sheng, Jeff T. ; Pedulla, David S. ;

    Zitatform

    Nichols, Bethany J., David S. Pedulla & Jeff T. Sheng (2025): More Than a Match: “Fit” as a Tool in Hiring Decisions. In: Work and occupations, Jg. 52, H. 2, S. 175-203. DOI:10.1177/07308884231214279

    Abstract

    "The concept of “fit” has become important for understanding hiring decisions and labor market outcomes. While social scientists have explored how fit functions as a legitimized evaluative criterion to match candidates to jobs in the hiring process, less is known about how fit functions as a hiring tool to aid in decision-making when hiring decisions cannot—or should not—be justified. Drawing on in-depth interviews with 53 hiring professionals, we develop a theoretical argument that hiring professionals can use fit as a tool to circumvent legitimized hiring criteria and justify their hiring goals. Specifically, we show how hiring professionals use fit as a tool to explain their hiring decisions when these decisions cannot or should not be justified and we outline two mechanisms through which this process occurs: (1) fit as a tool for circumventing human capital concerns, and (2) fit as a tool to circumvent hiring policies based upon social characteristics. We argue that fit is more than an evaluative criterion for matching individuals to jobs. Hiring professionals deploy fit as a tool to justify their decisions amid uncertainty and constraint. Fit, then, becomes a placeholder when these hiring decisions are not able to be justified through legitimized means. Our findings reveal some of the potential negative consequences of using fit during the hiring process and contribute important theoretical insights about the role of fit in scholarship on inequality and labor markets." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Post-pandemic recovery: Search and matching, market power, and endogenous labor demand (2025)

    Platonov, Konstantin ;

    Zitatform

    Platonov, Konstantin (2025): Post-pandemic recovery: Search and matching, market power, and endogenous labor demand. In: Economic Modelling, Jg. 151. DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107183

    Abstract

    "Following the COVID-19 pandemic, United States (US) output rebounded quickly, labor productivity rose above pre-pandemic levels, profit rates increased, and the labor market tightened, all despite high unemployment. These observations can be reconciled in a search and matching model of the labor market with two new assumptions of strong firm market power and endogenous labor demand. Market power encourages firm entry when prices rise, while endogenous labor demand enables firms to adapt to shocks rather than shut down. Two regimes arise: one with weak market power, representing the pre-pandemic era and another with strong market power, explaining the post-pandemic recovery. Under strong market power, firm entry drives recovery following recessions, the labor market becomes tight, wages and producer prices rise, and the average firm size shrinks, which is consistent with the post-pandemic data. This study demonstrates how a typical business cycle can be reconciled with US post-pandemic recovery within a unified model, highlighting the non-trivial role of firms’ market power in shaping macroeconomic outcomes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Author. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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    A Tale of Two Job Searches: An Integrative Review of How Job Seeker Characteristics Shape Informal Job Search Effectiveness (2025)

    Porter, Caitlin M. ; Du, Juan; Solanelles, Pol ; Pearson, Ashley Howell ; Cullen‐Lester, Kristin L. ;

    Zitatform

    Porter, Caitlin M., Pol Solanelles, Kristin L. Cullen‐Lester, Ashley Howell Pearson & Juan Du (2025): A Tale of Two Job Searches: An Integrative Review of How Job Seeker Characteristics Shape Informal Job Search Effectiveness. In: Journal of organizational behavior, S. 1-25. DOI:10.1002/job.2864

    Abstract

    "Informal job search—the use of personal and professional networks for job search—is a popular job search method. Yet, answers to the questions of whether informal job search is effective (relative to formal job search) and why have not been clearly articulated, hindering research progress and limiting practical recommendations for job seekers and institutions. We endeavored to address these questions via an integrative, interdisciplinary review of how job search methods (i.e., formal vs. informal) and forms of social capital (i.e., types of contacts and tie strength) relate to job search outcomes (i.e., finding a job vs. finding quality employment), and we summarize evidence for the role of job seeker characteristics as key contingencies on this process. In doing so, we uncover “a tale of two job searches,” wherein informal job search effectiveness is dependent upon job seeker characteristics that impart status within the labor market and/or society. Collectively, our review provides much-needed clarity regarding whether an informal job search is better than a formal job search and why , revealing that answers to these questions depend on who is searching for a job. Considering these insights, we outline an agenda for future research focused on enhancing job seekers' access to social networks and integrating job search and social network perspectives to extend knowledge of how different types of job seekers can more effectively utilize their networks for job search." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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    Testing for wage-specific search intensity (2025)

    Rendon, Silvio ;

    Zitatform

    Rendon, Silvio (2025): Testing for wage-specific search intensity. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 59, H. 1. DOI:10.1186/s12651-024-00389-4

    Abstract

    "Most job search intensity models assume uniform search effort across all potential wage offers. I depart from this conventional assumption by proposing that agents allocate wage-specific search intensity, strategically avoiding effort on low-paying, unacceptable jobs or high-paying, improbable ones. This alternative model generates wage distributions at acceptance that differ markedly from the truncated distributions typical of models with constant arrival rates for wage offers. I leverage these distinct empirical predictions to develop two new nonparametric tests, applied to NLSY97 data, both of which reject the hypothesis of constant search intensity across wages. Furthermore, I estimate the structural parameters identifiable in each model, revealing that wage-specific search leads to greater total search effort, faster transitions into the upper tail of the wage distribution, and ultimately higher accepted wages—more than a 25% increase following unemployment. For low wages, the classic random search model delivers a fair replication of the actual data, but for higher wages targeted search is better. Wage-specific search suggests that job seekers not only need to search more, but also search better. This insight has important implications for employment policy, particularly in promoting job search literacy among the unemployed." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Anonymous job applications and hiring discrimination: Blind recruitment can level the playing field in access to jobs but cannot prevent all forms of discrimination (2025)

    Rinne, Ulf ;

    Zitatform

    Rinne, Ulf (2025): Anonymous job applications and hiring discrimination. Blind recruitment can level the playing field in access to jobs but cannot prevent all forms of discrimination. (IZA world of labor 48,3), Bonn, o. Sz. DOI:10.15185/izawol.48.v3

    Abstract

    "Anonymisierte Bewerbungsverfahren sind potenziell geeignet, Einstellungshindernisse aufgrund von Diskriminierung einzelner Arbeitsmarktgruppen abzubauen. Bei effektiver Umsetzung sorgen solche Verfahren für Chancengleichheit im Bewerbungsprozess, da sie den Fokus der Personalentscheider auf die Qualifikationen und Fähigkeiten der Bewerber lenken. Allerdings sind anonyme Bewerbungen weder in allen Fällen sinnvoll umsetzbar, noch können sie jegliche Form der Bewerberdiskriminierung verhindern." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Betriebliche Ausbildung: IAB-Betriebspanel Report Hessen 2024 (2025)

    Sielschott, Stephan; Lauxen, Oliver; Larsen, Christa;

    Zitatform

    Sielschott, Stephan, Oliver Lauxen & Christa Larsen (2025): Betriebliche Ausbildung. IAB-Betriebspanel Report Hessen 2024. (IAB-Betriebspanel Hessen 2/2024), Frankfurt am Main, 24 S.

    Abstract

    "In den kommenden Jahren gehen in Deutschland und in Hessen viele Arbeitnehmerinnen und Arbeitnehmer aus den geburtenstarken Jahrgängen in den Ruhestand, während kleinere Alterskohorten nachrücken. Bis zum Jahr 2030 könnten in Hessen gut 240.000 Fachkräfte fehlen. Zwei Drittel davon werden voraussichtlich Fachkräfte mit Berufsabschluss und ein Drittel Fachkräfte mit akademischem Abschluss sein. Gleichzeitig wird bei den Arbeitskräften ohne Berufs- oder Studienabschluss ein Überhang von knapp 18.000 Personen prognostiziert (Larsen et al. 2024). Für Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft ergibt sich somit die doppelte Herausforderung, einerseits die Gewinnung und Bindung von Fachkräften mit Berufs- oder Studienabschluss zu organisieren und andererseits Arbeitslosigkeit bei Arbeitskräften ohne Berufs- und Studienabschluss entgegenzuwirken. Die Berufsausbildung bildet ein zentrales Handlungsfeld bezüglich beider Herausforderungen. Das von der Hessischen Landesregierung initiierte und im April 2025 bis 2029 verlängerte „Bündnis Ausbildung Hessen“ zielt ausdrücklich darauf ab, Fachkräftesicherung durch duale berufliche Ausbildung voranzutreiben. Ein besonderes Augenmerk liegt dabei auf der „Unterstützung von individuell oder strukturell benachteiligten Menschen, die am Übergang von der Schule in den Beruf oft vor zusätzlichen Herausforderungen stehen“ (Hessisches Ministerium für Wirtschaft, Energie, Verkehr, Wohnen und ländlichen Raum 2025). In Deutschland ist die Zahl der neu abgeschlossenen Verträge für duale Ausbildungsstellen im Jahr 2023 im Vergleich zum Vorjahr um 3 Prozent gestiegen, in Hessen sogar um 6 Prozent auf knapp 36.000. Dabei nahm die Anzahl der Neuverträge in Industrie und Handel um 6 Prozent, im Handwerk sogar um 7 Prozent zu. Das Vor-Corona-Niveau konnte damit aber immer noch nicht wieder erreicht werden. Abermals zurückgegangen – in Hessen wie im Bund – ist die Zahl der dual ausbildenden Betriebe. In Hessen ist der Rückgang um 1 Prozent gegenüber dem Vorjahr auf gut 30.000 Betriebe allein auf Kleinstbetriebe mit bis zu 9 Beschäftigten zurückzuführen (Kuse 2024). Hier stellt sich die Frage, inwieweit Betriebe nicht ausbilden dürfen oder wollen und welche Gründe sie ggf. für ihren Ausbildungsverzicht geltend machen. Der Berufsbildungsbericht 2024 zeigt für den Bund, dass Betriebe mit freien Ausbildungsplätzen und noch unversorgte Bewerbende im Jahr 2023 häufig nicht zueinander gefunden haben (Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung 2024). Ohne Ausbildungsplatz und in der Folge ohne beruflichen Abschluss bleiben insbesondere junge Erwachsene, die keinen Schulabschluss erreicht haben. Das hat Folgen: Die Arbeitslosenquote von Personen ohne abgeschlossene Berufsausbildung fiel nach Angaben der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (2024) im Jahr 2023 mehr als sechs Mal so hoch aus wie bei Personen mit beruflichem oder akademischem Abschluss. In Hessen lag der Anteil der Schulabgehenden ohne Hauptschulabschluss im Jahr 2023 bei 6 Prozent (Statistisches Bundesamt 2024). Es stellt sich die Frage, inwieweit Betriebe bereit sind, Kompromisse einzugehen, indem freie Ausbildungsplätze an Bewerbende ohne Schulabschluss vergeben werden und welche Voraussetzungen hierfür gegeben sein müssen. Die Auswertungen zum IAB-Betriebspanel 2024 stehen unter dem Rahmenthema „Betrieblicher Alltag zwischen (schmerzhaften) Kompromissen und neuen Herausforderungen in den Betrieben in Hessen“. Der erste Report hat die aktuelle Personalsituation der Betriebe in Hessen in den Blick genommen. Der hier vorliegende zweite Report fokussiert auf die betriebliche Ausbildung. Kapitel 1 widmet sich der Ausbildungsbeteiligung der Betriebe und den im abgeschlossenen Ausbildungsjahr 2023/24 angebotenen und besetzten bzw. nicht besetzten Ausbildungsplätzen. Anschließend thematisiert Kapitel 2 Ausbildungsabschlüsse und Übernahmequoten. Im dritten Kapitel erfolgt eine Analyse der im neuen Ausbildungsjahr 2024/25 abgeschlossenen Ausbildungsverträge. Kapitel 4 untersucht die Berücksichtigung von Bewerberinnen und Bewerbern ohne Schulabschluss bei der Vergabe von Ausbildungsplätzen, und in Kapitel 5 werden die Gründe für den Ausbildungsverzicht ausbildungsberechtigter Betriebe analysiert. Der Report wird mit einem Resümee abgeschlossen." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

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    On-the-job wage dynamics (2025)

    Smith, Eric ;

