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FDZ-Literatur / FDZ Literature

Die FDZ-Literaturdatenbank umfasst neben Datensatzbeschreibungen und Methodenberichten die zahlreichen Forschungsarbeiten, die auf Basis der am FDZ angebotenen Daten entstanden sind. Hier finden Sie aktuell laufende Projekte von FDZ-Nutzenden.
Darüber hinaus stehen die Literaturdatenbank zum IAB-Betriebspanel sowie die Literaturdatenbank zum PASS zur Verfügung.

Apart from dataset descriptions and methodology reports, the FDZ literature database contains numerous research papers written on the basis of the data provided by the FDZ. Here you can find currently ungoing research projects of FDZ users.
In addition, literature databases on the IAB Establishment Panel and the Panel Study Labour Market and Social Security (PASS) are available for research.

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Immigration, monopsony and the distribution of firm pay (2024)

    Amior, Michael; Stuhler, Jan;

    Zitatform

    Amior, Michael & Jan Stuhler (2024): Immigration, monopsony and the distribution of firm pay. (CEP discussion paper / Centre for Economic Performance 1971), London, 89 S.

    Abstract

    "We argue that the arrival of immigrants with low reservation wages can strengthen the monopsony power of firms. Firms can exploit "cheap" migrant labor by offering lower wages, though at the cost of forgoing potential native hires who demand higher wages. This monopsonistic trade-off can lead to large negative effects on native employment, which exceed those in competitive models, and which are concentrated among low-paying firms. To validate these predictions, we study changes in wage premia and employment across the firm pay distribution, during a large immigration wave in Germany. These adverse effects are not inevitable and may be ameliorated through policies which constrain firms' monopsony power over migrants." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Die Lohnlücke in der Zeitarbeit: Eine empirische Analyse auf Grundlage der Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien und der Verdienststrukturerhebung (2024)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Martínez Flores, Fernanda; Rulff, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Fernanda Martínez Flores & Christian Rulff (2024): Die Lohnlücke in der Zeitarbeit. Eine empirische Analyse auf Grundlage der Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien und der Verdienststrukturerhebung. In: Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Jg. 18, H. 1, S. 15-36. DOI:10.1007/s11943-023-00323-z

    Abstract

    "Die Lohnlücke zwischen Personen, die innerhalb und außerhalb der Zeitarbeit beschäftigt sind, wird in Deutschland auf Grundlage verschiedener Datensätze berechnet, was teilweise zu sehr unterschiedlichen Ergebnissen führt. Der vorliegende Artikel untersucht die Lohnlücke in der Zeitarbeit daher anhand zweier Datensätze, den Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien (IEB) des Instituts für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesagentur für Arbeit und der Verdienststrukturerhebung (VSE) des Statistischen Bundesamtes. Hierzu wird die Lohnlücke auf Basis der beiden Mikrodatensätze mithilfe verschiedener ökonometrischer Verfahren analysiert. Die Ergebnisse der Studie zeigen, dass beim Vergleich von öffentlichen Statistiken auf eine Vergleichbarkeit der zugrundeliegenden Stichprobe geachtet werden sollte. Die Lohnlücke bei den Monatslöhnen ist bei Verwendung von IEB-Daten etwas größer als bei VSE-Daten, was auf Unterschiede in der Zusammensetzung der Stichprobe zurückzuführen ist. Die ökonometrische Analyse der Monatslöhne ergibt für beide Datensätze, dass die bereinigte Lohnlücke, d. h. die Lohnlücke nach Kontrolle für beobachtbare Charakteristika, deutlich geringer ausfällt als die unbereinigte Lohnlücke. Eine zusätzliche Analyse der Stundenlöhne auf Grundlage der VSE zeigt, dass die bereinigte Lohnlücke nahe null liegt. Dies deutet darauf hin, dass die Arbeitszeit eine wichtige Rolle für die Lohnlücke spielt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Anhaltende berufliche Geschlechtersegregation: In Ost wie West arbeiten Frauen und Männer häufig in unterschiedlichen Berufen (2024)

    Bächmann, Ann-Christin ; Schels, Brigitte ; Kleinert, Corinna ;

    Zitatform

    Bächmann, Ann-Christin, Corinna Kleinert & Brigitte Schels (2024): Anhaltende berufliche Geschlechtersegregation: In Ost wie West arbeiten Frauen und Männer häufig in unterschiedlichen Berufen. (IAB-Kurzbericht 03/2024), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2403

    Abstract

    "Trotz einer Annäherung der Arbeitsmärkte zeichnen sich Ost- und Westdeutschland bis heute durch markante Unterschiede in der Branchenstruktur sowie in der Erwerbsbeteiligung von Frauen aus. Vor diesem Hintergrund untersuchen die Autorinnen, ob und wie sich auch die berufliche Trennung von Frauen und Männern unterscheidet. Der Kurzbericht zeigt: Auf dem deutschen Arbeitsmarkt besteht die ausgeprägte berufliche Geschlechtersegregation fort – in Ost- wie in Westdeutschland. Im Untersuchungszeitraum zwischen 2012 und 2019 ist das Ausmaß der beruflichen Trennung von Frauen und Männern nur leicht zurückgegangen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Bächmann, Ann-Christin ; Schels, Brigitte ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Occupation Growth, Skill Prices, and Wage Inequality (2024)

    Böhm, Michael J. ; Schran, Felix; Gaudecker, Hans-Martin von;

    Zitatform

    Böhm, Michael J., Hans-Martin von Gaudecker & Felix Schran (2024): Occupation Growth, Skill Prices, and Wage Inequality. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 42, H. 1, S. 201-243. DOI:10.1086/722084

    Abstract

    "We study the relationship between occupational employment, occupational wages,and wage inequality. In all occupations, entrants and leavers earn less than stayers, suggesting negative selection effects for growing occupations and positive effects for shrinking ones. We estimate a model of occupational prices and skills, which includes specific skill accumulation and endogenous switching. Contrary to uncorrected wages, prices and employment growth are positively related. 40% of selectionis due to age in that entrants and leavers have had less time to accumulate skills.The remainder is Roy-type selection. Skill prices establish a quantitative Connection of occupational changes with surging wage inequality." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Der Equal Pay Day unter der Lupe: Die Lohnlücke zwischen Männern und Frauen unterscheidet sich je nach Region erheblich (2024)

    Collischon, Matthias ; Zimmermann, Florian ;

    Zitatform

    Collischon, Matthias & Florian Zimmermann (2024): Der Equal Pay Day unter der Lupe: Die Lohnlücke zwischen Männern und Frauen unterscheidet sich je nach Region erheblich. In: IAB-Forum H. 04.03.2024. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20240304.01

    Abstract

    "Am 6. März ist der deutsche Equal Pay Day. Er zeigt an, wie viele Tage Frauen im Durchschnitt zusätzlich arbeiten müssten, um das durchschnittliche Gehalt von Männern zu erreichen. Bei genauerer Betrachtung werden jedoch erhebliche regionale Unterschiede deutlich. So wäre der Equal Pay Day in Sachsen-Anhalt rechnerisch bereits am 13. Januar gewesen, in Baden-Württemberg wäre er jedoch erst am 8. April." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Collischon, Matthias ; Zimmermann, Florian ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Who is Replaced by Robots? Robotization and the Risk of Unemployment for Different Types of Workers (2024)

    Damelang, Andreas ; Otto, Michael;

    Zitatform

    Damelang, Andreas & Michael Otto (2024): Who is Replaced by Robots? Robotization and the Risk of Unemployment for Different Types of Workers. In: Work and occupations, Jg. 51, H. 2, S. 181-206. DOI:10.1177/07308884231162953

    Abstract

    "We study the effects of robotization on unemployment risk for different types of workers. We examine the extent to which robotization increases inequality at the skill level and at the occupational level using two theoretical frameworks: skill-biased technological change and task-biased technological change. Empirically, we combine worker-level data with information on actual investments in industrial robots. Zooming in on the German manufacturing industry, our multivariate results show that robotization affects different types of workers differently. We do not observe an increase in unemployment risk for low- and medium-skilled, but we find a considerably lower unemployment risk among high-skilled workers. Moreover, the unemployment risk is significantly higher in occupations with highly substitutable tasks, but only in industries that invest largely in robots." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © SAGE) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants (2024)

    Dustmann, Christian; Surovtseva, Tetyana; Ku, Hyejin;

