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FDZ-Literatur / FDZ Literature

Die FDZ-Literaturdatenbank umfasst neben Datensatzbeschreibungen und Methodenberichten die zahlreichen Forschungsarbeiten, die auf Basis der am FDZ angebotenen Daten entstanden sind. Hier finden Sie aktuell laufende Projekte von FDZ-Nutzenden.
Darüber hinaus stehen die Literaturdatenbank zum IAB-Betriebspanel sowie die Literaturdatenbank zum PASS zur Verfügung.

Apart from dataset descriptions and methodology reports, the FDZ literature database contains numerous research papers written on the basis of the data provided by the FDZ. Here you can find currently ungoing research projects of FDZ users.
In addition, literature databases on the IAB Establishment Panel and the Panel Study Labour Market and Social Security (PASS) are available for research.

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im Aspekt "Stichprobe der Integr. Arbeitsmarktbiografien/Sample of integrated labour market biographies (SIAB)"
  • Literaturhinweis

    Der Bauarbeitsmarkt: Soziologie und Ökonomie einer Branche (2022)

    Bosch, Gerhard; Weinkopf, Claudia ; Hüttenhoff, Frederic; Kalina, Thorsten; Kümmerling, Angelika;

    Zitatform

    Bosch, Gerhard & Frederic Hüttenhoff (2022): Der Bauarbeitsmarkt. Soziologie und Ökonomie einer Branche. Frankfurt am Main: Campus-Verl., 346 S. DOI:10.12907/978-3-593-45011-7

    Abstract

    "In der deutschen Bauwirtschaft haben die Sozialpartner in der Nachkriegszeit mit ihren Sozialkassen ein vorbildliches System der Finanzierung der Berufsausbildung und der sozialen Sicherung aufgebaut. Zusätzlich wurde mit dem Saisonkurzarbeitergeld ein arbeitsmarktpolitisches Instrument zur Beschäftigungssicherung entwickelt. Dieses Buch untersucht die Entwicklungen der Bauwirtschaft und ihrer besonderen Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen der vergangenen Jahrzehnte. Ein besonderes Augenmerk liegt auf den Versuchen der Sozialpartner und der Politik, die Erosion der bauspezifischen Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen durch Reformen zu verhindern, um auch in Zukunft den Fachkräftebedarf der Branche zu sichern." (Verlagsangaben, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Curious Incidence of Monetary Policy Across the Income Distribution (2022)

    Broer, Tobias ; Kramer, John; Mitman, Kurt ;

    Zitatform

    Broer, Tobias, John Kramer & Kurt Mitman (2022): The Curious Incidence of Monetary Policy Across the Income Distribution. (Sveriges Riksbank working paper series 416), Stockholm, 36 S.

    Abstract

    "We use high-frequency administrative data from Germany to study the effects of monetary policy on income and employment across the earnings distribution. Earnings growth at the bottom of the distribution is substantially more elastic to policy shocks. This unequal incidence is driven by differences in the response of employment risk across the distribution: job loss is more countercyclical for lower-earnings households. Viewed through the lens of a standard incomplete-markets model, the heterogeneous incidence substantially amplifies the equilibrium response of aggregate consumption to shocks." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Raising the Bar: Minimum Wages and Employers' Hiring Standards (2022)

    Butschek, Sebastian;

    Zitatform

    Butschek, Sebastian (2022): Raising the Bar: Minimum Wages and Employers' Hiring Standards. In: American Economic Journal. Economic Policy, Jg. 14, H. 2, S. 91-124. DOI:10.1257/pol.20190534

    Abstract

    "Many scholars have studied the employment effects of minimum wages, but little is known about effects on the composition of hires. I investigate whether Germany's minimum wage introduction raised hiring standards, using worker fixed effects as a proxy for worker productivity. For the least productive workers hired, the minimum wage led to a 4 percentile point shift in the productivity distribution. This increase is missed using standard observable measures of worker productivity. The effects are larger with greater pre-reform screening intensity—indicating an employer response. This more selective hiring compensates about two-thirds of higher wage costs for the least productive hires." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Why do some occupations offer more part-time work than others? Reciprocal dynamics in occupational gender segregation and occupational part-time work in West Germany, 1976–2010 (2022)

    Bächmann, Ann-Christin ; Leuze, Kathrin ; Kleinert, Corinna ; Gatermann, Dörthe;

    Zitatform

    Bächmann, Ann-Christin, Dörthe Gatermann, Corinna Kleinert & Kathrin Leuze (2022): Why do some occupations offer more part-time work than others? Reciprocal dynamics in occupational gender segregation and occupational part-time work in West Germany, 1976–2010. In: Social science research, Jg. 104, 2021-12-13. DOI:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2021.102685

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes the reciprocal relationship between occupational gender segregation and occupational part-time work in West Germany over time. Based on a unique occupational panel dataset covering 254 occupations between 1976 and 2010, we apply static, dynamic, and Arellano-Bond panel models to account for reverse causality and endogeneity. Results indicate that trends in occupational part-time rates and gender ratios mutually reinforce each other but not in the same manner. Part-time work in occupations increases once more women start working in these occupations. Occupational part-time ratios are mainly driven by married women and mothers; women's education level only plays a minor role. Vice versa, the gender composition of occupations is likewise affected by changing working-time arrangements, at least in the short run, but it is mainly driven by previous levels of occupational gender segregation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Bächmann, Ann-Christin ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of Higher Minimum Wages (2022)

    Drechsel-Grau, Moritz;

    Zitatform

    Drechsel-Grau, Moritz (2022): Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of Higher Minimum Wages. (Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2022: Big Data in Economics), Kiel, 60 S.

    Abstract

    "While many countries are discussing substantial increases in the minimum wage, policy makers lack a comprehensive analysis of the macroeconomic and distributional consequences of raising the minimum wage. This paper investigates how employment, output and worker welfare respond to increases in the minimum wage beyond observable levels – both in the short- and long run. To that end, I incorporate endogenous job search effort, differences in employment levels, and a progressive tax-transfer system into a search-matching model with worker and firm heterogeneity. I estimate my model using German administrative and survey data. The model replicates the muted employment response, as well as the reallocation effects in terms of productivity and employment levels documented by reduced form research on the German introduction of a federal minimum wage in 2015. Simulating the model, I find that long-run employment increases slightly until the minimum wage is equal to 60% of the full-time median wage (Kaitz index) as higher search effort offsets lower vacancy posting. In addition, raising the minimum wage reallocates workers towards fulltime jobs and high-productivity firms. Total hours worked and output peak at Kaitz indices of 73% and 79%. However, policy makers face an important inter-temporal trade-off as large minimum wage hikes lead to substantial job destruction, unemployment and recessions in the short-run. Finally, I show that raising the minimum wage largely benefits men. For women, who often rely on low-hours jobs, the disutility from working longer hours outweighs the utility of higher incomes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Latest Version February 23, 2023
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Essays on Consequences of a Negative Economic Shock on Migration and Expectations: Evidence from the reunification of East and West Germany (2022)

    Emmler, Julian; Fitzenberger, Bernd ;

    Zitatform

    Emmler, Julian (2022): Essays on Consequences of a Negative Economic Shock on Migration and Expectations. Evidence from the reunification of East and West Germany. Berlin, 163 S. DOI:10.18452/24403