    Zitatform

    Smith, Eric (2025): On-the-job wage dynamics. In: Journal of Economic Theory, Jg. 224. DOI:10.1016/j.jet.2024.105953

    Abstract

    "This paper assesses wage setting and wage dynamics in a search and matching framework where (i) workers and firms on occasion can meet multilaterally; (ii) workers can recall previous encounters with firms; and (iii) firms cannot commit to future wages and workers cannot commit to not searching in the future. The resulting progression of wages (from firms paying just enough to keep their workers) yields a compensation structure consistent with well established but difficult to reconcile observations on pay dynamics within jobs at firms. Along with wage tenure effects, serial correlation in wage changes and wage growth are negatively correlated with initial wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Author. Published by Elsevier Inc.) ((en))

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    The Impact of Higher Education on Employer Perceptions (2025)

    Stans, Renske; Ehrmantraut, Laura; Pinger, Pia ; Siemers, Malin;

    Zitatform

    Stans, Renske, Laura Ehrmantraut, Malin Siemers & Pia Pinger (2025): The Impact of Higher Education on Employer Perceptions. In: The Economic Journal, S. 1-40. DOI:10.1093/ej/ueaf061

    Abstract

    "Do employers seek to attract individuals with more education because it enhances human capital or because it signals higher levels of pre-existing traits? We experimentally vary master’s degree completion rates on applicant résumés and examine how this influences candidates’ desirability and employer perceptions of their productive characteristics. Our findings show that while a completed master’s degree increases desirability, an incomplete master’s degree is perceived by human resource managers as less favorable than a bachelor’s degree. This suggests that employersprefer candidates with higher education mainly because they view the degree as a signal of pre-existing productive traits. Consistent with this, employers perceive both cognitive and non-cognitive traits as stronger in master graduates but non-cognitive traits as weaker in master dropouts compared to bachelor’s degree holders. Overall, perceived cognitiveand non-cognitive traits play a larger role in determining a candidate ’s attractiveness than expertise. This paper thus provides causal evidence on the origins of the education premium." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    "IAB-Kompetenz-Kompass“ Bereitstellung von Stellentext-Daten als strukturierter Datensatz (2025)

    Stops, Michael ; Klevinghaus, Hauke; Raabe, Pauline; Malfertheiner, Verena; Heckel, Marie-Christine; Metzger, Lina-Jeanette ; Heß, Pascal ; Peede, Lennert; EzElDin, Asma Ahmed; Ungerer, Kathrin;

    Zitatform

    Stops, Michael, Asma Ahmed EzElDin, Marie-Christine Heckel, Pascal Heß, Hauke Klevinghaus, Verena Malfertheiner, Lina-Jeanette Metzger & Lennert Peede (2025): "IAB-Kompetenz-Kompass“ Bereitstellung von Stellentext-Daten als strukturierter Datensatz. (IAB-Forschungsbericht 01/2025), Nürnberg, 259 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FB.2501

    Abstract

    "Dieser Forschungsbericht beschreibt die Ergebnisse eines zweijährigen Projektes, in dem Methoden zur Gewinnung von strukturierten Informationen aus Stellenanzeigen weiterentwickelt und neu erarbeitet wurden. Das Projekt wurde durch das Bundesministerium für Arbeit und Soziales (BMAS) im Rahmen der Datenlabor-Initiative der Bundesregierung mit Mitteln des Programms „NextGenerationEU“ der Europäischen Union ermöglicht und baut auf der „Machbarkeitsstudie Kompetenz-Kompass“ auf (Stops et al., 2020). Im Rahmen dieses Projekts wurde ein Datensatz erstellt, der auf allen zwischen April 2019 und Dezember 2023 zugegangenen Stellenanzeigen bei der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (BA) basiert, die auf der Stellenwebseite der BA veröffentlicht oder für die ein Vermittlungsauftrag für die BA bestand. Aus Vergleichen mit der IAB-Stellenerhebung geht hervor, dass der Datensatz Analysen zu vielen Fragestellungen erlaubt, die repräsentativ für den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt sind. Wir beschreiben die Entwicklung der Nachfrage nach fachlichen Kompetenzen; Sprachkenntnissen; Kompetenzen, die mit Technologien der Künstlichen Intelligenz sowie Wasserstofftechnologie im Zusammenhang stehen. Außerdem untersuchen wir das Angebot an Home-Office. Der Bericht schließt mit einem Ausblick auf die mögliche inhaltliche und methodische Weiterentwicklung der Forschung mit Stellendaten." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Stops, Michael ; Heß, Pascal ; Peede, Lennert;
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    Location choice when the number of jobs matters: Matching in spatial equilibrium (2025)

    Venables, Anthony J. ;

    Zitatform

    Venables, Anthony J. (2025): Location choice when the number of jobs matters: Matching in spatial equilibrium. (CEP discussion paper / Centre for Economic Performance 2087), London, 22 S.

    Abstract

    "The idea that people want to go to where the jobs are is intuitive yet is absent from the standard quantitative spatial modelling approach in which location choices are guided by prices, without reference to quantities (the number of jobs in a place). The purpose of this paper is to fill this gap by making jobs, as well as places, the objects of household choice. This involves minor change to the modelling approach used in the literature and provides a simple description of labour market matching. Similar modification of the modelling of firms’ location choices captures the idea that these are shaped by both wage costs and the availability of workers with appropriate skill. These modifications yield powerful agglomeration forces, as workers’ location choices become positively influenced by the number of jobs in a place, and firms’ decision are shaped by the number of workers with appropriate skills. Results are established analytically and in a regional model in which the equilibrium distributions of workers and sectors are demonstrated." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Legitimizing Beauty in Hiring: An Analysis of Cultural Repertoires in Defense of Appearances as Selection Criteria (2025)

    Vonk, Laura ; De Keere, Kobe ;

    Zitatform

    Vonk, Laura & Kobe De Keere (2025): Legitimizing Beauty in Hiring: An Analysis of Cultural Repertoires in Defense of Appearances as Selection Criteria. In: Work and occupations. DOI:10.1177/07308884251362257

    Abstract

    "This article builds upon the body of literature confirming that aesthetics matter for finding work by investigating how gatekeepers reflect on the relevance of appearances in their evaluations of job candidates. Starting from the notion that in hiring the relevance of appearance conflicts with ideals of meritocracy and fairness, we seek to understand how gatekeepers solve this dispute and how they morally legitimize the importance of aesthetics. The analyses are based on in-depth interviews with 40 employee gatekeepers from the cultural (n = 17) and corporate (n = 23) sector, and show that although the gatekeepers problematize the importance of beauty, they do acknowledge that it plays a role in their evaluations. Three cultural repertoires for solving this contradiction and for legitimizing appearances as a hiring criterion are discerned from the data: (1) beauty as a business case; (2) appearances express personality; (3) looking right is a matter of effort. What the gatekeepers try to do is to come to a hiring decision using evaluation criteria that can be considered contextually legitimate. Yet, this can lead to applying evaluation criteria and, more structurally, labor market outcomes that they find morally problematic. This study highlights the relevance of cultural repertoires in processes of legitimation for understanding reproductions of inequalities related to appearances." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Optimal unemployment insurance with multiple applications (2025)

    Wee, Shu Lin;

    Zitatform

    Wee, Shu Lin (2025): Optimal unemployment insurance with multiple applications. In: Journal of monetary economics, Jg. 154. DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103798

    Abstract

    "This paper examines how unemployment transfers should be allocated over the business cycle. When risk-averse workers can submit multiple applications, the optimal UI policy is countercyclical. In contrast, optimal policy in a standard search model featuring one-to-one matching is procyclical. In the latter, more generous UI during a downturn discourages search effort, dampening job creation. In the former, decreased search effort aids job creation. Because firms cannot coordinate and commit to not making the same worker an offer, lower search effort by reducing the number of applications sent mitigates this coordination friction. This in turn boosts job creation incentives, supporting employment outcomes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Author. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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    Older Worker’s Job Search Activities and Employment Transition (2025)

    Yeo, Hyesu ;

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    Yeo, Hyesu (2025): Older Worker’s Job Search Activities and Employment Transition. In: Research on Aging, S. 1-16. DOI:10.1177/01640275251343107

    Abstract

    "This study investigated job search patterns among American older workers. Data from the 2016-2018 Health and Retirement Study included 1501 individuals aged 50+ who were looking for jobs in 2016. Latent Class Analysis (LCA) was conducted to identify job search patterns based on nine types of job search activities. Multinomial logistic regression was then used to examine membership in each class. Five job search patterns emerged from the LCA analysis, including No Ads, Ads only, Friends & Ads, Phone & Ads, and Agencies & Ads. Employment transitions were related to job search patterns. Unemployed older workers, despite utilizing more diverse job search methods, were less likely to secure new jobs compared to their employed peers. These findings highlight the need for workforce development programs to focus on workplace skill-building training and educational opportunities before becoming unemployed and age-friendly workforce development tailored to older workers with low-skilled and low income." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Hiring intentions at the intersection of gender, parenthood, and social status. A factorial survey experiment in the UK labour market (2025)

    Zamberlan, Anna ; Gioachin, Filippo ; Barbieri, Paolo ;

    Zitatform

    Zamberlan, Anna, Filippo Gioachin & Paolo Barbieri (2025): Hiring intentions at the intersection of gender, parenthood, and social status. A factorial survey experiment in the UK labour market. In: European Sociological Review, Jg. 41, H. 3, S. 395-410. DOI:10.1093/esr/jcae043

    Abstract

    "Extant literature points to the gender, parenthood, and social status of job applicants as crucial factors influencing employers’ hiring preferences and behaviors. However, little is known about whether and to what extent the intersection of these attributes leads to specific forms of hiring discrimination. This study aims to fill this research gap by examining whether labor market (dis)advantages related to gender, parenthood, and social status occur in an additive or interactive relationship. We conducted a factorial survey experiment in which more than 2,500 UK-based individuals with recruiting experience rated the profiles of fictitious candidates for various job vacancies. We found significant and substantial discrimination against mothers, indicating the existence of a cumulative disadvantage between being a woman and having children, while high-status candidates were more favourably positioned, albeit with noteworthy differences depending on how social status was signalled. Most interestingly, the motherhood penalty was significantly reduced (up to almost half) for high-status candidates, suggesting a compensatory effect of signalling a high status. This novel evidence in the British context highlights the importance of examining the intersection of different dimensions of discrimination and inequality." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Labour market skills, endogenous productivity and business cycles (2024)

    Abbritti, Mirko ; Consolo, Agostino ;

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    Abbritti, Mirko & Agostino Consolo (2024): Labour market skills, endogenous productivity and business cycles. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 170. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104873

    Abstract

    "This paper analyses how labor market heterogeneity affects unemployment, productivity and business cycle dynamics. To this aim, we set up a model with asymmetric search and matching frictions across skilled and unskilled workers, and endogenous productivity through R&D investment and intangible capital accumulation. Skill mismatch and skill-specific labor market institutions have three main effects on business cycles and growth dynamics. First, the relative scarcity of skilled workers increases the natural rate of unemployment and reduces total factor productivity with long-run effects on the growth rate of output. Second, skill heterogeneity in the labor market generates asymmetric outcomes and amplifies measures of employment, wages and consumption inequality. Finally, the model provides important insights for the Phillips and Beveridge curves. Incorporating skill heterogeneity leads to a flattening of the Phillips curve as wages and unemployment respond unevenly across skill types. Also, the model generates sideward shifts of the Beveridge curve following business cycle shocks, with the extent of these shifts depending on the degree of skill heterogeneity." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Words matter: Experimental evidence from job applications (2024)

    Abraham, Lisa ; Stein, Alison; Hallermeier, Johannes;

    Zitatform

    Abraham, Lisa, Johannes Hallermeier & Alison Stein (2024): Words matter: Experimental evidence from job applications. In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Jg. 225, S. 348-391. DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.013

