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Adunts, Davit, Kseniia Gatskova, Yuliya Kosyakova & Silvia Schwanhäuser (2026): The Role of Settlement Intentions (Un-)Certainty in the Labour Market Integration of Ukrainian Refugees in Germany. In: Work, Employment and Society, S. 1-25. DOI:10.1177/09500170261425857

Abstract

"This article examines how (un-)certainty in settlement intentions affects the socio-economic integration of Ukrainian refugees in Germany, using longitudinal data from the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP survey. Applying an instrumental variable approach, we estimate the effects of permanent, temporary, and uncertain settlement intentions on employment, employment aspirations, and host-country language proficiency. Findings show that settlement intention uncertainty hinders integration outcomes – most notably German language acquisition – while temporary intentions are linked to lower language proficiency and reduced employment aspirations. Permanent intentions, in contrast, facilitate stronger integration across all outcomes. Refugees with uncertain plans exhibit intermediate results. Theoretically, the article contributes to migration literature by disentangling the effects of settlement intention certainty from anticipated duration of stay, and by demonstrating how subjective expectations shape forward-looking behaviour. Our results advance Goal-Setting and Rational Choice Theories, and the Immigrant Human Capital Investment model by integrating uncertainty as a key moderating factor in refugees’ integration trajectories." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Sage) ((en))

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Boeri, Tito, Giacomo Anastasia & Oleksandr Zholud (2026): A Wartime Labor Market. (RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 2026/10), Berlin, 70 S.

Abstract

"Wars disrupt labor markets, yet systematic evidence on how markets for labor services operate during conflicts is almost entirely absent. Ukraine is a rare exception: despite the full-scale Russian invasion, timely data on workers and vacancies, in both stocks and flows, remain available. We use these data to document one of the largest labor supply and reallocation shocks in recent history and to estimate the impact on job matching, showing how labor markets adapt under extreme stress. The labor force shrank by about one fourth, yet vacancy filling rates and matching efficiency declined modestly. Only along the frontline and in occupied regions there is evidence of labor market shutdowns. Wage flexibility, adaptability of recruitment policies of firms, and remote working help explain the resiliency of labor outcomes. Recovering longer-term human capital losses suffered by Ukraine will require a mix of tools going well beyond labor policies and should be a priority for the reconstruction phase." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Ette, Andreas, Yuliya Kosyakova & Christian Kothe (2026): Settlement intentions of Ukrainian refugees in Germany: Adhering to social status back home or restarting again abroad? In: Demographic Research, Jg. 54, S. 481-520., 2026-01-15. DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2026.54.16

Abstract

"Background: The choice between permanent settlement and temporary migration has garnered increased attention in international migration studies, yet the decisions of refugees remain underexplored. Objective: Building on the existing literature on return migration among voluntary migrants, this paper investigates the importance of socio-psychological and economic-skills contexts in refugees’ home and host countries for their settlement intentions. Methods: We use the register-based probability sample of the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP survey on Ukrainian refugees in Germany following the Russian invasion of February 2022. We employ linear probability regression models and sheaf coefficient analyses. Results: Similar to voluntary migrants, socio-psychological context shapes the settlement decisions of forced migrants. However, Ukrainian refugees who intend to settle are more economically disadvantaged than their counterparts, exhibiting differences in education, financial status, and welfare dependency. Notably, the highly educated and previously economically successful express a strong desire to return due to significant losses incurred as a result of the conflict. Conclusions: Both socio-psychological and economic-skills contexts significantly shape refugees’ settlement intentions, with economic factors proving slightly more influential, especially for men. That economic disadvantage challenges traditional hypotheses about settlement and return highlights the gendered and volatile conditions of the conflict. Contribution: This paper extends the general literature on the settlement and return migration processes of voluntary migrants to the specific context of forced migration. Moreover, it conceptually differentiates between and empirically compares the relative importance of socio-psychological and economic-skills contexts in refugees’ countries of origin and destination." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Grömling, Michael (2026): Ökonomische Kosten der Krisen in Deutschland. (IW-Kurzberichte / Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft Köln 2026,07), Köln, 3 S.

