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Digitale Arbeitswelt – Chancen und Herausforderungen für Beschäftigte und Arbeitsmarkt

Der digitale Wandel der Arbeitswelt gilt als eine der großen Herausforderungen für Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft. Wie arbeiten wir in Zukunft? Welche Auswirkungen hat die Digitalisierung und die Nutzung Künstlicher Intelligenz auf Beschäftigung und Arbeitsmarkt? Welche Qualifikationen werden künftig benötigt? Wie verändern sich Tätigkeiten und Berufe? Welche arbeits- und sozialrechtlichen Konsequenzen ergeben sich daraus?
Dieses Themendossier dokumentiert Forschungsergebnisse zum Thema in den verschiedenen Wirtschaftsbereichen und Regionen.
Im Filter „Autorenschaft“ können Sie auf IAB-(Mit-)Autorenschaft eingrenzen.

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Economics of Human and AI Collaboration: When is Partial Automation More Attractive than Full Automation? (2026)

    Li, Wensu; Lyu, Harry; Goehring, Brian C.; Aboutorabi, Atin; Qian, Kaizhi; Thompson, Neil; Fleming, Martin;

    Zitatform

    Li, Wensu, Atin Aboutorabi, Harry Lyu, Kaizhi Qian, Martin Fleming, Brian C. Goehring & Neil Thompson (2026): Economics of Human and AI Collaboration: When is Partial Automation More Attractive than Full Automation? (arXiv papers 2603.29121), 57 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper develops a unified framework for evaluating the optimal degree of task automation. Moving beyond binary automate-or-not assessments, we model automation intensity as a continuous choice in which firms minimize costs by selecting an AI accuracy level, from no automation through partial human-AI collaboration to full automation. On the supply side, we estimate an AI production function via scaling-law experiments linking performance to data, compute, and model size. Because AI systems exhibit predictable but diminishing returns to these inputs, the cost of higher accuracy is convex: good performance may be inexpensive, but near-perfect accuracy is disproportionately costly. Full automation is therefore often not cost-minimizing; partial automation, where firms retain human workers for residual tasks, frequently emerges as the equilibrium. On the demand side, we introduce an entropy-based measure of task complexity that maps model accuracy into a labor substitution ratio, quantifying human labor displacement at each accuracy level. We calibrate the framework with O*NET task data, a survey of 3,778 domain experts, and GPT-4o-derived task decompositions, implementing it in computer vision. Task complexity shapes substitution: low-complexity tasks see high substitution, while high-complexity tasks favor limited partial automation. Scale of deployment is a key determinant: AI-as-a-Service and AI agents spread fixed costs across users, sharply expanding economically viable tasks. At the firm level, cost-effective automation captures approximately 11% of computer-vision-exposed labor compensation; under economy-wide deployment, this share rises sharply. Since other AI systems exhibit similar scaling-law economics, our mechanisms extend beyond computer vision, reinforcing that partial automation is often the economically rational long-run outcome, not merely a transitional phase." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Skill-biased technological change in the age of AI: a theoretical analysis of automation and inequality (2026)

    Li, Te; Nichols, Hadrian;

    Zitatform

    Li, Te & Hadrian Nichols (2026): Skill-biased technological change in the age of AI: a theoretical analysis of automation and inequality. In: Economics of Innovation and New Technology, S. 1-29. DOI:10.1080/10438599.2026.2649376

    Abstract

    "This paper develops a general equilibrium model to analyze how artificial intelligence (AI)–driven automation reshapes productivity, labor markets, and income distribution. The model features heterogeneous workers, endogenous automation decisions, and irreversible skill investment choices, allowing a unified examination of displacement, complementarity, and skill-supply responses. Automation substitutes for labor in routine tasks, reducing demand and wages for low-skilled workers, while simultaneously enhancing productivity in complex tasks where AI complements high-skilled labor. As a result, aggregate output and total welfare increase, but income inequality widens and the skill premium rises. A key finding is that technological progress is not Pareto improving: due to heterogeneous and irreversible skill investment costs, workers below a critical ability threshold experience absolute welfare losses despite overall economic growth. This generates a ‘growth paradox’ in which productivity gains coexist with immiseration for vulnerable groups. The paper further evaluates three policy instruments – redistributive taxation, education subsidies, and technology policy – and derives conditions under which each improves social welfare. Education subsidies emerge as the most effective tool for mitigating inequality while preserving efficiency, whereas excessive automation may arise when private incentives diverge from social optima." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Good Jobs or Bad Jobs? Immigrant Workers in the Gig Economy (2026)

    Liu, Cathy Yang ; Renzy, Rory;

    Zitatform

    Liu, Cathy Yang & Rory Renzy (2026): Good Jobs or Bad Jobs? Immigrant Workers in the Gig Economy. In: International migration review, Jg. 60, H. 1, S. 114-138. DOI:10.1177/01979183241309585

    Abstract

    "New work arrangements enabled by online platforms, or gig work, saw substantive growth during the COVID-19 pandemic. Various estimates have suggested the wide participation of workers in the gig economy, with minority and immigrant workers well represented. The quality of work is a multi-dimensional concept that goes beyond earnings. One framework of good jobs and bad jobs centers on control over work schedule, content and duration, stability, safety, benefits and insurance, as well as career advancement opportunities. Using a newly released national survey focused on entrepreneurs and workers in the United States, we find that about 18.5 percent immigrant workers and 21.1 percent native-born workers participated in the gig economy as their primary or secondary job. In terms of job quality, immigrant gig workers work shorter hours and have significantly less fringe benefits than non-gig workers as well as U.S.-born gig workers, reflecting a double disadvantage. However, they tend to have higher entrepreneurial aspirations, suggesting the transient nature of gig arrangements and potential for career advancements. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the characteristics and implication of immigrants’ engagement with the gig economy and offers policy and theoretical discussions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Enshittification of Work: Platform Decay and Labour Conditions in the Gig Economy (2026)

    Maffie, Michael David ; Hurtado, Hector;

    Zitatform

    Maffie, Michael David & Hector Hurtado (2026): The Enshittification of Work: Platform Decay and Labour Conditions in the Gig Economy. In: BJIR, Jg. 64, H. 1, S. 5-20. DOI:10.1111/bjir.70004

    Abstract

    "This study investigates the mechanisms by which gig platforms degrade labor conditions over time, building on the concept of platform decay, or ‘enshittification’, initially developed in the context of social media platforms. In this article, we draw on 30 interviews with long-term gig workers in the ride-hail and grocery delivery sectors, offering insights into how these companies shift from offering attractive working conditions to exploiting labor as these services develop market power via network effects. We identify three mechanisms through which gig companies claw back value from workers over time: burden shifting (transferring operational costs to workers), feature addition and alteration (increasing the demands on workers), and market manipulation (reducing worker bargaining power). We then explore how workers respond to platform decay, finding that workers adopt three responses: effort recalibration , multi-homing and navigating the changing conditions through what we term toxic resilience . This study contributes to the gig work literature by developing a framework to explain how working conditions in the gig economy improve or degrade over time. In doing so, this article provides a framework for organizing the growing constellation of labour research on gig workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Monitor Digitale Arbeitsgesellschaft – Kurzbericht der dritten Befragungswelle. Nach dem KI-Aufmerksamkeitsanstieg: Zwischen Stabilisierung, Skepsis und Regulierungsanforderungen (2026)

    Marcinkowski, Frank ; Flaßhoff, Florian Golo ; Lünich, Marco ; Keller, Birte ;

    Zitatform

    Marcinkowski, Frank, Birte Keller, Marco Lünich & Florian Golo Flaßhoff (2026): Monitor Digitale Arbeitsgesellschaft – Kurzbericht der dritten Befragungswelle. Nach dem KI-Aufmerksamkeitsanstieg: Zwischen Stabilisierung, Skepsis und Regulierungsanforderungen. (SocArXiv papers), 11 S. DOI:10.31235/osf.io/zcxje_v1

    Abstract

    "Der Kurzbericht präsentiert zentrale Ergebnisse der dritten von vier repräsentativen Befragungswellen der Studie Monitor Digitale Arbeitsgesellschaft, die im Rahmen des Forschungsprojekts Meinungsmonitor Künstliche Intelligenz 3.0 durchgeführt wurde. Grundlage sind die Angaben von 1.647 Befragten (928 Erwerbstätige, 719 Nichterwerbstätige) im Januar 2026. Die dritte Befragungswelle zeigt, dass das im Verlauf des Jahres 2025 gestiegene Interesse an KI zu Beginn des Jahres 2026 wieder leicht zurückgeht, während die subjektive Einschätzung des eigenen Wissens auf dem erreichten Niveau stabil bleibt. Gleichzeitig nehmen Vorbehalte gegenüber bestimmten gesellschaftlichen Einsatzfeldern zu, insbesondere in Bereichen mit Bezug zu staatlichen Sicherheitsaufgaben und politischen Entscheidungen. In der Arbeitswelt bleibt die Bewertung der Auswirkungen von KI auf den eigenen Beruf insgesamt stabil und leicht nutzenorientiert. Die berufliche Nutzung von KI stagniert zuletzt weitgehend. Viele Beschäftigte berichten weiterhin keine grundlegenden Veränderungen ihrer Tätigkeitsanforderungen und nur geringe persönliche Jobunsicherheit, während die Sorge, dass KI menschliche Arbeit allgemein ersetzen oder grundlegend verändern könnte, weiterhin deutlich stärker verbreitet ist als die persönliche Jobunsicherheit. Erstmals wird zudem ein besonderes Schlaglicht auf die Regulierungspräferenzen der Bevölkerung geworfen: Während staatliche Eingriffe bei arbeitsmarktbezogenen Folgen breite Unterstützung finden, werden Eingriffe in wirtschaftliche Freiheiten und steuerpolitische Maßnahmen deutlich ambivalenter bewertet. Insgesamt deutet sich eine stärkere Ausdifferenzierung und Festigung der Einstellungen gegenüber KI an." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Improving the effects of industrial robot adoption on employment, total factor productivity, and real wages in 52 world economies and OECD members (2026)

