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Müller, Christoph (2025): Weiterbildungsungleichheit und technologischer Wandel: Nach IT-Investitionen steigt vor allem die Weiterbildungsquote der Höherqualifizierten. (IAB-Kurzbericht 06/2025), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2506

Abstract

"Betriebliche Weiterbildung soll dazu beitragen, die Fähigkeiten der Beschäftigten an neue Anforderungen anzupassen. Gerade im Zuge der digitalen Transformation der Arbeitswelt sind solche Anpassungen dringend erforderlich. Die vorliegende Analyse des Zusammenhangs zwischen Investitionen in digitale Technologien und innerbetrieblicher Weiterbildung zeigt: In Betrieben mit IT-Investitionen steigen die Weiterbildungsquoten der Beschäftigten mit qualifizierten Tätigkeiten; bei denjenigen mit einfachen Tätigkeiten ist dies im Mittel hingegen nicht der Fall." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Müller, Steffen & Verena Plümpe (2025): Wie Roboter die betriebliche Beschäftigungsstruktur verändern. In: Wirtschaft im Wandel, Jg. 31, H. 1, S. 10-13. DOI:10.18717/wwfyns-ep75

Abstract

"Der Einsatz von Robotern verändert die Arbeitswelt grundlegend – doch welche spezifischen Effekte hat dies auf die Beschäftigungsstruktur? Unsere Analyse untersucht die Folgen des Robotereinsatzes anhand neuartiger Mikrodaten aus deutschen Industriebetrieben. Diese Daten verknüpfen Informationen zum Robotereinsatz mit Sozialversicherungsdaten und detaillierten Angaben zu Arbeitsaufgaben. Auf Basis eines theoretischen Modells leiten wir insbesondere positive Beschäftigungseffekte für Berufe mit wenig repetitiven, programmierbaren Aufgaben ab, sowie für jüngere Arbeitskräfte, weil diese sich besser an technologische Veränderungen anpassen können. Die empirische, mikroökonomische Analyse des Robotereinsatzes auf Betriebsebene bestätigt diese Vorhersagen: Die Beschäftigung steigt für Techniker, Ingenieure und Manager und junge Beschäftigte, während sie bei geringqualifizierten Routineberufen sowie bei Älteren stagniert. Zudem steigt die Fluktuation bei geringqualifizierten Arbeitskräften signifikant an. Unsere Ergebnisse verdeutlichen, dass der Verdrängungseffekt von Robotern berufsabhängig ist, während junge Arbeitskräfte neue Tätigkeiten übernehmen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Neumann, Uwe (2025): Digital transformation, employment change and the adaptation of regions in Germany. In: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Jg. 73, S. 37-50. DOI:10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.014

Abstract

"Digital change is often said to lead to large-scale job losses. Using data from administrative sources in Germany, this study examines the extent to which adaptation to digital change has affected regional employment growth and disparities over the past decade. The analysis confirms previous research according to which increases in productivity coincide with regional job growth rather than decline. Incorporating various indicators of digitalisation and automation into a model of industry-specific regional job growth shows that local labour markets with very different characteristics – regions with strong manufacturing clusters on the one hand and large cities on the other – have achieved employment growth despite high automation exposure. While the study highlights regional differentials with respect to the adaptation to technological change, less prosperous regions may face a much greater challenge in realising job creation potentials. The results argue against policy efforts aimed at “protecting” jobs from digitalisation and automation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Author. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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Neumann, Michael & Anika Kamin (2025): Ordnungspolitische Herausforderungen durch die Digitalisierung der Arbeitswelt. In: Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, Jg. 74, H. 2, S. 162-187. DOI:10.1515/zfwp-2025-2007

Abstract

"The digitalisztion of the world of work enables new phenomena such as cloud robotics and deep learning. With the use of artificial intelligence in the workplace, but also due to the massive use of digital communication technologies, our working world is currently being revolutionized. Increased outsourcing, symbiotic collaboration with robots, individualised employment relationships and a rise in teleworking and home office are coming to society. They encounter a legal framework that is not designed for these innovations. The new challenges have a lot to do with the readiness of the population for digital change and thus with specific educational components, furthermore with the expansion of the digital infrastructure, but at least as much with the legal regulations and thus with the regulatory policy in the respective countries. This article aims to highlight these regulatory challenges for Germany." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

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Nigar, Meher, Jannatul Ferdous Juli, Uttam Golder, Mohammad Jahangir Alam & Mohammad Kamal Hossain (2025): Artificial intelligence and technological unemployment. Understanding trends, technology's adverse roles, and current mitigation guidelines. In: Journal of open innovation, Jg. 11, H. 3. DOI:10.1016/j.joitmc.2025.100607

Abstract

"As artificial intelligence (AI) and automation continue to reshape industries, concerns about technological unemployment are intensifying. This study employs a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) guided by the PRISMA framework to examine peer-reviewed literature from the Scopus database (2015–July 09, 2025). It identifies threecore themes: (1) trends in AI-induced labor displacement, including task automation, skill polarization, and industry-specific disruptions in sectors such as healthcare, education, and creative industries; (2) the adverse roles of AI technologies, particularly in affecting white-collar professionals, gig workers, and freelancers by increasing precarity and skill mismatches; and (3) existing mitigation strategies, including responsible AI guidelines proposed by governments, institutions, and firms aimed at balancing technological advancement with employment protection. While a growing body of policy responses encourages human-AI complementarity, current measures remain fragmented and insufficient to address the structural risks of workforce displacement. This study presents a comprehensive synthesis of the evolving relationship between AI and employment, highlighting key areas for further inquiry and policy development." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by ElsevierLtd on behalf of Prof JinHyo Joseph Yun.) ((en))

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Nikolova, Milena, Anthony Lepinteur & Femke Cnossen (2025): Just another cog in the machine? A worker‐level view of robotization and tasks. In: Economica, Jg. 92, H. 368, S. 1101-1148. DOI:10.1111/ecca.70006

Abstract

"Technological change has led to a decline in the share of routine and physical jobs, and a rise in the share of abstract and social ones at the economy level. However, much less is known about how these trends unfold at the individual level. Do workers' tasks become more or less routine and physical? Do workers shift towards more social and abstract activities? This paper is the first to explore these questions in the context of robotization. We use survey data from 20 European countries to develop worker-level indices of physical, routine, abstract and social tasks, which we link to industry-level robotization exposure. Using instrumental variable techniques, we find that robotization reduces physically demanding tasks but increases routine tasks, while also limiting opportunities for cognitively challenging work and human interaction. This study provides a worker-centric perspective on the relationship between technology and task composition, revealing insights that aggregate analyses miss." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Ohly, Sandra, Amina Granica, Hannes Herwig, Niklas Kühlewind, Tobias Paetzold, Lana Vinhoven, Luisa Wiemers & Xi Zhang (2025): Humane work design: How does the digitization of work change core work characteristics in different occupations? In: Zeitschrift für Arbeitswissenschaft, Jg. 79, H. 4, S. 569-580. DOI:10.1007/s41449-025-00491-4

Abstract

"Wenn vermehrt digitale Tools eingesetzt werden und Arbeit im Homeoffice stattfindet, verändern sich Arbeitsbedingungen. Der vorliegende Beitrag analysiert diese Veränderungen anhand von 8 Fällen und arbeitet Gemeinsamkeiten und Unterschiede heraus. Die Prognose von Lernen, Wohlbefinden und Arbeitsleistung erlaubt es, Fehlentwicklungen in der Arbeitsgestaltungen abzuschätzen.Praktische Relevanz: Durch Aufmerksamkeit auf mögliche Fehlentwicklungen können Gegenmaßnahmen getroffen werden, etwa zur Verbesserung der Kommunikation und sozialen Unterstützung bei ortsverteilter Arbeit, oder der angepassten Gestaltung von KI-Systemen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Okur, Fatih & Enes Özdemir (2025): Artificial intelligence, automation and employment dynamics: empirical evidence from G7 economies. In: Journal of Economic Studies, S. 1-17. DOI:10.1108/jes-06-2025-0414

Abstract

"Purpose: This study examines how the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and automation affects employment dynamics across G7 economies. While previous research has often focused on either AI or robotics in isolation, their combined and long-term effects on employment remain poorly understood. Addressing this gap is crucial for policymakers seeking to balance technological progress with labor market stability. Design/methodology/approach: Using a balanced panel dataset covering 2010–2024 for the G7 countries, thestudy investigates the relationships between AI investment (proxied by information and communication technology (ICT) investment), robot density (ROBOT), wages, productivity (PRD) and education spending (EDU), and their impact on employment. The analysis employs panel unit root and cross-sectional dependence tests, a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) framework estimated via the pooled mean group (PMG) estimator, and robustness checks using Driscoll–Kraay fixed effects, common correlatedeffects (CCE) estimators, country-specific regressions and Dumitrescu –Hurlin panel causality tests. Findings: The results reveal that AI investment has a significant negative effect on employment in the long run, whereas ROBOT shows a positive but context-dependent relationship. Wage levels are negatively associated with employment, while PRD shows only a modest positive influence. Education expenditure exhibits mixed behavior – positive in the short run but negative in the long run – suggesting potential misalignment with evolving labor market needs. Causality tests confirm a unidirectional link from AI investment to employment, underscoring its structural role in labor market change. Research limitations/implications: This study is limited by data availability, particularly the lack of detailed sectoral or occupational breakdowns across countries. As a result, it cannot fully capture the distributional effects of AI and automation across different worker groups. The use of proxies, such as ICT investment for AI, may not reflect the full scope of AI deployment. Despite these limitations, the findings highlight important macro-level dynamics and suggest that technological investments significantly shape employment trends. Future research should utilize micro-level data to explore sector-specific impacts, wage effects and labor force transitions in response to digital transformation. Practical implications: The findings suggest that without targeted policy interventions, increased AI investment may displace workers in the long run. Policymakers should prioritize reskilling, adapt education systems to evolving technological needs, and differentiate strategies across sectors and worker skill levels. Social implications: This study highlights the potential for AI and automation to reshape labor markets, with implications for income distribution, job security and social cohesion. The displacement of routine jobs may disproportionately affect low-skilled and vulnerable workers, increasing the risk of inequality and social exclusion. To prevent deepening divides, social policies must focus on equitable access to education, digital literacy and lifelong learning. Supporting workforce adaptability through inclusive training programs and social safety nets is essential. The results underscore the urgent need for collaborative efforts between governments, educational institutions and industries to ensure a socially sustainable digital transformation. Originality/value: This study is among the first to jointly analyze AI and robotics within a dynamic panel framework, offering new cross-country evidence on their heterogeneous employment effects in advanced economies. By integrating multiple estimation strategies and country-specific perspectives, the paper contributes to a more nuanced understanding of how technological transformation reshapes labor markets and highlights the institutional conditions that mediate these effects." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © EmeraldGroup) ((en))

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Omri, Anis, Henda Omri & Hatem Afi (2025): Exploring the impact of AI on unemployment for people with disabilities: do educational attainment and governance matter? In: Frontiers in Public Health, Jg. 13. DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2025.1559101

Abstract

"The current study investigates the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on unemployment among people with disabilities, focusing on the mediating role of education and the moderating effect of governance quality. Using panel data from 27 high-tech developed countries between 2006 and 2022, the findings reveal a nuanced relationship where AI initially increases unemployment among people with disabilities due to automation and skill mismatches. However, advanced education mitigates this effect, significantly improving employability by equipping individuals with market-relevant skills. Governance quality plays a critical role in this dynamic, amplifying AI’s positive impact on education while, paradoxically, intensifying its negative effects on unemployment when governance frameworks are weak or misaligned. These findings underscore the importance of robust governance structures and targeted educational initiatives to harness AI’s potential in fostering inclusive labor markets. Policymakers should align AI investments with governance reforms and education systems to ensure equitable employment opportunities for people with disabilities." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Otoiu, Adrian, Emilia Titan, Dorel Paraschiv & Daniela-Ioana Manea (2025): Job polarisation OR AND upgrading! Recent evidence from Europe. In: The Economic and Labour Relations Review, Jg. 36, H. 1, S. 257-270. DOI:10.1017/elr.2025.12

Abstract

"Based on recent evidence from Europe, the paper shows that polarization and upgrading are not mutually exclusive trends, but rather, simultaneously defined recent structural changes in employment. The results show that (a) the occupational structure shows a general shift towards high-skill jobs, (b) the prevailing upgrading patterns are often accompanied by job polarization, as the share of middle-skill jobs declines in most cases, and (c) while low-skill employment often outperforms middle-skill jobs, it has tended to decline. In addition to analysing trends for EU-27 countries with different levels of development for the latest available time periods, the article also shows that occupational upgrading patterns are rather intertwined with job polarisation and are compatible with both the Skill-Biased Technical Change (SBTC) and Routine-Biaszd Technical Change (RBTC) hypotheses. The employment dynamics of low-skill workers are uncertain, as they are not fully compatible with any theoretical model, thus pointing to the need for a finer understanding of changes in occupational structure, and the extent to which both polarization and upgrading are shaping the evolution of the labor force structure under the impact of (ongoing) technological change." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Ottaiano, Mario Michael, Lea Schneidemesser & Florian Butollo (2025): Künstliche Intelligenz und Erfahrungswissen. Zur Formalisierbarkeit und Delokalisierung von Facharbeit. In: Arbeit. Zeitschrift für Arbeitsforschung, Arbeitsgestaltung und Arbeitspolitik, Jg. 34, H. 4, S. 275-298. DOI:10.1515/arbeit-2025-0015

Abstract

"Der Beitrag untersucht aus arbeitssoziologischer Perspektive, wie der Einsatz von KI-Systemen in der prädiktiven Instandhaltung (PdM) die Bedeutung von Erfahrungswissen im Arbeitsprozess verändert und wie sich die Zusammenarbeit zwischen KI-Anwender- und KI-Anbieterunternehmen gestaltet. Die Fallstudie in einem Unternehmen der Papierindustrie zeigt, dass die Grenze der Formalisierbarkeit von Erfahrungswissen in der Instandhaltungsarbeit graduell ausgeweitet werden kann, wobei das domänenspezifische Wissen der Beschäftigten weiterhin eine wichtige Rolle für die Verbesserung der Software und die Interpretation der gewonnenen Daten spielt. Weil die Einführung des KI-Systems auch eine Delokalisierung von Wissen ermöglicht, kommt es zugleich zu einer konfliktträchtigen Verschiebung der Kompetenzen vom Anwenderunternehmen zum Softwareanbieter." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Parent-Thirion, Agnes, Nora Wukovits-Votzi & Jessye Muller (2025): Future-oriented occupations in the EU. Main features, employment conditions, and job strain. 51 S. DOI:10.2767/2953537

Abstract

"The way we work is changing due to developments associated with the digital and green transition as well as demographic change, as a driver of current and future labour shortages. As these transitions impact job content, tasks and processes, they will change how people work, the skills needed to carry out jobs, employment conditions, and, ultimately, dimensions of their job quality. These transition-related changes in occupations are of high relevance for workers, job applicants, and students training to join these occupations, as well as stakeholders, and policy makers, at the sectoral, national, and European levels. While their impacts are separately treated in this analysis, the green and digital transitions can further exacerbate labour shortages given the skill profiles required by related occupations." (Text excerpt, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Parfitt, Harry & Ercüment Çelik (2025): Logistics platforms’ ‘new’ mode of appropriation? An analysis of four trends from inside Germany’s Q-commerce sector. In: Work Organisation, Labour and Globalisation, Jg. 19, H. 2, S. 261-277. DOI:10.13169/workorgalaboglob.19.2.0009

