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Digitale Arbeitswelt – Chancen und Herausforderungen für Beschäftigte und Arbeitsmarkt

Der digitale Wandel der Arbeitswelt gilt als eine der großen Herausforderungen für Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft. Wie arbeiten wir in Zukunft? Welche Auswirkungen hat die Digitalisierung und die Nutzung Künstlicher Intelligenz auf Beschäftigung und Arbeitsmarkt? Welche Qualifikationen werden künftig benötigt? Wie verändern sich Tätigkeiten und Berufe? Welche arbeits- und sozialrechtlichen Konsequenzen ergeben sich daraus?
Dieses Themendossier dokumentiert Forschungsergebnisse zum Thema in den verschiedenen Wirtschaftsbereichen und Regionen.
Im Filter „Autorenschaft“ können Sie auf IAB-(Mit-)Autorenschaft eingrenzen.

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im Aspekt "Substitutionseffekte/Zur Diskussion um Substituierbarkeit"
  • Literaturhinweis

    European regional employment and exposure to labour-saving technical change: results from a direct text similarity measure (2025)

    Riccio, Federico ; Staccioli, Jacopo ; Virgillito, Maria Enrica ;

    Zitatform

    Riccio, Federico, Jacopo Staccioli & Maria Enrica Virgillito (2025): European regional employment and exposure to labour-saving technical change: results from a direct text similarity measure. (LEM working paper series / Laboratory of Economics and Management 2025/19), Pisa, 34 S. DOI:10.57838/sssa/02jp-b197

    Abstract

    "Does labor-saving technological change pose a threat to European employment, and if so, to what extent? This study investigates the degree of employment exposure to labor-saving technological change across NUTS-2 regions in Europe. We construct a cross-walked metric between the SOC and ISCO classification systems to adapt the direct measure of occupational exposure developed by Montobbio et al. (2024) for the US economy and apply it to the European context. This methodology enables us to generate detailed insights into the exposure of European occupations by leveraging the similarity rankings between technological classifications in the USPTO (CPCs) and task descriptions. To evaluate the transmission from occupational exposure to employment outcomes, we utilise data from the European Structure of Earnings Survey (EU-SES), thereby constructing exposure indices at both sectoral and regional levels. Finally, we examine the industrial and geographical diffusion of labor-saving technological change in recent years and provide robust econometric evidence indicating that low-wage regions, as well as deindustrialising areas heavily integrated into global value chains, are disproportionately vulnerable to the threat of substitution." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The hidden costs of technological change: investigating pathways through which highly automatable jobs undermine workers’ health in Germany (2025)

    Vasiakina, Mariia; Dudel, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Vasiakina, Mariia & Christian Dudel (2025): The hidden costs of technological change: investigating pathways through which highly automatable jobs undermine workers’ health in Germany. (MPIDR working paper / Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2025-032), Rostock, 29 S. DOI:10.4054/mpidr-wp-2025-032

    Abstract

    "The ongoing economic transformation driven by automation has significant social implications, particularly for the health and well-being of workers who face the risk of job displacement and the pressure to acquire new skills and qualifications. However, the specific pathways through which exposure to automation risk affects health outcomes remain poorly understood, and the relative contribution of each potential mechanism is still unclear. In this study, we examine the nature of the relationship between high workplace exposure to automation risk and a range of subjective health outcomes – including self-reported health, anxiety, and both physical and mental component summary scores from the SF-12 Health Survey – among workers in Germany. Using data from the German Socio-EconomicPanel (SOEP) linked with administrative records from the Occupational Panel for Germany (2014–2022), we apply the Karlson-Holm-Breen (KHB) mediation analysis method to assess whether broader indicators of economic uncertainty, alongside automation-specific factors, mediate the relationship between high automation risk and workers’ health. Our results indicate that the negative impact of high automation risk on health in Germany primarily operates through indirect pathways (related to mediators) for both genders, with the exception of physical health among male workers, where a direct negative effect is also evident. Economic concerns – particularly job insecurity and worries about one’s future financial situation – emerge as more significant mediators than automation-specific factors. Overall, our findings suggest that the mechanisms linking high automation risk to health are gender- and context-sensitive, and are shaped by broader economic conditions and workplace environments." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Interactions Between Digitalization, Innovation and Employment in European Companies: Insights from a Latent Class Analysis (2025)