    Matsuki, Takashi ;

    Zitatform

    Matsuki, Takashi (2026): Improving the effects of industrial robot adoption on employment, total factor productivity, and real wages in 52 world economies and OECD members. In: Review of world economics, S. 1-32. DOI:10.1007/s10290-025-00626-z

    Abstract

    "This study investigates the effects of industrial robot adoption in the production process on unemployment rate, employment ratio in manufacturing, and total factor productivity (TFP) growth in 52 countries, and real wage growth in 31 and 20 OECD member countries for 2007–2019. The operating stock of robots per employee significantly impacts these variables; robot adoption lowers the unemployment rate and raises TFP and real wage growth. However, it reduces the employment ratio in manufacturing. In addition, the slight but significant positive contribution of robot adoption is observed only in the 90-percentile (top 10-percentile) of the real wage distribution. Interestingly, workers in the bottom and top tails (10- and 90-percentiles) of the wage distribution asymmetrically benefit from robotization. The industry ratio of value-added improves the labor market by reducing the unemployment rate and raising the employment ratio in manufacturing, TFP growth, and real wage growth. The information and communication technology (ICT) development also positively contributes to the employment ratio in Asia’s manufacturing, TFP growth, and real wage growth." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Nürnberger Gespräche: Deutschland 2030 - Zukunft gestalten, Chancen nutzen (2026)

    Mauer, Johanna; Terzenbach, Daniel; Ries, Elisabeth; Bangerth, Julia; Schludi, Martin; Hahnenkamp, Maximilian; Gebers, Leonie; Fitzenberger, Bernd ;

    Zitatform

    Mauer, Johanna & Martin Schludi; Daniel Terzenbach, Elisabeth Ries, Julia Bangerth, Maximilian Hahnenkamp, Leonie Gebers & Bernd Fitzenberger (sonst. bet. Pers.) (2026): Nürnberger Gespräche: Deutschland 2030 - Zukunft gestalten, Chancen nutzen. In: IAB-Forum H. 15.05.2026. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20260515.01

    Abstract

    "Ein Blick in die morgendliche Zeitung und die Depression scheint programmiert: Der ökonomische Abstieg Deutschlands, drohender Sozialabbau und die gefühlte Ohnmacht der deutschen Politik angesichts multipler Krisen beherrschen die Schlagzeilen. Umso erstaunlicher: Bei den traditionellen Nürnberger Gesprächen, die am 16. April 2026 im Historischen Rathaussaal stattfinden, blickten die vier geladenen Podiumsgäste durchaus mit einer Prise Zuversicht auf die Arbeitswelt im Jahr 2030. Da es in der Veranstaltung nicht zuletzt um die Job- und Zukunftschancen junger Menschen in einer sich rapide verändernden Wirtschaft ging, hatte das IAB, das die Veranstaltung gemeinsam mit der Stadt Nürnberg organisiert, erstmalig auch gezielt Vertreter*innen der jungen Generation aus Schulen und Hochschulen eingeladen. Sie wurden gebeten, die Probleme und Herausforderungen zu schildern, mit denen sie sich selbst am Arbeitsmarkt konfrontiert sehen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Artificial Intelligence and Productivity in Europe (2026)

    Misch, Florian; Park, Ben; Sher, Galen; Pizzinelli, Carlo;

    Zitatform

    Misch, Florian, Ben Park, Carlo Pizzinelli & Galen Sher (2026): Artificial Intelligence and Productivity in Europe. (CESifo working paper 12401), München, 37 S.

    Abstract

    "The discussion on Artificial Intelligence (AI) often centers around its impact on productivity, but macroeconomic evidence for Europe remains scarce. Using the Acemoglu (2024) approach we simulate the medium-term impact of AI adoption on total factor productivity for 31 European countries. We compile many scenarios by pooling evidence on which tasks will be automatable in the near term, using reduced-form regressions to predict AI adoption across Europe, and considering relevant regulation that restricts AI use heterogeneously across tasks, occupations and sectors. We find that the medium-term productivity gains for Europe as a whole are likely to be modest, at around 1 percent cumulatively over five years. While economically still moderate, these gains are still larger than estimates by Acemoglu (2024) for the US. They vary widely across scenarios and countries and are substantially larger in countries with higher incomes. Furthermore, we show that national and EU regulations around occupation-level requirements, AI safety, and data privacy combined could reduce Europe's productivity gains by over 30 percent if AI exposure were 50 percent lower in tasks, occupations and sectors affected by regulation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Predicting and Preventing Turnover in Industry 4.0: Understanding the Impact of Artificial Intelligence Adoption on Employee Turnover (2026)

    Moon, Young-Kook; Mitropoulos, Tanya;

    Zitatform

    Moon, Young-Kook & Tanya Mitropoulos (2026): Predicting and Preventing Turnover in Industry 4.0: Understanding the Impact of Artificial Intelligence Adoption on Employee Turnover. In: Human resource development quarterly, S. 1-11. DOI:10.1002/hrdq.70018

    Abstract

    "With the increasing adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the workplace, employees' career paths have become more diverse and less predictable in the era of Industry 4.0. As technological transformations accelerate, employee turnover patterns are also changing, as reflected in the growing prevalence of occupational transitions and large-scale layoffs. These shifts highlight the need for more developmental approaches to understanding and managing retention. To address this issue, the present paper examines how AI implementation influences employee turnover by focusing on both the motives and psychological states underlying the withdrawal process. Drawing on proximal withdrawal states theory, the paper provides a deeper understanding of the dynamic nature of employee withdrawal patterns. This perspective elucidates the withdrawal process shaped by AI adoption, emphasizing that employees' responses to technological disruption are diverse in both psychological and behavioral terms rather than uniform. Furthermore, the paper proposes Human Resource Development (HRD)-based interventions aimed at preventing undesirable turnover through employee education and career development initiatives. By integrating these elements, we introduce an HRD-focused framework for addressing turnover issues associated with AI adoption in a more developmental and sustainable manner. Finally, the paper outlines future research directions for empirically testing the proposed theoretical mechanisms and intervention strategies within the rapidly evolving technological landscape of work." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    KI in Betrieben: Mehr Ausbildung – aber Weiterbildung zunehmend für anspruchsvollere Tätigkeiten (2026)

    Muehlemann, Samuel ;

    Zitatform

    Muehlemann, Samuel (2026): KI in Betrieben. Mehr Ausbildung – aber Weiterbildung zunehmend für anspruchsvollere Tätigkeiten. In: Ifo-Schnelldienst, Jg. 79, H. 03, S. 09-13.

    Abstract

    "Auf Basis des BIBB-Betriebspanels werden die Folgen der Einführung von Künstlicher Intelligenz für die betriebliche Aus- und Weiterbildung in Deutschland analysiert. Die Ergebnisse deuten darauf hin, dass KI-einführende Ausbildungsbetriebe im Durchschnitt rund 14% mehr neue Auszubildende einstellen. Das spricht für verstärkte Investitionen in den internen Kompetenzaufbau im Zuge des technologischen Wandels. Zugleich verschiebt sich die betriebliche Weiterbildung zugunsten hochqualifizierter Tätigkeiten, während Beschäftigte in Fachkraft- und einfachen Tätigkeiten seltener teilnehmen. Daraus ergibt sich das Risiko einer kumulativen Benachteiligung Geringqualifizierter. Es werden drei wirtschaftspolitische Handlungsfelder abgeleitet: die bessere Integration Jugendlicher mit geringen schulischen Qualifikationen in die duale Ausbildung, eine zielgerichtete Weiterbildungsförderung für Geringqualifizierte sowie schnellere Aktualisierungszyklen für Ausbildungsordnungen und Rahmenlehrpläne." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Machine learning for labor market matching (2026)

    Mühlbauer, Sabrina ; Weber, Enzo ;

    Zitatform

    Mühlbauer, Sabrina & Enzo Weber (2026): Machine learning for labor market matching. In: Machine learning with applications, Jg. 23, 2026-02-03. DOI:10.1016/j.mlwa.2026.100861

