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Mindestlohn

Seit Inkrafttreten des Mindestlohngesetzes am 1. Januar 2015 gilt ein allgemeingültiger flächendeckender Mindestlohn in Deutschland. Lohnuntergrenzen gibt es in beinahe allen europäischen Staaten und den USA. Die Mindestlohn-Gesetze haben das Ziel, Lohn-Dumping, also die nicht verhältnismäßige Bezahlung von Arbeitnehmerinnen und Arbeitnehmern, zu verhindern.
Dieses Themendossier dokumentiert die Diskussion rund um die Einführung des flächendeckenden Mindestlohns in Deutschland und die Ergebnisse empirischer Forschung der zu flächendeckenden und branchenspezifischen Mindestlöhnen. Mit dem Filter „Autorenschaft“ können Sie auf IAB-(Mit-)Autorenschaft eingrenzen.

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum wages and the distribution of family incomes (2019)

    Dube, Arindrajit;

    Zitatform

    Dube, Arindrajit (2019): Minimum wages and the distribution of family incomes. In: American Economic Journal. Applied Economics, Jg. 11, H. 4, S. 268-304. DOI:10.1257/app.20170085

    Abstract

    "There is robust evidence that higher minimum wages increase family incomes at the bottom of the distribution. The long-run (3 or more years) minimum wage elasticity of the non-elderly poverty rate with respect to the minimum wage ranges between -0.220 and -0.459 across alternative specifications. The long-run minimum wage elasticities for the tenth and fifteenth unconditional quantiles of family income range between 0.152 and 0.430 depending on specification. A reduction in public assistance partly offsets these income gains, which are on average 66 percent as large when using an expanded income definition including tax credits and noncash transfers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Do minimum wage laws affect those who are not covered? Evidence from agricultural and non-agricultural workers (2019)

    Fan, Maoyong ; Pena, Anita Alves ;

    Zitatform

    Fan, Maoyong & Anita Alves Pena (2019): Do minimum wage laws affect those who are not covered? Evidence from agricultural and non-agricultural workers. In: PLoS ONE, Jg. 14, H. 10. DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0221935

    Abstract

    "Some employers are not obligated to pay at least minimum wages to all employees. U.S. farm employers comprise one of these groups. Employees of large farms and H-2A workers (lawfully admitted, nonimmigrant workers performing temporary or seasonal agricultural work) are protected by minimum wage legislation, while some migrant workers (often those paid piece rates) are exempt. U.S. agriculture also is characterized by a large percentage of unauthorized workers who may or may not earn above minimum wage. Following insights from dual labor market theory and from theories of the signaling capacity of the minimum wage, we compare labor market outcomes in the agricultural sector (where minimum wage coverage is limited) to low wage/skill non-agricultural sectors (where minimum wage coverage is more complete) nationally using data from the Current Population Survey. We then extend our analysis to a detailed state-level case study of agricultural workers in California using a representative survey of employed farm workers. Results suggest wage increases for covered workers that exceed those for uncovered workers, but insignificant differences in hours worked. This is the first study to our knowledge to examine the impacts of minimum wage coverage on agricultural workers relative to other workers for the U.S." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Do minimum wage increases reduce crime? (2019)

    Fone, Zachary S. ; Cesur, Resul ; Sabia, Joseph J. ;

    Zitatform

    Fone, Zachary S., Joseph J. Sabia & Resul Cesur (2019): Do minimum wage increases reduce crime? (NBER working paper 25647), Cambrige, Mass., 78 S. DOI:10.3386/w25647

    Abstract

    "An April 2016 Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) report advocated raising the minimum wage to deter crime. This recommendation rests on the assumption that minimum wage hikes increase the returns to legitimate labor market work while generating minimal adverse employment effects. This study comprehensively assesses the impact of minimum wages on crime using data from the 1998-2016 Uniform Crime Reports (UCR), National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), and National Longitudinal Study of Youth (NLSY). Our results provide no evidence that minimum wage increases reduce crime. Instead, we find that raising the minimum wage increases property crime arrests among those ages 16-to-24, with an estimated elasticity of 0.2. This result is strongest in counties with over 100,000 residents and persists when we use longitudinal data to isolate workers for whom minimum wages bind. Our estimates suggest that a $15 Federal minimum wage could generate criminal externality costs of nearly $2.4 billion." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Parental labor supply: Evidence from minimum wage changes (2019)

    Godøy, Anna ; Allegretto, Sylvia A.; Reich, Michael ;

    Zitatform

    Godøy, Anna, Michael Reich & Sylvia A. Allegretto (2019): Parental labor supply: Evidence from minimum wage changes. (IRLE working paper 2019-103), Berkeley, CA, 61 S.

    Abstract

    "Declining labor force participation rates among less-educated individuals in the U.S. have been attributed to various causes, including skill-biased technical change, demand shocks induced by international competition, looser eligibility requirements for disability insurance, the opioid epidemic and the nature of child care and family leave policies. In this paper, we examine how the labor supply of parents of dependent children respond to minimum wage changes. We implement an event study framework and document a sharp rise in employment and earnings of parents after state minimum wage increases. We further show that these effects are concentrated among jobs that pay the minimum wage or slightly higher - high wage employment remains unaffected. Panel models find corresponding drops in welfare receipts, moreover, for single mothers, effects are larger for mothers of preschool age children. The results are consistentwith a simple labor supply model in which means-tested transfers and fixed costs of work in the form of paid childcare create barriers to labor market entry for parents of dependent children. Minimum wage increases then enable higher rates of parental labor force participation, resulting in significant reductions in child poverty. We find no evidence of employment crowd-out among non-parents, suggesting potential overall welfare gains from higher minimum wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum wage effects in low-wage areas (2019)

    Godøy, Anna ; Reich, Michael ;

    Zitatform

    Godøy, Anna & Michael Reich (2019): Minimum wage effects in low-wage areas. (IRLE working paper 2019-106), Berkeley, CA, 48 S.

