Abstract

Many studies have analysed the effectiveness of single active labour market programmes (ALMPs) for welfare recipients in different countries, but empirical studies on sequences are sparse, especially for Germany and welfare recipients. As empirical evidence reveals that welfare recipients in Germany often participate in multiple programmes, I evaluate the sequential participation of unemployment benefit II (UB-II)-recipients in ALMPs in Germany. I apply the dynamic causal model of Lechner that addresses dynamic selection problems during a sequence by considering intermediate outcomes, but I use a different period definition that takes more the duration of programme participation into account. I use rich administrative data from the German Federal Employment Agency and an inflow sample based on all individuals who enter UB-II-receipt with no contributory employment between October 1st, 2005 and September 30th, 2006s. In my first study, I analyse the effects of sequences of One-Euro-Jobs and/or UB-II-receipt on labour market outcomes. In a second study, I will analyse the effects of sequences consisting of classroom trainings.