    Abstract

    "If women are more sensitive to listed qualifications in job ads, does lowering the bar draw in relatively more women and increase diversity in the applicant pool? We examine this question by randomizing 60,000 viewers into one of two job ad versions for over 600 corporate jobs at Uber, where the treatment removed optional and superfluous qualifications. There are two main findings. First, job seekers of both genders respond to qualifications: applications increase by 7%, owing to similar increases in the number of applications from men and women. Second, reducing the qualifications impacts the type of individual who chooses to apply differently by gender. Reducing the qualifications draws in less skilled women and causes an outflow of some highly skilled women. Conversely, the treatment draws in men from across the skill distribution, including the upper end. We find gender differences in application behavior and explore potential mechanisms in a separate, large-scale survey using the RAND American Life Panel. These results highlight that sensitivity to listed requirements is complex, and simply lowering the qualifications in job postings is not guaranteed to increase applicant diversity." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Vom Mismatch zum Match: Wie sich Jugendliche und Unternehmen auf dem Ausbildungsmarkt suchen und finden (können): Eine kombinierte Jugend- und Unternehmensbefragung (2024)

    Arndt, Franziska; Risius, Paula; Schaffer, Fabian; Herzer, Philip; Werner, Dirk; Wieland, Clemens; Renk, Helen;

    Zitatform

    Arndt, Franziska, Philip Herzer, Paula Risius, Dirk Werner, Helen Renk, Fabian Schaffer & Clemens Wieland (2024): Vom Mismatch zum Match: Wie sich Jugendliche und Unternehmen auf dem Ausbildungsmarkt suchen und finden (können). Eine kombinierte Jugend- und Unternehmensbefragung. Gütersloh, 43 S. DOI:10.11586/2024103

    Abstract

    "Immer mehr Ausbildungsplätze in Deutschland bleiben unbesetzt, gleichzeitig gehen viele Bewerber:innen auf dem Ausbildungsmarkt leer aus. Was sind die Gründe? Liegt es vielleicht auch daran, dass die Suchprofile und -strategien der Unternehmen und der ausbildungsinteressierten jungen Menschen nicht zusammenpassen? Mit anderen Worten: Wo und wie platzieren Unternehmen ihr Angebot und passt das zu dem Suchverhalten von Jugendlichen? Die gemeinsame Studie des Instituts der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln und der Bertelsmann Stiftung stellt die Perspektiven von Ausbildungsbetrieben und jungen Menschen einander gegenüber. Beide Seiten sind sich zwar grundsätzlich über den hohen Stellenwert einer Berufsausbildung als gute Karrieregrundlage einig und nutzen insbesondere Online-Stellenausschreibungen, die Bundesagentur für Arbeit und Social Media Kanäle zur Suche nach Ausbildungsplätzen bzw. Bewerber:innen – im Detail zeigen sich jedoch einige entscheidende Unterschiede im Kommunikations- und Informationsverhalten." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    The Pay and Non-Pay Content of Job Ads (2024)

    Audoly, Richard ; Bhuller, Manudeep; Reiremo, Tore Adam;

    Zitatform

    Audoly, Richard, Manudeep Bhuller & Tore Adam Reiremo (2024): The Pay and Non-Pay Content of Job Ads. (arXiv papers 2407.13204), 54 S.

    Abstract

    "How informative are job ads about the actual pay and amenities offered by employers? Using a comprehensive database of job ads posted by Norwegian employers, we develop a methodology to systematically classify the information on both pay and non-pay job attributes advertised in vacancy texts. We link this information to measures of employer attractiveness, which we derive from a job search model estimated on observed wages and worker mobility flows. About 55 percent of job ads provide information related to pay and nearly all ads feature information on non-pay attributes. We show that publicly advertised job attributes are meaningful predictors of employer attractiveness, and non-pay attributes are about as predictive as pay-related attributes. High-pay employers mention pay-related attributes more often, while high-amenity employers are more likely to advertise flexible working hours and contract duration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Does Artificial Intelligence Help or Hurt Gender Diversity? Evidence from Two Field Experiments on Recruitment in Tech (2024)

    Avery, Mallory; Leibbrandt, Andreas ; Vecci, Joseph;

    Zitatform

    Avery, Mallory, Andreas Leibbrandt & Joseph Vecci (2024): Does Artificial Intelligence Help or Hurt Gender Diversity? Evidence from Two Field Experiments on Recruitment in Tech. (CESifo working paper 10996), München, 70 S.

    Abstract

    "The use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in recruitment is rapidly increasing and drastically changing how people apply to jobs and how applications are reviewed. In this paper, we use two field experiments to study how AI recruitment tools can impact gender diversity in the male-dominated technology sector, both overall and separately for labor supply and demand. We find that the use of AI in recruitment changes the gender distribution of potential hires, in some cases more than doubling the fraction of top applicants that are women. This change is generated by better outcomes for women in both supply and demand. On the supply side, we observe that the use of AI reduces the gender gap in application completion rates. Complementary survey evidence suggests that anticipated bias is a driver of increased female application completion when assessed by AI instead of human evaluators. On the demand side, we find that providing evaluators with applicants' AI scores closes the gender gap in assessments that otherwise disadvantage female applicants. Finally, we show that the AI tool would have to be substantially biased against women to result in a lower level of gender diversity than found without AI." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Skill Signals in a Digital Job Search Market and Duration in Employment Gaps (2024)

    Baird, Matthew ; Gahlawat, Nikhil; Ko, Paul ;

    Zitatform

    Baird, Matthew, Paul Ko & Nikhil Gahlawat (2024): Skill Signals in a Digital Job Search Market and Duration in Employment Gaps. In: Journal of labor research, Jg. 45, H. 3, S. 403-435. DOI:10.1007/s12122-024-09363-y

    Abstract

    "With the rise of the digital job search market, new opportunities for signaling skills and competencies to employers have emerged. In this paper, we examine listed skills on individuals’ LinkedIn profiles in the United States between 2015 and 2021, both those members add themselves and skills for which they are endorsed from others in their network. We use an inverse probability weighted proportional hazards model with time varying covariates to estimate the relationship between listed skills on shortening employment gaps (time between jobs). We find that, for self-added and peer-endorsed skills respectively, an additional ten skills on the profile decreases median employment gap duration by about 0.7 and 0.4 months, from a median baseline of around 6 months gap. Individuals with no education listed on their profile have the largest benefit from listed skills in terms of reducing employment gaps. Disruptive tech and soft skills also are related to higher returns. Additionally, skills added during the employment break have a substantially stronger relationship than pre-existing added skills. More experienced workers have larger returns than less experienced workers, consistent with the hypothesis that these skills are otherwise difficult to signal to potential employers. These findings are consistent with online job markets’ use of technology offering more efficient ways to signal skills, shortening time to reemployment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    Returns to labour mobility (2024)

    Baley, Isaac ; Ljungqvist, Lars ; Sargent, Thomas J. ;

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    Baley, Isaac, Lars Ljungqvist & Thomas J. Sargent (2024): Returns to labour mobility. In: The Economic Journal, Jg. 135, H. 666, S. 430-454. DOI:10.1093/ej/ueae054

    Abstract

    "Returns to labor mobility have too often escaped the attention they deserve as conduits of important forces in macro-labour models. These returns are shaped by calibrations of productivity processes that use theoretical perspectives and data sources from (i) labour economics and (ii) industrial organization. By investigating earlier prominent studies, we conclude that the focus on firm size dynamics and shocks intermediated through neo-classical production functions in (ii) yields large returns to labor mobility that are robust to parameter perturbations. In contrast, the reliance on statistics in labor economics to calibrate per-worker productivity processes in (i) can give rise to fragilities in the sense that parameter perturbations that generate similar targeted statistics can have very different implications for returns to labor mobility." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Overeducation in the EU: Gender and regional dimension (2024)

    Baran, Jan A. ;

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    Baran, Jan A. (2024): Overeducation in the EU: Gender and regional dimension. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 90. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102603

    Abstract

    "The paper investigates factors associated with the overeducation risk in the EU, with a specific focus on gender and regional variables. The study tests Frank's theory of differential overqualification, which suggests that women are more likely to be overeducated than men, especially in small local labor markets. Although women's overeducation rates usually exceed those of men, the study's results show limited validity of Frank's model due to a nuanced relationship by which gender is linked to overeducation. They suggest that gender differentiates the overeducation risk in combination with care responsibilities, whilst easier access to childcare facilities is associated with a lower risk of overeducation among women in households with young children. Moreover, migrant women are found to be more at risk of overeducation, compared to both migrant men and non-migrants. Contrary to Frank's theory, the degree of urbanisation is found irrelevant for overeducation. Furthermore, the study shows the evidence of growing incidence of overeducation in the EU in 2011–2018." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    The Shifting Reasons for Beveridge Curve Shifts (2024)

    Barlevy, Gadi ; Şahin, Ayşegül ; Faberman, R. Jason ; Hobijn, Bart;

    Zitatform

    Barlevy, Gadi, R. Jason Faberman, Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin (2024): The Shifting Reasons for Beveridge Curve Shifts. In: The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Jg. 38, H. 2, S. 83-106. DOI:10.1257/jep.38.2.83

    Abstract

    "We discuss how the relative importance of factors that contribute to movements of the US Beveridge curve has changed from 1959 to 2023. We review these factors in the context of a simple flow analogy used to capture the main insights of search and matching theories of the labor market. Changes in inflow rates, related to demographics, accounted for Beveridge curve shifts between 1959 and 2000. A reduction in matching efficiency, that depressed unemployment outflows, shifted the curve outwards in the wake of the Great Recession. In contrast, the most recent shifts in the Beveridge curve appear driven by changes in the eagerness of workers to switch jobs. Finally, we argue that, while the Beveridge curve is a useful tool for relating unemployment and job openings to inflation, the link between these labor market indicators and inflation depends on whether and why the Beveridge curve shifted. Therefore, a careful examination of the factors underlying movements in the Beveridge curve is essential for drawing policy conclusions from the joint behavior of unemployment and job openings." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The Potential of Recommender Systems for Directing Job Search: A Large-Scale Experiment (2024)

    Behaghel, Luc; Hazard, Yagan; Gurgand, Marc ; Dromundo, Sofia; Zuber, Thomas;

    Zitatform

    Behaghel, Luc, Sofia Dromundo, Marc Gurgand, Yagan Hazard & Thomas Zuber (2024): The Potential of Recommender Systems for Directing Job Search: A Large-Scale Experiment. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16781), Bonn, 65 S.

    Abstract

    "We analyze the employment effects of directing job seekers' applications toward establishments likely to recruit. We run a two-sided randomization design involving about 800,000 job seekers and 40,000 establishments, based on an empirical model that recommends each job seeker to firms so as to maximize total potential employment. Our intervention induces a 1% increase in job finding rates for short term contracts. This impact comes from a targeting effect combining (i) a modest increase in job seekers' applications to the very firms that were recommended to them, and (ii) a high success rate conditional on applying to these firms. Indeed, the success rate of job seekers' applications varies considerably across firms: the efficiency of applications sent to recommended firms is 2.7 times higher than the efficiency of applications to the average firm. This suggests that there can be substantial gains from better targeting job search, leveraging firm-level heterogeneity." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Measuring the quality of a match (2024)

    Belot, Michèle; Triantafyllou, Vaios; Liu, Xiaoying ;

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    Belot, Michèle, Xiaoying Liu & Vaios Triantafyllou (2024): Measuring the quality of a match. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 89. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102568

    Abstract

    "The quality of an employment match is a central concept in labor economics. It is relevant for evaluating the welfare impact of labor market policies, and for our understanding of labor market dynamics. This paper reviews the challenges associated with measuring match quality. We first review measures commonly used in the literature, their advantages, and drawbacks. We then present novel evidence from a survey sample of US employees where alternative measures were collected simultaneously. We show that while some of these measures correlate well, others do not. Finally, we present additional partial evidence on the correlations between measures based on the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79), a substantially larger and nationally representative survey. The takeaway message is a word of caution regarding the interpretation of some of these measures and specific concerns regarding using wages and tenure as indicators of match quality." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Firm Human Resource Practices and Educational Mismatch (2024)

    Berloffa, Gabriella; Piazzalunga, Daniela ; Pieri, Fabio;

    Zitatform

    Berloffa, Gabriella, Daniela Piazzalunga & Fabio Pieri (2024): Firm Human Resource Practices and Educational Mismatch. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17424), Bonn, 46 S.