Abstract

"This article investigates the ‘newness’ of platformized logistics labor through an ethnographic study of a Q-Commerce platform – ‘Smart Groceries’ – in Germany. Because conditions at ‘Smart Groceries’ seemed comparatively good, the authors were forced to question the centrality of ‘gigification’ to platform logistics labor. The article draws on participant observation and 16 in-depth interviews with workers and suggests that logistics platforms’ ‘new’ mode of harnessing labor to capital represents an intertwining of four trends: algorithmic management, flexibilization, the ‘explosion’ of the factory and the incorporation of migrant labor. These trends foster alienation, precarity, fragmentation and exploitation, respectively." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Peeters, Maria C. W., Jan Fekke Ybema, Pascale M. Le Blanc & Judith Plomp (2025): Exploring the delicate relation between technological innovations and work quality: A study among civil servants. In: Economic and Industrial Democracy, Jg. 46, H. 3, S. 851-873. DOI:10.1177/0143831x251347151

Abstract

"This study explores the delicate relation between technological innovations and work quality. It was conducted across various parts of the Dutch central government. The authors assessed how civil servants perceive changes in job demands, job resources and some relevant outcomes following the implementation of new technologies. Data were collected through an online Technology Monitor (TM) which was (at least partly) completed by 332 respondents. Results showed that employees perceived significant increases in various job demands, alongside a modest increase in the job resource autonomy after technology implementation. Additionally, civil servants who experienced more autonomy following new technology implementation reported higher levels of both work engagement and employability. In contrast, perceptions of increased workload were associated with more burnout symptoms. Interestingly, perceived increases in task variation were associated with fewer burnout symptoms, lower job insecurity and higher work engagement. These findings offer valuable insights for managers and HR professionals involved in managing technological transitions, emphasizing the importance of employee-centered strategies to safeguard and enhance the quality of work of civil servants." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Pesole, Annarosa (2025): Algorithmic Management and the Platformisation of Work in Europe: Evidence from Spain and Germany. In: The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Jg. 68, H. 2, S. 367-394. DOI:10.1007/s41027-024-00544-y

Abstract

"This study investigates the impact of digital tools and algorithmic management on work organisation and working conditions, with a focus on the growing platformisation of work. The research focuses on three main aspects: the use of digital devices and platforms, the collection and processing of data by these platforms, and the role of algorithms in managing labour activities. Drawing on data from the AMPWork survey conducted in Spain and Germany, the analysis explores the prevalence and effects of digital monitoring and algorithmic management within traditional and platform work settings. Findings highlight the significant diffusion of digital tools and reveal that over two-thirds of workers use such technologies in their tasks. However, the extent of platformisation varies by occupation, sector, and digital tool usage. The findings reveal that a significant number of workers now rely on digital devices in their daily tasks, with digital monitoring and algorithmic management prevalent across various work environments. The survey highlights higher levels of platformisation among clerks and operators in high-tech industries, knowledge-intensive services, and public administration. Additionally, remote workers or those operating outside traditional employer premises are more likely to experience platformisation. While the use of platforms can lead to more structured and efficient work procedures, it also introduces challenges, such as increased monotony and stress, suggesting a complex relationship between platformisation and job satisfaction. This study underscores the transformative impact of platformisation on the nature of work, calling attention to the need for further research and policy consideration. The findings emphasise the importance of addressing the implications of digital labour platforms and algorithmic management for job quality, economic value, and the evolving landscape of employment in the digital era. Indeed, the study confirms that the integration of algorithmic management and surveillance technologies in the workplace poses significant risks to workers’ privacy, datarights, freedom of association, and overall well-being. These practices can erode working conditions and harm mental and physical health. Addressing these issues requires strict regulation of intrusive surveillance and the development of a comprehensive policy framework for algorithmic management and digital monitoring." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Pialli, Guido (2025): Benign effects of technological change on the labour share: evidence from European regions. In: Cambridge Journal of Economics, Jg. 49, H. 4, S. 795-824. DOI:10.1093/cje/beaf021

Abstract

"The labor share across European regions has shown significant variation since the late 1990s. This paper explores the role of technological change in explaining this regional variation. Specifically, this paper proposes and tests the hypothesis that the recent shift in technological change is labor-intensive, driven by a localized, bottom-up process that exploits the skills and learning processes of the workforce. The empirical analysis, using data from 171 European regions over the period 1999–2015, supports the theoretical framework, showing that technological change has a positive and economically significant impact on the labor share." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Pieterson, Willem (2025): Opportunities of AI within PES processes and services. PES Network Report exploring PES experiences, best practices and emerging business value. Luxemburg: Publications Office of the European Union, 67 S. DOI:10.2767/84293

Abstract

"Artificial intelligence (AI), as a branch of advanced data analytics, is a rapidly evolving field. The release of Chat Generative Pretrained Transformer (ChatGPT) in 2022 and the many tools and applications using Generative AI (GenAI) highlight new possibilities. Many governments and public sector agencies are interested in how AI can transform their processes and client services – Public Employment Services (PES) are no exception. An Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) study in 2022 suggests that most PES are now showing concrete interest in adopting AI: nearly 40% of PES are looking into AI tools or tools using other types of advanced analytics (AA) to support jobseeker profiling, while more than 40% see the potential of AI for job matching or career services, such as identifying skill gaps. (…) This report compiles a more complete overview of existing and planned AI practices across European PES. It analyses their outcomes, the challenges PES face, and the context in which these developments take place." (Text excerpt, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Pouliakas, Konstantinos, Giulia Santangelo & Paul Dupire (2025): Are artificial intelligence skills a reward or a gamble? Deconstructing the AI wage premium in Europe. In: Eurasian business review, Jg. 15, H. 4, S. 1091-1128. DOI:10.1007/s40821-025-00302-0

Abstract

"Understanding the labor market impact of new, autonomous digital technologies, particularly generative or other forms of artificial intelligence (AI), is currently at the top of the research and policy agenda. Many initial studies, though not all, have shown that there is a wage premium to mostly technical AI skills in labor markets. Such evidence tends to draw on data from web-based sources and typically fails to provide insight into the mechanisms underlying the AI wage gap. This paper utilizes representative adult workforce data from 29 European countries, the second European skills and jobs survey, to examine wage differentials of the AI programmer workforce. The latter is uniquely identified as part of the workforce that writes computer programs using AI algorithms. The analysis shows that, on average, AI programmers enjoy a significant wage premium relative to a comparably educated or skilled workforce, such as programmers who do not yet write code using AI at work. Wage decomposition analysis further illustrates that there is a large unexplained component of such wage differential. Part of AI programmers’ larger wage variability can however be attributed to higher job-skill requirements, a propensity for remote work and a greater performance-based component in wage schedules. This indicates differences in the job design and performance management of the AI workforce." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Pouliakas, Konstantinos & Giulia Santangelo (2025): Are Artificial Intelligence (AI) Skills a Reward or a Gamble? Deconstructing the AI Wage Premium in Europe. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17607), Bonn, 33 S.

Abstract

"Understanding the labor market impact of new, autonomous digital technologies, particularly generative or other forms of artificial intelligence (AI), is currently at the top of the research and policy agenda. Many initial studies, though not all, have shown that there is a wage premium to AI skills in labor markets. Such evidence tends to draw on data from web-based sources and typically deploys a keyword approach for identifying AI skills. This paper utilizes representative adult workforce data from 29 European countries, the second European skills and jobs survey, to examine wage differentials of the AI developer workforce. The latter is uniquely identified as part of the workforce that writes programs using AI algorithms. The analysis shows that, on average, AI developers enjoy a significant wage premium relative to a comparably educated or skilled workforce, such as programmers who do not yet write code using AI at work. Wage decomposition analysis further illustrates that there is a large unexplained component of such wage differential. Part of AI programmers' larger wage variability can be attributed to a greater performance-based component in their wage schedules and higher job-skill requirements." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Procentese, Fortuna, Flora Gatti & Emiliano Ceglie (2025): Technostress and work-family interface in the face of COVID-19-related remote work: the moderator role of goals setting and prioritization skills. In: Community, work & family, Jg. 28, H. 2, S. 272-290. DOI:10.1080/13668803.2023.2247147

Abstract

"During the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic, in Italy, a nationwide lockdown required a massive shift to remote work – that is, from workers’ houses. The risk of conflict between work and family domains increased due to the collapse of both into private houses and may have been further burdened due to no training being issued to help workers adjust to these changes in their work activities, producing higher rates of technostress. This study deepens the impact of technostress creators on the conflicts between work and family domains and the role of workers’ goal setting and prioritization skills as moderators easing these relationships. Data were gathered from 375 remote workers during the Italian nationwide lockdown using an online questionnaire. Results show that higher scores in technostress creators positively associate with both work-to-family and family-to-work conflicts and the former relationship becomes stronger as workers’ planning skills increase. They highlight the need to consider the pitfalls of remote work, as it can also have detrimental effects on workers’ family and relational life, and to find a better balance between work and family domains from a systemic perspective." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Rabensteiner, Thomas & Alexander Guschanski (2025): Occupational Autonomy and Wage Divergence: Evidence From European Survey Data. In: BJIR, Jg. 63, H. 4, S. 696-713. DOI:10.1111/bjir.70003

Abstract

"Wages across occupations in Western Europe have diverged, resulting in increased wage inequality. However, existing theories such as routine-biased technological change (RBTC) or task offshoring fail to explain this trend. We propose a new explanation based on occupational autonomy. Autonomy measures workers' control and influence over their work process based on the tasks required in an occupation. Analysing individual-level data from the EU Survey of Income and Living Conditions, we reveal a rising autonomy wage premium, that is, higher wage growth for occupations with higher autonomy, which accurately predicts the observed occupational wage divergence. We also find that the autonomy premium increases more rapidly in countries and industries with greater employee monitoring and outsourcing, as well as in countries with declining minimum wages. These findings imply that low-autonomy occupations have been disadvantaged by recent socioeconomic trends that have altered power relations in the workplace. Notably, our analysis does not support previous explanations for occupational wage trends based on RBTC or task offshoring." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Rehmer, Sabine, Holger Muehlan, Maren Menzel, Maike Juds, Michael Fellmann, Hitesh Dhiman & Carsten Röcker (2025): Die Hybridisierung von menschlichen und technischen Arbeitsleistungen mit Künstlicher Intelligenz als neuer Leittechnologie: Entwicklungen, Implikationen und Potenziale für menschengerechte Arbeit. In: Zeitschrift für Arbeitswissenschaft, Jg. 79, H. 4, S. 525-533. DOI:10.1007/s41449-025-00489-y

Abstract

"Der Artikel untersucht die Hybridisierung menschlicher und technischer Arbeitsleistungen im Kontext Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) als neuer Leittechnologie und analysiert ihre Entwicklungen, Implikationen und Potenziale für eine menschengerechte Arbeitsgestaltung. Ausgehend von der Beobachtung, dass KI zunehmend kognitive Tätigkeiten transformiert, wird mit dem Konzept des „Hybrid Man“ ein neues Menschenbild skizziert, das die enge Verschränkung von menschlicher und maschineller Intelligenz beschreibt. Damit einher gehen tiefgreifende Herausforderungen: Die Grenzen zwischen menschlicher und technischer Leistung verschwimmen, Verantwortungsfragen und rechtliche Unsicherheiten entstehen, während zugleich neue Anforderungen an Kompetenzen wie „AI Literacy“ sichtbar werden. Ebenso rücken Fragen nach Transparenz, Erklärbarkeit und Akzeptanz von KI-Systemen in den Vordergrund, die für Vertrauen und nachhaltige Integration entscheidend sind. Neben den Chancen zur Entlastung und Erweiterung menschlicher Fähigkeiten birgt die Hybridisierung Risiken wie Überwachungsdruck, Anpassungsstress und negative psychische Beanspruchungen. Vor diesem Hintergrund schlägt der Artikel mit dem Konzept des eudaimonischen Wohlbefindens („Eudaimonia“) ein normatives Kriterium für die Gestaltung zukünftiger Arbeit vor, das Wachstum, Sinnhaftigkeit, Authentizität und Exzellenz fördert. Ziel ist eine interdisziplinär fundierte, menschengerechte Arbeitswelt, die die Potenziale von KI nutzbar macht, ohne die psychische Gesundheit, Selbstwirksamkeit und Würde der Beschäftigten zu gefährden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Ribeiro, Marcos J. & Klaus Prettner (2025): The Skill Premium Across Countries in the Era of Industrial Robots and Generative AI. (Department of Economics working paper / Vienna University of Economics and Business 381), Wien, 29 S.

Abstract

"How do new technologies affect economic growth and the skill premium? To answer this question, we analyze the impact of industrial robots and artificial intelligence (AI) on the wage differential between low-skill and high-skill workers across 52 countries using counterfactual simulations. In so doing, we extend the nested CES production function framework of Bloom et al. (2025) to account for cross-country income heterogeneity. Confirming prior findings, we Show that the use of industrial robots tends to increase wage inequality, while the use of AI tends to reduce it. Our contribution lies in documenting substantial heterogeneity across income groups: the inequality-increasing effect of robots and the inequality-reducing effects of AI are particularly strong in high-income countries, while they are less pronounced among middle- and lower-middle income countries. In addition, we show that both technologies boost economic growth. In terms of policy recommendations, our findings suggest that investments in education and skill-upgrading can simultaneously raise average incomes and mitigate the negative effects of automation on wage inequality." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Riccio, Federico, Jacopo Staccioli & Maria Enrica Virgillito (2025): European regional employment and exposure to labour-saving technical change: results from a direct text similarity measure. (LEM working paper series / Laboratory of Economics and Management 2025/19), Pisa, 34 S. DOI:10.57838/sssa/02jp-b197

Abstract

"Does labor-saving technological change pose a threat to European employment, and if so, to what extent? This study investigates the degree of employment exposure to labor-saving technological change across NUTS-2 regions in Europe. We construct a cross-walked metric between the SOC and ISCO classification systems to adapt the direct measure of occupational exposure developed by Montobbio et al. (2024) for the US economy and apply it to the European context. This methodology enables us to generate detailed insights into the exposure of European occupations by leveraging the similarity rankings between technological classifications in the USPTO (CPCs) and task descriptions. To evaluate the transmission from occupational exposure to employment outcomes, we utilise data from the European Structure of Earnings Survey (EU-SES), thereby constructing exposure indices at both sectoral and regional levels. Finally, we examine the industrial and geographical diffusion of labor-saving technological change in recent years and provide robust econometric evidence indicating that low-wage regions, as well as deindustrialising areas heavily integrated into global value chains, are disproportionately vulnerable to the threat of substitution." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Richiardi, Matteo Guido, Leonie Westhoff, Caterina Astarita, Ekkehard Ernst, Clare Fenwick, Neysan Khabirpour & Lorenzo Pelizzari (2025): The impact of a decade of digital transformation on employment, wages, and inequality in the EU: a “conveyor belt” hypothesis. In: Socio-economic review, Jg. 23, H. 3, S. 1225-1251. DOI:10.1093/ser/mwaf011

Abstract

"We study the effects of digital transformation in the European Union on individual employment outcomes, wage growth, and income inequality, during the decade 2010–9. Our results allow us to formulate a ‘conveyor-belt’ hypothesis suggesting that employment confers a competitive advantage in navigating the digital transition due to the accumulation of pertinent skills in the workplace. Because digital skills are acquired with the changing demands of the job, their initial endowment matters less for the employed than for the non-employed. Furthermore, the ability of out-of-work individuals with higher digital skills to jump back on the labour market is reduced for those with higher education, suggesting a faster depreciation of their digital skills. A similar effect, although of limited size, is found for earning growth: out-of-work individuals with higher digital skills are not only more likely to find a job, but experience higher earnings growth, compared to their peers with lower digital skills. Our results point to a vulnerability of workers ‘left behind’ from the digital transformation and the labour market. The overall effects on inequality are, however, limited." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Sargent, Kristina & Jue Wang (2025): A one way ticket to gig? In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Jg. 239. DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107253