    Abstract

    "A proposal to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 by 2024 would increase the relative minimum wage - the ratio to the national median wage - to about .68. In Alabama and Mississippi, our two lowest-wage states, the relative minimum wage would rise to .77 and .85, respectively. Yet research on state-level minimum wage policies does not extend beyond $10; the highest studied state-level relative minimum wage is .59. To close this gap we study minimum wage effects in counties and PUMAs where relative minimum wage ratios already reach as high as .82. Using ACS data since 2005 and 51 events, we sort counties and PUMAs according to their relative minimum wages and bites. We report average results for all the events in our sample, and separately for those with lower and higher impacts. We find positive wage effects but do not detect adverse effects on employment, weekly hours or annual weeks worked. We do not find negative employment effects among women, blacks and/or Hispanics. We do find substantial declines in household and child poverty." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum wages, morality, and efficiency: A choice experiment (2019)

    Lennon, Conor ; Fernandez, Jose; Teltser, Keith ; Gohmann, Stephan;

    Zitatform

    Lennon, Conor, Jose Fernandez, Stephan Gohmann & Keith Teltser (2019): Minimum wages, morality, and efficiency: A choice experiment. In: AEA papers and proceedings, Jg. 109, S. 176-181. DOI:10.1257/pandp.20191088

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Survival of the fittest: The impact of the minimum wage on firm exit (2019)

    Luca, Dara Lee ; Luca, Michael ;

    Zitatform

    Luca, Dara Lee & Michael Luca (2019): Survival of the fittest: The impact of the minimum wage on firm exit. (NBER working paper 25806), Cambrige, Mass., 43 S. DOI:10.3386/w25806

    Abstract

    "We study the impact of the minimum wage on firm exit in the restaurant industry, exploiting recent changes in the minimum wage at the city level. We find that the impact of the minimum wage depends on whether a restaurant was already close to the margin of exit. Restaurants with lower ratings are closer to the margin of exit on average, and are disproportionately driven out of business by increases to the minimum wage. Our point estimates suggest that a one dollar increase in the minimum wage leads to a 10 percent increase in the likelihood of exit for a 3.5-star restaurant (which is the median rating on Yelp), but has no discernible impact for a 5-star restaurant (on a 1 to 5 star scale). We expand the analysis to look at prices using data from delivery orders, and find that lower rated restaurants also increase prices in response to minimum wage increases. Our analysis also highlights how digital data can be used to shed new light on labor policy and the economy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum wages and spatial equilibrium: theory and evidence (2019)

    Monras, Joan;

    Zitatform

    Monras, Joan (2019): Minimum wages and spatial equilibrium. Theory and evidence. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 37, H. 3, S. 853-904. DOI:10.1086/702650

    Abstract

    "This paper introduces a spatial equilibrium model that relates earnings, employment, and internal migration responses to minimum wage increases. Population moves to or away from regions that increase minimum wages depending on the labor demand elasticity and on the financing of unemployment benefits. The empirical evidence shows that increases in minimum wages lead to increases in wages and decreases in employment among the low skilled. The labor demand elasticity is estimated to be around 1, which in the model is in line with the migration responses observed in the data. Low-skilled workers tend to leave regions that increase minimum wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Are local minimum wages too high? (2019)

    Nadler, Carl; Godøy, Anna ; Reich, Michael ; Allegretto, Sylvia A.;

    Zitatform

    Nadler, Carl, Sylvia A. Allegretto, Anna Godøy & Michael Reich (2019): Are local minimum wages too high? (IRLE working paper 2019-102), Berkeley, CA, 109 S.

    Abstract

    "We measure the effects of six citywide minimum wages that ranged up to $13 in Chicago, the District of Columbia, Oakland, San Francisco, San Jose and Seattle, employing event study and synthetic control methods. Using aggregate data on average earnings and employment in the food services industry, we find significantly positive earnings increases and no significant employment losses. While such evidence suggests the policies raised the earnings of low-wage workers, as intended, a competing explanation is that the industry responds to wage increases by increasing their demand for more productive higher-wage workers, offsetting low-wage layoffs (i.e., labor-labor substitution). To tackle this key question, we present a theoretical framework that connects the responses estimated at the industry-level to the own- and cross-wage labor demand elasticities that summarize the total effect of the policies on workers. Using a calibration exercise, we find that the combination of average earnings gains and constant employment cannot be produced by labor-labor substitution unless there are also effects on hours. To test whether the minimum wage increases demand for higher-wage workers or reduces low-wage workers' hours, we examine the effects of California's recent state and local minimum wage policies on the food services industry. There we find no evidence of labor-labor substitution or hours responses. Thus, the most likely explanation for the responses we find in the cities is that the industry's demand for low-wage workers is inelastic, and the policies raised their earnings." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Declining teen employment: minimum wages, returns to schooling, and immigration (2019)

    Neumark, David ; Shupe, Cortnie ;

    Zitatform

    Neumark, David & Cortnie Shupe (2019): Declining teen employment: minimum wages, returns to schooling, and immigration. In: Labour economics, Jg. 59, H. August, S. 49-68. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2019.03.008

    Abstract

    "We explore the decline in teen employment in the United States since 2000, which was sharpest for 16-17 year-olds. We consider three main explanatory factors: a rising minimum wage that could reduce employment opportunities for teens and potentially increase the value of investing in schooling; rising returns to schooling; and increasing competition from immigrants that, like the minimum wage, could reduce employment opportunities and possibly also raise the returns to human capital investment. We find that, among these factors, higher minimum wages are the predominant factor explaining changes in the schooling and workforce behavior of 16-17 year-olds since 2000. The employment decline arises from a combination of a lower likelihood of being both employed and enrolled in school, and a higher likelihood of being enrolled in school only (not employed). These effects are consistent with the minimum wage leading students to increase their focus on schooling to meet a higher productivity standard for jobs with a higher minimum wage." (Author's abstract, © 2019 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The econometrics and economics of the employment effects of minimum wages: getting from known unknowns to known knowns (2019)

    Neumark, David ;

    Zitatform

    Neumark, David (2019): The econometrics and economics of the employment effects of minimum wages. Getting from known unknowns to known knowns. In: German economic review, Jg. 20, H. 3, S. 293-329. DOI:10.1111/geer.12184

    Abstract

    "I discuss the econometrics and the economics of past research on the effects of minimum wages on employment in the United States. My intent is to try to identify key questions raised in the recent literature, and some from the earlier literature, which I think hold the most promise for understanding the conflicting evidence and arriving at a more definitive answer about the employment effects of minimum wages. My secondary goal is to discuss how we can narrow the range of uncertainty about the likely effects of the large minimum wage increases becoming more prevalent in the United States. I discuss some insights from both theory and past evidence that may be informative about the effects of high minimum wages, and try to emphasize what research can be done now and in the near future to provide useful evidence to policy-makers on the results of the coming high minimum wage experiment, whether in the United States or in other countries." (Author's abstract, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Hedonic-based labor supply substitution and the ripple effect of minimum wages (2019)

    Phelan, Brian J.;

    Zitatform

    Phelan, Brian J. (2019): Hedonic-based labor supply substitution and the ripple effect of minimum wages. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 37, H. 3, S. 905-947. DOI:10.1086/702651

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes a new explanation of the 'ripple effect' of minimum wages based on how minimum wages affect hedonic compensation. Minimum wage hikes lower compensating differentials at low-skill undesirable jobs because they raise wages at the most desirable low-skill job, the minimum wage job. This change in hedonic compensation may cause some individuals to optimally leave low-wage undesirable jobs and seek more desirable employment. If labor supply falls at low-wage undesirable jobs, employers would raise wages, consistent with the ripple effect. Empirically, I provide evidence that hedonic-based labor supply substitution is taking place and contributing to the ripple effect." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Do minimum wage increases affect SNAP benefits? (2019)

