Occupations in demographic change : aging trends and the supply of qualified labour
Abstract
"This study examines aging trends and their effects on the development of employment for twelve occupational categories in four areas: <br> - Manufacturing professions: workers in the chemical industry and cutting machine operators (lathe operators and milling cutters)<br> - Technical engineering and scientific (MINT-)professions: electrical engineers; other engineers (especially business engineers); chemists and chemical engineers; physicists and physics engineers and mathematicians<br> - Health and care workers: nurses, male nurses and midwives; auxiliary workers in health care; pre-school teachers and childcarers<br> - Commercial professions: banking employees; accountants.<br> With the exception of the last mentioned, all are referred to in the public discussion as being especially affected by democratic change and are at the same time presented as professions which have a primacy in commerce and in society. The commercial professions serve as a reference group. The results are presented in the form of compact, standardised profiles. They allow a wealth of insights into the relevant distinctivenesses of the respective occupational category and at the same time offer an overview of the age-specific development of employment. On the basis of these profiles, a similarly standardised, comparative analysis of the bottlenecks and risks of these occupational categories is carried out for each of the four areas. The period of observation for the aging trends and the development of employment is 1993 to 2011. The period of examination of the shortages of qualified labour is 2000 to 2011. Projections extend to 2020. The method of examination that we have developed can be applied to each of the 334 occupational categories (according to KIdB88)." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku)
Cite article
Tivig, T., Henseke, G. & Neuhaus, J. (2013): Berufe im demografischen Wandel. Alterungstrends und Fachkräfteangebot. Dortmund, 81 p.