    Abstract

    "Diese Dissertation analysiert die Effekte der deutschen Wiedervereinigung auf Erwartungen über die Arbeitsplatzsicherheit von ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer/innen nach der Wiedervereinigung, auf Ihre Entscheidung in den Westen zu migrieren und diskutiert zudem den Arbeitsmarkterfolg der ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer/innen die migrierten. Im ersten Kapitel zeige ich, dass kurz nach der Wiedervereinigung der Anteil der ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer/innen die erwarteten ihren Arbeitsplatz zu verlieren, substanziell höher war als der Anteil derjenigen, die ihn tatsächlich verloren. Der Anteil der erwarteten Arbeitsplatzverluste fiel im Anschluss aber substantiell. Dies wurde durch eine Verbesserung der wirtschaftlichen Situation in Ostdeutschland beeinflusst und durch eine veränderte Interpretation von ökonomischen Signalen durch die Arbeitnehmer/innen. Das zweite Kapitel enthält kausale Schätzungen von Migrationsgewinnen von ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer/innen die nach der Wiedervereinigung nach Westdeutschland migriert sind. Diese Migranten erlebten oftmals einen substantiellen Rückgang in ihren Arbeitseinnahmen in den Monaten vor Migration, verursacht durch steigende Arbeitslosigkeit. Unter Verwendung von Inverse Probability Weighting und zweier Kontrollgruppen zeige ich, dass Erwartungen über die persönliche Arbeitsmarktentwicklung in der Herkunftsregion eine wichtige Rolle für die erwarteten Migrationsgewinne spielen. Im dritten Kapitel dokumentiere ich, dass sich die Mehrheit der ostdeutschen Arbeitnehmer welche zwischen 1994 - 2008 nach Westdeutschland migrierten, nach der Migration am untersten Ende der Verteilung der Verdienste in Westdeutschland eingeordnet haben. Dies kann unter anderem dadurch erklärt werden, dass Migranten oft in Industrien arbeiteten, die ein niedriges Lohnniveau in Westdeutschland aufwiesen, durch eine Entwertung des Humankapitals durch den Strukturwandel in Ostdeutschland und durch geringe Erträge für existierendes Humankapital." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Fitzenberger, Bernd ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Changing selection into full-time work and its effect on wage inequality in Germany (2022)

    Fitzenberger, Bernd ; Lazzer, Jakob de;

    Zitatform

    Fitzenberger, Bernd & Jakob de Lazzer (2022): Changing selection into full-time work and its effect on wage inequality in Germany. In: Empirical economics, Jg. 62, H. 1, S. 247-277., 2021-06-17. DOI:10.1007/s00181-021-02098-0

    Abstract

    "To explore whether changes in the selection into full-time work among German men were a driver in the rise in wage inequality since the mid-1990s, we propose a modification of selection-corrected quantile regressions. Addressing Huber and Melly’s (J Appl Econom 30(7):1144–1168, 2015) concerns, this modification allows us to estimate the effects of selection with respect to both observables and unobservables. Our findings show that those employed in 1995 would have had lower wages in 2010 than those employed in 2010 and wage dispersion would have been higher, suggesting that full-time workers have become less heterogeneous over time." (Author's abstract, © 2021 Springer Nature) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Fitzenberger, Bernd ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    The role of labor demand in the labor market effects of a pension reform (2022)

    Geyer, Johannes ; Haan, Peter; Bruns, Mona; Lorenz, Svenja; Zwick, Thomas ;

    Zitatform

    Geyer, Johannes, Peter Haan, Svenja Lorenz, Thomas Zwick & Mona Bruns (2022): The role of labor demand in the labor market effects of a pension reform. In: Industrial Relations, Jg. 61, H. 2, S. 152-192. DOI:10.1111/irel.12293

    Abstract

    "This paper shows that labor demand plays an important role in the labor market reactions to a pension reform in Germany. Employers with a high share of older worker inflow compared with their younger worker inflow, employers in sectors with few investments in research and development, and employers in sectors with a high share of collective bargaining agreements allow their employees to stay employed longer after the reform. These employers offer their older employees partial retirement instead of forcing them into unemployment before early retirement because the older employees incur low substitution costs and high dismissal costs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The impact of EU immigration on labour market outcomes in Germany over the past decade (2022)

    Hammer, Luisa ; Hertweck, Matthias Sebastian;

    Zitatform

    Hammer, Luisa & Matthias Sebastian Hertweck (2022): The impact of EU immigration on labour market outcomes in Germany over the past decade. (Research Brief / Deutsche Bundesbank 45 (en)), Frankfurt am Main, 4 S.

    Abstract

    "Im Vergleich zu früheren Arbeiten zum Zuwanderungsgeschehen in Deutschland während der 1990er-Jahre (zum Beispiel D’Amuri et al., 2010) fallen in der vorliegenden Studie insbesondere die Beschäftigungseffekte der EU-Zuwanderung im vergangenen Jahrzehnt deutlich positiver aus. Dieser Befund ist vermutlich auf das Zusammenspiel zweier Faktoren zurückzuführen: Zum einen ist der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt in den vergangenen 20 Jahren deutlich flexibler geworden. Die Beschäftigungsverhältnisse in den neu entstandenen Wirtschaftszweigen wie der Zeitarbeit werden zwar niedrig entlohnt, bieten Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderern aber niedrigschwellige Möglichkeiten, erste Erfahrungen auf dem deutschen Arbeitsmarkt zu erwerben. Zum anderen förderte die EU-Arbeitnehmerfreizügigkeit diejenige arbeitsmarktorientierte Zuwanderung, die passgenau auf die Erfordernisse des deutschen Arbeitsmarkts ausgerichtet war. Somit schlossen EU-Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderer die Lücken, die durch ansässige Arbeitskräfte nur schlecht gefüllt werden konnten. Eine Verdrängung von ansässigen Arbeitskräften fand daher nicht statt. Vielmehr hat der Zuzug von Arbeitskräften aus der EU möglicherweise dazu beigetragen, dass Ansässige leichter neu geschaffene Stellen fanden, die sich in Unternehmen gut mit den relativ niedrig bezahlten Arbeitsplätzen der EU-Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderer ergänzten." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Hammer, Luisa ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Der Beitrag der EU-Zuwanderung zur Entwicklung des deutschen Arbeitsmarkts im vergangenen Jahrzehnt (2022)

    Hammer, Luisa ; Hertweck, Matthias Sebastian;

    Zitatform

    Hammer, Luisa & Matthias Sebastian Hertweck (2022): Der Beitrag der EU-Zuwanderung zur Entwicklung des deutschen Arbeitsmarkts im vergangenen Jahrzehnt. (Research Brief / Deutsche Bundesbank 45 (de)), Frankfurt am Main, 4 S.

    Abstract

    "Im Vergleich zu früheren Arbeiten zum Zuwanderungsgeschehen in Deutschland während der 1990er-Jahre (zum Beispiel D’Amuri et al., 2010) fallen in der vorliegenden Studie insbesondere die Beschäftigungseffekte der EU-Zuwanderung im vergangenen Jahrzehnt deutlich positiver aus. Dieser Befund ist vermutlich auf das Zusammenspiel zweier Faktoren zurückzuführen: Zum einen ist der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt in den vergangenen 20 Jahren deutlich flexibler geworden. Die Beschäftigungsverhältnisse in den neu entstandenen Wirtschaftszweigen wie der Zeitarbeit werden zwar niedrig entlohnt, bieten Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderern aber niedrigschwellige Möglichkeiten, erste Erfahrungen auf dem deutschen Arbeitsmarkt zu erwerben. Zum anderen förderte die EU-Arbeitnehmerfreizügigkeit diejenige arbeitsmarktorientierte Zuwanderung, die passgenau auf die Erfordernisse des deutschen Arbeitsmarkts ausgerichtet war. Somit schlossen EU-Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderer die Lücken, die durch ansässige Arbeitskräfte nur schlecht gefüllt werden konnten. Eine Verdrängung von ansässigen Arbeitskräften fand daher nicht statt. Vielmehr hat der Zuzug von Arbeitskräften aus der EU möglicherweise dazu beigetragen, dass Ansässige leichter neu geschaffene Stellen fanden, die sich in Unternehmen gut mit den relativ niedrig bezahlten Arbeitsplätzen der EU-Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderer ergänzten." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Hammer, Luisa ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    EU enlargement and (temporary) migration: Effects on labour market outcomes in Germany (2022)

    Hammer, Luisa ; Hertweck, Matthias S. ;

    Zitatform

    Hammer, Luisa & Matthias S. Hertweck (2022): EU enlargement and (temporary) migration: Effects on labour market outcomes in Germany. (Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank 2022,02), Frankfurt am Main, 57 S.

