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Berufliche Mobilität

Eine Tätigkeit, die mehr Spaß verspricht, ein höheres Gehalt oder bessere Entwicklungsperspektiven: Es gibt viele Gründe, nicht länger im erlernten oder ausgeübten Beruf tätig zu sein. Nicht immer sind sie jedoch so erfreulich: Auslöser kann auch eine Entlassung sein.

Dieses Themendossier bietet Literaturhinweise zur beruflichen Mobilitätsforschung in Deutschland und in anderen Ländern. Sie erschließt theoretische Ansätze und empirische Ergebnisse - beispielsweise zu den Fragen: Sind Berufswechsel lohnend? Für wen sind sie mit besonderen Risiken verbunden? Wie gut lassen sich bei einem beruflichen Neustart die bisher erworbenen Qualifikationen verwerten?
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Nicht alle Jobwechsel führen zu Lohnsteigerungen (2023)

    Braunschweig, Luisa; Buhmann, Mara; Roth, Duncan ; Vespermann, Jan; Vespermann, Jan;

    Zitatform

    Braunschweig, Luisa, Mara Buhmann, Duncan Roth & Jan Vespermann (2023): Nicht alle Jobwechsel führen zu Lohnsteigerungen. In: IAB-Forum H. 22.11.2023 Nürnberg. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20231122.01

    Abstract

    "Menschen, die freiwillig ihren Job wechseln, verdienen in ihrer neuen Beschäftigung nicht in jedem Fall mehr als vorher. Im Fall unfreiwilliger Jobwechsel sind Lohneinbußen jedoch deutlich häufiger. Das gilt insbesondere dann, wenn dem Wechsel eine längere Phase der Arbeitslosigkeit vorausgeht." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Berufswechsel zu Beginn der Covid-19-Pandemie: Nur geringe Auswirkungen auf Erwerbsverläufe (2023)

    Braunschweig, Luisa; Seibert, Holger; Roth, Duncan ; Buhmann, Mara; Kindt, Anna-Maria ; Buch, Tanja;

    Zitatform

    Braunschweig, Luisa, Tanja Buch, Mara Buhmann, Anna-Maria Kindt, Duncan Roth & Holger Seibert (2023): Berufswechsel zu Beginn der Covid-19-Pandemie: Nur geringe Auswirkungen auf Erwerbsverläufe. (IAB-Kurzbericht 6/2023), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2306

    Abstract

    "Beschäftigte, die zu Beginn der Covid-19-Pandemie ihren Beruf gewechselt haben, taten dies in einem krisenhaften Arbeitsmarktumfeld. Verglichen mit Berufswechseln im Vorjahr 2019 gingen den Untersuchungsergebnissen zufolge solche Berufswechsel im Frühjahr 2020 zunächst häufiger mit einer erhöhten Arbeitslosigkeit und Lohneinbußen einher. Diese Nachteile konnten jedoch meist bis zum Jahresende 2020 ausgeglichen werden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Life-Cycle Worker Flows and Cross-country Differences in Aggregate Employment (2023)

    Créchet, Jonathan; Lalé, Etienne ; Lalé, Étienne; Tarasonis, Linas ;

    Zitatform

    Créchet, Jonathan, Etienne Lalé & Linas Tarasonis (2023): Life-Cycle Worker Flows and Cross-country Differences in Aggregate Employment. (Working paper / Department of Economics, University of Ottawa 2306E), Ottawa, 56 S.

    Abstract

    "We propose new data moments to measure the role of life-cycle worker flows between employment, unemployment and out of the labor force in shaping cross-country differences in aggregate employment. We then show that a suitably extended version of the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model can capture well these data moments. Two features of the model are crucial for this result: heterogeneity in match quality and endogenous search intensity. We examine the implications of this model for the sources of employment dispersion across Europe's largest countries, assessing the contribution of factors related to (i) the production technology, (ii) search, and (iii) policies. The sources of cross-country employment dispersion differ substantially across ages. Technology factors account for most of the employment variance of youths and prime-age workers, whereas search and policies are the main drivers of employment differences for older individuals." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Occupational Job Ladders within and between Firms (2023)

    Forsythe, Eliza ;

    Zitatform

    Forsythe, Eliza (2023): Occupational Job Ladders within and between Firms. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16682), Bonn, 42 S.

