Labour market outlook 2026: Fiscal tailwind meets geopolitical headwind

Abstract

"The German economy has been developing weakly for three years. While fiscal packages will boost the economy, the Iran war has added new geopolitical risks. The labour market is stabilising, but employment development in particular is being constrained. This report provides an outlook for 2026." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Cite article

Gartner, H., Hellwagner, T., Hummel, M., Hutter, C., Lochner, B., Wanger, S., Weber, E. & Zika, G. (2026): Arbeitsmarktentwicklung 2026: Fiskalpolitischer Rückenwind trifft auf geopolitischen Gegenwind. (IAB-Kurzbericht 05/2026), Nürnberg, 12 p. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2605