Abstract

"In den krisengeplagten Jahren seit 2020 kam es in Deutschland zu einem Ausfall an Wirtschaftsleistungen von nahezu einer Billion Euro. Allein ein Viertel davon entfällt auf das vergangene Jahr. Je Erwerbstätigen entspricht dies einem Wertschöpfungsverlust von insgesamt deutlich über 20.000 Euro durch die Pandemie, die Folgewirkungen des Kriegs in der Ukraine und die konfrontative Politik der USA." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Hainmueller, Jens, Moritz Marbach, Dominik Hangartner, Niklas Harder & Ehsan Vallizadeh (2026): Refugee labor market integration at scale: Evidence from Germany’s fast-track employment program. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Jg. 123, H. 14. DOI:10.1073/pnas.2513863123

Abstract

"Governments face persistent challenges in integrating refugees into the local labor market, and many past interventions have shown limited impact. This study examines the Job-Turbo program, a large-scale initiative launched by the German government in 2023 to accelerate employment among refugees—primarily individuals from Ukraine and eight other major countries of origin. Using monthly administrative panel data from Germany’s network of public employment service offices and a difference-in-differences design, we find that the program significantly increased both caseworker–refugee contact and job placements over a 23-mo follow-up period. Among Ukrainian refugees, the exit-to-job rate nearly doubled. Effects were broad-based—spanning demographic subgroups, unemployment durations, skill levels, regions, and local labor-market conditions —and were concentrated in regular, unsubsidized employment. The program also raised both the rate and share of placements followed by sustained employment, consistent with improved placement quality. Other refugee groups saw meaningful gains as well, but increases in job placements were concentrated among males and in low-skilled jobs, with only limited effects for females. We detect no negative spillovers on contact rates or exit-to-job rates for unemployed German or other immigrant job seekers, finding no evidence of resource reallocation or displacement. The results offer insights for governments responding to displacement crises. They indicate that intensified job-search assistance—embedded within theearly stage of integration and implemented at scale through public employment infrastructure—can meaningfully improve refugees’ labor-market outcomes, even amid significant arrivals." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Hartmann, Jörg & Yuliya Kosyakova (2026): Unequal returns: gendered and origin-based disparities in initial refugee employment trajectories in Germany. In: Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, S. 1-26. DOI:10.1080/1369183X.2026.2669616

Abstract

"This article examines origin- and gender-based disparities in labour-market integration of refugees in Germany, comparing Ukrainian refugees with refugees from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Using longitudinal data from the IAB-BAMF-SOEP Refugee Survey and the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP Ukrainian Refugee Survey, we trace labour-force participation (LFP) and employment rates during the first three years after arrival. Our findings confirm the expected origin and gender gaps. Ukrainians outperform MENA refugees, and men outperform women in both LFP and employment rates. However, decomposition analyses reveal that these gaps are driven less by differences in pre-migration human capital, post-migration investments, caregiving responsibilities, or legal conditions as endowments. Instead, disparities in LFP are largely explained by differential returns to similar characteristics, particularly duration of stay and, for women, returns to language skills and not having children. Once selection into the labour force is accounted for, most employment gaps are reversed or disappear, indicating that early inequalities primarily arise from differential entry into LFP rather than unequal employment chances among participants. Overall, the findings highlight labour-force selection and unequal returns – rather than resource deficits – as central mechanisms shaping early refugee labour-market integration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Taylor&Francis) ((en))

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Horbach, Jens & Christian Rammer (2026): Energy Price Shocks and Short-Term Reactions of Firms: The Case of the German Energy Crisis in 2022. In: German Economic Review, S. 1-28. DOI:10.1515/ger-2025-0010