Abstract

"We propose a search and matching model to explore the labor market implications of a growing gig economy. The economy has conventional and gig sectors, with workers searching in both. Some workers never consider gig employment, and others do under certain conditions. Workers are allowed to work in both sectors at the same time if they prefer. Workers match with gig positions with probability one, but gig workers face a wage penalty and matching frictions in the conventional sector. As a result, gig work serves as an alternative to unemployment, the gig sector absorbs labor market slack from the conventional sector, but the choice to engage in the gig economy comes at a cost to workers. By comparing the implications of the model under various levels of exposure to the gig economy, we explore the nature of the sector and the opportunities and consequences that come with it. The benchmark model provides insights into the rise of the gig economy, highlighting its impact on workers and the segmentation of the labor markets. While the presence of the gig sector opens up new job opportunities, potential welfare implications from the existence of the gig sector and its frictions are estimated to range from a benefit around 80% to a cost of around 20%, and directly impact up to two-thirds of the workforce relative to a standard search model with no gig sector. The costs mostly apply to workers with middle to lower productivity, and therefore have important distributional implications. Promoting a more inclusive gig economy can enable market systems to address labor market challenges while preserving their innovative and adaptive capabilities. As a case study, the gig economy highlights the balance between market efficiency and social equity, providing valuable perspectives on labor relations, creative destruction, and policy solutions grounded in market economics." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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Sartori, Laura & Clementine Collett (2025): Sociotechnical imaginaries of social inequality in the design and use of AI recruitment technology. In: European Societies, Jg. 27, H. 3, S. 409-432. DOI:10.1162/euso_a_00035

Abstract

"Through interviewing 12 companies in Italy which either design (vendors) or use (clients) AI recruitment technology systems, we explore how these companies perceive their systems to interact with issues of social inequality and how these perceptions, in practice, carry societal impacts. Three sociotechnical imaginaries (Jasanoff and Kim, 2015) were consistently embedded within these companies’ visions of this intersection: the third eye, the river, and the car bonnet. Through critically analyzing these imaginaries, we find that they exhibit an overriding desire for productivity and talent capture from clients, and a consequential de-prioritization of addressing social inequality and scrutinizing the ways it could be reproduced from both vendors and clients. It demonstrates that the current ‘desired’ futures, shown by the sociotechnical imaginaries which vendors and clients share for AI-tec-tech are really leading us towards an ‘undesirable’ future of hiring which continues to perpetuate social inequality. This study contributes one of the first pieces of empirical work to simultaneously assess the perceptions of AI-rec-tech vendors ’ and clients’ surrounding social inequality, to shed light on the priorities for design and the motivations for usage, and to reflect upon how this impacts society. This is a significant and original contribution to the evolving body of literature on AI-rec-tech in sociology, critical data studies, and communications." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Schaal, Jacob (2025): A theory-based AI automation exposure index: Applying Moravec's Paradox to the US labor market. (arXiv papers), 33 S. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.2510.13369

Abstract

"This paper develops a theory-driven automation exposure index based on Moravec's Paradox. Scoring 19,000 O*NET tasks on performance variance, tacit knowledge, data abundance, and algorithmic gaps reveals that management, STEM, and sciences occupations show the highest exposure. In contrast, maintenance, agriculture, and construction show the lowest. The positive relationship between wages and exposure challenges the notion of skill-biased technological change if AI substitutes for workers. At the same time, tacit knowledge exhibits a positive relationship with wages consistent with seniority-biased technological change. This index identifies fundamental automatability rather than current capabilities, while also validating the AI annotation method pioneered by Eloundou et al. (2024) with a correlation of 0.72. The non-positive relationship with pre-LLM indices suggests a paradigm shift in automation patterns." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Schneemann, Christian, Florian Bernardt, Michael Kalinowski, Tobias Maier, Gerd Zika & Marc Ingo Wolter (2025): Auswirkungen des Strukturwandels auf die Arbeitsmarktregionen und Bundesländer in der langen Frist – Qualifikations- und Berufsprojektion bis 2040. (IAB-Forschungsbericht 03/2025), Nürnberg, 46 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FB.2503

Abstract

"Die Bundesländer und die Arbeitsmarktregionen in Deutschland unterscheiden sich in ihrer Bevölkerungs- und Wirtschaftsstruktur, weshalb sie auch unterschiedliche Arbeitskräfteengpässe und -überhänge aufweisen. Aufgrund ihrer verschiedenartigen Entwicklungen werden auch künftig Unterschiede im Arbeitsmarktgeschehen bestehen. Mit Hilfe des sogenannten QuBe-Modellverbundes (8. Welle der QuBe-Basisprojektion) werden langfristige immanente Megatrends wie die demografische Entwicklung, der wirtschaftliche Strukturwandel und die Digitalisierung im Modell selbst erfasst und die Auswirkungen auf Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt sichtbar gemacht. Die Analyse zeigt, dass sich die wirtschaftliche Lage in Deutschland nicht wie in der Vergangenheit durch positive Entwicklungen im Außenhandel erholen wird. Das zukünftige Handeln der USA, China und Russlands ist schwer abzuschätzen und erhöht die Unsicherheit auf dem Weltmarkt. Zudem wird das künftige Arbeitsmarktgeschehen zu einem großen Teil von der demografischen Entwicklung, dem stetigen strukturellen Wandel (z.B. Digitalisierung im Handel) und der schwächeren Nachfrage im Baugewerbe geprägt. So wird das Arbeitskräfteangebot infolge des Bevölkerungsrückgangs in vielen Bundesländern und Arbeitsmarktregionen bis zum Jahr 2040 sinken. Zwar können einige Arbeitsmarktregionen noch Bevölkerung aufbauen, aber die Bevölkerung im erwerbsfähigen Alter wird in allen abnehmen. Infolgedessen wird auch der Arbeitskräftebedarf fast überall sinken. Insgesamt wird in vielen Bundesländern und Arbeitsmarktregionen die Erwerbslosenquote sinken oder nahezu stabil bleiben, so dass dort trotz der schlechteren konjunkturellen Entwicklung weiterhin mit Engpässen in verschiedenen Wirtschaftsbereichen und Berufen zu rechnen ist. Die Rekrutierung von Arbeitskräften dürfte somit in vielen Wirtschaftsbereichen und Regionen langfristig zunehmend schwieriger werden. Der Bedarf an qualifiziertem Personal im Wirtschaftszweig „Heime und Sozialwesen“ oder im Bereich der IT-Dienstleistungen wächst kontinuierlich. Dies alles geschieht vor dem Hintergrund eines wohl eher noch beschleunigten Strukturwandels, der gerade die Bundesländer und Arbeitsmarktregionen schon jetzt vor große Herausforderungen stellt, in denen das Verarbeitende Gewerbe zum Beispiel die Automobilindustrie nach wie vor überdurchschnittlich. Die fortschreitende Digitalisierung und Dekarbonisierung erfordern eine permanente Modernisierung und Innovationsfähigkeit der deutschen Wirtschaft. Gerade die ökologische Transformation ist stark auf Erwerbstätige im Baugewerbe angewiesen. Eine Qualifizierung in diesem Bereich bleibt deshalb wichtig, weil die Rekrutierungssituation für Unternehmen trotz der langfristig vermutlich zurückgehenden Erwerbstätigkeit im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen auch in Zukunft schwierig sein wird. Die Umsetzung zusätzlich notwendiger Investitionen im Zuge dieser Transformation sollte nicht an fehlenden Fachkräften scheitern." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Seele, Stefanie & Oliver Stettes (2025): KI-Nähe im Job zahlt sich aus. (IW-Kurzberichte / Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft Köln 2025,45), Köln, 3 S.

Abstract

"Beschäftigte, deren Aufgaben eine Nähe zu den Anwendungspotenzialen von Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) aufweisen, erhalten höhere Tagesentgelte als Beschäftigte in KI-fernen Tätigkeiten. Sie wechseln zudem seltener den Betrieb und haben seltener längere Arbeitslosigkeitsperioden. Die Sorge vor einer zunehmenden Verbreitung von KI im Arbeitsalltag scheint bisher unbegründet." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Shaiwalini, Shipra & Subhendu Patnaik (2025): Unpacking the gig economy: key enablers and barriers for gig work – a systematic review and future research directions. In: Personnel Review, S. 1-28. DOI:10.1108/pr-09-2024-0829

Abstract

"Purpose: This study systematically reviews and synthesizes existing literature on gig work to identify its key enablers and barriers. With the rise of algorithmically managed digital platforms, gig work faces unique challenges. The review aims to offer insights and guide future research on this evolving labour market segment. Design/methodology/approach Using Urie Bronfenbrenner’s Ecological Systems framework, this study systematically reviews 83 research articles from leading journals over the past two decades. The framework helps organize and analyse the factors influencing gig work at various levels. Findings The review identifies upskilling opportunities and peer-to-peer networks facilitated by digital technologies as key enablers, while gaps in worker protections and regulatory oversight are significant barriers. Gaps in current research, particularly on the long-term impacts of gig work, are also highlighted. Practical implications The findings inform policymakers, platform managers and gig workers, providing strategies to address the evolving challenges of gig work. Policymakers can craft balanced regulations, while platforms can improve worker satisfaction and performance. Originality/value This study offers a novel contribution by applying Bronfenbrenner’s framework to synthesize gig work research. It provides a structured analysis of enablers and barriers and lays the foundation for future research in this field." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Emerald Group) ((en))

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Smerdon, David, Samuel Pearson & Sabina Albrecht (2025): Physical proximity drives gay discrimination in the gig economy. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Jg. 122, H. 11. DOI:10.1073/pnas.2412362122

Abstract

"Despite legal protections, discrimination based on sexual orientation remains difficult to detect and measure in labor markets. We present evidence from a field experiment (N = 1,128) conducted in Australia on a major gig economy platform that allows users to outsource everyday tasks. By manipulating both the sexual orientation of job posters (gay vs. straight male) and physical proximity requirements of tasks (inside vs. outside the home), we identify discrimination against gay profiles and demonstrate a specific mechanism for its emergence: physical proximity. Gay profiles received fewer offers and less engagement, and attracted workers with significantly lower quality ratings, but only for tasks requiring close physical proximity. Additional exploratory analysis further suggests that the results are driven by an anti-gay bias rather than an anti-men or pro-women bias and that discrimination is stronger for tasks with a higher degree of interaction between worker and job poster. Our findings demonstrate how digital labor platforms can perpetuate traditional forms of discrimination, while shedding light on physical proximity as one important mechanism. These results have important implications for users of the gig economy, a sector of increasing importance due to its rapid growth and comparatively lax regulatory frameworks." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Stanton, Christopher T. & Catherine Thomas (2025): Who Benefits from Online Gig Economy Platforms? In: The American economic review, Jg. 115, H. 6, S. 1857-1895. DOI:10.1257/aer.20221189

Abstract

"Online labor platforms for short-term remote work have many more job seekers than available jobs. Despite their relative abundance, workers capture a substantial share of the surplus from transactions. We draw this conclusion from demand estimates that imply workers’wages include significant markups over costs and a survey that validates our surplus estimates. Workers retain a significant share of the surplus because demand-side search frictions and worker differentiation reduce direct competition. Finally, we show that applying traditional employment regulations to online gig economy platforms would lower job posting and hiring rates, reducing aggregate surplus for all market participants, including workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Storm, Eduard, Myrielle Gonschor & Marc Justin Schmidt (2025): AI in Demand: How Expertise Shapes its (Early) Impact on Workers. (Ruhr economic papers 1185), Essen, 46 S. DOI:10.4419/96973370

Abstract

"We study how artificial intelligence (AI) affects workers' earnings and employment stability, combining German job vacancy data with administrative records from 2017-2023. Identification comes from changes in workers' exposure to local AI skill demand over time, instrumented with national demand trends. We find no meaningful displacement or productivity effects on average, but notable skill heterogeneity: expert workers with deep domain knowledge gain while non-experts often lose, with returns shaped by occupational task structures. We also document AI-driven reinstatement effects toward analytic and interactive tasks that raise earnings. Overall, our results imply distributional concerns but also job-augmenting potential of early AI technologies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Stöckl, Andreas & Olaf Struck (2025): Continuous vocational education and training and new technologies: on the importance of educational level and technology in the workplace. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 59. DOI:10.1186/s12651-025-00398-x

Abstract

"Continuing vocational education and training (CVET) can support technical and digital developments. At the same time, company-based training increases employability in the face of technical rationalization. Multiple studies show that the highly qualified undertake further training more often than the less qualified. This increases their educational and employment inequality. However, it is unclear whether this general finding also applies to participation in CVET when new technologies are introduced in companies. Companies could have an interest in the deployment of all their employees. The introduction of new technologies in a company context could lead to people with professional qualifications as well as those with higher qualifications taking part in CVET. Using the Linked Personnel Panel (LPP) and the IAB Establishment Panel, we investigate whether the participation of employees with university-level education and upper secondary vocational education differ if the participation in CVET is attributed directly to the introduction of technology in the workplace. The outcomes show that the more highly qualified use forms of self-study more frequently. However, there are only marginal differences between highly qualified and professionally qualified employees when it comes to the use of courses as part of in-house training." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Sztandar-Sztanderska, Karolina (2025): How context matters: Human oversight of automated decision-making systems in welfare administration. In: Journal of European Social Policy, S. 1-15. DOI:10.1177/09589287251358069

Abstract

"This article examines the capacity of frontline staff to oversee automated decision-making (ADM) systems, which are increasingly used in digital welfare states to make life-altering decisions. While prior research had focused on cognitive limitations that lead to human over-reliance on ADM, the role of contextual factors that also shape caseworkers’ supervisory activities has neither been conceptualized, nor systematically investigated. To address this gap, we develop an analytical framework for the context-sensitive study of frontline oversight, inspired by the street-level bureaucracy perspective and human–computer interaction studies. We also demonstrate the framework’s relevance through findings from a mixed-methods study of a profiling algorithm used by Public Employment Services in Poland. We identify four types of factors – policy-, organization-, professionalism-, and technology-related – that effectively shape frontline oversight. Our findings also have practical implications, as the inclusion of humans in the decision-making loop is a central element of regulatory efforts aimed at protecting individuals from algorithmic harms." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Teutloff, Ole & Fabian Braesemann (2025): Resilienz statt Reskilling: Wie KI den Arbeitsmarkt verändert und wie wir darauf reagieren müssen. Teil des Zeitgesprächs: "Beschäftigung im Wandel: Wie KI, Demografie und Institutionen den Arbeitsmarkt verändern". In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Jg. 105, H. 10, S. 715-719. DOI:10.2478/wd-2025-0184

Abstract

"Generative künstliche Intelligenz (KI) verändert die Arbeitsmärkte, indem sie Aufgaben und Berufe, die Nachfrage nach Qualifikationen und die Machtverhältnisse zwischen Arbeitnehmern und Arbeitgebern verändert. Im Gegensatz zu früheren technologischen Umbrüchen betrifft KI auch Hochqualifizierte. Doch wie müssen wir darauf reagieren, wenn KI immer mehr Tätigkeiten übernehmen kann? Statt kurzfristiger Umschulungsprogramme braucht es langfristige Strategien, die die Widerstandsfähigkeit von Beschäftigten und Strukturen stärken – und so eine nachhaltige Anpassung des Arbeitsmarktes an die sich wandelnde technologische Landschaft ermöglichen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Tisch, Anita (2025): Menschengerechte Gestaltung von Arbeit in einer digitalisierten Arbeitswelt. In: Sozialmagazin H. 7/8, S. 91-97. DOI:10.3262/SM2508091

