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Digitale Arbeitswelt – Chancen und Herausforderungen für Beschäftigte und Arbeitsmarkt

Der digitale Wandel der Arbeitswelt gilt als eine der großen Herausforderungen für Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft. Wie arbeiten wir in Zukunft? Welche Auswirkungen hat die Digitalisierung und die Nutzung Künstlicher Intelligenz auf Beschäftigung und Arbeitsmarkt? Welche Qualifikationen werden künftig benötigt? Wie verändern sich Tätigkeiten und Berufe? Welche arbeits- und sozialrechtlichen Konsequenzen ergeben sich daraus?
Dieses Themendossier dokumentiert Forschungsergebnisse zum Thema in den verschiedenen Wirtschaftsbereichen und Regionen.
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im Aspekt "Arbeitsplatz- und Beschäftigungseffekte"
  • Literaturhinweis

    Training or Retiring? How Labor Markets Adjust to Trade and Technology Shocks (2025)

    Bertermann, Alexander; Wößmann, Ludger ; Dauth, Wolfgang ; Suedekum, Jens;

    Zitatform

    Bertermann, Alexander, Wolfgang Dauth, Jens Suedekum & Ludger Wößmann (2025): Training or Retiring? How Labor Markets Adjust to Trade and Technology Shocks. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 18247), Bonn, 47 S.

    Abstract

    "How do firms and workers adjust to trade and technology shocks? We analyze two mechanisms that have received little attention: training that upgrades skills and early retirement that shifts adjustment costs to public pension systems. We combine novel data on training participation and early retirement in German local labor markets with established measures of exposure to trade competition and robot adoption. Results indicate that negative trade shocks reduce Training - particularly in manufacturing - while robot exposure increases Training - particularly in indirectly affected services. Both shocks raise early retirement among manufacturing workers. Structural change thus induces both productivity-enhancing and productivity-reducing responses, challenging simple narratives of labor market adaptation and highlighting the scope for policy to promote adjustment mechanisms conducive to aggregate productivity." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Dauth, Wolfgang ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Varieties of Gig Work: Germany’s Unique Development in the Platform-based Food Delivery Sector (2025)

    Beyer, Jürgen ; Legantke, Katharina;

    Zitatform

    Beyer, Jürgen & Katharina Legantke (2025): Varieties of Gig Work: Germany’s Unique Development in the Platform-based Food Delivery Sector. In: Zeitschrift für Soziologie, Jg. 54, H. 4, S. 381-399. DOI:10.1515/zfsoz-2025-2024

    Abstract

    "Diese Studie untersucht die Entwicklung des plattformbasierten Lebensmittelliefersektors in Deutschland und insbesondere die Gründe dafür, warum sich das in der Gig-Economy übliche Modell mit selbstständigen Kurier:innen hierzulande nicht durchgesetzt hat. Im Gegensatz zu vielen anderen Ländern stellen die großen Lebensmittellieferplattformen in Deutschland ihre Beschäftigten direkt an und gewähren ihnen Rechte sowie Sozialleistungen wie Mindestlohn, bezahlten Urlaub und Lohnfortzahlung im Krankheitsfall. Anhand einer historisch-soziologischen Fallstudie zeigt die Untersuchung, wie der frühe Einfluss von „Bringdienst.de“, das Restaurants Online-Bestellungen ermöglichte, ohne den Lieferprozess selbst zu organisieren, die Entwicklung der Branche maßgeblich geprägt hat. Ein wegweisendes Gerichtsurteil im Jahr 2020 verstärkte zudem die Bedenken hinsichtlich Scheinselbstständigkeit und führte letztlich dazu, dass die Plattformen vom Gig-Worker-Modell mit selbstständigen Kurier:innen Abstand nahmen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The dynamics of automation adoption: Firm-level heterogeneity and aggregate employment effects (2025)

    Bisio, Laura ; Grazzi, Marco ; Cuzzola, Angelo ; Moschella, Daniele ;

    Zitatform

    Bisio, Laura, Angelo Cuzzola, Marco Grazzi & Daniele Moschella (2025): The dynamics of automation adoption: Firm-level heterogeneity and aggregate employment effects. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 173. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104943