    Abstract

    "This paper develops a large-scale machine learning framework to improve labor market matching using rich administrative data. Matching is defined as a job seeker entering employment in a specific occupational field. We exploit comprehensive employment biographies from Germany, covering individual characteristics and job-related information, to estimate employment probabilities across occupations and generate personalized job recommendations. The contribution lies in demonstrating why machine learning methods are particularly well suited for administrative labor market data and outperform traditional statistical approaches. We compare logit, ordinary least squares (OLS), k-nearest neighbors, and random forest (RF). RF consistently achieves the highest predictive performance. Its advantage is rooted in key methodological properties: RF builds an ensemble of decision trees trained on bootstrap samples, introduces random feature selection at each split, and aggregates predictions through majority voting. This enables RF to capture nonlinear relationships and complex interactions, remain robust in high-dimensional settings, and reduce overfitting — features that are particularly relevant for heterogeneous and imbalanced administrative data. Compared to conventional models, RF better exploits the full informational content of employment histories, especially when estimating on all employment spells rather than restricting the sample to unemployment-to-employment transitions. The sample comprises approximately 55 million spells, representing about 6 percent of the German workforce from 2012 to 2018. Our results suggest that ML-based matching, relative to standard statistical approaches, could hypothetically reduce the unemployment rate by up to 0.3 percentage points, highlighting the practical relevance of RF-based decision support for labor market policy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Mühlbauer, Sabrina ; Weber, Enzo ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    How local labour market skill relatedness and size moderate the impacts of automation (2026)

    Njekwa Ryberg, Peter ;

    Zitatform

    Njekwa Ryberg, Peter (2026): How local labour market skill relatedness and size moderate the impacts of automation. In: Regional Studies, Jg. 60, H. 1. DOI:10.1080/00343404.2025.2598031

    Abstract

    "This paper examines how local labour market skill relatedness and size moderate the impacts of automation on occupations across Swedish local labour markets. Using administrative data and a spatially explicit risk of automation measure that accounts for regional differences in occupational task contents, it finds a negative association between automation and employment growth and wage income growth for non-metropolitan occupations between 2011 and 2021. Skill relatedness and labour market size mitigate these negative relationships. In contrast, no negative associations are found for metropolitan occupations. Due to their higher shares of non-automatable tasks, they are more resilient to adverse automation effects." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Human-centred digital transitions and skill mismatches in European workplaces (2026)

    Pouliakas, Konstantinos; Santangelo, Giulia ;

    Zitatform

    Pouliakas, Konstantinos & Giulia Santangelo (2026): Human-centred digital transitions and skill mismatches in European workplaces. (CEDEFOP working paper series / European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training 2026,01), Luxembourg, 163 S. DOI:10.2801/9894877

    Abstract

    "New digital and artificial intelligence technologies are fast reshaping skill requirements in the EU labour market, fostering skill mismatches. There are marked concerns about the potentially adverse consequences of automation and AI on employment, as well as the lagging competitiveness of EU economies as individuals’ upskilling or reskilling is failing to adapt. To deepen understanding of how digitalisation is affecting the nature of work and skill mismatches in EU labour markets, Cedefop carried out the second wave of the European skills and jobs survey in 2021. In this special edition of Cedefop’s working paper series, ten original, short contributions have been drafted in which researchers explore in depth, for the first time, the ESJS2 microdata. The publication presents a wealth of focused and robust empirical analyses, covering a wide range of different issues on how the digital transition is affecting jobs, skills and training in Europe." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Mehr Arbeit, weniger Jobs? Konsequenzen der KI-Technologieeinführung: Teil des Zeitgesprächs "Arbeitszeit im Wandel - Wie sich Wohlstand trotz sinkenden Arbeitskräfteangebots sichern lässt" (2026)

    Pusch, Toralf ; Kudic, Muhamed ; Agyepong, Akua Franziska;

    Zitatform

    Pusch, Toralf, Muhamed Kudic & Akua Franziska Agyepong (2026): Mehr Arbeit, weniger Jobs? Konsequenzen der KI-Technologieeinführung. Teil des Zeitgesprächs "Arbeitszeit im Wandel - Wie sich Wohlstand trotz sinkenden Arbeitskräfteangebots sichern lässt". In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Jg. 106, H. 4, S. 296-300. DOI:10.2478/wd-2026-0072

    Abstract

    "Steigt durch die zunehmende Einführung von Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) die Arbeitsbelastung? Und sind Arbeitsplätze bedroht? Daten der WSI-Betriebsrätebefragung zeigen, dass sich KI in ihrer Wirkung – zumindest in der frühen Einführungsphase – von anderen digitalen Technologien zu unterscheiden scheint. Statt einer bei anderen Technologien häufiger auftretenden Arbeitsverdichtung berichteten viele Betriebsräte eher von Arbeitsentlastung, und nach einem Beobachtungszeitraum von zwei Jahren zeigte sich per Saldo ein leichter Stellenaufbau." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Moderne Ausbildungsinhalte machen Fachkräfte fit für den technologischen Wandel (2026)

    Salomons, Anna; Baur, Cäcilia vom; Zierahn-Weilage, Ulrich ;

    Zitatform

    Salomons, Anna, Cäcilia vom Baur & Ulrich Zierahn-Weilage (2026): Moderne Ausbildungsinhalte machen Fachkräfte fit für den technologischen Wandel. In: Ifo-Schnelldienst, Jg. 79, H. 03, S. 4-8.

    Abstract

    "Digitale Technologien verändern die berufliche Ausbildung. Dies hat Folgen für die Erwerbsbiografien von Beschäftigten. Aktualisierte Ausbildungsinhalte helfen Beschäftigten, sich an neue Anforderungen anzupassen. Beschäftigte, die auf der modernisierten Ausbildungsverordnung ausgebildet wurden, verdienen mehr – in besonders vom technologischen Wandel betroffenen Berufen um bis zu 5,5%. Dagegen verlieren ältere Beschäftigte im selben Beruf oft an Einkommen, wenn die neu ausgebildeten Kohorten den Arbeitsmarkt erreichen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    KI in der Pflege zwischen Anspruch und Realität: Empfehlungen für die Praxis aus dem Projekt ETAP (2026)

    Sarwary, Hares; Wielga, Jenny; Enste, Peter;

    Zitatform

    Sarwary, Hares, Jenny Wielga & Peter Enste (2026): KI in der Pflege zwischen Anspruch und Realität: Empfehlungen für die Praxis aus dem Projekt ETAP. (Forschung aktuell / Institut Arbeit und Technik 2026-03), Gelsenkirchen, 11 S. DOI:10.53190/fa/202603

    Abstract

    "Die Implementierung von digitalen Innovationen ist in der stationären Altenpflege mit vielen Herausforderungen verbunden, für die sich unterschiedliche Lösungsoptionen aufzeigen lassen. Eine stabile IT-Infrastruktur und Interoperabilität sind zentral, um einen nachhaltigen Nutzen zu schaffen und Insellösungen zu vermeiden. Kontinuierliche und praxisnahe Schulungsangebote für Pflege- und IT-Personal müssen Teil einer langfristig angelegten Digitalisierungsstrategie in Einrichtungen werden. Transparente Kommunikation innerhalb der Einrichtung ist ein entscheidender Faktor, um Erwartungen zu steuern und Vertrauen aufzubauen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Effective Leadership, Teamwork Quality, and Their Association With Employees’ Perceived Digital Stress: A Multilevel Analysis (2026)

    Schadow, Sophia-Aileen ; Wolf, Sandra ;

    Zitatform

    Schadow, Sophia-Aileen & Sandra Wolf (2026): Effective Leadership, Teamwork Quality, and Their Association With Employees’ Perceived Digital Stress. A Multilevel Analysis. In: Zeitschrift für Arbeits- und Organisationspsychologie, Jg. 70, H. 2, S. 43-54. DOI:10.1026/0932-4089/a000461

    Abstract

    "The ongoing digitalization of work environments poses increasing challenges for employees, including heightened levels of digital stress. This study enhances our understanding of how leadership and team processes relate to employees’ experiences of digital stress. Specifically, we examined associations between effective leadership (EL) and perceived digital stress as well as whether teamwork quality (TWQ) moderates this relationship. We collected the data from a German IT service company ( N = 12,862, 1,207 teams). Multilevel analyses indicated that EL was linked to lower levels of digital stress at both the individual and team levels. This association was stronger in teams with high TWQ, particularly at the team level. Moreover, gender differences in perceived digital stress emerged. The findings provide initial evidence on contextual factors associated with digital stress and suggest directions for future research on leadership and team dynamics in increasingly digitalized work environments." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    "Die KI ist auf dem Arbeitsmarkt noch gar nicht wirklich angekommen" (2026)

    Schmelmer, Julian; Matthes, Britta [interviewte Person] ;

    Zitatform

    Schmelmer, Julian; Britta [interviewte Person] Matthes (sonst. bet. Pers.) (2026): "Die KI ist auf dem Arbeitsmarkt noch gar nicht wirklich angekommen". In: Zeit-Campus H. 2.

    Abstract

    "Nach der Uni konkurrieren Absolvent:innen auch mit KI-Modellen um Jobs. Eine Arbeitsmarktforscherin erklärt, wie sie sich behaupten können" (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © ZEIT-Campus)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Matthes, Britta [interviewte Person] ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Chancen künstlicher Intelligenz für die Deckung des Fachkräftebedarfs im Mittelstand (2026)

    Schneider, Sebastian; Brink, Siegrun; Becker, Felix; Löher, Jonas; Icks, Annette;

    Zitatform

    Schneider, Sebastian, Siegrun Brink, Jonas Löher, Annette Icks & Felix Becker (2026): Chancen künstlicher Intelligenz für die Deckung des Fachkräftebedarfs im Mittelstand. (IfM-Materialien / Institut für Mittelstandsforschung Bonn 312), Bonn, 32 S.

