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FDZ-Literatur / FDZ Literature

Die FDZ-Literaturdatenbank umfasst neben Datensatzbeschreibungen und Methodenberichten die zahlreichen Forschungsarbeiten, die auf Basis der am FDZ angebotenen Daten entstanden sind. Hier finden Sie aktuell laufende Projekte von FDZ-Nutzenden.
Darüber hinaus stehen die Literaturdatenbank zum IAB-Betriebspanel sowie die Literaturdatenbank zum PASS zur Verfügung.

Apart from dataset descriptions and methodology reports, the FDZ literature database contains numerous research papers written on the basis of the data provided by the FDZ. Here you can find currently ungoing research projects of FDZ users.
In addition, literature databases on the IAB Establishment Panel and the Panel Study Labour Market and Social Security (PASS) are available for research.

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Unemployment insurance reforms and labor market dynamics (2022)

    Hartung, Benjamin; Kuhn, Moritz ; Jung, Philip ;

    Zitatform

    Hartung, Benjamin, Philip Jung & Moritz Kuhn (2022): Unemployment insurance reforms and labor market dynamics. Bonn, 83 S.

    Abstract

    "A key question in labor market research is how the unemployment insurance system affects unemployment rates and labor market dynamics. We provide new answers to this old question by studying one of the largest unemployment insurance reforms in recent decades, the German Hartz reforms. On average, lower separation rates into unemployment account for 76% of declining unemployment after the reform, a fact unexplained by existing research focusing on job-finding rates. Exploiting institutional changes by age, employment duration, and wages, we establish a causal link between the reform and changes in labor market dynamics. Relying on labor market theory, we generalize our empirical findings beyond the German case and establish separation rate changes as an important macroeconomic adjustment channel after UI reforms. We derive analytically that the change of separation rates increases in proportion to average unemployment duration suggesting an equally important role for most other European labor markets." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Untold Story of Midijobs (2022)

    Herget, Anne; Riphahn, Regina T. ;

    Zitatform

    Herget, Anne & Regina T. Riphahn (2022): The Untold Story of Midijobs. In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Jg. 242, H. 3, S. 309-341. DOI:10.1515/jbnst-2021-0025

    Abstract

    "Midijobs are employment relationships with moderate monthly earnings that benefit from payroll tax subsidies. Since 2003, the subsidy is universally available for all regions, industries, individuals, and employers in Germany. Recently, more than 2.9 million individuals, i.e., almost 9 percent of the German labor force covered by the social security system took advantage of Midijobs. This paper describes the program, its motivation, and utilization over time. We characterize the labor market transitions leading into and out of Midijob employment, the duration of Midijob utilization, and compare recent developments with patterns of program utilization that were observed early on." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Beschäftigungsperspektiven für gering Qualifizierte (2022)

    Kalina, Thorsten;

    Zitatform

    Kalina, Thorsten (2022): Beschäftigungsperspektiven für gering Qualifizierte. (IAQ-Report 2022-08), Duisburg ; Essen, 18 S. DOI:10.17185/duepublico/74324

    Abstract

    "Nachdem die Beschäftigung gering Qualifizierter lange rückläufig war, hat sie in den letzten Jahren leicht zugenommen. Gut 12 % der Beschäftigung entfiel auf den Bereich Lagerwirtschaft, Post- und Zustellungsberufe. In diesem Berufsbereich war das Beschäftigungswachstum für gering Qualifizierte zwischen 2012 und 2019 mit 28 % auch am stärksten. Rund 60 % der gering Qualifizierten waren 2019 als Fachkräfte tätig. Hierbei handelt es sich um einen Graubereich an Tätigkeiten, die anspruchsvoller sind als reine Helfertätigkeiten, aber nicht unbedingt eine dreijährige Berufsausbildung voraussetzen. Politischer Handlungsbedarf besteht bei der Abgrenzung von Helfer- und Fachkrafttätigkeiten, was sich auch in der Entlohnung widerspiegeln muss. Zudem sind das Nachholen von Ausbildungsabschlüssen und die Zertifizierung von Teilqualifikationen wichtige Ansatzpunkte, um die Arbeitsmarktlage von gering Qualifizierten weiter zu verbessern." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Occupational tasks and wage inequality in West Germany: A decomposition analysis (2022)

    Koomen, Miriam; Backes-Gellner, Uschi ;

    Zitatform

    Koomen, Miriam & Uschi Backes-Gellner (2022): Occupational tasks and wage inequality in West Germany: A decomposition analysis. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 79. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2022.102284

    Abstract

    "We study the role of occupational tasks as drivers of West German wage inequality. We match administrative wage data with longitudinal task data, which allow us to account for within-occupation changes in task content over time. We run RIF regression-based decompositions to quantify the contribution of changes in the returns to tasks to overall changes in the wage distribution from 1978 to 2006. We find that changes in the returns to tasks explain up to half of the increase in wage inequality since the 1990s, both at the top and the bottom of the wage distribution. Specifically, abstract tasks drive the upper wage gap, while interactive and routine tasks drive the lower wage gap. Importantly, we find low-wage occupations to have the highest routine task intensity. The association between occupational tasks and West German wage inequality is thus both stronger and different than prior research has found." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2022 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Occupational Tasks and Wage Inequality in Germany: A Decomposition Analysis (2022)

    Koomen, Miriam; Backes-Gellner, Uschi ;

    Zitatform

    Koomen, Miriam & Uschi Backes-Gellner (2022): Occupational Tasks and Wage Inequality in Germany: A Decomposition Analysis. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 15702), Bonn, 66 S.

    Abstract

    "We study the role of occupational tasks as drivers of West German wage inequality. We match administrative wage data with longitudinal task data, which allows us to account for within-occupation changes in task content over time. We run RIF regression-based decompositions to quantify the contribution of changes in the returns to tasks to overall changes in the wage distribution from 1978 to 2006. We find that changes in the returns to tasks explain up to half of the increase in wage inequality since the 1990s, both at the top and the bottom of the wage distribution. Specifically, abstract tasks drive the upper wage gap, while interactive and routine tasks drive the lower wage gap. Importantly, we find low-wage occupations to have the highest routine task intensity. The association between occupational tasks and West German wage inequality is thus both stronger and different than prior research has found." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Beware of the employer: Financial incentives for employees may fail to prolong old-age employment (2022)

    Lorenz, Svenja; Bruns, Mona; Zwick, Thomas ;

    Zitatform

    Lorenz, Svenja, Thomas Zwick & Mona Bruns (2022): Beware of the employer: Financial incentives for employees may fail to prolong old-age employment. In: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Jg. 21. DOI:10.1016/j.jeoa.2021.100363

    Abstract

    "We show that a stepwise increase in the normal retirement age (NRA) by up to five years and the introduction of actuarial pension deductions for retirement before NRA was ineffective in prolonging employment of older men after early retirement age. We argue that the ineffectiveness of the German pension reform resulted from a change in employer behavior that was mainly induced by a recession during the implementation period of the pension reform. Employers seem to have nudged their employees to use a bridge option that was introduced with the pension reform (partial retirement) or a traditional bridge option (unemployment). These bridge options allowed an early retirement age (ERA) of 60 instead of the only alternative early retirement option with an ERA of 63. Bridge options therefore offered employers an opportunity to terminate employment considerably earlier and exert more influence over the employment exit age. We argue that without a change in employer behavior, neither using one of the bridge options nor the earlier employment exit would have been utility maximizing for the individuals affected by the reform." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Bad Times, Bad Jobs? How Recessions Affect Early Career Trajectories (2022)

    Mahajan, Parag; Stüber, Heiko ; Patki, Dhiren;

    Zitatform

    Mahajan, Parag, Dhiren Patki & Heiko Stüber (2022): Bad Times, Bad Jobs? How Recessions Affect Early Career Trajectories. (Working paper / Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Research Department 22-12), Boston, 21 S. DOI:10.29412/res.wp.2022.12

    Abstract

    "Studies find that if a worker enters the labor market during an economic downturn versus a period of expansion, they likely will have more difficulty finding a high-paying job, because the availability of such jobs is strongly procyclical. The earnings penalty for starting a career during bad times is both substantial and persistent. Indeed, this paper finds that a typical recession causes entrants to experience a 6 percent loss in earnings cumulated over the first 15 years of their careers. But, the authors ask, to what extent do non-pecuniary characteristics of jobs offset some of those earnings losses? They address this question by relying on population-scale linked employer-employee administrative data from Germany to estimate both the pecuniary and non-pecuniary impact of entering the workforce during a recession." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Erwerbsverläufe von Frauen und Männern (2022)

    Oberfichtner, Michael ;

    Zitatform

    Oberfichtner, Michael (2022): Erwerbsverläufe von Frauen und Männern. In: Ifo-Schnelldienst, Jg. 75, H. 10, S. 5-8.