Abstract

"Die fortschreitende Digitalisierung verändert die Arbeitswelt und stellt auch das Sozialwesen vor neue Herausforderungen. Um diesen wirksam begegnen zu können und die Potenziale digitaler Technologien zu nutzen, sind klare Gestaltungsprinzipien wichtig. Der Beitrag beleuchtet, welche Bedeutung ausgewählte, von der Bundesanstalt für Arbeitsschutz und Arbeitsmedizin entwickelte Kriterien menschengerechter Arbeitsgestaltung haben." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Vasiakina, Mariia & Christian Dudel (2025): The hidden costs of technological change: investigating pathways through which highly automatable jobs undermine workers’ health in Germany. (MPIDR working paper / Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2025-032), Rostock, 29 S. DOI:10.4054/mpidr-wp-2025-032

Abstract

"The ongoing economic transformation driven by automation has significant social implications, particularly for the health and well-being of workers who face the risk of job displacement and the pressure to acquire new skills and qualifications. However, the specific pathways through which exposure to automation risk affects health outcomes remain poorly understood, and the relative contribution of each potential mechanism is still unclear. In this study, we examine the nature of the relationship between high workplace exposure to automation risk and a range of subjective health outcomes – including self-reported health, anxiety, and both physical and mental component summary scores from the SF-12 Health Survey – among workers in Germany. Using data from the German Socio-EconomicPanel (SOEP) linked with administrative records from the Occupational Panel for Germany (2014–2022), we apply the Karlson-Holm-Breen (KHB) mediation analysis method to assess whether broader indicators of economic uncertainty, alongside automation-specific factors, mediate the relationship between high automation risk and workers’ health. Our results indicate that the negative impact of high automation risk on health in Germany primarily operates through indirect pathways (related to mediators) for both genders, with the exception of physical health among male workers, where a direct negative effect is also evident. Economic concerns – particularly job insecurity and worries about one’s future financial situation – emerge as more significant mediators than automation-specific factors. Overall, our findings suggest that the mechanisms linking high automation risk to health are gender- and context-sensitive, and are shaped by broader economic conditions and workplace environments." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Vivarelli, Marco & Guillermo Arenas Diaz (2025): Innovation and employment in the era of artificial intelligence. In the face of AI revolution, concerns about possible technological unemployment should be aware of the complex and mixed employment impacts of technological change. (IZA world of labor 154,2), Bonn, o. S. DOI:10.15185/izawol.154.v2

Abstract

"The relationship between technology and employment has always been a source of concern, at least since the first industrial revolution. However, while process innovation can be job-destroying (provided that its direct labor-saving effect is not compensated through market mechanisms), product innovation can imply the emergence of new firms, new sectors, and thus new jobs (provided that its welfare effect dominates the crowding out of old products). Nowadays, the topic is even more relevant because the world economy is undergoing a new technological revolution centred on automation and the diffusion of Artificial Intelligence (AI)." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Vodă, Adina-Maria, Mihai Ciobotea, Doina Badea, Monica Roman & Marian Stan (2025): The Interactions Between Digitalization, Innovation and Employment in European Companies: Insights from a Latent Class Analysis. In: Economies, Jg. 13, H. 4. DOI:10.3390/economies13040104

Abstract

"There is increasing concern regarding the association between technological change and jobs. This study explores how different patterns of digitalization and innovation relate to job creation in European companies. We use data from the European Company Survey 2019 collected by Eurofound and Cedefop. We apply Latent Class Analysis (LCA) to identify the typologies of companies, mainly based on their level of technology adoption, innovation practices and employment patterns. We showcase four distinct classes of companies: moderate adoption of digital technology and strong international orientation, traditional and local, medium digitalization, process innovative with local focus and digital leaders and innovators, with specific patterns regarding digitalization, innovation and job creation. The digital leaders and innovators class revealed a high level of digitalization and innovation and maintained stable employment levels, with increased investments in staff training and tendency towards automation. Conversely, less-digitalized traditional companies are more susceptible to stagnation or employment decline. In general, the employment outlook is stable, without significant employment growth, signaling the need for balanced investments in innovation and digitalization that stimulate more and better jobs. This is the first study to apply LCA to explore complex relationships between digitalization, innovation, foreign trade, training investments and employment trends and offers fresh insights into company views towards employment in the digital era." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Wang, Ping & Tsz-Nga Wong (2025): Artificial Intelligence and Technological Unemployment. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 33867), Cambridge, Mass, 53 S.

Abstract

"How large is the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on labor productivity and unemployment? This paper introduces a labor-search model of technological unemployment, conceptualizing the generative aspect of AI as a learning-by-using technology. AI capability improves through machine learning from workers and in turn enhances their labor productivity, but eventually displaces workers if wage renegotiation fails. Three distinct equilibria emerge: no AI, some AI with higher unemployment, or unbounded AI with sustained endogenous growth and little impact on employment. By calibrating to the U.S. data, our model predicts more than threefold improvements in productivity in some-AI steady state, alongside a long-run employment loss of 23%, with half this loss occurring over the initial five-year transition. Plausible change in parameter values could lead to global and local indeterminacy. The mechanism highlights the considerable uncertainty of AI's impacts in the presence of labor-market frictions. In the unbounded-AI equilibrium, technological unemployment would not occur. We further show that equilibria are inefficient despite adherence to the Hosios condition. By improving job-finding rate and labor productivity, the optimal subsidy to jobs facing the replacement risk of AI can generate a welfare gain from 26.6% in the short run to over 50% in the long run." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Warning, Anja (2025): Volkswirtschaftliche Perspektiven auf Künstliche Intelligenz. Rahmenbedingungen, Erwartungen, Befunde. In: Hans-Böckler-Stiftung (Hrsg.) (2025): Drei Denkwerkstätten - Neue Perspektiven für die Arbeit der Zukunft, Düsseldorf, S. 82-89.

Abstract

"KI und Generative KI bieten im aktuellen Strukturwandel hin zu einer stärker dienstleistungs- und wissensbasierten Ökonomie Möglichkeiten und Perspektiven wie keine technologische Entwicklung zuvor. Ob die erwarteten Produktivitätseffekte allerdings eintreten, hängt von verschiedenen Faktoren ab, auch von datenschutzrechtlichen Regelungen. Diese können Sicherheit bei der Nutzung von KI bedeuten, aber auch die Anwendungs- und Analysemöglichkeiten einschränken. Außerdem gilt es zu bedenken, dass KI-Anwendungen viele Aufgaben effizienter erledigen können, aber auch Energie und Ressourcen in Form von Strom, Servern, Rechenzentren und Leitungskapazität verbrauchen. So können sie die Green Economy unterstützen, belasten aber ihrerseits die Umwelt. Zudem können KI-Anwendungen zwar in Sekundenschnelle Analysen durchführen und Entscheidungen treffen, reproduzieren dabei aber vorhandenes Wissen und folgen den (Mainstream-)Denk- und Verhaltensmustern, mit denen sie trainiert wurden. Innovative und bahnbrechende Ideen werden wohl weiterhin der menschlichen Kreativität und dem menschlichen Erfindergeist vorbehalten bleiben." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

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Weber, Enzo & Gerd Zika (2025): Wegen KI könnten 800.00 Arbeitsplätze wegfallen und neu entstehen. Gastbeitrag. In: Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung H. 19.11.2025 Frankfurt am Main.

Abstract

"Wie wird KI die Arbeitswelt verändern? Eine neue Studie wagt eine Prognose. Die zentrale Botschaft: Die Zahl der Arbeitsplätze bleibt weitgehend stabil, doch die Umwälzungen dahinter werden gewaltig sein." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung)

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Weber, Enzo (2025): Wenn Ihr Job von KI betroffen ist, kann das eine große Chance sein. Gastbeitrag. In: Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung H. 12.02.2025 Frankfurt am Main.

Abstract

"Künstliche Intelligenz ersetzt immer mehr Arbeitsplätze. Sie dringt in mehr und mehr Tätigkeitsbereiche vor. Mittlerweile sind auch viele hoch qualifizierte Jobs betroffen – Ärzte, Rechtsanwältinnen, Journalisten und viele andere. Wir müssen uns diesem Wandel anpassen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung)

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Widuckel, Werner & Lutz Bellmann (2025): Nachhaltigkeit, berufliche Bildung und Personalentwicklung unter Berücksichtigung von KI. In: K. Gondlach, B. Brinkmann, M. Brinkmann & J. Plath (Eds.) (2025): Regenerative Zukünfte und künstliche Intelligenz, S. 73-82. DOI:10.1007/978-3-658-46577-3_7

Abstract

"Wie in vielen Ländern wird in Deutschland für den Klimaschutz umgebaut, um eine größere Energieeffizienz zu erreichen und mehr erneuerbare Energien einzusetzen. Es geht um nachhaltiges Wirtschaften, das nicht nur auf das Ziel der Gewinnmaximierung ausgerichtet ist, sondern auch soziale und ökologische Entwicklungsziele berücksichtigt. Betriebswirtschaftliche Vorteile wie Absatz- und Imagesteigerung, eine höhere Attraktivität als Arbeitgeber oder die Optimierung von Arbeitsabläufen sind mit höherem Gewinn und/oder niedrigeren Kosten verbunden. Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) kann z. B. in der Instandhaltung bei der Produktion, der Planung und der Qualitätssicherung mit wesentlichen Verbesserungen verbunden sein (Koch et al. 2022). Über das einzelne Unternehmen hinaus ist die gesamte Wirtschaft betroffen, die vor umwälzenden Herausforderungen wie der Dekarbonisierung von Dienstleistungs-, Produktions- und Reproduktionsprozessen, der Umstellung des Verkehrs und der Logistik oder dem Aufbau und Ausbau eines klimafreundlichen Gebäudemanagements steht (Messner 2022, S. 21)." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © Springer Nature)

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Williamson, Harry, Dermot Coates, Kevin Daly, Keith FitzGerald & Neil Gannon (2025): Occupational exposures, complementarity and the potential consequences of A.I. for the labour market: some evidence from Ireland. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 59. DOI:10.1186/s12651-025-00418-w

Abstract

"The adoption of AI technology by industry could significantly disrupt our current understanding of “typical” economic activity. As AI comes to pervade more sectors and occupations over time, it is likely that this technology will give rise to challenges and risks but also opportunities and benefits. There is, however, a significant degree of uncertainty regarding how future waves of technological change will impact the economy, including the labour market. Recent research has found that 40% of employment globally is exposed to AI and that this rises to 60% of employment in advanced economies. We analyse exposure and complementarity in tandem in order to better understand the potential impact across occupation types in Ireland. We find that Ireland is relatively more exposed to AI than is the case for other advanced economies. We also find find that female workers in Ireland are more likely to work in highly exposed roles compared to males, that younger Irish workers are more exposed to AI than are older workers, and that both exposure complementarity to AI increase in line with educational attainment. Finally, we contend that the extent to which AI augments, or replaces, human labour in the medium to long-run will depend on a variety of economic, social and policy factors, including levels of AI regulation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Winters, Jutta & Jonathan P. Latner; David Autor (interviewte Person) (2025): Does automation replace experts or augment expertise? The answer is yes (Interview). In: IAB-Forum H. 09.01.2025. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20250109.01

Abstract

"David Autor, Professor of economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), gives a Special Lecture at the IAB on 15 January 2025. In this accompanying interview, he discusses the impact of Artificial Intelligence on wages and employment, outlines the crucial role of expertise and gives insights on policy-approaches for supporting workers in rapidly changing labor markets." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Wohlrabe, Klaus (2025): Mehr KI, weniger Jobs? Was Unternehmen in Deutschland erwarten. In: ifo Schnelldienst digital, Jg. 6, H. 8, S. 1-12.

Abstract

"Die Nutzung von Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) in der deutschen Wirtschaft nimmt weiter zu – insbesondere in größeren Unternehmen. Auf Basis von Sonderfragen im Rahmen der monatlichen Konjunkturumfragen wird gezeigt: Derzeit fallen die direkten Beschäftigungseffekte von KI noch gering aus. Für die kommenden fünf Jahre wird jedoch deutlich häufiger ein Einfluss auf die Beschäftigtenzahl erwartet – vor allem in Form eines Stellenabbaus. Die Einschätzungen unterscheiden sich je nach Branche teils erheblich. Trotz zunehmender Praxiserfahrung bleibt eine deutliche Unsicherheit über die langfristigen Arbeitsmarktauswirkungen bestehen. Die Ergebnisse liefern einen ersten Einblick in die beschäftigungspolitischen Erwartungen von Unternehmen in Deutschland mit Blick auf KI." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Wood, Alex J. (2025): Contesting Algorithmic Workplace Regimes in an Era of Flexible Despotism. In: Sociology, S. 1-18. DOI:10.1177/00380385251388255

Abstract

"This article investigates recent claims that the growing use of algorithms is giving rise to a novel workplace regime. The article makes two conceptual contributions: first, it identifies the generic characteristics of this supposed algorithmic workplace regime. Second, it puts into question the exceptionalism of algorithmic workplace regimes. This is achieved by bringing the centrality of non-algorithmic management techniques in co-constituting algorithmic regimes into focus and by historically situating the regime’s emergence within the wider workplace regime literature. In doing so the article questions the novelty and distinctiveness of algorithmic workplace regimes, arguing that such regimes are better understood as a subtype of flexible despotism that can be traced back to the 1980s." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Yuan, Bocong, Jiannan Li & Hairong Zhao (2025): Education pathways to mitigate automation anxiety: skill development as key for job satisfaction in the age of machines replacing human. In: International Journal of Manpower, Jg. 46, H. 9, S. 1676-1698. DOI:10.1108/ijm-02-2024-0093

Abstract

"Purpose: The application of intelligent machine in the workplace has led to increasing concern about technically induced unemployment. This study is to investigate the mechanism of how such risk affects the job satisfaction. Design/methodology/approach: We use the secondary data from SHARE (wave 8) and a longitudinal survey to examine the influence mechanism of how intelligent machine job substitution risk affects job satisfaction. Findings: Results show that intelligent machine job substitution risk has a negative impact on job satisfaction. Besides, skill development opportunity mediates the negative relation between intelligent machine job substitution risk and job satisfaction. Further, work support buffers the negative relation between intelligent machine job substitution risk and skill development opportunity, while enhancing the positive relation between skill development opportunity and job satisfaction. Originality/value: This study is the first to examine the mediation role of skill development opportunity in the relation between the intelligent machine job substitution risk and job satisfaction. Also, this study is the first to explore the role of work support in the above relation. This study enriches relevant research regarding the intelligent machine application in workplace and provides important insights for organization management." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Emerald Group) ((en))

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Zeng, Shihong, Zeyuan Yang & Zhibin Zhang (2025): Servitization and employment effects in manufacturing: international experiences under digital technology conditions. In: Applied Economics, S. 1-18. DOI:10.1080/00036846.2025.2526854

Abstract

"This study examines the impact of manufacturing servitization on employment in 43 countries between 2000 and 2020, considering the role of digital technology. Using data from the World Input-Output Tables and the International Labour Organization, we explore how servitization affects employment in manufacturing and productive services. Our findings show that servitization leads to a substitution effect on manufacturing employment and a creation effect on productive service employment. The adoption of digital technology amplifies the substitution effect while weakening the creation effect. We further conduct heterogeneity analysis based on factor demand, factor input, level of industrialization, and level of economic development. We find that the substitution effect is most significant in low-tech manufacturing, while the creation effect is strongest in high-tech manufacturing. Regarding factor input, the creation effect is concentrated in low- to mid-tech productive service sectors. The substitution effect is more pronounced in less industrialized and developed countries, while the creation effect is more evident in highly industrialized and developing countries.The study identifies two key mechanisms through which servitization influences employment, namely improving information technology levels and reducing institutional distance. These findings contribute to the understanding of employment transitions in the digital economy and provide valuable insights for policymaking." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Zeyer-Gliozzo, Birgit (2025): Returns to formal, non-formal, and informal further training for workers at risk of automation. In: Journal of education and work, Jg. 17. DOI:10.1080/13639080.2024.2447037