    Zitatform

    Dustmann, Christian, Hyejin Ku & Tetyana Surovtseva (2024): Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants. In: The Economic Journal, Jg. 134, H. 657, S. 271-294. DOI:10.1093/ej/uead066

    Abstract

    "We relate origin-destination real price differences to immigrants' reservation wages and their career trajectories, exploiting administrative data from Germany and the 2004 enlargement of the European Union. We find that immigrants who enter Germany when a unit of earnings from Germany allows for larger consumption at home settle for lower entry wages, but subsequently catch up to those arriving with less favourable exchange rates, through transition to better-paying occupations and firms. Similar patterns hold in the United States data. Our analysis offers one explanation for the widespread phenomenon of immigrants' downgrading, with new implications for immigrant cohort effects and assimilation profiles." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Internal migration after a uniform minimum wage introduction (2024)

    Moog, Alexander;

    Zitatform

    Moog, Alexander (2024): Internal migration after a uniform minimum wage introduction. (arXiv papers 2404.19590), 47 S. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.2404.19590

    Abstract

    "Internal migration is an essential aspect to study labor mobility. I exploit the German statutory minimum wage introduction in 2015 to estimate its push and pull effects on internal migration using a 2% sample of administrative data. In a conditional fixed effects Poisson difference-in-differences framework with a continuous treatment, I find that the minimum wage introduction leads to an increase in the out-migration of low-skilled workers with migrant background by 25% with an increasing tendency over time from districts where a high share of workers are subject to the minimum wage (high-bite districts). In contrast the migration decision of native-born low-skilled workers is not affected by the policy. However, both native-born low-skilled workers and those with a migrant background do relocate across establishments, leaving high-bite districts as their workplace. In addition, I find an increase for unemployed individuals with a migrant background in out-migrating from high-bite districts. These results emphasize the importance of considering the effects on geographical labor mobility when implementing and analyzing policies that affect the determinants of internal migration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Skill mismatch and the costs of job displacement (2024)

    Neffke, Frank ; Wiederhold, Simon; Nedelkoska, Ljubica ;

    Zitatform

    Neffke, Frank, Ljubica Nedelkoska & Simon Wiederhold (2024): Skill mismatch and the costs of job displacement. (IWH-Diskussionspapiere / Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 2023,11), Halle, 67 S.

    Abstract

    "Establishment closures have lasting negative consequences for the workers they displace from their jobs. We study how these consequences vary with the amount of skill mismatch that workers experience after job displacement. Developing new measures of occupational skill redundancy and skill shortage, we analyze the work histories of individuals in Germany between 1975 and 2010. We estimate difference in-differences models, using a sample of displaced workers who are matched to statistically similar non-displaced workers. We find that displacements increase the probability of occupational change eleven-fold. Moreover, the magnitude of postdisplacement earnings losses strongly depends on the type of skill mismatch that workers experience in such job switches. Whereas skill shortages are associated with relatively quick returns to the counterfactual earnings trajectories that displaced workers would have experienced absent displacement, skill redundancy sets displaced workers on paths with permanently lower earnings. We show that these differences can be attributed to differences in mismatch after displacement, and not to intrinsic differences between workers making different post-displacement. career choices" (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Did the Bologna Process Challenge the German Apprenticeship System? Evidence from a Natural Experiment (2024)

    Thomsen, Stephan L. ; Trunzer, Johannes;

    Zitatform

    Thomsen, Stephan L. & Johannes Trunzer (2024): Did the Bologna Process Challenge the German Apprenticeship System? Evidence from a Natural Experiment. In: Journal of Human Capital, Jg. accepted manuscript, S. 1-87. DOI:10.1086/730273

    Abstract

    "The Bologna Process reformed the German university system by introducing three-year undergraduate degrees. We evaluate the effects on the dual apprenticeship system where 29% of new apprentices are also qualified for university. For identification, we exploit regional and temporal variation in reform adoption, using administrative student and labor market data from 1997 to 2015. The Bologna reform implementation reduced the number of new highly educated apprentices considerably. In particular, clerical apprenticeships were affected. Firms did not substitute with less-educated apprentices, but partly replaced the lower supply of new highly educated apprentices with university graduates in the long run." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Chicago University Press) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Sources of Wage Growth (2023)

    Adda, Jerome; Dustmann, Christian;

    Zitatform

    Adda, Jerome & Christian Dustmann (2023): Sources of Wage Growth. In: Journal of Political Economy, Jg. 131, H. 2, S. 456-503. DOI:10.1086/721657

    Abstract

    "This paper investigates the sources of wage growth over the life cycle, determined by sectoral and firm mobility, unobserved ability, the accumulation of cognitive-abstract or routine-manual skills, and whether workers enroll in vocational training at the start of their career. Our analysis uses longitudinal administrative data over three decades and shows that routine-manual skills drive early wage growth, while cognitive-abstract skills become more important later. Moreover, job amenities are an important determinant of mobility decisions. Vocational training has long-term effects on career outcomes through various channels and generates returns for both the individual and society." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Computers as Stepping Stones? Technological Change and Equality of Labor Market Opportunities (2023)

    Arntz, Melanie ; Zierahn-Weilage, Ulrich; Neidhöfer, Guido ; Lipowski, Cäcilia;

    Zitatform

    Arntz, Melanie, Cäcilia Lipowski, Guido Neidhöfer & Ulrich Zierahn-Weilage (2023): Computers as Stepping Stones? Technological Change and Equality of Labor Market Opportunities. In: Journal of labor economics online erschienen am 21.08.2023, S. 1-41. DOI:10.1086/727490

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes whether technological change improves equality of labor market opportunities by increasing the returns to skills relative to the returns to parental background. We find that in Germany during the 1990s, the introduction of computer technologies improved the access to technology-adopting occupations for workers with low-educated parents, and reduced their wage penalty within these occupations. We also show that this significantly contributed to a decline in the overall wage penalty experienced by workers from disadvantaged parental back-grounds over this time period. Competing mechanisms, such as skill-specific labor supply shocks and skill-upgrading, do not explain these findings." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The impact of modeling decisions in statistical profiling (2023)

    Bach, Ruben L. ; Mautner, Hannah; Kreuter, Frauke ; Kern, Christoph ;

    Zitatform

    Bach, Ruben L., Christoph Kern, Hannah Mautner & Frauke Kreuter (2023): The impact of modeling decisions in statistical profiling. In: Data & policy, Jg. 5. DOI:10.1017/dap.2023.29

    Abstract

    "Statistical profiling of job seekers is an attractive option to guide the activities of public employment services. Many hope that algorithms will improve both efficiency and effectiveness of employment services’ activities that are so far often based on human judgment. Against this backdrop, we evaluate regression and machine-learning models for predicting job-seekers’ risk of becoming long-term unemployed using German administrative labor market data. While our models achieve competitive predictive performance, we show that training an accurate prediction model is just one element in a series of design and modeling decisions, each having notable effects that span beyond predictive accuracy. We observe considerable variation in the cases flagged as high risk across models, highlighting the need for systematic evaluation and transparency of the full prediction pipeline if statistical profiling techniques are to be implemented by employment agencies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Cambridge University Press) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Job Displacement and Migrant Labor Market Assimilation (2023)

    Balgová, Mária; Illing, Hannah;

    Zitatform

    Balgová, Mária & Hannah Illing (2023): Job Displacement and Migrant Labor Market Assimilation. (ECONtribute discussion paper 246), Köln ; Bonn, 68 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper sheds new light on the barriers to migrants' labor market assimilation. Using administrative data for Germany from 1997-2016, we estimate dynamic difference-in-differences regressions to investigate the relative trajectory of earnings, wages, and employment following mass layoff separately for migrants and natives. We show that job displacement affects the two groups differently even when we systematically control for pre-layoff differences in their characteristics: migrants have on average higher earnings losses, and they find it much more difficult to find employment. However, those who do find a new job experience faster wage growth compared to displaced natives. We examine several potential mechanisms and find that these gaps are driven by labor market conditions, such as local migrant networks and labor market tightness, rather than migrants' behavior." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Illing, Hannah;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Spatial Wage Inequality in North America and Western Europe: Changes Between and Within Local Labour Markets 1975-2019 (2023)

    Bauluz, Luis; Novokmet, Filip; Breau, S.; Bukowski, P.; Lee, Neil ; Lee, A.; Malgouyres, Clément; López Forero, M.; Fransham, M.; Verdugo, Gregory ; Schularick, Moritz;

    Zitatform

    Bauluz, Luis, P. Bukowski, M. Fransham, A. Lee, M. López Forero, Filip Novokmet, S. Breau, Neil Lee, Clément Malgouyres, Moritz Schularick & Gregory Verdugo (2023): Spatial Wage Inequality in North America and Western Europe: Changes Between and Within Local Labour Markets 1975-2019. (Kiel working paper / Kiel Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - Leibniz Zentrum zur Erforschung Globaler Ökonomischer Herausforderungen 2253), Kiel, 44 S.