    Abstract

    "Die Arbeitsmarktergebnisse von Frauen und Männern unterscheiden sich immer noch massiv. Die Erwerbsbeteiligung von Frauen ist niedriger als die von Männern, beschäftigte Frauen arbeiten im Durchschnitt weniger Stunden als Männer, der mittlere Stundenlohn lag 2018 bei Frauen 20% unter dem von Männern; und auch wenn man berücksichtigt, dass sich die Qualifikationen und Tätigkeiten zwischen Frauen und Männer unterscheiden, bleibt ein Lohnunterschied von 6% unerklärt (Statistisches Bundesamt 2022; 2022b; 2022c). Daher lohnt es sich, die Erwerbsverläufe von Frauen und Männern genauer in den Blick zu nehmen. Dieser Beitrag zeigt, dass die Geschlechterlohnunterschiede beim Eintritt in den Arbeitsmarkt in den letzten zwei Jahrzehnten deutlich abgenommen haben. Über das Erwerbsleben nehmen die Unterschiede jedoch auch bei jüngeren Kohorten stark zu, wobei Familiengründungen eine entscheidende Rolle spielen. Um die Ursachen dafür besser zu verstehen, nimmt die aktuelle Forschung zunehmend auch eine betriebliche Perspektive ein." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Oberfichtner, Michael ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Endbericht zur Studie „Arbeitsplatzsituation in der Akut- und Langzeitpflege und Ermittlung sowie modellhafte Implementierung von Indikatoren für gute Arbeitsbedingungen in der Langzeitpflege“ - Los 1: Analyse, Befragungen und Maßnahmenempfehlungen zum Pflegearbeitsplatz der Zukunft (2022)

    Peters, Verena; Stohr, Daniel; Bastian, Nina; Schröder, Jan; Zimmermann, Sandra; Herten, Benjamin; Meyer-Frieß, Kathrin; Schulte-Coerne, Nora; Laukhuf, Andrea; Wellmer, Amber; Müller, Laura ; Müller, Nils; Runschke, Benedikt; Kirstein, Katharina; Reinhards, Thomas; Spies, Sabrina; Stehle, Esther; Werding, Martin ; Seidel, Jonas; Klärner, Kai-David; Beule, Patrick; Ott, Notburga;

    Zitatform

    Peters, Verena, Benjamin Herten, Katharina Kirstein, Nora Schulte-Coerne, Jonas Seidel, Amber Wellmer, Esther Stehle, Nils Müller, Patrick Beule, Andrea Laukhuf, Laura Müller, Benedikt Runschke, Sabrina Spies, Daniel Stohr, Sandra Zimmermann, Jan Schröder, Nina Bastian, Kathrin Meyer-Frieß, Thomas Reinhards, Notburga Ott, Kai-David Klärner & Martin Werding (2022): Endbericht zur Studie „Arbeitsplatzsituation in der Akut- und Langzeitpflege und Ermittlung sowie modellhafte Implementierung von Indikatoren für gute Arbeitsbedingungen in der Langzeitpflege“ - Los 1: Analyse, Befragungen und Maßnahmenempfehlungen zum Pflegearbeitsplatz der Zukunft. Bochum, 739 S.

    Abstract

    "Im Rahmen der Konzertierten Aktion Pflege (KAP) wurde gemeinsam mit den in der Pflege beteiligten Akteuren im Juni 2019 Maßnahmen vereinbart, um mehr beruflich Pflegende zu gewinnen, sie zu stärken und zu entlasten und die Ausbildung und Arbeitsbedingungen attraktiver zu gestalten. Im Zuge dessen hat das Bundesministerium für Gesundheit die Studie Arbeitsplatzsituation in der Akut- und Langzeitpflege und Ermittlung sowie modellhafte Implementierung von Indikatoren für gute Arbeitsbedingungen in der Langzeitpflege beauftragt. Ziel der Studie war es, die Datengrundlagen zur Situation von beruflich Pflegenden zu verbessern und Maßnahmen zu identifizieren, die die Maßnahmen der KAP entweder bestätigen oder über diese hinausgehen bzw. mit denen die formulierten Ziele der Aktion vorangetrieben werden können. Los 1 der Studie umfasste dabei eine Analyse, Befragungen und Maßnahmenempfehlungen zum Pflegearbeitsplatz der Zukunft. Die Untersuchung beinhaltete eine umfassende systematische Analyse der bereits vorhandenen Literatur, eine Auswertung statistischer Daten sowie die Erhebung von Primärdaten in Form von qualitativen Interviews und einer quantitativen Erhebung unter beruflich Pflegenden in Deutschland. Die bereinigte, nicht repräsentative Stichprobe umfasst dabei Angaben von 5.514 Befragten, und sie ist damit eine der umfangreichsten Befragungen der letzten 10 Jahre bezogen auf Inhalte und Stichprobengröße. Sie bietet in besonderer thematischer Breite und Tiefe Einblicke in die Erfahrungen und Einschätzungen beruflich Pflegender in Deutschland. Die Ergebnisse dieser knapp dreijährigen Forschung sind in diesem Bericht zusammengefasst." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    30 Years of East-West Migration in Germany: A Synthesis of the Literature and Potential Directions for Future Research (2022)

    Rosenbaum-Feldbrügge, Matthias; Sander, Nikola ; Stawarz, Nico ;

    Zitatform

    Rosenbaum-Feldbrügge, Matthias, Nico Stawarz & Nikola Sander (2022): 30 Years of East-West Migration in Germany. A Synthesis of the Literature and Potential Directions for Future Research. In: Comparative Population Studies, Jg. 47, S. 185-210. DOI:10.12765/CPoS-2022-08

    Abstract

    "The reunification of the socialist German Democratic Republic and the capitalist Federal Republic of Germany presents a unique setting for studying the impact of socio-economic and political change on migration. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the interdisciplinary literature on migration between East and West Germany since reunification, conducted in disciplines such as economics, demography, sociology, and human geography. We synthesise the literature with regard to data-related challenges as well as individual and contextual determinants of migration. We clarify some misinterpretations and discrepancies in previous studies, identify research gaps, and suggest directions for future research. Our review demonstrates that East-West migration mainly occurred in line with what could have been expected based on migration theory with regard to migrants’ sex, age, education, labour market position, and social networks. West-East migration, in contrast, was strongly affected by return migrants who often stated non-occupational motives for moving. On the contextual level, differences in wages are better able to explain East-West migration over time than differences in unemployment rates. West-East migration, however, cannot be explained well with such macroeconomic models. This paper contributes a point of reference for future research on this topic, as well as on internal migration and socio-economic disparities in general." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Mind the gap: Effects of the national minimum wage on the gender wage gap in Germany (2022)

    Schmid, Ramona ;

    Zitatform

    Schmid, Ramona (2022): Mind the gap: Effects of the national minimum wage on the gender wage gap in Germany. (Hohenheim discussion papers in business, economics and social sciences 06-2022), Stuttgart, 37 S.

