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Berufliche Mobilität

Eine Tätigkeit, die mehr Spaß verspricht, ein höheres Gehalt oder bessere Entwicklungsperspektiven: Es gibt viele Gründe, nicht länger im erlernten oder ausgeübten Beruf tätig zu sein. Nicht immer sind sie jedoch so erfreulich: Auslöser kann auch eine Entlassung sein.

Dieses Themendossier bietet Literaturhinweise zur beruflichen Mobilitätsforschung in Deutschland und in anderen Ländern. Sie erschließt theoretische Ansätze und empirische Ergebnisse - beispielsweise zu den Fragen: Sind Berufswechsel lohnend? Für wen sind sie mit besonderen Risiken verbunden? Wie gut lassen sich bei einem beruflichen Neustart die bisher erworbenen Qualifikationen verwerten?
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Does Performance Pay Deter Job Quits? (2025)

    Artz, Benjamin ; Heywood, John S. ;

    Zitatform

    Artz, Benjamin & John S. Heywood (2025): Does Performance Pay Deter Job Quits? (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17791), Bonn, 35 S.

    Abstract

    "We use US longitudinal survey data to examine the role of performance pay (other than profit sharing) in worker quit decisions. We argue that performance pay should increasingly be viewed as an indicator of an internal labor market rather than of a simple contemporaneous incentive. Suggestive of this claim, we find that in ever more complete specifications that account for worker and employer characteristics, aggregate earnings and worker job satisfaction, performance pay is associated with a reduced probability of worker quits. This remains when including worker fixed effects that control for unmeasured invariant heterogeneity. We investigate how it varies with the type of performance pay and its intensity. We confirm heterogeneity in this influence by workplace size." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Erfolgreiche Jobwechsel: Wie berufliche Mobilität Einkommen und Arbeitszufriedenheit steigert (2025)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Klauser, Roman; Heinze, Inga; Hörnig, Lukas ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Inga Heinze, Lukas Hörnig & Roman Klauser (2025): Erfolgreiche Jobwechsel. Wie berufliche Mobilität Einkommen und Arbeitszufriedenheit steigert. Gütersloh, 67 S. DOI:10.11586/2024198

    Abstract

    "Die Studie untersucht die Auswirkungen beruflicher Mobilität auf das Einkommen und die Arbeitszufriedenheit von Beschäftigten in Deutschland. Sie zeigt, dass ein Stellenwechsel häufig mit einem Zuwachs an Einkommen und Zufriedenheit verbunden ist – vor allem bei Unzufriedenen. Die größten Gewinne ergeben sich bei Wechseln in Berufe mit neuen Tätigkeiten und Anforderungen, aber auch Wechsel in den gleichen Beruf sind mit Einkommens- und Zufriedenheitszuwächsen verbunden. Die Analysen basieren auf der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) und dem Sozio-oekonomischen Panel (SOEP). Die Studie ist entstanden in Zusammenarbeit mit dem RWI – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung unter der Leitung von Prof. Dr. Ronald Bachmann und seinem Autorenteam bestehend aus Inga Heinze, Dr. Lukas Hörnig und Roman Klauser." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Heterogeneous job ladders (2025)

    Borovičková, Katarína; Macaluso, Claudia;

    Zitatform

    Borovičková, Katarína & Claudia Macaluso (2025): Heterogeneous job ladders. In: Journal of monetary economics. DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103711

    Abstract

    "We investigate different wage growth rates over the life cycle for poor and rich workers, and how they relate to the frequency and quality of job-to-job transitions. Using the universe of labor market histories for Austrian workers born in 1960–62 to, we show that workers who are at the bottom of the earnings distribution have higher employer-to-employer transition rates than richer workers throughout their life. Nevertheless, they work for worse- and worse-paying firms as they age and are more likely to undergo unemployment spells at all ages. We propose a structural framework with learning by doing and heterogeneity along five dimensions: initial level of human capital, learning ability, and job separation propensity on the worker side, and productivity level and quality of offered learning opportunities on the employer side. Our model replicates the wage gap and the difference in the frequency of labor market transitions we document in the data, and allows us to investigate several dimensions of heterogeneity in the quality of labor market transitions. We find that poor workers’ lacklusterwage growth stems from a combination of deteriorating human capital, employment in low-productivity jobs, and scarce on-the-job learning opportunities. We then evaluate a policy which matches low-wage workers to high-learning employers. We find that ameliorating the learning opportunities early in a worker’s career has a non-negligible impact on lifetime earnings. The gains from matching with a better employer greatly increase with job stability, as lower separation rates limit human capital depreciation and improve the odds of matching with high-productivity employers in the future." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier B.V.All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Employee-owned firms and the careers of young workers (2025)

    Burdín, Gabriel; Garcia-Louzao, Jose ;

    Zitatform

    Burdín, Gabriel & Jose Garcia-Louzao (2025): Employee-owned firms and the careers of young workers. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 93. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102686

    Abstract

    "Using detailed administrative data from Spain, we characterize how a first work experience in an employee-owned firm (EOF) versus a conventional firm can affect workers’ careers. We find that workers’ exposure to EOFs at the time of entry reduces daily wages by 8% over the first 15 years in the labor market. The wage penalty appears to be driven by differences in job mobility and wage returns to experience rather than by non-random selection. We show that workers who had their first job in EOFs have a strong attachment to this organizational model and are less likely to experience both voluntary and involuntary job separations over their careers, with quit and layoff rates 8% and 4% lower, respectively. In addition, we quantify lower wage returns to experience in EOFs, although there are no differences in subsequent career progression in terms of promotions. Taken together, the analysis suggests the existence of other job amenities offered by EOFs that may compensate for flatter wage profiles." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Firm Pay and Worker Search (2025)

    Caldwell, Sydnee; Heining, Jörg; Haegele, Ingrid;

    Zitatform

    Caldwell, Sydnee, Ingrid Haegele & Jörg Heining (2025): Firm Pay and Worker Search. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 33445), Cambridge, Mass, 142 S.

    Abstract

    "Whether and how workers search on the job depends on their beliefs about pay and working conditions in other firms. Yet little is known about workers' knowledge of outside pay. We use a large-scale survey of full-time German workers, linked to their Social Security records, to elicit pay expectations and preferences over specific outside firms. Workers believe that they face considerable heterogeneity in their outside pay options, and direct their search toward firms they believe would pay them more. Workers' expected firm-specific pay premia are highly correlated with pay policies observed in administrative records and with workers' valuations of firm-specific amenities. Most workers are unwilling to search for a new Job - or leave their current firm - even for substantial pay increases. Switching costs are equivalent to 7 to 18% of a worker's annual pay. Attachment varies across firms, and cannot be explained by either differences in firm-specific amenities or switching costs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Heining, Jörg;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Firm consolidation and labor market outcomes (2025)

    Dobbelaere, Sabien ; Sovago, Sandor ; Prinz, Daniel ; McCormack, Grace ;

    Zitatform

    Dobbelaere, Sabien, Grace McCormack, Daniel Prinz & Sandor Sovago (2025): Firm consolidation and labor market outcomes. In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Jg. 235. DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107036

    Abstract

    "Using rich administrative data from the Netherlands, we study the consequences of firm consolidation for workers. For workers at acquired firms, takeovers are associated with a 8.5% drop in employment at the consolidated firm and a 2.6% drop in total labor income. These effects persist even four years after the takeover and are consistent with job losses driven by involuntary separations. Few takeovers change labor market concentration meaningfully. Instead, restructuring at consolidating firms is likely to be an important mechanism behind our findings. Specifically, workers with skills that are already present at acquirers are less likely to be retained and overtime hours and part-time work are reduced." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Impact of the Level and Timing of Parental Resources on Child Development and Intergenerational Mobility (2025)

    Eshaghnia, Sadegh; Landersø, Rasmus ; Heckman, James J. ;

    Zitatform

    Eshaghnia, Sadegh, James J. Heckman & Rasmus Landersø (2025): The Impact of the Level and Timing of Parental Resources on Child Development and Intergenerational Mobility. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 43, H. S1, S. S269-S301. DOI:10.1086/732677

    Abstract

    "This study explores relationships between parental resource trajectories and child development, and their implications for intergenerational mobility. By modifying the childskill formation technology to incorporate new skills during adolescence, we analyze theimportance of the timing of family resources on life outcomes, educational attainmentand participation in crime. Parental financial resources partially offset deficiencies innonpecuniary inputs to children’s human capital. Estimates of the intergenerational influ-ence on child outcomes are strongly influenced by the choice of lifetime versus snapshot parental income measures. The most predictive ages of children when family resourcesare measured vary by the outcome analyzed." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    A Relative Measure of Economic Insecurity and the Nexus with Job Change (2025)