    Abstract

    "The rise of economic inequalities in advanced economies has been often linked with the growth of spatial inequalities within countries, yet there is limited comparative research that studies the relationship between national and subnational economic inequality. This paper presents the first systematic attempt to create internationally comparable evidence showing how different countries perform in terms of geographic wage inequalities. We create cross-country comparable measures of spatial wage disparities between and within similarly-defined local labour market areas (LLMAs) for Canada, France, (West) Germany, the UK and the US since the 1970s, and assess their contribution to national inequality. By the end of the 2010s, spatial inequalities in LLMA mean wages are similar in Canada, France, Germany and the UK; the US exhibits the highest degree of spatial inequality. Over the study period, spatial inequalities have nearly doubled in all countries, except for France where spatial inequalities have fallen back to 1970s levels. Due to a concomitant increase in within-place inequality, the contribution of places in explaining national wage inequality has remained fairly constant over the 40-year study period, except in the UK where we document a significant increase. Whilst common global social, economic and technological shocks are important drivers of spatial inequality, this variation in levels and trends of spatial inequality opens the way to comparative research exploring the role of national institutions in mediating how global shocks translate into economic disparities between places." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Spatial Wage Inequality in North America and Western Europe: Changes Between and Within Local Labour Markets 1975-2019 (2023)

    Bauluz, Luis; Breau, Sébastien; Bukowski, Pawel; Lee, Neil ; Lee, Annie; Malgouyres, Clément; Novokmet, Filip; Fransham, Mark ; López Forero, Margarita; Verdugo, Gregory ; Schularick, Moritz;

    Zitatform

    Bauluz, Luis, Pawel Bukowski, Mark Fransham, Annie Lee, Margarita López Forero, Filip Novokmet, Sébastien Breau, Neil Lee, Clément Malgouyres, Moritz Schularick & Gregory Verdugo (2023): Spatial Wage Inequality in North America and Western Europe: Changes Between and Within Local Labour Markets 1975-2019. (World Inequality Lab - Working Paper 2023/14), Paris, 44 S.

    Abstract

    "The rise of economic inequalities in advanced economies has been often linked with the growth of spatial inequalities within countries, yet there is limited comparative research that studies the relationship between national and subnational economic inequality. This paper presents the first systematic attempt to create internationally comparable evidence showing how different countries perform in terms of geographic wage inequalities. We create cross-country comparable measures of spatial wage disparities between and within similarly-defined local labour market areas (LLMAs) for Canada, France, (West) Germany, the UK and the US since the 1970s, and assess their contribution to national inequality. By the end of the 2010s, spatial inequalities in LLMA mean wages are similar in Canada, France, Germany and the UK; the US exhibits the highest degree of spatial inequality. Over the study period, spatial inequalities have nearly doubled in all countries, except for France where spatial inequalities have fallen back to 1970s levels. Due to a concomitant increase in within-place inequality, the contribution of places in explaining national wage inequality has remained fairly constant over the 40-year study period, except in the UK where we document a significant increase. Whilst common global social, economic and technological shocks are important drivers of spatial inequality, this variation in levels and trends of spatial inequality opens the way to comparative research exploring the role of national institutions in mediating how global shocks translate into economic disparities between places." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Spatial Wage Inequality in North America and Western Europe: Changes Between and Within Local Labour Markets 1975-2019 (2023)

    Bauluz, Luis; Lee, Neil ; Breau, Sébastien; Verdugo, Gregory ; Bukowski, Pawel; Novokmet, Filip; Malgouyres, Clément; López Forero, Margarita; Schularick, Moritz; Lee, Annie; Fransham, Mark ;

    Zitatform

    Bauluz, Luis, Pawel Bukowski, Mark Fransham, Annie Lee, Margarita López Forero, Filip Novokmet, Sébastien Breau, Neil Lee, Clément Malgouyres, Moritz Schularick & Gregory Verdugo (2023): Spatial Wage Inequality in North America and Western Europe: Changes Between and Within Local Labour Markets 1975-2019. (LSE International Inequalities Institute. Working paper 98), London, 44 S.

    Abstract

    "The rise of economic inequalities in advanced economies has been often linked with the growth of spatial inequalities within countries, yet there is limited comparative research that studies the relationship between national and subnational economic inequality. This paper presents the first systematic attempt to create internationally comparable evidence showing how different countries perform in terms of geographic wage inequalities. We create cross-country comparable measures of spatial wage disparities between and within similarly-defined local labour market areas (LLMAs) for Canada, France, (West) Germany, the UK and the US since the 1970s, and assess their contribution to national inequality. By the end of the 2010s, spatial inequalities in LLMA mean wages are similar in Canada, France, Germany and the UK; the US exhibits the highest degree of spatial inequality. Over the study period, spatial inequalities have nearly doubled in all countries, except for France where spatial inequalities have fallen back to 1970s levels. Due to a concomitant increase in within-place inequality, the contribution of places in explaining national wage inequality has remained fairly constant over the 40-year study period, except in the UK where we document a significant increase." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Spatial Wage Inequality in North America and Western Europe: Changes Between and Within Local Labour Markets 1975-2019 (2023)

    Bauluz, Luis; Lee, Annie; Novokmet, Filip; Schularick, Moritz; Breau, Sébastien; López Forero, Margarita; Lee, Neil ; Fransham, Mark ; Malgouyres, Clément; Bukowski, Pawel; Verdugo, Gregory ;

    Zitatform

    Bauluz, Luis, Pawel Bukowski, Mark Fransham, Annie Lee, Margarita López Forero, Filip Novokmet, Sébastien Breau, Neil Lee, Clément Malgouyres, Moritz Schularick & Gregory Verdugo (2023): Spatial Wage Inequality in North America and Western Europe: Changes Between and Within Local Labour Markets 1975-2019. (CEPR discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 18381), London, 44 S.

    Abstract

    "The rise of economic inequalities in advanced economies has been often linked with the growth of spatial inequalities within countries, yet there is limited comparative research that studies the relationship between national and subnational economic inequality. This paper presents the first systematic attempt to create internationally comparable evidence showing how different countries perform in terms of geographic wage inequalities. We create cross-country comparable measures of spatial wage disparities between and within similarly-defined local labour market areas (LLMAs) for Canada, France, (West) Germany, the UK and the US since the 1970s, and assess their contribution to national inequality. By the end of the 2010s, spatial inequalities in LLMA mean wages are similar in Canada, France, Germany and the UK; the US exhibits the highest degree of spatial inequality. Over the study period, spatial inequalities have nearly doubled in all countries, except for France where spatial inequalities have fallen back to 1970s levels. Due to a concomitant increase in within-place inequality, the contribution of places in explaining national wage inequality has remained fairly constant over the 40-year study period, except in the UK where we document a significant increase." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Entgelttransparenzgesetz erreicht Ziel nicht (2023)

    Brändle, Tobias ; Koch, Andreas;

    Zitatform

    Brändle, Tobias & Andreas Koch (2023): Entgelttransparenzgesetz erreicht Ziel nicht. In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Jg. 103, H. 12, S. 842-849. DOI:10.2478/wd-2023-0230

    Abstract

    "Das Entgelttransparenzgesetz soll dazu beitragen, das Gebot des gleichen Entgelts für Frauen und Männer bei gleicher oder gleichwertiger Arbeit durchzusetzen. Nach der zweiten Evaluation wird deutlich, dass dies mit den vorhandenen Instrumenten des Gesetzes nicht erreicht wird. Ohne größere Änderungen bleibt das Gesetz in großen Teilen ineffektiv – bei gleichzeitig substanziellen bürokratischen Auflagen für Betriebe. Der vorliegende Beitrag beschreibt die Ergebnisse der zweiten Evaluation und zeigt auf, in welche Richtung Reformen gehen könnten." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Subsidized small jobs and maternal labor market outcomes in the long run (2023)

    Collischon, Matthias ; Cygan-Rehm, Kamila; Riphahn, Regina T.;

    Zitatform

    Collischon, Matthias, Kamila Cygan-Rehm & Regina T. Riphahn (2023): Subsidized small jobs and maternal labor market outcomes in the long run. (LASER discussion papers 148), Erlangen, S. 56.

