We first demonstrate that the greening of the labour market occurs both through an increase of green tasks and a decrease of brown tasks. Furthermore, the greening of occupations over time (“within-effect”) is at least as important for the overall greening of employment as shifting occupational employment shares (“between-effect”). Second, we show which occupations and which task types (brown or green) contribute most to the within-effect, and which worker flows are mainly responsible for the between-effect. Third, we investigate individual-level consequences of the greening of employment. We find that the employment prospects of foreign and of low-skilled workers are most at risk from the green transition, which may therefore increase existing labour-market inequalities.
IAB-Discussion Paper 12/2024: Disentangling the Greening of the Labour Market:
The Role of Changing Occupations and Worker Flows
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