    Abstract

    "Diese Studie untersucht, welchen Beitrag der Einsatz von KI zur Deckung des Fachkräftebedarfs im Mittelstand leisten kann. Anhand exemplarischer Fallbeispiele werden Treiber und Hemmnisse sowohl für den substitutiven als auch den komplementären KI-Einsatz identifiziert. Es zeigt sich: Das Potenzial von KI zur Deckung des Fachkräftebedarfs hängt von ihrer Einsatzart ab. Die Unternehmen nutzen KI derzeit vor allem substitutiv, indem einzelne Tätigkeiten übernommen und Beschäftigte entlastet werden, ohne Arbeitsplätze abzubauen. Auf diese Weise kann der KI-Einsatz Stellenbesetzungsprobleme mindern und indirekt zur Verringerung des Fachkräftemangels beitragen. Perspektivisch ist ein zunehmend komplementärer KI-Einsatz zu erwarten, der Tätigkeitsprofile sowie Qualifikationsanforderungen nachhaltig verändert. Das kann neue Stellenbesetzungsprobleme und potenziell einen zunehmenden Fachkräftemangel nach sich ziehen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Where Have All the (Boomer) Routine Workers Gone? (2026)

    Scotese, Carol A.;

    Zitatform

    Scotese, Carol A. (2026): Where Have All the (Boomer) Routine Workers Gone? In: The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, S. 1-44. DOI:10.1515/bejeap-2024-0396

    Abstract

    "This paper examines the employment outcomes of a cohort of non-college educated individuals who exit employment from occupations most exposed to automation risk. The analysis employs a novel set of granular task measures estimated from the detailed job attributes in the Occupational Information Network (O*NET). The granularity enables a rich characterization of non-routine work and task mobility choices for those without a college degree. The data yield multiple types of interpersonal, decision-making, cognitive, and technical tasks. Employing the granular tasks to analyze the employment outcomes for non-college educated workers who transition out of routine work, this study finds (1) the granular measures detect abstract tasks performed intensively in a range of skill contexts, (2) when exiting routine intensive work, non-college propensity to enter abstract work is just under 65 %, and (3) approximately one-quarter of those entries are into tasks yielding average wage gains for those making that transition." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Automation as an Equalizer: How Easy‐to‐Use Technologies Narrow Skill Gaps Between Low‐ and High‐Skilled Workers (2026)

    Sharfaei, Shahab ; Rompho, Nopadol ;

    Zitatform

    Sharfaei, Shahab & Nopadol Rompho (2026): Automation as an Equalizer: How Easy‐to‐Use Technologies Narrow Skill Gaps Between Low‐ and High‐Skilled Workers. In: Journal of Economic Surveys. DOI:10.1111/joes.70072

    Abstract

    "This paper investigates the labor market effects of the two most disruptive technologies of the past decade–industrial robots and artificialintelligence (AI). By reviewing the empirical literature and discussing existing models, we explore how these technologies affect workers based on their level of skills. The reviewed studies indicate that, contrary to popular belief, AI use does not hurt workers, including the low-skilled. On the contrary, the ease of using these technologies, particularly the more recent iterations of AI and large language models (LLMs), makes them complimentary to the low-skilled workforce, enabling them to reach productivity levels closer to those of high skilled workers. This implies that the concerns about systemic AI-driven job displacements are not strongly supported by the recently emergent empirical evidence." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Envisioning the Future of Work: From Ideas to Reforms (2026)

    Spencer, David A. ;

    Zitatform

    Spencer, David A. (2026): Envisioning the Future of Work: From Ideas to Reforms. In: BJIR, S. 1-11. DOI:10.1111/bjir.70035

    Abstract

    "Two different theoretical perspectives concerning technology and the future of work are examined. One is linked to mainstream economics, whereas the other is associated with critical (‘post-work ’) discourse. Ideas about work—its nature and impacts on well-being—matter in both perspectives. Indeed, they shape visions of a ‘better’ or ‘ideal’ future. They also influence policy responses to new technology. A critique is presented of the ways that work and its possible futures are understood. This critique is used to develop a different set of ideas about how technology might be harnessed to reduce the burden and raise the quality of work. The ability of ideas to effect reforms in and of work—ideas that have currency now and possible radical alternatives—is also assessed." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    AI Skills Improve Job Prospects: Causal Evidence from a Hiring Experiment (2026)

    Stephany, Fabian ; Leone, Angelo; Teutloff, Ole ;

    Zitatform

    Stephany, Fabian, Ole Teutloff & Angelo Leone (2026): AI Skills Improve Job Prospects: Causal Evidence from a Hiring Experiment. (arXiv papers), 46 S. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.2601.13286

    Abstract

    "The growing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies has heightened interest in the labour market value of AI-related skills, yet causal evidence on their role in hiring decisions remains scarce. This study examines whether AI skills serve as a positive hiring signal and whether they can offset conventional disadvantages such as older age or lower formal education. We conduct an experimental survey with 1,700 recruiters from the United Kingdom and the United States. Using a paired conjoint design, recruiters evaluated hypothetical candidates represented by synthetically designed résumés. Across three occupations – graphic designer, officeassistant, and software engineer –, AI skills significantly increase interview invitation probabilities by approximately 8 to 15 percentage points. AI skills also partially or fully offset disadvantages related to age and lower education, with effects strongest for office assistants, where formal AI certification plays an additional compensatory role. Effects are weaker for graphic designers, consistent with more skeptical recruiter attitudes toward AI in creative work. Finally, recruiters’ own background and AI usage significantly moderate these effects. Overall, the findings demonstrate that AI skills function as a powerful hiring signal and can mitigate traditional labour market disadvantages, with implications for workers’ skill acquisition strategies and firms’ recruitment practices." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    „Das sind ganz normale Leute“: Interessenpolitische Organisation von Influencer:innen (2026)

    Underwood, Lukas ;

    Zitatform

    Underwood, Lukas (2026): „Das sind ganz normale Leute“: Interessenpolitische Organisation von Influencer:innen. (SOFI-Impulspapier), Göttingen, 4 S.

    Abstract

    "Die Einbindung professioneller Content-Creator:innen in Organisationen der Interessenvertretung, seien es Gewerkschaften, Berufsverbände, Kammern oder Initiativen, ist eine besondere Herausforderung. Auf Grundlage von qualitativen Interviews mit Expert:innen aus der Branche und verschiedenen Organisationen der Interessenvertretung stellt das SOFI-Impulspapier drei Gründe ungeachtet der speziellen Arbeitsweise der professionellen Content-Creator:innen für diesen Umstand dar. Des Weiteren verweist der Beitrag auf Lücken, die von Interessenvertretungen gefüllt werden könnten." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    ‘Woeful Pay, But Still, I Enjoy It’: Refining Subjective Job Quality in Ride‐Share Work (2026)

    Veen, Alex ; Goods, Caleb ; Barratt, Tom ; Baird, Marian ;

    Zitatform

    Veen, Alex, Tom Barratt, Caleb Goods & Marian Baird (2026): ‘Woeful Pay, But Still, I Enjoy It’: Refining Subjective Job Quality in Ride‐Share Work. In: New Technology, Work and Employment, Jg. 41, H. 1, S. 15-26. DOI:10.1111/ntwe.70001

    Abstract

    "Workers who experience structural barriers in the labor market are overrepresented in the gig economy. There is limited research on how the broader context of labor markets and welfare systems shapes workers' motivations for, and subjective understandings of, ride-share work. Using established concepts of ‘constrained agency ’, ‘labor market objectives’ and ‘life stories’ from labor geography, this study develops a conceptual framework to advance subjective understandings of job quality. Drawing upon 59 interviews with workers from three distinct but overlapping disadvantaged groups (workers with disability, caring responsibilities and/or aged 45 and over), we focus on the experiences of and motivations for the work on a market-leading platform in Australia. Our findings highlight that subjective job quality perceptions are a complex mesh of individual circumstances and multi-layered social structures. Our framework helps to better understand why the work organisation and technology of the platform are valued by some yet loathed by others." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Artificial intelligence and technological unemployment (2026)

    Wang, Ping ; Wong, Tsz-Nga;

    Zitatform

    Wang, Ping & Tsz-Nga Wong (2026): Artificial intelligence and technological unemployment. In: Journal of monetary economics, Jg. 158. DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103905

    Abstract

    "How large are the effects of artificial intelligence (AI) on labor productivity and unemployment? We develop a labor-search model of technological unemployment where AI learns from workers, raises productivity, and displaces them if renegotiation fails. The model admits three steady states: no AI; some AI with limited capability, more job creation but higher unemployment; unbounded AI with endogenous growth and employment gains. Calibrated to U.S. data, the model implies a threefold productivity gain in the long run for workers exposed to AI but a 23% employment loss, half within five years. Plausible parameters give rise to global and local indeterminacy with endogenous cycles in productivity and unemployment, underscoring the uncertainty of AI’s impacts in line with a wide range of empiricalfindings. Equilibria are inefficient despite the Hosios condition; subsidizing jobs at risk of AI displacement is constrained optimal." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2026 Elsevier B.V. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Firm Data on AI (2026)

    Yotzov, Ivan; Wang, Ben Zhe ; Davis, Steven J. ; Thwaites, Gregory; Foster, Kevin M.; Bunn, Philip; Jalca, Aaron; Mizen, Paul; Barrero, Jose Maria; Meyer, Brent H.; Smietanka, Pawel; Bloom, Nicholas ; Navarrete, Michael A.;

    Zitatform

    Yotzov, Ivan, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Steven J. Davis, Kevin M. Foster, Aaron Jalca, Brent H. Meyer, Paul Mizen, Michael A. Navarrete, Pawel Smietanka, Gregory Thwaites & Ben Zhe Wang (2026): Firm Data on AI. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 34836), Cambridge, Mass, 21 S., App.