Abstract

"The automation of job tasks due to technological change increases the pressure on workers whose jobs consist largely of such activities. In this context, politics and science attach great importance to further training, although the benefits for affected workers have hardly been investigated. Drawing on human capital theory and the task-based approach, this study examines the effect of further training on job tasks and the probability of automation for workers at risk of automation. These are workers who (a) work in routine intense jobs or (b) have a high probability of automation, based on the expert assessment of the automatability of occupations by Frey and Osborne (2017). Using data from the German National Educational Panel Study (NEPS), fixed-effects models are estimated to account for unobserved heterogeneity. The results show that informal further training is most effective in increasing non-routine tasks and reducing routine tasks and the probability of automation. Formal and non-formal training also show returns in some cases, although these are often not significant. The results thus suggest that not all forms of further training are helpful in adapting to new demands in the course of technological change and provide starting points for future research." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Zhang, Su, Xiaolin Wang, Yan Xia & Huijuan Wang (2025): The AI Redemption: How technology is rewriting the rules of cross-industry labor mobility. In: International Review of Economics and Finance, Jg. 103. DOI:10.1016/j.iref.2025.104575

Abstract

"This study considers the evolution and iteration of digital technology, conducting both theoretical and empirical research on the effects of information technology and artificial intelligence technology on cross-industry labor mobility. Theoretically, we construct a general equilibrium model that includes labor and digital technology to analyze the intrinsic mechanisms by which digital technology affects cross-industry labor mobility. Empirically, using the probit model and the instrumental variable approach, we find robust evidence of a significant positive effect of digital technology on cross-industry labor mobility through the pooled four-wave data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) from 2014 to 2020. The findings indicate that digital technology significantly promotes cross-industry labor mobility. Mechanism analysis reveals that information technology, represented by computers, drives low-skilled labor towards non-skill-intensive industries through substitution and productivity effects, while artificial intelligence technology promotes the flow of both low-skilled and high-skilled labor towards skill-intensive industries through “de-skilling” and “re-skilling”. The impact of digital technology on cross-industry labor mobility varies significantly across different genders, the type of hukou, age, and employment types. Further mechanism analysis suggests that digital technology facilitates higher wage gains by promoting cross-industry labor mobility." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc.) ((en))

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Zhou, Yongguang, Weihong Xie, Jingwu Li & Qun Li (2025): Effects of digital innovation on income inequality among different workforces: evidence from Chinese industries. In: Applied Economics, Jg. 57, H. 22, S. 2809-2821. DOI:10.1080/00036846.2024.2331424

Abstract

"To understand the impact of digital innovation on the workforce and its role in achieving common prosperity, this paper uses data from Chinese A-share listed companies during 2006–2021 to investigate the effects of digital innovation on income inequality among different industry-level groups. We find that digital innovation significantly reduces income inequality among employees across industries, but it does not significantly impact income inequality within management groups. Through mechanistic analysis, we find that digital innovation decreases income inequality among ordinary employees whose incomes are closely linked to company performance and thereby for the entire workforce by narrowing the income gap across industries. However, as digital innovation does not significantly influence evaluation systems (e.g. educational degrees) for management income, it does not contribute to reducing income inequality among managerial levels. These findings provide valuable insights to develop policies for common prosperity." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Zika, Gerd, Theresa-Marie Hassemer, Markus Hummel, Bennet Krebs, Tobias Maier, Anke Mönnig, Christian Schneemann, Enzo Weber & Johanna Zenk (2025): Künstliche Intelligenz: Potenzielle Effekte für den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt. (IAB-Forschungsbericht 23/2025), Nürnberg, 58 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FB.2523

Abstract

"Die fortschreitende Entwicklung und Integration von Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) prägt zunehmend die globalen Märkte und Arbeitsweisen und hat auch in Deutschland einen immer größeren Einfluss. Deshalb wird mit der vorliegenden Szenarioanalyse für einen Zeitraum von 15 Jahren untersucht, welchen Einfluss KI auf die Entwicklung von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Deutschland entfalten könnte. Um Aussagen über potenzielle Effekte eines KI-Szenarios treffen zu können, müssen entsprechende Annahmen getroffen werden. Anschließend wird das KI-Szenario mit einem Referenz-Szenario verglichen. Im KI-Szenario wird unterstellt, dass die notwendige Infrastruktur für die KI-Entwicklung und -Integration vorhanden ausgebaut wird. Insbesondere muss ausreichend Rechenkapazität in Rechenzentren verfügbar sein. Zudem wird KI je nach Branche unterschiedlich stark zum Einsatz kommen. So müssen von den Betrieben der jeweiligen Branchen unterschiedlich hohe Vorlaufinvestitionen getätigt werden. Dabei ist zu erwarten, dass die Wirkung des KI-Einsatzes je nach Branche unterschiedlich ausfallen wird. In manchen Branchen können Materialeinsparungen, in anderen Produktivitätssteigerungen oder neue Absatzmöglichkeiten realisiert werden. In vielen Branchen dürften diese Effekte auch in Kombination auftreten. Schließlich entwickeln auch andere Länder KI und wenden diese an. Für das KI-Szenario wird deshalb angenommen, dass die Wirkungen im Ausland insgesamt ähnlich ausfallen werden wie in Deutschland, mit den entsprechenden Effekten auf deutsche Importpreise. Den Berechnungen zufolge lässt sich durch KI insbesondere mittel- und langfristig eine deutlich höhere Wertschöpfung bei nahezu gleichem Arbeitseinsatz erzielen als im Referenz-Szenario. Unter den getroffenen Annahmen kann das jährliche Wirtschaftswachstum um durchschnittlich 0,8 Prozentpunkte höher liegen als im Referenz-Szenario. Kumuliert über die nächsten 15 Jahre könnten so 4,5 Billionen Euro an zusätzlicher Wertschöpfung erwirtschaftet werden. Die Zahl an Arbeitsplätzen liegt im KI-Szenario nach 15 Jahren insgesamt auf einem ähnlichen Niveau wie im Referenz-Szenario. Dennoch zeigen sich deutliche Verschiebungen am Arbeitsmarkt. So gibt es Wirtschaftsbereiche, in denen der Arbeitskräftebedarf steigt, während in anderen Bereichen Arbeitsplätze verloren gehen. Zu Beginn der verstärkten KI-Entwicklung und -Integration ist zunächst mit einem insgesamt höheren Arbeitskräftebedarf zu rechnen, um beispielsweise die benötigte Infrastruktur bereitzustellen, Daten zu erschließen oder Modelle zu entwickeln. Mittelfristig kommt es zu einem etwas geringeren Arbeitskräftebedarf aufgrund zunehmender Effizienzgewinne. Gegen Ende des Projektionszeitraums besteht jedoch Potenzial, diese Arbeitsplatzverluste wieder auszugleichen. Dabei zieht insbesondere die Entwicklung neuer Geschäftsmodelle einen höheren Arbeitskräftebedarf nach sich. Insgesamt gleichen sich die gegenläufigen Effekte auf die Beschäftigung weitgehend aus. Im KI-Szenario führt der Einsatz von KI unterm Strich also nicht ausschließlich zu positiven oder negativen Effekten auf dem Arbeitsmarkt. Vielmehr kommt es in einigen Bereichen zu Verschiebungen. Bei den IT- und Informationsdienstleistern liegt die Zahl der Erwerbstätigen nach 15 Jahren beispielsweise um rund 110.000 Personen höher als im Referenz-Szenario. Hingegen liegt die Zahl der Erwerbstätigen bei den Unternehmensdienstleistern im KI-Szenario zum gleichen Zeitpunkt um rund 120.000 Personen niedriger. Eine KI-induzierte Absenkung der Erwerbstätigenzahlen ist jedoch nicht zwingend mit einer Verschlechterung der Arbeitsmarktlage verbunden. Vielmehr könnten knappe Personalressourcen langfristig effizienter eingesetzt werden, wodurch Potenzial besteht, etwaige Arbeitskräfteengpässe in anderen Bereichen zu reduzieren. Gleichzeitig ist zu erwarten, dass ein verstärkter KI-Einsatz die Anforderungen an die Beschäftigten verändern wird. So dürften insbesondere hochqualifizierte Tätigkeiten stärker von KI-Anwendungen betroffen sein als von Entwicklungen im Bereich klassischer nicht-lernender Software." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Zou, Wei, Liming Zheng & Ruiqi Ma (2025): Can inequality and intergenerational upward mobility coexist: the impact of skill-biased technological change. In: Applied Economics Letters, S. 1-8. DOI:10.1080/13504851.2025.2550571

Abstract

"We extend the Maoz and Moav (1999) model by introducing a CES production function to examine the impact of skill-biased technological change (SBTC) on inequality and intergenerational upward mobility. Our study shows that (1) when the production function shifts from a Cobb-Douglas form to a CES form, high-skilled workers rapidly converge to a unique steady state; (2) while SBTC exacerbates inequality, it raises the steady-state number of high-skilled workers, establishing a positive correlation between inequality and intergenerational upward mobility." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Zwysen, Wouter & Bianca Luna Fabris (2025): Digital labour and welfare regimes: The impact of the institutional context on the prevalence of platform work. In: Competition and Change, S. 1-21. DOI:10.1177/10245294251349484

Abstract

"Platform work is on the rise across Europe, but not similarly across countries as shown from the as yet limited cross-national research. This study sets out to analyze how structural differences in the organization of the economy and welfare state shape individual’s engagement with platform work and particularly (1) the take-up of platform work; and (2) the extent to which the more economically vulnerable are overrepresented. In a context where the labour market is more regulated, workers are more protected, and there is a more generous safety net, there is less need to engage in generally precarious platform work. This study makes use of two comparable cross-national datasets on engagement in platform work across Europe. We find indications that platform work is generally less likely in countries where there is greater social spending and redistribution, higher passive labour market policy spending, and lower labour market dualization. Such factors, namely, social security and the regulation of the labour market, particularly protect more vulnerable workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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ten Berge, Jannes & Fabian Dekker (2025): New technology and workers’ perceived impact on job quality: Does labor organization matter? In: Economic and Industrial Democracy, Jg. 46, H. 2, S. 619-654. DOI:10.1177/0143831x241265911

Abstract

"There is an emerging literature focusing on the impact of technological change on work quality. This study contributes to the literature by examining (1) workers’ expectations regarding the effect of technological change on perceived job insecurity, as well as physical and psychological job demands, and (2) how these expectations are shaped by the degree of labor organization within countries. The article uses cross-national data for 25 OECD countries. It is found that labor organization decreases perceived levels of job insecurity related to technological change, but also lowers workers’ expectations of technology improving the quality of their work. These findings may indicate that in environments where technological change is less strongly moderated by organized labor, workers put greater emphasis on technology as a driver of (short-term) work changes. Alternatively, these findings may signal a lack of ‘worker power’ of organized labor to enforce technologies that improve the quality of employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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(2025): Education Policy Outlook 2025. Nurturing Engaged and Resilient Lifelong Learners in a World of Digital Transformation. (OECD Education Policy Perspectives), Paris, 153 S. DOI:10.1787/c3f402ba-en

Abstract

"Lifelong learning is essential for building inclusive, resilient and future-ready societies. Yet, rapid digitalisation and demographic shifts are changing how, when and why people learn throughout life. This report explores how countries and economies can strengthen individuals’ agency as lifelong learners, supporting people to take an active role in identifying, acquiring and applying new knowledge and skills across diverse contexts. It views lifelong learners as individuals who mobilise their will, skills and means to keep learning and adapting. The report identifies four critical life moments when individuals are particularly open to learning – or at risk of disengagement – and when well-targeted policy support can make the greatest difference: early childhood, mid-to-late adolescence, mid-career and approaching retirement. Drawing on analysis of 230 policies across 35 education systems, as well as international evidence and policy developments, the report explores how countries design and implement lifelong learning policies. In doing so, the report aims to support countries in advancing the goals set by the 2022 OECD Declaration on Building Equitable Societies Through Education. This publication is part of the Education Policy Outlook series – the OECD’s analytical observatory of education policy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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(2025): Smarter Workplaces: The Role of AI in Promoting Occupational Safety and Health. Potsdam, 16 September 2025. Proceedings. (baua: Fokus), Dortmund, 42 S. DOI:10.21934/baua:focus20250729

Abstract

"Tagungsbericht des Workshops AI4POSH - Smarter Workplaces: The Role of AI in Promoting Occupational Safety and Health, welcher im Rahmen der 48. Deutschen KI-Konferenz in Potsdam vom 16.-19. September 2025, stattgefunden hat. Der Workshop wurde von PD Dr. Thea Radüntz, der Gruppenleitung der Fachgruppe "Künstliche Intelligenz in der Arbeitswelt" der Bundesanstalt für Arbeitsschutz und Arbeitsmedizin organisiert. Der Workshop AI4POSH beleuchtete die vielfältige und wachsende Rolle von Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) in der Entwicklung gesunder, sicherer und menschzentrierter Arbeitsplätze. Die Beiträge umfassten vielfältige Anwendungen in den Bereichen Gesundheitsförderung am Arbeitsplatz, Arbeitsmedizin, psychische Gesundheit, algorithmisches Management, Risikobewertung und KI-gestützte Operationen. Die Beiträge betrachteten sowohl das Potenzial als auch die Herausforderungen von KI: von technischen Innovationen wie Sensornetzwerken und Bildanalyse bis hin zu menschenzentrierten Themen wie digitale Souveränität, Engagement und Arbeitsbelastungsmanagement. Zusammen spiegeln diese Arbeiten eine interdisziplinäre Bemühung wider, KI zur Förderung der Sicherheit und Gesundheit am Arbeitsplatz zu nutzen und gleichzeitig ihre Auswirkungen auf Arbeitnehmer und Organisationen kritisch zu untersuchen. Ziel des AI4POSH Workshops war es folglich, durch die kritische Analyse des Einflusses von intelligenten Systemen auf moderne Arbeitsplätze, einen Beitrag in der Entwicklung von sicheren, zugänglichen und fairen Arbeitsumfeldern im KI-Zeitalter, zu leisten." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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(2025): Erprobung neuer Methoden der Mustererkennung bei der Statistik der BA. Vorhaben im Rahmen des BMAS-Datenlabors. (Grundlagen: Methodenbericht / Bundesagentur für Arbeit), Nürnberg, 81 S.