    Abstract

    "EU Eastern Enlargement elicited a rise in (temporary) labour market oriented immigration to Germany starting in May 2011. Taking into account that not all immigrants stay permanently and that outmigration flows are selective, this paper classifies recent EU immigrants into “new arrivals” and “stayers” drawing on administrative social security data (2005-2017). This novel strategy allows us to separately identify their potentially opposing short- and medium-run effects on labour market outcomes in Germany. We find a transitory negative wage effect among German nationals, particularly at the bottom of the wage distribution; and a permanent positive effect on full-time employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Hammer, Luisa ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Unemployment insurance reforms and labor market dynamics (2022)

    Hartung, Benjamin; Kuhn, Moritz ; Jung, Philip ;

    Zitatform

    Hartung, Benjamin, Philip Jung & Moritz Kuhn (2022): Unemployment insurance reforms and labor market dynamics. Bonn, 83 S.

    Abstract

    "A key question in labor market research is how the unemployment insurance system affects unemployment rates and labor market dynamics. We provide new answers to this old question by studying one of the largest unemployment insurance reforms in recent decades, the German Hartz reforms. On average, lower separation rates into unemployment account for 76% of declining unemployment after the reform, a fact unexplained by existing research focusing on job-finding rates. Exploiting institutional changes by age, employment duration, and wages, we establish a causal link between the reform and changes in labor market dynamics. Relying on labor market theory, we generalize our empirical findings beyond the German case and establish separation rate changes as an important macroeconomic adjustment channel after UI reforms. We derive analytically that the change of separation rates increases in proportion to average unemployment duration suggesting an equally important role for most other European labor markets." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Untold Story of Midijobs (2022)

    Herget, Anne; Riphahn, Regina T. ;

    Zitatform

    Herget, Anne & Regina T. Riphahn (2022): The Untold Story of Midijobs. In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Jg. 242, H. 3, S. 309-341. DOI:10.1515/jbnst-2021-0025

    Abstract

    "Midijobs are employment relationships with moderate monthly earnings that benefit from payroll tax subsidies. Since 2003, the subsidy is universally available for all regions, industries, individuals, and employers in Germany. Recently, more than 2.9 million individuals, i.e., almost 9 percent of the German labor force covered by the social security system took advantage of Midijobs. This paper describes the program, its motivation, and utilization over time. We characterize the labor market transitions leading into and out of Midijob employment, the duration of Midijob utilization, and compare recent developments with patterns of program utilization that were observed early on." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Beschäftigungsperspektiven für gering Qualifizierte (2022)

    Kalina, Thorsten;

    Zitatform

    Kalina, Thorsten (2022): Beschäftigungsperspektiven für gering Qualifizierte. (IAQ-Report 2022-08), Duisburg ; Essen, 18 S. DOI:10.17185/duepublico/74324

    Abstract

    "Nachdem die Beschäftigung gering Qualifizierter lange rückläufig war, hat sie in den letzten Jahren leicht zugenommen. Gut 12 % der Beschäftigung entfiel auf den Bereich Lagerwirtschaft, Post- und Zustellungsberufe. In diesem Berufsbereich war das Beschäftigungswachstum für gering Qualifizierte zwischen 2012 und 2019 mit 28 % auch am stärksten. Rund 60 % der gering Qualifizierten waren 2019 als Fachkräfte tätig. Hierbei handelt es sich um einen Graubereich an Tätigkeiten, die anspruchsvoller sind als reine Helfertätigkeiten, aber nicht unbedingt eine dreijährige Berufsausbildung voraussetzen. Politischer Handlungsbedarf besteht bei der Abgrenzung von Helfer- und Fachkrafttätigkeiten, was sich auch in der Entlohnung widerspiegeln muss. Zudem sind das Nachholen von Ausbildungsabschlüssen und die Zertifizierung von Teilqualifikationen wichtige Ansatzpunkte, um die Arbeitsmarktlage von gering Qualifizierten weiter zu verbessern." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Occupational Tasks and Wage Inequality in Germany: A Decomposition Analysis (2022)

    Koomen, Miriam; Backes-Gellner, Uschi ;

    Zitatform

    Koomen, Miriam & Uschi Backes-Gellner (2022): Occupational Tasks and Wage Inequality in Germany: A Decomposition Analysis. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 15702), Bonn, 66 S.

    Abstract

    "We study the role of occupational tasks as drivers of West German wage inequality. We match administrative wage data with longitudinal task data, which allows us to account for within-occupation changes in task content over time. We run RIF regression-based decompositions to quantify the contribution of changes in the returns to tasks to overall changes in the wage distribution from 1978 to 2006. We find that changes in the returns to tasks explain up to half of the increase in wage inequality since the 1990s, both at the top and the bottom of the wage distribution. Specifically, abstract tasks drive the upper wage gap, while interactive and routine tasks drive the lower wage gap. Importantly, we find low-wage occupations to have the highest routine task intensity. The association between occupational tasks and West German wage inequality is thus both stronger and different than prior research has found." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Occupational tasks and wage inequality in West Germany: A decomposition analysis (2022)

    Koomen, Miriam; Backes-Gellner, Uschi ;

    Zitatform

    Koomen, Miriam & Uschi Backes-Gellner (2022): Occupational tasks and wage inequality in West Germany: A decomposition analysis. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 79. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2022.102284

    Abstract

    "We study the role of occupational tasks as drivers of West German wage inequality. We match administrative wage data with longitudinal task data, which allow us to account for within-occupation changes in task content over time. We run RIF regression-based decompositions to quantify the contribution of changes in the returns to tasks to overall changes in the wage distribution from 1978 to 2006. We find that changes in the returns to tasks explain up to half of the increase in wage inequality since the 1990s, both at the top and the bottom of the wage distribution. Specifically, abstract tasks drive the upper wage gap, while interactive and routine tasks drive the lower wage gap. Importantly, we find low-wage occupations to have the highest routine task intensity. The association between occupational tasks and West German wage inequality is thus both stronger and different than prior research has found." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2022 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Beware of the employer: Financial incentives for employees may fail to prolong old-age employment (2022)

    Lorenz, Svenja; Bruns, Mona; Zwick, Thomas ;

    Zitatform

    Lorenz, Svenja, Thomas Zwick & Mona Bruns (2022): Beware of the employer: Financial incentives for employees may fail to prolong old-age employment. In: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Jg. 21. DOI:10.1016/j.jeoa.2021.100363

    Abstract

    "We show that a stepwise increase in the normal retirement age (NRA) by up to five years and the introduction of actuarial pension deductions for retirement before NRA was ineffective in prolonging employment of older men after early retirement age. We argue that the ineffectiveness of the German pension reform resulted from a change in employer behavior that was mainly induced by a recession during the implementation period of the pension reform. Employers seem to have nudged their employees to use a bridge option that was introduced with the pension reform (partial retirement) or a traditional bridge option (unemployment). These bridge options allowed an early retirement age (ERA) of 60 instead of the only alternative early retirement option with an ERA of 63. Bridge options therefore offered employers an opportunity to terminate employment considerably earlier and exert more influence over the employment exit age. We argue that without a change in employer behavior, neither using one of the bridge options nor the earlier employment exit would have been utility maximizing for the individuals affected by the reform." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Bad Times, Bad Jobs? How Recessions Affect Early Career Trajectories (2022)

    Mahajan, Parag; Stüber, Heiko ; Patki, Dhiren;

    Zitatform

    Mahajan, Parag, Dhiren Patki & Heiko Stüber (2022): Bad Times, Bad Jobs? How Recessions Affect Early Career Trajectories. (Working paper / Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Research Department 22-12), Boston, 21 S. DOI:10.29412/res.wp.2022.12

    Abstract

    "Studies find that if a worker enters the labor market during an economic downturn versus a period of expansion, they likely will have more difficulty finding a high-paying job, because the availability of such jobs is strongly procyclical. The earnings penalty for starting a career during bad times is both substantial and persistent. Indeed, this paper finds that a typical recession causes entrants to experience a 6 percent loss in earnings cumulated over the first 15 years of their careers. But, the authors ask, to what extent do non-pecuniary characteristics of jobs offset some of those earnings losses? They address this question by relying on population-scale linked employer-employee administrative data from Germany to estimate both the pecuniary and non-pecuniary impact of entering the workforce during a recession." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Erwerbsverläufe von Frauen und Männern (2022)

    Oberfichtner, Michael ;

    Zitatform

    Oberfichtner, Michael (2022): Erwerbsverläufe von Frauen und Männern. In: Ifo-Schnelldienst, Jg. 75, H. 10, S. 5-8.