Abstract

"After the beginning of the war in Ukraine, energy prices in Germany increased drastically. The paper analyses responses of German firms to this energy price shock. A variety of measures and reactions at the firm-level are explored, such as substituting machinery and equipment by less energy consuming alternatives, a change of energy suppliers, the use of digital technologies to reduce energy consumption, the introduction of energy management systems, relocation or closure of energy-intensive activities, or replacing fossil by other energy sources. The analysis is based on data from the German part of the Community Innovation Survey. The econometric results show that a high affectedness by the energy price shock in 2022 triggers the substitution of machinery and equipment by more energy efficient alternatives. This measure in turn is correlated to a decrease of electricity consumption and oil use, and it promotes the substitution of fossil energy sources by renewables. From a policy perspective, energy price shocks and politically induced higher energy prices can be advantageous for a shift of energy use towards higher levels of energy efficiency and a substitution of fossil energies by renewables. However, such shocks can lead to negative short-term economic consequences in energy-intensive firms." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Jaschke, Philipp, Yuliya Kosyakova & Simon Wagner (2026): Beschäftigungsquoten der ukrainischen Geflüchteten unterscheiden sich regional deutlich. In: IAB-Forum – Grafik aktuell H. 17.02.2026. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.GA.20260217.01

Abstract

"In Deutschland ist durchschnittlich rund ein Drittel der Geflüchteten aus der Ukraine im dritten Jahr nach dem Zuzug in Beschäftigung – die Werte in den einzelnen Bundesländern liegen zum Teil deutlich darunter oder darüber." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Kogan, Irena & Yuliya Kosyakova (2026): Cherchez l'homme? The Wartime Migration of Men in Ukraine: Research Note. In: Journal of International Migration and Integration, Jg. 27, H. 1, S. 287-302., 2025-07-11. DOI:10.1007/s12134-025-01297-3

Abstract

"This research note investigates wartime migration patterns of Ukrainian men in the initial months of the full-scale invasion. We utilize data from the OneUA project, which employed non-probability sampling via META’s social media platforms and survival analyses techniques to analyze the impact of demographic and socioeconomic characteristics on men’s decisions either to relocate within Ukraine (i.e., becoming internally displaced) or emigrate abroad (i.e., becoming a refugee). Exemptions from conscription under martial law are modestly reflected in the patterns of men’s emigration, with fathers of three or more children having a higher rate of international migration. Contrary to our expectations, men above conscription age, single fathers, and those in poor health did not emigrate at a higher rate compared to their male counterparts. However, higher levels of education, English proficiency, stronger financial standing, and better health are all associated with a significantly increased rate of international migration. Notably, men who reported being particularly healthy in the survey left Ukraine at higher rates compared to those in poor health. Assuming that their reported health status reflects their condition prior to leaving the country, this finding appears to contradict expectations based on martial law conditions. Our findings imply that, despite the restrictions imposed by martial law, some productive and subjectively healthy men may have left Ukraine during the initial months of the Russian invasion." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer Nature) ((en))

Zitatform

Kosyakova, Yuliya, Andreas Ette & Silvia Schwanhäuser (2026): War beyond borders: how military conflict in Ukraine shapes refugees’ settlement intentions abroad. In: European Sociological Review, S. 1-18. DOI:10.1093/esr/jcag008

Abstract

"This study investigates whether military conflict intensities in refugees’ home regions continue to shape their lives after arrival in a safe haven. While war and local conflict are well-established drivers of initial displacement, it remains unclear whether ongoing conflict influences settlement decision once refugees have escaped the immediate threat. We address this question using longitudinal data from the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP Survey of Ukrainian refugees in Germany, linked to high-frequency conflict data from Ukraine following the 2022 Russian invasion. Our findings show that both short- and long-term conflict intensities significantly affect refugees’ intentions to settle permanently abroad, with short-term shocks exerting a markedly stronger influence. Emotional responses to acute violence appear to disrupt more deliberative planning, consistent with ecological models of refugee distress. In contrast, long-term conflict intensity effects are weaker and diminish with time spent in the host country, suggesting processes of adaptation or habituation. We also find important heterogeneity: male refugees and those migrating for economic or family reasons are particularly sensitive to conflict dynamics, whereas those with family left behind are generally less inclined to settle permanently. Contrary to expectations, prior war exposure does not moderate current settlement intentions, pointing to possible acclimatization or avoidance strategies among highly exposed individuals. Overall, our results highlight the importance of integrating both emotional and evaluative processes into sociological models of refugee decision-making. They also highlight how even after arrival in safety, evolving home-country violence continues to shape refugees’ settlement trajectories." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Oxford University Press) ((en))