    Snyder, Thomas ; Yuan, Weici ; Rinkevich, Senayt;

    Zitatform

    Snyder, Thomas, Senayt Rinkevich & Weici Yuan (2019): Do minimum wage increases affect SNAP benefits? In: The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, Jg. 19, H. 2, S. 1-6. DOI:10.1515/bejeap-2018-0045

    Abstract

    "The recession of the late 2000s accompanied a steep increase in the number of people on the U.S. federal Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). The economy recovered, yet the number of people on SNAP remained relatively high. This study investigates whether increases in minimum wages affected the number of SNAP beneficiaries and the per-capita cost of the program. Economic reasoning suggests a minimum wage increase can decrease poverty through higher wages or increase poverty by enacting a barrier to work. Using a panel data set (1997 - 2015) at the state level, two-way fixed effects estimates demonstrate a nonlinear relationship between minimum wages and SNAP benefits. At low minimum wages, increases in the minimum wage reduce SNAP enrollment and benefits; however, at high minimum wages, increases in the minimum wage increase SNAP enrollment and benefits. Twenty states have already passed the minimum wage turning point. Further increases can lead to more SNAP participants." (Author's abstract, © De Gruyter) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The heterogeneous effects of the minimum wage on employment across states (2019)

    Wang, Wuyi ; Su, Liangjun ; Phillips, Peter C. B.;

    Zitatform

    Wang, Wuyi, Peter C. B. Phillips & Liangjun Su (2019): The heterogeneous effects of the minimum wage on employment across states. In: Economics Letters, Jg. 174, H. January, S. 179-185. DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2018.11.002

    Abstract

    "This paper studies the relationship between the minimum wage and the employment rate in the US using the framework of a panel structure model. The approach allows the minimum wage, along with some other controls, to have heterogeneous effects on employment across states which are classified into a group structure. The effects on employment are the same within each group but differ across different groups. The number of groups and the group membership of each state are both unknown a priori. The approach employs the C-Lasso technique, a recently developed classification method that consistently estimates group structure and leads to oracle-efficient estimation of the coefficients. Empirical application of C-Lasso to a US restaurant industry panel over the period 1990-2006 leads to the identification of four separate groups at the state level. The findings reveal substantial heterogeneity in the impact of the minimum wage on employment across groups, with both positive and negative effects and geographical patterns manifesting in the data. The results provide some new perspectives on the prolonged debate on the impact of minimum wage on employment." (Author's abstract, © 2018 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    15 years of research on US employment and the minimum wage (2019)

    Wolfson, Paul; Belman, Dale;

    Zitatform

    Wolfson, Paul & Dale Belman (2019): 15 years of research on US employment and the minimum wage. In: Labour, Jg. 33, H. 4, S. 488-506. DOI:10.1111/labr.12162

    Abstract

    "Statistical analysis of the minimum wage and employment has been very active for the last quarter century, including more than 37 studies of US data since the December 2000 AER exchange involving Card, Krueger, Neumark and Wascher. In this meta-analysis of the 37 that report results suitable for this technique, the most important finding is a considerable shift toward the origin in the 'consensus range': from the interval [-0.3, -0.1] to [-0.13, -0.07]. The minimum wage has negative employment effects, but these have become notably smaller and are largely localized to teenagers." (Author's abstract, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum wage in a Multi-Tier search and wage-posting model with cross-market substitutions (2019)

    Yuen, C. Y. Kelvin; Wang, Ping ;

    Zitatform

    Yuen, C. Y. Kelvin & Ping Wang (2019): Minimum wage in a Multi-Tier search and wage-posting model with cross-market substitutions. (NBER working paper 26378), Cambrige, Mass., 57 S. DOI:10.3386/w26378

    Abstract

    "While minimum wage policy is widely adopted in the real world, can it effectively raise the average wage of lower paid jobs without having large detrimental consequences for employment? The empirical literature fails to establish robust findings. We develop a general-equilibrium search and wage-posting framework with heterogeneous workers and tasks matching in multi-tier labor markets: abstract, routine high-skilled, routine middle-skilled, manual middle-skilled and manual low-skilled. We incorporate rich cross-market spillovers and compositional effects from individual responses to market thickness. As a result of minimum wage hikes, we show that (i) the unemployment rate at the minimum wage binding market is higher, while all other markets enjoy a lower unemployment rate; (ii) employment in the manual low-skilled jobs is lower, whereas employment in the routine high-skilled and manual middle-skilled markets is higher due to cross-market substitutions; and, (iii) employment in other markets has ambiguous responses due to conflicting effects on potential worker entry and unemployment. By calibrating the model to fit the U.S. data, we evaluate the impacts of the federal minimum wage hike (2007-2009) and the on-going minimum wage increase in Seattle (2017-2021). We find that the minimum wage effects on employment on the binding markets depend crucially on the magnitudes of spillover and compositional effects and that the employment effects may be weak in a nonbinding market. Moreover, our results suggest that, while both minimum wage hikes reduce aggregate output, they only generate small effects on submarket average and overall average wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Industry dynamics and the minimum wage: A putty-clay approach (2018)

    Aaronson, Daniel ; Sorkin, Isaac; French, Eric ; To, Ted ;

    Zitatform

    Aaronson, Daniel, Eric French, Isaac Sorkin & Ted To (2018): Industry dynamics and the minimum wage: A putty-clay approach. In: International Economic Review, Jg. 59, H. 1, S. 51-84. DOI:10.1111/iere.12262

    Abstract

    "We document two new findings about the industry-level response to minimum wage hikes. First, restaurant exit and entry both rise following a hike. Second, there is no change in employment among continuing restaurants. We develop a model of industry dynamics based on putty-clay technology that is consistent with these findings. In the model, continuing restaurants cannot change employment, and thus industry-level adjustment occurs gradually through exit of labor-intensive restaurants and entry of capital-intensive restaurants. Interestingly, the putty-clay model matches the small estimated short-run disemployment effect of the minimum wage found in other studies, but produces a larger long-run disemployment effect." (Author's abstract, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The minimum wage and search effort (2018)

    Adams, Camilla; Meer, Jonathan ; Sloan, CarlyWill;

    Zitatform

    Adams, Camilla, Jonathan Meer & CarlyWill Sloan (2018): The minimum wage and search effort. (NBER working paper 25128), Cambrige, Mass., 36 S. DOI:10.3386/w25128

    Abstract

    "Labor market search-and-matching models posit supply-side responses to minimum wage increases that may lead to improved matches and lessen or even reverse negative employment effects. Yet there is no empirical evidence on this crucial assumption. Using event study analysis of recent minimum wage increases, we find that increases to minimum wage do not increase the likelihood of searching, but do lead to large yet very transitory spikes in search effort by individuals already looking for work. The results are not driven by changes in the composition of searchers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Are local minimum wages absorbed by price increases?: estimates from internet-based restaurant menus (2018)

    Allegretto, Sylvia ; Reich, Michael ;