    Abstract

    "Die Arbeitsmarktergebnisse von Frauen und Männern unterscheiden sich immer noch massiv. Die Erwerbsbeteiligung von Frauen ist niedriger als die von Männern, beschäftigte Frauen arbeiten im Durchschnitt weniger Stunden als Männer, der mittlere Stundenlohn lag 2018 bei Frauen 20% unter dem von Männern; und auch wenn man berücksichtigt, dass sich die Qualifikationen und Tätigkeiten zwischen Frauen und Männer unterscheiden, bleibt ein Lohnunterschied von 6% unerklärt (Statistisches Bundesamt 2022; 2022b; 2022c). Daher lohnt es sich, die Erwerbsverläufe von Frauen und Männern genauer in den Blick zu nehmen. Dieser Beitrag zeigt, dass die Geschlechterlohnunterschiede beim Eintritt in den Arbeitsmarkt in den letzten zwei Jahrzehnten deutlich abgenommen haben. Über das Erwerbsleben nehmen die Unterschiede jedoch auch bei jüngeren Kohorten stark zu, wobei Familiengründungen eine entscheidende Rolle spielen. Um die Ursachen dafür besser zu verstehen, nimmt die aktuelle Forschung zunehmend auch eine betriebliche Perspektive ein." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Oberfichtner, Michael ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Endbericht zur Studie „Arbeitsplatzsituation in der Akut- und Langzeitpflege und Ermittlung sowie modellhafte Implementierung von Indikatoren für gute Arbeitsbedingungen in der Langzeitpflege“ - Los 1: Analyse, Befragungen und Maßnahmenempfehlungen zum Pflegearbeitsplatz der Zukunft (2022)

    Peters, Verena; Stohr, Daniel; Bastian, Nina; Schröder, Jan; Zimmermann, Sandra; Herten, Benjamin; Meyer-Frieß, Kathrin; Schulte-Coerne, Nora; Laukhuf, Andrea; Wellmer, Amber; Müller, Laura ; Müller, Nils; Runschke, Benedikt; Kirstein, Katharina; Reinhards, Thomas; Spies, Sabrina; Stehle, Esther; Werding, Martin ; Seidel, Jonas; Klärner, Kai-David; Beule, Patrick; Ott, Notburga;

    Zitatform

    Peters, Verena, Benjamin Herten, Katharina Kirstein, Nora Schulte-Coerne, Jonas Seidel, Amber Wellmer, Esther Stehle, Nils Müller, Patrick Beule, Andrea Laukhuf, Laura Müller, Benedikt Runschke, Sabrina Spies, Daniel Stohr, Sandra Zimmermann, Jan Schröder, Nina Bastian, Kathrin Meyer-Frieß, Thomas Reinhards, Notburga Ott, Kai-David Klärner & Martin Werding (2022): Endbericht zur Studie „Arbeitsplatzsituation in der Akut- und Langzeitpflege und Ermittlung sowie modellhafte Implementierung von Indikatoren für gute Arbeitsbedingungen in der Langzeitpflege“ - Los 1: Analyse, Befragungen und Maßnahmenempfehlungen zum Pflegearbeitsplatz der Zukunft. Bochum, 739 S.

    Abstract

    "Im Rahmen der Konzertierten Aktion Pflege (KAP) wurde gemeinsam mit den in der Pflege beteiligten Akteuren im Juni 2019 Maßnahmen vereinbart, um mehr beruflich Pflegende zu gewinnen, sie zu stärken und zu entlasten und die Ausbildung und Arbeitsbedingungen attraktiver zu gestalten. Im Zuge dessen hat das Bundesministerium für Gesundheit die Studie Arbeitsplatzsituation in der Akut- und Langzeitpflege und Ermittlung sowie modellhafte Implementierung von Indikatoren für gute Arbeitsbedingungen in der Langzeitpflege beauftragt. Ziel der Studie war es, die Datengrundlagen zur Situation von beruflich Pflegenden zu verbessern und Maßnahmen zu identifizieren, die die Maßnahmen der KAP entweder bestätigen oder über diese hinausgehen bzw. mit denen die formulierten Ziele der Aktion vorangetrieben werden können. Los 1 der Studie umfasste dabei eine Analyse, Befragungen und Maßnahmenempfehlungen zum Pflegearbeitsplatz der Zukunft. Die Untersuchung beinhaltete eine umfassende systematische Analyse der bereits vorhandenen Literatur, eine Auswertung statistischer Daten sowie die Erhebung von Primärdaten in Form von qualitativen Interviews und einer quantitativen Erhebung unter beruflich Pflegenden in Deutschland. Die bereinigte, nicht repräsentative Stichprobe umfasst dabei Angaben von 5.514 Befragten, und sie ist damit eine der umfangreichsten Befragungen der letzten 10 Jahre bezogen auf Inhalte und Stichprobengröße. Sie bietet in besonderer thematischer Breite und Tiefe Einblicke in die Erfahrungen und Einschätzungen beruflich Pflegender in Deutschland. Die Ergebnisse dieser knapp dreijährigen Forschung sind in diesem Bericht zusammengefasst." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

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    30 Years of East-West Migration in Germany: A Synthesis of the Literature and Potential Directions for Future Research (2022)

    Rosenbaum-Feldbrügge, Matthias; Sander, Nikola ; Stawarz, Nico ;

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    Rosenbaum-Feldbrügge, Matthias, Nico Stawarz & Nikola Sander (2022): 30 Years of East-West Migration in Germany. A Synthesis of the Literature and Potential Directions for Future Research. In: Comparative Population Studies, Jg. 47, S. 185-210. DOI:10.12765/CPoS-2022-08

    Abstract

    "The reunification of the socialist German Democratic Republic and the capitalist Federal Republic of Germany presents a unique setting for studying the impact of socio-economic and political change on migration. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the interdisciplinary literature on migration between East and West Germany since reunification, conducted in disciplines such as economics, demography, sociology, and human geography. We synthesise the literature with regard to data-related challenges as well as individual and contextual determinants of migration. We clarify some misinterpretations and discrepancies in previous studies, identify research gaps, and suggest directions for future research. Our review demonstrates that East-West migration mainly occurred in line with what could have been expected based on migration theory with regard to migrants’ sex, age, education, labour market position, and social networks. West-East migration, in contrast, was strongly affected by return migrants who often stated non-occupational motives for moving. On the contextual level, differences in wages are better able to explain East-West migration over time than differences in unemployment rates. West-East migration, however, cannot be explained well with such macroeconomic models. This paper contributes a point of reference for future research on this topic, as well as on internal migration and socio-economic disparities in general." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Mind the gap: Effects of the national minimum wage on the gender wage gap in Germany (2022)

    Schmid, Ramona ;

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    Schmid, Ramona (2022): Mind the gap: Effects of the national minimum wage on the gender wage gap in Germany. (Hohenheim discussion papers in business, economics and social sciences 06-2022), Stuttgart, 37 S.