    Abstract

    "The paper introduces a new measure of educational mismatch at the firm level, constructed by merging firm and individual data at the sector-firm size-year level. This measure captures both the intensity of mismatch and its type – whether overeducation, undereducation, or a mix of the two. We assess the role of human resource practices in reducing the intensity of educational mismatch in Italian firms by estimating econometric models that control for a rich set of firm characteristics, as well as year and industry-region fixed effects. Firm-fixed effects and instrumental variable models complement the analysis. Findings indicate that the use of private recruitment agencies, on-the-job training, and structured supervision is associated with a reduction in mismatch intensity. The impact of other practices varies by mismatch type: higher job turnover rates correlate with lower undereducation but increased overeducation, while second-level bargaining increases undereducation and reduces overeducation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    A Simple Explanation of Countercyclical Uncertainty (2024)

    Bernstein, Joshua; Plante, Michael ; Throckmorton, Nathaniel A. ; Richter, Alexander W.;

    Zitatform

    Bernstein, Joshua, Michael Plante, Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton (2024): A Simple Explanation of Countercyclical Uncertainty. In: American Economic Journal. Macroeconomics, Jg. 16, H. 4, S. 143-171. DOI:10.1257/mac.20220134

    Abstract

    "This paper documents that labor search and matching frictions generate countercyclical uncertainty because the inherent nonlinearity in the flow of new matches makes employment uncertainty increasing in the number of people searching for work. Quantitatively, this mechanism is strong enough to explain uncertainty and real activity dynamics, including their correlation. Through this lens, uncertainty fluctuations are endogenous responses to changes in real activity that neither affect the severity of business cycles nor warrant policy intervention, in contrast with leading theories of the interaction between uncertainty and real activity dynamics." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Uncertainty, labor force participation and job search (2024)

    Bilenkisi, Fikret;

    Zitatform

    Bilenkisi, Fikret (2024): Uncertainty, labor force participation and job search. In: Economic Modelling, Jg. 139. DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106833

    Abstract

    "This study examines the impact of labor force participation (LFP) on search behavior and unemployment in response to uncertainty shocks. Using a Bayesian vector autoregression model, this study shows that an increase in uncertainty raises unemployment, lowers inflation and decreases LFP and search intensity. Then, a New Keynesian model that incorporates endogenous LFP and variable search intensity is constructed. Results show that both search intensity and participation are procyclical, which suggests a discouragement effect. However, with habit formation, the wealth effect outweighs the discouragement effect and induces an increase in LFP, resulting in a more significant decline in aggregate search intensity due to the expanded searcher pool. In the exogenous LFP model, search intensity is countercyclical, which dampens the unemployment rate. In the endogenous LFP model, the increased entry of non-participants cancels out the countercyclical search intensity of unemployed workers due to the large number of searchers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    A competitive theory of mismatch (2024)

    Birchenall, Javier A. ;

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    Birchenall, Javier A. (2024): A competitive theory of mismatch. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Jg. 168. DOI:10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104996

    Abstract

    "I study the distributions of unemployment, vacancies, and wages across local labor markets in an economy where workers and jobs are matched and mismatched based on more explicit assumptions and aggregation principles than in the reduced-form aggregate matching-function approach. The endogenous matching process formulated here is flexible and has practical value for applied work. Local and aggregate labor market adjustments to local productivity and aggregate demand shocks reproduce empirical Beveridge and wage curve patterns, offer an alternative perspective on empirical indices of mismatch unemployment, and deliver an endogenous and commonly used reduced-form aggregate matching function." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.) ((en))

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    Mismatch Unemployment During COVID-19 and the Post-Pandemic Labor Shortages (2024)

    Birinci, Serdar ; See, Kurt; Mercan, Yusuf ;

    Zitatform

    Birinci, Serdar, Yusuf Mercan & Kurt See (2024): Mismatch Unemployment During COVID-19 and the Post-Pandemic Labor Shortages. (Working paper / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2024-025), Saint Louis, MO, 35 S. DOI:10.20955/wp.2024.025

    Abstract

    "We examine the extent to which mismatch unemployment—employment losses relative to an efficient allocation where the planner can costlessly reallocate unemployed workers across sectors to maximize output—shaped labor market dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent recovery episode characterized by labor shortages. We find that, for the first time in our sample, mismatch unemployment turned negative at the onset of the pandemic. This result suggests that the efficient allocation of job seekers would involve reallocating workers toward longer-tenure and more-productive jobs, even at the expense of fewer hires. We show that sectoral differences in job separations were the main driver behind this result, while differences in vacancies caused positive mismatch unemployment during the recovery episode. We also establish an empirical link between mismatch unemployment and the surge in the labor cost during the recovery, documenting that sectors with larger mismatch unemployment experienced higher employment cost growth." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Test-based measurement of skill mismatch: a validation of five different measurement approaches using the NEPS (2024)

    Bischof, Stephan ;

    Zitatform

    Bischof, Stephan (2024): Test-based measurement of skill mismatch: a validation of five different measurement approaches using the NEPS. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 58. DOI:10.1186/s12651-024-00370-1

    Abstract

    "Skill mismatch is a key indicator of labour market research that has received significant attention. To date, various approaches of test-based measurement of skill mismatch have been used in research, generating differing results. However, it remains unclear which method is the most valid for measuring skill mismatch. This study provides a comparative validation of five commonly used approaches to test-based measurement of skill mismatches in reading and mathematics to detect the most valid method. Drawing on the 2016 wave of the German National Educational Panel Study (NEPS) Adult Cohort, I find significantly varying distributions for the different measurement approaches, and highly valid skill mismatch measures for the statistical and the mixed approach. Overall, the mixed approach emerges as the most valid method. The findings highlight the critical importance of measurement approaches in skill mismatch research." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    Asymmetric market power and wage suppression (2024)

    Blumkin, Tomer ; Lagziel, David ;

    Zitatform

    Blumkin, Tomer & David Lagziel (2024): Asymmetric market power and wage suppression. In: The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Jg. 126, H. 1, S. 38-59. DOI:10.1111/sjoe.12545

    Abstract

    "We study a labor market in which two identical firms compete over a pool of homogenous workers. Firms pre-commit to their outreach to potential employees, either through their informative advertising choices, or through their screening processes, before engaging in a wage competition ('a la Bertrand). Although firms are homogeneous, the unique pure-strategy equilibrium is asymmetric: one firm maximizes its outreach whereas the other compromises on a significantly smaller market share. The features of the asymmetric equilibrium extend to a general oligopsony with any finite number of firms. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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    Labor Demand on a Tight Leash (2024)

    Bossler, Mario ; Popp, Martin ;

    Zitatform

    Bossler, Mario & Martin Popp (2024): Labor Demand on a Tight Leash. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16837), Bonn, 99 S.

    Abstract

    "We develop a labor demand model that encompasses pre-match hiring cost arising from tight labor markets. Through the lens of the model, we study the effect of labor market tightness on firms’ labor demand by applying novel shift-share instruments to the universe of German firms. In line with theory, we find that a doubling in tightness reduces firms’ employment by 5 percent. Taking into account the resulting search externalities, the wage elasticity of firms’ labor demand reduces from -0.7 to -0.5 through reallocation effects. In light of our results, pre-match hiring cost amount to 40 percent of annual wage payments." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Bossler, Mario ; Popp, Martin ;
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    Learning about labor markets (2024)

    Bradley, Jake ; Mann, Lukas;

    Zitatform

    Bradley, Jake & Lukas Mann (2024): Learning about labor markets. In: Journal of monetary economics, Jg. 148. DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103612

    Abstract

    "We study a general equilibrium model of the labor market in which agents slowly learn about their suitability for jobs. Our model reproduces desirable features of the data, many of which standard models fail to replicate. We explore how, in such an environment, asymmetric information can lead to substantial misallocation. We calibrate our model to US data and quantify the welfare loss arising from misallocation due to informational frictions. The tractability of the model allows us to explore the responsiveness of wages and employment to an aggregate shock. We find that wage rigidity arises endogenously because of protracted learning, and in line with the data, the model is able to generate a larger and more persistent employment response." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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    The cyclicality of on-the-job search (2024)

    Bransch, Felix ; Mihm, Benedikt ; Malik, Samreen;

    Zitatform

    Bransch, Felix, Samreen Malik & Benedikt Mihm (2024): The cyclicality of on-the-job search. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 87. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102517

    Abstract

    "On-the-job search is increasingly recognized as an important potential driver of labor market dynamics over the business cycle. Using the UK Labor Force Survey, we find robust empirical evidence that on-the-job search is countercyclical and that the cyclical fluctuations have important repercussions for labor market dynamics. We also find that the cyclical pattern is not explained by precautionary search motives but rather appears to be driven by job-ladder-motivated searches. This finding is surprising because, as we confirm, the expected returns to on-the-job search are procyclical. We find evidence that three features of search behavior may contribute to this finding: greater search effort in response to lower job-to-job transition probabilities, a prevalence of non-pecuniary motivated searches that are less affected by lower expected wage gains, and procyclicality in average match quality, which has a significant impact on the search behavior of new hires over the business cycle." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Job Mobility and Assortative Matching (2024)

    Braunschweig, Luisa; Dauth, Wolfgang ; Roth, Duncan ;

    Zitatform

    Braunschweig, Luisa, Wolfgang Dauth & Duncan Roth (2024): Job Mobility and Assortative Matching. (IAB-Discussion Paper 11/2024), Nürnberg, 52 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.DP.2411

    Abstract

    "Wir analysieren, wie sich das Matching zwischen Betrieben und Beschäftigten über das Erwerbsleben durch Jobmobilität verändert. Wir nutzen deutsche administrative Daten, die sowohl Informationen über Beschäftigte als auch Betriebe enthalten. Um assortatives Matching zu messen, berechnen wir die Korrelation zwischen zeitkonstanten Lohnkomponenten von Betrieben und Beschäftigten, welche wir aus einer Lohndekomposition im Stil von Abowd/Kramarz/Margolis (1999) ziehen. Zudem benutzen wir ein neues Maß für assortatives Matching, welches auf der Distanz zwischen diesen Lohnkomponenten basiert. Beide Maße zeigen, dass der Grad des assortativen Matchings im Durchschnitt mit jedem weiteren Betriebswechsel ansteigt. Bei Beschäftigten mit einer hohen zeitkonstanten Lohnkomponente kann dies durch Job Ladder Modelle erklärt werden, denn die Beschäftigten bewegen sich zu Firmen mit höheren Lohnkomponenten. Dahingegen sind Beschäftigte mit niedrigerer Lohnkomponente am Anfang des Erwerbslebens in weniger assortativen Matches zu finden, da sie es ebenfalls schaffen, zu Beginn die Job Ladder hinaufzuklettern. Für sie beginnt der Anstieg des assortativen Matchings erst nach dem dritten Job, wenn sie von der Job Ladder fallen. Die Entwicklung des assortativen Matchings ist zudem relevant für die Lohnungleichheit im Lebensverlauf. Wir zeigen, dass der Anstieg des assortativen Matchings circa 25 Prozent des Anstiegs der Lohnungleichheit im Lebensverlauf erklären kann." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Re-assessing the Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis (2024)

    Card, David ; Yi, Moises; Rothstein, Jesse ;

    Zitatform

    Card, David, Jesse Rothstein & Moises Yi (2024): Re-assessing the Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 32252), Cambridge, Mass, 25 S.

    Abstract

    "We use detailed location information from the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) database to develop new evidence on the effects of spatial mismatch on the relative earnings of Black workers in large US cities. We classify workplaces by the size of the pay premiums they offer in a two-way fixed effects model, providing a simple metric for defining “good” jobs. We show that: (a) Black workers earn nearly the same average wage premiums as whites; (b) in most cities Black workers live closer to jobs, and closer to good jobs, than do whites; (c) Black workers typically commute shorter distances than whites; and (d) people who commute further earn higher average pay premiums, but the elasticity with respect to distance traveled is slightly lower for Black workers. We conclude that geographic proximity to good jobs is unlikely to be a major source of the racial earnings gaps in major U.S. cities today." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    How workers and firms meet in the labor market and why it matters (2024)

    Carillo-Tudela, Carlos; Kaas, Leo; Lochner, Benjamin ;

    Zitatform

    Carillo-Tudela, Carlos, Leo Kaas & Benjamin Lochner (2024): How workers and firms meet in the labor market and why it matters. (VoxEU columns / Centre for Economic Policy Research), London, o. Sz.