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Kosyakova, Yuliya, Philipp Jaschke & Simon Wagner (2026): IAB-BAMF-SOEP-Befragung verknüpft mit BA-Beschäftigungsstatistik: Deutliche Fortschritte bei der Arbeitsmarktintegration ukrainischer Geflüchteter. (IAB-Kurzbericht 03/2026), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2603

Abstract

"Der russische Angriffskrieg gegen die Ukraine dauert bereits fast vier Jahre an und hat seit dem 24. Februar 2022 die größte Fluchtbewegung in Europa seit dem Zweiten Weltkrieg ausgelöst. Ende 2024 suchten rund 6,7 Millionen Ukrainer*innen Schutz im Ausland, davon etwa eine Million in Deutschland. Wie sich die Arbeitsmarktintegration ukrainischer Geflüchteter seit ihrer Ankunft in Deutschland entwickelt hat, zeigen Analysen auf der Grundlage von Daten der IAB-BAMF-SOEP-Befragung von Geflüchteten, die hierfür mit den Daten der Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien verknüpft wurden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Kriechel, Lisa, Nadja Milewski & Martin Bujard (2026): The Affective Well-Being of Ukrainian Refugees in Germany: Evidence from Five Waves of Representative Panel Data. In: Journal of happiness studies, Jg. 27, H. 1. DOI:10.1007/s10902-025-00989-y

Abstract

"As a result of the Russo-Ukrainian war, several million Ukrainians fled, more than one million to Germany. Until now, most studies on mental health of Ukrainian refugees are cross-sectional and there is a clear need to observe their well-being. We employed five waves of the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP (later BiB/FReDA) Survey on Ukrainian Refugees in Germany analyzing affective balance, starting shortly after flight in summer 2022. By observing the time span between the summer of 2022 and the fall of 2024, we could emphasize potential risk and protective factors for Ukrainian refugees’ affective balance, a scale that indicates affective well-being by measuring angry, worried, happy, and sad emotions. We found that the respondents’ affective well-being increased over time, mostly due to decreasing frequencies of negative affects. Moreover, our results suggest that while the effects of worries on affective balance did not diminish upon controlling for potential protective factors, contact to Germans, German language proficiency, and pursuing a part-time job still improved affective balance. We thus conclude that over time, Ukrainian refugees’ situation in Germany improves, as well. Nevertheless, their worries about their economic, health-related, or family-related situation should not be discounted." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Lapshyna, Iryna (2026): Forced migration, uncertainty and transnationalism of Ukrainians in Germany. In: Mobilities, Jg. 21, H. 1, S. 48-66. DOI:10.1080/17450101.2024.2445806