    Abstract

    "This paper investigates whether incentives generated by public policies contribute to motherhood penalties. Specifically, we study the consequences of subsidized small jobs, the German Minijobs, which are frequently taken up by first-time mothers upon labor market return. Using a combination of propensity score matching and an event study applied to administrative data, we compare the long-run child penalties of mothers who started out in a Minijob employment versus unsubsidized employment or non-employment after birth. We find persistent differences between the Minijobbers and otherwise employed mothers up to 10 years after the first birth, which suggests adverse unintended consequences of the small jobs subsidy program for maternal earnings and pensions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Collischon, Matthias ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Employment and Reallocation Effects of Higher Minimum Wages (2023)

    Drechsel-Grau, Moritz;

    Zitatform

    Drechsel-Grau, Moritz (2023): Employment and Reallocation Effects of Higher Minimum Wages. (CESifo working paper 10412), München, 64 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper studies the employment and reallocation effects of minimum wages in Germany in a search-and-matching model with endogenous job search effort and vacancy posting, multiple employment levels, a progressive tax-transfer system, and worker and firm heterogeneity. I find that minimum wages up to 70% of the median wage significantly increase productivity, hours worked and output without reducing employment. In frictional labor markets, however, reallocation takes time whenever the minimum wage cuts deep into the wage distribution. I show that gradually implementing a high minimum wage is necessary to avoid elevated unemployment rates during the transition." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Artificial Intelligence, Tasks, Skills and Wages: Worker-Level Evidence from Germany (2023)

    Engberg, Erik; Schroeder, Sarah; Lodefalk, Magnus ; Koch, Michael;

    Zitatform

    Engberg, Erik, Michael Koch, Magnus Lodefalk & Sarah Schroeder (2023): Artificial Intelligence, Tasks, Skills and Wages: Worker-Level Evidence from Germany. (Ratio working paper 371), Stockholm, 55 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper documents novel facts on within-occupation task and skill changes over the past two decades in Germany. In a second step, it reveals a distinct relationship between occupational work content and exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) and automation (robots). Workers in occupations with high AI exposure, perform different activities and face different skill requirements, compared to workers in occupations ex- posed to robots. In a third step, the study uses individual labor market biographies to investigate the impact on wages between 2010 and 2017. Results indicate a wage growth premium in occupations more exposed to AI, contrasting with a wage growth discount in occupations exposed to robots. Finally, the study further explores the dynamic in- fluence of AI exposure on individual wages over time, uncovering positive associations with wages, with nuanced variations across occupational groups." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Impact of Technological Change on Immigration and Immigrants (2023)

    Giesing, Yvonne;

    Zitatform

    Giesing, Yvonne (2023): The Impact of Technological Change on Immigration and Immigrants. (CESifo working paper 10876), München, S.46.

    Abstract

    "We study the effects of technological change on immigration flows as well as the labor market outcomes of migrants versus natives. We analyze and compare the effects of two different automation technologies: Industrial robots and artificial intelligence. We exploit data provided by the Industrial Federation of Robotics as well as online job vacancy data on Germany, a highly automated economy and the main destination for migrants in Europe. We apply an instrumental variable strategy and identify how robots decrease the wage of migrants across all skill groups, while neither having a significant impact on the native population nor immigration flows. In the case of AI, we determine an increase in the wage gap as well as the unemployment gap of migrant and native populations. This applies to the low-, medium- and high-skilled and is indicative of migrants facing displacement effects, while natives might benefit from productivity and complementarity effects. In addition, AI leads to a significant inflow of immigrants. Policymakers should devote special attention to the migration population when designing mitigation policies in response to technological change to avoid further increases in inequality between migrants and natives." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Working Longer, Working Stronger? The Forward-Looking Effects of Increasing the Retirement Age on (Un)employment Behaviour (2023)

    Gohl, Niklas;

    Zitatform

    Gohl, Niklas (2023): Working Longer, Working Stronger? The Forward-Looking Effects of Increasing the Retirement Age on (Un)employment Behaviour. (CEPA discussion papers / Center for Economic Policy Analysis 63), Potsdam, 62 S.

    Abstract

    "Leveraging two cohort-specific pension reforms, this paper estimates the forward-looking effects of an exogenous increase in the working horizon on (un)employment behaviour for individuals with a long remaining statutory working life. Using difference-in-differences and regression discontinuity approaches based on administrative and survey data, I show that a longer legal working horizon increases individuals' subjective expectations about the length of their work life, raises the probability of employment, decreases the probability of unemployment, and increases the intensity of job search among the unemployed. Heterogeneity analyses show that the demonstrated employment effects are strongest for women and in occupations with comparatively low physical intensity, i.e., occupations that can be performed at older ages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Gender-Atypical Learning Experiences of Men Reduce Occupational Sex Segregation: Evidence From the Suspension of the Civilian Service in Germany (2023)

    Hamjediers, Maik ;

    Zitatform

    Hamjediers, Maik (2023): Gender-Atypical Learning Experiences of Men Reduce Occupational Sex Segregation: Evidence From the Suspension of the Civilian Service in Germany. In: Gender & Society, Jg. 37, H. 4, S. 524-552. DOI:10.1177/08912432231177650

    Abstract

    "Occupational sex segregation persists in part because men seldom enter female-dominated occupations. Whereas programs providing women with gender-atypical learning experiences aim to increase female representation in male-dominated domains, similar programs for men—despite their potential to counteract the prevailing lack of men in female-dominated occupations—are rare. In this paper, I investigate whether men’s gender-atypical learning experiences affect their likelihood of entering female-dominated occupations by studying the effect of participation in Germany’s civilian service. The civilian service offered a social-sector alternative to compulsory military service, and its suspension in 2011 induced exogenous variation in men’s gender-atypical learning experiences. Combining register data from Germany’s social security system with data from the German Microcensus shows that men’s likelihood of entering the labor market in female-dominated occupations declined by about 21 percent when the civilian service was suspended. Scaling the estimate by participation in the civilian service indicates that having completed the civilian service increased men’s likelihood of entering female-dominated occupations by about 12 percentage points. This illustrates that programs exposing men to gender-atypical learning experiences can promote occupational integration and could “unstall” the gender revolution." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Public child care and mothers' career trajectories (2023)

    Huber, Katrin; Rolvering, Geske;

    Zitatform

    Huber, Katrin & Geske Rolvering (2023): Public child care and mothers' career trajectories. (CEPA discussion papers / Center for Economic Policy Analysis 64), Potsdam, 33 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper studies the effect of public child care on mothers' career trajectories. To this end, we combine county-level data on child care coverage with detailed individual-level information from the German social security records and exploit a set of German reforms leading to a substantial temporal and spatial variation in child care coverage for children under the age of three. We conduct an event study approach that investigates the labor market outcomes of mothers in the years around the birth of their first child. We thereby explore career trajectories, both in terms of quantity and quality of employment. We find that public child care improves maternal labor supply in the years immediately following childbirth. However, the results on quality-related outcomes suggest that the effect of child care provision does not reach far beyond pure employment effects. These results do not change for mothers with different 'career costs of children'." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss (2023)

    Jarosch, Gregor;

    Zitatform

    Jarosch, Gregor (2023): Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss. In: Econometrica, Jg. 91, H. 3, S. 903-942. DOI:10.3982/ECTA14008

    Abstract

    "Job loss comes with large present value earnings losses which elude workhorse models of unemployment and labor market policy. I propose a parsimonious model of a frictional labor market in which jobs differ in terms of unemployment risk and workers search off- and on-the-job. This gives rise to a job ladder with slippery bottom rungs where unemployment spells beget unemployment spells. I allow for human capital to respond to time spent out of work and estimate the framework on German Social Security data. The model captures the joint response of wages, employment, and unemployment risk to job loss which I measure empirically. The key driver of the “unemployment scar” is the loss in job security and its interaction with the evolution of human capital and, in particular, the search for better employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Optimal Regional Labor Market Policies (2023)

    Jung, Philip ; Korfmann, Philipp ; Preugschat, Edgar ;

    Zitatform

    Jung, Philip, Philipp Korfmann & Edgar Preugschat (2023): Optimal Regional Labor Market Policies. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 152. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104318

    Abstract

    "We document large and persistent spatial dispersion in unemployment rates, vacancies, labor market tightness, labor market flows, and wages for Germany on a granular regional level. We find that both differences in inflows into and in outflows from unemployment are important for accounting for the regional dispersion in unemployment rates. Within a search- and matching model with risk-averse agents, moral hazard, endogenous separations and free mobility we show that an optimal policy response to labor market dispersion requires a place-based tax and unemployment insurance system together with place-based policies conditioning on labor market flows. We allow regions to differ along multiple dimensions and characterize the trade-offs between insurance, regional redistribution and efficiency quantitatively. We find that for Germany a move towards an optimal place-based tax system that explicitly conditions on regional characteristics could lead to sizeable welfare and employment gains." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2023 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Value of Early-Career Skills (2023)

    Langer, Christina; Wiederhold, Simon;

    Zitatform

    Langer, Christina & Simon Wiederhold (2023): The Value of Early-Career Skills. (CESifo working paper 10288), München: CESifo, 66 S.