    Abstract

    "With its introduction in 2015, the statutory minimum wage in Germany intends to benefit primarily low-wage workers. Thus, this paper aims at estimating the effectiveness of the im- plemented wage floor on gender wage gaps in the lower half of the wage distribution. Using administrative data, distinct regional differences regarding magnitudes of wage differentials and responses to the minimum wage are identified. Overall, wage gaps between men and women at the 10th percentile decrease by 2.46 and 6.34 percentage points respectively in the West and East of Germany after 2015. Applying counterfactual wage distributions, the study provides new evidence that around 60% and even 95% of the decline result from the introduction of the minimum wage in each region. Further, group-specific analyses identify concrete responses on the basis of age, educational level and occupational activity. Having yearly data, the study ad- ditionally reveals new results on the impact of the successive minimum wage raises in 2017 and 2019. Counterfactual aggregate decompositions of gender wage gaps finally indicate a decrease in discriminatory remuneration structures in the West of Germany due to the introduced wage floor." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Task specialization and the native-foreign wage gap: Evidence from worker-level data (2022)

    Storm, Eduard ;

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    Storm, Eduard (2022): Task specialization and the native-foreign wage gap: Evidence from worker-level data. In: Labour, Jg. 36, H. 2, S. 167-195. DOI:10.1111/labr.12220

    Abstract

    "This study documents that worker-level variation in tasks has played a key role in the widening of the German Native-Foreign Wage Gap. I find idiosyncratic differences account for up to 34 per cent of the wage gap. Importantly, natives specialize in high-paying interactive activities not only between, but also within occupations. In contrast, foreign workers specialize in low-paying manual activities. This enhanced degree of task specialization accounts for 11 per cent of the gap among high-wage earners and 25 per cent among low-wage earner, thus offering new insight into sources for imperfect substitution of native and foreign workers and consequently small migration-induced wage effects." (Author's abstract, © John Wiley & Sons, Inc.) ((en))

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    Increasing Hours Worked: Moonlighting Responses to a Large Tax Reform (2022)

    Tazhitdinova, Alissa;

    Zitatform

    Tazhitdinova, Alissa (2022): Increasing Hours Worked: Moonlighting Responses to a Large Tax Reform. In: American Economic Journal. Economic Policy, Jg. 14, H. 1, S. 473-500. DOI:10.1257/pol.20190786

    Abstract

    "Moonlighting is increasingly popular in OECD countries, with 5 to 10 percent of workers holding two or more jobs. However, little is known about the responsiveness of moonlighting to financial incentives due to the lack of identifying variation. This paper studies a unique reform in Germany that allowed workers to hold small secondary jobs tax-free, decreasing the marginal tax rate by between 19.5 to 66 pp. I show that the reform resulted in a dramatic increase in moonlighting that was not offset by reductions in primary earnings and that hours constraints are a key determinant of moonlighting." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Macroeconomic Effects of Active Labour Market Policies: A Novel Instrumental Variables Approach (2022)

    Unterhofer, Ulrike; Wunsch, Conny ;

    Zitatform

    Unterhofer, Ulrike & Conny Wunsch (2022): Macroeconomic Effects of Active Labour Market Policies. A Novel Instrumental Variables Approach. (arXiv papers), 81 S.

    Abstract

    "This study evaluates the macroeconomic effects of active labour market policies (ALMP) in Germany over the period 2005 to 2018. We propose a novel identification strategy to overcome the simultaneity of ALMP and labour market outcomes at the regional level. It exploits the imperfect overlap of local labour markets and local employment agencies that decide on the local implementation of policies. Specifically, we instrument for the use of ALMP in a local labour market with the mix of ALMP implemented outside this market but in local employment agencies that partially overlap with this market. We find no effects of short-term activation measures and further vocational training on aggregate labour market outcomes. In contrast, wage subsidies substantially increase the share of workers in unsubsidised employment while lowering long-term unemployment and welfare dependency. Our results suggest that negative externalities of ALMP partially offset the effects for program participants and that some segments of the labour market benefit more than others." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Early retirement of employees in demanding jobs: Evidence from a German pension reform (2022)

    Zwick, Thomas ; Lorenz, Svenja; Geyer, Johannes ; Bruns, Mona;

    Zitatform

    Zwick, Thomas, Mona Bruns, Johannes Geyer & Svenja Lorenz (2022): Early retirement of employees in demanding jobs: Evidence from a German pension reform. In: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Jg. 22. DOI:10.1016/j.jeoa.2022.100387

    Abstract

    "Early retirement options are usually targeted at employees at risk of not reaching their regular retirement age in employment. An important at-risk group comprises older employees who have worked in demanding jobs for many years. This group may be particularly negatively affected by the abolition of early retirement options. To measure differences in labor market reactions of employees in low- and high-demand jobs, we exploit the quasinatural experiment of a cohort-specific pension reform that increased the early retirement age for women from 60 to 63 years. Based on a large administrative dataset, we use a regression-discontinuity approach to estimate the labor market reactions. Surprisingly, we find the same relative employment increase of about 25% for treated women who were exposed to low and to high job demand. For older women in demanding jobs, we also do not find substitution effects into unemployment, partial retirement, disability pension, or inactivity. Eligibility for the abolished early retirement option required high labor market attachment. Thus, we argue that this eligibility rule induced a positive selection of healthy workers into early retirement. We propose alternative policies that protect workers exposed to high job demand better against the negative consequences of being unable to reach their statutory retirement age in employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

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    Structural change revisited: The rise of manufacturing jobs in the service sector (2021)

    Boddin, Dominik ; Kroeger, Thilo ;

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    Boddin, Dominik & Thilo Kroeger (2021): Structural change revisited: The rise of manufacturing jobs in the service sector. (Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank 2021,38), Frankfurt am Main, 55 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper reconsiders the labor market consequences of structural change over the past 43 years. Taking two different ways of defining manufacturing and service employment as point of departure - according to the industry classification of firms or establishments and according to the occupation and hence the tasks of the workers - we show that structural change is far less pronounced than generally perceived. Manufacturing and service employment numbers based on the occupations of workers deviate markedly from the employment numbers based on the industry classification of employers. The decline in manufacturing jobs in Germany is far lower if the measurement of employment is based on the occupation of the worker. About 52% of manufacturing jobs that were lost in manufacturing industries between 1975 and 2017 are offset by new manufacturing jobs in service industries. This also has important implications for empirical applications. By way of example, we reestimate the effect of international trade on manufacturing employment based on the occupation of the worker. Contrary to previously identified negative effects, we cannot identify significant effects of import exposure on employment in manufacturing occupations. Using detailed, comprehensive German social security data, we show at the worker level that the service sector increasingly acts as a valuable alternative employment option for workers with manufacturing occupations. We estimate the causal effects of a switch to the service sector on employment outcomes by following workers over time after mass layoffs. The results reinforce our claim that structural change is less pronounced than perceived, as workers who retain their initial occupation and switch to employment in the service sector experience no significant differences in future employment trajectories compared to workers who manage to stay in the manufacturing sector." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Demographic Change and Regional Labour Markets (2021)

    Böhm, Michael J. ; Gregory, Terry ; Qendrai, Pamela; Siegel, Christian ;

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    Böhm, Michael J., Terry Gregory, Pamela Qendrai & Christian Siegel (2021): Demographic Change and Regional Labour Markets. In: Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Jg. 37, H. 1, S. 113-131. DOI:10.1093/oxrep/graa063

    Abstract

    "Like many other countries, Germany has experienced rapid population and workforce ageing, yet with substantial variation across regions. In this paper we first use this spatial variation between 1975 and 2014 to estimate quasi-causal supply effects of ageing on regional labour market outcomes, drawing on the identification strategy of Böhm and Siegel (2020). We find in our panel of German labour market regions that workforce mean age has considerable negative effects on the wage returns to age. We also obtain suggestive evidence that relative employment rates of older workers decline when mean age rises. A decomposition of the heterogeneous regional trends using our estimates shows that ageing of rural regions is mainly driven by supply (reflecting local population dynamics) whereas urban ageing is driven by demand (reflecting responses to economic conditions). We discuss the differential implications of these drivers for regional policy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The Fall in German Unemployment: A Flow Analysis (2021)

    Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos ; Robin, Jean-Marc ; Launov, Andrey ;

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    Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos, Andrey Launov & Jean-Marc Robin (2021): The Fall in German Unemployment: A Flow Analysis. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 132. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103658

    Abstract

    "In this paper we investigate the recent fall in unemployment, and the rise in part-time work and labour market participation among prime-aged Germans. We show that unemployment fell because the Hartz reforms induced a large fraction of the long-term unemployed to deregister as jobseekers. However, labour force participation actually increased because many female non-participants accepted low-paid, part-time jobs. Counterfactual simulations using estimated transition probabilities show that observed changes in the stocks of registered and unregistered unemployment after 2002 essentially resulted from changes in their outflows. These changes are also the main determinants of the dynamics of the stocks of marginal, contributing part-time and full-time employment after 2002. Yet the full decrease in registered male unemployment cannot be explained by the reforms alone." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2021 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants (2021)

    Dustmann, Christian ; Ku, Hyejin ; Surovtseva, Tanya;

    Zitatform

    Dustmann, Christian, Hyejin Ku & Tanya Surovtseva (2021): Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants. (CReAM discussion paper 2021,10), London, 59 S.

