The IAB establishment panel with an exemplary analysis of employment expectations

Abstract

"Compared to the abundance of theoretical and empirical research on the supply of labour there is a striking lack of such research on the demand for labour. Hamermesh (1993) pointed out that the lack of data about labour demand is one of the reasons for this. The IAB Establishment Panel is a suitable data set for a labour demand analysis that meets all relevant requirements. Therefore this paper aims at providing a survey of the population covered, the sampling method, the catalogue of questions and the studies carried out with the IAB Establishment Panel so far. As an example for an analysis the determinants for the changes in employment expected by the firms are examined. In so doing, the proportion of qualified workers, the proportion of part-time workers, the company's profit situation, expected changes in business volume, the technological status, the number of organizational changes and the number of workers (as a proxy for the size of the establishment), were used as explanatory variables in ordinal probit models. The result is that firms with good profits and better business prospects and small firms tend to have more positive expectations for employment. There are, however, significant differences between the manufacturing and the service sectors." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Cite article

Bellmann, L. (1997): The IAB establishment panel with an exemplary analysis of employment expectations. In: IAB Labour Market Research Topics No. 20, p. 1-14.