    Abstract

    "I present four facts about occupational mobility: (1) most movements occur within firms, (2) downward moves are frequent, (3) wage growth reflects the direction and distance of mobility, and (4) relative occupational wages before mobility predict the direction of mobility, except for non-displaced movers between firms. I show these facts are consistent with models of vertical sorting. I show that non-displaced movements between firms obscure the positive selection of upward occupational movers, likely reflecting moves up a firm-wage job ladder. Displaced workers show similar predisplacement selection to internal movers, with pre-displacement occupational wage rank predicting the direction of occupational mobility." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Labour market expectations and occupational choice: evidence from teaching (2023)

    Fullard, Joshua;

    Zitatform

    Fullard, Joshua (2023): Labour market expectations and occupational choice: evidence from teaching. (ISER working paper series / Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex 2023-01), Colchester, 39 S.

    Abstract

    "Using new data on teachers' intentions to leave the profession, subjective expectations about labour market outcomes and a modified discrete-choice experiment we find that i) teachers are systematically misinformed about population earnings, and misinformation is correlated with attrition intentions; ii) non-pecuniary factors are the most cost-effective method of reducing teacher attrition; and iii) attrition intentions are more affected by reductions in workplace amenities than symmetric improvements, suggesting preventing cuts is more important that rolling out more generous benefits. Linking our survey data to teachers' administrative records we provide the first evidence that teachers attrition intentions are strong predictors of actual behaviour." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Berufliche Mobilität vor und während der Corona-Pandemie (2023)

    Gillmann, Niels; Weyh, Antje; Maas, Andreas;

    Zitatform

    Gillmann, Niels, Andreas Maas & Antje Weyh (2023): Berufliche Mobilität vor und während der Corona-Pandemie. In: Ifo Dresden berichtet, Jg. 30, H. 1, S. 3-10.

    Abstract

    "Die Corona-Pandemie führte zu der größten Wirtschafskrise seit der globalen Finanzkrise 2008. Im Jahr 2020 wurde die These geäußert, dass die Pandemie am Arbeitsmarkt zu einem „Reallokationsschock“, also einer Umverteilung von Arbeitskräften aus Jobs mit niedriger Produktivität in solche mit hoher Produktivität, führen würde. Dieser Beitrag betrachtet die berufliche Mobilität in Deutschland und Sachsen in den Coronajahren 2020 und 2021. Wir zeigen, dass es zwar im Jahr 2020 Verwerfungen gab, sich der Arbeitsmarkt im Laufe des Jahres 2021 aber schon wieder nahezu normalisiert hat. Statt einer Reallokation bewirkt die Corona-Pandemie eher eine Verstärkung von bereits existierenden Arbeitsmarkttrends. Von einem „Reallokationsschock“ ist daher zumindest für Deutschland und Sachsen nicht auszugehen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Weyh, Antje;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Specialists or generalists? Cross-industry mobility and wages (2023)

    Hervé, Justine ;

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    Hervé, Justine (2023): Specialists or generalists? Cross-industry mobility and wages. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 84. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2023.102391

    Abstract

    "This paper quantifies the association between industrial specialization at the occupation level and job mobility and earnings for low and middle-wage American workers. I propose the concept of industry specificity to capture the degree of industrial specialization of a worker's occupation. I measure industry specificity using an index of industrial concentration of employment (CEI) defined at the occupation-state-year level. Linking this index to individual-level panel data on wages and job transitions, I show that CEI is negatively associated with workers' wages: moving from the first quartile to the third quartile of industry specificity decreases wages by 13 percent. I next examine the mechanisms that explain these findings. I first find that CEI is negatively associated with cross-industry and cross-occupation mobility, that is, workers employed in industry-specific occupations change industry and occupation less frequently than workers in less specific occupations. In addition, I show that occupation-level factors such as skill uniqueness and automatability increase industry specificity; but they cannot entirely explain the negative effect of CEI on wages. Finally, in line with the main results, I provide suggestive evidence that workers in industry-specific occupations are more vulnerable to industry-wide wage shocks compared to their generalist counterparts." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss (2023)

    Jarosch, Gregor;