Abstract

"Die Statistik der BA betrachtet Methoden der Künstlichen Intelligenz, insbesondere des Maschinellen Lernens, als sinnvolle Ergänzung ihres Methodenspektrums zur Weiterentwicklung in konkreten Aufgabenbereichen. Einsatzfelder bestehen vor allem dort, wo lernfähige Algorithmen die automatische Verarbeitung großer Datenmengen mit dem Ziel der Mustererkennung ermöglichen. Vielversprechend erscheint der Einsatz dieser Methoden unter anderem in zwei Bereichen: Bei der Unterstützung der bestehenden Validierung von Daten im Zuge der Stichtagsverarbeitung sowie bei der Zuordnung von Beschäftigungsbetrieben zu Wirtschaftszweigen. Machbarkeitsanalysen für beide Anwendungen wurden durch das BMAS-Datenlabor gefördert und aus Mitteln der Europäischen Union „NextGenerationEU“, die im Rahmen des Deutschen Aufbau- und Resilienzplans (DARP) bereitgestellt wurden, finanziert. Das entsprechende Vorhaben der Statistik der BA, das „Datenlabor Statistik“, hatte eine Laufzeit von November 2022 bis Dezember 2024. Die beiden genannten Einsatzfelder bildeten zwei Module eines Gesamtvorhabens. Im Modul „Validierung“ wurden neue Methoden zur Validierung großer Mengen statistischer Daten konzipiert, exemplarisch eingesetzt und bewertet, mit deren Hilfe sich im Vergleich zum aktuellen Verfahren erheblich mehr Daten hinsichtlich auffälliger Konstellationen prüfen lassen. Die als erfolgversprechend bewerteten neuen Ansätze adressieren bisher weniger beachtete Bereiche der Plausibilitätsprüfung: fachstatistikübergreifende Analysen, die Berücksichtigung von Merkmalskombinationen sowie Analysen auf tieferer regionaler Ebene. Ein Ansatz für die beiden erstgenannten Bereiche wurde unmittelbar nach dem Datenlabor in einen testweisen Produktivbetrieb und in weitere Analysen überführt. Die geprüften Ansätze zur Erkennung fehlerhafter schleichender Veränderungen sowie für Einzelfallprüfungen auf tieferen Schichten der Verarbeitung haben sich als weniger aussichtsreich herausgestellt; hier sind weitere Analysen nötig. Im Modul „Wirtschaftszweige“ wurde vor allem ein Lösungsansatz als erfolgversprechend und praktisch umsetzbar bewertet: Die Zuordnung von Beschäftigungsbetrieben zu Wirtschaftszweigen auf Basis eines speziell trainierten großen Sprachmodells, das Freitext-Beschreibungen zu Betriebszwecken verarbeitet. Dieser Ansatz soll nun in der Praxis umgesetzt werden. Wertvolle Erkenntnisse wurden in diesem Modul zudem für Lösungsansätze auf Basis der folgenden Datenquellen gewonnen: Stellenanzeigen, Betriebsbezeichnungen und Informationen zu den Tätigkeiten von Beschäftigten. Zu den übergreifenden Ergebnissen des Datenlabors der Statistik zählen der Wissensgewinn durch methodischen Austausch innerhalb und außerhalb der BA, das Erschließen bisher nicht genutzter technischer Architekturen sowie leistungsfähiger Hardware und Entwicklungswerkzeuge." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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(2025): How do people experience new technologies and generative AI? Insights from a few countries worldwide. (OECD Policy Insights on Well-being, Inclusion, Sustainability and Equal Opportunity 23), Paris, 12 S. DOI:10.1787/49b8d10e-en

Abstract

"Instead of flexi-work and increased labor participation for women, the platform economy has deepened intersectional inequalities—of gender, class, geography, and race—making women workers more vulnerable. At the Beijing+30 conjuncture, we urgently need multi-scalar policy responses that can get our institutions ready for a feminist future of work. To explore the building blocks of this imperative, IT for Change, DAWN, and Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES) convened a series of four consultations in the Asia-Pacific, Africa, Europe, and Latin America in February 2025, bringing together 50+ feminist scholars, practitioners, gender equality experts, lawyers focused on labor rights, and trade union representatives." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Abstract

"Die Studie „Digital Skills Gap 2025“ macht sichtbar, wie unterschiedlich digitale Kompetenzen in verschiedenen gesellschaftlichen Gruppen ausgeprägt sind. Sie geht dabei über klassische soziodemografische Unterschiede hinaus und richtet den Blick gezielt auf die Lebenslagen der Menschen: Einkommen, Wohnsituation, berufliche Stellung – all das prägt maßgeblich, wie gut jemand für die digitale Arbeits- und Lebenswelt gerüstet ist. Gleichzeitig werden Ungleichheiten offengelegt: Wer baut seine Kompetenzen stetig aus, wer droht im digitalen Alltag zurückzufallen? Die Studie ist mehr als eine Bestandsaufnahme. Sie liefert für Politik, Wirtschaft und Zivilgesellschaft fundierte Handlungsimpulse, um Hürden abzubauen, Lernwege zu öffnen und eine chancengerechte Entwicklung digitaler Kompetenzen zu ermöglichen. Denn digitale Teilhabe ist kein Luxus – sie ist Voraussetzung für soziale Gerechtigkeit und wirtschaftliche Zukunftsfähigkeit." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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(2025): Aspekte zu den Auswirkungen der Digitalisierung auf den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt. (Sachstand / Deutscher Bundestag, Wissenschaftliche Dienste), Berlin, 21 S.

Abstract

"Im Zusammenhang mit dem digitalen Wandel der Arbeitswelt wird in Deutschland von der sogenannten „Arbeit 4.0“ gesprochen.1 „Durch den Einzug neuer Technologien wird Arbeit vernetzter, digitaler und flexibler. Aufgabenprofile, Arbeitsabläufe und Berufsbilder ändern sich oder entstehen gänzlich neu. Dies betrifft sowohl die Produktionsarbeit als auch die Wissens- und Entwicklungsarbeit. Dabei geht Arbeit 4.0 über die rein technologische Perspektive hinaus und führt zu tiefgreifenden Änderungen der Organisations- und Führungsstrukturen sowie zu einer Anpassung der Unternehmenskultur.“ An die Wissenschaftlichen Dienste des Deutschen Bundestages wurde die Frage herangetragen, welche Auswirkungen die Digitalisierung auf die Arbeitswelt seit 2005 hatte. Dieser Sachstand beschäftigt sich mit Aspekten zu den Auswirkungen der Digitalisierung auf den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt. Thematisiert werden in diesem Zusammenhang die Gesamtbeschäftigung sowie verschiedene Entwicklungen im Rahmen einzelner Berufsfelder. Konkret werden Entstehung und Wegfall einzelner Berufe, das Substituierbarkeitspotenzial von Berufen, die Zu- und Abnahme der Beschäftigten einzelner Berufe sowie die Entwicklung von Kerntätigkeiten und die Rolle von Weiterbildungsmaßnahmen beleuchtet. Darüber hinaus wird die Arbeitsmarktpolarisierung sowie Lohnentwicklungen und die Verteilung von sozialversicherungspflichtiger Beschäftigten und Selbständigen vor dem Hintergrund neuer Geschäftsmodelle dargestellt und insbesondere die Gruppe der Solo-Selbstständigen näher betrachtet." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

Zitatform

(2025): D21-Digital-Index 2024/2025. Jährliches Lagebild zur Digitalen Gesellschaft. (D21-Digital-Index), Berlin, 41 S.

Abstract

"Der D21-Digital-Index ist Deutschlands wichtigstes Lagebild zur Digitalisierung der Gesellschaft. Er zeigt, wie tief die digitale Transformation verschiedene Lebensbereiche durchdringt und wie gut Bürger*innen mit den Anforderungen des Wandels umgehen können. Gleichzeitig offenbart er Spaltungen und Herausforderungen: Wer profitiert, wer droht abgehängt zu werden? Der D21-Digital-Index ist mehr als eine Analyse: Er ist Basis für wirkungsvolles Handeln von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, um die Resilienz im digitalen Wandel zu stärken und gemeinsam eine inklusive digitale Zukunft zu gestalten, in der alle von den Chancen der Digitalisierung profitieren. Im Fokus steht in diesem Jahr der digitale Wandel als Treiber für weitere Transformationsprozesse, etwa bei der Wertschöpfung, beim Informations- und Kommunikationsverhalten oder beim ökologischen Wandel. Denn unsere Gesellschaft befindet sich inmitten eines tiefgreifenden Wandels. Der D21-Digital-Index begleitet sie in dieser Transformation seit vielen Jahren. Ein weiterer Schwerpunkt der Studie liegt auf der digitalen Bildung und den Kompetenzen, die für eine souveräne und kritische Nutzung digitaler Technologien erforderlich sind. Zudem wird untersucht, wie die Bevölkerung den Einsatz Künstlicher Intelligenz wahrnimmt: Welche Erwartungen, Chancen und Bedenken gibt es? Welche Faktoren beeinflussen die Akzeptanz neuer KI-Technologien im Alltag? Wie steht es um das Bewusstsein für die Transformationskraft von KI, insbesondere für die Beschäftigungschancen?" (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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(2025): OECD Skills Outlook 2025. Building the Skills of the 21st Century for All. (OECD skills outlook), Paris, 261 S. DOI:10.1787/26163cd3-en

Abstract

"The OECD Skills Outlook 2025 examines how countries can build the 21st-century skills needed to sustain growth and social progress. It explores how differences in background, education and opportunity shape who develops, uses and benefits from key skills such as literacy, numeracy and adaptive problem solving. Differential access to skills development limits the potential of many, thereby constraining economic performance. Socio-economic background strongly influences who builds skills that are valued in the labour market, whereas differences between men and women appear mainly in how skills are used and rewarded. As skill demands evolve faster than policy cycles, investing in lifelong learning and using timely labour-market intelligence are crucial to help people adapt, strengthen productivity and ensure that no one is left behind in a changing world." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Abeliansky, Ana Lucia, Matthias Beulmann & Klaus Prettner (2024): Are they coming for us? Industrial robots and the mental health of workers. In: Research Policy, Jg. 53, H. 3. DOI:10.1016/j.respol.2024.104956

Abstract

"How does the increasing use of robots affect the mental health of workers? To investigate this question, we combine individual mental health data from the German Socioeconomic Panel with data on the stock of robots in 14 manufacturing sectors provided by the International Federation of Robotics for the period 2002–2018. Using mediation analysis andan instrumental variable approach, we find that higher robot intensity is associated with deteriorating mental health, an effect that is mainly driven by worries about job security and a lower sense of achievement on the job. A heterogeneity analysis reveals that higher robot intensity has particularly severe negative effects on the mental health of workers close to retirement, in low-skilled occupations and performing routine jobs. Women and men are affected similarly, as are workers of all educational levels. Our results indicate the presence of hidden (health) costs of automation that policymakers need to address." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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Abendroth, Anja-Kristin & Mareike Reimann (2024): Organisational inhibition and promotion of flexible working in digitalised work environments. In: New Technology, Work and Employment, Jg. 39, H. 1, S. 39-62. DOI:10.1111/ntwe.12275

Abstract

"Work-related use of digital information and communication technology (ICT) is not restricted to specific working sites and times. For employees, this can involve opportunities for flexible working, that is, having control over when and where to work. Applying an organisational comparative perspective, we examined whether adherence to the ideal worker norm inhibits and adherence to family-friendliness promotes flexible working as a consequence of ICT use. Linked employer–employee survey data from large German work organisations revealed that employees worked more flexibly in time and place due to work-related ICT use when supervisory work-life support was common. Mixed evidence is provided for the prevalence of ideal worker norm expectations. We conclude that work-life support in the organisation is a required complementary practice of flexible working for employees, promoting its dissemination." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Acemoglu, Daron & Simon Johnson (2024): Learning from Ricardo and Thompson: Machinery and Labor in the Early Industrial Revolution, and in the Age of AI. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 32416), Cambridge, Mass, 45 S. DOI:10.3386/w32416

Abstract

"David Ricardo initially believed machinery would help workers but revised his opinion, likely based on the impact of automation in the textile industry. Despite cotton textiles becoming one of the largest sectors in the British economy, real wages for cotton weavers did not rise for decades. As E.P. Thompson emphasized, automation forced workers into unhealthy factories with close surveillance and little autonomy. Automation can increase wages, but only when accompanied by new tasks that raise the marginal productivity of labor and/or when there is sufficient additional hiring in complementary sectors. Wages are unlikely to rise when workers cannot push for their share of productivity growth. Today, artificial intelligence may boost average productivity, but it also may replace many workers while degrading job quality for those who remain employed. As in Ricardo's time, the impact of automation on workers today is more complex than an automatic linkage from higher productivity to better wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Acemoglu, Daron & Pascual Restrepo (2024): Automation and Rent Dissipation: Implications for Wages, Inequality, and Productivity. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 32536), Cambridge, Mass, 79 S. DOI:10.3386/w32536

Abstract

"This paper studies the effects of automation in economies with labor market distortions that generate worker rents—wages above opportunity cost—in some jobs. We show that automation targets high-rent tasks, dissipating rents and amplifying wage losses from automation. It also reduces within-group wage dispersion for exposed groups. Automation-driven rent dissipation is inefficient and reduces (and could even negate) the productivity gains from automation. Using data for the US from 1980 to 2016, we find evidence of sizable rent dissipation and reduced within-group wage dispersion due to automation. Using these estimates and accounting for equilibrium effects, we estimate that automation accounts for 52% of the increase in between-group inequality in the US since 1980, with rent dissipation being responsible for a fifth of this contribution. We also estimate that inefficient rent dissipation offset 60–90% of the productivity gains from automation since 1980." (Author'sabstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Afonso, Óscar & Rosa Forte (2024): Routine and non-routine sectors, tasks automation and wage polarization. In: Applied Economics, Jg. 56, H. 55, S. 7262-7285. DOI:10.1080/00036846.2023.2280461

Abstract

"Recent and detailed data point to a polarization of wages with regard to the distribution of skills, particularly in developed countries over the past three decades, requiring the literature to address modelling approaches focused on automating different types of tasks. In the DTC literature, the technological-knowledge bias leads to an increase in the wage of skilled workers relative to unskilled workers. Motivated by this literature, this paper considers three types of workers (skilled, medium-skilled and unskilled) but retain the economic mechanisms that produce the results. Thus, wage inequality continues to result from the technological-knowledge bias, which, in the face of automation dynamics, reveals that medium-skilled workers are the relatively most penalized, generating wage polarization. Furthermore, as in the directed technical change literature, the relative supply of skilled workers continues to affect the skill premium." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Alacovska, Ana, Eliane Bucher & Christian Fieseler (2024): A Relational Work Perspective on the Gig Economy: Doing Creative Work on Digital Labour Platforms. In: Work, Employment and Society, Jg. 38, H. 1, S. 161-179. DOI:10.1177/09500170221103146

Abstract

"Based on interviews with 49 visual artists, graphic designers and illustrators working on two leading global digital labour platforms, this article examines how creative workers perform relational work as a means of attenuating labour commodification, precarity, and algorithmic normativity. The article argues that creative work on online labour platforms, rather than being entirely controlled by depersonalised, anonymised and algorithm-driven labour market forces, is also infused in relational infrastructures whose upkeep, solidity and durability depends on the emotional efforts undertaken by workers to match economic transactions and their media of exchange to meaningful client relations. By applying a relational work perspective from economic sociology to the study of platform-mediated gig work, the article elucidates the micro-foundations of creative work in the digital gig economy, including how labour inequalities are produced and reproduced within and around micro-level interpersonal interactions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Albinowski, Maciej & Piotr Lewandowski (2024): The impact of ICT and robots on labour market outcomes of demographic groups in Europe. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 87. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2023.102481

Abstract

"We study the age- and gender-specific labour market effects of two key modern technologies, Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) and robots. Our sample includes 14 European countries between 2010 and 2018. We use the variation in technology adoption between industries and apply the instrumental variables strategy proposed by Acemoglu and Restrepo (2020) to identify the causal effects of technology adoption. We find that exposure to ICT and robots increased the shares of young and prime-aged women in employment and in the wage bills of particular sectors. However, it reduced the shares of older women and prime-aged men. We do not detect significant effects of technology adoption on the relative wages of most demographic groups. Between 2010 and 2018, the growth in ICT capital played a larger role than robot adoption in the changes in the withinsector labor market outcomes of demographic groups." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, ©2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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Albrecht, Joanna & Nadine Hüning (2024): Digitale Teilhabe von Menschen mit einer geistigen Beeinträchtigung. Entwicklung einer Definition, eines Modells und eines Erhebungsinstruments. Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, XXVIII, 526 S. DOI:10.1007/978-3-658-44380-1

Abstract

"In diesem Open-Access-Buch wird die Entwicklung einer Definition, eines Modells und eines Erhebungsinstruments Digitaler Teilhabe von Menschen mit geistiger Beeinträchtigung beschrieben. Eine geistige Behinderung wird als Konstrukt verstanden, das durch die ganzheitliche Wechselwirkung zwischen personenbezogenen Faktoren, Gesundheitsproblemen sowie umweltbezogenen Barrieren entsteht. Für die Identifikation der Hilfebedarfe zur Realisierung von Teilhabe ist die ganzheitliche Betrachtung von heterogenen Ursachen, Formen und Ausprägungen unverzichtbar. Der Anspruch auf Teilhabe ist gesetzlich verankert, jedoch führt die digitale Transformation zu neuen gesellschaftlichen Ungleichheiten, die sich als Digital Divide manifestieren. Trotz geringer und heterogener Datenlage zu Ungleichheiten bei Menschen mit (geistiger) Beeinträchtigung sind bereits Hinweise auf eine Digital Disability Divide zu erkennen. Um dieses Forschungsdesiderat aufzuarbeiten, bedarf es eines einheitlichen Begriffsverständnisses Digitaler Teilhabe. Auch müssen Einflussfaktoren eruiert werden, um Ansätze zur Förderung Digitaler Teilhabe zu entwickeln und darauf aufbauend ein Erhebungsinstrument zu entwickeln. Entsprechend verfolgt diese Forschungsarbeit die Entwicklung einer Definition,eines Modells und Erhebungsinstruments Digitaler Teilhabe von Menschen mit geistiger Beeinträchtigung in der Eingliederungshilfe. Die Autorinnen Joanna Albrecht und Nadine Hüning haben an der Fakultät für Gesundheitswissenschaften der Universität Bielefeld promoviert. ." (Verlagsangaben)

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(2024): Die Zukunft der Arbeit. (Stellungnahme / Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina Januar 2024), Halle, Saale ; Mainz, 124 S.