    Gallo, Alessandro; Ferrante, Maria Rosaria; Pacei, Silvia ;

    Zitatform

    Gallo, Alessandro, Silvia Pacei & Maria Rosaria Ferrante (2025): A Relative Measure of Economic Insecurity and the Nexus with Job Change. In: Social indicators research. DOI:10.1007/s11205-025-03530-z

    Abstract

    "Economic insecurity is attracting growing attention in the social well-being literature. However, there is still debate about its definition and measurement which deserve further and in depth study. Assuming that economic insecurity relates to the forward-looking perception of future outcomes based on past experience, we suggest a class of relative indices measuring the individual feeling of economic insecurity by considering relative past resource fluctuations. The innovation we implement in this context consists in considering relative changes, supposing that individuals evaluate each fluctuation based on their previous resource level. We take advantage of the measures suggested to study how economic insecurity may affect job mobility. Obtained results show that economic insecurity has a significant impact on the probability of changing jobs, and that its effect differs by gender and working experience." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The contribution of employer changes to aggregate wage mobility (2025)

    Hollandt, Nils Torben; Müller, Steffen ;

    Zitatform

    Hollandt, Nils Torben & Steffen Müller (2025): The contribution of employer changes to aggregate wage mobility. In: Oxford economic papers, Jg. 77, H. 2, S. 490-515. DOI:10.1093/oep/gpae038

    Abstract

    "Wage mobility reduces the persistence of wage inequality. We develop a framework to quantify the contribution of employer-to-employer movers to aggregate wage mobility. Using three decades of German social security data, we find that inequality increased while aggregate wage mobility decreased. Employer-to-employer movers exhibit higher wage mobility, mainly due to changes in employer wage premia at job change. The massive structural changes following German unification temporarily led to a high number of movers, which in turn boosted aggregate wage mobility. Wage mobility is much lower at the bottom of the wage distribution, and the decline in aggregate wage mobility since the 1980s is concentrated there. The overall decline can be mostly attributed to a reduction in wage mobility per mover, which is due to a compositional shift toward lower-wage movers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Oxford University Press) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Mobility for All: Representative Intergenerational Mobility Estimates over the 20th Century (2025)

    Jácome, Elisa; Naidu, Suresh ; Kuziemko, Ilyana;

    Zitatform

    Jácome, Elisa, Ilyana Kuziemko & Suresh Naidu (2025): Mobility for All: Representative Intergenerational Mobility Estimates over the 20th Century. In: Journal of Political Economy, Jg. 133, H. 1, S. 306-354. DOI:10.1086/732527

    Abstract

    "We estimate long-run trends in intergenerational relative mobility for representative samples of the U.S.-born population. Harmonizing all surveys that include father’soccupation and own family income, we develop a mobility measure that allows forthe inclusion of non-whites and women for the 1910s–1970s birth cohorts. We Show that mobility increases between the 1910s and 1940s cohorts and that the decline of Black-white income gaps explains about half of this rise. We also find that excluding Black Americans, particularly women, considerably overstates the level of mobility fortwentieth-century birth cohorts while simultaneously understating its increase betweenthe 1910s and 1940s" (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Rise in Occupational Coding Mismatches and Occupational Mobility, 1991–2020 (2025)

    Kim, Andrew Taeho ; Kim, ChangHwan ;

    Zitatform

    Kim, Andrew Taeho & ChangHwan Kim (2025): The Rise in Occupational Coding Mismatches and Occupational Mobility, 1991–2020. In: Sociological methods & research, S. 1-41. DOI:10.1177/00491241241303517

    Abstract

    "Occupation is a construct prone to classification mismatches by coders and description inconsistency by respondents. We explore whether mismatches in occupational coding have recently increased, what factors are associated with the rise in mismatches, and how the rise affects estimates of intragenerational occupational mobility. Utilizing the 1991–2020 Annual Social and Economic Supplement of the Current Population Survey, which collects information on respondents’ current occupation and the previous year’s main occupation, we identify coding mismatches and compare the probabilities of occupational mobility based on four combinations of two variables. Our results show that not only do the estimates of occupational mobility between two adjacent years vary substantially across measures, but also that the magnitudes of intragenerational occupational mobility across measures become increasingly decoupled over time. We demonstrate that the likely cause of this divergence is the rise in coding mismatches between coders. We discuss the implications of our findings." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Psychosocial factors contributing to turnover intention among employees in the hospitality industry: a systematic review (2025)

    Krishnan, Sanggari ; Rathakrishnan, Balan ;

    Zitatform

    Krishnan, Sanggari & Balan Rathakrishnan (2025): Psychosocial factors contributing to turnover intention among employees in the hospitality industry: a systematic review. In: Current psychology, Jg. 44, H. 7, S. 5744-5765. DOI:10.1007/s12144-025-07550-3

    Abstract

    "This systematic review discusses the psychosocial factors contributing to turnover intention among hospitality workers over the past decade. Turnover is a problem experienced worldwide and, if left unresolved, could seriously impact the provision of good hospitality services. This industry survives through customer service where talented workers are vital to ensure consistent quality. It is imperative to understand the reasons behind the workers’ intention to leave the organization to aid in imparting constructive and operative efforts to develop existing human capitalfor better growth. A thorough electronic database search was conducted to identify the most relevant journal articles published in various journals within the last 10 years. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) flowchart was used to identify the articles for review. The factors were categorized into three different categories known as personal/emotional (individual level), work environment/social (unit level), and organizational and environment (organizational level) factors. Factors such as psychological distress, job satisfaction, and work stress were identified at the individual level; job overload, supervisor incivility, and management pressure were identified at the unit level; career advancement, organisational support, and work-family conflict were identified under organizational factors. This review has shown that push factors at all three levels contribute to turnover more than pull factors and determined prominent factors under each revised category. The industry may focus on creating new systems, policies, methods, or additional support to improve the internal factors to reduce employee turnover intention and increase retention among valuable employees." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Do all job changes increase wellbeing? (2025)

    Longhi, Simonetta ; Connolly, Sara ; Gedikli, Cigdem; Bryan, Mark ; Nandi, Alita ;

    Zitatform

    Longhi, Simonetta, Alita Nandi, Mark Bryan, Sara Connolly & Cigdem Gedikli (2025): Do all job changes increase wellbeing? In: Industrial Relations, Jg. 64, H. 1, S. 23-39. DOI:10.1111/irel.12354

    Abstract

    "We provide a comprehensive framework, based on person–Environment fit, for evaluating the relationship between types of job change and wellbeing, and estimate it using fixed‐effects methods applied to UK longitudinal data. Changing job is associated with large swings in job satisfaction, but not all job changes are equal. Changes in workplace are associated with increased job satisfaction only when they are associated with a change in job role. The largest associations are for changing employers. These associations extend beyond job satisfaction to mental health and, to a lesser extent, life satisfaction. Changes in broader wellbeing are especially pronounced for women." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Long-Run Career Outcomes of Multiple Job Holding (2025)

    Muffert, Johanna; Riphahn, Regina T. ;

    Zitatform

    Muffert, Johanna & Regina T. Riphahn (2025): Long-Run Career Outcomes of Multiple Job Holding. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17605), Bonn, 57 S.

    Abstract

    "Multiple job holding (MJH) is increasingly frequent in industrialized countries. Individuals holding a secondary job add to their experience, skills, and networks. We study the long-run labor market outcomes after MJH and investigate whether career effects can be validated. We employ high-quality administrative data from Germany. Our doubly robust estimation method combines entropy balancing with fixed effects difference-in-differences regressions. We find that income from primary employment declines after MJH spells and overall annual earnings from all jobs increase briefly. Job mobility increases after MJH spells. Interestingly, the beneficial long-term effects of MJH are largest for disadvantaged groups in the labor market such as females, those with low earnings, and low education. Overall, we find only limited benefits of MJH." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Performance evaluations and employee turnover intentions: Empirical evidence from linked employer-employee data (2025)

    Pohlan, Laura ; Steffes, Susanne;

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    Pohlan, Laura & Susanne Steffes (2025): Performance evaluations and employee turnover intentions: Empirical evidence from linked employer-employee data. In: Industrial Relations, Jg. 64, H. 3, S. 395-433., 2024-09-03. DOI:10.1111/irel.12379

    Abstract

    "In this article, we study whether performance evaluations can serve as an instrument for firms to increase employee retention. Feedback on one's own performance may affect individual turnover intentions differently depending on the relative wage rank of workers among their peers. In line with these considerations, empirical evidence based on panel employer–employee data shows that relatively low-paid employees decrease their turnover intentions after the implementation of a performance evaluation system at the establishment level. We find no effect for relatively high-paid employees." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Wiley) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Pohlan, Laura ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Reciprocity and job mobility: The effect of effort-reward imbalance in the employer-employee relationship on turnover intentions and actual job changes (2025)