    Zitatform

    Allegretto, Sylvia & Michael Reich (2018): Are local minimum wages absorbed by price increases? Estimates from internet-based restaurant menus. In: ILR review, Jg. 71, H. 1, S. 35-63. DOI:10.1177/0019793917713735

    Abstract

    "The authors analyze 884 Internet-based restaurant menus from inside and outside San Jose, California, which they collected before and after the city implemented a 25% minimum wage increase in 2013. Their findings suggest that nearly all of the cost increase was passed through to consumers, as prices rose 1.45% on average. Minimum wage price elasticities averaged 0.058 for all restaurants and ranged from 0.044 to 0.109, depending on the type of restaurant. The authors' estimate of payroll cost increases net of turnover savings is consistent with these findings. Equally important, border effects for restaurants are smaller than is often conjectured. Price differences among restaurants that are one-half mile from either side of the policy border are not competed away, indicating that restaurant demand is spatially inelastic. These results imply that citywide minimum wage policies need not result in substantive negative employment effects nor shifts of economic activity to nearby areas." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum Wages and the Health of Hispanic Women (2018)

    Averett, Susan L. ; Smith, Julie K. ; Wang, Yang;

    Zitatform

    Averett, Susan L., Julie K. Smith & Yang Wang (2018): Minimum Wages and the Health of Hispanic Women. In: Journal of economics, race, and policy, Jg. 1, H. 4, S. 217-239. DOI:10.1007/s41996-018-0019-3

    Abstract

    "States are increasingly resorting to raising the minimum wage to boost the earnings of those at the bottom of the income distribution. Several policymakers have also claimed such increases may be health improving. In this paper, we examine the effects of minimum wage increases on the health of low-educated Hispanic women, who constitute a growing part of the US labor force, are disproportionately represented in minimum wage jobs, and typically have less access to health care. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy and data drawn from the Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance Survey and the Current Population Survey from the years 1994 to 2015, we find little evidence that low-educated Hispanic women likely affected by minimum wage increases experience any changes in health status, access to care, or use of preventive care. We conclude that efforts to improve the health of low-educated Hispanic women are not likely to occur through increases in the minimum wage." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The macroeconomic consequences of raising the minimum wage: capital accumulation, employment and the wage distribution (2018)

    Bauducco, Sofía ; Janiak, Alexandre ;

    Zitatform

    Bauducco, Sofía & Alexandre Janiak (2018): The macroeconomic consequences of raising the minimum wage: capital accumulation, employment and the wage distribution. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 101, H. January, S. 57-76. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.09.012

    Abstract

    "We study the quantitative impact of a rise in the minimum wage on macroeconomic outcomes such as employment, the stock of capital and the distribution of wages. Our modeling framework is the large-firm search and matching model. Our comparative statics are in line with previous empirical findings: a moderate increase in the minimum wage barely affects employment, while it compresses the wage distribution and generates positive spillovers on higher wages. The model also predicts an increase in the stock of capital. Next, we perform the policy experiment of introducing a 10 dollar minimum wage. Our results suggest large positive effects on capital (4.0%) and output (1.8%), with a decrease in employment by 2.8%. The introduction of a 9 dollar minimum wage would instead produce similar effects on capital accumulation without harming employment." (Author's abstract, © 2017 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    An evaluation of the relationship between minimum wage and unemployment: does the local cost-of-living matter? (2018)

    Brunt, Christopher S. ; Barilla, Anthony G.;

    Zitatform

    Brunt, Christopher S. & Anthony G. Barilla (2018): An evaluation of the relationship between minimum wage and unemployment. Does the local cost-of-living matter? In: Applied Economics Letters, Jg. 25, H. 7, S. 493-498. DOI:10.1080/13504851.2017.1340562

    Abstract

    "This article examines the relationship between federal, state and municipal minimum wage laws, local cost-of-living (COL) and the unemployment rate. It finds a strong statistically significant positive relationship between minimum wages and unemployment once COL is taken into account. Our results suggest that federal minimum wage policy is likely to have more harmful effects in rural/low cost areas." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Is there an impact of labor market freedom on the elderly female labor force participation rate in the U.S.?: An exploratory study (2018)

    Cebula, Richard J. ; Alexander, Gigi M.;

    Zitatform

    Cebula, Richard J. & Gigi M. Alexander (2018): Is there an impact of labor market freedom on the elderly female labor force participation rate in the U.S.? An exploratory study. In: Economics Bulletin, Jg. 38, H. 1, S. 30-40.

    Abstract

    "This exploratory empirical study investigates the hypothesis that greater labor market freedom should elevate the female labor force participation rate of women age 65 years and older. Strong and consistent empirical support for this hypothesis is provided in this study. For example, a one unit increase in the labor market freedom index appears to induce a 5.3%-6.88% increase in the female labor force participation rate of women age 65 years and older." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The effect of minimum wages on low-wage jobs: evidence from the United States using a bunching estimator (2018)

    Cengiz, Doruk; Dube, Arindrajit; Lindner, Attila; Zipperer, Ben;

    Zitatform

    Cengiz, Doruk, Arindrajit Dube, Attila Lindner & Ben Zipperer (2018): The effect of minimum wages on low-wage jobs. Evidence from the United States using a bunching estimator. (CEP discussion paper 1531), London, 104 S.

    Abstract

    "We propose a novel method that infers the employment effect of a minimum wage increase by comparing the number of excess jobs paying at or slightly above the new minimum wage to the missing jobs paying below it. Using state-level variation in U.S. minimum wages, we implement our method by providing new estimates on the effect of the minimum wage on the frequency distribution of hourly wages. First, we present a case study of a large, indexed minimum wage increase using administrative data on hourly wages from Washington State. Then we implement an event study analysis pooling 138 minimum wage increases between 1979 and 2016. In both cases, we find that the overall number of low-wage jobs remained essentially unchanged. At the same time, the direct effect of the minimum wage on average earnings was amplified by modest wage spillovers at the bottom of the wage distribution. Our estimates by detailed demographic groups show that the lack of job loss is not explained by labor-labor substitution at the bottom of the wage distribution. We also find no evidence of disemployment when we consider higher levels of minimum wages. However, we do find some evidence of reduced employment in tradable sectors. In contrast to our bunching-based estimates, we show that conventional studies can produce misleading inference due to spurious changes in employment higher up in the wage distribution." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The minimum wage, fringe benefits, and worker welfare (2018)

    Clemens, Jeffrey ; Kahn, Lisa B. ; Meer, Jonathan ;

    Zitatform

    Clemens, Jeffrey, Lisa B. Kahn & Jonathan Meer (2018): The minimum wage, fringe benefits, and worker welfare. (NBER working paper 24635), Cambrige, Mass., 66 S. DOI:10.3386/w24635