    Abstract

    "We present the first representative international data on firm-level AI use. We survey almost 6000 CFOs, CEOs and executives from stratified firm samples across the US, UK, Germany and Australia. We find four key facts. First, around 70% of firms actively use AI, particularly younger, more productive firms. Second, while over two thirds of top executives regularly use AI, their average use is only 1.5 hours a week, with one quarter reporting no AI use. Third, firms report little impact of AI over the last 3 years, with over 80% of firms reporting no impact on either employment or productivity. Fourth, firms predict sizable impacts over the next 3 years, forecasting AI will boost productivity by 1.4%, increase output by 0.8% and cut employment by 0.7%. We also survey individual employees who predict a 0.5% increase in employment in the next 3 years as a result of AI. This contrast implies a sizable gap in expectations, with senior executives predicting reductions in employment from AI and employees predicting net job creation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Changing Job Tasks as Risk or Chance for Employees’ Perceived Job Quality? A Longitudinal Analysis (2026)

    Zeyer-Gliozzo, Birgit ; Kunz, Carolin ; Schwerter, Jakob ; Brandt, Martina ;

    Zitatform

    Zeyer-Gliozzo, Birgit, Carolin Kunz, Jakob Schwerter & Martina Brandt (2026): Changing Job Tasks as Risk or Chance for Employees’ Perceived Job Quality? A Longitudinal Analysis. In: Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie, Jg. 78, H. 1, S. 61-86. DOI:10.1007/s11577-025-01043-8

    Abstract

    "In den letzten Jahrzehnten haben sich Arbeitsaufgaben erheblich verändert, was in erster Linie auf den technologischen Wandel zurückzuführen ist. Einige Tätigkeiten können von Maschinen übernommen werden, während andere an Bedeutung gewinnen. Dies kann sich auf zweierlei Weise auf die Beschäftigten auswirken: Einerseits können veränderte Tätigkeiten die wahrgenommene Arbeitsqualität verringern, beispielsweise durch kognitive Überlastung. Andererseits können Tätigkeitsveränderungen eine Chance sein, beispielsweise durch die Automatisierung unerwünschter Tätigkeiten wie schwerer körperlicher Arbeit. Diese Studie analysiert anhand von Daten des Nationalen Bildungspanels, wie sich Aufgabenänderungen auf individueller Ebene auf die Arbeitszufriedenheit als Maß für die wahrgenommene Arbeitsqualität auswirken. Fixed-Effects-Modelle zeigen, dass weniger manuelle sowie mehr analytische und autonome Tätigkeiten die Arbeitszufriedenheit signifikant verbessern, was auf positive Auswirkungen vergangener Aufgabenänderungen hindeutet. Allerdings beobachten wir auch altersbedingte Unterschiede, wobei ältere Beschäftigte eine geringere Zufriedenheit angeben, wenn sie weniger Routineaufgaben ausführen. Diese Ergebnisse liefern wertvolle Erkenntnisse über die Auswirkungen sich verändernder Arbeitsaufgaben und zeigen Bereiche auf, in denen weitere Forschung und politische Maßnahmen erforderlich sind." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    OECD Digital Education Outlook 2026: Exploring Effective Uses of Generative AI in Education (2026)

    Zitatform

    (2026): OECD Digital Education Outlook 2026: Exploring Effective Uses of Generative AI in Education. (OECD digital education outlook 2026), Paris, 244 S. DOI:10.1787/062a7394-en

    Abstract

    "Generative AI (GenAI) is reshaping the educational landscape, beyond teaching and learning. Unlike earlier waves of education technology, much of GenAI is freely accessible and largely used beyond institutional control due to its intuitiveness and versatility. The OECD Digital Education Outlook 2026 analyses emerging research that suggests GenAI can support learning when guided by clear teaching principles. However, if designed or used without pedagogical guidance, outsourcing tasks to GenAI simply enhances performance with no real learning gains. The Outlook highlights the benefits of GenAI as a tutor, partner and assistant, and synthesises experts’ evidence and insights on the design criteria that make it work for education." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The OECD AI exposure measure: Mapping the OECD AI Capability Indicators to occupations (2026)

    Zitatform

    (2026): The OECD AI exposure measure. Mapping the OECD AI Capability Indicators to occupations. (OECD Artificial Intelligence Papers 59), Paris, 59 S. DOI:10.1787/f3da0f0a-en

    Abstract

    "This paper develops a new OECD measure of occupational AI exposure based on the OECD AI Capability Indicators. The measure addresses the need for a forward-looking, transparent and updateable approach to assessing how AI may affect work, skills and education over the next 5 to 10 years. It does so by mapping AI capabilities across nine cognitive, social and physical domains to occupational requirements and constructing an AI Capability Gap index. Lower gap values indicate that current AI systems are closer to the capability profile required for an occupation, implying higher potential exposure. The results show that current AI capabilities are closest to occupations involving routine information processing, administrative work and codifiable tasks, and furthest from occupations requiring contextual judgement, interpersonal understanding, complex decision making and responsibility. The analysis also shows that exposure is multidimensional: some occupations are most exposed to language and reasoning systems, while others are more exposed to robotics, machine vision and embodied AI. The measure provides a transparent foundation for analysing task-level transformation, changing skill demand and future labour-market effects, while recognising that actual impacts will depend on adoption, regulation, organisational change and social choice." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    New Technology, Older Workers: How Workplace Technology is Associated with Indicators of Job Retention (2025)

    Abrams, Leah ; Harknett, Kristen ; Schneider, Daniel ;

    Zitatform

    Abrams, Leah, Daniel Schneider & Kristen Harknett (2025): New Technology, Older Workers: How Workplace Technology is Associated with Indicators of Job Retention. In: Journal of Aging & Social Policy, S. 1-17. DOI:10.1080/08959420.2025.2523122

    Abstract

    "Middle-aged and older adults who are employed in precarious, high-strain jobs may face challenges to continued work, risking economic insecurity and poor wellbeing in retirement. Technology in the workplace, an under-studied aspect of work environments, could accommodate aging workers or could add stress to their jobs. This study examines how technology in sales and surveillance at work are related to job satisfaction and planned job exits among approximately 6,000 workers aged 50–69 employed in the low-wage service sector (e.g. retail, pharmacy, grocery, hardware, fast food, casual dining, delivery, and hotel). On-the-job surveillance was related to lower job satisfaction and higher reports of looking for a new job, especially when combined with sanctioning for slow speed of work. However, rewards for speed, and to a lesser extent the use of leaderboards, were associated with higher job satisfaction, demonstrating the potential of technology to enhance the work experience for older employees. The use of sales technologies was not associated with job satisfaction or intentions to look for a new job. These results provide a uniquely detailed portrait of prevailing labor market conditions for aging workers in the service sector and demonstrate how certain kinds of technology matter for older workers ’ employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Artificial intelligence in work design: unlocking inclusion and overcoming barriers (2025)

    Adolph, Lars; Kirchhoff, Britta Marleen; Hamideh Kerdar, Sara;

    Zitatform

    Adolph, Lars, Britta Marleen Kirchhoff & Sara Hamideh Kerdar (2025): Artificial intelligence in work design: unlocking inclusion and overcoming barriers. In: Zeitschrift für Arbeitswissenschaft, Jg. 79, H. 2, S. 197-205. DOI:10.1007/s41449-025-00467-4

    Abstract

    "This article examines the protection goal of “exclusion prevention” and the design requirement of “design for inclusion and accessibility”, which are part of the initial considerations for a roadmap on artificial intelligence (AI) in occupational science research. The proposed roadmap systematically breaks down framework conditions, design requirements, instrumental goals and protection goals. The concept presented provides guidance for future research and can also serve as a basis for scientific policy advice. The in-depth examination of inclusion and AI takes place against the background that, on the one hand these aspects are underrepresented in occupational science research, and technological development can lead to a surge of change, particularly in the area of inclusive work design, on the other. Two expert workshops were held to answer the research question of what opportunities and risks AI technologies offer for the professional integration of people with disabilities, and what research and development needs to exist. The results show that some useful systems already exist, but that they can also have negative effects and that there is a need for further development. Practical relevance: The presented aspects of the roadmap on artificial intelligence (AI) from the perspective of occupational science research is relevant for both companies and policy actors who want to gain a systematic overview of AI in the world of work. A particular focus is on the issue of inclusive work design. In an expert workshop, it became clear that an optimistic view of the use of artificial intelligence for inclusive work design prevails both in companies or workshops employing people with disabilities and in the field of consulting. At the same time, however, development needs and potential risks were identified. The results provide an overview of the current potential uses of AI and are also of interest to companies that do not yet employ people with disabilities but are planning to do so." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Genius on Demand: The Value of Transformative Artificial Intelligence (2025)

    Agrawal, Ajay K.; Gans, Joshua S. ; Goldfarb, Avi ;

    Zitatform

    Agrawal, Ajay K., Joshua S. Gans & Avi Goldfarb (2025): Genius on Demand: The Value of Transformative Artificial Intelligence. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 34316), Cambridge, Mass, 20 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper examines how the emergence of transformative AI systems providing ``genius on demand" would affect knowledge worker allocation and labour market outcomes. We develop a simple model distinguishing between routine knowledge workers, who can only apply existing knowledge with some uncertainty, and genius workers, who create new knowledge at a cost increasing with distance from a known point. When genius capacity is scarce, we find it should be allocated primarily to questions at domain boundaries rather than at midpoints between known answers. The introduction of AI geniuses fundamentally transforms this allocation. In the short run, human geniuses specialise in questions that are furthest from existing knowledge, where their comparative advantage over AI is greatest. In the long run, routine workers may be completely displaced if AI efficiency approaches human genius efficiency." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Artificial Intelligence in the European Labour Markets (2025)

    Alasalmi, Juho;

    Zitatform

    Alasalmi, Juho (2025): Artificial Intelligence in the European Labour Markets. (DIFIS-Impuls 2026,1), Duisburg ; Bremen, 4 S.