    Abstract

    "We develop novel measures of early-career skills that are more detailed, comprehensive, and labor-market-relevant than existing skill proxies. We exploit that skill requirements of apprenticeships in Germany are codified in state-approved, nationally standardized apprenticeship plans. These plans provide more than 13,000 different skills and the exact duration of learning each skill. Following workers over their careers in administrative data, we find that cognitive, social, and digital skills acquired during apprenticeship are highly – yet differently – rewarded. We also document rising returns to digital and social skills since the 1990s, with a more moderate increase in returns to cognitive skills." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    A single risk approach to the semiparametric competing risks model with parametric Archimedean risk dependence (2023)

    Lo, Simon M.S.; Wilke, Ralf A. ;

    Zitatform

    Lo, Simon M.S. & Ralf A. Wilke (2023): A single risk approach to the semiparametric competing risks model with parametric Archimedean risk dependence. In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis online erschienen am 24.11.2023. DOI:10.1016/j.jmva.2023.105276

    Abstract

    "This paper considers a dependent competing risks model with the distribution of one risk being a semiparametric proportional hazards model, whereas the model for the other risks and the degree of risk dependence of an Archimedean copula are unknown. Identifiability is shown when there is at least one covariate with at least two values. Estimation is done by means of a -consistent semiparametric two-step procedure. Applicability and attractive finite sample performance are demonstrated with the help of simulations. An application to unemployment duration confirms the importance of estimating rather than assuming risk dependence." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    A single risk approach to the semiparametric competing risks model with parametric Archimedean risk dependence (2023)

    Lo, Simon M.S.; Wilke, Ralf A. ;

    Zitatform

    Lo, Simon M.S. & Ralf A. Wilke (2023): A single risk approach to the semiparametric competing risks model with parametric Archimedean risk dependence. In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. DOI:10.1016/j.jmva.2023.105276

    Abstract

    "This paper considers a dependent competing risks model with the distribution of one risk being a semiparametric proportional hazards model, whereas the model for the other risks and the degree of risk dependence of an Archimedean copula are unknown. Identifiability is shown when there is at least one covariate with at least two values. Estimation is done by means of a -consistent semiparametric two-step procedure. Applicability and attractive finite sample performance are demonstrated with the help of simulations. An application to unemployment duration confirms the importance of estimating rather than assuming risk dependence." (Text excerpt, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Retirement in Western Germany - How Workplace Tasks Influence Its Timing (2023)

    Mertens, Antje ; Romeu-Gordo, Laura;

    Zitatform

    Mertens, Antje & Laura Romeu-Gordo (2023): Retirement in Western Germany - How Workplace Tasks Influence Its Timing. In: Work, Employment and Society, Jg. 37, H. 2, S. 467-485. DOI:10.1177/09500170211011330

    Abstract

    "In this article, task data from the German Qualification and Career Survey (BIBB/IAB) is matched against the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB) to investigate what patterns are discernible in retirement between 1985 and 2005 in Western Germany. Set against a background of pension reforms and substantial structural change, the article asks whether the nature of occupational tasks has any significant effect on the timing of retirement. Through the use of event history analysis, the article reveals that having a large percentage of routine manual tasks in one’s job is associated with a greater likelihood of a job holder leaving employment, while having medium to high percentages of non-routine manual tasks in one’s job will tend to decrease that likelihood. There is also evidence that holding a job that includes a medium to high concentration of analytical and interactive tasks will tend to reduce the likelihood of early retirement." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Occupational Reallocation Within and Across Firms: Implications for labor-market polarization (2023)

    Mukoyama, Toshihiko; Tanaka, Satoshi; Takayama, Naoki;

    Zitatform

    Mukoyama, Toshihiko, Naoki Takayama & Satoshi Tanaka (2023): Occupational Reallocation Within and Across Firms: Implications for labor-market polarization. (RIETI discussion paper 23051), Tokyo, 54 S.

    Abstract

    "This study analyzes how labor-market frictions interact with firms' decisions to reallocate workers across different occupations during labor-market polarization. We compare the patterns of occupational reallocation within and across firms in the United States and Germany in recent years. We find that within-firm reallocation contributes significantly to the decline in employment in routine occupations in Germany, but much less in the United States. We construct a general equilibrium model of firm dynamics and find that the model with different firing taxes can replicate the difference in firm-level adjustment patterns across these countries. We conduct two counterfactual experiments, highlighting the different roles played by the within-firm cost of reorganizing occupational mix and across-firm frictions created by firing taxes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Data product: 10.5164/IAB.SIAB7517.de.en.v1
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    Marriage and divorce: the role of unemployment insurance (2023)

    Schulz, Bastian ; Siuda, Fabian ;

    Zitatform

    Schulz, Bastian & Fabian Siuda (2023): Marriage and divorce: the role of unemployment insurance. In: Journal of Population Economics, Jg. 36, H. 4, S. 2277-2308. DOI:10.1007/s00148-023-00961-1

    Abstract

    "This paper examines how changes in household-level risk sharing affect the marriage market. We use as our laboratory a German unemployment insurance (UI) reform that tightened means-testing based on the partner’s income. The reduced generosity of UI increased the demand for household-level risk sharing, which lowered the attractiveness of individuals exposed to unemployment risk. Because unemployment risk correlates with non-German nationality, our main finding is that the UI reform led to a decrease in intermarriage. The 2004 expansion of the European Union had a comparable effect on intermarriage for the affected nationalities. Both reforms increased marital stability, which is consistent with better selection by couples." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    Wechseln von Digitalisierung betroffene Beschäftigte häufiger den Betrieb oder in Arbeitslosigkeit? (2023)

    Seele, Stefanie; Stettes, Oliver;

    Zitatform

    Seele, Stefanie & Oliver Stettes (2023): Wechseln von Digitalisierung betroffene Beschäftigte häufiger den Betrieb oder in Arbeitslosigkeit? In: IW-Trends, Jg. 50, H. 4, S. 3-21. DOI:10.2373/1864-810X.23-04-01

    Abstract

    "Die Sorge, ein steigender Technologieeinsatz im Berufsalltag könnte zu Arbeitsplatzverlusten führen, scheint bislang unbegründet. Eine Analyse von Mobilitätsprozessen sozialversicherungspflichtig Beschäftigter in einer repräsentativen 2-Prozent-Stichprobe von Prozessdaten der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (SIAB) verdeutlicht für die Jahre 2012 bis 2021, dass stark von Digitalisierungstechnologien betroffene Berufssegmente eine deutlich höhere Beschäftigungsstabilität und messbar seltenere Arbeitslosigkeitszugänge zeigten. Dies gilt gleichermaßen für Beschäftigte in potenziell besonders leicht durch neue Technologien substituierbaren Berufen als auch für Beschäftigte in Digitalisierungsberufen mit besonders vielen komplementären Tätigkeiten und Kompetenzen zu den neuen Technologien. Vier von fünf Personen, die 2012 sozialversicherungspflichtig beschäftigt waren, blieben in den neun Folgejahren beim selben Arbeitgeber. Den Betrieb wechselten knapp 10 Prozent in einem Beruf mit hohem Substituierbarkeitspotenzial und fast 9 Prozent in einem ausgeprägten Digitalisierungsberuf. Gleichzeitig wurden Personen beider Berufssegmente seltener arbeitslos als ihre Vergleichsgruppen. Betriebsspezifisches Kapital könnte hierfür ursächlich sein. Beschäftigte mit hohem Substituierbarkeitspotenzial des Berufs könnten von Betriebsbeteiligungen an Investitionen in betriebsspezifisches Humankapital profitieren. Beschäftigte mit ausgeprägten Digitalisierungsberufen könnten durch betriebsspezifisches Organisationskapital gebunden sein." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Data product: 10.5164/IAB.SIAB7521.de.en.v1
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    A tale of two data sets: comparing German administrative and survey data using wage inequality as an example (2023)