    Abstract

    "This paper explores the relationship between the minimum wage, the structure of employee compensation, and worker welfare. We advance a conceptual framework that describes the conditions under which a minimum wage increase will alter the provision of fringe benefits, alter employment outcomes, and either increase or decrease worker welfare. Using American Community Survey data from 2011-2016, we find robust evidence that state-level minimum wage changes decreased the likelihood that individuals report having employer-sponsored health insurance. Effects are largest among workers in very low-paying occupations, for whom coverage declines offset 9 percent of the wage gains associated with minimum wage hikes. We find evidence that both insurance coverage and wage effects exhibit spillovers into occupations moderately higher up the wage distribution. For these groups, reductions in coverage offset a more substantial share of the wage gains we estimate." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Minimum wage analysis using a pre-committed research design: evidence through 2016 (2018)

    Clemens, Jeffrey ; Strain, Michael R.;

    Zitatform

    Clemens, Jeffrey & Michael R. Strain (2018): Minimum wage analysis using a pre-committed research design. Evidence through 2016. (IZA discussion paper 11427), Bonn, 41 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper presents results from the first year of a multi-year, pre-committed research design for analyzing recent state-level minimum wage changes. Through 2015 and 2016, we estimate that relatively large statutory minimum wage increases have reduced employment among low-skilled population groups by just under 1.5 percentage points. Our estimates of the effects of smaller minimum wage increases are more variable and include both moderately large positive values and modest negative values. Our estimates of the effects of increases linked to inflation-indexing provisions are also quite variable, taking a small positive value on average across specifications. Results including 2016 diverge nontrivially when we compare estimates using the American Community Survey (ACS) to estimates using the Current Population Survey (CPS), with estimates tending to be more negative in the ACS. Analysis of future data will be needed to determine whether this difference across surveys is most appropriately attributed to sampling variations or to some other cause." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Effects of minimum wages on absence from work due to illness (2018)

    Du, Juan; Leigh, J. Paul ;

    Zitatform

    Du, Juan & J. Paul Leigh (2018): Effects of minimum wages on absence from work due to illness. In: The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, Jg. 18, H. 1, S. 1-23. DOI:10.1515/bejeap-2017-0097

    Abstract

    "Using longitudinal data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics for 1997 - 2013 and difference-in-differences (DD) and difference-in-difference-in-differences (DDD) techniques, we estimate the effects of minimum wages on absence from work due to own and others' (such as children's) illnesses. We use person fixed effects within both linear and two-part models, the latter to explore changes at extensive and intensive margins. A lower educated group (likely affected by minimum wages) is compared with higher educated groups (likely unaffected). Within the lower educated group, we find higher minimum wages are associated with lower rates of absence due to own and others' illness combined and due to own illness alone, but not associated with absence due to others' illness. A $1 increase in the real minimum wage results in 19 % (in DD model) and 32 % (DDD) decreases in the absence rate due to own illness evaluated at the mean. These findings are strongest for persons who are not employed year-round and among the lowest wage earners. In additional analysis, we show that these effects are likely not due to changes in labor supply or job-related attributes. Instead, we find a possible mechanism: higher minimum wages improve self-reported health for lower educated workers." (Author's abstract, 䗏 De Gruyter) ((en))

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    Minimum wages and the labor market effects of immigration (2018)

    Edo, Anthony ; Rapoport, Hillel ;

    Zitatform

    Edo, Anthony & Hillel Rapoport (2018): Minimum wages and the labor market effects of immigration. (IZA discussion paper 11778), Bonn, 66 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper exploits the non-linearity in the level of minimum wages across U.S. States created by the coexistence of federal and state regulations to investigate the labor market effects of immigration. We find that the impact of immigration on the wages and employment of native workers within a given state-skill cell is more negative in States with low minimum wages and for workers with low education and experience. That is, the minimum wage tends to protect native workers from competition induced by low-skill immigration. The results are robust to instrumenting immigration and state effective minimum wages, and to implementing a difference-in-differences approach comparing States where effective minimum wages are fully determined by the federal minimum wage to States where this is never the case." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Where does the minimum wage bite hardest in California? (2018)

    Even, William E. ; Macpherson, David A. ;

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    Even, William E. & David A. Macpherson (2018): Where does the minimum wage bite hardest in California? (IZA discussion paper 12000), Bonn, 37 S.

    Abstract

    "This study uses employment data on California county-industry pairs (CIPs) between 1990 and 2016 to test whether minimum wage increases caused employment growth to slow most in the CIPS with a large share of low wage workers. Evidence supports the hypothesis, and we use the estimates to simulate the effect of a 10 percent increase in the minimum wage. The simulations suggest that a 10 percent increase could cause a 3.4 percent employment loss in the average CIP in California. The job loss is projected to be concentrated in two industries: accommodation and food services, and retail. While the most populated counties of California are expected to incur the largest employment loss in terms of the number of workers, the smaller counties generally experience a larger percentage point loss in employment due to the lower wages and the greater number of workers that would be affected by the minimum wage hike. Moreover, there is substantial variation across counties in terms of the percentage of jobs lost within a given industry." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    How will higher minimum wages affect family life and children's well-being? (2018)

    Hill, Heather D. ; Romich, Jennifer;

    Zitatform

    Hill, Heather D. & Jennifer Romich (2018): How will higher minimum wages affect family life and children's well-being? In: Child development perspectives, Jg. 12, H. 2, S. 109-114. DOI:10.1111/cdep.12270

    Abstract

    "In recent years, new national and regional minimum wage laws have been passed in the United States and other countries. The laws assume that benefits flow not only to workers but also to their children. Adolescent workers will most likely be affected directly given their concentration in low-paying jobs, but younger children may be affected indirectly by changes in parents' work conditions, family income, and the quality of nonparental child care. Research on minimum wages suggests modest and mixed economic effects: Decreases in employment can offset, partly or fully, wage increases, and modest reductions in poverty rates may fade over time. Few studies have examined the effects of minimum wage increases on the well-being of families, adults, and children. In this article, we use theoretical frameworks and empirical evidence concerning the effects on children of parental work and family income to suggest hypotheses about the effects of minimum wage increases on family life and children's well-being." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Minimum wage increases and individual employment trajectories (2018)

    Jardim, Ekaterina; Wething, Hilary ; Inwegen, Emma van; Vigdor, Jacob; Long, Mark C. ; Plotnick, Robert;

    Zitatform

    Jardim, Ekaterina, Mark C. Long, Robert Plotnick, Emma van Inwegen, Jacob Vigdor & Hilary Wething (2018): Minimum wage increases and individual employment trajectories. (NBER working paper 25182), Cambrige, Mass., 47 S. DOI:10.3386/w25182

