How fast do labor markets adjust to technology shocks? This paper introduces a new network framework to analyze how skill frictions shapes the speed of labor market adjustment.
Using expert data, I construct an occupation network where links capture feasible transitions based on shared skills. This network is sparse and clustered, with a few critical “bridge occupations” connecting otherwise separate clusters of occupations. Leveraging French administrative data, I show that workers transitioning through these bridges reach higher-wage, lower-unemployment occupations. Next, I develop a job-search model embedded in this occupation network and find that bridge occupations disproportionately influence overall reallocation speed. Quantitatively, the model predicts that robot adoption induces a slow reallocation process - lasting around ten years - and reduces welfare gains by 40%, an order of magnitude higher than previous estimates.
Policies targeting bridge occupations significantly accelerate reallocation, outperforming interventions focused on expanding sectors.
These findings highlight the crucial role of occupation networks in shaping labor market adjustments and provide new insights for policy design.
Date
3.12.2025
, 1.00 p.m. until 2.00 p.m.
Venue
Institute for Employment Research
Regensburger Straße 104
90478 Nürnberg
Room Re100 E10
or online via MS Teams
Registration
Researchers who like to participate, please send an e-mail to IAB.Colloquium@iab.de