    Abstract

    "With its introduction in 2015, the statutory minimum wage in Germany intends to benefit primarily low-wage workers. Thus, this paper aims at estimating the effectiveness of the im- plemented wage floor on gender wage gaps in the lower half of the wage distribution. Using administrative data, distinct regional differences regarding magnitudes of wage differentials and responses to the minimum wage are identified. Overall, wage gaps between men and women at the 10th percentile decrease by 2.46 and 6.34 percentage points respectively in the West and East of Germany after 2015. Applying counterfactual wage distributions, the study provides new evidence that around 60% and even 95% of the decline result from the introduction of the minimum wage in each region. Further, group-specific analyses identify concrete responses on the basis of age, educational level and occupational activity. Having yearly data, the study ad- ditionally reveals new results on the impact of the successive minimum wage raises in 2017 and 2019. Counterfactual aggregate decompositions of gender wage gaps finally indicate a decrease in discriminatory remuneration structures in the West of Germany due to the introduced wage floor." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Task specialization and the native-foreign wage gap: Evidence from worker-level data (2022)

    Storm, Eduard ;

    Zitatform

    Storm, Eduard (2022): Task specialization and the native-foreign wage gap: Evidence from worker-level data. In: Labour, Jg. 36, H. 2, S. 167-195. DOI:10.1111/labr.12220

    Abstract

    "This study documents that worker-level variation in tasks has played a key role in the widening of the German Native-Foreign Wage Gap. I find idiosyncratic differences account for up to 34 per cent of the wage gap. Importantly, natives specialize in high-paying interactive activities not only between, but also within occupations. In contrast, foreign workers specialize in low-paying manual activities. This enhanced degree of task specialization accounts for 11 per cent of the gap among high-wage earners and 25 per cent among low-wage earner, thus offering new insight into sources for imperfect substitution of native and foreign workers and consequently small migration-induced wage effects." (Author's abstract, © John Wiley & Sons, Inc.) ((en))

    Weiterführende Informationen

    Appendices
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Increasing Hours Worked: Moonlighting Responses to a Large Tax Reform (2022)

    Tazhitdinova, Alissa;

    Zitatform

    Tazhitdinova, Alissa (2022): Increasing Hours Worked: Moonlighting Responses to a Large Tax Reform. In: American Economic Journal. Economic Policy, Jg. 14, H. 1, S. 473-500. DOI:10.1257/pol.20190786

    Abstract

    "Moonlighting is increasingly popular in OECD countries, with 5 to 10 percent of workers holding two or more jobs. However, little is known about the responsiveness of moonlighting to financial incentives due to the lack of identifying variation. This paper studies a unique reform in Germany that allowed workers to hold small secondary jobs tax-free, decreasing the marginal tax rate by between 19.5 to 66 pp. I show that the reform resulted in a dramatic increase in moonlighting that was not offset by reductions in primary earnings and that hours constraints are a key determinant of moonlighting." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Macroeconomic Effects of Active Labour Market Policies: A Novel Instrumental Variables Approach (2022)

    Unterhofer, Ulrike; Wunsch, Conny ;

    Zitatform

    Unterhofer, Ulrike & Conny Wunsch (2022): Macroeconomic Effects of Active Labour Market Policies. A Novel Instrumental Variables Approach. (arXiv papers), 81 S.

    Abstract

    "This study evaluates the macroeconomic effects of active labour market policies (ALMP) in Germany over the period 2005 to 2018. We propose a novel identification strategy to overcome the simultaneity of ALMP and labour market outcomes at the regional level. It exploits the imperfect overlap of local labour markets and local employment agencies that decide on the local implementation of policies. Specifically, we instrument for the use of ALMP in a local labour market with the mix of ALMP implemented outside this market but in local employment agencies that partially overlap with this market. We find no effects of short-term activation measures and further vocational training on aggregate labour market outcomes. In contrast, wage subsidies substantially increase the share of workers in unsubsidised employment while lowering long-term unemployment and welfare dependency. Our results suggest that negative externalities of ALMP partially offset the effects for program participants and that some segments of the labour market benefit more than others." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Early retirement of employees in demanding jobs: Evidence from a German pension reform (2022)

    Zwick, Thomas ; Lorenz, Svenja; Geyer, Johannes ; Bruns, Mona;

    Zitatform

    Zwick, Thomas, Mona Bruns, Johannes Geyer & Svenja Lorenz (2022): Early retirement of employees in demanding jobs: Evidence from a German pension reform. In: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Jg. 22. DOI:10.1016/j.jeoa.2022.100387

    Abstract

    "Early retirement options are usually targeted at employees at risk of not reaching their regular retirement age in employment. An important at-risk group comprises older employees who have worked in demanding jobs for many years. This group may be particularly negatively affected by the abolition of early retirement options. To measure differences in labor market reactions of employees in low- and high-demand jobs, we exploit the quasinatural experiment of a cohort-specific pension reform that increased the early retirement age for women from 60 to 63 years. Based on a large administrative dataset, we use a regression-discontinuity approach to estimate the labor market reactions. Surprisingly, we find the same relative employment increase of about 25% for treated women who were exposed to low and to high job demand. For older women in demanding jobs, we also do not find substitution effects into unemployment, partial retirement, disability pension, or inactivity. Eligibility for the abolished early retirement option required high labor market attachment. Thus, we argue that this eligibility rule induced a positive selection of healthy workers into early retirement. We propose alternative policies that protect workers exposed to high job demand better against the negative consequences of being unable to reach their statutory retirement age in employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Structural change revisited: The rise of manufacturing jobs in the service sector (2021)

    Boddin, Dominik ; Kroeger, Thilo ;

    Zitatform

    Boddin, Dominik & Thilo Kroeger (2021): Structural change revisited: The rise of manufacturing jobs in the service sector. (Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank 2021,38), Frankfurt am Main, 55 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper reconsiders the labor market consequences of structural change over the past 43 years. Taking two different ways of defining manufacturing and service employment as point of departure - according to the industry classification of firms or establishments and according to the occupation and hence the tasks of the workers - we show that structural change is far less pronounced than generally perceived. Manufacturing and service employment numbers based on the occupations of workers deviate markedly from the employment numbers based on the industry classification of employers. The decline in manufacturing jobs in Germany is far lower if the measurement of employment is based on the occupation of the worker. About 52% of manufacturing jobs that were lost in manufacturing industries between 1975 and 2017 are offset by new manufacturing jobs in service industries. This also has important implications for empirical applications. By way of example, we reestimate the effect of international trade on manufacturing employment based on the occupation of the worker. Contrary to previously identified negative effects, we cannot identify significant effects of import exposure on employment in manufacturing occupations. Using detailed, comprehensive German social security data, we show at the worker level that the service sector increasingly acts as a valuable alternative employment option for workers with manufacturing occupations. We estimate the causal effects of a switch to the service sector on employment outcomes by following workers over time after mass layoffs. The results reinforce our claim that structural change is less pronounced than perceived, as workers who retain their initial occupation and switch to employment in the service sector experience no significant differences in future employment trajectories compared to workers who manage to stay in the manufacturing sector." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Demographic Change and Regional Labour Markets (2021)

    Böhm, Michael J. ; Gregory, Terry ; Qendrai, Pamela; Siegel, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Böhm, Michael J., Terry Gregory, Pamela Qendrai & Christian Siegel (2021): Demographic Change and Regional Labour Markets. In: Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Jg. 37, H. 1, S. 113-131. DOI:10.1093/oxrep/graa063