    Abstract

    "Using administrative employment data from the state of Washington, we use short-duration longitudinal panels to study the impact of Seattle's minimum wage ordinance on individuals employed in low-wage jobs immediately before a wage increase. We draw counterfactual observations using nearest-neighbor matching and derive effect estimates by comparing the 'treated' cohort to a placebo cohort drawn from earlier data. We attribute significant hourly wage increases and hours reductions to the policy. On net, the minimum wage increase from $9.47 to as much as $13 per hour raised earnings by an average of $8-$12 per week. The entirety of these gains accrued to workers with above-median experience at baseline; less-experienced workers saw no significant change to weekly pay. Approximately one-quarter of the earnings gains can be attributed to experienced workers making up for lost hours in Seattle with work outside the city limits. We associate the minimum wage ordinance with an 8% reduction in job turnover rates as well as a significant reduction in the rate of new entries into the workforce." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    People versus machines: the impact of minimum wages on automatable jobs (2018)

    Lordan, Grace ; Neumark, David ;

    Zitatform

    Lordan, Grace & David Neumark (2018): People versus machines: the impact of minimum wages on automatable jobs. In: Labour economics, Jg. 52, H. June, S. 40-53. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2018.03.006

    Abstract

    "We study the effect of minimum wage increases on employment in automatable jobs - jobs in which employers may find it easier to substitute machines for people - focusing on low-skilled workers for whom such substitution may be spurred by minimum wage increases. Based on CPS data from 1980 to 2015, we find that increasing the minimum wage decreases significantly the share of automatable employment held by low-skilled workers, and increases the likelihood that low-skilled workers in automatable jobs become nonemployed or employed in worse jobs. The average effects mask significant heterogeneity by industry and demographic group, including substantive adverse effects for older, low-skilled workers in manufacturing. We also find some evidence that the same changes improve job opportunities for higher-skilled workers. The findings imply that groups often ignored in the minimum wage literature are in fact quite vulnerable to employment changes and job loss because of automation following a minimum wage increase." (Author's abstract, © 2018 Elsevier) ((en))

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    The truth about the minimum wage - neither job killer nor cure-all (2018)

    Manning, Alan ;

    Zitatform

    Manning, Alan (2018): The truth about the minimum wage - neither job killer nor cure-all. In: Foreign affairs, Jg. 97, H. 1, S. 126-134.

    Abstract

    "It has been more than eight years since mang of the United States' cashiers, dishwashers, janitors, lifeguards, baggage handlers, baristas, manicurists, retail employees, housekeepers, construc- tion laborers, home health aides, security guards, and other minimumwage workers last got a raise. The federal minimum wage now stands at just $7.25. In real terms, these workers' earnings have declined by nearly 13 percent since the last pike, in 2009 - and have fallen by over one-third since 1968, when the real federal minimum wage was at its peak of $11.38 in today's money (although only $1.60 then). Although most Americans think the minimum wage should go up - one 2017 poll found that 75 percent supported raising it to $9.00 per hour - today's Republican-controlled Congress is unlikely to act. But the lack of Progress on Capitol HUI should not give one the impression that little is happening with regard to the minimum wage. In fact, never has there been so rauch action - it's just that it is happening at the state and, increasingly, City levels. The 'Fight for 15' has become a rallying call on the left and has resulted in some notüble successes. Twenty-nine U.S. states plus the. District of Columbia now have minimum wages that exceed the federal minimum, as do about 40 municipalities. Proponents of the minimum wage Claim that a high minimum wage is the best way to ensure an acceptable standard of living for all Americans, whereas opponents counter that lt is likely to destroy Jobs. In the debate between these two camps, feelings often run high. But behind the emotion, economics, both theoretical and empirical, can help one make sense of the issues at stake. The bottom ine is that there is not muck evidente that the minimum wage is currently a job killer in the United States, and so there is room for it to go up. Raising the minimum wage, however, is not a particularly effective tool to combat poverty and share the benefits of growth." (Text excerpt, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The econometrics and economics of the employment effects of minimum wages: getting from known unknowns to known knowns (2018)

    Neumark, David ;

    Zitatform

    Neumark, David (2018): The econometrics and economics of the employment effects of minimum wages. Getting from known unknowns to known knowns. (NBER working paper 25043), Cambrige, Mass., 42 S. DOI:10.3386/w25043

    Abstract

    "I discuss the econometrics and the economics of past research on the effects of minimum wages on employment in the United States. My intent is to try to identify key questions raised in the recent literature, and some from the earlier literature, that I think hold the most promise for understanding the conflicting evidence and arriving at a more definitive answer about the employment effects of minimum wages. My secondary goal is to discuss how we can narrow the range of uncertainty about the likely effects of the large minimum wage increases becoming more prevalent in the United States. I discuss some insights from both theory and past evidence that may be informative about the effects of high minimum wages, although one might argue that we first need to do more to settle the question of the effects of past, smaller increases on which we have more evidence (hence my first goal). But I also try to emphasize what research can be done now and in the near future to provide useful evidence to policymakers on the results of the coming high minimum wage experiment, whether in the United States or in other countries." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Longer-run effects of anti-poverty policies on disadvantaged neighborhoods (2018)

    Neumark, David ; Bass, Brittany; Asquith, Brian J. ;

    Zitatform

    Neumark, David, Brian J. Asquith & Brittany Bass (2018): Longer-run effects of anti-poverty policies on disadvantaged neighborhoods. (NBER working paper 25231), Cambrige, Mass., 50 S. DOI:10.3386/w25231

    Abstract

    "We estimate the longer-run effects of minimum wages, the Earned Income Tax Credit, and welfare on key economic indicators of economic self-sufficiency in disadvantaged neighborhoods. Our strongest findings are twofold. First, the longer-run effects of the EITC are to increase employment and to reduce poverty and public assistance, as long as we rely on national as well as state variation in EITC policy. Second, tighter welfare time limits also reduce poverty and public assistance in the longer run; while the effect on public assistance result may be mechanically related to loss of benefits, the effect on poverty is more likely behavioral. It is harder to draw firm conclusions about minimum wages and welfare benefits. With some specifications and samples, the evidence suggests that higher minimum wages lead to longer-run declines in poverty and the share of families on public assistance, whereas higher welfare benefits have adverse longer-run effects. However, the evidence on minimum wages and welfare benefits is not robust - and the estimated effects of minimum wages are sometimes in the opposite direction, including when we restrict the analysis to more recent data that is likely of more interest to policymakers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Employment effects of minimum wages: when minimum wages are introduced or raised, are there fewer jobs? (2018)

    Neumark, David ;

    Zitatform

    Neumark, David (2018): Employment effects of minimum wages. When minimum wages are introduced or raised, are there fewer jobs? (IZA world of labor 6), Bonn, 10 S. DOI:10.15185/izawol.6.v2

    Abstract

    "Das Hauptziel der Mindestlohnpolitik, Existenzsicherung durch Arbeit zu garantieren, wird durch unerwünschte Nebeneffekte untergraben. Umfangreiche empirische Erkenntnisse sprechen dafür, dass höhere Mindestlöhne zu Ausweichreaktionen in Form von Stellenabbau führen. Auch die gewünschten Verteilungseffekte bleiben in der Regel aus, obwohl einige Arbeitsmarktgruppen vom Mindestlohn durchaus profitieren. Zur gezielten Unterstützung einkommensschwacher Familien sind andere Instrumente besser geeignet, beispielsweise eine negative Einkommenssteuer." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Education and the minimum wage in the United States (2018)