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    Jarosch, Gregor (2023): Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss. In: Econometrica, Jg. 91, H. 3, S. 903-942. DOI:10.3982/ECTA14008

    Abstract

    "Job loss comes with large present value earnings losses which elude workhorse models of unemployment and labor market policy. I propose a parsimonious model of a frictional labor market in which jobs differ in terms of unemployment risk and workers search off- and on-the-job. This gives rise to a job ladder with slippery bottom rungs where unemployment spells beget unemployment spells. I allow for human capital to respond to time spent out of work and estimate the framework on German Social Security data. The model captures the joint response of wages, employment, and unemployment risk to job loss which I measure empirically. The key driver of the “unemployment scar” is the loss in job security and its interaction with the evolution of human capital and, in particular, the search for better employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Return migration and employment mobility: a pan-European analysis (2023)

    Jephcote, Calvin ; Williams, Allan M. ; Li, Gang ; Janta, Hania ;

    Zitatform

    Jephcote, Calvin, Allan M. Williams, Gang Li & Hania Janta (2023): Return migration and employment mobility: a pan-European analysis. In: Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, Jg. 49, H. 17, S. 4435-4459. DOI:10.1080/1369183X.2022.2142104

    Abstract

    "Although there has been increasing focus on the employment mobility associated with migration and return, a number of important research gaps can be identified. First, there has been greater focus on occupational mobility than on changes in economic activity, although it is their interaction which determines welfare outcomes. Moreover, most studies of economic activity have focused on either self-employment, or the simple dichotomy between being employed versus unemployed, neglecting the shifts between full-time, part-time, and casual employment. Secondly, research on the determinants of these different types of employment mobility has been relatively narrowly focused on individual economic factors. Most studies have been fragmented, especially lacking a comparative element. To address these gaps, descriptive statistics and Bayesian multilevel models are applied to a pan-European panel survey of 3851 young returned migrants. The findings disclose that positive shifts in employment mobility are more evident in economic activity than in occupations, and for those with a lower occupational status prior to migration. Although a range of significant determinants of employment mobility are identified, the findings also demonstrate that education is a major driver of occupational mobility, while marital and family status are important influences on economic activity shifts." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Escaping uncertainty through downward mobility? Occupational mobility upon transition to permanent employment in Germany and in Poland (2023)

    Kopycka, Katarzyna ;

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    Kopycka, Katarzyna (2023): Escaping uncertainty through downward mobility? Occupational mobility upon transition to permanent employment in Germany and in Poland. In: Research in Social Stratification and Mobility, Jg. 83. DOI:10.1016/j.rssm.2023.100768

    Abstract

    "Extending existing research on transitions from temporary to permanent employment this article investigates the social mobility dimension of these transitions. Specifically, it asks whether certain individuals experience downward occupational mobility while moving from temporary to permanent employment in the two countries under study, Germany and Poland. The empirical analysis of the employment histories of young individuals until age 35 involves event history modelling using Cox proportional hazards methodology and is conducted on data from the German Socioeconomic Panel (G-SOEP) and the Polish Panel Survey (POLPAN) for the period 2003–2017/2018. In the study, transitions to permanent employment with and without downward occupational mobility are defined as competing events and modeled separately. The analysis reveals that ten per cent and as much as seventeen per cent of moves to permanent employment in Germany and Poland, respectively, are accompanied by a loss in occupational status. A higher prevalence of downward mobility in Poland may result from a weaker welfare state there which is less decommodifying. Furthermore, a low level of individual economic vulnerability decreases the transition rate to permanent employment involving a drop in occupational status. In Poland, the high socioeconomic position of the family of origin deters from changing to an unlimited contract with downward mobility. In Germany, married or partnered individuals who enjoy a high household income bear a lower risk of transitioning to permanent employment with status loss." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2023 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Help from the past - coworker ties and entry wages after self-employment (2023)

    Lappi, Emma ;

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    Lappi, Emma (2023): Help from the past - coworker ties and entry wages after self-employment. In: Small business economics, Jg. 60, H. 3, S. 1171-1196. DOI:10.1007/s11187-022-00652-3

