Löhne und berufliche Flexibilitäten als Determinanten des interaktiven QuBe-Arbeitsmarktmodells

Abstract

"The BIBB-IAB Qualification and Occupational Field Projections describe the labour demand and supply development until 2030.<br> The discussion paper describes the underlying data, methods and assumptions of the third wave of the long-term BIBB-IAB Qualification and Occupational Field Projections (QuBe project). Taken into account in the present third wave was the increased future net immigration as a consequence of the European economic crisis. In addition, empirically founded dynamic exchange processes between labour supply and demand by qualifications and occupations have been modelled for the first time. On the demand side, for example, the available occupation-specific labour supply in persons and hours is taken into account when determining wages for the respective occupations. On the supply side, the advantages of the two hitherto applied supply models BIBBFIT and BIBBDEMOS have been combined in one supply model and the wage elasticity coinciding with occupational flexibility has been estimated at the same time." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Cite article

Maier, T., Zika, G., Mönnig, A., Wolter, M., Kalinowski, M., Hänisch, C., Helmrich, R., Schandock, M., Neuber-Pohl, C., Bott, P. & Hummel, M. (2014): Löhne und berufliche Flexibilitäten als Determinanten des interaktiven QuBe-Arbeitsmarktmodells. Ein Methodenbericht zur Basisprojektion der dritten Welle der BIBB-IAB Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldprojektionen. (Bundesinstitut für Berufsbildung. Wissenschaftliche Diskussionspapiere 148), Bonn, 56 p.