    Stüber, Heiko ; Grabka, Markus M. ; Schnitzlein, Daniel D. ;

    Zitatform

    Stüber, Heiko, Markus M. Grabka & Daniel D. Schnitzlein (2023): A tale of two data sets: comparing German administrative and survey data using wage inequality as an example. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 57, S. 1-18., 2023-02-21. DOI:10.1186/s12651-023-00336-9

    Abstract

    "The IAB’s Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB) and the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) are the two data sets most commonly used to analyze wage inequality in Germany. While the SIAB is based on administrative reports by employers to the social security system, the SOEP is a survey data set in which respondents self-report their wages. Both data sources have their specific advantages and disadvantages. The objective of this study is to describe and compare the evolution of wage inequality for these two types of data. For this purpose, different sample restrictions are applied. The comparison without any harmonization of the data shows different levels and trends. When the information is largely harmonized, comparable trends and similar levels emerge." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    Model-Based Prediction and Estimation Using Incomplete Survey Data (2023)

    Wölwer, Anna-Lena;

    Zitatform

    Wölwer, Anna-Lena (2023): Model-Based Prediction and Estimation Using Incomplete Survey Data. XIX, 223 S. DOI:10.25353/ubtr-xxxx-25a6-5f2c

    Abstract

    "Survey Daten können unter verschiedensten Blickwinkeln als unvollständig bzw. als partiell fehlend angesehen werden und es gibt verschiedene Möglichkeiten, mit diesen Daten in der Prädiktion und Schätzung interessierender volkswirtschaftlicher Größen umzugehen. In dieser Arbeit werden zwei ausgewählte Forschungskontexte vorgestellt, in denen die Prädiktion bzw. Schätzung unter unvollständigen Survey Daten untersucht wird. Diese Kontexte sind zum einen die Untersuchung zusammengesetzter Schätzer im deutschen Mikrozensus (Kapitel 3 und 4) und zum anderen Erweiterungen multivariater Fay-Herriot (MFH) Modelle (Kapitel 5 und 6), die bei Small Area Problemen Anwendung finden. Zusammengesetzte Schätzer sind Schätzmethoden, die die Stichprobenüberlappung in rotierenden Panel Surveys wie dem deutschen Mikrozensus zur Stabilisierung der Schätzung interessierender Größen (z.B. Erwerbsstatistiken) nutzen. Durch die partiellen Stichprobenüberlappungen in rotierenden Panel Surveys liegen immer nur für einen Teil der Befragten Informationen aus vorangegangenen Erhebungen vor. Die resultierenden Daten sind damit partiell fehlend. MFH Modelle sind modellbasierte Schätzmethoden, die mit aggregierten Survey Daten arbeiten, um im Vergleich zu klassischen Schätzmethoden präzisere Schätzergebnisse für Small Area Probleme zu erhalten. In den Modellen werden mehrere interessierende Größen gleichzeitig modelliert. Die Survey-Schätzwerte dieser Größen, die in MFH Modelle als Input eingehen, sind häufig partiell fehlend. Wenn die interessierenden Domains nicht explizit im Stichprobendesign berücksichtigt wurden, kann es sein, dass die Größe der Stichprobe, die auf sie entfällt, so klein ist, dass entweder gar keine Schätzwerte berechnet werden können oder aber die Schätzwerte von statistischen Ämtern nicht veröffentlicht werden, da ihre Varianzen zu groß ist. Nach einem Überblick zu theoretischen und methodischen Grundlagen der Survey Statistik in Kapitel 2 stellt Kapitel 3 die Generierung eines Längsschnittdatensatz vor, auf Basis dessen in Kapitel 4 designbasierte Simulationsstudien zum Einsatz von zusammengesetzten Schätzern im Mikrozensus durchgeführt werden. Für diese Studien wird ein Längsschnittdatensatz mit monatlichen Erwerbsinformationen benötigt, der die deutsche Wohnbevölkerung abbildet. Auf Grundlage des SIAB Datensatzes werden Prädiktionsmodelle für monatliche Erwerbsübergänge geschätzt, mit denen monatliche Erwerbsinformationen im RIFOSS Datensatz, einem halb-synthetischen Querschnittdatensatz der deutschen Wohnbevölkerung, generiert werden. Für die Prädiktionsmodelle werden mehrere generalisierte additive Modelle, die jeweils auf Substichproben der aufbereiteten SIAB Daten geschätzt werden (Subagging), zu optimal gewichteten Ensemble Modellen (Stacking) verbunden. In der Optimierung der Ensemble Gewichte wird eine in diesem Kapitel vorgestellte Erweiterung des Brier Scores verwendet. In Kapitel 4 wird der Einsatz von zusammengesetzten Schätzern für Erwerbsstatistiken im deutschen Mikrozensus untersucht. Das Design des deutschen Mikrozensus wurde 2020 wesentlichen Änderungen unterzogen, welche neue Möglichkeiten für den Einsatz dieser Schätzmethoden schaffen. In dem Kapitel wird analysiert, welche Einsatzmöglichkeiten sich für zusammengesetzte Schätzer aus dem neuen Mikrozensus Design ergeben. Beispielsweise bieten sich verschiedene Stichprobenüberlappungen zu vorangegangenen Zeitpunkten für die Nutzung in den zusammengesetzten Schätzern an. Zusätzlich werden Anpassungen der Formeln der zusammengesetzten Schätzer für die sich aus dem Mikrozensus Design ergebenden regional heterogenen Stichprobenüberlappungen vorgestellt. In einer designbasierten Simulationsstudie, deren Basis der in Kapitel 3 erstellte Datensatz ist, wird die Performanz der angepassten Methoden unter verschiedenen Sets an Stichprobenüberlappungen für verschiedene Erwerbsstatistiken verglichen. Im Fokus von Kapitel 5 und 6 stehen unvollständige aggregierte Survey-Schätzwerte, die zur Small Area Schätzung in MFH Modellen verwendet werden. Mit den Beiträgen der beiden Kapitel ist es möglich, die unter den jeweiligen Modellen sogenannten besten Prädiktoren multivariater Domain-Indikatoren zu berechnen, auch wenn die in die Modelle eingehenden Survey-Schätzwerte partiell fehlen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Job Ladder, Human Capital, and the Cost of Job Loss (2022)

    Audoly, Richard; Pace, Federica De; Fella, Giulio;

    Zitatform

    Audoly, Richard, Federica De Pace & Giulio Fella (2022): Job Ladder, Human Capital, and the Cost of Job Loss. (Staff reports / Federal Reserve Bank of New York 1043), New York, NY, 48 S.

    Abstract

    "High-tenure workers losing their job experience a large and prolonged fall in wages and earnings. The aim of this paper is to understand and quantify the forces behind this empirical regularity. We propose a structural model of the labor market with (i) on-the-job search, (ii) general human capital, and (iii) firm-specific human capital. Jobs are destroyed at an endogenous rate due to idiosyncratic productivity shocks and the skills of workers depreciate during periods of non-employment. The model is estimated on German Social Security data. By jointly matching moments related to workers’ mobility and wages, the model can replicate the size and persistence of the losses in earnings and wages observed in the data. We find that the loss of a job with a more productive employer is the primary driver of the cumulative wage losses following displacement (about 50 percent), followed by the loss of firm-specific human capital (about 30 percent)." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Labor Market Polarization, Job Tasks and Monopsony Power (2022)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Frings, Hanna ; Demir, Gökay;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Gökay Demir & Hanna Frings (2022): Labor Market Polarization, Job Tasks and Monopsony Power. In: The Journal of Human Resources, Jg. 57, H. S, S. 11-49. DOI:10.3368/jhr.monopsony.0219-10011R1

    Abstract

    "Using a semi-structural approach based on a dynamic monopsony model, we examine to what extent workers performing different job tasks are exposed to different degrees of monopsony power, and whether these differences in monopsony power have changed over the last 30 years. We find that workers performing mostly non-routine cognitive tasks are exposed to a higher degree of monopsony power than workers performing routine or non-routine manual tasks. Job-specific human capital and non-pecuniary job characteristics are the most likely explanations for this result. We find no evidence that labor market polarization has increased monopsony power over time." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © the Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Die Lohnlücke in der Zeitarbeit: Eine empirische Analyse auf Grundlage von BA-Daten und der Verdienststrukturerhebung: Studie für die iGZ-Bundesgeschäftsstelle. Endbericht 04. Mai 2022 (2022)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Martínez Flores, Fernanda; Rulff, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Fernanda Martínez Flores & Christian Rulff (2022): Die Lohnlücke in der Zeitarbeit: Eine empirische Analyse auf Grundlage von BA-Daten und der Verdienststrukturerhebung. Studie für die iGZ-Bundesgeschäftsstelle. Endbericht 04. Mai 2022. (RWI-Projektbericht), Essen, 64 S.