    Abstract

    "Like many other countries, Germany has experienced rapid population and workforce ageing, yet with substantial variation across regions. In this paper we first use this spatial variation between 1975 and 2014 to estimate quasi-causal supply effects of ageing on regional labour market outcomes, drawing on the identification strategy of Böhm and Siegel (2020). We find in our panel of German labour market regions that workforce mean age has considerable negative effects on the wage returns to age. We also obtain suggestive evidence that relative employment rates of older workers decline when mean age rises. A decomposition of the heterogeneous regional trends using our estimates shows that ageing of rural regions is mainly driven by supply (reflecting local population dynamics) whereas urban ageing is driven by demand (reflecting responses to economic conditions). We discuss the differential implications of these drivers for regional policy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Fall in German Unemployment: A Flow Analysis (2021)

    Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos ; Robin, Jean-Marc ; Launov, Andrey ;

    Zitatform

    Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos, Andrey Launov & Jean-Marc Robin (2021): The Fall in German Unemployment: A Flow Analysis. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 132. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103658

    Abstract

    "In this paper we investigate the recent fall in unemployment, and the rise in part-time work and labour market participation among prime-aged Germans. We show that unemployment fell because the Hartz reforms induced a large fraction of the long-term unemployed to deregister as jobseekers. However, labour force participation actually increased because many female non-participants accepted low-paid, part-time jobs. Counterfactual simulations using estimated transition probabilities show that observed changes in the stocks of registered and unregistered unemployment after 2002 essentially resulted from changes in their outflows. These changes are also the main determinants of the dynamics of the stocks of marginal, contributing part-time and full-time employment after 2002. Yet the full decrease in registered male unemployment cannot be explained by the reforms alone." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2021 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants (2021)

    Dustmann, Christian ; Ku, Hyejin ; Surovtseva, Tanya;

    Zitatform

    Dustmann, Christian, Hyejin Ku & Tanya Surovtseva (2021): Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants. (CReAM discussion paper 2021,10), London, 59 S.

    Abstract

    "Higher price levels in the destination relative to the origin increase the effective real wages of immigrants, thereby affecting immigrants' reservation and entry wages as well as their subsequent career trajectories. Based on micro-level longitudinal administrative data from Germany and exploiting within-country and across-cohort variations in the real exchange rate (RER) between Germany and countries that newly joined the European Union in the 2000s, we find that immigrants arriving with high RERs initially settle for lower paying jobs than comparable immigrants arriving with low RERs. In subsequent periods, however, wages of high RER arrivals catch up to that of their low RER counterparts, convergence achieved primarily through changes to better paying occupations and firms. Our findings thus point to the persistent regional price differences as one possible reason for Immigrants' downgrading, with implications for immigrant' career profiles and the assessment of labor market impacts of immigration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Dustmann, Christian ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Same educational level, same wage returns? An analysis over time and across occupations in Germany (2021)

    Friedrich, Anett ; Hirtz, Sandra ;

    Zitatform

    Friedrich, Anett & Sandra Hirtz (2021): Same educational level, same wage returns? An analysis over time and across occupations in Germany. In: Journal of education and work, Jg. 34, H. 5-6, S. 632-648. DOI:10.1080/13639080.2021.1965967

    Abstract

    "Analysing wage differentials due to educational investments within occupations can explain the persistent wage inequality in western industrialised countries, such as Germany. This article contributes to the discussion by examining occupation-specific variance in wage returns for men working full-time in Western Germany between 1976 and 2010. We distinguish between three groups: employees with a vocational education and training (VET) degree with an Abitur (a certificate allowing entrance into a German university), with a VET degree but no Abitur, or with a university degree. First, we theoretically argue why wage returns vary within educational levels across occupations. Second, on the assumption that wage return variance will be greater at higher educational levels, we investigate wage return variance patterns for VET and university graduates over time. Estimating a two-stage multilevel model using the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB), we show that holding an Abitur increases wage return variance across occupations. Moreover, we find a significantly higher occupation-specific variance in wage returns to education for university graduates than for VET graduates. For the period under examination, we reveal a fluctuating variance in wage returns for VET graduates and a slightly decreasing variance for university graduates." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien Regionalfile (SIAB-R) 1975-2019 (2021)

    Frodermann, Corinna ; Ganzer, Andreas; Schmucker, Alexandra; Vom Berge, Philipp ;

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    Frodermann, Corinna, Andreas Ganzer, Alexandra Schmucker & Philipp Vom Berge (2021): Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien Regionalfile (SIAB-R) 1975-2019. (FDZ-Datenreport 05/2021 (de)), Nürnberg, 83 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZD.2105de.v1

    Abstract

    "Dieser Datenreport beschreibt das „Regionalfile“ der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB-R) 1975 - 2019. Der Datensatz stellt die faktisch anonymisierte Version der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) dar und wird nach Abschluss eines Nutzungsvertrages mit dem IAB an Forschungseinrichtungen übermittelt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies Regional File (SIAB-R) 1975-2019 (2021)

    Frodermann, Corinna ; Ganzer, Andreas; Vom Berge, Philipp ; Schmucker, Alexandra;

    Zitatform

    Frodermann, Corinna, Andreas Ganzer, Alexandra Schmucker & Philipp Vom Berge (2021): Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies Regional File (SIAB-R) 1975-2019. (FDZ-Datenreport 05/2021 (en)), Nürnberg, 85 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZD.2105.en.v1

    Abstract

    "Dieser Datenreport beschreibt das „Regionalfile“ der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB-R) 1975 - 2019. Der Datensatz stellt die faktisch anonymisierte Version der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) dar und wird nach Abschluss eines Nutzungsvertrages mit dem IAB an Forschungseinrichtungen übermittelt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) 1975-2019 (2021)

    Frodermann, Corinna ; Seth, Stefan; Vom Berge, Philipp ; Schmucker, Alexandra;

    Zitatform

    Frodermann, Corinna, Alexandra Schmucker, Stefan Seth & Philipp Vom Berge (2021): Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) 1975-2019. (FDZ-Datenreport 01/2021 (de)), Nürnberg, 77 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZD.2101.de.v1

    Abstract

    "Dieser Datenreport beschreibt die Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) 1975 - 2019." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB) 1975-2019 (2021)

    Frodermann, Corinna ; Seth, Stefan; Schmucker, Alexandra; Vom Berge, Philipp ;

    Zitatform

    Frodermann, Corinna, Alexandra Schmucker, Stefan Seth & Philipp Vom Berge (2021): Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB) 1975-2019. (FDZ-Datenreport 01/2021 (en)), Nürnberg, 76 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZD.2101.en.v1

    Abstract

    "Dieser Datenreport beschreibt die Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) 1975 - 2019." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Labor Demand Response to Labor Supply Incentives: Lessons from the German Mini-Job Reform (2021)

    Galassi, Gabriela ;

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    Galassi, Gabriela (2021): Labor Demand Response to Labor Supply Incentives: Lessons from the German Mini-Job Reform. (Staff working paper / Bank of Canada 2021,15), Ottawa, 92 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes how firms respond to changes in tax benefits for low-earning workers and how, through equilibrium effects, such policies also affect non-targeted, high-earning workers. I explore establishment-level outcomes around Germany's 2003 Mini-Job Reform, which entailed a significant expansion of tax benefits for low-earning workers. Firms' responses are decomposed in terms of the scale effects that arise from lower labor costs and the substitution effects that are due to changes in the relative prices of low- and high-earning employment post-reform. Using a differences-in-differences approach, I document that highly exposed establishments—those with a high proportion of low-earning workers pre-reform—expand their number of employees relative to non-exposed establishments–those with a low proportion of such workers. Importantly, this relative expansion is tilted towards high-earning workers, a group that is not the target of the tax benefits. In addition, non-exposed establishments substitute employment towards low-earning workers without expanding at the same pace. My findings are consistent with a model of the labor market that features tax sharing between workers and firms and simultaneous shifts in labor supply and demand after changes in tax benefits for low-earning workers. In this setting I illustrate that the employment growth the policy intended is accompanied by a reallocation of employment and production between highly exposed firms and non-exposed firms, and this may result in an efficiency loss." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Relationships that Last: Job Creation vs Job Duration (2021)