    Abstract

    "Higher price levels in the destination relative to the origin increase the effective real wages of immigrants, thereby affecting immigrants' reservation and entry wages as well as their subsequent career trajectories. Based on micro-level longitudinal administrative data from Germany and exploiting within-country and across-cohort variations in the real exchange rate (RER) between Germany and countries that newly joined the European Union in the 2000s, we find that immigrants arriving with high RERs initially settle for lower paying jobs than comparable immigrants arriving with low RERs. In subsequent periods, however, wages of high RER arrivals catch up to that of their low RER counterparts, convergence achieved primarily through changes to better paying occupations and firms. Our findings thus point to the persistent regional price differences as one possible reason for Immigrants' downgrading, with implications for immigrant' career profiles and the assessment of labor market impacts of immigration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Dustmann, Christian ;
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    Same educational level, same wage returns? An analysis over time and across occupations in Germany (2021)

    Friedrich, Anett ; Hirtz, Sandra ;

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    Friedrich, Anett & Sandra Hirtz (2021): Same educational level, same wage returns? An analysis over time and across occupations in Germany. In: Journal of education and work, Jg. 34, H. 5-6, S. 632-648. DOI:10.1080/13639080.2021.1965967

    Abstract

    "Analysing wage differentials due to educational investments within occupations can explain the persistent wage inequality in western industrialised countries, such as Germany. This article contributes to the discussion by examining occupation-specific variance in wage returns for men working full-time in Western Germany between 1976 and 2010. We distinguish between three groups: employees with a vocational education and training (VET) degree with an Abitur (a certificate allowing entrance into a German university), with a VET degree but no Abitur, or with a university degree. First, we theoretically argue why wage returns vary within educational levels across occupations. Second, on the assumption that wage return variance will be greater at higher educational levels, we investigate wage return variance patterns for VET and university graduates over time. Estimating a two-stage multilevel model using the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB), we show that holding an Abitur increases wage return variance across occupations. Moreover, we find a significantly higher occupation-specific variance in wage returns to education for university graduates than for VET graduates. For the period under examination, we reveal a fluctuating variance in wage returns for VET graduates and a slightly decreasing variance for university graduates." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB) 1975-2019 (2021)

    Frodermann, Corinna ; Seth, Stefan; Schmucker, Alexandra; Vom Berge, Philipp ;

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    Frodermann, Corinna, Alexandra Schmucker, Stefan Seth & Philipp Vom Berge (2021): Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB) 1975-2019. (FDZ-Datenreport 01/2021 (en)), Nürnberg, 76 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZD.2101.en.v1

    Abstract

    "Dieser Datenreport beschreibt die Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) 1975 - 2019." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) 1975-2019 (2021)

    Frodermann, Corinna ; Seth, Stefan; Vom Berge, Philipp ; Schmucker, Alexandra;

    Zitatform

    Frodermann, Corinna, Alexandra Schmucker, Stefan Seth & Philipp Vom Berge (2021): Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) 1975-2019. (FDZ-Datenreport 01/2021 (de)), Nürnberg, 77 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZD.2101.de.v1

    Abstract

    "Dieser Datenreport beschreibt die Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) 1975 - 2019." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies Regional File (SIAB-R) 1975-2019 (2021)

    Frodermann, Corinna ; Vom Berge, Philipp ; Ganzer, Andreas; Schmucker, Alexandra;

    Zitatform

    Frodermann, Corinna, Andreas Ganzer, Alexandra Schmucker & Philipp Vom Berge (2021): Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies Regional File (SIAB-R) 1975-2019. (FDZ-Datenreport 05/2021 (en)), Nürnberg, 85 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZD.2105.en.v1

    Abstract

    "Dieser Datenreport beschreibt das „Regionalfile“ der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB-R) 1975 - 2019. Der Datensatz stellt die faktisch anonymisierte Version der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) dar und wird nach Abschluss eines Nutzungsvertrages mit dem IAB an Forschungseinrichtungen übermittelt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien Regionalfile (SIAB-R) 1975-2019 (2021)

    Frodermann, Corinna ; Ganzer, Andreas; Schmucker, Alexandra; Vom Berge, Philipp ;

    Zitatform

    Frodermann, Corinna, Andreas Ganzer, Alexandra Schmucker & Philipp Vom Berge (2021): Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien Regionalfile (SIAB-R) 1975-2019. (FDZ-Datenreport 05/2021 (de)), Nürnberg, 83 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZD.2105de.v1

    Abstract

    "Dieser Datenreport beschreibt das „Regionalfile“ der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB-R) 1975 - 2019. Der Datensatz stellt die faktisch anonymisierte Version der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) dar und wird nach Abschluss eines Nutzungsvertrages mit dem IAB an Forschungseinrichtungen übermittelt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Labor Demand Response to Labor Supply Incentives: Lessons from the German Mini-Job Reform (2021)

    Galassi, Gabriela ;

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    Galassi, Gabriela (2021): Labor Demand Response to Labor Supply Incentives: Lessons from the German Mini-Job Reform. (Staff working paper / Bank of Canada 2021,15), Ottawa, 92 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes how firms respond to changes in tax benefits for low-earning workers and how, through equilibrium effects, such policies also affect non-targeted, high-earning workers. I explore establishment-level outcomes around Germany's 2003 Mini-Job Reform, which entailed a significant expansion of tax benefits for low-earning workers. Firms' responses are decomposed in terms of the scale effects that arise from lower labor costs and the substitution effects that are due to changes in the relative prices of low- and high-earning employment post-reform. Using a differences-in-differences approach, I document that highly exposed establishments—those with a high proportion of low-earning workers pre-reform—expand their number of employees relative to non-exposed establishments–those with a low proportion of such workers. Importantly, this relative expansion is tilted towards high-earning workers, a group that is not the target of the tax benefits. In addition, non-exposed establishments substitute employment towards low-earning workers without expanding at the same pace. My findings are consistent with a model of the labor market that features tax sharing between workers and firms and simultaneous shifts in labor supply and demand after changes in tax benefits for low-earning workers. In this setting I illustrate that the employment growth the policy intended is accompanied by a reallocation of employment and production between highly exposed firms and non-exposed firms, and this may result in an efficiency loss." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Relationships that Last: Job Creation vs Job Duration (2021)

    Gehrke, Britta; Wong, Jacob;

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    Gehrke, Britta & Jacob Wong (2021): Relationships that Last: Job Creation vs Job Duration. (School of Economics working papers / The University of Adelaide, School of Economics 2021-01), Adelaide, 27 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper documents observations about the duration of jobs created by establishments at various points along an establishment age curve. Using an employer-employee matched dataset from Germany, we observe a checkmark-shaped relationship between expected job duration and establishment age at the time of job creation. A simple frictional labour market model with two-sided heterogeneity featuring on-the-job search, a simple learning mechanism about worker ability and a life cycle productivity profile for firms is built to frame a discussion around the empirical finding. The model's mechanical job-ladder is shown to be able to produce such stylized correlations." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Gehrke, Britta;
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    Skill premiums and the supply of young workers in Germany (2021)

    Glitz, Albrecht ; Wissmann, Daniel;

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    Glitz, Albrecht & Daniel Wissmann (2021): Skill premiums and the supply of young workers in Germany. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 72. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2021.102034

    Abstract

    "In this paper, we study the development and underlying drivers of skill premiums in Germany between 1980 and 2008. We show that the significant increase in the medium-to-low skill premium since the late 1980s was almost exclusively concentrated among workers aged 30 or below. Using a nested CES production function framework which allows for imperfect substitutability between young and old workers, we show that changes in relative labor supplies can explain these patterns very well. A cohort-level analysis reveals that distinct secular changes in the educational attainment of the native population are the primary source of the declining relative supply of medium-skilled workers in Germany. Low-skilled immigration, in contrast, only plays a secondary role in explaining the rising lower-end wage inequality in Germany over recent decades." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2021 Elsevier) ((en))