    Abstract

    "Most firms match with workers through job postings, networks of personal contacts, or the public employment agency. This column investigates the effects of search channels on labor market outcomes in Germany. Low-wage firms and low-wage workers are more likely to match via networks or the public agency, while high-wage firms and high-wage workers succeed more often via job postings. Because search channels connect workers and firms at different rungs of the wage distribution, matching technologies matter not only for individual job search outcomes, but also for aggregate employment, productivity, and wage inequality." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © VOXEU) ((en))

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    Lochner, Benjamin ;
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    The Effect of Wages on Job Vacancy Duration: Evidence from a Spatial Discontinuity (2024)

    Carter, Charles; Papps, Kerry L. ; Delaney, Judith M. ;

    Zitatform

    Carter, Charles, Judith M. Delaney & Kerry L. Papps (2024): The Effect of Wages on Job Vacancy Duration: Evidence from a Spatial Discontinuity. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17273), Bonn, 30 S.

    Abstract

    "We exploit a spatial discontinuity in the wages paid by the United Kingdom's National Health Service to examine how wages affect the duration of time a vacancy is advertised. NHS workers in inner London are mandated by law to be paid an extra 4.3% more than those who work in outer London. We use a regression discontinuity design and estimate an elasticity of duration with respect to wages of -6.3. This number is larger than reported by previous studies and suggests that firms can fill worker shortages faster by raising wages. This also highlights the importance this margin of worker recruitment when analysing firm search and job match. Our results are robust to various checks including a placebo test using fictitious borders and are robust to changes in the bandwidth and the duration measure. The estimates are similar across all occupational groups in the NHS and are not limited to jobs that require specific skills such as nurses and therapists. Our results provide evidence for policy makers which suggests that increasing the wages paid to NHS workers may lead to increased cost savings by reducing the need to hire expensive agency staff and may also lead to better health outcomes of the population through reduced staff shortages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Occupational reallocation and mismatch in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic: Cross-country evidence from an online job site (2024)

    Ciminelli, Gabriele ; Samek, Lea; Haramboure, Antton; Sinclair, Tara; Schwellnus, Cyrille ; Shrivastava, Allison;

    Zitatform

    Ciminelli, Gabriele, Antton Haramboure, Lea Samek, Cyrille Schwellnus, Allison Shrivastava & Tara Sinclair (2024): Occupational reallocation and mismatch in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic: Cross-country evidence from an online job site. (OECD productivity working papers 35), Paris, 29 S. DOI:10.1787/128b92aa-en

    Abstract

    "Employment has recovered strongly from the COVID-19 pandemic despite large structural changes in labor markets, such as the widespread adoption of digital business models and remote work. We analyse whether the pandemic has been associated with labor reallocation across occupations and triggered mismatches between occupational labor demand and supply using novel data on employers' job postings and jobseekers' clicks across 19 countries from the online job site Indeed. Findings indicate that, on average across countries, the pandemic triggered large and persistent reallocation of postings and clicks across occupations. Occupational mismatch initially increased but was back to pre-pandemic levels at the end of 2022 as employers and workers adjusted to structural changes. The adjustment was substantially slower in countries that resorted to short-time work schemes to preserve employment during the pandemic." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Stable Matching on the Job? Theory and Evidence on Internal Talent Markets (2024)

    Cowgill, Bo ; Davis, Jonathan M. V. ; Montagnes, B. Pablo ; Perkowski, Patryk ;

    Zitatform

    Cowgill, Bo, Jonathan M. V. Davis, B. Pablo Montagnes & Patryk Perkowski (2024): Stable Matching on the Job? Theory and Evidence on Internal Talent Markets. (CESifo working paper 11120), München, 47, XLIII S.

    Abstract

    "A principal often needs to match agents to perform coordinated tasks, but agents can quit or slack off if they dislike their match. We study two prevalent approaches for matching within organizations: Centralized assignment by firm leaders and self-organization through market-like mechanisms. We provide a formal model of the strengths and weaknesses of both methods under different settings, incentives, and production technologies. The model highlights tradeoffs between match-specific productivity and job satisfaction. We then measure these tradeoffs with data from a large organization’s internal talent market. Firm-dictated matches are 33% more valuable than randomly assigned matches within job categories (using the firm’s preferred metric of quality). By contrast, preference-based matches (using deferred acceptance) are only 5% better than random but are ranked (on average) about 38 percentiles higher by the workforce. The selforganized match is positively assortative and helps workers grow new skills; the firm’s preferred match is negatively assortative and harvests existing expertise." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Life-Cycle Worker Flows and Cross-Country Differences in Aggregate Employment (2024)

    Créchet, Jonathan; Lalé, Etienne ; Tarasonis, Linas ;

    Zitatform

    Créchet, Jonathan, Etienne Lalé & Linas Tarasonis (2024): Life-Cycle Worker Flows and Cross-Country Differences in Aggregate Employment. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16878), Bonn, 71 S.

    Abstract

    "Cross-country employment differences are concentrated among women, the youth, and older individuals. In this paper, we document how worker flows between employment, unemployment, and out of the labor force vary by gender and age and contribute to aggregate employment differences across a large panel of European countries. We then build a life-cycle Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model capturing the salient features of our data. Key elements of the model are an extensive margin (i.e., labor force participation) and intensive margin (i.e., variable intensity) of search effort. The model attributes a major role to the production technology in driving differences in aggregate employment, while labor-market policies play a minor role. Search effort substantially amplifies the effects of technology across gender and age groups and is a prominent proximate cause of the cross-country variation in aggregate employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Risk and the allocation of talent in the Roy model (2024)

    Cubas, German; Soini, Vesa ; Silos, Pedro ;

    Zitatform

    Cubas, German, Pedro Silos & Vesa Soini (2024): Risk and the allocation of talent in the Roy model. In: Economics Letters, Jg. 236. DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111623

    Abstract

    "With risk-averse workers and uninsurable earnings shocks, competitive markets allocate too few workers to risky jobs. Using an equilibrium Roy model with incomplete markets, we show that in competitive equilibrium, risky occupations are inefficiently small and hence talent is misallocated." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Gender Stereotyping in the Labor Market: A Descriptive Analysis of Almost One Million Job Ads across 710 Occupations and Occupational Positions (2024)

    Damelang, Andreas ; Stops, Michael ; Rückel, Ann-Katrin;

    Zitatform

    Damelang, Andreas, Ann-Katrin Rückel & Michael Stops (2024): Gender Stereotyping in the Labor Market: A Descriptive Analysis of Almost One Million Job Ads across 710 Occupations and Occupational Positions. (IAB-Discussion Paper 13/2024), Nürnberg, 23 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.DP.2413

    Abstract

    "Wir analysieren Muster stereotypisierter Darstellungen von Geschlechtern (gender stereotyping) in Stellenanzeigen des deutschen Arbeitsmarkts und vergleichen diese Muster zwischen verschiedenen Berufsabgrenzungen. Basierend auf einem umfangreichen Stellenanzeigen-Datensatz der BA-Jobbörse, einem der größten Online-Jobportale Deutschlands, wendeten wir einen Machine Learning-Algorithmus an, um den Teil der Stellentexte zu identifizieren, in dem zu erfüllende Anforderungen und zu verrichtende Tätigkeiten explizit beschrieben werden. Wir nutzten ein eigens erstelltes Wörterbuch agentischer (männlich-konnotierter) und kommunaler (weiblich-konnotierter) Signalwörter, um die Stereotypisierung von Geschlechtern in Stellenbeschreibungen zu messen. Die war möglich für 710 Berufe. Die Ergebnisse zeigen zunächst, dass in unserer Stichprobe Berufe eher weiblich als männlich stereotypisiert sind. Wir untersuchen im Weiteren zwei Berufsgruppen näher, die sich deutlich hinsichtlich ihrer Anforderungen und Tätigkeitsinhalte unterscheiden, und hohe Relevanz bezüglich wichtiger Megatrends wie der Digitalisierung und dem demographischen Wandel haben: einerseits Mathematik, Informatik, Natur- und Ingenieurwissenschaft und Technik (MINT), und andererseits Berufe im Gesundheits- und Sozialwesen. Dabei unterschieden wir die enthaltenen einzelnen Berufe zum einen nach ihren Anforderungsniveaus und zum anderen danach, ob sie mit einfachen bzw. fachlichen Positionen oder mit Aufsichts- und Führungspositionen verbunden sind. Entgegen dem allgemeinen Befund, dass die von uns beobachteten Berufe überwiegend weiblich stereotypisiert sind, finden wir, dass die MINT-Berufe sowie Aufsichts- und Führungspositionen eher männlich stereotypisiert sind. Unsere Ergebnisse belegen einen positiven Zusammenhang zwischen Geschlechter-Stereotypisierung und berufsbezogener Geschlechtersegregation. Dies legt nahe, dass die Geschlechter-Stereotypisierung in Stellenanzeigen dazu beiträgt, dass Frauen in bestimmten Berufen und Berufspositionen unterrepräsentiert sind." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Stops, Michael ;
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    Occupation-Industry Mismatch in the Cross Section and the Aggregate (2024)

    Darougheh, Saman;

    Zitatform

    Darougheh, Saman (2024): Occupation-Industry Mismatch in the Cross Section and the Aggregate. In: Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, Jg. 2, H. 3, S. 375-408. DOI:10.1086/731536

    Abstract

    "I define occupations that are employed in more industries as “broader ” occupations. I study the implications of broadness for mismatch of the unemployed and vacancies across occupations and industries. I empirically find that workers in broader occupations are better insured against industry specific shocks. A recent literature has found that mismatch did not significantly contribute to the rise in unemployment during the Great Recession. I build a general equilibrium model that uses occupational broadness as a microfoundation of mismatch. The model uncovers a general equilibrium channel that realigns the strong crosssectional effects of mismatch with its missing aggregate impact. I argue that mismatch across occupations and industries cannot significantly contribute to aggregate unemployment fluctuations" (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Application Flows (2024)

    Davis, Steven J. ; Samaniego de la Parra, Brenda ;

    Zitatform

    Davis, Steven J. & Brenda Samaniego de la Parra (2024): Application Flows. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16903), Bonn, 61 S.

    Abstract

    "We build and analyze a new U.S. database that links 125 million applications to job vacancies and employer-side clients on Dice.com, an online platform for jobs and workers in software design, computer systems, engineering, financial analysis, management consulting, and other occupations that require technical skills. We find, first, that posting durations are quite short, often only two or three days, with a median of seven days. Second, labor market tightness has tiny effects on posting durations. Third, job seekers display a striking propensity to target new postings, with almost half of applications flowing to openings posted in the past 48 hours. Fourth, applications per posting are much too uneven to reflect random search, even within narrow market segments and job categories. Moreover, posted offer wages play no role in explaining the deviations from a random-search benchmark. Fifth, intermediaries play a huge role on both sides of the platform: Recruitment and staffing firms account for two-thirds of all postings and attract most of the applications. We relate these and other findings to theories of labor market search." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    In search of a job—But which one? How unemployed people revise their occupational expectations (2024)

    Demazière, Didier ;

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    Demazière, Didier (2024): In search of a job—But which one? How unemployed people revise their occupational expectations. In: Social Policy and Administration, Jg. 58, H. 7, S. 1025-1041. DOI:10.1111/spol.13011

    Abstract

    "Conducting a job search implies the identification of a target—an intended job. However, this assumption has been little studied, and just two main conclusions have been drawn, namely: jobseekers have an incentive to adjust their targets to the jobs available, and returning to work tends to lead to occupational downgrading. This article explores how job search experiences shape and alter targets. Biographical interviews were conducted with 57 unemployed people registered with the French public employment service. Ultimately, all of them revise their occupational expectations as, faced with the uncertainties inherent to the job search and experiencing difficulties in reaching their priority targets, they try to adapt and define more realistic goals. Four contrasting processes of expectation revision are used to track these tensions between desirability and realism. In conclusion, we stress the following facts: that unemployed people are flexible and develop rationales in order to adapt to the labour market; that their experience of failure, alongside advice and beliefs arising in the course of the job search feed directly into these revisions, and that these revisions both vary in magnitude and reflect inequalities in the defining process of target jobs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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    Declining Search Frictions, Unemployment and Self-Employment (2024)