Abstract

"Unsere Arbeitswelt verändert sich stark. Digitalisierung und Automatisierung erlauben oft ortsungebundene Arbeit, die Abkehr von fossilen Brennstoffen zwingt uns zum Wirtschaften mit ökologisch nachhaltigen Energien und Technologien, demografischer Wandel und Einwanderung verändern unsere Gesellschaft grundlegend. Aus diesen Entwicklungen erwachsen Chancen und Risiken. Eine interdisziplinäre und interakademische Arbeitsgruppe widmet sich diesen in der Stellungnahme „Die Zukunft der Arbeit“. Die Arbeitsgruppe unter der Leitung von Frau Prof. Dr. h. c. Jutta Allmendinger, Ph.D. (Präsidentin des Wissenschaftszentrums Berlin für Sozialforschung, Mitglied der Leopoldina und der Berlin-Brandenburgischen Akademie der Wissenschaften) schlägt vor, Erwerbsarbeit in ihrem Wechselspiel mit anderen Formen des Tätigseins zu betrachten, den Begriff der Arbeit weit zu fassen und unterschiedlichste Formen menschlicher Tätigkeit und deren Zusammenspiel in den Blick zu nehmen. Gesellschaftlicher Wohlstand, individuelles Wohlergehen und sozialer Zusammenhalt beruhen wesentlich auf Erwerbsarbeit. Gleichzeitig bedarf es zahlreicher anderer Tätigkeitsformen, um menschliche Bedürfnisse zu befriedigen, Fähigkeiten zu entwickeln und gesellschaftliche Arbeit zu leisten. Diese erweiterte Sicht auf Arbeit rückt menschliche Potenziale und ein neu auszubalancierendes Verhältnis zwischen sozialen, wirtschaftlichen und ökologischen Erfordernissen in den Mittelpunkt. Mit dem Begriff der „Tätigkeitsgesellschaft“ wird eine Perspektiverweiterung auf das Verständnis von Arbeit vorgeschlagen, bei der neben klassischer Erwerbstätigkeit auch all jene Beschäftigungen berücksichtigt werden, die einen konkreten gesellschaftlichen Nutzen erbringen, wie beispielsweise Sorgearbeit oder auch ehrenamtliche Arbeit. Diese ganz unterschiedlichen Formen von Arbeit sind eng miteinander verbunden und bedingen einander." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Almyranti, Margarita, Eric Sutherland, Nachman Ash & Samuel Eiszele (2024): Artificial Intelligence and the health workforce. Perspectives from medical associations on AI in health. (OECD Artificial Intelligence Papers 28), Paris, 53 S. DOI:10.1787/9a31d8af-en

Abstract

"Healthcare has progressed through advancements in medicine, leading to improved global life expectancy. Nevertheless, the sector grapples with increasing challenges such as heightened demand, soaring costs, and an overburdened workforce. Factors contributing to health workforce strain include ageing populations, increasing burden from non-communicable and chronic diseases, healthcare providers' burnout, and evolving patient expectations. Artificial Intelligence (AI) could potentially transform healthcare by alleviating some of these pressures. But AI in health poses risks to health providers through potential workforce disruption – with changing roles requiring adapted skills with some functions subject to automation. Striking a balance between innovation and safeguards is imperative." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Altenried, Moritz (2024): Mobile workers, contingent labour: Migration, the gig economy and the multiplication of labour. In: Environment and planning. A, Economy and space, Jg. 56, H. 4, S. 1113-1128. DOI:10.1177/0308518X211054846

Abstract

"The article takes the surprising exit of the food delivery platform Deliveroo from Berlin as a starting point to analyse the relationship between migration and the gig economy. In Berlin and many cities across the globe, migrant workers are indispensable to the operations of digital platforms such as Uber, Helpling, or Deliveroo. The article uses in-depth ethnographic and qualitative research to show how the latter's exit from Berlin provides an almost exemplary picture of why urban gig economy platforms are strongholds of migrant labour, while at the same time, demonstrating the very contingency of this form of work. The article analyses the specific reasons why digital platforms are particularly open to migrants and argues that the very combination of new forms of algorithmic management and hyper-flexible forms of employment that is characteristic of gig economy platforms is also the reason why these platforms are geared perfectly toward the exploitation of migrant labour. This allows the analysis of digital platforms in the context of stratified labour markets and situates them within a long history of contingent labour that is closely intertwined with the mobility of labour." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2021 a Pion publication) ((en))

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André, Elisabeth, Angelika Bullinger-Hoffmann, Eva Bittner, Michael Heister, Norbert Huchler, Matthias Peissner, Pierre Prasuhn, Christoph M. Schmidt, Jochen Steil, Andrea Stich, Oliver Suchy & Uta Wilkens (2024): KI für die Fachkräftesicherung nutzen. Lösungsansätze für Automatisierung, Teilhabe und Wissenstransfer. München, 41 S. DOI:10.48669/pls_2024-2

Abstract

"Ob im Handwerk, Medizin oder der Verwaltung – in fast allen Branchen kommen Fachkräfteengpässe auf uns zu oder sind bereits spürbar. Zunehmend verstärkt durch demografische Entwicklungen wie den bevorstehenden Renteneintritt der Babyboomer. Um die Fachkräftebasis von morgen zu sichern, kann auch Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) als technologischer Baustein – vor allem in den Bereichen Automatisierung und KI-basierte Assistenz – eine bedeutende Rolle spielen. Das Whitepaper gibt einen Überblick, wie KI-Technologien gezielt zur Fachkräftesicherung beitragen können, um die Wettbewerbsfähigkeit zu stärken und Arbeitsplätze in Deutschland zu sichern." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Anger, Silke, Bernhard Christoph, Agata Galkiewicz, Shushanik Margaryan, Frauke Peter, Malte Sandner & Thomas Siedler (2024): A Library in the Palm of Your Hand? A Randomized Reading Intervention with Low-Income Children. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17322), Bonn, 61 S.

Abstract

"Reading skills are crucial for academic success and long-term educational attainment. However, children from disadvantaged backgrounds read less than their more privileged peers. This study assesses the impact of a randomized reading intervention conducted in Germany targeting 11–12-year-olds from low-income households. The intervention involved distributing e-book readers, which provided free access to a large digital library of age-appropriate books, directly to the children's homes. Our results show that the intervention led to increased reading engagement among the children, which in turn improved their academic performance, particularly in reading comprehension and math. Additionally, we observe positive effects on their socio-emotional well-being." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Anger, Silke, Bernhard Christoph, Agata Galkiewicz, Shushanik Margaryan, Frauke Peter, Malte Sandner & Thomas Siedler (2024): A Library in the Palm of Your Hand? A Randomized Reading Intervention with Low-Income Children. (HCEO working paper / Human capital and economic opportunity global working group 2024,018), Chicago, 61 S.

Abstract

"Reading skills are crucial for academic success and long-term educational attainment. However, children from disadvantaged backgrounds read less than their more privileged peers. This study assesses the impact of a randomized reading intervention conducted in Germany targeting 11–12-year-olds from low-income households. The intervention involved distributing e-book readers, which provided free access to a large digital library of age-appropriate books, directly to the children's homes. Our results show that the intervention led to increased reading engagement among the children, which in turn improved their academic performance, particularly in reading comprehension and math. Additionally, we observe positive effects on their socio-emotional well-being." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Armstrong, Ryan & Carlos Javier Torres Vergara (2024): Coping with Industry 5.0: An Assessment of Evolving Soft Skills for the Workplace. In: S. Nousala, G. Metcalf & D. Ing (Hrsg.): Industry 4.0 to Industry 5.0: Explorations in the Transition from a Techno-economic to a Socio-technical Future (2024), Singapore, Springer Nature Singapore S. 57-78. DOI:10.1007/978-981-99-9730-5_3

Abstract

"It has been suggested that the transition to the sustainable, resilient, and human-centered production of Industry 5.0 will require a new or enhanced set of soft skills for the workplace, an appealing suggestion but one with only incipient evidence. Meanwhile, major practitioner reports, policy documents, and scholarly work emphasize a need for soft skills, and employers increasingly signal their desire for candidates to possess them. In this chapter, we examine the drivers of a need for more soft skills, and the challenges in research and practice to supporting their acquisition. We identify widespread misconceptions about soft skills, which could ultimately limit their potential for supporting individual and societal well-being. We review the term’s history and foundation, which reveals anumber of inherent challenges related to defining, recognizing, and evaluating soft skills. We then illustrate how these can be acknowledged and even embraced through an example of soft skill training from our own work. Finally, we discuss implications for researchers and practitioners." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Armutat, Sascha, Malte Wattenberg & Nina Mauritz (2024): Artificial Intelligence – Gender-Specific Differences in Perception, Understanding, and Training Interest. In: C.-P. Marti Ballester (ed.) (2024): Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Gender Research, S. 36-43. DOI:10.34190/icgr.7.1.2163

Abstract

"In light of the growing importance of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in science, business, and society, broad acceptance is crucial. However, recent studies indicate a significant underrepresentation of women in the emerging AI-driven professions of the future job market. This hampers the innovation potential of technologies due to the lack of diverse perspectives in development. Gender-specific differences also manifest in the perception of AI: Men tend to view AI applications more positively, rate their own AI competencies higher, and have more trust in the technology compared to women. However, both genders agree on the critical importance of the comprehensibility of AI decisions and are equally willing to pursue further education in the field of AI. This study aimed to investigate gender-relevant aspects in the perception and understanding of AI, as well as the need for further education and opportunities for communication and exchange on the topic of AI. To achieve this, focus groups with female students were conducted in May 2023. The analysis of the conversation data and materials used was carried out using an inductive coding method. Overall, women perceive knowledge as the key to generating more interest in AI. However, they also identify obstacles such as discrimination, gender stereotypes, and a lack of gender equality. Additionally, they desire more practical examples, improved communication regarding the advantages and disadvantages of AI, as well as more democratic and transparent decision-making processes. The paper emphasizes that an inclusive educational environment requires awareness and education for women, along with measures against discriminatory barriers and stereotypes. Furthermore, it suggests the early involvement of women in the development of AI applications and the establishment of clear rules to ensure gender equality in the workplace. These study findings provide valuable support to companies in the gender-specific planning of awareness and training processes for introducing AI." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Arntz, Melanie, Sabrina Genz, Terry Gregory, Florian Lehmer & Ulrich Zierahn-Weilage (2024): De-Routinization in the Fourth Industrial Revolution - Firm-Level Evidence. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16740), Bonn, 65 S.

Abstract

"This paper examines the extent to which aggregate-level de-routinization can be attributed to firm-level technology adoption during the most recent technological expansion. We use administrative data and a novel firm survey to distinguish frontier technologies from older technologies. We find that adopters of frontier technologies contribute substantially to deroutinization. However, this is driven only by a subset of these firms: large adopters replace routine jobs and less routine-intensive adopters experience faster growth. These scale and composition effects reflect firms' readiness to adopt and implement frontier technologies. Our results suggest that an acceleration of technology adoption would be associated with faster de-routinization and an increase in between-firm heterogeneity." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Arntz, Melanie, Michael J. Böhm, Georg Graetz, Terry Gregory, Florian Lehmer & Cäcilia Lipowski (2024): Firm-Level Technology Adoption in Times of Crisis. (ZEW discussion paper 24-057), Mannheim, 66 S.

Abstract

"This study investigates how crises affect firms’ adoption of frontier technologies using the Covid-19 pandemic as a case study. The analysis tracks the nature, timing, and pandemic-related motivations of investments among German firms, using longitudinal survey data linked with administrative worker–firm records. We find clear evidence for a shift toward remote work technologies that helped firms mitigate negative employment effects. Overall, however, the pandemic slowed down the diffusion of new technologies. This procyclical pattern of technology adoption is particularly striking since the pandemic created strong incentives to experiment with new technologies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Arntz, Melanie, Sebastian Findeisen, Stephan Maurer & Oliver Schlenker (2024): Are we yet sick of new technologies? The unequal health effects of digitalization. (CEP discussion paper / Centre for Economic Performance 1984), London, 52 S.

Abstract

"This study quantifies the relationship between workplace digitalization, i.e., the increasing use of frontier technologies, and workers' health outcomes using novel and representative German linked employer-employee data. Based on changes in individual-level use of technologies between 2011 and 2019, we find that digitalization induces similar shifts into more complex and service-oriented tasks across all workers but exacerbates health inequality between cognitive and manual workers. Unlike more mature, computer-based technologies, frontier technologies of the recent technology wave substantially lower manual workers' subjective health and increase sick leave, while leaving cognitive workers unaffected. We provide evidence that the effects are mitigated in firms that provide training and assistance in the adjustment process for workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Avery, Mallory, Andreas Leibbrandt & Joseph Vecci (2024): Does Artificial Intelligence Help or Hurt Gender Diversity? Evidence from Two Field Experiments on Recruitment in Tech. (CESifo working paper 10996), München, 70 S.