Abstract

"Currently, the situation of Ukrainians in Germany and generally the EU is determined by a transitory environment of a Russia’s war against Ukraine with an uncertain outcome, a temporary migration status with an uncertain prospect and an integration process of uncertain results all on the backdrop of often transnational individual strategies. Uncertainty is at the core of all these parameters. This paper investigates how Ukrainian forced migrants in Germany deal with the stress of uncertainty and specifically the complex process of migration decision-making. Drawing on findings from a qualitative study of Ukrainian forced migrants in Germany I focus on the uncertainties they experience in political, economic, social and linguistic domains. The paper identifies multiple drivers at play such as the duration of the war, prospects of post-war reconstruction, the well-being of family members, the integration process, the future perspectives of the children. Furthermore, I explore whether transnational strategies can be understood as a response to these uncertainties. The choice is not necessarily a simple one between returning or staying, but a combination of both worlds - the Ukrainian and the new world in Germany - which means establishing a transnational pattern of mobility and living under conditions of uncertainty." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Liudmyla, Yuzva & Piotr Długosz (2026): Education and the Recalibration of Pull Factors: Ukrainian Exceptionalism in Forced Migration? In: Journal of International Migration and Integration, S. 1-25. DOI:10.1007/s12134-026-01361-6

Abstract

"This article explores the migration and settlement decisions of Ukrainian refugees in Germany following the 2022 Russian invasion. Applying Everett Lee’s push–pull theory, it focuses on parents (reflecting the predominance of women travelling with children)—the largest displaced group—and investigates whether access to children’s education emerges not only as a domain of integration but asa significant pull factor within a broader constellation of drivers shaping settlement intentions. The analysis draws on original survey data collected in late 2024 (n = 1075), using an SMS-recruited online questionnaire administered across several host countries. Findings indicate that while war-related threats (e.g. bombardments, destruction of housing) were the primary push factors prompting departure from Ukraine, the decision to settle in Germany was strongly influenced by pull factors such as safety, social support, and access to schooling. Respondents in Germany were more likely to cite long-term motives—such as improved living standards and educational prospects—than those in neighbouring countries. Education emerges not only as a sphere of integration but also as a as part of an institutional bundle, especially for parents of minors. Dual-schooling models (local and Ukrainian), parental assessments of system quality, and children’s adaptation shaped settlement choices. These dynamics show the role of education in refugee agency and family strategy. The article argues that Ukrainian migration to Germany illustrates the interplay between structural pressures and personal decision-making. Push factors triggered large-scale displacement; pull factors and individual evaluations shaped longer-term trajectories. These findings contribute to migration theory by demonstrating the centrality of education in forced migration contexts and by highlighting the heterogeneity of refugee profiles within a single national cohort." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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Maull, Doris, Ricarda Breyton, Niklas Harder & Yuliya Kosyakova (2026): Sparkurs bei Geflüchteten - Was darf Integration kosten? Bundesinnenminister Alexander Dobrindt will Integrationskurse nur noch für Menschen mit "gesicherter Bleibeperspektive" anbieten. Welche Folgen hat das? (Podcast). (SWR Kultur), Brüssel, 45 Min.

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Nieuwenhuis, Aukje, Agnieszka Postepska, Rob Alessie & Anastasiia Voloshyna (2026): Temporary Protection, permanent effects? The labor market impact of Ukrainian refugees in the European Union. (GLO discussion paper / Global Labor Organization 1769), Essen, 65 S.

Abstract

"The Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 triggered one of the largest refugee movements in Europe since World War II, with millions of Ukrainians seeking safety abroad. Czechia, Germany, and Poland emerged as primary destinations. Activation of the EU's Temporary Protection Directive granted Ukrainian refugees immediate access to host-country labor markets, creating substantial labor supply shocks. This study examines the impact of the inflow of Ukrainian refugees into the workforce in these three countries using quarterly individual-level microdata from the European Union Labor Force Survey (EU-LFS) between 2017 and 2023. Leveraging regional variation in exposure to Ukrainian employees, we estimate the effects of refugee employment on local employment, unemployment, inactivity, and working hours. We find no population-wide displacement effects, consistent with prior evidence for Czechia. However, subgroup analyses reveal heterogeneous impacts across countries. In Czechia, low-educated men benefited from increased labor demand, whereas in Poland, low-educated men experienced adverse effects. In Germany, secondary-educated men faced greater competitive pressure, reflected in an acceleration of early retirement. These differences likely stem from cross-country variation in refugee skill composition and bureaucratic barriers to labor market entry. Our findings highlight how institutional context shapes refugee integration and mediates the effects of large labor supply shocks on vulnerable segments of the local workforce." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Sua-Ngam-Iam, Phanmika (2026): Grenzen der interbehördlichen Zusammenarbeit. Der Rechtskreiswechsel Geflüchteter aus der Ukraine. In: S. Büchner, K. Braunsmann, K. Gall, J. Rahn & I. Zakharova (Hrsg.) (2026): Fall und Fallförmigkeit. Organisationen als Kontexte von Fallbearbeitung, S. 143-164.