    Gehrke, Britta; Wong, Jacob;

    Zitatform

    Gehrke, Britta & Jacob Wong (2021): Relationships that Last: Job Creation vs Job Duration. (School of Economics working papers / The University of Adelaide, School of Economics 2021-01), Adelaide, 27 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper documents observations about the duration of jobs created by establishments at various points along an establishment age curve. Using an employer-employee matched dataset from Germany, we observe a checkmark-shaped relationship between expected job duration and establishment age at the time of job creation. A simple frictional labour market model with two-sided heterogeneity featuring on-the-job search, a simple learning mechanism about worker ability and a life cycle productivity profile for firms is built to frame a discussion around the empirical finding. The model's mechanical job-ladder is shown to be able to produce such stylized correlations." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Skill premiums and the supply of young workers in Germany (2021)

    Glitz, Albrecht ; Wissmann, Daniel;

    Zitatform

    Glitz, Albrecht & Daniel Wissmann (2021): Skill premiums and the supply of young workers in Germany. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 72. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2021.102034

    Abstract

    "In this paper, we study the development and underlying drivers of skill premiums in Germany between 1980 and 2008. We show that the significant increase in the medium-to-low skill premium since the late 1980s was almost exclusively concentrated among workers aged 30 or below. Using a nested CES production function framework which allows for imperfect substitutability between young and old workers, we show that changes in relative labor supplies can explain these patterns very well. A cohort-level analysis reveals that distinct secular changes in the educational attainment of the native population are the primary source of the declining relative supply of medium-skilled workers in Germany. Low-skilled immigration, in contrast, only plays a secondary role in explaining the rising lower-end wage inequality in Germany over recent decades." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2021 Elsevier) ((en))

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    The Causal Effect of Exposure to Female-Dominated Work on Men's Occupational Choices: Evidence from the Suspension of the Civilian Service in Germany (2021)

    Hamjediers, Maik ;

    Zitatform

    Hamjediers, Maik (2021): The Causal Effect of Exposure to Female-Dominated Work on Men's Occupational Choices. Evidence from the Suspension of the Civilian Service in Germany. (SocArXiv papers), 30, 8 S. DOI:10.31235/osf.io/apvky

    Abstract

    "Occupational segregation is one of the primary mechanisms for gender inequalities in labor market outcomes and persists partly because men rarely enter female-dominated occupations. Social Cognitive Career Theory explains occupational segregation via a lack of learning experiences in gender-atypical tasks and several programs have been proposed to foster occupational integration by exposing individuals to gender-atypical learning experiences. However, research on men working in female-dominated occupations revealed positive as well as negative experiences made within them. As most studies do not account for potential self-selection into gender-atypical occupations, it is an open question whether and how exposure to female-dominated occupations affects men's occupational choices. In response, I exploit exogenous variation induced by the suspension of Germany’s civilian service in 2011. The civilian service was a social sector alternative to a compulsory military service. I describe selection into the civilian service based on cross-section data (AID:A 2009) to assess to whom a potential effect would apply. A difference-in-difference design leverages German social security insurance register data (SIAB) to compare birth cohorts of men before and after the suspension and employs women who were not eligible for compulsory services as a control group. The suspension of the civilian service decreased the likelihood of men to enter female-dominated occupations by two percentage points. This result indicates that programs exposing men to gender-atypical learning experiences can facilitate occupational integration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Labour Market Miracle, Productivity Debacle: Measuring the Effects of Skill-Biased and Skill-Neutral Technical Change (2021)

    Hutter, Christian ; Weber, Enzo ;

    Zitatform

    Hutter, Christian & Enzo Weber (2021): Labour Market Miracle, Productivity Debacle: Measuring the Effects of Skill-Biased and Skill-Neutral Technical Change. In: Economic Modelling, Jg. 102, 2021-06-22. DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105584

    Abstract

    "This paper examines the role of skill-biased and skill-neutral technical change for productivity and employment. Thereby, we explore the puzzling macro development in Germany, witnessing job miracle and productivity debacle in parallel. In the literature, skill-biased technical change (SBTC) is known as an important driving factor for labour markets. We measure SBTC using comprehensive micro data and construct a structural macroeconometric framework identified by long-run restrictions. The results show that weaker SBTC explains 69 percent of the productivity slowdown since the early 2000s. Skill-biased technology shocks have a negative and skill-neutral technology shocks a positive hours effect. Twenty-five percent of the hours upswing since 2005 can be explained by reduced pressure from SBTC. Moreover, we analyse routine-biased technical change (RBTC) and find productivity and hours effects comparable to SBTC. However, only the latter can explain the job miracle – productivity debacle puzzle, since RBTC does not flatten substantially in the 2000s." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Hutter, Christian ; Weber, Enzo ;
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    Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss (2021)

    Jarosch, Gregor;

    Zitatform

    Jarosch, Gregor (2021): Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss. (NBER working paper 28481), Cambridge, MA, 56 S. DOI:10.3386/w28481

    Abstract

    "Job loss comes with large present value earnings losses which elude workhorse models of unemployment and labor market policy. I propose a parsimonious model of a frictional labor market in which jobs differ in terms of unemployment risk and workers search off- and on-the-job. This gives rise to a job ladder with slippery bottom rungs where unemployment spells beget unemployment spells. I allow for human capital to respond to time spent out of work and estimate the framework on German Social Security data. The model captures the joint response of wages, employment, and unemployment risk to job loss which I measure empirically. The key driver of the “unemployment scar” is the loss in job security and its interaction with the evolution of human capital." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Optimal Regional Labor Market Policies (2021)

    Jung, Philip ; Preugschat, Edgar ; Korfmann, Philipp ;

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    Jung, Philip, Philipp Korfmann & Edgar Preugschat (2021): Optimal Regional Labor Market Policies. (IZA discussion paper 14204), Bonn, 75 S.

    Abstract

    "We document large and persistent spatial dispersion in unemployment rates, vacancies, labor market tightness, labor market flows, and wages for Germany on a granular regional level. We show that in the 1990s differences in inflows from employment to unemployment were the key driver of regional dispersion in unemployment rates while in the 2000s outflows became more important. To account for the documented regional dispersion we develop a spatial search and matching model with risk-averse agents, endogenous separations and unobservable search effort that leads to moral hazard and quantify the relative importance of 4 potential structural driving forces: dispersion in productivity, in the bargaining strength of workers, in idiosyncratic risk components and in regional matching efficiency. Based on region-specific estimates of these factors we then study the resulting policy trade-off between insurance, regional redistribution and efficiency. We design (optimal) region-specific labor market policies that can be implemented using hiring subsidies, layoff taxes, unemployment insurance benefits and transfers financed by social insurance contributions. We find that a move towards an optimal tax system that explicitly conditions on regional characteristics could lead to sizable welfare and employment gains." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Fairness in Algorithmic Profiling: A German Case Study (2021)

    Kern, Christoph ; Bach, Ruben L. ; Mautner, Hannah ; Kreuter, Frauke ;

    Zitatform

    Kern, Christoph, Ruben L. Bach, Hannah Mautner & Frauke Kreuter (2021): Fairness in Algorithmic Profiling: A German Case Study. (arXiv papers), 2021-08-04. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.2108.04134

    Abstract

    "Algorithmic profiling is increasingly used in the public sector as a means to allocate limited public resources effectively and objectively. One example is the prediction-based statistical profiling of job seekers to guide the allocation of support measures by public employment services. However, empirical evaluations of potential side-effects such as unintended discrimination and fairness concerns are rare. In this study, we compare and evaluate statistical models for predicting job seekers' risk of becoming long-term unemployed with respect to prediction performance, fairness metrics, and vulnerabilities to data analysis decisions. Focusing on Germany as a use case, we evaluate profiling models under realistic conditions by utilizing administrative data on job seekers' employment histories that are routinely collected by German public employment services. Besides showing that these data can be used to predict long-term unemployment with competitive levels of accuracy, we highlight that different classification policies have very different fairness implications. We therefore call for rigorous auditing processes before such models are put to practice." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Technologische Innovationen und Wandel der Arbeitswelt in Deutschland: Herausforderungen für die berufliche Aus- und Weiterbildung sowie die Re-Qualifizierung im Zuge des digitalen Wandels (2021)

    Kirchmann, Andrea; Laub, Natalie; Maier, Anastasia; Boockmann, Bernhard; Zühlke, Anne ;

    Zitatform

    Kirchmann, Andrea, Natalie Laub, Anastasia Maier, Anne Zühlke & Bernhard Boockmann (2021): Technologische Innovationen und Wandel der Arbeitswelt in Deutschland. Herausforderungen für die berufliche Aus- und Weiterbildung sowie die Re-Qualifizierung im Zuge des digitalen Wandels. (Studien zum deutschen Innovationssystem 2021-10), Berlin, 128 S.