    Abstract

    "This review surveys the emerging evidence regarding the effects of artificial intelligence technologies in the labour market and on labour market inequality through the lens of the theoretical framework of task-based production and the literature in the field of economics on technological change. The evidence analysed concerns the time period after the early 2010s, with an emphasis on the effects of generative AI after 2022. The focus is on research studying European labour markets. After outlining the context of routine- and skill-biased technological change and job polarisation, the existing evidence regarding AI adoption in production and its effects on productivity and employment is reviewed. The review concludes with a discussion on labour market policy that mediates the effects of AI on the distribution of productivity gains and the direction of technological change and a consideration of the effect of technological change on attitudes toward labour market policy and democracy itself." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    AI and women’s employment in Europe - Publications Office of the EU (2025)

    Albanesi, Stefania ; Jimeno, Juan F. ; Silva, António Dias da; Wabitsch, Alena; Lamo, Ana ;

    Zitatform

    Albanesi, Stefania, António Dias da Silva, Juan F. Jimeno, Ana Lamo & Alena Wabitsch (2025): AI and women’s employment in Europe - Publications Office of the EU. (Working paper series / European Central Bank 3077), Frankfurt am Main, 15 S. DOI:10.2866/9616450

    Abstract

    "We examine the link between the diffusion of artificial intelligence (AI) enabled technologies and changes in the female employment share in 16 European countries over the period 2011-2019. Using data for occupations at the 3-digit level, we find that on average female employment shares increased in occupations more exposed to AI. Countries with high initial female labor force participation and higher initial female relative education show a stronger positive association. While there exists heterogeneity across countries, almost all show a positive relation between changes in female employment shares within occupations and exposure to AI-enabled automation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Varieties of platform capitalism? Competition, regime types and the diversity of food delivery platforms across Europe and North America (2025)

    Ametowobla, Dzifa ; Kirchner, Stefan ;

    Zitatform

    Ametowobla, Dzifa & Stefan Kirchner (2025): Varieties of platform capitalism? Competition, regime types and the diversity of food delivery platforms across Europe and North America. In: Socio-economic review, Jg. 23, H. 2, S. 899-931. DOI:10.1093/ser/mwae079

    Abstract

    "This article challenges the idea of platform capitalism, that digital platforms implement a uniform model based on a self-employed labor force. Expanding on empirical evidence of a diversity of platform models, we theorize expectations about platform diversity from competition and comparative capitalism research. Using a unique cross-national dataset of leading food delivery platforms in 32 countries across North America and Europe, we compare platform models and competitive relations across national institutional regimes. Our analyses uncover a considerable diversity of platform models across Europe, in contrast to a clear uniformity in North America. We also find that the use of self-employment varies across and within large multinational corporations and is most prevalent in countries of the lightly regulated regime type. Our results call for an economic sociology perspective on the platform economy that integrates a general concept of platforms but allows for diversity stemming from competition and different national regimes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Zentrale Befunde zu aktuellen Arbeitsmarktthemen 2025 (2025)

    Anger, Silke ; Wolter, Stefanie ; Lietzmann, Torsten ; Lehmer, Florian ; Jahn, Elke; Leber, Ute; Wolff, Joachim ; Artmann, Elisabeth ; Wenzig, Claudia; Lang, Julia ; Wanger, Susanne ; Kuhn, Sarah ; Vom Berge, Philipp ; Kubis, Alexander; Walwei, Ulrich ; Trenkle, Simon ; Braun, Wolfgang; Brücker, Herbert ; Stops, Michael ; Kosyakova, Yuliya ; Stepanok, Ignat ; Janssen, Simon; Roth, Duncan ; Janser, Markus ; Rauch, Angela ; Jahn, Elke J. ; Popp, Martin ; Hohmeyer, Katrin ; Müller, Dana ; Hohendanner, Christian ; Mense, Andreas ; Hiesinger, Karolin ; Zika, Gerd ; Heß, Pascal ; Weber, Enzo ; Hellwagner, Timon ; Bruckmeier, Kerstin ; Haas, Anette; Seibert, Holger ; Gürtzgen, Nicole ; Ramos Lobato, Philipp; Gläser, Nina; Müller, Christoph ; Gherbaoui, Samia; Arntz, Melanie ; Gellermann, Jan; Stephan, Gesine ; Fitzenberger, Bernd ; Oberfichtner, Michael ; Dietz, Martin; Bächmann, Ann-Christin ; Dauth, Wolfgang ; Matthes, Britta ; Collischon, Matthias ; Reims, Nancy ; Christoph, Bernhard ;

    Zitatform

    Anger, Silke, Melanie Arntz, Elisabeth Artmann, Ann-Christin Bächmann, Wolfgang Braun, Kerstin Bruckmeier, Herbert Brücker, Bernhard Christoph, Matthias Collischon, Wolfgang Dauth, Martin Dietz, Bernd Fitzenberger, Jan Gellermann, Samia Gherbaoui, Nina Gläser, Nicole Gürtzgen, Anette Haas, Timon Hellwagner, Pascal Heß, Karolin Hiesinger, Christian Hohendanner, Katrin Hohmeyer, Elke J. Jahn, Markus Janser, Simon Janssen, Stefanie Wolter, Torsten Lietzmann, Florian Lehmer, Ute Leber, Joachim Wolff, Claudia Wenzig, Julia Lang, Susanne Wanger, Sarah Kuhn, Philipp Vom Berge, Alexander Kubis, Ulrich Walwei, Simon Trenkle, Michael Stops, Yuliya Kosyakova, Ignat Stepanok, Duncan Roth, Angela Rauch, Martin Popp, Dana Müller, Andreas Mense, Gerd Zika, Enzo Weber, Holger Seibert, Philipp Ramos Lobato, Christoph Müller, Gesine Stephan, Michael Oberfichtner, Britta Matthes & Nancy Reims (2025): Zentrale Befunde zu aktuellen Arbeitsmarktthemen 2025. Nürnberg, 21 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.GP.2505.1

    Abstract

    "Digitalisierung und Künstliche Intelligenz, Dekarbonisierung und demografischer Wandel werden den Arbeitsmarkt in den kommenden Jahren erheblich verändern. Gleichzeitig wird eine Deindustrialisierung Deutschlands befürchtet. Handlungsbedarf besteht beispielsweise bei der Sicherung des Arbeitskräftebedarfs – und damit verbunden bei den Themen Aus- und Weiterbildung –, bei der Reduzierung der Arbeitslosigkeit und insbesondere der Langzeitarbeitslosigkeit sowie bei der sozialen Absicherung von Solo-Selbständigen Zu all diesen und zahlreichen weiteren wichtigen Themen fasst die IAB-Broschüre „Zentrale Befunde zu aktuellen Arbeitsmarkt-Themen 2025“ die zentralen wissenschaftlichen Befunde kompakt zusammen. Sie bietet zudem Handlungsempfehlungen für die Arbeitsmarktpolitik, die aus den wissenschaftlichen Befunden abgeleitet wurden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Digitalisierung und Wandel der Beschäftigung (DiWaBe 2.0): Eine Datengrundlage für die Erforschung von Künstlicher Intelligenz und anderer Technologien in der Arbeitswelt (2025)

    Arntz, Melanie ; Baum, Myriam; Brüll, Eduard ; Wischniewski, Sascha ; Matthes, Britta ; Hartwig, Matthias; Meyer, Sophie-Charlotte ; Dorau, Ralf; Schlenker, Oliver ; Lehmer, Florian ; Tisch, Anita ;

    Zitatform

    Arntz, Melanie, Myriam Baum, Eduard Brüll, Ralf Dorau, Matthias Hartwig, Florian Lehmer, Britta Matthes, Sophie-Charlotte Meyer, Oliver Schlenker, Anita Tisch & Sascha Wischniewski (2025): Digitalisierung und Wandel der Beschäftigung (DiWaBe 2.0): Eine Datengrundlage für die Erforschung von Künstlicher Intelligenz und anderer Technologien in der Arbeitswelt. (baua: Bericht), Dortmund, 48 S. DOI:10.21934/baua:bericht20250225