Abstract

"Die soziale Sicherung und damit einhergehend der Wechsel der rechtlichen Zuständigkeit (Rechtskreiswechsel) für Geflüchtete aus der Ukraine vom Sozialamt (Asylbewerberleistungsgesetz) zum Jobcenter (SGB II) stellt für die öffentliche Verwaltung eine administrative Herausforderung dar. In diesem Beitrag wird untersucht, wie die beteiligten Organisationen der öffentlichen Verwaltung diesen gesetzlichen Auftrag umsetzen. Basierend auf einer empirischen Analyse der Kooperation insbesondere zwischen dem Jobcenter und den Sozialämtern zeigt der Beitrag, wie der Rechtskreiswechsel als mehrdimensional belastetes Problem – bedingt durch hohe Fallzahlen, zeitlichen Druck und unklare Rechtslage – mithilfe von Techniken der Grenzziehung und -erweiterung bewältigt wird. Aus systemtheoretischer Perspektive wird analysiert, wie unterschiedliche organisationale Bedingungen zu divergierenden Fallkonstruktionen und damit einhergehend zu unterschiedlichen Fallbearbeitungen führen: In den zweckprogrammierten Asylstellen werden Fälle ganzheitlich und kontinuierlich betreut, während sich die Fallbearbeitung im konditionalprogrammierten Jobcenter auf leistungsrechtliche Aspekte beschränkt und episodisch erfolgt. Die Untersuchung zeigt, dass insbesondere die Verlagerung von Problemlösungen in das Zwischensystem zwischen den Behörden die Umsetzung des Rechtskreiswechsels ermöglicht." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Berbée, Paul & Jan Stuhler (2025): The integration of migrants in the German labour market: evidence over 50 years. In: Economic Policy, Jg. 40, H. 122, S. 481-549. DOI:10.1093/epolic/eiae040

Abstract

"SUMMARY: Germany has become the second-most important destination for migrants worldwide. Using all waves from the microcensus, we study their labur market integration over the last 50 years and highlight differences to the US case. Although the employment gaps between immigrant and native men decline after arrival, they remain large for most cohorts; the average gap after one decade is 10 percentage points. Conversely, income gaps tend to widen post-arrival. Compositional differences explain how those gaps vary across groups, and why they worsened over time; after accounting for composition, integration outcomes show no systematic trend. Still, economic conditions do matter, and employment collapsed in some cohorts after structural shocks hit the German labor market in the early 1990s. Lastly, we examine the integration of recent arrivals during the European refugee ‘crisis’ and the Russo-Ukrainian war." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Brück-Klingberg, Andrea & Amelie Berisha (2025): Arbeitsmarktsituation von Geflüchteten in Niedersachsen. (IAB-Regional. Berichte und Analysen aus dem Regionalen Forschungsnetz. IAB Niedersachsen-Bremen 01/2025), Nürnberg, 52 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.RENSB.2501