    Abstract

    "We investigate the impact of investment in automation-related goods on adopting and non-adopting firms in the Italian economy during 2011–2019. We integrate datasets on trade activities, firms’, and workers’ characteristics for the population of Italian importing firms and estimate the effects on adopters ’ outcomes within a difference-in-differences design exploiting import lumpiness in product categories linked to automation technologies (including robots). We find a positive average adoption effect on the adopters’ employment: firms are, on average, around 3% larger in terms of employment after an automation spike. Crucially, the employment effect is heterogeneous across firms: a positive effect is predominant among small firms, which are around 5% larger five years after the spike; on the contrary, a negative displacement effect is predominant among medium and large firms, with an employment contraction at five years of around -4%. This result can shed light on one potential reason behind the mixed results in the literature, i.e. different size distribution of the samples used. We complete the framework with a 5-digit sector-level analysis showing that adopting automation technologies has an overall weak negative effect on aggregate employment, and with an analysis of the competition effects of automation, showing that non-adopters suffer a loss in sales and employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    AI adoption in the education system: International insights and policy considerations for Italy (2025)

    Borgonovi, Francesca ; Bastagli, Francesca; Ochojska, Maja; Piumatti, Giovanni;

    Zitatform

    Borgonovi, Francesca, Francesca Bastagli, Maja Ochojska & Giovanni Piumatti (2025): AI adoption in the education system. International insights and policy considerations for Italy. (OECD Artificial Intelligence Papers 52), Paris, 100 S. DOI:10.1787/69bd0a4a-en

    Abstract

    "This paper examines how artificial intelligence (AI) can be deliberately deployed to tackle persistent disparities in primary and secondary schools and to align curricula with changing skill demands. It focuses on three priorities for Italy’s school system: preventing dropout and promoting learning, reducing the maths gender gap, supporting students with an immigrant background. Drawing on international evidence, the paper reviews how AI can support these objectives, the risks that may arise, and possible mitigation strategies. It also considers how countries are integrating AI literacy and reforming curricula in response to shifting skill needs. The paper proposes key principles and a policy roadmap to guide AI adoption in schools. Recent initiatives in OECD countries illustrate opportunities and risks associated with AI adoption in schools and potential policy options for Italy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Beliefs about Bots: How Employers Plan for AI in White-Collar Work (2025)

    Brull, Eduard; Maurer, Samuel; Rostam-Afschar, Davud ;

    Zitatform

    Brull, Eduard, Samuel Maurer & Davud Rostam-Afschar (2025): Beliefs about Bots: How Employers Plan for AI in White-Collar Work. (arXiv papers), 11 S.

    Abstract

    "We provide experimental evidence on how employers adjust expectations to automation risk in high-skill, white-collar work. Using a randomized information intervention among tax advisors in Germany, we show that firms systematically underestimate automatability. Information provision raises risk perceptions, especially for routine-intensive roles. Yet, it leaves short-run hiring plans unchanged. Instead, updated beliefs increase productivity and financial expectations with minor wage adjustments, implying within-firm inequality like limited rent-sharing. Employers also anticipate new tasks in legal tech, compliance, and AI interaction, and report higher training and adoption intentions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence (2025)

    Brynjolfsson, Erik ; Chen, Ruyu; Chandar, Bharat;

    Zitatform

    Brynjolfsson, Erik, Bharat Chandar & Ruyu Chen (2025): Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence. (Working Papers / Stanford Digital Economy Lab), Stanford, 57 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper examines changes in the labor market for occupations exposed to generative artificial intelligence using high-frequency administrative data from the largest payroll software provider in the United States. We present six facts that characterize these shifts. We find that since the widespread adoption of generative AI, early-career workers (ages 22-25) in the most AI-exposed occupations have experienced a 13 percent relative decline in employment even after controlling for firm-level shocks. In contrast, employment for workers in less exposed fields and more experienced workers in the same occupations has remained stable or continued to grow. We also find that adjustments occur primarily through employment rather than compensation. Furthermore, employment declines are concentrated in occupations where AI is more likely to automate, rather than augment, human labor. Our results are robust to alternative explanations, such as excluding technology-related firms and excluding occupations amenable to remote work. These six facts provide early, large-scale evidence consistent with the hypothesis that the AI revolution is beginning to have a significant and disproportionate impact on entry-level workers in the American labor market." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Automation and segmentation: Downgrading employment quality among the former “insiders” of Western European labour markets (2025)

    Buzzelli, Gregorio ;

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    Buzzelli, Gregorio (2025): Automation and segmentation: Downgrading employment quality among the former “insiders” of Western European labour markets. In: International Journal of Social Welfare, Jg. 34, H. 2. DOI:10.1111/ijsw.70011