    Vodă, Adina-Maria ; Badea, Doina ; Ciobotea, Mihai ; Stan, Marian ; Roman, Monica ;

    Zitatform

    Vodă, Adina-Maria, Mihai Ciobotea, Doina Badea, Monica Roman & Marian Stan (2025): The Interactions Between Digitalization, Innovation and Employment in European Companies: Insights from a Latent Class Analysis. In: Economies, Jg. 13, H. 4. DOI:10.3390/economies13040104

    Abstract

    "There is increasing concern regarding the association between technological change and jobs. This study explores how different patterns of digitalization and innovation relate to job creation in European companies. We use data from the European Company Survey 2019 collected by Eurofound and Cedefop. We apply Latent Class Analysis (LCA) to identify the typologies of companies, mainly based on their level of technology adoption, innovation practices and employment patterns. We showcase four distinct classes of companies: moderate adoption of digital technology and strong international orientation, traditional and local, medium digitalization, process innovative with local focus and digital leaders and innovators, with specific patterns regarding digitalization, innovation and job creation. The digital leaders and innovators class revealed a high level of digitalization and innovation and maintained stable employment levels, with increased investments in staff training and tendency towards automation. Conversely, less-digitalized traditional companies are more susceptible to stagnation or employment decline. In general, the employment outlook is stable, without significant employment growth, signaling the need for balanced investments in innovation and digitalization that stimulate more and better jobs. This is the first study to apply LCA to explore complex relationships between digitalization, innovation, foreign trade, training investments and employment trends and offers fresh insights into company views towards employment in the digital era." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Artificial Intelligence and Technological Unemployment (2025)

    Wang, Ping ; Wong, Tsz-Nga;

    Zitatform

    Wang, Ping & Tsz-Nga Wong (2025): Artificial Intelligence and Technological Unemployment. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 33867), Cambridge, Mass, 53 S.

    Abstract

    "How large is the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on labor productivity and unemployment? This paper introduces a labor-search model of technological unemployment, conceptualizing the generative aspect of AI as a learning-by-using technology. AI capability improves through machine learning from workers and in turn enhances their labor productivity, but eventually displaces workers if wage renegotiation fails. Three distinct equilibria emerge: no AI, some AI with higher unemployment, or unbounded AI with sustained endogenous growth and little impact on employment. By calibrating to the U.S. data, our model predicts more than threefold improvements in productivity in some-AI steady state, alongside a long-run employment loss of 23%, with half this loss occurring over the initial five-year transition. Plausible change in parameter values could lead to global and local indeterminacy. The mechanism highlights the considerable uncertainty of AI's impacts in the presence of labor-market frictions. In the unbounded-AI equilibrium, technological unemployment would not occur. We further show that equilibria are inefficient despite adherence to the Hosios condition. By improving job-finding rate and labor productivity, the optimal subsidy to jobs facing the replacement risk of AI can generate a welfare gain from 26.6% in the short run to over 50% in the long run." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Education pathways to mitigate automation anxiety: skill development as key for job satisfaction in the age of machines replacing human (2025)

    Yuan, Bocong ; Li, Jiannan ; Zhao, Hairong ;

    Zitatform

    Yuan, Bocong, Jiannan Li & Hairong Zhao (2025): Education pathways to mitigate automation anxiety: skill development as key for job satisfaction in the age of machines replacing human. In: International Journal of Manpower, Jg. 46, H. 9, S. 1676-1698. DOI:10.1108/ijm-02-2024-0093