Abstract

"Die Integration von Geflüchteten in den Arbeitsmarkt ist durch die starken Migrationsbewegungen ab 2015 und die Zuwanderung ukrainischer Geflüchteter infolge des russischen Angriffskriegs gegen die Ukraine seit 2022 zu einer zentralen gesellschaftlichen und politischen Aufgabe geworden. Da sie ein zentraler Aspekt für die Akzeptanz in der Aufnahmegesellschaft ist, betrachten wir die Arbeitsmarktintegration von Geflüchteten aus den Haupt-Asyl-Herkunftsländern und aus der Ukraine hinsichtlich verschiedener Aspekte. Dabei liegt der Fokus neben der Bevölkerungsentwicklung als Basis für eine potenzielle Arbeitsmarktintegration auf der Entwicklung der abhängigen Beschäftigung nach Anforderungsniveau und Berufssegmenten. Sowohl für die Geflüchteten aus den Top-Asylherkunftsländern als auch aus der Ukraine gilt, dass die Arbeitsmarktintegration Zeit erfordert: Mit der Aufenthaltsdauer steigen die Erwerbstätigenquoten. Dabei haben neben Unterschieden bei Bildung und Ausbildung auch Unterschiede in den rechtlichen und institutionellen Rahmenbedingungen Einfluss auf die Arbeitsmarktintegration. Es zeigt sich, dass neben Sprachkenntnissen als wichtige Voraussetzung auch die Teilnahme an Integrationsmaßnahmen sowie die Anerkennung mitgebrachter Qualifikationen entscheidende Faktoren für die Arbeitsmarktintegration sind. Gerade bei der gegenwärtigen wirtschaftlichen Lage sollten die Potenziale der Geflüchteten sowohl aus der Ukraine als auch aus den Haupt-Asyl-Herkunftsländern genutzt werden, um durch eine erfolgreiche Integration in den Arbeitsmarkt den Fachkräftemangel in verschiedenen Branchen zu lindern. Vor dem Hintergrund des Bedarfs an Fachkräften stellen wir dar, welche Bedeutung die Beschäftigung von Ausländer*innen im Gesundheitssektor hat und in welchen Engpassberufen sie Beschäftigung gefunden haben. In diesem Zusammenhang rückten folgende Handlungsbedarfe ins Blickfeld: Insbesondere ein verbesserter Zugang zu Kinderbetreuung und Bildung, als auch die Vereinfachung von Anerkennungsverfahren sowie zielgruppenspezifische Sprach- und Integrationsangebote könnten eine qualifikationsadäquate Arbeitsmarktintegration bundes- wie niedersachsenweit beschleunigen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Brücker, Herbert, Andreas Hauptmann & Sekou Keita (2025): Zuwanderungsmonitor Mai. (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung. Aktuelle Daten und Indikatoren), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.ZM.2505

Abstract

"In aller Kürze: - Die ausländische Bevölkerung in Deutschland ist nach Angaben des Ausländerzentralregisters im April 2025 gegenüber dem Vormonat um rund 1.000 Personen gesunken. - Die Beschäftigungsquote der ausländischen Bevölkerung betrug im März 2025 55,8 Prozent und ist damit im Vergleich zum Vorjahresmonat um 1,7 Prozentpunkte gestiegen. - Die absolute Zahl der Arbeitslosen mit einer ausländischen Staatsangehörigkeit hat im Mai 2025 gegenüber dem Vorjahresmonat um rund 58.000 Personen zugenommen. Dies entspricht einem Anstieg von 5,7 Prozent. - Die Arbeitslosenquote der ausländischen Bevölkerung lag im März 2025 bei 15,5 Prozent und ist im Vergleich zum Vorjahresmonat um 0,2 Prozentpunkte gestiegen. - Die SGB-II-Hilfequote der ausländischen Bevölkerung lag im Februar 2025 bei 20,6 Prozent und ist gegenüber dem Vorjahresmonat um 0,6 Prozentpunkte gesunken. - Unter den ausländischen Staatsangehörigen belief sich die Beschäftigungsquote von Frauen im November 2024 auf 49,6 Prozent und von Männern auf 61,3 Prozent. Die Beschäftigungsquote von Frauen mit ausländischer Staatsangehörigkeit ist damit im Vergleich zum Vorjahresmonat um 1,7 Prozentpunkte gestiegen, die von Männern ebenfalls um 1,7 Prozentpunkte." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)