    Abstract

    "This paper empirically estimates how referrals mitigate the risk associated with hiring formerly self-employed individuals. We do this by comparing the networks and entry wages for two groups of new hires: those who exit self-employment to become wage-employed and those who change employers as wage employees, i.e., job changers. Referrals are defined as coworker ties through which the new hire and an incumbent worker share a common employment history before their current employment. We use longitudinal Swedish register-based data to evaluate the entry wages of the two groups of new hires for the years between 2010 and 2013. The results show that having coworker ties is associated with 2.9% higher entry wages and that this network premium is uniform across the formerly self-employed and job changers. However, the new hires from self-employment have consistently lower entry wages than the job changers, even if the exiting self-employed have coworker ties." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Challenging transitions? Assessing the occupational mobility patterns of US immigrants by gender (2023)

    Lee, Annie S. ; Breau, Sébastien ; Rodgers, William M.;

    Zitatform

    Lee, Annie S., William M. Rodgers & Sébastien Breau (2023): Challenging transitions? Assessing the occupational mobility patterns of US immigrants by gender. In: International Migration, Jg. 61, H. 6, S. 155-174. DOI:10.1111/imig.13154

    Abstract

    "This article uses the New Immigrant Survey to assess the occupational mobility of US immigrants. Estimates from OLS and Heckman selection models show the occupational mobility of immigrants follows a U-shaped pattern: immigrants arriving in the United States see their occupational status decline before it gradually improves. However, even 9 years after coming to the United States, the occupational status of immigrants remains lower than prior to their arrival in the country. Our findings also suggest that immigrant women with higher occupational status tend to move more often to the United States than immigrant men. Conversely, immigrant women are more likely than men to experience career interruptions after migration. Finally, occupational employment growth rates (defined as the growth rate in the number of jobs for an occupation) have a positive impact on both men and women immigrants' ability to recover their occupational status, though the impact appears to be greater for immigrant women." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Variants of Gender Bias and Sexual-Orientation Discrimination in Career Development (2023)

    Litsardopoulos, Nicholas; Saridakis, George ; Clark, Andrew E. ;

    Zitatform

    Litsardopoulos, Nicholas, George Saridakis & Andrew E. Clark (2023): Variants of Gender Bias and Sexual-Orientation Discrimination in Career Development. In: The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, Jg. 23, H. 4, S. 1175-1185. DOI:10.1515/bejeap-2023-0026

    Abstract

    "We use a nationally-representative dataset that includes a large sample of sexual-orientation minorities to investigate gender bias and sexual-orientation discrimination in career progression. Our results are consistent with persistent gender bias findings and non-heterosexual identity-based employment discrimination. Our findings are consistent with previous work noting that protective legislation for gay and lesbian sexual identities have increased the cost of discrimination and contribute to the improved socioeconomic status of a substantial number of people in these minority groups. However, these gains have not been shared with other minority groups in the LGB+ community, which still have some of the lowest probabilities of holding managerial jobs, and higher probabilities of appearing in lower socioeconomic classes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Income mobility in France between 2003 and 2020 (2023)

    Loisiel, Tristan; Sicsic, Michaël;

    Zitatform

    Loisiel, Tristan & Michaël Sicsic (2023): Income mobility in France between 2003 and 2020. (INSEE documents de travail / Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques 2023-19), Paris, 51 S.

    Abstract

    "How do individual positions in the income distribution change over life? So far, it has proven difficult to answer this question in the absence of a long-term income panel, but new longitudinal income tax records from 2003 to 2020 now enable to analyze the long-term income mobility, as well as its impact on inequality measurement over the whole period. We find a high rank-rank correlation of 0.71 between 2003-2004 and 2019-2020 for those age 25-49 in 2003. Inertia is particularly strong at the top and the bottom of the distribution: among the top 20% and the bottom 20% of the income distribution, almost two-thirds remain in the same quintile 16 years later. Mobility appears to be lower in France than in the United States. However, mobility is higher for the self-employed than for employees, and the young are also more mobile. Inhabitants of the largest areas persist more at the top of the distribution and experience more upward mobility. These results are robust to the income definition considered. Moreover, taking individual mobility into account when measuring income inequality hardly differs from income inequality as conventionally measured: a Gini index based on average individual income over the period is 7% lower than the Gini index based on annual income." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Berufliche Mobilität (2023)

    Maier, Tobias ;

    Zitatform

    Maier, Tobias (2023): Berufliche Mobilität. In: G. Zika, M. Hummel, T. Maier & M. I. Wolter (Hrsg.) (2023): Das QuBe-Projekt: Modelle, Module, Methoden, S. 94-106.