    Abstract

    "Die vorliegende Studie beschäftigt sich mit den Herausforderungen des digitale Wandels für die berufliche Aus- und Weiterbildung sowie für die Hochschullehre. Dafür wurden eine breit angelegte Literaturanalyse sowie die Auswertung verschiedener Indikatoren vorgenommen. Den Kern der Studie bilden Interviews mit Expertinnen und Experten. Die Gespräche ergeben, dass alle Ausbildungsberufe von der Digitalisierung betroffen sind. Dennoch behält die duale berufliche Ausbildung auch im Zuge des digitalen Wandels einen hohen Stellenwert für die Wirtschaft. Vor allem in der Qualifikation des betrieblichen Ausbildungspersonals und der Lehrkräfte besteht noch erheblicher Handlungsbedarf, ebenso wie beim Umgang der Lehrenden an Hochschulen und in der Weiterbildung mit digitalen Lehr-Lern-Formaten. Kleine und mittlere Unternehmen stehen aufgrund von fehlender technologischer Ausstattung häufig vor besonderen Herausforderungen. Aus diesen Erkenntnissen werden verschiedene Handlungsempfehlungen abgeleitet. Beispielsweise wird bereichsübergreifend die Förderung der didaktischen Weiterbildung im Umgang mit digitalen Lehr-Lernformaten empfohlen. Die Befähigung zu lebenslangem Lernen, die Bereitstellung funktionierender technischer Ausstattung und einer leistungsfähigen Infrastruktur stellen weitere Handlungsempfehlungen dar." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Machine Learning in Labor Economics: Clustering, Prediction, and Variable Selection in the Analysis of Female Employment (2021)

    Klose, Sophie-Charlotte; Paul, Marie ; Lederer, Johannes;

    Zitatform

    Klose, Sophie-Charlotte (2021): Machine Learning in Labor Economics: Clustering, Prediction, and Variable Selection in the Analysis of Female Employment. Duisburg, 174 S.

    Abstract

    "In three separate chapters, this dissertation (develops and) demonstrates the effective use of various ML tools to tackle different empirical purposes in the analysis of female employment. Chapter 2 deals with data-driven classification in the analysis of maternal employment. The chapter focuses on detecting latent group structures in the effect of motherhood on employment and examines how the introduction of a generous parental benefit reform impacts the different cluster groups. Chapter 3 turns to the prediction aspect of ML in labor economics and analyzes in a data-driven way how far childbirth can be predicted from a rich set of predictor variables derived from female employment and wage histories. Chapter 4 introduces ML tools for controlled variable selection to economists. More specifically the chapter extends a recently proposed approach for datadriven variable selection in high-dimensional linear models to the non-linear case and exemplifies its usefulness with an application towards the labor market. All three chapters share in common the sparsity principle (e.g., Hastie et al. [2015]), which assumes that the DGP can be modeled accurately by a small number of predictors, even though the actual number of variables at hand is large. Sparsity can be motivated on economic grounds in situations where a researcher believes that the underlying DGP is parsimonious but is unsure about the identity of the relevant variables. In empirical research, it allows the effective use of a large set of covariates while at the same time maintaining the spirit of parsimonious modeling in economics.
    Cumulative Dissertation Containing Three Essays: (1) Identifying Latent Structures in Maternal Employment: Evidence on the German Parental Benefit Reform (2) Predicting the Incidence of Having a First Child based on Employment Records { A Machine Learning Approach (joint work with Marie Paul) (3) A Pipeline for Variable Selection and False Discovery Rate Control With an Application in Labor Economics (joint work with Johannes Lederer)" (Text excerpt, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Money also is sunny in a retiree’s world: financial incentives and work after retirement (2021)

    Lorenz, Svenja; Zwick, Thomas ;

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    Lorenz, Svenja & Thomas Zwick (2021): Money also is sunny in a retiree’s world: financial incentives and work after retirement. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 55. DOI:10.1186/s12651-021-00304-1

    Abstract

    "This paper assesses the impact of financial incentives on working after retirement. The empirical analysis is based on a large administrative individual career data set that includes information about 2% of all German employees subject to social security or in marginal employment until age 67 and their employers in the period 1975–2014. We use the classical labor supply model and differentiate between the impact of (potential) labor and non-labor (pension entitlements) income. A Heckman-type two step selection model corrects for endogeneity. We show that labor income has a positive and non-labor income a negative impact on the decision to work after retirement. Especially individuals who can substantially increase their earnings in comparison to their pension entitlements accordingly have a higher probability to work. Men are more attracted by labor earnings incentives than women. Also individuals who work until retirement are easier attracted to work after retirement by higher labor income than those with gaps between employment exit and retirement. Our results allow the calculation of the impact of changes in taxes on labor and non-labor income and changes in earnings offers by employers on work after retirement for different demographic groups." (Author's abstract, © 2021 Springer) ((en))

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    Apprenticeship non‑completion in Germany: a money matter? (2021)

    Neuber-Pohl, Caroline ;

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    Neuber-Pohl, Caroline (2021): Apprenticeship non‑completion in Germany: a money matter? In: Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training, Jg. 13. DOI:10.1186/s40461-021-00115-1

    Abstract

    "German establishments heavily rely on the apprenticeship system for skill supply. With one in four apprenticeship contracts ending before successful completion, it is in the interest of establishments and policy-makers to determine factors, which reduce non-completion. This paper investigates the role of apprenticeship wages and income prospects after completion for apprenticeship non-completion in Germany. For this purpose, this study identifies incidences of apprenticeship non-completion in a large sample of administrative data on employment biographies and estimates a piecewise exponential model of the non-completion hazard with shared frailties by occupations. The results suggest a robust and significant association with both apprenticeship wages and skilled worker wages. All else at means, apprenticeships which are paid 5% more than the mean apprenticeship wage, on average have a 0.8 percentage points higher estimated survival rate. In turn, an apprenticeship expected to lead to a skilled job that is paid 5% above average, has an estimated survival rate, which is 3.1 percentage points higher on average. These findings highlight the importance of income prospects for apprenticeship non-completion." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The value of apprentices in the care sector: the effect of apprenticeship costs on the mobility of graduates from apprenticeship training (2021)

    Schuss, Eric ;

    Zitatform

    Schuss, Eric (2021): The value of apprentices in the care sector: the effect of apprenticeship costs on the mobility of graduates from apprenticeship training. In: Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training, Jg. 13. DOI:10.1186/s40461-021-00118-y

    Abstract

    "This paper provides evidence on the effect of apprenticeship costs on the decision whether care facilities employ apprenticeship graduates after completing apprenticeship training. To account for the endogeneity in apprenticeship costs, we exploit an exogenous reduction in the apprenticeship costs of care facilities by exploiting the fact that the underlying apprenticeship levy was introduced across the German federal states at different points in time. We find that the redistribution of apprenticeship costs increases the probability of leaving the training facility after completing apprenticeship training by 10 percentage points. Furthermore, we use this quasi-experimental setting to estimate the effect of mobility of graduates on their wages, which hints at a negative relationship in the upper quartile of the wage distribution." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The effect on economic development of creative class versus human capital: panel evidence from German regions (2021)