    Denderski, Piotr ; Sniekers, Florian ;

    Zitatform

    Denderski, Piotr & Florian Sniekers (2024): Declining Search Frictions, Unemployment and Self-Employment. In: The Economic Journal, Jg. 134, H. 659, S. 1100-1145. DOI:10.1093/ej/uead093

    Abstract

    "In most OECD countries, unemployment rates show no trend, which is puzzling if advancements in information and communication technologies decrease labor-market frictions. We show, both analytically and quantitatively, that accounting for the secular decline in self-employment rates solves the puzzle. While declining labor-market frictions can theoretically explain these trends, we provide contradictory causal evidence that the roll-out of broadband internet has increased self-employment and decreased unemployment rates. We reconcile these observations with a new model featuring frictions in both labour and goods markets. We explain falling self-employment and non-trending unemployment quantitatively by labor-market frictions declining relatively more than goods-market frictions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    "New Plan", berufliche Weiterentwicklung und die Rolle von Informationen (2024)

    Dohmen, Thomas ; Künn, Steffen; Kleifgen, Eva ; Stephan, Gesine ;

    Zitatform

    Dohmen, Thomas, Eva Kleifgen, Steffen Künn & Gesine Stephan (2024): "New Plan", berufliche Weiterentwicklung und die Rolle von Informationen. (IAB-Forschungsbericht 01/2024), Nürnberg, 33 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FB.2401

    Abstract

    "In der sich wandelnden Arbeitswelt reicht es in der Regel nicht mehr aus, einmal im Leben einen Beruf zu erlernen. Oft ist im bisherigen Beruf eine Weiterentwicklung sinnvoll oder sogar erforderlich; eventuelle Berufswechsel erfordern dann häufig den Erwerb neuer Kenntnisse und Fähigkeiten. Um die Chancen und Herausforderungen einschätzen zu können, ist eine gute Informationsbasis erforderlich. Die Bundesagentur für Arbeit (BA) hat im Rahmen ihrer Berufsberatung im Erwerbsleben (BBiE) das Online-Tool New Plan entwickelt. Dieses soll Menschen dabei helfen im Beruf voranzukommen, die eigenen Stärken zu erkennen und neue Perspektiven zu finden. Das Tool besteht aus drei Bereichen: „Möglichkeiten testen“, „Inspirieren lassen“, „Weiterbildung suchen“. Der Bereich „Inspirieren“ stellt dabei auf Berufsebene umfassende Informationen für eine mögliche berufliche Umorientierung zur Verfügung. Dieser Forschungsbericht stellt Ergebnisse aus einer Online-Befragung von Beschäftigten und Personen, die Arbeitslosengeld bezogen, vor. Die Befragung hat unter anderem erhoben, ob Personen New Plan kannten und nutzten, an beruflicher Weiterentwicklung interessiert waren und sich gut über ihre Verdienst- und Beschäftigungsmöglichkeiten informiert fühlten. Der Bericht geht zudem der Frage nach, ob Personen diese Fragen anders beantworteten, wenn sie zuvor ein Informationsschreiben zu New Plan erhalten hatten. Zu der Befragung wurden im Juni 2022 Personen eingeladen, die im Januar 2022 zu einer der folgenden vier Gruppen gehörten: sozialversicherungspflichtig Vollzeitbeschäftigte (einschließlich Personen in Helfertätigkeiten), sozialversicherungspflichtig Vollzeitbeschäftigte in Helfertätigkeiten, Arbeitslosengeldempfänger*innen (einschließlich Personen ohne Berufsabschluss), Arbeitslosengeldempfänger*innen ohne Berufsabschluss. Insgesamt umfasst das hier ausgewertete Analysesample gut 4.400 Personen. Im Ergebnis zeigt sich, dass New Plan den Vollzeitbeschäftigten im Schnitt deutlich seltener bekannt war als den Personen, die zum damaligen Zeitpunkt bzw. davor Arbeitslosengeld bezogen hatten – ohne vorheriges Informationsschreiben betrugen die Anteile rund 2 bzw. 11 Prozent. Der Bekanntheitsgrad von New Plan stieg deutlich, wenn Personen zuvor ein Informationsschreiben erhalten hatten – bei den Vollzeitbeschäftigten und Arbeitslosengeldempfänger*innen nahm der Bekanntheitsgrad jeweils um 14 Prozentpunkte zu. Vollzeitbeschäftigte hatten New Plan ohne vorheriges Informationsschreiben mit 0,3 Prozent anteilig deutlich seltener angeschaut als Arbeitslosengeldempfänger*innen mit 8 Prozent. Hochgerechnet auf die aktuellen Grundgesamtheiten hätten demnach etwa 63.000 Vollzeitbeschäftigte und 61.000 Arbeitslosengeldempfänger*innen New Plan bereits einmal angeschaut. Auch hier zeigt sich, dass das vorher verschickte Informationsschreiben den Anteil der Befragten, der das Tool bereits angeschaut hatte, um etwa 10 Prozentpunkte erhöhen konnte. Die Befragung zeigt auch: Vollzeitbeschäftigte waren – mit knapp zwei Drittel – in etwas geringerem Ausmaß an beruflicher Weiterentwicklung interessiert als Arbeitslosengeldempfänger*innen. Deren Anteil lag hier bei knapp drei Vierteln – relativ unabhängig davon, ob die Befragten vorher ein Informationsschreiben erhalten hatten oder nicht. Die befragten Vollzeitbeschäftigten fühlten sich schließlich zu deutlich mehr als 50 Prozent (eher) gut über ihre Verdienst- und – in etwas höherem Umfang – über ihre Beschäftigungschancen informiert. Auch bei den Arbeitslosengeldempfänger*innen fühlten sich mehr als 50 Prozent (eher) gut informiert, bei wiederum nur geringen Unterschieden zwischen Personen mit oder ohne vorherigem Informationsschreiben." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Kleifgen, Eva ; Stephan, Gesine ;
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    Search, unemployment, and the Beveridge curve: Experimental evidence (2024)

    Duffy, John ; Jenkins, Brian C. ;

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    Duffy, John & Brian C. Jenkins (2024): Search, unemployment, and the Beveridge curve: Experimental evidence. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 87. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102518

    Abstract

    "We report on a laboratory experiment testing the predictions of the Diamond–Mortensen–Pissarides (DMP) search-and-matching model, which is a workhorse, decentralized model of unemployment and the labor market. We focus on the job vacancy posting problem that firms face in the DMP model. We explore the model’s comparative statics predictions concerning variations in the separation rate, the vacancy posting cost, and the firm’s surplus earned per employee. Across all treatments, we find strong evidence for an inverse relationship between vacancies and unemployment, consistent with the Beveridge curve. We also find that the results of our various comparative statics exercises are in-line with the predictions of the theory." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    The Effect of Wealth on Worker Productivity (2024)

    Eeckhout, Jan ; Sepahsalari, Alireza;

    Zitatform

    Eeckhout, Jan & Alireza Sepahsalari (2024): The Effect of Wealth on Worker Productivity. In: The Review of Economic Studies, Jg. 91, H. 3, S. 1584-1633. DOI:10.1093/restud/rdad059

    Abstract

    "We propose a theory that analyzes how a workers’ asset holdings affect their job productivity. In a labor market with uninsurable risk, workers choose to direct their job search trading off productivity and wages against unemployment risk. Workers with low asset holdings have a precautionary job search motive, they direct their search to low productivity jobs because those offer a low risk at the cost of low productivity and a low wage. Our main theoretical contribution shows that the presence of consumption smoothing can reconcile the directed search model with negative duration-dependence on wages, a robust empirical regularity that the canonical directed search model cannot rationalize. We calibrate the infinite horizon economy and find this mechanism to be quantitatively important. We evaluate a tax financed unemployment insurance (UI) scheme and analyze how it affects welfare. Aggregate welfare is inverted U-shaped in benefits: the insurance effect UI dominates the incentive effects for low levels of benefits and vice versa for high benefits. In addition, when UI increases, total production falls in the economy while worker productivity increases." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Directed Search, Wages, and Non-wage Amenities: Evidence from an Online Job Board (2024)

    Escudero, Verónica ; Liepmann, Hannah; Vergara, Damián;

    Zitatform

    Escudero, Verónica, Hannah Liepmann & Damián Vergara (2024): Directed Search, Wages, and Non-wage Amenities: Evidence from an Online Job Board. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17211), Bonn, 38 S.

    Abstract

    "We leverage rich data from a prominent online job board in Uruguay to assess directed search patterns in job applications, focusing on posted wages and advertised non-wage amenities. We find robust evidence of directed search based on posted wages in the crosssection, with stark heterogeneity by occupation: the wage-application correlation is driven by vacancies attached to lower-skill occupations, with applications to vacancies attached to higher-skill occupations showing no responsiveness to posted wages. By applying text analysis to the job ads, we elicit advertised non-wage amenities and find evidence of directed search based on non-wage amenities. Applications to vacancies attached to lower-skill occupations are consistent with lexicographic application preferences: amenities predict applications to these vacancies only when wages are not posted. Finally, we exploit industry-by-occupation minimum wage variation to demonstrate that the observed occupational heterogeneity in directed search patterns is supported by quasi-experimental difference-in-differences estimates of the impact of wages on job applications." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Herausforderungen für die Arbeitsmärkte der Zukunft am Beispiel Deutschland: Teil des Zeitgesprächs "Herausforderungen für die Arbeitsmärkte der Zukunft" (2024)

    Fitzenberger, Bernd ; Holleitner, Julia; Kagerl, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Fitzenberger, Bernd, Julia Holleitner & Christian Kagerl (2024): Herausforderungen für die Arbeitsmärkte der Zukunft am Beispiel Deutschland. Teil des Zeitgesprächs "Herausforderungen für die Arbeitsmärkte der Zukunft". In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Jg. 104, H. 8, S. 519-523., 2024-08-08. DOI:10.2478/wd-2024-0137

    Abstract

    "Starke Transformationsprozesse durch Digitalisierung und Dekarbonisierung verändern den Arbeitsmarkt. Trotz aktuell schwacher Wirtschafts­entwicklung dürfte sich der Fachkräfte- und Arbeitskräftemangel aufgrund einer alternden Erwerbsbevölkerung weiter verschärfen, trotz einer in Deutschland im Vergleich zu anderen Ländern hohen Beschäftigungsquote. Um dies abzufedern, ist die Erschließung weiterer Beschäftigungspotenziale von Älteren, von Frauen und von Zugewanderten notwendig. Ebenso bedarf es höherer Investitionen, vor allem in die Digitalisierung, und eine höhere Mobilität, Agilität und Weiterbildung von Beschäftigten und Betrieben, um die Arbeitsproduktivität zu steigern. Auf diesem Wege können Arbeitskräfte ohne Wohlstandsverluste eingespart und die Beschäftigung in gut bezahlten Jobs gesichert werden. Zu adressieren sind ebenfalls die starken Passungsprobleme zwischen der großen Zahl an offenen Stellen und an Arbeitsuchenden sowie der langfristige Rückgang der Zahl der Selbstständigen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © Springer)

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    Asymmetric Reciprocity and the Cyclical Behavior of Wages, Effort, and Job Creation (2024)

    Fongoni, Marco ;

    Zitatform

    Fongoni, Marco (2024): Asymmetric Reciprocity and the Cyclical Behavior of Wages, Effort, and Job Creation. In: American Economic Journal. Macroeconomics, Jg. 16, H. 3, S. 52-89. DOI:10.1257/mac.20200321

    Abstract

    "This paper develops a search and matching framework in which workers are characterized by asymmetric reference-dependent reciprocity and firms set wages by considering the effect that these can have on workers’ effort and, therefore, on output. The cyclical response ofeffort to wage changes can considerably amplify shocks, independently of the cyclicality of the hiring wage, which becomes irrelevant for unemployment volatility, and firms’ expectations of downward wage rigidity in existing jobs increases the volatility of job creation. The model is consistent with evidence on hiring and incumbents’ wage cyclicality, and provides novel predictions on the dynamics of effort." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Arbeitslose im Grundsicherungsbezug: Väter nehmen ungünstige Arbeitszeiten und lange Arbeitswege eher in Kauf als Mütter (2024)