    Pargianas, Christos;

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    Pargianas, Christos (2018): Education and the minimum wage in the United States. In: Applied Economics Letters, Jg. 25, H. 7, S. 447-450. DOI:10.1080/13504851.2017.1332738

    Abstract

    "This article shows that, across the US states, the level of education has a causal effect on the minimum wage. More specifically, it argues that a one-percentage point increase in the proportion of college graduates implies a 0.4 - 0.5% decrease in the real value of the minimum wage. This is the first article that uses System GMM in order to examine the effect of education on the minimum wage. Given the structure of the available data, this is the most appropriate econometric technique. System GMM not only controls for endogeneity and for fixed effects but also maximizes the precision of the estimates by using all the available variation in the data." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Coupling a federal minimum wage hike with public investments to make work pay and reduce poverty (2018)

    Romich, Jennifer; Hill, Heather D. ;

    Zitatform

    Romich, Jennifer & Heather D. Hill (2018): Coupling a federal minimum wage hike with public investments to make work pay and reduce poverty. In: RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences, Jg. 4, H. 3, S. 22-43. DOI:10.7758/rsf.2018.4.3.02

    Abstract

    "For more than a century, advocates have promoted minimum wage laws to protect workers and their families from poverty. Opponents counter that the policy has, at best, small poverty-reducing effects. We summarize the evidence and describe three factors that might dampen the policy's effects on poverty: imperfect targeting, heterogeneous labor market effects, and interactions with income support programs. To boost the poverty-reducing effects of the minimum wage, we propose increasing the federal minimum wage to $12 per hour and temporarily expanding an existing employer tax credit. This is a cost-saving proposal because it relies on regulation and creates no new administrative functions. We recommend using those savings to 'make work pay' and improve upward mobility for low-income workers through lower marginal tax rates." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The effects of minimum wages on the health of working teenagers (2017)

    Averett, Susan L. ; Wang, Yang; Smith, Julie K. ;

    Zitatform

    Averett, Susan L., Julie K. Smith & Yang Wang (2017): The effects of minimum wages on the health of working teenagers. In: Applied Economics Letters, Jg. 24, H. 16, S. 1127-1130. DOI:10.1080/13504851.2016.1259737

    Abstract

    "This article examines the effect of minimum wage increases on the self-reported health of teenage workers. We use a difference-in-differences estimation strategy and data from the Current Population Survey, and disaggregate the sample by race/ethnicity and gender to uncover the differential effects of changes in the minimum wage on health. We find that white women are more likely to report better health with a minimum wage increase while Hispanic men report worse health." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Estimating the employment effects of recent minimum wage changes: early evidence, an interpretative framework, and a pre-commitment to future analysis (2017)

    Clemens, Jeffrey ; Strain, Michael R.;

    Zitatform

    Clemens, Jeffrey & Michael R. Strain (2017): Estimating the employment effects of recent minimum wage changes. Early evidence, an interpretative framework, and a pre-commitment to future analysis. (NBER working paper 23084), Cambrige, Mass., 48 S. DOI:10.3386/w23084

    Abstract

    "This paper presents early evidence on the employment effects of state minimum wage increases enacted between January 2013 and January 2015, and offers an interpretative framework to understand why it is of interest to study recent changes in isolation. Given the ongoing transitions of many states' minimum wage rates, we also set the stage for a pre-committed analysis of the minimum wage changes scheduled for coming years. Through 2015, we estimate that employment among young adults and young individuals with less than a completed high school education expanded modestly less quickly in states that enacted one-time or multi-phase statutory minimum wage increases than in states that enacted no minimum wage increases. Across the specifications we implement and the samples we analyze, many of our estimates are statistically indistinguishable from zero. Data on the longer-run effects of this period's minimum wage changes will be essential for more fully assessing these changes' effects and for drawing strong conclusions regarding how minimum wage increases affect employment in this decade's institutional and economic environment. As data become available for the full 2016 through 2019 calendar years, we will execute and report the results of analyses that follow the road map this paper develops." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Minimum wages and the distribution of family incomes (2017)

    Dube, Arindrajit;

    Zitatform

    Dube, Arindrajit (2017): Minimum wages and the distribution of family incomes. (IZA discussion paper 10572), Bonn, 69 S.

    Abstract

    "Using the March Current Population Survey data from 1984 to 2013, I provide a comprehensive evaluation of how minimum wage policies influence the distribution of family incomes. I find robust evidence that higher minimum wages shift down the cumulative distribution of family incomes at the bottom, reducing the share of non-elderly individuals with incomes below 50, 75, 100, and 125 percent of the federal poverty threshold. The long run (3 or more years) minimum wage elasticity of the non-elderly poverty rate with respect to the minimum wage ranges between -0.22 and -0.55 across alternative specifications that subsume most of the approaches used in the literature to construct valid counterfactuals. Inverting the policy's effect on the cumulative distribution, I estimate minimum wage elasticities for unconditional quantiles of family incomes. The long run minimum wage elasticities for the 10th and 15th unconditional quantiles of equivalized family incomes range between 0.15 and 0.49 depending on specification. A reduction in public assistance partly offsets these income gains, which are on average 72% as large when using an expanded income definition including tax credits and non-cash transfers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    People versus machines: the impact of minimum wages on automatable jobs (2017)

    Lordan, Grace ; Neumark, David ;

    Zitatform

    Lordan, Grace & David Neumark (2017): People versus machines: the impact of minimum wages on automatable jobs. (NBER working paper 23667), Cambrige, Mass., 39 S. DOI:10.3386/w23667

    Abstract

    "We study the effect of minimum wage increases on employment in automatable jobs - jobs in which employers may find it easier to substitute machines for people - focusing on low-skilled workers from whom such substitution may be spurred by minimum wage increases. Based on CPS data from 1980-2015, we find that increasing the minimum wage decreases significantly the share of automatable employment held by low-skilled workers, and increases the likelihood that low-skilled workers in automatable jobs become unemployed. The average effects mask significant heterogeneity by industry and demographic group, including substantive adverse effects for older, low-skilled workers in manufacturing. The findings imply that groups often ignored in the minimum wage literature are in fact quite vulnerable to employment changes and job loss because of automation following a minimum wage increase." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Cross-state differences in the minimum wage and out-of-state commuting by low-wage workers (2017)

    McKinnish, Terra ;

    Zitatform

    McKinnish, Terra (2017): Cross-state differences in the minimum wage and out-of-state commuting by low-wage workers. In: Regional science and urban economics, Jg. 64, H. May, S. 137-147. DOI:10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2017.02.006