Abstract

"The use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in recruitment is rapidly increasing and drastically changing how people apply to jobs and how applications are reviewed. In this paper, we use two field experiments to study how AI recruitment tools can impact gender diversity in the male-dominated technology sector, both overall and separately for labor supply and demand. We find that the use of AI in recruitment changes the gender distribution of potential hires, in some cases more than doubling the fraction of top applicants that are women. This change is generated by better outcomes for women in both supply and demand. On the supply side, we observe that the use of AI reduces the gender gap in application completion rates. Complementary survey evidence suggests that anticipated bias is a driver of increased female application completion when assessed by AI instead of human evaluators. On the demand side, we find that providing evaluators with applicants' AI scores closes the gender gap in assessments that otherwise disadvantage female applicants. Finally, we show that the AI tool would have to be substantially biased against women to result in a lower level of gender diversity than found without AI." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Azzellini, Dario (2024): Crowdwork: Kontext und Kompetenzentwicklung in den Ländern Italien, den Niederlanden, Schweden und dem Vereinigten Königreich. (Working papers des Forschungsclusters OPAL der Helmut-Schmidt-Universität 14), Hamburg, 112 S. DOI:10.24405/17002

Abstract

"Ein zentraler auf Deutschland bezogener Befund des bis Ende 2024 laufenden Verbundprojekts „Crowdwork und Crowdworker – Kompetenz-/Subjektivierungseffekte, individuelle Beruflichkeit und lernförderliche Plattformgestaltung (CKoBeLeP) ist, dass die Plattformen selbst kaum strukturierte Lernangebote für die Crowdworker machen, sondern darauf bauen, dass die Crowdworker:innen eigene für die Aufgabenerledigung erforderliche Kompetenzen in die Tätigkeit einbringen oder diese on the job entwickeln. Zugleich wird ersichtlich, dass für einen nicht kleinen Teil der untersuchten Crowdworker das Erlernen neuer Fähigkeiten und Kompetenzen in der Tätigkeit gerade ein Motiv dafür bildet, auf Crowdwork-Plattformen aktiv zu sein. Die vorliegende Studie dient dazu, die eigenen, auf Deutschland und primär deutschsprachige Plattformen bezogenen Projektbefunde im internationalen Kontext einzuordnen und dadurch umfassender zu verorten. Die Länderauswahl wurde auf europäische Länder beschränkt, um den Kontrast der institutionellen und sozioökonomischen Kontextbedingungen begrenzt zu halten und zugleich eine kontrollierte Variation der als Kontextbedingungen relevanten Wohlfahrts- und Ausbildungsregime zu ermöglichen. Dementsprechend fokussiert die vorliegende Studie auf Crowdwork-Plattformen in den vier kontrastiv ausgewählten europäischen Ländern Italien, Niederlande, Schweden und Vereinigtes Königreich. Herausgearbeitet werden auf Grundlage des Forschungsstands die jeweiligen länderspezifischen institutionellen Rahmenbedingungen und Ausprägungen von Crowdwork sowie zentrale Befunde zu Kompetenzentwicklung der Crowdworker. Vertiefend werden in einem zweiten Untersuchungsschritt 34 exemplarisch ausgewählte Crowdworkplattformen, die in einem der vier Länder angesiedelt sind oder transnational operieren und in den Untersuchungsländern aktiv sind, in ihren Grundstrukturen dargestellt; acht davon werden im Hinblick auf das Kompetenzentwicklungsangebot ausführlich analysiert. Auf der Grundlage einer detaillierten Literatur- und Datenrecherche gibt die Studie etliche Anhaltspunkte nicht nur für die Frage nach dem Zusammenhang zwischen rechtlichen und materiellen Ressourcen von Crowdworkern und den organisationalen und infrastrukturellen Begrenzungen und Möglichkeiten von formalisierter Weiterbildung, Lernen im unmittelbaren Arbeitszusammenhang und individueller Kompetenzentwicklung, sondern sie wirft auch den Blick auf den Zusammenhang zwischen Wohlfahrtsregimen, Crowdwork und individueller Arbeitsmarktintegration und auf Karrieremöglichkeiten via Weiterbildung in und durch Crowdwork. Die Studie bietet sowohl für das dtec-Projekt CKoBeLeP als auch für die Crowdworkforschung eine umfassende und orientierende Analysefolie." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

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Baber, Ashley (2024): Labour Market Engineers: Reconceptualising Labour Market Intermediaries with the Rise of the Gig Economy in the United States. In: Work, Employment and Society, Jg. 38, H. 3, S. 723-743. DOI:10.1177/09500170221150087

Abstract

"Gig work – accessing job opportunities through an app – has brought renewed attention to precarious non-standard labour arrangements. Scholars have begun to consider the intermediary role that platforms such as Uber, Lyft and Doordash play in exploiting and controlling workers. Yet, literature on labour market intermediaries has muddied conceptions of their role, impact and outcomes for workers by lumping a variety of institutions under the same umbrella term. Drawing from previous theoretical and empirical works throughout the temporary help and gig industries, this article proposes a reconceptualisation of labour market intermediaries as labour market engineers highlighting four mutually reinforcing features. This sociological reconceptualisation updates the understanding of for-profit labour market intermediaries by demonstrating the market making behaviours of firms of on-demand labour in the US context. Likewise, this reconceptualisation notes how gig firms have adapted and expanded these features in ways that increase precarity for workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Bachmann, Ronald, Myrielle Gonschor, Eduard Storm & Julian Evans (2024): Berufe der Zukunft im Ruhrgebiet: Studie im Auftrag des Regionalverbands Ruhr. Endbericht. (RWI-Projektbericht), Essen, 93 S.

Abstract

"Die Studie 'Berufe der Zukunft im Ruhrgebiet' verfolgt das Ziel, fünf Forschungsfragen zu beantworten: 1.Welche Berufe haben angesichts des digitalen Wandels und der ökologischen Transformation der Wirtschaft gute Zukunftschancen? 2.Wie stark sind diese Zukunftsberufe bereits ausgeprägt? 3.Wie entwickelt sich bei den Zukunftsberufen die Höhe der Arbeitsnachfrage und inwiefern werden digitale und grüne Kompetenzen nachgefragt? 4.Welche Rolle spielen Studium und Ausbildung für das zu erwartende Arbeitsangebot inden Zukunftsberufen? 5.Welche Entwicklungen sind vor diesem Hintergrund für die Zukunft zu erwarten?" (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Bachmann, Ronald, Myrielle Gonschor, Piotr Lewandowski & Karol Madoń (2024): The impact of Robots on Labour market transitions in Europe. In: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Jg. 70, S. 422-441. DOI:10.1016/j.strueco.2024.05.005

Abstract

"Dieses Papier untersucht die Auswirkungen von Robotern auf Arbeitsmarkttransitionen in 16 europäischen Ländern. Generell reduzieren Roboter Übergänge von der Beschäftigung in die Arbeitslosigkeit und erhöhen die Wahrscheinlichkeit, einen neuen Job zu finden. Arbeitskosten sind eine wichtige Erklärung für die beobachteten Unterschiede zwischen Ländern: In Ländern mit niedrigeren Arbeitskosten zeigt sich ein stärkerer Effekt auf Einstellungen und Trennungen. Diese Auswirkungen sind bei Arbeitskräften in Berufen mit manuellen oder kognitiven Routineaufgaben besonders ausgeprägt, bei Berufen mit nicht-routine kognitiven Aufgaben hingegen vernachlässigbar. Für junge und ältere Arbeitskräfte in Ländern mit niedrigeren Arbeitskosten wirken sich Roboter positiv auf Übergänge aus. Unsere Ergebnisse deuten darauf hin, dass die Einführung von Robotern in den meisten europäischen Ländern zu einem Anstieg der Beschäftigung und einem Rückgang der Arbeitslosigkeit geführt hat, vor allem durch einen Rückgang der Übergänge in die Arbeitslosigkeit." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Bankins, Sarah, Stefan Jooss, Simon Lloyd D. Restubog, Mauricio Marrone, Anna Carmella Ocampo & Mindy Shoss (2024): Navigating career stages in the age of artificial intelligence: A systematic interdisciplinary review and agenda for future research. In: Journal of vocational behavior, Jg. 153. DOI:10.1016/j.jvb.2024.104011

Abstract

"As artificial intelligence (AI) use expands within organizations, its influence is increasingly permeating careers and vocational domains. However, there is a notable lack of structured insights regarding AI's role in shaping individual career paths across career stages. To address this gap, we undertook a systematic literature review of 104 empirical articles, aiming to synthesize the scholarship on AI in the context of careers. Drawing upon career stage theory, we examine the implications of AI on careers, identify key barriers and enablers of AI use in this area, and reveal how the utilization of AI impacts individuals' career competencies. In doing so, we illustrate how AI actively shapes individuals' career trajectories and we dissect these effects both within and across various career stages to situate AI within the broader context of careers research. Adopting a sustainable career lens, we conclude by outlining a future research agenda that advocates for the design and adoption of AI systems that promote sustainable and equitable careers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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Barišić, Antea, Mahdi Ghodsi & Robert Stehrer (2024): Which Migrant Jobs are Linked with the Adoption of Novel Technologies, Robotization, and Digitalization? (WIIW working paper 241), Wien, 66 S.

Abstract

"In recent decades, the development of novel technologies has intenzified due to globalization, prompting countries to enhance competitiveness through innovation. These technologies have significantly improved global welfare, particularly in sectors like healthcare, where they have facilitated tasks and boosted productivity, for example playing a crucial role in combating the COVID-19 pandemic. However, certain technologies, such as robots, can negatively impact employment by replacing workers and tasks. Additionally, the emergence of artificial intelligence as digital assets not only replaces specific tasks but also introduces complexities that may displace employees who are unable to adapt. While the existing literature extensively explores the heterogeneous effects of these technologies on labor markets, studies of their impact on migrant workers remain scarce. This paper presents pioneering evidence on the effects of various novel technologies on migrant employment in the European Union. The analysis covers 18 EU member states from 2005 to 2019 focusing on the impact of novel innovations, robot adoption, three types of digital assets, and total factor productivity, on migrant employment. The key findings reveal that innovations measured by the number of granted patents increase both the number and proportion of migrant workers relative to the overall workforce. While robots do replace jobs, their impact on native workers surpasses that of migrant workers, resulting in a higher share of migrant workers following robot adoption. Total factor productivity positively influences migrant workers, while the effects of digital assets are heterogeneous. Moreover, the impacts of these technologies on migrant workers vary significantly across different occupation types and educational levels." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Barišić, Antea, Mahdi Ghodsi, Michael Landesmann, Alireza Sabouniha & Robert Stehrer (2024): New Technologies, Migration and Labour Market Adjustment: An Intra-European Perspective. (WIIW policy notes and reports 77), Wien, 26 S.

Abstract

"In this note, we study the relationship between the use of new technologies (e.g. robots and various ICT assets), labor demand and migration patterns. The adoption of new technologies might change the demand for labor in various ways, which in turn will have an impact on skill composition and wage levels of different types of workers. We report the main results from a study that first analyses the impact of robot adoption on wages by sector and skills. Second, we study the impact of robot adoption in manufacturing industries on the attraction of migrants while controlling for other factors in the labor demand function. This is followed by an analysis of push and pull factors of bilateral migration that focuses on the impact of relative automation gaps across countries. Finally, using the OeNB Euro Survey, we examine determinants of the intention to migrate and the role of income differentials between the countries of origin and destination." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Barrio, Alberto (2024): Unemployment insurance for platform workers: Challenges and approaches from a comparative perspective. In: European Journal of Social Security, Jg. 26, H. 2, S. 251-265. DOI:10.1177/13882627241267989

Abstract

"This contribution presents an overview of the challenges involved in ensuring that persons performing platform work (as either employees, self-employed, or in a third category) are able to effectively access unemployment insurance protection. It also addresses the specific approaches taken by European countries to tackle these challenges, relying especially on the contributions to this special issue on unemployment protection for the self-employed and platform workers. After presenting a brief definition of platform work, the contribution provides an overview of the main challenges linked to unemployment protection insurance posed by the features of platform work; we use primarily the Council Recommendation on access to social protection for workers and the self-employed as an evaluative framework. These challenges relate to both formal exclusion (due to classification as self-employed or marginal work) and effective exclusion (due to difficulties meeting minimum work requirements and lack of transparency on algorithmic management and platform work). The contribution then analyses some of the main approaches taken by European countries to address such challenges. Actions targeting platform work comprise (a) employment status reclassification; (b) establishment of a presumption of an employment relationship; (c) the setting of requirements to inform on the use of algorithmic management; (d) facilitation of transparency on platform work information; and (e) exemption from formal social security coverage of some forms of (marginal) platform work. General approaches with consequences for the unemployment insurance protection of platform workers include the application of the same criteria for access to unemployment benefits across employment statuses, as well as greater leniency on these criteria for certain forms of non-standard work. The contribution ends with a conclusion, which highlights the main gaps in unemployment insurance protection for platform work, and discusses avenues for action regarding platform work." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Bastani, Spencer & Daniel Waldenström (2024): AI, Automation and Taxation. (IZA policy paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 212), Bonn, 19 S.

Abstract

"This paper examines the implications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and automation for the taxation of labor and capital in advanced economies. It synthesizes empirical evidence on worker displacement, productivity, and income inequality, as well as theoretical frameworks for optimal taxation. Implications for tax policy are discussed, focusing on the level of capital taxes and the progressivity of labor taxes. While there may be a need to adjust the level of capital taxes and the structure of labor income taxation, there are potential drawbacks of overly progressive taxation and universal basic income schemes that could undermine work incentives, economic growth, and long-term household welfare. Some of the challenges posed by AI and automation may also be better addressed through regulatory measures rather than tax policy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Becker, Eleni De, Paul Schoukens & Enzo Weber (2024): Exploring unemployment insurance for the self-employed and platform workers: How to navigate difficult waters? A comparative, conceptual and European perspective. In: European Journal of Social Security, Jg. 26, H. 2, S. 97-108., 2024-08-01. DOI:10.1177/13882627241267993

Abstract

"This special issue of the European Journal of Social Security explores the complexities of extending unemployment insurance to the self-employed and platform workers in the EU Member States and the steps taken at EU level to enforce the protection offered at national level. Traditionally, social security systems have been designed for standard employment relationships, leaving a typical workers and the self-employed inadequately protected. The European Pillar of Social Rights (EPSR), adopted in 2017, and the subsequent 2019 Recommendation on access to social protection have marked a shift towards more inclusive social security frameworks. However, significant gaps in coverage remain, in particular with regard to unemployment protection for the self-employed and platform workers. The special issue is divided into three parts: national perspectives, comparative studies and EU-level discussions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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Beckmann, Fabian, Fabian Hoose, Lara Obereiner & Serkan Topal (2024): Casualization of work, free riding and institutional distrust: Explaining social protection preferences of platform workers in Germany. In: Zeitschrift für Sozialreform, Jg. 70, H. 3, S. 225-247. DOI:10.1515/zsr-2023-0024

Abstract

"The social protection of platform workers is widely recognized as a major political challenge but remains vastly understudied. The few existing investigations focus on social protection coverage and the employment status of platform workers, while their social protection preferences remain a black box to date. In this article, we investigate the social protection preferences of platform workers using a mixed methods design based on an online survey (n = 719) and qualitative in-depth interviews (n = 20) with self-employed platform workers in Germany. While the quantitative data indicate that the vast majority of respondents reject compulsory social insurance contributions for platform workers and favour self-employment over dependent employment, the qualitative interviews reveal three main types of explanations for this regulation aversion in different segments of platform work: The casualization of work in the platform economy, free riding on protection derived from ‘regular ’ employment and distrust in established welfare state institutions. Against this background, we discuss challenges for social policies aiming at improving social protection for platform workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

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Beneito, Pilar, Maria Garcia-Vega, Oscar Vicente-Chirivella & Guillaume Wilemme (2024): Robots and firms' labour search: The role of temporary work agencies. (Research paper / Nottingham Centre for Research on Globalisation and Economic Policy 2024,02), Nottingham, 55 S.

Abstract

"We study the impact of industrial robots on the use of labor intermediaries or temporary work agencies (TWAs) and firm productivity. We develop a theoretical framework where new technologies increase the need for quality match workers. TWAs help firms to search for workers who better match their technologies. The model predicts that using robots increases TWA use, which increases robots' productivity. We test the model implications with panel data of Spanish firms from 1997 to 2016 with information on robot adoption and TWA use. Using staggered difference-in-difference (DiD) estimations, we estimate the causal effects of robot adoption on TWAs. We find robot adopters increase the probability of TWA use compared to non-adopters. We also find that firms that combine robots with TWAs achieve higher productivity than those who adopt robots without TWAs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))