    Abstract

    "In Deutschland nutzt bereits mehr als die Hälfte der Beschäftigten Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) am Arbeitsplatz - überwiegend jedoch informell. Dies deutet darauf hin, dass viele Beschäftigte KI als hilfreiche Unterstützung wahrnehmen, zugleich aber die formelle Einführung seitens der Betriebe den Erwartungen der Beschäftigten hinterherhinkt. Der vorliegende Bericht präsentiert die Ergebnisse der DiWaBe 2.0-Befragung, einer repräsentativen Querschnittserhebung von rund 9.800 sozialversicherungspflichtig Beschäftigten in Deutschland, die im Jahr 2024 durchgeführt wurde. Ziel der Befragung ist es, eine Datengrundlage zu schaffen, um die Auswirkungen des technologischen Wandels - und insbesondere von KI - auf die Arbeitswelt abzuschätzen. Im Fokus stehen dabei vor allem Veränderungen von Tätigkeiten und Anforderungen am Arbeitsplatz, Arbeitsbedingungen und -organisation, Weiterbildungsaktivitäten sowie die Gesundheit der Beschäftigten. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass die Nutzung von KI stark von individuellen und beruflichen Faktoren wie Berufssegment, Bildung, Alter und Geschlecht abhängt. So nutzt nur knapp ein Drittel der Beschäftigten ohne Bildungsabschluss KI, während dieser Anteil bei Beschäftigten mit Hochschul-, Meister-oder Technikerabschluss fast 80 % beträgt. Erste multivariate Analysen zeigen, dass Beschäftigte, die ihre KI-Nutzung in den letzten fünf Jahren intensiviert haben, von komplexeren Tätigkeitsanforderungen berichten, insbesondere in den Bereichen Schreiben, Programmierung und Mathematik. Zudem ist eine intensivierte KI-Nutzung mit einer höheren Arbeitsautonomie, aber auch mit einer höheren Arbeitsintensität verbunden. Es zeigt sich jedoch kein statistisch signifikanter Zusammenhang zwischen der Nutzung von KI und der Gesundheit der Beschäftigten. Zudem unterscheiden sich Beschäftigte mit KI-Nutzung nicht von Nichtnutzenden hinsichtlich ihrer Teilnahme an Weiterbildung." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Computers as Stepping Stones? Technological Change and Equality of Labor Market Opportunities (2025)

    Arntz, Melanie ; Lipowski, Cäcilia ; Neidhöfer, Guido ; Zierahn-Weilage, Ulrich ;

    Zitatform

    Arntz, Melanie, Cäcilia Lipowski, Guido Neidhöfer & Ulrich Zierahn-Weilage (2025): Computers as Stepping Stones? Technological Change and Equality of Labor Market Opportunities. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 43, H. 2, S. 503-543., 2023-08-18. DOI:10.1086/727490

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes whether technological change improves equality of labor market opportunities by increasing the returns to skills relative to the returns to parental background. We find that in Germany during the 1990s, the introduction of computer technologies improved the access to technology-adopting occupations for workers with low-educated parents, and reduced their wage penalty within these occupations. We also show that this significantly contributed to a decline in the overall wage penalty experienced by workers from disadvantaged parental back-grounds over this time period. Competing mechanisms, such as skill-specific labor supply shocks and skill-upgrading, do not explain these findings." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Arntz, Melanie ;
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    Low Barriers, High Stakes: Formal and Informal Diffusion of AI in the Workplace (2025)

    Arntz, Melanie ; Wischniewski, Sascha ; Dorau, Ralf; Hartwig, Matthias; Tisch, Anita ; Schlenker, Oliver ; Meyer, Sophie-Charlotte ; Brüll, Eduard ; Baum, Myriam; Matthes, Britta ;

    Zitatform

    Arntz, Melanie, Myriam Baum, Eduard Brüll, Ralf Dorau, Matthias Hartwig, Britta Matthes, Sophie-Charlotte Meyer, Oliver Schlenker, Anita Tisch & Sascha Wischniewski (2025): Low Barriers, High Stakes: Formal and Informal Diffusion of AI in the Workplace. (Ifo working papers 422), München, 28 S.

    Abstract

    "Artificial intelligence (AI) is diffusing rapidly in the workplace, yet aggregate productivity gains remain limited. This paper examines the dual diffusion of AI – through both formal, employer-led and informal, employee-initiated adoption – as potential explanation. Using a representative survey of nearly 10,000 employees in Germany, we document a high extensive but low intensive margin of usage: while 64 percent use AI tools, only 20 percent use them frequently. This diffusion is strongly skill-biased and depends less on establishment and regional characteristics. While formality is associated with more frequent usage, training, AI-based supervision, and higher perceived productivity gains, it does not broaden access. These patterns suggest that widespread informal usage can coexist with limited productivity effects when complementary investments and organizational integration lag behind." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Arntz, Melanie ; Matthes, Britta ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Abgehängt? Frauen nutzen KI beruflich viel seltener als Männer (2025)

    Arntz, Melanie ; Burkert, Carola ; Matthes, Britta ; Brüll, Eduard ;

    Zitatform

    Arntz, Melanie, Eduard Brüll, Carola Burkert & Britta Matthes (2025): Abgehängt? Frauen nutzen KI beruflich viel seltener als Männer. In: IAB-Forum – Grafik aktuell H. 20.05.2025. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.GA.20250520.01

    Abstract

    "Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) wird weitreichende Auswirkungen auf den Arbeitsmarkt haben. Bereits heute werden KI-Kompetenzen auf dem Arbeitsmarkt zunehmend nachgefragt. Ergebnisse unserer aktuellen Beschäftigtenbefragung zu „Digitalisierung und Wandel der Arbeit (DiWaBe)“ zeigen, dass Frauen KI bei ihrer Arbeit deutlich seltener nutzen als Männer, was die bestehenden Geschlechterungleichheiten eher verfestigen als nivellieren dürfte." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Won’t Get Fooled Again? Theorizing Discursive Constructions of Novelty in the ‘New’ World of Work (2025)

    Aroles, Jeremy ; Leclercq-Vandelannoitte, Aurelie ; Hassard, John ; Granter, Edward ; Foster, William M.;

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    Aroles, Jeremy, Aurelie Leclercq-Vandelannoitte, John Hassard, William M. Foster & Edward Granter (2025): Won’t Get Fooled Again? Theorizing Discursive Constructions of Novelty in the ‘New’ World of Work. In: Work, Employment and Society, Jg. 39, H. 4, S. 882-903. DOI:10.1177/09500170241300948

    Abstract

    "This article outlines how notions of novelty define today’s work practices and debates what the discursive construction of work as ‘new’ means. On the one hand, we highlight a misplaced emphasis on change and novelty that can lead to unnecessary dichotomization in the characterization and discursive construction of work practices and organizational phenomena. On the other, we specify substantive continuities in a range of strategic, organizational and employment arrangements. As such, we contend that a critical evaluation of key characteristics of contemporary work reveals that they are often not unique. Instead, these characteristics reflect the extending, rebranding or reshaping of measures and processes fashioned in earlier forms of value production. Ultimately, we theorize how the promotion of the ‘new’ world of work reflects structures and practices somehow altered in appearance, yet still analogous in substance, to those found in the traditional employment and production fabric of organizations." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Impact of Aging and AI on Japan's Labor Market: Challenges and Opportunities (2025)

    Asao, Kohei; Seitani, Haruki; Stepanyan, Ara; Xu, TengTeng;

    Zitatform

    Asao, Kohei, Haruki Seitani, Ara Stepanyan & TengTeng Xu (2025): The Impact of Aging and AI on Japan's Labor Market: Challenges and Opportunities. (IMF working papers / International Monetary Fund 2025,184), Washington, DC, 17 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper explores the complex roles of demographic changes and technological innovation in shaping Japan's labor market. We use regression analysis to assess the impact of population aging on labor productivity and shortages. Our findings indicate that the aging workforce contributes to labor shortages and potentially weighs on labor productivity. We also investigate occupational level data to identify the complementarity and substitutability of AI in occupational tasks as well as skill transferability. Our research reveals that Japanese workers face lower exposure to AI compared to their counterparts in other advanced economies, thereby constraining AI's potential to mitigate labor shortages. Furthermore, the disparities in skill requirements across occupations with different AI exposures highlight the importance of facilitating labor mobility from displaced jobs to those in demand." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Notes on a World with Generative AI (2025)

    Askitas, Nikolaos;

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    Askitas, Nikolaos (2025): Notes on a World with Generative AI. (CESifo working paper 12070), München, 27 S.

    Abstract

    "Generative AI (GenAI) and Large Language Models (LLMs) are moving into domains once seen as uniquely human—reasoning, synthesis, abstraction, and rhetoric. Addressed to labor economists and informed readers, this paper clarifies what is truly new about LLMs, what is not, and why it matters. Using an analogy to autoregressive models from economics, we explain their stochastic nature, whose fluency is often mistaken for agency. We situate LLMs in the longer history of human–machine outsourcing, from digestion to cognition, and examine disruptive effects on white-collar labor, institutions, and epistemic norms. Risks emerge when synthetic content becomes both product and input, creating feedback loops that erode originality and reliability. Grounding the discussion in conceptual clarity over hype, we argue that while GenAI may substitute for some labor, statistical limits will preserve a key role for human judgment. The question is not only how these tools are used, but which tasks we relinquish and how we reallocate expertise in a new division of cognitive labor." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Handel im Umbruch: Transformation, Beschäftigung und Qualifizierung im Bremer Einzelhandel (2025)

    Assmus, Josephine ;

    Zitatform

    Assmus, Josephine (2025): Handel im Umbruch. Transformation, Beschäftigung und Qualifizierung im Bremer Einzelhandel. (Reihe Arbeit und Wirtschaft in Bremen 52), Bremen: Institut Arbeit und Wirtschaft (IAW), Universität Bremen und Arbeit­nehmer­kammer Bremen, 29 S.