    Abstract

    "Purpose: The application of intelligent machine in the workplace has led to increasing concern about technically induced unemployment. This study is to investigate the mechanism of how such risk affects the job satisfaction. Design/methodology/approach: We use the secondary data from SHARE (wave 8) and a longitudinal survey to examine the influence mechanism of how intelligent machine job substitution risk affects job satisfaction. Findings: Results show that intelligent machine job substitution risk has a negative impact on job satisfaction. Besides, skill development opportunity mediates the negative relation between intelligent machine job substitution risk and job satisfaction. Further, work support buffers the negative relation between intelligent machine job substitution risk and skill development opportunity, while enhancing the positive relation between skill development opportunity and job satisfaction. Originality/value: This study is the first to examine the mediation role of skill development opportunity in the relation between the intelligent machine job substitution risk and job satisfaction. Also, this study is the first to explore the role of work support in the above relation. This study enriches relevant research regarding the intelligent machine application in workplace and provides important insights for organization management." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Emerald Group) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Can inequality and intergenerational upward mobility coexist: the impact of skill-biased technological change (2025)

    Zou, Wei; Ma, Ruiqi; Zheng, Liming;

    Zitatform

    Zou, Wei, Liming Zheng & Ruiqi Ma (2025): Can inequality and intergenerational upward mobility coexist: the impact of skill-biased technological change. In: Applied Economics Letters, S. 1-8. DOI:10.1080/13504851.2025.2550571

    Abstract

    "We extend the Maoz and Moav (1999) model by introducing a CES production function to examine the impact of skill-biased technological change (SBTC) on inequality and intergenerational upward mobility. Our study shows that (1) when the production function shifts from a Cobb-Douglas form to a CES form, high-skilled workers rapidly converge to a unique steady state; (2) while SBTC exacerbates inequality, it raises the steady-state number of high-skilled workers, establishing a positive correlation between inequality and intergenerational upward mobility." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    New technology and workers’ perceived impact on job quality: Does labor organization matter? (2025)

    ten Berge, Jannes ; Dekker, Fabian;

    Zitatform

    ten Berge, Jannes & Fabian Dekker (2025): New technology and workers’ perceived impact on job quality: Does labor organization matter? In: Economic and Industrial Democracy, Jg. 46, H. 2, S. 619-654. DOI:10.1177/0143831x241265911

    Abstract

    "There is an emerging literature focusing on the impact of technological change on work quality. This study contributes to the literature by examining (1) workers’ expectations regarding the effect of technological change on perceived job insecurity, as well as physical and psychological job demands, and (2) how these expectations are shaped by the degree of labor organization within countries. The article uses cross-national data for 25 OECD countries. It is found that labor organization decreases perceived levels of job insecurity related to technological change, but also lowers workers’ expectations of technology improving the quality of their work. These findings may indicate that in environments where technological change is less strongly moderated by organized labor, workers put greater emphasis on technology as a driver of (short-term) work changes. Alternatively, these findings may signal a lack of ‘worker power’ of organized labor to enforce technologies that improve the quality of employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: Which Jobs Will AI Replace After All?: A New Index of Occupational Exposure (2024)

    Benítez, Miguel; Parrado, Eric;

    Zitatform

    Benítez, Miguel & Eric Parrado (2024): Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: Which Jobs Will AI Replace After All?: A New Index of Occupational Exposure. (Working papers / Inter-American Development Bank 13696), Washington, DC, 33 S. DOI:10.1823

    Abstract

    "This paper introduces the AI Generated Index of Occupational Exposure (GENOE), a novel measure quantifying the potential impact of artificial intelligence on occupations and their associated tasks. Our methodology employs synthetic AI surveys, leveraging large language models to conduct expert-like assessments. This approach allows for a more comprehensive evaluation of job replacement likelihood, minimizing human bias and reducing assumptions about the mechanisms through which AI innovations could replace job tasks and skills. The index not only considers task automation, but also contextual factors such as social and ethical considerations and regulatory constraints that may affect the likelihood of replacement. Our findings indicate that the average likelihood of job replacement is estimated at 0.28 in the next year, increasing to 0.38 and 0.44 over the next five and ten years, respectively. To validate our methodology, we successfully replicate other measures of occupational exposure that rely on human expert assessments, substituting these with AI-based evaluations. The GENOE index provides valuable insights for policymakers, employers, and workers, offering a data-driven foundation for strategic workforce planning and adaptation in the face of rapid technological change." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Rolle der Künstlichen Intelligenz in der Elektro- und Informationstechnik: VDE „Studium, Beruf und Gesellschaft“ (2024)