    Tiruneh, Esubalew Alehegn; Sacchetti, Silvia ; Tortia, Ermanno C. ;

    Zitatform

    Tiruneh, Esubalew Alehegn, Silvia Sacchetti & Ermanno C. Tortia (2021): The effect on economic development of creative class versus human capital: panel evidence from German regions. In: European Planning Studies, Jg. 29, H. 1, S. 75-93. DOI:10.1080/09654313.2020.1821611

    Abstract

    "The creative class thesis considers the creative class, compared to human capital, as a better driver of regional economic development. We test this thesis for Germany. We measure creative class and human capital by occupation and education, respectively using classification codes from The Sample of Integrated Labor Market Biographies (SIAB), and proxy regional economic development by per capita income and employment. Our panel estimation results with system GMM show that the human capital effect on per capita income is substantially stronger than the creative class, while the creative class drives employment far better than human capital does. The evidence does not support the notion that the creative class drives development better than human capital." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Creating cross-sectional data and biographical variables with the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies 1975-2019 - Programming examples for Stata (2021)

    Vom Berge, Philipp ; Schmucker, Alexandra;

    Zitatform

    Vom Berge, Philipp & Alexandra Schmucker (2021): Creating cross-sectional data and biographical variables with the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies 1975-2019 - Programming examples for Stata. (FDZ-Methodenreport 05/2021 (en)), Nürnberg, 14 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZM.2105.en.v1

    Abstract

    "Der vorliegende FDZ-Methodenreport (einschließlich der Programmierbeispiele für Stata) beschreibt die Erstellung von Querschnittdaten auf Basis der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (Version 1975-2019) zu frei wählbaren Stichtagen. Zudem werden die Generierung von biografischen Merkmalen und das Vorgehen, das Sonderzahlungen und die dazugehörigen Tagesentgelte aufsummiert, erläutert." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Vom Berge, Philipp ; Schmucker, Alexandra;

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    The impact of technological age: An empirical analysis of technological change induced human capital depreciation and its influence on wages and the likelihood to leave an occupation (2021)

    Wirp, Marc Christoph;

    Zitatform

    Wirp, Marc Christoph (2021): The impact of technological age. An empirical analysis of technological change induced human capital depreciation and its influence on wages and the likelihood to leave an occupation. Mainz, 360 S. DOI:10.25358/openscience-6190

    Abstract

    "This analysis establishes the novel concept of technological age as a measure of occupation specific technologically induced human capital depreciation. The hypothesis is that technological age makes workers less efficient in their adoption of new technologies and leads to lower wages or workers leaving their occupations. Therefore, the analysis estimates the impact of technological age on wages and on the probability that workers leave their occupations. To measure technological age, the analysis uses the “Employment Survey of the Working Population on Qualification and Working conditions in Germany” dataset to estimate technological change for 28 occupations in the timeframe 1979-2006. This occupation specific technological change is then used to estimate an individual technological age for 971,510 individuals in the dataset “Sample of Integrated Labor Market Biographies Description.” As hypothesized, technological age has a negative and significant impact on wages in most occupations during the sample period. Alas, when looking at sub-sample estimations, it becomes clear that technological age has a positive impact on wages in the timeframe from 1979-1999 and that technological age only has a negative impact on wages in the timeframe from 2000-2006. Furthermore, technological age makes workers more likely to leave their occupations in most occupations during the sample period. Yet again, when looking at sub sample periods, technological age makes workers more likely to leave their occupations during the years 1979-1999 and less likely during the years 2000-2006. Technological age surprisingly always has a more negative impact in less technologically intensive occupations. Workers in less technologically intensive occupations are affected more by the wage effect of technological age and workers in less technologically intensive occupations are more likely to leave their occupations due to technological age. This is true for the entire sample period as well as the sub sample timeframes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Essays on Regional Labour Mobility (2021)

    Zimmermann, Michael Walter; Trede, Mark ;

    Zitatform

    Zimmermann, Michael Walter (2021): Essays on Regional Labour Mobility. Münster, 107 S.

    Abstract

    Die kumulative Dissertation umfasst neben einer einordnenden und zusammenfassenden Einleitung drei Beiträge: (1) 'Regional Labour Migration - Stylized Facts for Germany' untersucht die regionale Arbeitskräftemobilität zwischen 1995 und 2017 unter den Ausprägungen Arbeitslosigkeitsrate, Preisniveau und Bevölkerungsdichte (für das Jahr 2016) und präsentiert ein weiterentwickeltes Gravitationsmodell zur Bestimmung der Determinanten von Binnenmigration. (2). 'Directed Search on the Job in Local Labour Markets' untersucht den Gegenstand aus der Mikroperspektive, basierend auf dem Wanderungsmodell von Sjaastad, nach dem sich die ökonomische Disparitäten durch Arbeitskräftewanderung verändern, wenn Arbeitnehmer den Nutzen ihrer Lebensarbeitszeit durch rationale Wahl des Wohnortes maximieren. (3) 'Labour Mobility - A Multiregional New Keynesian Model' stellt ein multiregionales Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE)-Modell vor, das die aus der Literatur bekannten Standardelemente enthält. Zur Ergänzung werden hier die Finanzmärkte mit Inflation, Preisfestsetzung und Lohnverhandlungen einbezogen. (IAB)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Lebenslagen in Deutschland: Der Sechste Armuts- und Reichtumsbericht der Bundesregierung: Kurzfassung (2021)

    Zitatform

    (2021): Lebenslagen in Deutschland: Der Sechste Armuts- und Reichtumsbericht der Bundesregierung. Kurzfassung. (Lebenslagen in Deutschland. Armuts- und Reichtumsberichterstattung der Bundesregierung 6), 72 S.

    Abstract

    "Die Ergebnisse des Berichts zeigen, dass der überwiegende Teil der Menschen in stabilen sozialen Lagen lebt: Deutschland ist keine "Abstiegsgesellschaft", weiterhin bestehen gute Aufstiegschancen aus der Mitte nach Oben. Problematisch ist die Verfestigung in den unteren sozialen Lagen, aus denen es im Zeitablauf immer weniger Personen gelungen ist, aufzusteigen. Hinsichtlich der Auswirkungen der COVID-19-Pandemie deuten die vorliegenden Befragungs- bzw. erste Forschungsergebnisse darauf hin, dass die Sozialschutzpakete bislang negative Verteilungseffekte weitgehend vermieden haben und durch die Regelungen des Kurzarbeitergeldes die Beschäftigung gesichert werden konnte. Langfristig gilt es aber, die Bereich Bildung und Betreuung besonders im Blick zu behalten, da sich hier in den Belastungen sozioökonomische Unterschiede gezeigt haben. Der Bericht dient dazu, die Lebenslagen der Bürgerinnen und Bürger zu analysieren, die Wirksamkeit der bisherigen Politikansätze zu überprüfen und neue Maßnahmen anzuregen. Die soziale Lage in Deutschland wird dafür ausführlich beschrieben. Zugrunde liegen die vorliegenden Statistiken und eigens für den Bericht in Auftrag gegebene Forschungsvorhaben. Die aktuellen Daten bewertet der Bericht mit Blick auf die Entwicklung der sozialen Aufstiegschancen und Abstiegsrisiken innerhalb der Biographie und – soweit möglich – auch im Vergleich zu früheren Alterskohorten und Generationen. Für diesen Sechsten Armuts- und Reichtumsbericht wurden erstmals Einzelinformationen aus verschiedenen Dimensionen (Einkommen, Vermögen, Erwerbsintegration und Wohnungsausstattung) miteinander verknüpft, um soziale Lagen auch in der Gesamtschau zu bewerten und im Zeitablauf zu vergleichen. Die ebenfalls erstmals durchgeführte Untersuchung zur Verfügbarkeit und Inanspruchnahme der sozialen Infrastruktur und von Angeboten der Daseinsvorsorge nimmt ergänzend die Bedeutung nicht-monetärer Leistungen für soziale und gesellschaftliche Teilhabe in den Blick. Verstärkt wurde auch die Analyse, wie Verteilungsergebnisse und soziale Mobilität individuell erfahren und bewertet werden. In Ergänzung zu einer repräsentativen Bevölkerungsbefragung, die differenzierte Auswertungen ermöglicht hat, wurden Personen aus benachteiligten sozialen Lagen zu ihren Biografien, ihrer Lebenssituation und ihren Zukunftsaussichten persönlich interviewt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Educational expansion and educational wage premiums of young male employees: A long-term analysis for West Germany 1976–2010 (2020)