    Abstract

    "The literature on labor market segmentation traditionally looks at servitisation as the main structural driver behind the rise of employment precariousness, overlooking another crucial engine of the knowledge-economy transition: the Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) revolution. This paper proposes a task-based approach to complement the skill-biased framework usually applied to labor market segmentation, investigating the correlation between occupational exposure to the risk of automation and low-quality employment. The empirical analysis, based on 14 countries sampled from ESS (2002–2018), shows a strong correlation between technological replaceability and low income across all of Western Europe, especially after the Great Recession, while its association with atypical employment is mainly driven by fixed-term contracts in Central and Southern Europe and by part-time arrangements in Anglo-Saxon and Scandinavian countries. Overall, a “recalibrated” dualisation emerges in Western European labor markets, characterized by the diffusion of low labor earnings and atypical contracts among mid-skill routine workers, besides the low-skill service precariat." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    KI-Jobs in Deutschland: Stagnation statt Boom: Eine Analyse von Online-Stellenanzeigen (2025)

    Büchel, Jan; Engler, Jan Felix; Mertens, Armin;

    Zitatform

    Büchel, Jan, Jan Felix Engler & Armin Mertens (2025): KI-Jobs in Deutschland: Stagnation statt Boom. Eine Analyse von Online-Stellenanzeigen. 22 S. DOI:10.11586/2025025

    Abstract

    "Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) ist eine zentrale Zukunftstechnologie, die mehr Effizienz und Produktivität in Unternehmen ermöglichen kann. Vor dem Hintergrund der angespannten wirtschaftlichen Lage Deutschlands und dem vorliegenden demografiebedingten Fachkräftemangel sollten Unternehmen das Potenzial von KI nutzen, um ihre Wettbewerbsfähigkeit zu stärken. Positiv ist, dass im Jahr 2024 etwa jedes fünfte Unternehmen in Deutschland angibt, KI bereits zu nutzen. Der KI-Einsatz benötigt dabei neue Kompetenzen, beispielsweise wenn Unternehmen KI-Lösungen selbst entwickeln möchten. Auch wenn zugekaufte KI-Lösungen im Unternehmen angewendet werden, entstehen Kompetenzbedarfe. Um die Bedarfe der Unternehmen zu erfassen, hat das Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft im Auftrag der Bertelsmann Stiftung Online-Stellenanzeigen mit Bezug zu KI aus den Jahren 2019 bis 2024 analysiert." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Why hours worked decline less after technology shocks? (2025)

    Cardi, Olivier ; Restout, Romain;

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    Cardi, Olivier & Romain Restout (2025): Why hours worked decline less after technology shocks? In: Journal of International Economics, Jg. 157. DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104095

    Abstract

    "The contractionary effect of technology shocks on hours gradually vanishes over time in OECD countries. To rationalize the decline in hours and its disappearance, we use a VAR-based decomposition of technology shocks into symmetric and asymmetric technology improvements. While hours decline dramatically when technology improves at the same rate across sectors, hours significantly increase when technology improvements occur at different rates. Because they are primarily driven by symmetric technology improvements, permanent technology shocks drive down total hours. Such a decline progressively vanishes due to the growing importance of asymmetric technology shocks. To reach these two conclusions, we simulate a two-sector model which can reproduce the contractionary effect on hours once the economy is internationally open and we allow for production factors’ mobility costs, factor-biased technological change, and home bias. To account for the vanishing decline in hours, we have to let the share of asymmetric technology shocks increase over time." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    AI and the global productivity divide: Fuel for the fast or a lift for the laggards? (2025)

    Chaar, Tania; Filippucci, Francesco ; Jona-Lasinio, Cecilia; Nicoletti, Giuseppe ;

    Zitatform

    Chaar, Tania, Francesco Filippucci, Cecilia Jona-Lasinio & Giuseppe Nicoletti (2025): AI and the global productivity divide. Fuel for the fast or a lift for the laggards? (OECD Artificial Intelligence Papers 51), Paris, 42 S. DOI:10.1787/c315ea90-en