    Bockelmann, Carsten; Zeller, Niclas; Lehnhoff, Sebastian; Hanuschkin, Alexander; Wübben, Dirk; Klischat, Cosima; Haja, Andreas; Magdowski, Mathias; Van, Hoai My; Matthes, Britta ; Dudek, Damian; Rigoll, Gerhard; Lehnhoff, Sebastian; Schanz, Michael;

    Zitatform

    Bockelmann, Carsten, Damian Dudek, Andreas Haja, Alexander Hanuschkin, Cosima Klischat, Sebastian Lehnhoff, Mathias Magdowski, Britta Matthes, Gerhard Rigoll, Michael Schanz, Hoai My Van, Dirk Wübben & Niclas Zeller (2024): Rolle der Künstlichen Intelligenz in der Elektro- und Informationstechnik. VDE „Studium, Beruf und Gesellschaft“. 43 S.

    Abstract

    "Dieses Papier zeigt, wo bereits heute in den verschiedenen Fachgebieten der Elektro- und Informationstechnik die Künstliche Intelligenz eine wichtige und insbesondere selbstverständliche Rolle spielt. Dabei besteht eine wechselseitige Beziehung: KI ist nicht nur Mittel zum Zweck – mächtiges Werkzeug zum Lösen elektrotechnischer Aufgabenstellungen sowie Helferlein im Arbeitsalltag – sondern auch Gegenstand der elektrotechnischen Forschung bzw. wird durch elektrotechnische Verfahren z.B. in der Nachrichtentechnik unterstützt. An vielen Stellen kommt die KI (noch) an ihre Grenzen. Wir zeigen, wo diese liegen und geben Ausblicke. Einen weiteren Schwerpunkt bildet die Auseinandersetzung mit dem Thema „KI in der elektrotechnischen Lehre“ sowie die Nutzung von Large Language Models im Studium und beim wissenschaftlichen Arbeiten. Wir lernen außerdem den Unterschied zwischen Data Scientist und Elektroingenieur in der Nachrichtentechnik kennen. Auch die Frage „Wird die KI Elektroingenieurinnen und Elektroingenieure ersetzen?“ klären wir hier mit Hilfe einer einschlägigen Berufsforscherin auf." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Matthes, Britta ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Robot Imports and Firm-Level Outcomes (2024)

    Bonfiglioli, Alessandra ; Crinò, Rosario ; Gancia, Gino ; Fadinger, Harald;

    Zitatform

    Bonfiglioli, Alessandra, Rosario Crinò, Harald Fadinger & Gino Gancia (2024): Robot Imports and Firm-Level Outcomes. In: The Economic Journal, Jg. 134, H. 664, S. 3428-3444. DOI:10.1093/ej/ueae055

    Abstract

    "We use French data over the 1994-2013 period to study how imports of industrial robots affect firm-level outcomes. Guided by a simple model, we develop a novel empirical strategy to identify the causal effects of robot adoption. Our results suggest that, while demand shocks generate a positive correlation between robot imports and employment at the firm level, exogenous exposure to automation leads to job losses. We also find that robot exposure increases labor productivity and some evidence that it may raise the relative demand for high-skill professions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Digitalisierung der Arbeitswelt: Mögliche Auswirkungen auf den Arbeitsmarkt in Hessen – Aktualisierung 2022 (2024)

    Burkert, Carola ; Jahn, Daniel; Röhrig, Annette;

    Zitatform

    Burkert, Carola, Annette Röhrig & Daniel Jahn (2024): Digitalisierung der Arbeitswelt: Mögliche Auswirkungen auf den Arbeitsmarkt in Hessen – Aktualisierung 2022. (IAB-Regional. Berichte und Analysen aus dem Regionalen Forschungsnetz. IAB Hessen 02/2024), Nürnberg, 26 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.REH.2402