    Frodermann, Corinna ;

    Zitatform

    Frodermann, Corinna (2024): Arbeitslose im Grundsicherungsbezug: Väter nehmen ungünstige Arbeitszeiten und lange Arbeitswege eher in Kauf als Mütter. In: IAB-Forum H. 20.11.2024. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20241120.01

    Abstract

    "Daten des Panels „Arbeitsmarkt und soziale Sicherung“ (PASS) zeigen, dass Arbeitslose, die Leistungen der Grundsicherung beziehen, eine hohe Bereitschaft haben, eine neue Arbeitsstelle auch unter schlechteren Bedingungen anzunehmen. Bei dieser sogenannten Konzessionsbereitschaft gibt es allerdings große Unterschiede zwischen Männern und Frauen, vor allem unter Berücksichtigung des familiären Kontextes." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Frodermann, Corinna ;
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    Social media and hiring: a survey experiment on discrimination based on online social class cues (2024)

    Galos, Diana Roxana ;

    Zitatform

    Galos, Diana Roxana (2024): Social media and hiring: a survey experiment on discrimination based on online social class cues. In: European Sociological Review, Jg. 40, H. 1, S. 116-128. DOI:10.1093/esr/jcad012

    Abstract

    "Discrimination based on social class is challenging to study, and therefore likely to be underappreciated due to its subtle nature. Social class is often difficult to gauge from traditional resumes, yet, the expansion of social networking platforms provides employers with an additional source of information. Given that many individuals have a social media presence today, employers can increasingly rely on additional information gleaned from such online platforms (e.g., Twitter, Instagram), which may alter hiring decisions. To study the role of social networking platforms vis-à-vis potential discrimination based on social class cues, I leverage an original online survey experiment in the United States. The aim of the investigation is (i) to measure the effect of cultural markers of social class expressed on social media profiles in a hypothetical hiring situation and (ii) to analyse potential channels that might explain class-based discrimination. I show that subjects favour the upper-class-signalling candidate over the lower-class-signalling candidate and that perceived competence and perceived warmth are two channels through which class-based discrimination may occur. The individual’s online presence might not be part of the formal application process, yet it seems to shape inferences about individuals’ employability, competence, and warmth." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The inelastic demand for affirmative action (2024)

    Getik, Demid; Samahita, Margaret ; Islam, Marco;

    Zitatform

    Getik, Demid, Marco Islam & Margaret Samahita (2024): The inelastic demand for affirmative action. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 170. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104862

    Abstract

    "We study the role of financial incentives in driving support for affirmative action (AA) in a series of online experiments. Participants act as employers deciding whether to use AA in hiring. We implement three treatments to disentangle AA preferences stemming from perceived gender differences in productivity, perceived effects of AA on productivity, or other costs of AA for employers. Around 1/3 of employers consistently implement AA, and we do not find any significant difference across treatments, despite successfully altering beliefs about productivity differences. Our results suggest that AA choice reflects a more intrinsic and inelastic preference for advancing female candidates." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Worker mobility and UI extensions (2024)

    Goensch, Johannes ; Kospentaris, Ioannis; Gulyas, Andreas ;

    Zitatform

    Goensch, Johannes, Andreas Gulyas & Ioannis Kospentaris (2024): Worker mobility and UI extensions. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 162. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104672

    Abstract

    "We develop an equilibrium search model with a labor force participation decision, job-to-job transitions, and endogenous separations. The calibrated model perfectly matches the observed labor market flows in US data. We use the model to simulate the effects of an extension of unemployment insurance benefits to 99 weeks. The reform leads to a decrease in employment, an increase in the labor force participation and unemployment rate, while it leaves labor productivity roughly constant. Using a model-based decomposition, as well as comparisons with alternative simplified models, we show that modeling workers’ participation decisions, job-to-job transitions, and endogenous separations together is crucial for a complete and accurate analysis of UI reforms." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Age-Related Differences in Job Search Behavior: Do Older Jobseekers Need a Larger Social Network? (2024)

    Guillemyn, Inés; Horemans, Jeroen;

    Zitatform

    Guillemyn, Inés & Jeroen Horemans (2024): Age-Related Differences in Job Search Behavior: Do Older Jobseekers Need a Larger Social Network? In: Work, Aging and Retirement, Jg. 10, H. 3, S. 213-224. DOI:10.1093/workar/waad003

    Abstract

    "Increasing the employment rate of individuals aged 55+ is a key challenge in many OECD countries. While labor market discrimination and policy measures have been put forward as possible explanations, the role of job search remains largely unexplored. Yet, it determines to a large extent the match between supply and demand on the labor market. In this paper, we examine age-related differences in job search behavior. As skills have often become outdated for older workers, but job mobility may enhance their employment, we analyze search behavior for the unemployed as well as the employed adopting multiple parameters: job search intensity, use of the public employment agency, and social networking. The results indicate that jobseekers of different age employ different search methods, and that this relationship should be analyzed within the employment context of the jobseeker." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    IAB-Monitor Arbeitskräftebedarf 2/2024: Rund 400.000 offene Stellen weniger als im Vorjahresquartal (Serie "Arbeitskräftesicherung") (2024)

    Gürtzgen, Nicole ; Kubis, Alexander; Popp, Martin ;

    Zitatform

    Gürtzgen, Nicole, Alexander Kubis & Martin Popp (2024): IAB-Monitor Arbeitskräftebedarf 2/2024: Rund 400.000 offene Stellen weniger als im Vorjahresquartal (Serie "Arbeitskräftesicherung"). In: IAB-Forum H. 16.09.2024 Nürnberg. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20240916.01

    Abstract

    "Das gesamtwirtschaftliche Stellenangebot ist gegenüber dem Vorjahresquartal weiterhin rückläufig. Im zweiten Quartal 2024 liegt die Zahl der offenen Stellen insgesamt 23 Prozent unter dem Niveau des Vorjahres. Gerade kleinere Betriebe halten sich derzeit am Arbeitsmarkt zurück und suchen weniger Personal." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    IAB-Monitor Arbeitskräftebedarf 4/2023: Rückgang der offenen Stellen insbesondere bei kleinen und mittelgroßen Betrieben (Serie Arbeitskräftesicherung ) (2024)

    Gürtzgen, Nicole ; Kubis, Alexander; Popp, Martin ;

    Zitatform

    Gürtzgen, Nicole, Alexander Kubis & Martin Popp (2024): IAB-Monitor Arbeitskräftebedarf 4/2023: Rückgang der offenen Stellen insbesondere bei kleinen und mittelgroßen Betrieben (Serie Arbeitskräftesicherung ). In: IAB-Forum H. 19.03.2024 Nürnberg. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20240319.01

    Abstract

    "Das gesamtwirtschaftliche Stellenangebot ist gegenüber dem Vorjahresquartal weiterhin rückläufig, im Vergleich zum Vorquartal jedoch stabil. Insgesamt ist der Arbeitskräftebedarf nach wie vor hoch. Allerdings gibt es deutliche Unterschiede nach Branchen und Betriebsgröße." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Do employers learn more from referrals than from other recruitment channels? (2024)

    Gürtzgen, Nicole ; Pohlan, Laura ;

    Zitatform

    Gürtzgen, Nicole & Laura Pohlan (2024): Do employers learn more from referrals than from other recruitment channels? In: Labour Economics, Jg. 89, 2024-05-16. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102574

    Abstract

    "We study whether referrals deliver better information about the productivity of new hires than other recruiting channels. Using combined vacancy-register data, we document that referrals are associated with less screening and lower search costs. We demonstrate that the referral wage premium is informative on referrals’ information advantage only if differences in screening are accounted for. Consistent with the predictions from a learning model, referrals increase new hires’ job stability and wages, with the effects diminishing over time. Results suggest that the referral information advantage is particularly pronounced for males and when employers use referrals as the only search channel." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

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    Gürtzgen, Nicole ; Pohlan, Laura ;
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    Information Frictions and Skill Signaling in the Youth Labor Market (2024)

    Heller, Sara B.; Kessler, Judd B. ;

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    Heller, Sara B. & Judd B. Kessler (2024): Information Frictions and Skill Signaling in the Youth Labor Market. In: American Economic Journal. Economic Policy, Jg. 16, H. 4, S. 1-33. DOI:10.1257/pol.20220544

    Abstract

    "This paper provides evidence that information frictions limit the labor market trajectories of US youth. We provide credible skill signals— recommendation letters based on supervisor feedback—to a random subset of 43,409 participants in New York’s summer jobs program. Letters increase employment the following year by 3 percentage points (4.5 percent). Earnings effects grow over four years to a cumulative $1,349 (4.9 percent). We find little evidence of increased job search or confidence; instead, signals may help employers better identify successful matches with high-productivity workers. Pulling youth into the labor market can, however, hamper on-time graduation, especially among low-achieving students." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    New Empirical Findings about the Interaction between Public Employment Agency and Private Search Effort (2024)

    Holzner, Christian ; Watanabe, Makoto ;

    Zitatform

    Holzner, Christian & Makoto Watanabe (2024): New Empirical Findings about the Interaction between Public Employment Agency and Private Search Effort. (CESifo working paper), München, 46 S.

    Abstract

    "The Public Employment Agency (PEA) helps unemployed to find work and mediates PEAregistered job vacancies to job seekers via vacancy referrals. Using the spatial and temporal variation resulting from the regional roll-out of the Hartz 3 reform we are able to show that Hartz 3, which changed the counseling process of unemployed, decreased the fraction of unemployed that received vacancy referrals, increased the job-finding probability of unemployed without vacancy referrals, left the job-finding probability of unemployed with vacancy referrals unaffected, and increased average wages of newly hired, previously unemployed. Since the existing literature is not able to explain this set of findings, we develop a simple theoretical directed search model, which does. It does so by considering the interaction between the private market and the intermediation provided by the PEA." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Sorting through Cheap Talk: Theory and Evidence from a Labor Market (2024)

    Horton, John J. ; Johari, Ramesh; Kircher, Philipp;

    Zitatform

    Horton, John J., Ramesh Johari & Philipp Kircher (2024): Sorting through Cheap Talk: Theory and Evidence from a Labor Market. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17052), Bonn, 78 S.

    Abstract

    "In a labor market model with cheap talk, employers can send messages about their willingness to pay for higher-ability workers, which job-seekers can use to direct their search and tailor their wage bid. Introducing such messages leads – under certain conditions – to an informative separating equilibrium that affects the number of applications, types of applications, and wage bids across rms. This model is used to interpret an experiment conducted in a large online labor market: employers were given the opportunity to state their relative willingness to pay for more experienced workers, and workers can easily condition their search on this information. Preferences were collected for all employers but only treated employers had their signal revealed to job-seekers. In response to revelation of the cheap talk signal, job-seekers targeted their applications to employers of the right "type," and they tailored their wage bids, affecting who was matched to whom and at what wage. The treatment increased measures of match quality through better sorting, illustrating the power of cheap talk for talent matching." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Skill vs. education types of labor mismatch and their association with earnings (2024)

    Iakovlev, Vsevolod;

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    Iakovlev, Vsevolod (2024): Skill vs. education types of labor mismatch and their association with earnings. (Accountancy, Economics, and Finance Working Papers / Heriot-Watt University, Department of Accountancy, Economics, and Finance 2024,12), Edinburgh, 82 S.