    Prechsl, Sebastian ;

    Zitatform

    Prechsl, Sebastian (2025): Reciprocity and job mobility: The effect of effort-reward imbalance in the employer-employee relationship on turnover intentions and actual job changes. In: Social science research, Jg. 127, 2024-12-13. DOI:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2024.103133

    Abstract

    "Numerous studies illustrate that a lack of reciprocity between effort and reward in the employer-employee relationship produces negative effects on employees' health and well-being. This might motivate employees to change jobs as a consequence. Based on German panel data with 16,243 observations from 4,641 employees, I analyze the effect of effort-reward imbalance (ERI) on turnover intentions and actual job changes and whether health-threatening ERI exposure affects the realization of job changes. The results indicate more frequent doctor visits, lower job satisfaction, higher turnover intentions, and higher job change probabilities when employees’ efforts in relation to rewards increase. The ERI effects on turnover intentions and job changes are both mediated through job satisfaction. Finally, I find no evidence that ERI exposure moderates the relationship between turnover intentions and actual job changes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 The Author. Published by Elsevier Inc.) ((en))

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    Prechsl, Sebastian ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Mobility after job loss in Germany: the effects of regional economic opportunities and economic worries on mobility intentions and behaviour (2025)

    Rickmeier, Katrin ;

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    Rickmeier, Katrin (2025): Mobility after job loss in Germany: the effects of regional economic opportunities and economic worries on mobility intentions and behaviour. In: Review of regional research, Jg. 45, H. 2, S. 271-297. DOI:10.1007/s10037-025-00232-4

    Abstract

    "This study examines the impact of local economic opportunity structures on mobility intentions and mobility behavior subsequent to involuntary job loss in Germany. Previous research has demonstrated that job loss leads to an increased propensity for regional mobility; however, the role of the regional economy as a push factor and its influence on the decision to relocate remains unclear. The focus of the study at hand is on the opportunities provided by locational factors and an examination of the broader context in which regional mobility after job loss occurs. Logistic regression models are set up using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel study, which is complemented by a unique combination of spatial structure indicators. The results demonstrate that job loss has no effect on the mobility intentions of displaced workers. However, it increases the propensity to relocate within Germany. Furthermore, a favorable economic situation in the home region makes mobility intentions of displaced workers less likely. This is indicated by a negative effect of the local GDP and a positive effect of the occupation-specific local unemployment rate. A mediation analysis does not confirm a hypothesized omitted variable bias of economic worries in the effect of regional economic characteristics on the mobility intentions of displaced workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Arbeitnehmer kündigen zunehmend selbst (2025)

    Schäfer, Holger;

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    Schäfer, Holger (2025): Arbeitnehmer kündigen zunehmend selbst. (IW-Kurzberichte / Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft Köln 2025,37), Köln, 3 S.

    Abstract

    "Trotz Krise und Arbeitsplatzabbau gibt es derzeit kaum mehr Arbeitgeberkündigungen als in den Vorjahren. Wird ein Beschäftigungsverhältnis vorzeitig beendet, so erfolgt dies mittlerweile überwiegend durch den Arbeitnehmer selbst – ein Indiz für dessen zunehmende Verhandlungsmacht." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Ende zweier Ungleichheiten? Die Aufstiegschancen von Ostdeutschen und die Notwendigkeit zur Unterscheidung von Eliten- und Führungspositionen (2025)

    Vogel, Lars ;

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    Vogel, Lars (2025): Ende zweier Ungleichheiten? Die Aufstiegschancen von Ostdeutschen und die Notwendigkeit zur Unterscheidung von Eliten- und Führungspositionen. In: Zeitschrift für Soziologie, S. 1-14. DOI:10.1515/zfsoz-2025-2014

    Abstract

    "Der Beitrag vergleicht die Aufstiegschancen von Ostdeutschen in Führungs- und Elitenpositionen. Ausgangspunkt sind die geringeren Aufstiegschancen Ostdeutscher in Führungspositionen, die sich aber in jüngeren Geburtskohorten an die der Westdeutschen angleichen. Theoretisch-konzeptionelle Überlegungen zum Unterschied von Führungs- und Elitenpositionen sowie empirische Ergebnisse auf Basis des SOEP und des Forschungsprojekts Elitenmonitor zeigen, dass dieser Befund nicht auf die Aufstiegschancen in die deutschen Eliten übertragbar ist. Zudem können die angeglichenen Aufstiegschancen in jüngeren Geburtskohorten neben einem Kohorteneffekt auch durch einen Lebenszykluseffekt erzeugt werden, weil mit fortschreitender Karrieredauer die Hierarchieebene der eingenommenen Positionen steigt. Die persistierende Unterrepräsentation der Ostdeutschen in Elitenpositionen ist daher nicht allein auf den Personaltransfer ab 1990 zurückzuführen und wird nicht durch Generationswechsel automatisch vergehen, sondern erfordert gesellschaftspolitische Gegenmaßnahmen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Navigating cross-border labour mobility and employment security in European shipbuilding: lessons from the COVID-19 crisis (2025)

    Wagner, Ines ; Czarzasty, Jan ; Jaehrling, Karen ; Trif, Aurora; Sacchetto, Devi ;

    Zitatform

    Wagner, Ines, Karen Jaehrling, Aurora Trif, Devi Sacchetto & Jan Czarzasty (2025): Navigating cross-border labour mobility and employment security in European shipbuilding: lessons from the COVID-19 crisis. In: Transfer. DOI:10.1177/10242589251322885

    Abstract

    "This article investigates how cross-border mobility in the European shipbuilding industry affected the employment security of workers on standard and non-standard contracts in sending and receiving countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. It draws on qualitative findings from Germany, Italy, Norway, Poland and Romania, where shipbuilding production is integrated into transnational networks, leading to high cross-border mobility. Despite restrictions and a reduction of shipbuilding activities, the east-west labour mobility continued during the pandemic contributing to employment security in the east and addressing labour shortages in the west. The findings show that the type of employment contract, national employment protections and workers’ mobility status (e.g. posted or self-initiated) influence workers’ vulnerability. Specifically, the mobile workers with the most secure employment were also better protected by government measures than those in less secure employment during the pandemic, resulting in hierarchised groups of cross-border labour. Workers engaging in circular migration across Europe were the least protected." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Local Unemployment, Worker Mobility and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Germany (2025)

    Weber, Johannes;

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    Weber, Johannes (2025): Local Unemployment, Worker Mobility and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Germany. (CRC TR 224 discussion paper series / EPoS Collaborative Research Center Transregio 224 662), Bonn, 50 S.

    Abstract

    "In most countries, there are large and highly persistent differences in unemployment rates across local labor markets. Such local unemployment rate differences can shape the career outcomes of young who start their careers in different local labor markets. I use high-quality administrative data from Germany to study how workers move between labor markets with different unemployment rates and their resulting lifecycle wage profiles. I find that on average workers who start their careers in lower unemployment regions earn higher wages even when young, experience greater wage growth along the lifecycle, and spend less time in unemployment. Even conditional on local price levels and worker fixed effects, I find that between workers from high and workers from low unemployment regions, an unexplained wage gap opens up to about 11% until the age of 40. Despite this, I do not find that workers move out of bad labor markets and into good labor markets. Instead, workers spend most of their time in local labor markets with similar relative degrees of unemployment. I find that the differences in wages and unemployment translate into a gap of about 150,000 Euros (adjusted to 2010 level) in real income accumulated until the age of 55." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Beyond Thriving Cities and Declining Rural Areas: Mapping Geographic Divides in Germany's Employment Structure, 1993–2019 (2025)

    Westenberger, Gina-Julia ;

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    Westenberger, Gina-Julia (2025): Beyond Thriving Cities and Declining Rural Areas: Mapping Geographic Divides in Germany's Employment Structure, 1993–2019. In: Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie, Jg. 77, H. 1, S. 75-100. DOI:10.1007/s11577-025-00992-4