    Abstract

    "The 2009 federal minimum wage increase, which compressed cross-state differences in the minimum wage, is used to investigate the claim that low-wage workers are attracted to commute out of state to neighboring states that have higher minimum wages. The analysis focuses on Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs) that experience commuting flows with one or more neighboring state. A difference-in-differences-in-differences model compares PUMAs that experienced a sizeable increase or decrease in their cross-border minimum wage differential to those that experience smaller change in the cross-border differential. Out-of-state commuting of low wage workers (less than 10 dollars an hour) is then compared to that of moderate wage workers (10 - 13 dollars an hour). The results suggest that an increase in own state's minimum wage, relative to neighbor's, increases the frequency with which low-wage workers commute out of the state. The analysis is replicated on the subset of PUMAs that experience commuting flows with more than one neighboring state, so that the estimates are identified entirely within PUMA. As a whole, the results suggest that low-wage workers tend to commute away from minimum wage increases rather than towards them." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The employment effects of minimum wages: some questions we need to answer (2017)

    Neumark, David ;

    Zitatform

    Neumark, David (2017): The employment effects of minimum wages. Some questions we need to answer. (NBER working paper 23584), Cambrige, Mass., 30 S. DOI:10.3386/w23584

    Abstract

    "The literature on the employment effects of minimum wages is about a century old, and includes hundreds of studies. Yet the debate among researchers about the employment effects of minimum wages remains intense and unsettled. This essay discussed the key questions that have arisen in the past research that, if we can answer them, may prove most useful in making sense of the conflicting evidence. I also focus on additional questions we should consider to better inform the policy debate, in particular in the context of the very high minimum wages coming on line in the United States, about which past research is quite uninformative." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The contribution of the minimum wage to US wage inequality over three decades: a reassessment (2016)

    Autor, David; Manning, Alan ; Smith, Christopher L. ;

    Zitatform

    Autor, David, Alan Manning & Christopher L. Smith (2016): The contribution of the minimum wage to US wage inequality over three decades. A reassessment. In: American Economic Journal. Applied Economics, Jg. 8, H. 1, S. 58-99. DOI:10.1257/app.20140073

    Abstract

    "We reassess the effect of minimum wages on US earnings inequality using additional decades of data and an IV strategy that addresses potential biases in prior work. We find that the minimum wage reduces inequality in the lower tail of the wage distribution, though by substantially less than previous estimates, suggesting that rising lower tail inequality after 1980 primarily reflects underlying wage structure changes rather than an unmasking of latent inequality. These wage effects extend to percentiles where the minimum is nominally nonbinding, implying spillovers. We are unable to reject that these spillovers are due to reporting artifacts, however." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The effects of minimum wages on the health of working teenagers (2016)

    Averett, Susan L. ; Wang, Yang; Smith, Julie K. ;

    Zitatform

    Averett, Susan L., Julie K. Smith & Yang Wang (2016): The effects of minimum wages on the health of working teenagers. (IZA discussion paper 10185), Bonn, 15 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper examines the effect of minimum wage increases on the self-reported health of teenage workers. We use a difference-in-differences estimation strategy and data from the Current Population Survey, and disaggregate the sample by race/ethnicity and gender to uncover the differential effects of changes in the minimum wage on health. We find that white women are more likely to report better health with a minimum wage increase while Hispanic men report worse health." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The minimum wage and inequality: the effects of education and technology (2016)

    Barany, Zsofia L.;

    Zitatform

    Barany, Zsofia L. (2016): The minimum wage and inequality. The effects of education and technology. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 34, H. 1/Pt. 1, S. 237-274.

    Abstract

    "In the past 30 years, wage inequality has increased steeply while real minimum wages have fallen. This paper demonstrates that a general equilibrium model with endogenous skill choice is required to correctly evaluate the implications of minimum wage changes. The minimum wage not only truncates the wage distribution but also affects skill prices and therefore changes the incentives that people face when making educational decisions. The calibrated model suggests -- in line with recent empirical literature - that even though minimum wages affect the bottom end of the wage distribution more, their impact on the top end is significant as well." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Does the minimum wage bite into fast-food prices? (2016)

    Basker, Emek ; Khan, Muhammad Taimur;

    Zitatform

    Basker, Emek & Muhammad Taimur Khan (2016): Does the minimum wage bite into fast-food prices? In: Journal of labor research, Jg. 37, H. 2, S. 129-148. DOI:10.1007/s12122-016-9224-5

    Abstract

    "We study the effect of increases in effective minimum wages on the prices of several fast-food items using quarterly city-level data from 1993 - 2014, a period during much of which the federal minimum wage declined in real value while state-level legislation flourished. For one product, a burger, we find a robust price elasticity of 9 % with respect to the minimum wage. This estimate indicates substantial cost pass-through when contextualized by the effect of minimum-wage increases on restaurant wage bills. Our estimate for pizza is suggestive of a similarly large pass-through rate but is less precisely estimated, and our estimate for fried chicken is near zero, but estimated even less precisely. Taken as a whole, our estimates point toward sizable cost pass-through of minimum wage increases to consumer prices. These results contribute to a mixed literature on the consumer burden of minimum wage increases." (Author's abstract, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    Mindestlohn in Deutschland, Großbritannien und in den USA (2016)

    Bossler, Mario ;

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    Bossler, Mario (2016): Mindestlohn in Deutschland, Großbritannien und in den USA. In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Jg. 96, H. 6, S. 422-425., 2016-04-29. DOI:10.1007/s10273-016-1992-2

    Abstract

    "Die Diskussion über die Auswirkungen des allgemeinen gesetzlichen Mindestlohns in Deutschland ist in vollem Gange. Erste Evaluationsergebnisse zeigen, dass der Mindestlohn in Deutschland nur einen moderaten Beschäftigungsverlust nach sich zog, wobei langfristige Auswirkungen zum jetzigen Zeitpunkt schwierig zu schätzen sind. Während in Deutschland gefordert wird, den Mindestlohn mit Augenmaß und unter Berücksichtigung bestehender Evidenz zu erhöhen, werden Mindestlöhne in Großbritannien und den USA teilweise über die bisherigen empirischen Erfahrungen hinaus angehoben." (Autorenreferat, © Springer-Verlag)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Bossler, Mario ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Minimum wage shocks, employment flows, and labor market frictions (2016)

    Dube, Arindrajit; Reich, Michael ; Lester, T. William ;

    Zitatform

    Dube, Arindrajit, T. William Lester & Michael Reich (2016): Minimum wage shocks, employment flows, and labor market frictions. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 34, H. 3, S. 663-704. DOI:10.1086/685449

    Abstract

    "We provide the first estimates of the effects of minimum wages on employment flows in the US labor market, identifying the impact by using policy discontinuities at state borders. We find that minimum wages have a sizable negative effect on employment flows but not on stocks. Separations and accessions fall among affected workers, especially those with low tenure. We do not find changes in the duration of nonemployment for separations or hires. This evidence is consistent with search models with endogenous separations." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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