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    The Causal Effect of Exposure to Female-Dominated Work on Men's Occupational Choices: Evidence from the Suspension of the Civilian Service in Germany (2021)

    Hamjediers, Maik ;

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    Hamjediers, Maik (2021): The Causal Effect of Exposure to Female-Dominated Work on Men's Occupational Choices. Evidence from the Suspension of the Civilian Service in Germany. (SocArXiv papers), 30, 8 S. DOI:10.31235/osf.io/apvky

    Abstract

    "Occupational segregation is one of the primary mechanisms for gender inequalities in labor market outcomes and persists partly because men rarely enter female-dominated occupations. Social Cognitive Career Theory explains occupational segregation via a lack of learning experiences in gender-atypical tasks and several programs have been proposed to foster occupational integration by exposing individuals to gender-atypical learning experiences. However, research on men working in female-dominated occupations revealed positive as well as negative experiences made within them. As most studies do not account for potential self-selection into gender-atypical occupations, it is an open question whether and how exposure to female-dominated occupations affects men's occupational choices. In response, I exploit exogenous variation induced by the suspension of Germany’s civilian service in 2011. The civilian service was a social sector alternative to a compulsory military service. I describe selection into the civilian service based on cross-section data (AID:A 2009) to assess to whom a potential effect would apply. A difference-in-difference design leverages German social security insurance register data (SIAB) to compare birth cohorts of men before and after the suspension and employs women who were not eligible for compulsory services as a control group. The suspension of the civilian service decreased the likelihood of men to enter female-dominated occupations by two percentage points. This result indicates that programs exposing men to gender-atypical learning experiences can facilitate occupational integration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Labour Market Miracle, Productivity Debacle: Measuring the Effects of Skill-Biased and Skill-Neutral Technical Change (2021)

    Hutter, Christian ; Weber, Enzo ;

    Zitatform

    Hutter, Christian & Enzo Weber (2021): Labour Market Miracle, Productivity Debacle: Measuring the Effects of Skill-Biased and Skill-Neutral Technical Change. In: Economic Modelling, Jg. 102, 2021-06-22. DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105584

    Abstract

    "This paper examines the role of skill-biased and skill-neutral technical change for productivity and employment. Thereby, we explore the puzzling macro development in Germany, witnessing job miracle and productivity debacle in parallel. In the literature, skill-biased technical change (SBTC) is known as an important driving factor for labour markets. We measure SBTC using comprehensive micro data and construct a structural macroeconometric framework identified by long-run restrictions. The results show that weaker SBTC explains 69 percent of the productivity slowdown since the early 2000s. Skill-biased technology shocks have a negative and skill-neutral technology shocks a positive hours effect. Twenty-five percent of the hours upswing since 2005 can be explained by reduced pressure from SBTC. Moreover, we analyse routine-biased technical change (RBTC) and find productivity and hours effects comparable to SBTC. However, only the latter can explain the job miracle – productivity debacle puzzle, since RBTC does not flatten substantially in the 2000s." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Hutter, Christian ; Weber, Enzo ;
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    Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss (2021)

    Jarosch, Gregor;

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    Jarosch, Gregor (2021): Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss. (NBER working paper 28481), Cambridge, MA, 56 S. DOI:10.3386/w28481

    Abstract

    "Job loss comes with large present value earnings losses which elude workhorse models of unemployment and labor market policy. I propose a parsimonious model of a frictional labor market in which jobs differ in terms of unemployment risk and workers search off- and on-the-job. This gives rise to a job ladder with slippery bottom rungs where unemployment spells beget unemployment spells. I allow for human capital to respond to time spent out of work and estimate the framework on German Social Security data. The model captures the joint response of wages, employment, and unemployment risk to job loss which I measure empirically. The key driver of the “unemployment scar” is the loss in job security and its interaction with the evolution of human capital." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Optimal Regional Labor Market Policies (2021)

    Jung, Philip ; Preugschat, Edgar ; Korfmann, Philipp ;

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    Jung, Philip, Philipp Korfmann & Edgar Preugschat (2021): Optimal Regional Labor Market Policies. (IZA discussion paper 14204), Bonn, 75 S.

    Abstract

    "We document large and persistent spatial dispersion in unemployment rates, vacancies, labor market tightness, labor market flows, and wages for Germany on a granular regional level. We show that in the 1990s differences in inflows from employment to unemployment were the key driver of regional dispersion in unemployment rates while in the 2000s outflows became more important. To account for the documented regional dispersion we develop a spatial search and matching model with risk-averse agents, endogenous separations and unobservable search effort that leads to moral hazard and quantify the relative importance of 4 potential structural driving forces: dispersion in productivity, in the bargaining strength of workers, in idiosyncratic risk components and in regional matching efficiency. Based on region-specific estimates of these factors we then study the resulting policy trade-off between insurance, regional redistribution and efficiency. We design (optimal) region-specific labor market policies that can be implemented using hiring subsidies, layoff taxes, unemployment insurance benefits and transfers financed by social insurance contributions. We find that a move towards an optimal tax system that explicitly conditions on regional characteristics could lead to sizable welfare and employment gains." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Fairness in Algorithmic Profiling: A German Case Study (2021)

    Kern, Christoph ; Bach, Ruben L. ; Mautner, Hannah ; Kreuter, Frauke ;

    Zitatform

    Kern, Christoph, Ruben L. Bach, Hannah Mautner & Frauke Kreuter (2021): Fairness in Algorithmic Profiling: A German Case Study. (arXiv papers), 2021-08-04. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.2108.04134

    Abstract

    "Algorithmic profiling is increasingly used in the public sector as a means to allocate limited public resources effectively and objectively. One example is the prediction-based statistical profiling of job seekers to guide the allocation of support measures by public employment services. However, empirical evaluations of potential side-effects such as unintended discrimination and fairness concerns are rare. In this study, we compare and evaluate statistical models for predicting job seekers' risk of becoming long-term unemployed with respect to prediction performance, fairness metrics, and vulnerabilities to data analysis decisions. Focusing on Germany as a use case, we evaluate profiling models under realistic conditions by utilizing administrative data on job seekers' employment histories that are routinely collected by German public employment services. Besides showing that these data can be used to predict long-term unemployment with competitive levels of accuracy, we highlight that different classification policies have very different fairness implications. We therefore call for rigorous auditing processes before such models are put to practice." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Technologische Innovationen und Wandel der Arbeitswelt in Deutschland: Herausforderungen für die berufliche Aus- und Weiterbildung sowie die Re-Qualifizierung im Zuge des digitalen Wandels (2021)

    Kirchmann, Andrea; Laub, Natalie; Maier, Anastasia; Boockmann, Bernhard; Zühlke, Anne ;

    Zitatform

    Kirchmann, Andrea, Natalie Laub, Anastasia Maier, Anne Zühlke & Bernhard Boockmann (2021): Technologische Innovationen und Wandel der Arbeitswelt in Deutschland. Herausforderungen für die berufliche Aus- und Weiterbildung sowie die Re-Qualifizierung im Zuge des digitalen Wandels. (Studien zum deutschen Innovationssystem 2021-10), Berlin, 128 S.

