Mittelfristprognose: Arbeitsmarktdynamik bis 2025

Abstract

"The medium-term forecast presented in this report for the first time (forecast period: 5 years) closes the gap between the Engpassanalyse (tool to identify skills shortages by occupation A) of the Federal Employment Agency (Bundesagentur für Arbeit) for the current situation and the previous long-term forecasts for the next 10 to 20 years of the Skilled Labour Monitoring. In the medium-term forecast, population and economic projections are more up-to-date than in the long-term projection "Digitized world of work", yet the first assumes the same long-term development path and mutually consistent assumptions. In addition to a newly developed QuBe indicator for identifying occupations with potential mismatches (focus occupations), the Gender Employment Gap is presented for the first time in this report as an indicator for identifying female and male occupations." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Cite article

Zika, G., Hummel, M., Schneemann, C., Studtrucker, M., Kalinowski, M., Maier, T., Krebs, B., Steeg, S., Bernardt, F., Krinitz, J., Mönnig, A., Parton, F., Ulrich, P. & Wolter, M. (2021): Mittelfristprognose: Arbeitsmarktdynamik bis 2025. (Bundesministerium für Arbeit und Soziales. Forschungsbericht 526/4), Berlin, 75 p.