    Abstract

    "Artificial Intelligence (AI) has the potential to be an important driver of productivity growth over the next decade, even if with significant cross-country heterogeneity. This paper examines the potential of AI to foster productivity growth in Low-Income Countries (LICs) and Lower-Middle-Income Countries (LMICs). LICs and LMICs risk benefiting less from AI due to low incidence of knowledge-intensive services, where gains from AI mostly occur. Additionally, barriers to AI adoption include inadequate digital infrastructure, low levels of education and skills in the workforce, limited access to financing for high AI adoption costs, and underdeveloped regulatory frameworks. At the same time, LICs and LMICs may benefit from factors such as a young workforce and international spillovers through knowledge transfers. Overall, structural weaknesses in LICs and LMICs risk outweighing these potential advantages. This underscores the need for policies that enhance capabilities for AI adoption in LICs and LMICs and help seizing long-run opportunities from the global AI economy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Iceberg Index: Measuring Workforce Exposure Across the AI Economy (2025)

    Chopra, Ayush; Bhattacharya, Santanu; Schwarze, Alice C.; Ahmad, Feroz; Balaprakash, Prasanna; Garg, Aditi; Salvador, DeAndrea; Wright, Teddy; Raskar, Ramesh; Paul, Ayan;

    Zitatform

    Chopra, Ayush, Santanu Bhattacharya, DeAndrea Salvador, Ayan Paul, Teddy Wright, Aditi Garg, Feroz Ahmad, Alice C. Schwarze, Ramesh Raskar & Prasanna Balaprakash (2025): The Iceberg Index: Measuring Workforce Exposure Across the AI Economy. (arXiv papers), 21 S. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.2510.25137

    Abstract

    "Artificial Intelligence is reshaping America’s over $9.4 trillion labor market, with cascading effects that extend far beyond visible technology sectors. When AI automates quality control in automotive plants, consequences spread through logistics networks, supply chains, and local service economies. Yet traditional workforce metrics cannot capture these ripple effects: they measure employment outcomes after disruption occurs, not where AI capabilities overlap with human skills before adoption crystallizes. Project Iceberg addresses this gap using Large Population Models to simulate the human–AI labor market, representing 151 million workers as autonomous agents executing over 32,000 skills across 3,000 counties and interacting with thousands of AI tools. It introduces the Iceberg Index, a skills-centered metric that measures the wage value of skills AI systems can perform within each occupation. The Index captures technical exposure, where AI can perform occupational tasks, not displacement outcomes or adoption timelines. Analysis shows that visible AI adoption concentrated in computing and technology (2.2% of wage value, approximately $211 billion) represents only the tip of the iceberg. Technical capability extends far below the surface through cognitive automation spanning administrative, financial, and professional services (11.7%, approximately $1.2 trillion). This exposure is fivefold larger and geographically distributed across all states rather than confined to coastal hubs. Traditional indicators such as GDP, income, and unemployment explain less than 5% of this skills-based variation, underscoring why new indices are needed to capture exposure in the AI economy. By simulating how capabilities may spread under alternative scenarios, Project Iceberg enables policymakers and business leaders to identify exposure hotspots, prioritize training and infrastructure investments, and test interventions before committing billions to implementation. Iceberg is built with the AgentTorch framework." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Equalising the effects of automation? The role of task overlap for job finding (2025)

    Dabed, Diego ; Rademakers, Emilie ; Genz, Sabrina ;

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    Dabed, Diego, Sabrina Genz & Emilie Rademakers (2025): Equalising the effects of automation? The role of task overlap for job finding. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 96. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102766

    Abstract

    "This paper investigates whether task overlap can equalise the distributional effects of automation for unemployed job seekers displaced from routine jobs. Using a language model, we establish a novel job-to-job task similarity measure. Exploiting the resulting job network to define job markets flexibly, we find that only the most similar jobs affect job finding. Since automation-exposed jobs overlap with other highly exposed jobs, task-based reallocation provides little relief for affected job seekers. We show that this is not true for more recent software exposure, for which task overlap lowers the inequality in job finding." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published byElsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Using Google search data to examine factory automation and its effect on employment (2025)

    Diebold, Céline ;

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    Diebold, Céline (2025): Using Google search data to examine factory automation and its effect on employment. In: Economic analysis and policy, Jg. 86, S. 1301-1328. DOI:10.1016/j.eap.2025.03.042

    Abstract

    "This paper revisits the link between robot adoption and employment across more than 100 European regions over a period of five years. A simple model is provided arguing that interest in robots precedes the actual deployment of robots. Thus, a novel instrument is introduced: interest in automation revealed by Google searches. This allows for a tentatively causal interpretation of the results. A small, yet significant positive aggregate effect is identified, along with heterogeneous effects across sex and educational attainment. The local effect on aggregate employment tends to be roughly twice as large as the spillover effect on neighbouring regions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of The Economic Society of Australia (Queensland) Inc.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    How do structural trends affect labour market shortages and mismatch? (2025)