    Abstract

    "In der vorliegenden Untersuchung wird die populäre These einer zunehmenden regionalen Ungleichheit und eines Stadt-Land-Gefälles für Deutschland einer kritischen Betrachtung unterzogen. Der Fokus unserer Analyse liegt dabei auf der Qualität der Beschäftigungsmöglichkeiten. Die Untersuchung basiert auf einer 2 %-Stichprobe von Personen (SIAB), die von 1993 bis 2019 im deutschenSozialversicherungssystem registriert waren. Anhand dieser Daten werden das Niveau und die Entwicklung der Beschäftigungschancen entlang dreier etablierter geografischer Trennlinien – Stadt-Land, Ost-West und Nord-Süd – auf der kleinräumigen Ebene von 330 Kreisregionen analysiert. Die Berufsgruppen werden nach ihrem Medianlohn Quintilen zugeordnet, um festzustellen, ob verschiedene Kreise unterschiedliche Veränderungen in ihrer Berufsstruktur erfahren haben. Unsere Ergebnisse bestätigen ein deutliches Stadt-Land-Gefälle bei der Qualität der Beschäftigungsmöglichkeiten, da städtische Kreise einen deutlich stärkeren Zuwachs an gutbezahlten Arbeitsplätzen verzeichnen konnten. Die auf der aggregierten deutschen Ebene beobachteten Unterschiede werden jedoch auch durch das Nord-Süd- und Ost-West-Gefälle beeinflusst, da diese geografischen Polarisierungslinien sich teilweise überschneiden. Während einige kleinere Städte und städtische Kreise, vor allem in Süddeutschland, einen überdurchschnittlichen Anstieg an gutbezahlten Arbeitsplätzen verzeichnen konnten, haben die meisten ländlichen und städtischen Kreise im Osten und viele im Nordwesten weiterhin Schwierigkeiten, mit nationalen Trends mitzuhalten. Damit zeigt diese Studie, dass die geografische Polarisierung in Deutschland über ein einfaches Stadt-Land-Gefälle hinausgeht. Zudem stellt sie die Qualität von Beschäftigungsmöglichkeiten als langfristigen und räumlich detaillierten Indikator für die Analyse geografischer Unterschiede vor. Dieser Ansatz ermöglicht die Erfassung eines greifbaren Aspekts regional divergierender Lebenschancen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Crossers in a Segmented Labour Market: Occupational Advancement and Wage Changes from Semi-Skilled and Unskilled Jobs (2025)

    Wotschack, Philip ; Samtleben, Claire ;

    Zitatform

    Wotschack, Philip & Claire Samtleben (2025): Crossers in a Segmented Labour Market: Occupational Advancement and Wage Changes from Semi-Skilled and Unskilled Jobs. In: Work, Employment and Society, Jg. 39, H. 2, S. 496-515. DOI:10.1177/09500170241275861

    Abstract

    "How the upward mobility chances of workers in unskilled or semi-skilled jobs are shaped by influences at the organizational and sectoral level remains an open question. This article aims to close this research gap by examining the role of internal labor market characteristics in the promotion prospects and wage increases of workers in semi-skilled and unskilled positions. The hypotheses are derived from dual and segmented labor market theory. Regression analyses based on linked-employer-employee-data (LIAB), covering 44,024 workers in semi-skilled and unskilled positions from 2005 to 2010, underline the importance of the internal labor market. A considerable share of workers moved to skilled positions through company change. For the workers who stayed with the company, career advancements were associated with regular training investments and formalised regulations at the company level. Collective agreements, in contrast, were associated with lower chances of upward mobility, but higher wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Is there a glass ceiling for ethnic minorities to enter leadership positions? Evidence from a large-scale field experiment with over 12,000 job applications (2024)

    Adamovic, Mladen ; Leibbrandt, Andreas ;

    Zitatform

    Adamovic, Mladen & Andreas Leibbrandt (2024): Is there a glass ceiling for ethnic minorities to enter leadership positions? Evidence from a large-scale field experiment with over 12,000 job applications. (Discussion paper / Monash University, Department of Economics 2024-06), Clayton, 49 S.

    Abstract

    "Ethnic inequalities are pervasive in the higher echelons of organizations. We conducted a field experiment to analyze if there is a glass ceiling for ethnic minorities entering leadership positions. We submitted over 12,000 job applications, to over 4,000 job advertisements, to investigate hiring discrimination against six ethnic groups for leadership positions. Drawing on implicit leadership theory, we argue that ethnic discrimination is particularly pronounced in the recruitment of leadership positions. Our findings confirm this hypothesis. We find that discrimination increases for leadership positions. Resumes with non-English names receive 57.4% fewer positive responses for leadership positions than identical resumes with English names. For non-leadership positions, ethnic minorities receive 45.3 percent fewer positive responses. Ethnic discrimination for leadership positions is even more pronounced when the advertised job requires customer contact. In contrast, ethnic discrimination in leadership positions is not significantly influenced by whether the organization’s job advertisement emphasizes individualism or learning, creativity, and innovation. These findings provide novel evidence of a glass ceiling for ethnic minorities to enter leadership positions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Disentangling the Greening of the Labour Market: The Role of Changing Occupations and Worker Flows (2024)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Vonnahme, Christina; Janser, Markus ; Lehmer, Florian ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Markus Janser, Florian Lehmer & Christina Vonnahme (2024): Disentangling the Greening of the Labour Market: The Role of Changing Occupations and Worker Flows. (Ruhr economic papers 1099), Essen, 53 S. DOI:10.4419/96973277

    Abstract

    "In diesem Papier untersuchen wir die Entwicklung der ökologischen Transformation auf dem deutschen Arbeitsmarkt zwischen 2012 und 2022. Wir zeigen zunächst, dass dieses sowohl durch eine Zunahme umwelt- bzw. klimaschutzbezogener beruflicher Tätigkeiten als auch durch einen Rückgang von umwelt-/klimaschädlichen Tätigkeiten erfolgt. Darüber hinaus ist diese Veränderung innerhalb von Berufen im Laufe der Zeit („Within-Effekt“) mindestens ebenso wichtig für die Gesamttransformation der Beschäftigung wie die Verschiebung von Beschäftigungsanteilen zwischen Berufen („Between-Effekt“). Zweitens zeigen wir, welche Berufe und welche Aufgabentypen ("brown" oder "green") am meisten zum Within-Effekt beitragen und welche Beschäftigtenflüsse hauptsächlich für den Between-Effekt verantwortlich sind. Drittens untersuchen wir die Folgen der ökologischen Transformation der Beschäftigung auf individueller Ebene. Wir stellen fest, dass die Beschäftigungsaussichten von Menschen mit ausländischer Staatsangehörigkeit und gering qualifizierten Beschäftigten am stärksten durch die ökologische Transformation gefährdet sind, was wiederum bestehende Ungleichheiten auf dem Arbeitsmarkt verstärken kann." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Janser, Markus ; Lehmer, Florian ;
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    Die ökologische Transformation des Arbeitsmarktes: Individuelle Betroffenheit und Erwartungen (2024)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Fitzthum, Mirjam; Eßer, Jana; Vonnahme, Christina;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Jana Eßer, Mirjam Fitzthum & Christina Vonnahme (2024): Die ökologische Transformation des Arbeitsmarktes: Individuelle Betroffenheit und Erwartungen. (RWI-Materialien 170), Essen, 23 S.

    Abstract

    "Die ökologische Transformation der Wirtschaft hat Folgen für Beschäftigte und Arbeitgeber/innen. Berufsbilder und Arbeitsnachfrage verändern sich bereits, und diese Entwicklungen werden sich zukünftig wahrscheinlich noch verstärken. Die vorliegende Studie präsentiert Ergebnisse einer Personenbefragung zu mehreren Aspekten dieses Themenfeldes. Hierbei stehen die Einstellungen und Sorgen der erwerbstätigen Bevölkerung im Hinblick auf die ökologische Transformation des Arbeitsmarkts im Fokus. Die Ergebnisse sollen u. a. dazu beitragen, Informationsbedürfnisse in Bezug auf den Transformationsprozess aufzudecken, um Wohlfahrtsverluste zu vermeiden. Hierbei zeigt sich erstens, dass Umweltschutz und Klimawandel als bedeutende Herausforderungen angesehen werden. Zweitens spielt die ökologische Transformation bisher nur eine geringe Rolle für berufliche Veränderungen. Für die Zukunft wird ein Anstieg solcher Veränderungen aufgrund der ökologischen Transformation sowie die Notwendigkeit, die eigenen Fähigkeiten zu erweitern, erwartet. Hierbei wünschen sich die Befragten mehr Unterstützung durch Staat und Arbeitgeber/innen und eine Beschleunigung des ökologischen Umbaus der Wirtschaft. Dieser wird als gut vereinbar mit weiteren gesellschaftlichen Zielen bewertet. Analysen getrennt nach Alter, Bildung und Einkommen verdeutlichen die soziale Dimension der ökologischen Transformation des Arbeitsmarktes." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Returns to labour mobility (2024)

