Abstract

The IAB estimates the labour supply for East and West Germany separately. This project provides estimates and forecasts of the labour supply over the long term for East Germany. As for the West the methodology is founded on the concepts of potential labour force (see projects no. 81 and no. 276).
There are two key elements of a labour force projection: first, a projection of the population in the working age, and second, an estimation of the future (potential) participation rates. For the population projection see IAB project no. 955. The methods and assumptions used to develop projections of participation rates for East Germany are in the centre of this project. Labour participation is broken down by age and sex.
The project will be continued as long as the differentiation between East and West is a useful criterion.