Bottlenecks on the labour market : changes in behaviour in respect to education and gainful employment mitigate the shortage of skilled labour. New insights from the BIBB (Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training)-IAB Qualification and Occupational Field Projections up to the year 2030

Abstract

"Statements about the threat of a shortage of skilled workers, or even a general shortage of workers, have become a fixed feature in the political discussion on the future of the German labour market. New model calculations of qualification and occupational field projections, undertaken within the framework of the QuBe Project which has been carried out jointly by the BIBB (Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training) and the Institute for Employment Research (IAB), show that, by 2030, bottlenecks in certain areas at the middle level of qualification will ensue." (author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Cite article

Helmrich, R., Zika, G., Kalinowski, M., Wolter, M., Bott, P., Bremser, F., Drosdowski, T., Hänisch, C., Hummel, M., Maier, T. & Schandock, M. (2012): Engpässe auf dem Arbeitsmarkt: Geändertes Bildungs- und Erwerbsverhalten mildert Fachkräftemangel. Neue Ergebnisse der BIBB-IAB-Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldprojektionen bis zum Jahr 2030. (BIBB-Report 2012,18), 14 p.