    Baley, Isaac ; Ljungqvist, Lars ; Sargent, Thomas J. ;

    Zitatform

    Baley, Isaac, Lars Ljungqvist & Thomas J. Sargent (2024): Returns to labour mobility. In: The Economic Journal, Jg. 135, H. 666, S. 430-454. DOI:10.1093/ej/ueae054

    Abstract

    "Returns to labor mobility have too often escaped the attention they deserve as conduits of important forces in macro-labour models. These returns are shaped by calibrations of productivity processes that use theoretical perspectives and data sources from (i) labour economics and (ii) industrial organization. By investigating earlier prominent studies, we conclude that the focus on firm size dynamics and shocks intermediated through neo-classical production functions in (ii) yields large returns to labor mobility that are robust to parameter perturbations. In contrast, the reliance on statistics in labor economics to calibrate per-worker productivity processes in (i) can give rise to fragilities in the sense that parameter perturbations that generate similar targeted statistics can have very different implications for returns to labor mobility." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Job Mobility and Assortative Matching (2024)

    Braunschweig, Luisa; Dauth, Wolfgang ; Roth, Duncan ;

    Zitatform

    Braunschweig, Luisa, Wolfgang Dauth & Duncan Roth (2024): Job Mobility and Assortative Matching. (IAB-Discussion Paper 11/2024), Nürnberg, 52 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.DP.2411

    Abstract

    "Wir analysieren, wie sich das Matching zwischen Betrieben und Beschäftigten über das Erwerbsleben durch Jobmobilität verändert. Wir nutzen deutsche administrative Daten, die sowohl Informationen über Beschäftigte als auch Betriebe enthalten. Um assortatives Matching zu messen, berechnen wir die Korrelation zwischen zeitkonstanten Lohnkomponenten von Betrieben und Beschäftigten, welche wir aus einer Lohndekomposition im Stil von Abowd/Kramarz/Margolis (1999) ziehen. Zudem benutzen wir ein neues Maß für assortatives Matching, welches auf der Distanz zwischen diesen Lohnkomponenten basiert. Beide Maße zeigen, dass der Grad des assortativen Matchings im Durchschnitt mit jedem weiteren Betriebswechsel ansteigt. Bei Beschäftigten mit einer hohen zeitkonstanten Lohnkomponente kann dies durch Job Ladder Modelle erklärt werden, denn die Beschäftigten bewegen sich zu Firmen mit höheren Lohnkomponenten. Dahingegen sind Beschäftigte mit niedrigerer Lohnkomponente am Anfang des Erwerbslebens in weniger assortativen Matches zu finden, da sie es ebenfalls schaffen, zu Beginn die Job Ladder hinaufzuklettern. Für sie beginnt der Anstieg des assortativen Matchings erst nach dem dritten Job, wenn sie von der Job Ladder fallen. Die Entwicklung des assortativen Matchings ist zudem relevant für die Lohnungleichheit im Lebensverlauf. Wir zeigen, dass der Anstieg des assortativen Matchings circa 25 Prozent des Anstiegs der Lohnungleichheit im Lebensverlauf erklären kann." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Job Mobility and Assortative Matching (2024)

    Braunschweig, Luisa; Dauth, Wolfgang ; Roth, Duncan ;

    Zitatform

    Braunschweig, Luisa, Wolfgang Dauth & Duncan Roth (2024): Job Mobility and Assortative Matching. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17207), Bonn, 41 S.

    Abstract

    "Wir analysieren, wie sich das Matching zwischen Betrieben und Beschäftigten über das Erwerbsleben durch Jobmobilität verändert. Wir nutzen deutsche administrative Daten, die sowohl Informationen über Beschäftigte als auch Betriebe enthalten. Um assortatives Matching zu messen, berechnen wir die Korrelation zwischen zeitkonstanten Lohnkomponenten von Betrieben und Beschäftigten, welche wir aus einer Lohndekomposition im Stil von Abowd/Kramarz/Margolis (1999) ziehen. Zudem benutzen wir ein neues Maß für assortatives Matching, welches auf der Distanz zwischen diesen Lohnkomponenten basiert. Beide Maße zeigen, dass der Grad des assortativen Matchings im Durchschnitt mit jedem weiteren Betriebswechsel ansteigt. Bei Beschäftigten mit einer hohen zeitkonstanten Lohnkomponente kann dies durch Job Ladder Modelle erklärt werden, denn die Beschäftigten bewegen sich zu Firmen mit höheren Lohnkomponenten. Dahingegen sind Beschäftigte mit niedrigerer Lohnkomponente am Anfang des Erwerbslebens in weniger assortativen Matches zu finden, da sie es ebenfalls schaffen, zu Beginn die Job Ladder hinaufzuklettern. Für sie beginnt der Anstieg des assortativen Matchings erst nach dem dritten Job, wenn sie von der Job Ladder fallen. Die Entwicklung des assortativen Matchings ist zudem relevant für die Lohnungleichheit im Lebensverlauf. Wir zeigen, dass der Anstieg des assortativen Matchings circa 25 Prozent des Anstiegs der Lohnungleichheit im Lebensverlauf erklären kann." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Spatial and Occupational Mobility of Workers Due to Automation (2024)

    Burzyński, Michał ;

    Zitatform

    Burzyński, Michał (2024): Spatial and Occupational Mobility of Workers Due to Automation. (LISER working papers), Esch-sur-Alzette, 52 S.

    Abstract

    "Automation of labor tasks is one of the most dynamic aspects of recent technological progress. This paper aims at improving our understanding of the way that automation affects labor markets, analyzing the example of European countries. The quantitative theoretical methodology proposed in this paper allows to focus on automation-induced migration of workers, occupation switching and income inequality. The key findings include that automation in the first two decades of the 21st century had a significant impact on job upgrading of native workers and generated gains in many local labor markets. Even though net migration of workers was attenuated due to convergence in incomes across European regions, mobility at occupation levels had a sizeable impact on transmitting welfare effects of automation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Spatial and Occupational Mobility of Workers Due to Automation (2024)

    Burzyński, Michał ;

    Zitatform

    Burzyński, Michał (2024): Spatial and Occupational Mobility of Workers Due to Automation. (LISER working papers 2024-04), Esch-sur-Alzette, 52 S.

    Abstract

    "Automation of labor tasks is one of the most dynamic aspects of recent technological progress. This paper aims at improving our understanding of the way that automation affects labor markets, analyzing the example of European countries. The quantitative theoretical methodology proposed in this paper allows to focus on automation-induced migration of workers, occupation switching and income inequality. The key findings include that automation in the first two decades of the 21st century had a significant impact on job upgrading of native workers and generated gains in many local labor markets. Even though net migration of workers was attenuated due to convergence in incomes across European regions, mobility at occupation levels had a sizeable impact on transmitting welfare effects of automation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Does Bridge Employment Mitigate or Exacerbate Inequalities Later in Life? (2024)

    Cahill, Kevin E.; Giandrea, Michael D.; Quinn, Joseph F. ; Platts, Loretta G. ; Sacco, Lawrence B. ;

    Zitatform

    Cahill, Kevin E., Michael D. Giandrea, Joseph F. Quinn, Lawrence B. Sacco & Loretta G. Platts (2024): Does Bridge Employment Mitigate or Exacerbate Inequalities Later in Life? In: Work, Aging and Retirement, Jg. 10, H. 2, S. 77-99. DOI:10.1093/workar/waac020

    Abstract

    "Most older Americans with career employment change jobs at least once before retiring from the labor market. Much is known about the prevalence and determinants of these bridge jobs, yet relatively little is known about the implications of such job changes—compared to direct exits from a career job —upon economic disparities in later life. In this article, we use 26 years of longitudinal data from the Health and Retirement Study to document the various pathways that older Americans take when exiting the labor force, and examine how bridge employment affects nonhousing wealth and total wealth, including the present discounted value of Social Security benefits. We find that gradual retirement in the form of bridge employment neither exacerbates nor mitigates wealth inequalities among Americans who hold career jobs later in life. That said, we do find some evidence that wealth inequalities grow among the subset of older career workers who transition from career employment to bridge employment at older ages. One policy implication of our article is that it provides evidence that might allay concerns about the potential for disparate financial impacts associated with the gradual retirement process." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Outside Options in the Labour Market (2024)

    Caldwell, Sydnee; Danieli, Oren;

    Zitatform

    Caldwell, Sydnee & Oren Danieli (2024): Outside Options in the Labour Market. In: The Review of Economic Studies, Jg. 91, H. 6, S. 3286-3315. DOI:10.1093/restud/rdae006