    Abstract

    "Der Einsatz von neuen digitalen Technologien wird die Arbeitswelt verändern, und auch – oder gerade – Hochqualifizierte werden betroffen sein. Das Substituierbarkeitspotenzial gibt an, in welchem Ausmaß Berufe gegenwärtig potenziell durch den Einsatz von Computern oder computergesteuerten Maschinen ersetzbar sind. Es entspricht dem Anteil an Tätigkeiten in einem Beruf, die schon heute durch den Einsatz moderner Technologien ersetzt werden könnten. Die vorliegende Studie zeigt, wie sehr sich die Arbeitswelt bereits verändert hat. Allerdings ist zu betonen, dass die Studie das technisch Mögliche der Ersetzbarkeit des Menschen durch die Maschine untersucht. Ob dies am Ende wirklich so eintrifft, steht nicht fest. Sicher ist aber: Für Unternehmen und Beschäftigte wird vor allem die permanente Weiterqualifizierung bzw. lebenslanges Lernen noch mehr an Gewicht gewinnen. In diesem IAB-Regional präsentieren wir die neuen Werte des Substituierbarkeitspotenzials 2022 für Hessen anhand der Anforderungsniveaus und der Berufssegmente und stellen teilweise auch die Entwicklung von 2013 bis 2022 dar. Weiterhin betrachten wir die Betroffenheit von Auswirkungen des Einsatzes neuer Technologien in Hessen, indem wir die Anteile sozialversicherungspflichtig Beschäftigter in Berufen mit niedrigem, mittlerem und hohem Substituierbarkeitspotenzial analysieren und untersuchen den Zusammenhang zwischen Substituierbarkeitspotenzialen und Beschäftigungsentwicklung." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Digitale und KI-Technologien verändern inzwischen verstärkt auch die Arbeitswelt von Frauen (2024)

    Burkert, Carola ; Matthes, Britta ; Grienberger, Katharina; Röhrig, Annette;

    Zitatform

    Burkert, Carola, Katharina Grienberger, Britta Matthes & Annette Röhrig (2024): Digitale und KI-Technologien verändern inzwischen verstärkt auch die Arbeitswelt von Frauen. In: IAB-Forum – Grafik aktuell H. 06.09.2024, 2024-08-28. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.GA.20240906.01

    Abstract

    "Durch die Digitalisierung und den Einsatz von KI-Technologien können immer mehr berufliche Tätigkeiten automatisiert werden. Dieser Anteil wird als Substituierbarkeitspotenzial bezeichnet. Immer mehr Beschäftigte arbeiten in Berufen mit einem hohen Substituierbarkeitspotenzial. Dabei verändert sich die Arbeitswelt der Frauen mittlerweile stärker als die der Männer." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Spatial and Occupational Mobility of Workers Due to Automation (2024)

    Burzyński, Michał ;

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    Burzyński, Michał (2024): Spatial and Occupational Mobility of Workers Due to Automation. (LISER working papers 2024-04), Esch-sur-Alzette, 52 S.

    Abstract

    "Automation of labor tasks is one of the most dynamic aspects of recent technological progress. This paper aims at improving our understanding of the way that automation affects labor markets, analyzing the example of European countries. The quantitative theoretical methodology proposed in this paper allows to focus on automation-induced migration of workers, occupation switching and income inequality. The key findings include that automation in the first two decades of the 21st century had a significant impact on job upgrading of native workers and generated gains in many local labor markets. Even though net migration of workers was attenuated due to convergence in incomes across European regions, mobility at occupation levels had a sizeable impact on transmitting welfare effects of automation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Unemployment and the direction of technical change (2024)

    Casey, Gregory ;

    Zitatform

    Casey, Gregory (2024): Unemployment and the direction of technical change. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 168. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104802