    Abstract

    "Der Bericht ist wie folgt aufgebaut. In Kapitel 2 wird detailliert dargestellt, wie sich die offiziellen Statistiken der Bundesagentur für Arbeit sowie des Statistischen Bundesamtes hinsichtlich der Höhe der Lohnlücke unterscheiden und wie sich diese Unterschiede erklären lassen. In Kapitel 3 werden eigene deskriptive Ergebnisse basierend auf den Mikrodaten der IEB und der VSE vorgestellt. Hier wird zunächst darauf eingegangen, inwieweit sich Zeitarbeiter/-innen hinsichtlich ihrer beobachtbaren Charakteristika von nicht Zeitarbeiter/-innen unterscheiden. Anschließend werden die Lohnunterschiede basierend auf einer vergleichbaren Stichprobe dargestellt. Hierbei liegt der Fokus auf einem Vergleich der Lohnlücke über verschiedene beobachtbare Charakteristika. Kapitel 4 verwendet Regressionsanalysen und Dekompositionsmethoden, um für Unterschiede in der Zusammensetzung der jeweiligen Stichprobe zu kontrollieren. Zudem werden mithilfe eines Matching-Verfahrens "statistische Zwillinge" gebildet, um die Gruppe der in Zeitarbeit Beschäftigten so vergleichbar wie möglich mit den Beschäftigten außerhalb der Zeitarbeit zu machen. Kapitel 5 enthält die Ergebnisse für die Stundenlöhne auf der Grundlage der VSE-Daten. Kapitel 6 gibt Empfehlungen, wie die Lohnlücke der Zeitarbeiter/-innen in Zukunft sinnvoller berechnet und dargestellt werden kann, um diese über verschiedene Datensätze vergleichbar zu machen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Die Lohnlücke in der Zeitarbeit - Eine empirische Analyse auf Grundlage der Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien und der Verdienststrukturerhebung (2022)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Martínez-Flores, Fernanda; Rulff, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Fernanda Martínez-Flores & Christian Rulff (2022): Die Lohnlücke in der Zeitarbeit - Eine empirische Analyse auf Grundlage der Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien und der Verdienststrukturerhebung. (RWI-Materialien 153), Essen, 42 S.

    Abstract

    "Die Lohnlücke zwischen Personen, die innerhalb und außerhalb der Zeitarbeit beschäftigt sind, wird in Deutschland auf Grundlage verschiedener Datensätze berechnet, was teilweise zu sehr unterschiedlichen Ergebnissen führt. Der vorliegende Artikel untersucht die Lohnlücke in der Zeitarbeit daher anhand zweier Datensätze, den Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien (IEB) des Instituts für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesagentur für Arbeit und der Verdienststrukturerhebung (VSE) des Statistischen Bundesamtes. Hierzu werden zunächst die Statistiken, die auf Basis dieser zwei Datenquellen veröffentlicht werden, miteinander verglichen, und es wird auf mögliche Ursachen für Unterschiede in der Lohnlücke eingegangen. Im Hauptteil der Analyse wird die Lohnlücke auf Basis der Mikrodatensätze mithilfe verschiedener ökonometrischer Verfahren analysiert. Die Ergebnisse der Studie zeigen, dass beim Vergleich von öffentlichen Statistiken auf eine Vergleichbarkeit der zugrundeliegenden Stichprobe geachtet werden sollte. Die Lohnlücke bei den Monatslöhnen ist bei Verwendung von IEB-Daten etwas größer als bei VSE-Daten, was auf Unterschiede in der Zusammensetzung der Stichprobe zurückzuführen ist. Die ökonometrische Analyse der Monatslöhne ergibt für beide Datensätze, dass die bereinigte Lohnlücke deutlich geringer ausfällt als die unbereinigte Lohnlücke. Eine zusätzliche Analyse der Stundenlöhne auf Grundlage der VSE zeigt, dass die bereinigte Lohnlücke nahe null liegt. Dies deutet darauf hin, dass die Arbeitszeit eine wichtige Rolle für die Lohnlücke spielt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Role of Within-Occupation Task Changes in Wage Development (2022)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Uhlendorff, Arne; Demir, Gökay; Green, Colin ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Gökay Demir, Colin Green & Arne Uhlendorff (2022): The Role of Within-Occupation Task Changes in Wage Development. (Ruhr economic papers 975), Essen, 41 S. DOI:10.4419/96973140

    Abstract

    "Wir untersuchen, wie Veränderungen der Aufgabeninhalte im Laufe der Zeit die berufliche Lohnentwicklung beeinflussen. Anhand von Umfragedaten aus Deutschland dokumentieren wir eine erhebliche Heterogenität bei der Veränderung von Aufgabeninhalten innerhalb eines Berufes. Kombiniert man diese Erkenntnisse mit administrativen Daten zu individuellen Beschäftigungsergebnissen über einen Zeitraum von 25 Jahren, so stellt man fest, dass es eine erhebliche Heterogenität in Bezug auf Lohneinbußen bei ursprünglich routineintensiven Tätigkeiten gibt. Während Berufe, die (relativ) routineintensiv bleiben, erhebliche Lohneinbußen mit sich bringen, bleiben die Löhne in Berufen mit abnehmender Routineintensität stabil oder steigen sogar. Diese Ergebnisse lassen sich nicht durch Kompositions- oder Kohorteneffekte erklärt werden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Uhlendorff, Arne;
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    Der Bauarbeitsmarkt: Soziologie und Ökonomie einer Branche (2022)

    Bosch, Gerhard; Weinkopf, Claudia; Hüttenhoff, Frederic; Kalina, Thorsten; Kümmerling, Angelika;

    Zitatform

    Bosch, Gerhard & Frederic Hüttenhoff (2022): Der Bauarbeitsmarkt. Soziologie und Ökonomie einer Branche. Frankfurt am Main: Campus-Verl., 346 S. DOI:10.12907/978-3-593-45011-7

    Abstract

    "In der deutschen Bauwirtschaft haben die Sozialpartner in der Nachkriegszeit mit ihren Sozialkassen ein vorbildliches System der Finanzierung der Berufsausbildung und der sozialen Sicherung aufgebaut. Zusätzlich wurde mit dem Saisonkurzarbeitergeld ein arbeitsmarktpolitisches Instrument zur Beschäftigungssicherung entwickelt. Dieses Buch untersucht die Entwicklungen der Bauwirtschaft und ihrer besonderen Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen der vergangenen Jahrzehnte. Ein besonderes Augenmerk liegt auf den Versuchen der Sozialpartner und der Politik, die Erosion der bauspezifischen Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen durch Reformen zu verhindern, um auch in Zukunft den Fachkräftebedarf der Branche zu sichern." (Verlagsangaben, IAB-Doku)

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    The Curious Incidence of Monetary Policy Across the Income Distribution (2022)

    Broer, Tobias; Kramer, John; Mitman, Kurt;

    Zitatform

    Broer, Tobias, John Kramer & Kurt Mitman (2022): The Curious Incidence of Monetary Policy Across the Income Distribution. (Sveriges Riksbank working paper series 416), Stockholm, 36 S.