    Abstract

    "Das Alleinstellungsmerkmal der Qualifikations- und Berufsprojektionen ist die Bilanzierung des Arbeitsangebots mit dem -bedarf auf Berufsebene. Zu diesem Zweck muss das Arbeitsangebot nach erlerntem Beruf aus dem Bildungssystem über berufliche Mobilitätsmatrizen in ein potenzielles Arbeitsangebot für einen bestimmten Beruf umgerechnet werden. Die Wechselwahrscheinlichkeiten zwischen erlerntem und ausgeübtem Beruf werden über den Mikrozensus gewonnen und in die Zukunft fortgeschrieben. Für die Fortschreibung spielt die veränderte soziodemografische Zusammensetzung der Erwerbspersonen, aber auch die Lohnentwicklung in den Berufen eine Rolle." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Women as leaders in male-dominated sectors: A bifocal analysis of gendered organizational practices (2023)

    O'Brien, Wendy; Apostolopoulos, Vasso ; Hanlon, Clare ;

    Zitatform

    O'Brien, Wendy, Clare Hanlon & Vasso Apostolopoulos (2023): Women as leaders in male-dominated sectors: A bifocal analysis of gendered organizational practices. In: Gender, work & organization, Jg. 30, H. 6, S. 1867-1884. DOI:10.1111/gwao.13019

    Abstract

    "Women in male‐dominated sectors face significant challenges to progress their leadership aspirations. While organizations have activated policies and practices that ostensibly assist women to progress, they still face entrenched gendered practices and cultures that create ongoing obstacles. In this paper, we examine the gendered social practices from insights of 15 women leaders in Australia as they attempt to advance their careers. In particular, on formal policies, informal practices, narratives and social interactions, and informal patterns of unconscious bias and merit, they negotiate in three male‐dominated sectors: Trades, Sport, and Surgery. The findings indicate a disconnect between policies and their application. Women were conflicted about the importance of quotas, and often felt unable to access flexible work arrangements upon returning to work after parental leave. Career pathways were often unclear, and women felt a lack of support from their organization, particularly when they attempted to navigate dominant masculine cultures. Drawing on these findings, we argue that executive leaders are central to changing the systemic sexism and discrimination in organizations that persist in male‐dominated sectors. To create organizational changes necessary for women to step into leadership roles, we propose four target areas: create accessible and visible career pathways, provide networking support, activate mentoring opportunities, and address unconscious bias." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Bessere Perspektiven bei Jobwechseln - Zur Ähnlichkeit beruflicher Übergänge (2023)

    Ortmann, Tobias; Hammer, Luisa; Hügle, Dominik; Bönke, Timm;

    Zitatform

    Ortmann, Tobias, Timm Bönke, Dominik Hügle & Luisa Hammer (2023): Bessere Perspektiven bei Jobwechseln - Zur Ähnlichkeit beruflicher Übergänge. Gütersloh, 23 S. DOI:10.11586/2023030

    Abstract

    "Die vorliegende Studie analysiert die Distanz beruflicher Wechsel sowie hieraus resultierende Einkommens- und Beschäftigungseffekte auf dem deutschen Arbeitsmarkt. Dabei zeigt sich: Ein Jobwechsel macht sich vor allem dann bezahlt, wenn Arbeitnehmer:innen an vorhandene Kompetenzen anknüpfen, also in verwandte Tätigkeiten wechseln. Das Lohnplus fällt dann um durchschnittlich 3.500 Euro brutto pro Jahr höher aus als bei einem Wechsel in nicht verwandte Berufe. Gleichzeitig steigt die jährliche Arbeitszeit im Vergleich um mehr als sechs Tage. Allerdings profitieren in erster Linie Fachkräfte und Spezialisten von einem Jobwechsel. Helfer:innen sind dagegen benachteiligt: Sie wechseln den Job doppelt so häufig wie Fachkräfte und starten besonders oft in für sie fremden Berufen – zumeist ohne Aufstiegschancen. Auch Frauen sind bei Berufswechseln oft schlechter gestellt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Hammer, Luisa;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Vocational education, tertiary education, and skill use across career stages (2023)