    Abstract

    "I construct and analyze a growth model in which technical change can increase unemployment. I first analyze the forces that deliver a constant steady state unemployment rate in this setting. Labor-saving technical change increases unemployment, which lowers wages and creates incentives for future investment in labor-using technologies. In the long run, this interaction generates a balanced growth path that is observationally equivalent to that of the standard neoclassical growth model, except that it also incorporates a positive steady state level of unemployment and a falling relative price of investment. I also study the effects of a permanent increase in the ability of R&D to improve labor-saving technologies. In the long run, this change leads to faster growth in output per worker and wages, but it also yields higher unemployment and a lower labor share of income. In the short run, this change exacerbates existing inefficiencies and slows economic growth." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    How Scary Is the Risk of Automation? Evidence from a Large Scale Survey Experiment (2024)

    Cattaneo, Maria Alejandra; Gschwendt, Christian ; Wolter, Stefan C. ;

    Zitatform

    Cattaneo, Maria Alejandra, Christian Gschwendt & Stefan C. Wolter (2024): How Scary Is the Risk of Automation? Evidence from a Large Scale Survey Experiment. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17097), Bonn, 36 S.

    Abstract

    "Advances in technology have always reshaped labor markets. Automating human labor has lead to job losses and creation but most of all, for an increasing demand for highly skilled workers. However, emerging AI innovations like ChatGPT may reduce labor demand in high skilled occupations previously considered "safe" from automation. While initial studies suggest that individuals adjust their educational and career choices to mitigate automation risk, it is unknown what people would be willing to pay for a reduced automation risk. This study quantifies this value by assessing individuals' preferences for occupations in a discrete-choice experiment with almost 6'000 participants. The results show that survey respondents are willing to accept a salary reduction equivalent to almost 20 percent of the median annual gross wage to work in an occupation with a 10 percentage point lower risk of automation. Although the preferences are quite homogeneous, there are still some significant differences in willingness to pay between groups, with men, younger people, those with higher levels of education, and those with a higher risk tolerance showing a lower willingness to pay for lower automation risk." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Intellectualization and substitution elasticity of capital on the labour force in logistics enterprises: evidence from China and the United States (2024)

    Chen, Xi ; Cai, Xiang Wen ; Chen, Cheng ; Ding, Xu; Song, Le ;

    Zitatform

    Chen, Xi, Xiang Wen Cai, Xu Ding, Le Song & Cheng Chen (2024): Intellectualization and substitution elasticity of capital on the labour force in logistics enterprises: evidence from China and the United States. In: Applied Economics Letters, Jg. 31, H. 5, S. 395-400. DOI:10.1080/13504851.2022.2136615

    Abstract

    "This paper addresses the substitution elasticity of capital on the labor force in the context of the development of intellectualization. Given the substitution of capital for labor, China's benchmark listed logistics companies are compared with an American company to discuss the evolution of capital - labor substitution. A large-scale intellectualization process began in 2017, and based on a variable elasticity of substitution, this paper creates an econometric model of substitution elasticity between capital and labor and its evolution between 2017 and 2021. The American logistics company UPS maintains a relatively high level of substitution elasticity, and Chinese logistics companies are quickly catching up. The substitution elasticity of capital on labor in Chinese enterprises trends upward year after year. In 2021, the capital - labor substitution elasticity of logistics enterprises in both countries showed considerable growth. The calculation model of substitution elasticity presented in this paper can be extended to different regions and industries to measure intelligent development levels and the relationship between capital and the labor force." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Who is Replaced by Robots? Robotization and the Risk of Unemployment for Different Types of Workers (2024)

    Damelang, Andreas ; Otto, Michael ;

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    Damelang, Andreas & Michael Otto (2024): Who is Replaced by Robots? Robotization and the Risk of Unemployment for Different Types of Workers. In: Work and occupations, Jg. 51, H. 2, S. 181-206. DOI:10.1177/07308884231162953