    Abstract

    "Der Einzelhandel befindet sich in einem umfassenden Strukturwandel, der durch tiefgreifende technologische, demografische und ökonomische Veränderungen geprägt ist. Parallel dazu führen veränderte Konsummuster, zunehmende Marktvolatilität und eine Erosion der Tarifbindung zu erheblichen Anpassungsanforderungen für Beschäftigte und Betriebe. Der Einzelhandel ist dabei durch eine ausgeprägte Heterogenität hinsichtlich Betriebsgrößen, Beschäftigungsformen und Branchensegmenten gekennzeichnet und zugleich durch hohe Teilzeitquoten, einen überdurchschnittlichen Frauenanteil sowie prekäre Arbeitsverhältnisse geprägt. Der vorliegende Branchenbericht untersucht am Beispiel des Landes Bremen die Auswirkungen von Digitalisierung, demografischem Wandel und Fachkräftemangel auf die Beschäftigtenstruktur, Arbeitsprozesse und Qualifikationsanforderungen im Einzelhandel. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass digitale Technologien sowohl Substituierungspotenziale als auch neue Belastungsfaktoren erzeugen. Während Automatisierung und digitale Assistenzsysteme Tätigkeitsprofile verändern und physische Arbeit entlasten können, erhöhen sie zugleich den kognitiven und zeitlichen Druck. Für eine sozialverträgliche Gestaltung des Wandels sind daher erweiterte Mitbestimmungsrechte, gezielte Qualifizierungsstrategien und eine Stärkung der Tarifbindung erforderlich. Qualifizierung und Weiterbildung müssen als zentrale Handlungsfelder institutionell verankert und gleichstellungspolitisch flankiert werden, um Beschäftigungsperspektiven und Teilhabechancen - insbesondere für Frauen - im transformierten Einzelhandel langfristig zu sichern." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Labor Market Impact of Digital Technologies (2025)

    Aum, Sangmin ; Shin, Yongseok;

    Zitatform

    Aum, Sangmin & Yongseok Shin (2025): The Labor Market Impact of Digital Technologies. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 33469), Cambridge, Mass, 17 S.

    Abstract

    "We investigate the impact of digital technology on employment patterns in Korea, where firms have rapidly adopted digital technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), big data, and the internet of things (IoT). By exploiting regional variations in technology exposure, we find significant negative effects on high-skill and female workers, particularly those in non-IT (information technology) services. This contrasts with previous technological disruptions, such as the IT revolution and robotization, which primarily affected low-skill male workers in manufacturing. In IT services, although high-skill employment declined, vacancy postings for high-skill workers increased, implying a shift in labor demand toward newer skill sets. These findings highlight both the labor displacement and the new opportunities generated by digital transformation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    On automation, labor reallocation and welfare (2025)

    Auray, Stéphane; Eyquem, Aurélien ;

    Zitatform

    Auray, Stéphane & Aurélien Eyquem (2025): On automation, labor reallocation and welfare. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Jg. 177. DOI:10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105129

    Abstract

    "We develop an open-economy model of endogenous automation with heterogeneous firms and labor-market reallocation to quantify the contribution of various trends to the adoption of robots in the U.S. economy. The decline in the relative price of robots is the major trend leading to automation, but interacts with other trends that either hinder (rising entry costs, rising markups) or slightly foster (rising labor productivity, declining trade costs) the adoption of robots. Taken alone, the decline in the relative price of robots produces moderate welfare gains in the long run, but less than labor productivity growth. We then exploit our model to show that a decline in the relative price of robots (i) generates small positive cross-country automation spillovers and (ii) produces inefficient labor-market reallocation since a small subsidy on robots combined with a training subsidy can generate small welfare gains. Our main conclusion is that automation can not be simply modeled as an exogenous decline in the price of robots, and must be analyzed in a broader framework taking into account trends affecting firms, such as the decline in business dynamism and the rise in markups." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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    Expertise (2025)

    Autor, David; Thompson, Neil;

    Zitatform

    Autor, David & Neil Thompson (2025): Expertise. In: Journal of the European Economic Association, Jg. 23, H. 4, S. 1203-1271. DOI:10.1093/jeea/jvaf023

    Abstract

    "When job tasks are automated, does this augment or diminish the value of labor in the tasks that remain? We argue the answer depends on whether removing tasks raises or reduces the expertise required for remaining non-automated tasks. Since the same task may be relatively expert in one occupation and inexpert in another, automation can simultaneously replace experts in some occupations while augmenting expertise in others. We propose a conceptual model of occupational task bundling that predicts that changing occupational expertise requirements have countervailing wage and employment effects: automation that decreases expertise requirements reduces wages but permits the entry of less expert workers; automation that raises requirements raises wages but reduces the set of qualified workers. We develop a novel, content-agnostic method for measuring job task expertise, and we use it to quantify changes in occupational expertise demands over four decades attributable to job task removal and addition. We document that automation has raised wages and reduced employment in occupations where it eliminated inexpert tasks, but lowered wages and increased employment in occupations where it eliminated expert tasks. These effects are distinct from—and in the case of employment,opposite to—the effects of changing task quantities. The expertise framework resolves the puzzle of why routine task automation has lowered employment but often raised wages in routine task-intensive occupations. It provides a general tool for analyzing how task automation and new task creation reshape the scarcity value of human expertise within and across occupations." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Fehlzeiten-Report 2025: KI und Gesundheit - Möglichkeiten nutzen, Risiken bewältigen, Orientierung geben (2025)

    Badura, Bernhard; Schröder, Helmut ; Ducki, Antje; Baumgardt, Johanna; Meyer, Markus ;

    Zitatform

    Badura, Bernhard, Antje Ducki, Markus Meyer, Johanna Baumgardt & Helmut Schröder (Hrsg.) (2025): Fehlzeiten-Report 2025. KI und Gesundheit - Möglichkeiten nutzen, Risiken bewältigen, Orientierung geben. (Fehlzeiten-Report 27), Berlin: Springer, 735 S. DOI:10.1007/978-3-662-71885-8

    Abstract

    "Der jährlich erscheinende Fehlzeiten-Report informiert umfassend über die Entwicklung des Krankenstandes von Beschäftigten in Deutschland. Neben detaillierten Sekundäranalysen von Versichertendaten werden empirische Studienergebnisse, zeitgemäße methodische Herangehensweisen und Leuchtturmprojekte der Betrieblichen Gesundheitsförderung vorgestellt. Vor dem Hintergrund aktueller technischer Entwicklungen beleuchtet der Fehlzeiten-Report 2025 schwerpunktmäßig Chancen und Herausforderungen des Einsatzes von Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) in der Arbeitswelt. Er bietet einen orientierenden Überblick zu den Auswirkungen des Einsatzes von KI auf die betriebliche Gesundheitsförderung, Arbeitsumgebungen, Führung und Beschäftigte in Organisationen und erörtert aus unterschiedlichen Perspektiven u.a die folgenden Fragen: - Wie kann KI so zum Einsatz gebracht werden, dass die menschlichen Fähigkeiten erweitert und gleichzeitig die Gesundheit der Beschäftigten und die individuelle Privatsphäre geschützt werden? - Wie gelingt die Entwicklung von KI-Systemen, in denen Mensch und Maschine produktiv zusammenarbeiten? - Welche wissenschaftlich fundierten Lösungsansätze zum menschen- und gesundheitszentrierten Umgang mit KI gibt es im Arbeitsschutz und der betrieblichen Gesundheitsförderung? Darüber hinaus liefert der Fehlzeiten-Report 2025 in gewohnter Qualität Daten und Analysen zu Fehlzeiten von Beschäftigten in Deutschland: - Aktuelle Statistiken zum Krankenstand in allen Branchen - Vergleichende Analysen nach Berufsgruppen, Bundesländern und Städten - Die wichtigsten für Arbeitsunfähigkeit verantwortlichen Krankheitsarten - Detaillierte Auswertungen u.a. zu Arbeitsunfällen, Langzeitarbeitsunfähigkeit, Burnout und Kinderkrankengeld. Zudem gibt es vor dem Hintergrund der aktuellen Diskussion um hohe Fehlzeiten einen Beitrag zur Einführung von Karenztagen und möglichen Effekten einer Absenkung der Lohnersatzrate." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Technical change, jobs, and wages in the global economy (2025)

    Baldwin, Richard ; Haaland, Jan I.; Venables, Anthony J. ;

    Zitatform

    Baldwin, Richard, Jan I. Haaland & Anthony J. Venables (2025): Technical change, jobs, and wages in the global economy. In: Journal of International Economics, Jg. 155. DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104065

    Abstract

    "This paper presents a compact and intuitive framework that consolidates, simplifies, and extends results on the links between technology, trade, and labour market outcomes. It makes three main contributions. First, it presents closed-form solutions for the impacts of different types of technical change (TC) on jobs (the sectoral allocation of employment) as well as on wages, prices and output. Second, it shows that wage and employment effects are positively correlated only for certain types of TC and certain parameters, so wage and employment impacts need to be examined separately. Third, we incorporate a non-traded sector into our framework and show how employment in this sector alters results by offering a new margin of adjustment. The impact of TC on relative wages is dampened, although its sign is not changed." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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