    Abstract

    "Die vorliegende Studie beschäftigt sich mit den Herausforderungen des digitale Wandels für die berufliche Aus- und Weiterbildung sowie für die Hochschullehre. Dafür wurden eine breit angelegte Literaturanalyse sowie die Auswertung verschiedener Indikatoren vorgenommen. Den Kern der Studie bilden Interviews mit Expertinnen und Experten. Die Gespräche ergeben, dass alle Ausbildungsberufe von der Digitalisierung betroffen sind. Dennoch behält die duale berufliche Ausbildung auch im Zuge des digitalen Wandels einen hohen Stellenwert für die Wirtschaft. Vor allem in der Qualifikation des betrieblichen Ausbildungspersonals und der Lehrkräfte besteht noch erheblicher Handlungsbedarf, ebenso wie beim Umgang der Lehrenden an Hochschulen und in der Weiterbildung mit digitalen Lehr-Lern-Formaten. Kleine und mittlere Unternehmen stehen aufgrund von fehlender technologischer Ausstattung häufig vor besonderen Herausforderungen. Aus diesen Erkenntnissen werden verschiedene Handlungsempfehlungen abgeleitet. Beispielsweise wird bereichsübergreifend die Förderung der didaktischen Weiterbildung im Umgang mit digitalen Lehr-Lernformaten empfohlen. Die Befähigung zu lebenslangem Lernen, die Bereitstellung funktionierender technischer Ausstattung und einer leistungsfähigen Infrastruktur stellen weitere Handlungsempfehlungen dar." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Machine Learning in Labor Economics: Clustering, Prediction, and Variable Selection in the Analysis of Female Employment (2021)

    Klose, Sophie-Charlotte; Paul, Marie ; Lederer, Johannes;

    Zitatform

    Klose, Sophie-Charlotte (2021): Machine Learning in Labor Economics: Clustering, Prediction, and Variable Selection in the Analysis of Female Employment. Duisburg, 174 S.

    Abstract

    "In three separate chapters, this dissertation (develops and) demonstrates the effective use of various ML tools to tackle different empirical purposes in the analysis of female employment. Chapter 2 deals with data-driven classification in the analysis of maternal employment. The chapter focuses on detecting latent group structures in the effect of motherhood on employment and examines how the introduction of a generous parental benefit reform impacts the different cluster groups. Chapter 3 turns to the prediction aspect of ML in labor economics and analyzes in a data-driven way how far childbirth can be predicted from a rich set of predictor variables derived from female employment and wage histories. Chapter 4 introduces ML tools for controlled variable selection to economists. More specifically the chapter extends a recently proposed approach for datadriven variable selection in high-dimensional linear models to the non-linear case and exemplifies its usefulness with an application towards the labor market. All three chapters share in common the sparsity principle (e.g., Hastie et al. [2015]), which assumes that the DGP can be modeled accurately by a small number of predictors, even though the actual number of variables at hand is large. Sparsity can be motivated on economic grounds in situations where a researcher believes that the underlying DGP is parsimonious but is unsure about the identity of the relevant variables. In empirical research, it allows the effective use of a large set of covariates while at the same time maintaining the spirit of parsimonious modeling in economics.
    Cumulative Dissertation Containing Three Essays: (1) Identifying Latent Structures in Maternal Employment: Evidence on the German Parental Benefit Reform (2) Predicting the Incidence of Having a First Child based on Employment Records { A Machine Learning Approach (joint work with Marie Paul) (3) A Pipeline for Variable Selection and False Discovery Rate Control With an Application in Labor Economics (joint work with Johannes Lederer)" (Text excerpt, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Money also is sunny in a retiree’s world: financial incentives and work after retirement (2021)

    Lorenz, Svenja; Zwick, Thomas ;

    Zitatform

    Lorenz, Svenja & Thomas Zwick (2021): Money also is sunny in a retiree’s world: financial incentives and work after retirement. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 55. DOI:10.1186/s12651-021-00304-1

    Abstract

    "This paper assesses the impact of financial incentives on working after retirement. The empirical analysis is based on a large administrative individual career data set that includes information about 2% of all German employees subject to social security or in marginal employment until age 67 and their employers in the period 1975–2014. We use the classical labor supply model and differentiate between the impact of (potential) labor and non-labor (pension entitlements) income. A Heckman-type two step selection model corrects for endogeneity. We show that labor income has a positive and non-labor income a negative impact on the decision to work after retirement. Especially individuals who can substantially increase their earnings in comparison to their pension entitlements accordingly have a higher probability to work. Men are more attracted by labor earnings incentives than women. Also individuals who work until retirement are easier attracted to work after retirement by higher labor income than those with gaps between employment exit and retirement. Our results allow the calculation of the impact of changes in taxes on labor and non-labor income and changes in earnings offers by employers on work after retirement for different demographic groups." (Author's abstract, © 2021 Springer) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Apprenticeship non‑completion in Germany: a money matter? (2021)

    Neuber-Pohl, Caroline ;

    Zitatform

    Neuber-Pohl, Caroline (2021): Apprenticeship non‑completion in Germany: a money matter? In: Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training, Jg. 13. DOI:10.1186/s40461-021-00115-1

    Abstract

    "German establishments heavily rely on the apprenticeship system for skill supply. With one in four apprenticeship contracts ending before successful completion, it is in the interest of establishments and policy-makers to determine factors, which reduce non-completion. This paper investigates the role of apprenticeship wages and income prospects after completion for apprenticeship non-completion in Germany. For this purpose, this study identifies incidences of apprenticeship non-completion in a large sample of administrative data on employment biographies and estimates a piecewise exponential model of the non-completion hazard with shared frailties by occupations. The results suggest a robust and significant association with both apprenticeship wages and skilled worker wages. All else at means, apprenticeships which are paid 5% more than the mean apprenticeship wage, on average have a 0.8 percentage points higher estimated survival rate. In turn, an apprenticeship expected to lead to a skilled job that is paid 5% above average, has an estimated survival rate, which is 3.1 percentage points higher on average. These findings highlight the importance of income prospects for apprenticeship non-completion." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The value of apprentices in the care sector: the effect of apprenticeship costs on the mobility of graduates from apprenticeship training (2021)

    Schuss, Eric ;

    Zitatform

    Schuss, Eric (2021): The value of apprentices in the care sector: the effect of apprenticeship costs on the mobility of graduates from apprenticeship training. In: Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training, Jg. 13. DOI:10.1186/s40461-021-00118-y

    Abstract

    "This paper provides evidence on the effect of apprenticeship costs on the decision whether care facilities employ apprenticeship graduates after completing apprenticeship training. To account for the endogeneity in apprenticeship costs, we exploit an exogenous reduction in the apprenticeship costs of care facilities by exploiting the fact that the underlying apprenticeship levy was introduced across the German federal states at different points in time. We find that the redistribution of apprenticeship costs increases the probability of leaving the training facility after completing apprenticeship training by 10 percentage points. Furthermore, we use this quasi-experimental setting to estimate the effect of mobility of graduates on their wages, which hints at a negative relationship in the upper quartile of the wage distribution." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The effect on economic development of creative class versus human capital: panel evidence from German regions (2021)

    Tiruneh, Esubalew Alehegn; Sacchetti, Silvia ; Tortia, Ermanno C. ;

    Zitatform

    Tiruneh, Esubalew Alehegn, Silvia Sacchetti & Ermanno C. Tortia (2021): The effect on economic development of creative class versus human capital: panel evidence from German regions. In: European Planning Studies, Jg. 29, H. 1, S. 75-93. DOI:10.1080/09654313.2020.1821611

    Abstract

    "The creative class thesis considers the creative class, compared to human capital, as a better driver of regional economic development. We test this thesis for Germany. We measure creative class and human capital by occupation and education, respectively using classification codes from The Sample of Integrated Labor Market Biographies (SIAB), and proxy regional economic development by per capita income and employment. Our panel estimation results with system GMM show that the human capital effect on per capita income is substantially stronger than the creative class, while the creative class drives employment far better than human capital does. The evidence does not support the notion that the creative class drives development better than human capital." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Creating cross-sectional data and biographical variables with the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies 1975-2019 - Programming examples for Stata (2021)

    Vom Berge, Philipp ; Schmucker, Alexandra;

    Zitatform

    Vom Berge, Philipp & Alexandra Schmucker (2021): Creating cross-sectional data and biographical variables with the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies 1975-2019 - Programming examples for Stata. (FDZ-Methodenreport 05/2021 (en)), Nürnberg, 14 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZM.2105.en.v1

    Abstract

    "Der vorliegende FDZ-Methodenreport (einschließlich der Programmierbeispiele für Stata) beschreibt die Erstellung von Querschnittdaten auf Basis der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (Version 1975-2019) zu frei wählbaren Stichtagen. Zudem werden die Generierung von biografischen Merkmalen und das Vorgehen, das Sonderzahlungen und die dazugehörigen Tagesentgelte aufsummiert, erläutert." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Vom Berge, Philipp ; Schmucker, Alexandra;

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