    Abstract

    "This paper develops a method to estimate workers’ outside employment opportunities. We outline a matching model with two-sided heterogeneity, from which we derive a sufficient statistic, the “outside options index” (OOI), for the effect of outside options on earnings, holding worker productivity constant. The OOI uses the cross-sectional concentration of similar workers across job types to quantify workers’ outside options as a function of workers’ commuting costs, preferences, and skills. Using German micro-data, we find that differences in options explain 20% of the gender earnings gap, and that gender gaps in options are mostly due to differences in the implicit costs of commuting and moving." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Do temporary help agencies help? Employment transitions for low-skilled workers (2024)

    Carrasco, Raquel ; Gálvez-Iniesta, Ismael ; Jerez, Belén ;

    Zitatform

    Carrasco, Raquel, Ismael Gálvez-Iniesta & Belén Jerez (2024): Do temporary help agencies help? Employment transitions for low-skilled workers. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 90. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102586

    Abstract

    "We investigate the impact of working for a temporary help agency (THA) compared to being directly hired on the employment transitions of low-skilled male temporary workers aged 20 to 45. Using data from Spanish administrative records, we employ competing risk discrete-time duration models to analyze multiple temporary employment spells. Our analysis reveals the importance of accounting for short-duration dependence and workers’ unobserved heterogeneity. We find that, across all durations, agency workers are more likely to transition either to unemployment or to a new THA contract than their direct-hire counterparts. Transitions to permanent positions, although infrequent in our sample, are also more likely for agency workers. Our qualitative findings hold when unobserved heterogeneity is not controlled for. However, this model underestimates the effect of agency contracts on the risk of entering unemployment and overestimates the impact on the probability of re-entering THA. This suggests that positive self-selection plays a relevant role in explaining the higher persistence of THA employment, but not the associated higher risk of unemployment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Glass Ceilings, Step Stools, and Sticky Floors: The Racialized Gendered Promotion Process (2024)

    Corbett, Christianne ; Wullert, Katherine E. ; Gilmartin, Shannon K. ; Simard, Caroline ;

    Zitatform

    Corbett, Christianne, Katherine E. Wullert, Shannon K. Gilmartin & Caroline Simard (2024): Glass Ceilings, Step Stools, and Sticky Floors: The Racialized Gendered Promotion Process. In: Socius, Jg. 10. DOI:10.1177/23780231241274238

    Abstract

    "Organizations play a central role in replicating societal inequalities. Despite theories of gendered and racialized organizations, evidence of unequal outcomes, and research on proposed mechanisms, we have few intersectional analyses demonstrating how the promotion process varies by race and gender across job levels in actual organizations. In this first-ever analysis of advancement in a U.S. firm by gender, race, and job, we run random effects logistic regression models on five years of novel longitudinal data from the software engineering workforce of a U.S.-based technology company. Results show intersectional performance-reward bias in patterns that help maintain the racialized gendered hierarchy so commonly observed in organizations: White men overrepresented at the top, women of color overrepresented at the bottom, and in the technology sector, men of Asian descent overrepresented in midlevel technical jobs and White women overrepresented in midlevel management positions. Findings suggest monitoring promotions by gender, race, and position to make visible biases that continue to impede workplace equity." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Life-Cycle Worker Flows and Cross-Country Differences in Aggregate Employment (2024)

    Créchet, Jonathan; Lalé, Etienne ; Tarasonis, Linas ;

    Zitatform

    Créchet, Jonathan, Etienne Lalé & Linas Tarasonis (2024): Life-Cycle Worker Flows and Cross-Country Differences in Aggregate Employment. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16878), Bonn, 71 S.

    Abstract

    "Cross-country employment differences are concentrated among women, the youth, and older individuals. In this paper, we document how worker flows between employment, unemployment, and out of the labor force vary by gender and age and contribute to aggregate employment differences across a large panel of European countries. We then build a life-cycle Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model capturing the salient features of our data. Key elements of the model are an extensive margin (i.e., labor force participation) and intensive margin (i.e., variable intensity) of search effort. The model attributes a major role to the production technology in driving differences in aggregate employment, while labor-market policies play a minor role. Search effort substantially amplifies the effects of technology across gender and age groups and is a prominent proximate cause of the cross-country variation in aggregate employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Occupation-Industry Mismatch in the Cross Section and the Aggregate (2024)

    Darougheh, Saman;

    Zitatform

    Darougheh, Saman (2024): Occupation-Industry Mismatch in the Cross Section and the Aggregate. In: Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, Jg. 2, H. 3, S. 375-408. DOI:10.1086/731536

    Abstract

    "I define occupations that are employed in more industries as “broader ” occupations. I study the implications of broadness for mismatch of the unemployed and vacancies across occupations and industries. I empirically find that workers in broader occupations are better insured against industry specific shocks. A recent literature has found that mismatch did not significantly contribute to the rise in unemployment during the Great Recession. I build a general equilibrium model that uses occupational broadness as a microfoundation of mismatch. The model uncovers a general equilibrium channel that realigns the strong crosssectional effects of mismatch with its missing aggregate impact. I argue that mismatch across occupations and industries cannot significantly contribute to aggregate unemployment fluctuations" (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Ungleiche Bezahlung in Engpassberufen: Die unsichtbaren Grenzen von Herkunft und Geschlecht (2024)

    Dülken, Bianca; Shibeshi, Samrawit;

    Zitatform

    Dülken, Bianca & Samrawit Shibeshi (2024): Ungleiche Bezahlung in Engpassberufen. Die unsichtbaren Grenzen von Herkunft und Geschlecht. (Working paper / IQ-Fachstelle Einwanderung 2024,01), Berlin, 45 S.

    Abstract

    "Ziel dieser Studie ist es, die Beschäftigungssituation in Engpassberufen anhand von Staatsangehörigkeit, Alter, Geschlecht und Entgelt zu beleuchten. Die zentrale These der Studie ist, dass Beschäftigte ohne deutsche Staatsangehörigkeit, insbesondere Frauen, für die gleiche Tätigkeit und bei gleicher Eignung weniger als Beschäftigte mit deutscher Staatsangehörigkeit verdienen. Das ist selbst dann der Fall, wenn eine formale Gleichwertigkeit des ausländischen Berufsabschlusses vorliegt." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

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    Intergenerational Mobility of Immigrants in the Netherlands (2024)

    Elk, Roel van; Koot, Patrick; Zulkarnain, Alice; Jongen, Egbert L. W.;

    Zitatform

    Elk, Roel van, Egbert L. W. Jongen, Patrick Koot & Alice Zulkarnain (2024): Intergenerational Mobility of Immigrants in the Netherlands. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17035), Bonn, 55 S.

    Abstract

    "A key measure of equality of opportunity is intergenerational mobility. Of particular interest is the extent to which children of immigrants catch up with natives. Using administrative data for the Netherlands, we find large gaps in the absolute income mobility of immigrants relative to natives (-23%), suggestive of large, persistent income gaps for future generations as well. Important drivers are differences in household composition and in personal incomes. However, we also uncover substantial heterogeneity by country of origin. Children of immigrants from China actually have higher incomes than natives, which is closely related to their educational outcomes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Measuring Employer-to-Employer Reallocation (2024)

    Fujita, Shigeru ; Moscarini, Giuseppe ; Postel-Vinay, Fabien;

    Zitatform

    Fujita, Shigeru, Giuseppe Moscarini & Fabien Postel-Vinay (2024): Measuring Employer-to-Employer Reallocation. In: American Economic Journal. Macroeconomics, Jg. 16, H. 3, S. 1-51. DOI:10.1257/mac.20210076

    Abstract

    "We revisit measurement of employer-to-employer (EE) transitions in the monthly Current Population Survey. The incidence of missing answers to the question on change of employer sharply increases starting with the introduction of a new software instrument to conduct interviews in January 2007 and of the Respondent Identification Policy in 2008–2009. We document nonrandom nonresponse selection by observable and unobservable worker characteristics that correlate with EE mobility. We propose a selection model and a procedure to impute missing answers. Our imputed EE aggregate series no longer trends down after 2000 and restores a close congruence with the business cycle after 2007." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Job ladders and labour market assimilation of immigrants (2024)

    Gorshkov, Andrei ;

    Zitatform

    Gorshkov, Andrei (2024): Job ladders and labour market assimilation of immigrants. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 90. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102594

    Abstract

    "Using Danish linked employer–employee data, this study examines the importance of access to higher-paying firms in the wage assimilation process among immigrants during their 25-year tenure in Denmark. Upon their arrival, immigrant workers in Denmark earn substantially lower wages than their native counterparts. However, this wage gap diminishes rapidly within the first 5–10 years, particularly among more disadvantaged immigrant groups (non-OECD and female immigrants). Immigrants who enter the labor market early have higher earnings capacity than those who enter later, but this trend reverses after 15 years. The transition to higher-paying firms constitutes a crucial factor in wage assimilation during the initial 5 years, yet it does not account for wage growth beyond this period. Additionally, this study offers suggestive evidence that Danish firms’ wage policies vary based on the duration since migration, and these differences significantly contribute to the wage assimilation process." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Early Career Effects of Entering the Labor Market During Higher Education Expansion (2024)

    Göhausen, Johannes; Thomsen, Stephan L. ;

    Zitatform

    Göhausen, Johannes & Stephan L. Thomsen (2024): Early Career Effects of Entering the Labor Market During Higher Education Expansion. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17487), Bonn, 74 S.