    Dorville, Yann; Filippucci, Francesco ; Marcolin, Luca;

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    Dorville, Yann, Francesco Filippucci & Luca Marcolin (2025): How do structural trends affect labour market shortages and mismatch? (OECD productivity working papers 38), Paris, 63 S. DOI:10.1787/acfb5c31-en

    Abstract

    "This paper examines how AI and digital technology diffusion, the green transition, globalisation and population ageing jointly affect labour market tightness across 26 OECD countries and 34 sectors. It finds that digitalisation and decarbonisation increase tightness, while ageing does so only over time. Import competition and labour-substituting AI diffusion, conversely, reduce shortages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Macroeconomic and Labor Market Drivers of AI Adoption in Europe: A Machine Learning and Panel Data Approach (2025)

    Drago, Carlo ; Costantiello, Alberto ; Leogrande, Angelo ; Savorgnan, Marco;

    Zitatform

    Drago, Carlo, Alberto Costantiello, Marco Savorgnan & Angelo Leogrande (2025): Macroeconomic and Labor Market Drivers of AI Adoption in Europe: A Machine Learning and Panel Data Approach. In: Economies, Jg. 13, H. 8. DOI:10.3390/economies13080226

    Abstract

    "This article investigates the macroeconomic and labor market conditions that shape the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies among large firms in Europe. Based on panel data econometrics and supervised machine learning techniques, we estimate how public health spending, access to credit, export activity, gross capital formation, inflation, openness to trade, and labor market structure influence the share of firms that adopt at least one AI technology. The research covers all 28 EU members between 2018 and 2023. We employ a set of robustness checks using a combination of fixed-effects, random-effects, and dynamic panel data specifications supported by Clustering and supervised learning techniques. We find that AI adoption is linked to higher GDP per capita, healthcare spending, inflation, and openness to trade but lower levels of credit, exports, and capital formation. Labor markets with higher proportions of salaried work, service occupations, and self-employment are linked to AI diffusion, while unemployment and vulnerable work are detractors. Cluster analysis identifies groups of EU members with similar adoption patterns that are usually underpinned by stronger economic and institutional fundamentals. The results collectively suggest that AI diffusion is shaped not only by technological preparedness and capabilities to invest but by inclusive macroeconomic conditions and equitable labor institutions. Targeted policy measures can accelerate the equitable adoption of AI technologies within the European industrial economy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Artificial intelligence and labor market outcomes: AI has created new jobs to meet digital and automation needs, and those equipped with AI capital enjoy increased employment and wages (2025)

    Drydakis, Nick ;

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    Drydakis, Nick (2025): Artificial intelligence and labor market outcomes. AI has created new jobs to meet digital and automation needs, and those equipped with AI capital enjoy increased employment and wages. (IZA world of labor 514), Bonn, o. S. DOI:10.15185/izawol.514

    Abstract

    "AI is reshaping the labor market by creating new jobs and increasing competition for high-skilled roles, benefiting those with AI capital. While AI may boost productivity in certain jobs, it also widens the gap between high- and low-skilled employees. Less-educated employees face higher risks of displacement and reduced income. Additionally, AI introduces challenges related to workforce adaptability, trust, ethics, and transparency, which negatively impact employees' job realities. Policymakers should navigate these changes to maximize the benefits of AI while mitigating its adverse effects." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Narrowing the digital divide: Economic and social convergence in Europe’s digital transformation (2025)

    Duff, Cían; Soldi, Rossella; Hyland, Marie; Cavallini, Simona; Peruffo, Eleonora; Krieg, Marielena;

    Zitatform

    Duff, Cían, Marie Hyland, Marielena Krieg, Eleonora Peruffo, Simona Cavallini & Rossella Soldi (2025): Narrowing the digital divide. Economic and social convergence in Europe’s digital transformation. (Eurofound research report / European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions), Dublin, 822 S. DOI:10.2806/1764165