    Abstract

    "We study the effects of robotization on unemployment risk for different types of workers. We examine the extent to which robotization increases inequality at the skill level and at the occupational level using two theoretical frameworks: skill-biased technological change and task-biased technological change. Empirically, we combine worker-level data with information on actual investments in industrial robots. Zooming in on the German manufacturing industry, our multivariate results show that robotization affects different types of workers differently. We do not observe an increase in unemployment risk for low- and medium-skilled, but we find a considerably lower unemployment risk among high-skilled workers. Moreover, the unemployment risk is significantly higher in occupations with highly substitutable tasks, but only in industries that invest largely in robots." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © SAGE) ((en))

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    Labor supply and automation innovation: Evidence from an allocation policy (2024)

    Danzer, Alexander M. ; Gaessler, Fabian ; Feuerbaum, Carsten;

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    Danzer, Alexander M., Carsten Feuerbaum & Fabian Gaessler (2024): Labor supply and automation innovation: Evidence from an allocation policy. In: Journal of Public Economics, Jg. 235. DOI:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105136

    Abstract

    "Despite a longstanding interest in the potential substitution of labor and capital, limited empirical evidence exists regarding the causal relationship between labor supply and the development of labor-saving technologies. This study examines the impact of exogenous changes in regional labor supply on automation innovation by leveraging a German immigrant allocation policy during the 1990s and 2000s. The findings reveal that an increase in the low-skilled workforce reduces automation innovation, as measured by patents. This reduction is most pronounced for large firms within the manufacturing sector and primarily concerns process-related automation innovations. This suggests that the effect is channeled through changes in internal demand for automation innovation. Consistent with a labor scarcity mechanism, the effect is confined to tight labor markets." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Wie bewältigen Regionen die digitale und ökologische Transformation von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt? (Podium) (2024)

    Dauth, Wolfgang ; Solms, Anna; Grienberger, Katharina; Lehmer, Florian ; Moritz, Michael ; Müller, Steffen ; Fitzenberger, Bernd ; Plümpe, Verena; Falck, Oliver ; Bauer, Anja ; Sonnenburg, Anja; Janser, Markus ; Schneemann, Christian ; Diegmann, André ; Matthes, Britta ; Solms, Anna;

    Zitatform

    Dauth, Wolfgang & Michael Moritz; Katharina Grienberger, Florian Lehmer, Steffen Müller, Bernd Fitzenberger, Verena Plümpe, Oliver Falck, Anja Bauer, Anja Sonnenburg, Markus Janser, Christian Schneemann, André Diegmann, Britta Matthes & Anna Solms (sonst. bet. Pers.) (2024): Wie bewältigen Regionen die digitale und ökologische Transformation von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt? (Podium). In: IAB-Forum H. 06.05.2024. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20240506.01

    Abstract

    "Was bedeuten die absehbaren Transformationsprozesse der kommenden Jahrzehnte auf regionaler Ebene und wie können sie gemeistert werden? Antworten auf diese Fragen gab der IWH/IAB-Workshop zur Arbeitsmarktpolitik, der in diesem Jahr erstmals am IAB in Nürnberg stattfand." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Who Is AI Replacing? The Impact of Generative AI on Online Freelancing Platforms (2024)

    Demirci, Ozge ; Zhu, Xinrong ; Hannane, Jonas;

    Zitatform

    Demirci, Ozge, Jonas Hannane & Xinrong Zhu (2024): Who Is AI Replacing? The Impact of Generative AI on Online Freelancing Platforms. (CESifo working paper 11276), München, 22 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper studies the impact of Generative AI technologies on the demand for online freelancers using a large dataset from a leading global freelancing platform. We identify the types of jobs that are more affected by Generative AI and quantify the magnitude of the heterogeneous impact. Our findings indicate a 21% decrease in the number of job posts for automation-prone jobs related to writing and coding, compared to jobs requiring manual-intensive skills, within eight months after the introduction of ChatGPT. We show that the reduction in the number of job posts increases competition among freelancers while the remaining automation-prone jobs are of greater complexity and offer higher pay. We also find that the introduction of Image-generating AI technologies led to a 17% decrease in the number of job posts related to image creation. We use Google Trends to show that the more pronounced decline in the demand for freelancers within automation-prone jobs correlates with their higher public awareness of ChatGPT’s substitutability." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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