    Abstract

    "We evaluate the labor market effects of an increasing supply of high-skilled labor, resulting from a higher education expansion at established German universities. Exploiting variation in exposure across regions and cohorts, we estimate early career effects for labor market entrants. We find that high-skilled wages decline initially, particularly in non-graduate jobs, but recover over the first five years of experience. Medium-skilled workers are barely affected, while low-skilled workers benefit from higher wage growth in non-routineintensive jobs. We explain the dynamics of the effects by two countervailing mechanisms: immediate supply effects and gradual technology effects through increasing skilled labor demand." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The Contribution of Employer Changes to Aggregate Wage Mobility (2024)

    Hollandt, Nils Torben; Müller, Steffen ;

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    Hollandt, Nils Torben & Steffen Müller (2024): The Contribution of Employer Changes to Aggregate Wage Mobility. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17259), 61 S.

    Abstract

    "Wage mobility reduces the persistence of wage inequality. We develop a framework to quantify the contribution of employer-to-employer movers to aggregate wage mobility. Using three decades of German social security data, we find that inequality increased while aggregate wage mobility decreased. Employer-to-employer movers exhibit higher wage mobility, mainly due to changes in employer wage premia at job change. The massive structural changes following German unification temporarily led to a high number of movers, which in turn boosted aggregate wage mobility. Wage mobility is much lower at the bottom of the wage distribution, and the decline in aggregate wage mobility since the 1980s is concentrated there. The overall decline can be mostly attributed to a reduction in wage mobility per mover, which is due to a compositional shift toward lower-wage movers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Earnings, labor market dynamics, and inequality in Sweden (2024)

    Holmberg, Johan ;

    Zitatform

    Holmberg, Johan (2024): Earnings, labor market dynamics, and inequality in Sweden. In: The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Jg. 126, H. 3, S. 561-599. DOI:10.1111/sjoe.12553

    Abstract

    "In this paper, we develop a comprehensive model of earnings and labor market dynamics, where employment and job change are endogenous. The model is estimated by applying the method of indirect inference on Swedish register data and then used to carry out some policy experiments. There are three key conclusions from these experiments. First, employment shocks early in life can to a larger extent be mitigated before retirement compared to employment shocks occurring later. Second, we find that idiosyncratic productivity shocks, unobserved heterogeneity, and education contribute substantially to life cycle earnings inequality. Finally, we find that transitory shocks to employment risk have negative effects on earnings and employment in the short run but may increase labor market fluidity in the medium run." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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    Life Course Heterogeneity and the Future Labour Force – a Dynamic Microsimulation Analysis for Austria (2024)

    Horvath, Thomas ; Spielauer, Martin ; Warum, Philipp ;

    Zitatform

    Horvath, Thomas, Martin Spielauer & Philipp Warum (2024): Life Course Heterogeneity and the Future Labour Force – a Dynamic Microsimulation Analysis for Austria. (WIFO working papers 674), Wien, 26 S.

    Abstract

    "Capturing the heterogeneity of life courses improves the accuracy, detail and policy relevance of population and labor force projections. Our study uses the microsimulation model microDEMS for Austria, which simulates individual life courses at a high level of detail and in their family context. The model pays particular attention to educational attainment, health and labor market participation. By maintaining the longitudinal consistency of labor market careers, including the tracking of insurance periods, together with the implementation of detailed retirement rules, our model provides realistic representations of retirement decisions. While we reproduce the demographic outcomes of official (Statistics Austria) population projections, including international migration by region of birth, we integrate several additional dimensions, such as educational differentials in mortality and fertility. MicroDEMS allows to consider a wide range of scenarios when assessing the sensitivity of results, or to focus on the impact of policy changes targeted at specific population subgroups, such as mothers, immigrants, or people with health impairments or lower educational levels. MicroDEMS is a detailed national version of the comparative microWELT model. In this context, microDEMS is used for sensitivity analysis and case studies to assess potential specification bias introduced in microWELT due to the neglect of institutional detail or the less detailed treatment of population heterogeneity, such as in the case of international migration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Impact of an Early Career Shock on Intergenerational Mobility (2024)

    Kaila, Martti; Riukula, Krista ; Nix, Emily ;

    Zitatform

    Kaila, Martti, Emily Nix & Krista Riukula (2024): The Impact of an Early Career Shock on Intergenerational Mobility. In: Journal of labor economics. DOI:10.1086/730322

    Abstract

    "Children’s and parent’s incomes are highly correlated, yet little is known about how early career shocks contribute to this correlation. This paper focuses on a consequential labor market shock: job loss. We document three new results. First, adult children born into the Bottom 20% of the income distribution have double the unemployment following job loss compared with those from the top 20%, and 154% higher earnings losses. Second, this increases the rank-rank correlation 30% for those impacted. Third, richer parents provide career opportu-nities to their adult children after job loss, consistent with advantages from wealthy parents persisting well into adulthood." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Tools und Verfahren zur Kompetenzerfassung in der Bundesagentur für Arbeit - eine explorativ-empirische Übersicht (2024)

    Kawalec, Sandra; Promberger, Markus;

    Zitatform

    Kawalec, Sandra & Markus Promberger (2024): Tools und Verfahren zur Kompetenzerfassung in der Bundesagentur für Arbeit - eine explorativ-empirische Übersicht. (IAB-Forschungsbericht 26/2024), Nürnberg, 35 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FB.2426