    Abstract

    "We use high-frequency administrative data from Germany to study the effects of monetary policy on income and employment across the earnings distribution. Earnings growth at the bottom of the distribution is substantially more elastic to policy shocks. This unequal incidence is driven by differences in the response of employment risk across the distribution: job loss is more countercyclical for lower-earnings households. Viewed through the lens of a standard incomplete-markets model, the heterogeneous incidence substantially amplifies the equilibrium response of aggregate consumption to shocks." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Raising the Bar: Minimum Wages and Employers' Hiring Standards (2022)

    Butschek, Sebastian;

    Zitatform

    Butschek, Sebastian (2022): Raising the Bar: Minimum Wages and Employers' Hiring Standards. In: American Economic Journal. Economic Policy, Jg. 14, H. 2, S. 91-124. DOI:10.1257/pol.20190534

    Abstract

    "Many scholars have studied the employment effects of minimum wages, but little is known about effects on the composition of hires. I investigate whether Germany's minimum wage introduction raised hiring standards, using worker fixed effects as a proxy for worker productivity. For the least productive workers hired, the minimum wage led to a 4 percentile point shift in the productivity distribution. This increase is missed using standard observable measures of worker productivity. The effects are larger with greater pre-reform screening intensity—indicating an employer response. This more selective hiring compensates about two-thirds of higher wage costs for the least productive hires." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Why do some occupations offer more part-time work than others? Reciprocal dynamics in occupational gender segregation and occupational part-time work in West Germany, 1976–2010 (2022)

    Bächmann, Ann-Christin ; Gatermann, Dörthe; Kleinert, Corinna ; Leuze, Kathrin ;

    Zitatform

    Bächmann, Ann-Christin, Dörthe Gatermann, Corinna Kleinert & Kathrin Leuze (2022): Why do some occupations offer more part-time work than others? Reciprocal dynamics in occupational gender segregation and occupational part-time work in West Germany, 1976–2010. In: Social science research, Jg. 104, 2021-12-13. DOI:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2021.102685

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes the reciprocal relationship between occupational gender segregation and occupational part-time work in West Germany over time. Based on a unique occupational panel dataset covering 254 occupations between 1976 and 2010, we apply static, dynamic, and Arellano-Bond panel models to account for reverse causality and endogeneity. Results indicate that trends in occupational part-time rates and gender ratios mutually reinforce each other but not in the same manner. Part-time work in occupations increases once more women start working in these occupations. Occupational part-time ratios are mainly driven by married women and mothers; women's education level only plays a minor role. Vice versa, the gender composition of occupations is likewise affected by changing working-time arrangements, at least in the short run, but it is mainly driven by previous levels of occupational gender segregation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

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    Bächmann, Ann-Christin ;
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    Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of Higher Minimum Wages (2022)

    Drechsel-Grau, Moritz;

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    Drechsel-Grau, Moritz (2022): Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of Higher Minimum Wages. (Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2022: Big Data in Economics), Kiel, 60 S.

    Abstract

    "While many countries are discussing substantial increases in the minimum wage, policy makers lack a comprehensive analysis of the macroeconomic and distributional consequences of raising the minimum wage. This paper investigates how employment, output and worker welfare respond to increases in the minimum wage beyond observable levels – both in the short- and long run. To that end, I incorporate endogenous job search effort, differences in employment levels, and a progressive tax-transfer system into a search-matching model with worker and firm heterogeneity. I estimate my model using German administrative and survey data. The model replicates the muted employment response, as well as the reallocation effects in terms of productivity and employment levels documented by reduced form research on the German introduction of a federal minimum wage in 2015. Simulating the model, I find that long-run employment increases slightly until the minimum wage is equal to 60% of the full-time median wage (Kaitz index) as higher search effort offsets lower vacancy posting. In addition, raising the minimum wage reallocates workers towards fulltime jobs and high-productivity firms. Total hours worked and output peak at Kaitz indices of 73% and 79%. However, policy makers face an important inter-temporal trade-off as large minimum wage hikes lead to substantial job destruction, unemployment and recessions in the short-run. Finally, I show that raising the minimum wage largely benefits men. For women, who often rely on low-hours jobs, the disutility from working longer hours outweighs the utility of higher incomes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Latest Version February 23, 2023
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    Essays on Consequences of a Negative Economic Shock on Migration and Expectations: Evidence from the reunification of East and West Germany (2022)

    Emmler, Julian; Fitzenberger, Bernd ;

    Zitatform

    Emmler, Julian & Bernd Fitzenberger (2022): Essays on Consequences of a Negative Economic Shock on Migration and Expectations. Evidence from the reunification of East and West Germany. Berlin, 163 S. DOI:10.18452/24403

    Abstract

    "Diese Dissertation analysiert die Effekte der deutschen Wiedervereinigung auf Erwartungen über die Arbeitsplatzsicherheit von ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer/innen nach der Wiedervereinigung, auf Ihre Entscheidung in den Westen zu migrieren und diskutiert zudem den Arbeitsmarkterfolg der ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer/innen die migrierten. Im ersten Kapitel zeige ich, dass kurz nach der Wiedervereinigung der Anteil der ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer/innen die erwarteten ihren Arbeitsplatz zu verlieren, substanziell höher war als der Anteil derjenigen, die ihn tatsächlich verloren. Der Anteil der erwarteten Arbeitsplatzverluste fiel im Anschluss aber substantiell. Dies wurde durch eine Verbesserung der wirtschaftlichen Situation in Ostdeutschland beeinflusst und durch eine veränderte Interpretation von ökonomischen Signalen durch die Arbeitnehmer/innen. Das zweite Kapitel enthält kausale Schätzungen von Migrationsgewinnen von ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer/innen die nach der Wiedervereinigung nach Westdeutschland migriert sind. Diese Migranten erlebten oftmals einen substantiellen Rückgang in ihren Arbeitseinnahmen in den Monaten vor Migration, verursacht durch steigende Arbeitslosigkeit. Unter Verwendung von Inverse Probability Weighting und zweier Kontrollgruppen zeige ich, dass Erwartungen über die persönliche Arbeitsmarktentwicklung in der Herkunftsregion eine wichtige Rolle für die erwarteten Migrationsgewinne spielen. Im dritten Kapitel dokumentiere ich, dass sich die Mehrheit der ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer welche zwischen 1994 - 2008 nach Westdeutschland migrierten, nach der Migration am untersten Ende der Verteilung der Verdienste in Westdeutschland eingeordnet haben. Dies kann unter anderem dadurch erklärt werden, dass Migranten oft in Industrien arbeiteten, die ein niedriges Lohnniveau in Westdeutschland aufwiesen, durch eine Entwertung des Humankapitals durch den Strukturwandel in Ostdeutschland und durch geringe Erträge für existierendes Humankapital." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Fitzenberger, Bernd ;
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    Changing selection into full-time work and its effect on wage inequality in Germany (2022)

    Fitzenberger, Bernd ; Lazzer, Jakob de;

    Zitatform

    Fitzenberger, Bernd & Jakob de Lazzer (2022): Changing selection into full-time work and its effect on wage inequality in Germany. In: Empirical economics, Jg. 62, H. 1, S. 247-277., 2021-06-17. DOI:10.1007/s00181-021-02098-0

    Abstract

    "To explore whether changes in the selection into full-time work among German men were a driver in the rise in wage inequality since the mid-1990s, we propose a modification of selection-corrected quantile regressions. Addressing Huber and Melly’s (J Appl Econom 30(7):1144–1168, 2015) concerns, this modification allows us to estimate the effects of selection with respect to both observables and unobservables. Our findings show that those employed in 1995 would have had lower wages in 2010 than those employed in 2010 and wage dispersion would have been higher, suggesting that full-time workers have become less heterogeneous over time." (Author's abstract, © 2021 Springer Nature) ((en))

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    Fitzenberger, Bernd ;
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    The role of labor demand in the labor market effects of a pension reform (2022)

    Geyer, Johannes ; Zwick, Thomas ; Bruns, Mona; Lorenz, Svenja; Haan, Peter;

    Zitatform

    Geyer, Johannes, Peter Haan, Svenja Lorenz, Thomas Zwick & Mona Bruns (2022): The role of labor demand in the labor market effects of a pension reform. In: Industrial Relations, Jg. 61, H. 2, S. 152-192. DOI:10.1111/irel.12293

    Abstract

    "This paper shows that labor demand plays an important role in the labor market reactions to a pension reform in Germany. Employers with a high share of older worker inflow compared with their younger worker inflow, employers in sectors with few investments in research and development, and employers in sectors with a high share of collective bargaining agreements allow their employees to stay employed longer after the reform. These employers offer their older employees partial retirement instead of forcing them into unemployment before early retirement because the older employees incur low substitution costs and high dismissal costs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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