    Schulz, Wiebke ; Solga, Heike ; Pollak, Reinhard ;

    Zitatform

    Schulz, Wiebke, Heike Solga & Reinhard Pollak (2023): Vocational education, tertiary education, and skill use across career stages. In: European Sociological Review, Jg. 39, H. 5, S. 741-758. DOI:10.1093/esr/jcac074

    Abstract

    "Vocational education enhances smooth transitions into the labour market. However, this initial advantage might vanish over the career and eventually turn into a disadvantage because the skills of vocationally trained workers become outdated faster. So far, research has examined this potential vocational trade-off by assessing labour market outcomes such as employment and income. This study uses a different approach, it directly examines how different types of skills used at work change over the career of vocationally trained workers compared to tertiary-educated workers, and how career events shape skill-use changes. With data from the German National Education Study (NEPS), we examine five skills use dimensions based on job-tasks measures: analytical, creative, managerial, interactive, and manual skills. We find that skill-use differentials between vocational and tertiary-educated workers are only small to modest. The clearest differences relate to analytical and manual skills. Looking across career stages, the observed skill-use differentials remain rather stable across career stages—thus, the vocational skill trade-off thesis is only partially supported. Occupational mobility and unemployment contribute to observable changes, whereas job-related further training does not. Our results challenge skill-based explanations of a vocational trade-off." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Assessing the impact of technological change on similar occupations: Implications for employment alternatives (2023)

    Torosyan, Karine; Wang, Sicheng ; Mack, Elizabeth A. ; Baker, Nathan ; Fossen, Jenna A. Van ;

    Zitatform

    Torosyan, Karine, Sicheng Wang, Elizabeth A. Mack, Jenna A. Van Fossen & Nathan Baker (2023): Assessing the impact of technological change on similar occupations: Implications for employment alternatives. In: PLoS ONE, Jg. 18. DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0291428

    Abstract

    "Background: The fast-changing labor market highlights the need for an in-depth understanding of occupational mobility impacted by technological change. However, we lack a multidimensional classification scheme that considers similarities of occupations comprehensively, which prevents us from predicting employment trends and mobility across occupations. This study fills the gap by examining employment trends based on similarities between occupations. Method: We first demonstrated a new method that clusters 756 occupation titles based on knowledge, skills, abilities, education, experience, training, activities, values, and interests. We used the Principal Component Analysis to categorize occupations in the Standard Occupational Classification, which is grouped into a four-level hierarchy. Then, we paired the occupation clusters with the occupational employment projections provided by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. We analyzed how employment would change and what factors affect the employment changes within occupation groups. Particularly, we specified factors related to technological changes. Results: The results reveal that technological change accounts for significant job losses in some clusters. This poses occupational mobility challenges for workers in these jobs at present. Job losses for nearly 60% of current employment will occur in low-skill, low-wage occupational groups. Meanwhile, many mid-skilled and highly skilled jobs are projected to grow in the next ten years. Conclusion: Our results demonstrate the utility of our occupational classification scheme. Furthermore, it suggests a critical need for skills upgrading and workforce development for workers in declining jobs. Special attention should be paid to vulnerable workers, such as older individuals and minorities." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Das IAB-LinkedIn-Branchenwechsel-Radar: "Great Resignation" ist kein Trend (2023)

    Weber, Enzo ; Erer, Murat;

    Zitatform

    Weber, Enzo & Murat Erer (2023): Das IAB-LinkedIn-Branchenwechsel-Radar: "Great Resignation" ist kein Trend. In: IAB-Forum H. 14.08.2023 Nürnberg. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20230814.01

    Abstract

    "Die "Great Resignation"-Debatte legt nahe, dass Beschäftigte in der Corona-Krise vermehrt die Branche, in der sie bis dato tätig waren, gewechselt hätten. Das trifft für Deutschland nicht zu, wie das neue IAB-LinkedIn-Branchenwechsel-Radar zeigt. Mit ihm lässt sich das aktuelle Wechselgeschehen am Arbeitsmarkt künftig zeitnah abbilden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Weber, Enzo ;
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