    Abstract

    "Standardisierte Kompetenzfeststellungsverfahren sollen berufliche Kompetenzen erfassen und dokumentieren – mit dem Ziel die Integration in den Arbeitsmarkt zu erleichtern. Insbesondere Personen mit informell erworbenem Fachwissen, wie Langzeitarbeitslosen, Geringqualifizierten und Migrant*innen, denen entsprechende Nachweise fehlen, kann durch eine Testung und anschließende Zertifizierung der Eintritt in den Arbeitsmarkt oder ein Berufswechsel erleichtert werden. Auch ein etwaiger Weiterbildungsbedarf lässt sich auf diese Weise genauer feststellen. Im vom Bundesministerium für Arbeit und Soziales (BMAS) geförderten Forschungsprojekt „Kompetenzfeststellungsverfahren in der Arbeitsvermittlung“ wird untersucht, welche Bedeutung Kompetenztests bei der Unterstützung von Stellensuch- und Besetzungsprozessen haben. Von besonderem Interesse ist dabei, inwieweit Verfahren zur Validierung beruflichen Wissens in der Vermittlungsarbeit genutzt, welche Erfahrungen damit gemacht, und welche Chancen und Probleme hier gesehen werden. Im Zentrum der Untersuchung stand zunächst der von 2017 bis 2022 in den Arbeitsagenturen und Jobcentern bundesweit implementierte standardisierte, computerbasierte Test „MySkills“. Mithilfe dieses in 12 Sprachen verfügbaren Tests sollte ermittelt werden, inwieweit Arbeitsuchende über Kompetenzen verfügen, die in den Ausbildungsordnungen von 30 ausgewählten Berufen aufgeführt sind. In der Vermittlungspraxis wurde dieser Test nur zögerlich eingesetzt. Denn Vermittlungs- und Beratungsfachkräfte setzen bei der Ermittlung und Erfassung von Kompetenzen der Arbeitssuchenden auf bewährte Alternativen (vgl. IAB-Forschungsbericht 17/2023). Während der IAB-Forschungsbericht 17/2023 gewissermaßen „in die Tiefe ging“, widmet sich der hier vorliegende zweite Forschungsbericht der breiteren Frage, welche praxisrelevanten Kompetenzfeststellungsverfahren in der Vermittlungsarbeit der Bundesagentur für Arbeit genutzt werden, welches Ziel sie verfolgen, welche Methoden ihnen zugrunde liegen, wie sie organisatorisch eingebettet sind und wie hoch die entsprechenden Fallzahlen sind. Darüber hinaus werden – basierend auf einer Analyse der praktischen Nutzung dieser Verfahren – Rückschlüsse auf deren Stellenwert in der Tätigkeit der Bundesagentur für Arbeit gezogen. Datenbasis sind Dokumentenanalysen und 53 qualitative leitfadengestützte Interviews mit Expert*innen in der Entwicklung, Implementation und Anwendung des Testverfahrens. Den Vermittlungsfachkräften stehen je nach individueller Lebenslage der Arbeitssuchenden unterschiedliche Tools und Verfahren zur Verfügung, um das Wissen und die Fähigkeiten zu erfassen. In der Berufsorientierungsphase sind dies: Abenteuer Berufe, Gesucht-gefunden: ICH!, Check-U, Studiencheck, Berufswahltest sowie der sogenannte studienbezogene Beratungstest. In der Erwachsenenbildung bzw. bei der beruflichen Neuorientierung sind dagegen nur zwei relevante Verfahren in der Bundesagentur zu finden: New Plan und die Berufseignungsdiagnostik beim Berufspsychologischen Service (BPS). Bei Fragen der Validierung informell erworbenen Fachwissens können Instrumente wie MySkills, Valikom, Check.work sowie Maßnahmen bei einem Arbeitgeber (MAG) und Maßnahmen bei einem Träger (MAT) angewendet werden. Diese Verfahren unterscheiden sich nicht nur hinsichtlich der Zielgruppe und Zielsetzung, sondern auch in der Methode. Im Bereich der Berufsorientierung und beruflichen (Neu-Orientierung werden sog. Potenzialanalysen durchgeführt. Hierbei geht es um die persönliche Standortbestimmung, die Aufdeckung unbewusst gebliebener Kompetenzen sowie die Reflexion der eigenen Stärken und Schwächen. In Abgrenzung zu Potenzialanalysen handelt es sich bei den Testverfahren, welche im Bereich der Validierung des beruflichen Fachwissens zur Anwendung kommen, um Anforderungsanalysen. Hierbei soll geprüft und – je nach Verfahren -zertifiziert werden, ob die v.a. informell erworbenen Fähigkeiten und Kompetenzen den Anforderungen an einen Beruf genügen. Betrachtet man die praktische Nutzung der Instrumente, so wird ersichtlich, dass die hier vorgestellten Verfahren zur Kompetenzerfassung überwiegend im Bereich der Berufsorientierung und beruflichen Neuorientierung genutzt werden. Viele anforderungsorientierte Tests, die bestehendes Fachwissen mit den berufsspezifischen Anforderungen abgleichen, werden in der Vermittlungspraxis kaum genutzt, auch und weil sie in der konkreten Anwendung oft auf Schwierigkeiten stoßen. Hierzu zählt, dass der definierte Kundenstamm oft nicht zu dem Rechtskreis gehört, für den die Vermittlungs- und Beratungsfachkräfte zuständig sind. Werden dennoch Kund*innen identifiziert, für die ein Test passen würde, so erfüllen nicht alle die Voraussetzungen für eine Teilnahme (Mindestalter, einschlägige Berufserfahrung oder Sprachkenntnisse). Darüber hinaus ist die Motivation, daran teilzunehmen, oftmals gering. Gründe hierfür sind insbesondere Prüfungsangst, die lange Testdauer sowie das Bestreben, möglichst schnell wieder eine Beschäftigung aufzunehmen, statt sich vorher nochmal einem Test zu unterziehen. Eine weitere Problematik stellt die Interpretation und Verwertbarkeit der Ergebnisse dar. Vermittlungs- und Beratungsfachkräfte setzen insofern statt der standardisierten Tests eher auf bewährte Erprobungsinstrumente wie Maßnahmen bei einem Arbeitgeber und bei einem Träger, da diese in ihrer Mischung aus beobachteter und angeleiteter Praxis und der Beurteilung durch fachliche Expert*innen zuverlässigere und glaubhaftere Aussagen erlauben. Diese Maßnahmen kommen jedoch vor allem deswegen zum Tragen, um zu überprüfen, ob die Bewerber*innen auf einen Job passen oder ob die individuellen Voraussetzungen für eine weiterführende Qualifizierungsmaßnahme erfüllt sind, kaum hingegen als Instrumente zur Validierung von informellem Fachwissen an sich. Das Validieren von informell erworbenen Kompetenzen ist in der Vermittlungsarbeit noch kein breit praxisrelevantes Thema. Im Hinblick auf die gesetzliche Verankerung des Berufsbildungsvalidierungs- und Digitalisierungsgesetzes (BVaDiG) im Berufsbildungsgesetz sollte sich die Bundesagentur für Arbeit den bisherigen Hürden in der Nutzung solcher Testverfahren stellen und geeignete Strategien auf den Weg bringen, um Validierungen zu ermöglichen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Promberger, Markus;
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    Wer ist offen für lebenslanges Lernen? Die Rolle von Persönlichkeitsmerkmalen und Qualifikationen (2024)

    Kern, Jana; Galkiewicz, Agata Danuta;

    Zitatform

    Kern, Jana & Agata Danuta Galkiewicz (2024): Wer ist offen für lebenslanges Lernen? Die Rolle von Persönlichkeitsmerkmalen und Qualifikationen. In: IAB-Forum H. 16.12.2024 Nürnberg. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20241216.01

    Abstract

    "Die Arbeitswelt ändert sich rasant. Darum wird lebenslanges Lernen immer wichtiger. Das Qualifikationsniveau entscheidet mit darüber, in welchem Umfang sich Beschäftigte weiterbilden. Auch Persönlichkeitsmerkmale beeinflussen die Neigung sich weiterzubilden, insbesondere bei gut qualifizierten Beschäftigten." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Kern, Jana; Galkiewicz, Agata Danuta;
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    Age at Immigrant Arrival and Career Mobility: Evidence from Vietnamese Refugee Migration and the Amerasian Homecoming Act (2024)

    Kerr, Sari Pekkala ; Smith, Kendall E.; Kerr, William R.;

    Zitatform

    Kerr, Sari Pekkala, William R. Kerr & Kendall E. Smith (2024): Age at Immigrant Arrival and Career Mobility: Evidence from Vietnamese Refugee Migration and the Amerasian Homecoming Act. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 32067), Cambridge, Mass, 35 S.

    Abstract

    "We study the long-run career mobility of young immigrants, mostly refugees, from Vietnam who moved to the United States during 1989-1995. This third and final migration wave of young Vietnamese immigrants was sparked by unexpected events that culminated in the Amerasian Homecoming Act. Characteristics of the wave also minimized selection effects regarding who migrated. Small differences in the age at arrival, specifically being 14-17 years old on entry compared to 18-21, resulted in substantial differences in future economic outcomes. Using Census Bureau data, we characterize the different career profiles of young vs. older immigrants, and we quantify explanatory factors like education, language fluency, and persistence from initial employers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    How Do Workers React to Increased Job Loss Fears? The Role of Training and Job Mobility (2024)

    Klauser, Roman; Bachmann, Ronald ;

    Zitatform

    Klauser, Roman & Ronald Bachmann (2024): How Do Workers React to Increased Job Loss Fears? The Role of Training and Job Mobility. (Ruhr economic papers 1137), Essen, 38 S. DOI:10.4419/96973319

    Abstract

    "Arbeitsmärkte sind ständig externen Einflüssen wie technologischem Fortschritt und Handelsschocks ausgesetzt. Diese Faktoren haben nicht nur direkte Auswirkungen auf Beschäftigte, sondern beeinflussen darüber hinaus auch die Sorgen von Arbeitnehmenden, ihren Arbeitsplatz in naher Zukunft zu verlieren. Vor diesem Hintergrund analysieren wir, wie Beschäftigte auf steigende Ängste eines Arbeitsplatzverlust reagieren, welche Determinanten diese Ängste bestimmen und die Wechselwirkung zwischen den Determinanten, den Ängsten und den Reaktionen der Beschäftigten. Unser Fokus liegt auf zwei möglichen Reaktionen – Weiterbildung und berufliche Mobilität – sowie auf drei möglichen Determinanten: Handel, Roboter und lokale Arbeitslosenquoten. Unsere Analyse zeigt, dass zunehmende Ängste eines Arbeitsplatzverlustes zu einer höheren beruflichen Mobilität führen, jedoch nicht zu einer höheren Teilnahme an Weiterbildungsmaßnahmen. Ein höheres Maß an Importabhängigkeit ist mit erhöhten Ängsten verbunden, während eine stärkere Robotisierung am Arbeitsplatz die Sorgen eines Arbeitsplatzverlustes leicht reduziert. Unsere Ergebnisse haben wichtige Implikationen für Unternehmen sowie politische Entscheidungsträger." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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