    Abstract

    "Digitalization has been on the EU policy agenda since 2000. While great strides have been made in this area over the past two decades, the digital transformation is not yet complete. This report seeks to deepen our understanding of the evolution towards a digital Europe. By applying the lens of convergence, the report assesses the progress of Member States towards the EU ’s policy targets, where Member States are growing together and wheredigital gaps are expanding. It also considers the gaps in the progress of digitalization between socioeconomic groups and regions. According to almost all indicators analysed, historically lower-performing Member States have been catching up with the digital leaders. However, at a more granular level, digitalization of businesses has been uneven and significant inequalities persist between regions and socioeconomic groups. The report shines a light on the role of digitalization in the EU’s economic convergence and considers the progress in and benefits of digitalisation for the private sector. The findings show that access is still an issue for vulnerable groups, in particular low-income households, older individuals and those with lower levels of education. Importantly, these are the groups that are more reliant on public services, and they may struggle to access e-government. While progress is being made, some groups remain at risk of being left behind in the digital transition. Considering this, the report highlights a range of policy approaches being deployed across Europe that aim to narrow the digital divide." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Industrial robots and employment change in manufacturing: A decomposition analysis (2025)

    Eder, Andreas ; Mahlberg, Bernhard ; Koller, Wolfgang ;

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    Eder, Andreas, Wolfgang Koller & Bernhard Mahlberg (2025): Industrial robots and employment change in manufacturing: A decomposition analysis. In: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Jg. 74, S. 591-602. DOI:10.1016/j.strueco.2025.05.014

    Abstract

    "This paper examines the contribution of industrial robots to employment change in manufacturing in a sample of 17 European countries and the USA over the period 2004 to 2019. We combine index decomposition analysis (IDA) and production-theoretical decomposition analysis (PDA). First, we use IDA to decompose employment change in the manufacturing industry into changes in (aggregate) manufacturing output, changes in the sectoral structure of the manufacturing industry, and changes in labor intensity (the inverse of labor productivity) which is a composite index of labour intensity change within each of the nine sub-sectors of total manufacturing. Second, we use PDA to further decompose labor intensity change to isolate the contribution of technical efficiency change, technological change, human capital change, change in non-robot capital intensity and change in robot capital intensity to employment change. In almost all of the countries considered, labour intensity is falling in entire manufacturing, exerting a dampening effect on employment. Robotization contributes to this development by reducing labor intensities and employment in all countries and sub-sectors, though to varying degrees. Manufacturing output, in turn, grows in all countries except Greece, Spain and Italy, which increases employment and counteracts or in some countries even more than offsets the dampening effect of declining labor intensities. The structural change within manufacturing has an almost neutral effect in many countries." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 Elsevier B.V. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    SME digitalisation in the EU: Trends, policies and impacts (2025)

    Eiffe, Franz Ferdinand; Biaggi, Elena; Riso, Sara; Miliadis, Grigorios; Loo, Jasper van;

    Zitatform

    Eiffe, Franz Ferdinand, Sara Riso, Elena Biaggi, Jasper van Loo & Grigorios Miliadis (2025): SME digitalisation in the EU: Trends, policies and impacts. (Eurofound research report / European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions), Luxembourg, 78 S. DOI:10.2806/8684886

    Abstract

    "This report discusses the digital transformation of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the European Union, highlighting its importance for their competitiveness and the EU’s economy. The report explores the degreeof digitalisation in SMEs in the EU, including the adoption of digital technologies, e-commerce and e-business practices. It also examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on SMEs’ digitalisation and identifieskey challenges, including lack of infrastructure, financing and digital skills. In addition, the report reviews policy frameworks and support measures related to digitalisation and the development of digital skills in SMEs. Furthermore, it presents an empirical analysis of how digital technology use is related to job quality at the workplace level." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Cross-country skills-technology policy debates through large language models (2025)

    Einhoff, Jan ; López Trejos, Isabella; Paunov, Caroline;

    Zitatform

    Einhoff, Jan, Isabella López Trejos & Caroline Paunov (2025): Cross-country skills-technology policy debates through large language models. (OECD science, technology and industry working papers 2025,20), Paris, 43 S. DOI:10.1787/d5f669be-en

    Abstract

    "Language models, this paper conducts a cross-country comparative innovation policy analysis of skills-technology policy debates across seven OECD member countries (Austria, Canada, Finland, Germany, Korea, Sweden, and the United Kingdom). Results highlight the dominance of STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) and digital skills in these policy debates, the relative neglect of green skills, and the emphasis on soft skills across all technology fields. The analysis also identifies common policy instruments, which include collaborative platforms and direct financial support. Overall, the paper shows how large language models can help policy analysts identify patterns and gaps in extensive policy texts that nonetheless critically demands expert oversight and careful interpretation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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