Leveraging unique insights into the special education placement process through written individual psychological records, I present results from the first ever study to examine short- and long-term returns to special education programs with causal machine learning and computational text analysis methods. I find that special education programs in inclusive settings have positive returns in terms of academic performance as well as labor-market integration. Moreover, I uncover a positive effect of inclusive special education programs in comparison to segregated programs. This effect is heterogenous: segregation has least negative effects for students with emotional or behavioral problems, and for nonnative students with special needs. Finally, I deliver optimal program placement rules that would maximize aggregated school performance and labor market integration for students with special needs at lower program costs. These placement rules would reallocate most students with special needs from segregation to inclusion.
Veranstaltungsformat: In-person
Regional economies in times of crises, demographic ageing and structural change
Labor and Wealth Dynamics in Equilibrium
This paper develops a macroeconomic model that combines an incomplete-markets overlapping-generations economy with a job ladder featuring strategic wage bargaining and endogenous search effort of employed and non-employed workers. The model is able to capture the empirical relationships between search activity, labor market transition, earnings and wealth that we document in German data. We use the calibrated model to analyze the determinants of job mobility, earnings and wealth dynamics over the life cycle. We further examine the impact of unemployment insurance and progressive taxation for labor market dynamics, wage inequality and macroeconomic outcomes.
Social policy and the labour market in turbulent times: (no) need for change?
Demographic change, digitalisation and the need to achieve carbon-neutral growth not only have macro-economic consequences, but also have an impact on individual employment prospects and careers. Flexible employment might offer additional employment opportunities, but might also lead to interrupted employment careers with workers being less well protected against social risks and against old-age poverty. Technological change might decrease the labour demand particularly for medium and low-skill occupations. This might affect individual employment stability. Changing working conditions may demand new requirements on employees' qualifications and skills, leading to qualification policies reacting more flexibly to new requirements. The recent crises have also shown that certain population groups have limited access to benefits in existing social security systems. This particularly holds for those with non-standard employment (i.e. solo-self-employed, marginally employed). Conditionality and demanding elements are prevalent in most social security and minimum income systems. It is vital to understand consequences of these principles for the take-up of benefits as well as the employment prospects and social mobility of recipients.
Against this background, this workshop aims to improve the knowledge on welfare and unemployment dynamics and social security under different institutional settings. It is also about the question of how benefit recipients can be helped to leave benefit receipt permanently.
The workshop is open to empirical and policy-oriented single country studies or international comparisons from sociology, economics or political science based on quantitative empirical data. Contributions using different methods, for example sequence data analysis, duration analysis, causal analysis, and methods of policy analyses and microsimulation on one or more of the following questions are very welcome:
- How do the mentioned structural changes (e.g. technological change) affect individual employment prospects and economic situation? What is the impact on social inequality?
- What are typical labour market trajectories for different groups of unemployed individuals (e.g. vulnerable groups)?
- What role does atypical employment play? Have atypical employment relationships proved successful? How can upward mobility succeed?
- What role do education and training play? What are their long-run effects?
- Which experiences did welfare states make with the strategies of activation and social investment?
- Is providing a basic income instead of insurance based social security an adequate response to the trends?
Bargaining in the Labor Market
This paper examines the incidence and consequences of individual wage bargaining. We collected survey data on the bargaining policies of more than 700 German firms. Using these data, we validate a new survey measure of firm bargaining policies. We then examine what drives heterogeneity in firm policies. Using the link between these data, administrative Social Security records, and a survey we fielded to 135,000 German workers, we examine the dynamics of bargaining in the labor market. In the last part of the paper we examine the implications of individual-bargaining for wage inequality. We also draw a link between individual specific pay premia and bargaining behavior.
EALE Job Market Tour 2023
The IAB is excited to host one station of the EALE Job Market Tour 2023 on Wednesday, April 19th 2023. The EALE Job Market Tour is an annual event devised to promote research and interaction among young scholars from European institutions. The event takes place after the job market, but the candidates are selected beforehand by a committee based on their paper and participation at the EALE conference.
During the tour, three excellent job market candidates in Labour Economics, Pauline Carry (Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique (CREST)), Elio Nimier-David (CREST) and Raoul van Maarseveen (Uppsala University) will present their job market papers. PhD students, junior and senior staff are welcome to attend.
The event also includes a keynote by Wolfgang Dauth (IAB) and a presentation of the IAB data by Dana Müller (IAB). With the event, we aim to foster exchange between the job market candidates and researchers from the IAB as well as local institutions.
Imperfect competition in the labor market
The Institute for Employment Research (IAB) is pleased to host a workshop on imperfect competition in the labor market from 26-27 May. Topics that will be covered at the workshop are:
- Models of monopsonistic and oligopsonistic competition and their empirical assessment
- Quantifying the elasticities of labor supply, recruits and separations to the firm
- The role of firms in wage-setting
- Outside options and wages
- Employment concentration and wages
- Rent sharing
- Policies that may remedy imperfect competition, e.g. minimum wage and collective bargaining
International Workshop on Establishment Panel Analyses
Celebrating the 30th anniversary of the IAB Establishment Panel Survey, this workshop invites empirical contributions using either the IAB Establishment Panel, one of its derivatives (LPP/LIAB), or other matched employer-employee data. Research projects from all areas of labour market research are welcome, including personnel economics, sociology and economics of vocational education and training, industrial relations, or industrial economics. Papers may address research questions in any of these areas as well as methodological questions.
4th Networking Meeting on Migration and Gender
With the war in Ukraine, the topic of migration and gender is (again) present in the public media. Especially at the beginning of the coverage of Russia's war of aggression, images of women with children in need of care dominated, seeking protection in Ukraine's neighboring countries and EU member states, including Germany. The EU's decision to apply the so-called mass influx directive for the first time is associated with new social inequalities in regard to other groups of immigrants, including racial exclusion at border crossings.
Due to the increased relevance of activating integration policy for different immigrant groups, not only in Germany, policies started to focus on labor market integration of female and male refugees and the participation of refugee girls and boys in education and training. The labor market integration of refugees is also associated with the discourse on a shortage of skilled workers, the Skilled Worker Immigration Act that came into force in 2020, and the reform proposals currently being discussed by the German government that may increase the chances of migrant women and men entering the German labor market. For female migrants, integration into the labor market after moving usually takes more time than for male migrants. The visible differences in migration circumstances and integration trajectories of immigrant men and women highlight the need for gender-specific research. In addition to occupational and labor market perspectives, there are multiple research gaps on the relationship between gender and migration.
The conference aims to discuss the meaning of gender, gender roles and gender relations in the context of migration and flight and to reflect on possible solutions in practice. To this end, we bring together researchers from sociology, demography, economics, political science, and law. In particular, we welcome submissions on the following topics, but submissions outside of the focus areas are also welcome:
- Integration in education and the labor market
- Legal and institutional framework for participation
- Linguistic and cultural integration
- Health and illness
- Consequences of the COVID-19 crisis
- Subjective experiences of flight, migration and arrival
- Queer and non-binary perspectives
- Intersectional research approaches
- Power relations in asylum, migration, and labor market regimes
Who wants (them) to work longer?
This paper examines age-specific individual preferences for the legal retirement age. Based on a theoretical model we develop the hypothesis that retirees prefer a higher legal retirement age than workers, whereby just retired individuals prefer the highest retirement age. We corroborate the hypothesis empirically with a fuzzy regression discontinuity design and show that just retired individuals are indeed most in favor of an increasing retirement age. We conclude that in aging societies the political feasibility of raising the legal retirement age increases. This result is of political relevance especially with regard to the expected retirement wave of the baby boomer generation.