    Abstract

    "This work aims to determine whether the difference between skill and education-based measures of labor mismatch affects the estimates of the labor mismatch-earnings relationship as specified by Verdugo and Verdugo's (1989) version of over, required and undereducation (ORU) Mincer earnings function. The analysis employs crossectional data for 26 countries from the 1st Cycle of the OECD Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) conducted between 2011 and 2012. The preliminary results of the graphical analysis show that education and skill mismatch may exhibit opposite relationships with earnings at the country level. Specifically, over and under-education are found to be positively associated with median earnings, whereas over and under-skilling show a negative association. To investigate the source of the opposite correlations, an error components model is used. Additionally, the paper explores the heterogeneity in earnings and labor mismatch across a set of commonly used controls. The analysis produces mixed coefficient estimates for under and over-education but predominantly negative estimates for under and over-skilling at both individual and market levels. The market-level unobserved heterogeneity is found to be driving the coefficients away from zero. Although removing it often leads to a slight loss of magnitude, some exceptions exhibit a change of sign or loss of statistical significance. It is, thus, concluded that education and skill mismatch should be distinguished both conceptually and empirically and, if used as a proxy for each other, are unlikely to produce accurate results in the analysis of the Mincer earnings function." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Reasons for college major-job mismatch and subsequent job mobility and earnings growth (2024)

    Jiang, Shengjun ;

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    Jiang, Shengjun (2024): Reasons for college major-job mismatch and subsequent job mobility and earnings growth. In: Empirical economics, Jg. 67, H. 3, S. 1275-1301. DOI:10.1007/s00181-024-02578-z

    Abstract

    "This study examines the heterogeneity in job mobility and earnings growth among workers who were mismatched in their previous jobs due to different reasons. Mismatched is defined as working in jobs that are not related to the highest degree field. Using a panel dataset derived from the National Survey of College Graduates, I find that workers who were previously mismatched due to the unavailability of jobs in related fields (demand-mismatched) are more likely to make complex moves, i.e., changing both employer and job title, and experience higher earnings growth relative to their matched counterparts. The earnings growth among previously matched workers and workers who were mismatched due to other reasons, such as a change in career interests (supply-mismatched), is generally not significantly different. However, supply-mismatched workers encounter negative earnings growth after making simple moves, i.e., changing only employer. Further, heterogeneous earnings growth patterns are found among mismatched workers in different stages of career and between female and male mismatched workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    What Skills Pay More? The Changing Demand and Return to Skills for Professional Workers (2024)

    Josten, Cecily; Lordan, Grace ; Krause, Helen; Yeung, Brian;

    Zitatform

    Josten, Cecily, Helen Krause, Grace Lordan & Brian Yeung (2024): What Skills Pay More? The Changing Demand and Return to Skills for Professional Workers. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16755), Bonn, 72 S.

    Abstract

    "Technology is disrupting labor markets. We analyze the demand and reward for skills at occupation and state level across two time periods using job postings. First, we use principal components analysis to derive nine skills groups: 'collaborative leader', 'interpersonal & organized', 'big data', 'cloud computing', 'programming', 'machine learning', 'research', 'math' and 'analytical'. Second, we comment on changes in the price and demand for skills over time. Third, we analyze non-linear returns to all skills groups and their interactions. We find that 'collaborative leader' skills become significant over time and that legacy data skills are replaced over time by innovative ones." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Strategic Wage Posting, Market Power, and Mismatch (2024)

    Jungbauer, Thomas ;

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    Jungbauer, Thomas (2024): Strategic Wage Posting, Market Power, and Mismatch. In: Journal of labor economics, S. 1-26. DOI:10.1086/733046

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes the effects of firms posting multiple but varying number of vacancies, hence differing in their market power, in professional labor markets. I find that strategic wage Posting does, in general, not result in an efficient assignment of workers to firms. This is because firms with a larger number of vacancies pay on average lower wages than their competitors due to alack of within-firm rivalry. If highly productive firms hire more, the resulting welfare loss dueto mismatch may be substantial. Moreover, I provide a potential explanation why firms postuniform wages, missing out on more-skilled workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    No Thanks, Dear AI! Understanding the Effects of Disclosure and Deployment of Artificial Intelligence in Public Sector Recruitment (2024)

    Keppeler, Florian ;

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    Keppeler, Florian (2024): No Thanks, Dear AI! Understanding the Effects of Disclosure and Deployment of Artificial Intelligence in Public Sector Recruitment. In: Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, Jg. 34, H. 1, S. 39-52. DOI:10.1093/jopart/muad009

    Abstract

    "Applications based on artificial intelligence (AI) play an increasing role in the public sector and invoke political discussions. Research gaps exist regarding the disclosure effects—reactions to disclosure of the use of AI applications—and the deploymenteffect—efficiency gains in data savvy tasks. This study analyzes disclosure effects and explores the deployment of an AI application in a preregistered field experiment (n = 2,000) co-designed with a public organization in the context of employer-driven recruitment. The linear regression results show that disclosing the use of the AI application leads to significantly less interest in an offer among job candidates. The explorative analysis of the deployment of the AI application indicates that the person–job fit determined by the leaders can be predicted by the AIapplication. Based on the literature on algorithm aversion and digital discretion, this study provides a theoretical and empirical disentanglement of the disclosure effect and the deployment effect to inform future evaluations of AI applications in the public sector. It contributes to the understanding of how AI applications can shape public policy and management decisions, and discusses the potential benefits and downsides of disclosing and deploying AI applications in the public sector and in employer-driven recruitment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Arbeits- und Fachkräftemangel trotz Arbeitslosigkeit (2024)

    Klaus, Anton; Beckmann, Ralf;

    Zitatform

    Klaus, Anton & Ralf Beckmann (2024): Arbeits- und Fachkräftemangel trotz Arbeitslosigkeit. (Berichte: Arbeitsmarkt kompakt / Bundesagentur für Arbeit), Nürnberg, 19 S.

    Abstract

    "• Trotz konjunktureller Schwäche klagen viele Unternehmen über Fachkräftemangel. Die letzte Fachkräfteengpassanalyse der Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit weist für das Jahr 2022 200 Engpassberufe aus. Da stellt sich die Frage: Wie ist das mit einer Zahl von 2,6 Millionen Arbeitslosen im Jahresdurchschnitt 2023 zu vereinbaren?
    ÐA• Arbeitslosigkeit ist kein statischer Block. Am Arbeitsmarkt gibt es viel Bewegung. Von Januar bis Dezember 2023 haben sich in Deutschland mehr als 2,2 Millionen Menschen im Anschluss an eine Erwerbstätigkeit arbeitslos gemeldet. Im selben Zeitraum haben 1,7 Millionen Arbeitslose eine Beschäftigung aufgenommen.
    ÐA• In der Arbeitslosenversicherung sind die Wechsel zwischen Beschäftigung und Arbeitslosigkeit deutlich dynamischer als in der Grundsicherung für Arbeitsuchende.
    ÐA• In der Grundsicherung für Arbeitsuchende, in der zwei Drittel der Arbeitslosen betreut werden, ist deshalb die durchschnittliche Dauer der Arbeitslosigkeit länger und der Anteil an Langzeit-arbeitslosen mit 47 Prozent sehr viel höher.
    ÐA• Dies lässt sich unter anderem auf häufig auftretende multiple Vermittlungshemmnisse zurückführen. Knapp die Hälfte der Arbeitslosen im SGB II hat mindestens zwei vermittlungs-hemmende Merkmale wie zum Beispiel keine formale Berufsausbildung und langzeitarbeitslos.
    ÐA• Der Arbeitsmarktausgleich wird darüber hinaus durch einen erheblichen Mismatch erschwert. Dieser lässt sich statistisch vor allem aus qualifikatorischer, beruflicher oder auch regionaler Sicht beschreiben.
    ÐA• Über die Hälfte der Arbeitslosen sucht eine Beschäftigung auf Helferniveau. Jedoch richten sich fast 80 Prozent der gemeldeten Stellen an Fachleute.
    ÐA• Während auf Ebene der Helfer rein rechnerisch rund 9 Arbeitslose auf eine Stelle kommen, liegt die Relation bei qualifiziertem Fachpersonal bei knapp 2:1.
    ÐA• Engpässe sind vor allemin Pflege-, Gesundheits- und Sozialberufen, in Bau- und Handwerks-berufen oder auch in IT-Berufen auszumachen. Dagegen gibt es zum Beispiel in Büroberufen, in der Lagerlogistik oder auch in künstlerisch-kreativen Berufen vergleichsweise viele Arbeitslose auf wenige gemeldete Stellen.
    ÐA• Regional fallen vor allem Unterschiede zwischen den Flächenländern und den Stadtstaaten auf. Während es in Bayern rechnerisch gesehen weniger arbeitslose Fachkräfte als gemeldete Stellen gibt, treffen in Hamburg oder Berlin im Schnitt gut 3 bis 5 arbeitslose Fachkräfte auf eine gemeldete Stelle.
    ÐA• Als Potenzial für die Besetzung offener Stellen kommen nicht nur Arbeitslose in Frage, sondern auch beispielsweise nichtarbeitslose Arbeitsuchende, (junge) Menschen, die in Kürze einen beruflichen Abschluss erwerben, Personen aus der Stillen Reserve oder auch zugewanderte Menschen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Welfare Impact of Reemployment Bonuses (2024)

    Komatsu, Katsuhiro;

    Zitatform

    Komatsu, Katsuhiro (2024): The Welfare Impact of Reemployment Bonuses. (SSRN papers), Rochester, NY, 39 S. DOI:10.2139/ssrn.4534315

    Abstract

    "This paper investigates the welfare impact of reemployment bonuses in a dynamic job search model. Reemployment bonuses, monetary incentives offered to workers who obtain employment, may mitigate the moral hazard in unemployment insurance (UI) while preserving consumption smoothing. Using a sufficient statistics approach, I first show the substantial positive impact of reemployment bonuses on welfare given the current level of UI benefits. Then, by using a quantitative model of job search, consumption, and saving, I study the optimal combination of UI benefits and reemployment bonuses. I find that the optimal UI benefit level is higher when reemployment bonuses are incorporated. Compared to the welfare gain achieved by implementing only the optimal level of UI benefits, the optimal combination of UI benefits and reemployment bonuses achieves a 56 percent larger welfare gain." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Social capital, job search and labor market outcomes (2024)

    Krug, Gerhard ;

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    Krug, Gerhard (2024): Social capital, job search and labor market outcomes. In: S. McDonald, R. Côté & J. Shen (Hrsg.) (2024): The Handbook on Inequality and Social Capital, 2023-02-01. DOI:10.4337/9781802202373.00034

    Abstract

    "This chapter gives an overview of the role of social capital in job search. Based on the conceptual distinction between accessed, activated and mobilized social capital, the author first posits a theoretical model of how social capital relates to individuals’ job search behavior and shapes labor market outcomes. This model is used to specify the contributions of a variety of empirical studies from disciplines such as sociology, labor market economics and social psychology to the social capital literature. The author also reviews empirical studies on employers’ use of social capital and social networks and studies on the role of personal contacts as intermediaries between job seekers and employers seeking to fill a vacancy. The chapter concludes with a discussion of frequently encountered methodological problems in research on social capital and job search and of possible directions for future research." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elgar) ((en))

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    Krug, Gerhard ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Firm Productivity, Wages, and Sorting (2024)

    Lochner, Benjamin ; Schulz, Bastian ;

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    Lochner, Benjamin & Bastian Schulz (2024): Firm Productivity, Wages, and Sorting. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 42, H. 1, S. 85-119., 2022-09-13. DOI:10.1086/722564

    Abstract

    "We study the link between firm productivity and the wages that firms pay. Guided by a search-matching model with large firms, worker and firm heterogeneity, and production complementarities, we infer firm productivity by estimating firm-level production functions. Using German data, we find that the most productive firms do not pay the highest wages. Worker transitions from high- to medium-productivity firms are on average associated with wage gains. Productivity sorting, that is, the sorting of high-ability workers into high-productivity firms, is less pronounced than the sorting into high-wage firms." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © University of Chicago Press) ((en))

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    Lochner, Benjamin ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Unemployed Job Search across People and over Time: Evidence from Applied-for Jobs (2024)

    Maibom, Jonas ; Harmon, Nikolaj; Glenny, Anita; Fluchtmann, Jonas ;

    Zitatform

    Maibom, Jonas, Nikolaj Harmon, Anita Glenny & Jonas Fluchtmann (2024): Unemployed Job Search across People and over Time: Evidence from Applied-for Jobs. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 42, H. 4, S. 1175-1217. DOI:10.1086/725165

    Abstract

    "Using data on applied-for jobs for the universe of Danish UI recipients, we examine variation in job search behavior both across individuals and over time during unemployment spells. We find large differences in the level of applied-for wages across individuals but over time all individuals adjust wages downward in the same way. The decline in applied-for wages over time is descriptively small but economically important in standard models of job search. We find similar results when examining variation in the non-wage characteristics of applied-for jobs and in the search methods used to find them. We discuss implications for theory." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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