    Alda, Holger; Friedrich, Anett ; Rohrbach-Schmidt, Daniela ;

    Zitatform

    Alda, Holger, Anett Friedrich & Daniela Rohrbach-Schmidt (2020): Educational expansion and educational wage premiums of young male employees. A long-term analysis for West Germany 1976–2010. In: Social science research, Jg. 85. DOI:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2019.102351

    Abstract

    "For decades, Western societies have experienced educational expansion accompanied by an upgrading of skills. The literature provides competing hypotheses on the consequences for educational wage returns — among them are the positional value theory, routine-biased technological change, and the social closure theory. We test these theoretical perspectives empirically on young, male full-time workers in West Germany between 1976 and 2010 in two ideal-type occupational segments using 2.34 million administrative earnings records (Sample of Integrated Labor Market Biographies, SIAB). Our findings show no credential inflation across all levels of education. Instead, the picture in both segments — negative effects of educational expansion on the returns to medium- but not high-level skills — confirms the predictions of routine-biased technological change. Wage premiums for medium-skilled workers differ between segments: the premiums worsen over time in the general segment whereas social-closure mechanisms seem to weaken this negative trend for vocational graduates in the specific segment." (Author's Abstract, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Labor Market Polarization, Job Tasks and Monopsony Power (2020)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Frings, Hanna ; Demir, Gökay;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Gökay Demir & Hanna Frings (2020): Labor Market Polarization, Job Tasks and Monopsony Power. (IZA discussion paper 13989), Bonn, 40 S.

    Abstract

    "Using a semi-structural approach based on a dynamic monopsony model, we examine to what extent workers performing different job tasks are exposed to different degrees of monopsony power, and whether these differences in monopsony power have changed over the last 30 years. We find that workers performing mostly non-routine cognitive tasks are exposed to a higher degree of monopsony power than workers performing routine or non-routine manual tasks. Job-specific human capital and non-pecuniary job characteristics are the most likely explanations for this result. We find no evidence that labour market polarisation has increased monopsony power over time." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Demir, Gökay;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    History dependence in wages and cyclical selection: evidence from Germany (2020)

    Bauer, Anja ; Lochner, Benjamin ;

    Zitatform

    Bauer, Anja & Benjamin Lochner (2020): History dependence in wages and cyclical selection: evidence from Germany. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 67, 2020-10-10. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2020.101932

    Abstract

    "Using administrative employer-employee data from Germany, we investigate the behavior of individual wages over the business cycle. We present evidence that both contractual wage arrangements and cyclical match quality are a key feature of the German labor market. We show that parts of the excess wage cyclicality of new hires discussed by the literature can be explained by cyclical job ladder movements in match quality of new hires from employment. Guided by the literature of job reassignments, we additionally allow for variation in the match quality within an employer-employee match. Besides support for job-specific contracts, our novel main results show that much of the excess wage cyclicality of job changers can be explained by occupation switching workers." (Author's abstract, © 2020 Elsevier) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Lochner, Benjamin ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Offshoring and non-monotonic employment effects across industries in general equilibrium (2020)

    Baumgarten, Daniel ; Irlacher, Michael ; Koch, Michael ;

    Zitatform

    Baumgarten, Daniel, Michael Irlacher & Michael Koch (2020): Offshoring and non-monotonic employment effects across industries in general equilibrium. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 130. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103583

    Abstract

    "We address the mismatch between existing theoretical models and standard empirical practice in the analysis of the labor market effects of offshoring. While theory focuses on one-sector or two-sector models, empirical studies exploit variation in offshoring across a large number of industries, typically including a linear offshoring term in the analysis. Thereby, these studies implicitly assume a monotonic relationship between offshoring and labor market outcomes and ignore general-equilibrium effects across industries. We analyze the effects of offshoring across a continuum of industries with different shares of offshorable tasks that are linked through labor and capital markets in general oligopolistic equilibrium (GOLE). Our main result is that offshoring generates a hump-shaped pattern of employment changes across industries. While the relocation effect reduces employment in offshoring-intensive industries, labor demand in industries with a high prevalence of domestic production falls because of rising domestic wages and firm exits in general equilibrium. In the empirical part, we test the non-monotonic employment effects across industries in response to an offshoring shock by focusing on Germany after the fall of the Iron Curtain. We find strong empirical support for the hump shape in the changes of employment across industries with different scopes for offshoring, which is almost entirely due to the extensive margin, underscoring the importance of establishment entry and exit. Finally, we discuss important implications for empirical and theoretical research arising from our study." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2023 Elsevier) ((en))

    Weiterführende Informationen

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Cost of Job Loss (2020)

    Burdett, Kenneth; Coles, Melvyn; Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos ;

    Zitatform

    Burdett, Kenneth, Carlos Carrillo-Tudela & Melvyn Coles (2020): The Cost of Job Loss. In: The Review of Economic Studies, Jg. 87, H. 4, S. 1757-1798. DOI:10.1093/restud/rdaa014

    Abstract

    "This article identifies an equilibrium theory of wage formation and endogenous quit turnover in a labour market with on-the-job search, where risk averse workers accumulate human capital through learning-by-doing and lose skills while unemployed. Optimal contracting implies the wage paid increases with experience and tenure. Indirect inference using German data determines the deep parameters of the model. The estimated model not only reproduces the large and persistent fall in wages and earnings following job loss, a new structural decomposition finds foregone human capital accumulation (while unemployed) is the worker's major cost of job loss." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Struktureller und sozio-demographischer Wandel der Arbeitswelt und Änderung der beruflichen Mobilität in Deutschland 1980-2010 (2020)

    Bödeker, Wolfgang; Moebus, Susanne ;

    Zitatform

    Bödeker, Wolfgang & Susanne Moebus (2020): Struktureller und sozio-demographischer Wandel der Arbeitswelt und Änderung der beruflichen Mobilität in Deutschland 1980-2010. Essen, 19 S.

    Abstract

    "Der Wandel der Arbeitswelt und die Entwicklung der beruflichen Mobilität ist unter gesundheits- und präventionspolitischen Gesichtspunkten wegen einer möglichen Emergenz neuer Belastungsarten und der Einwanderung von Personen in belastungsintensive Berufe von Bedeutung. Bislang fehlt allerdings eine gemeinsame Analyse dieser Einflüsse. Ziel dieses Beitrags ist es, den demographischen und strukturellen Wandel der Arbeitswelt sowie die Änderung der beruflichen Mobilität anhand ausgewählter Indikatoren zu beschreiben. Wir fokussieren dabei auf sozio-demographische Kennzahlen und analysieren die Mobilität interbetrieblich (Wechsel der Arbeitgeber), interberuflich (Wechsel in andere Berufe), intersektoral (Wechsel in andere Branche) sowie interregional (Wechsel in ein anderes Bundesland). Datengrundlage ist die Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien des Instituts für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung. Bei dem sogenannten Regionalfile handelt sich um eine ca. 2 % Stichprobe aus der Grundgesamtheit der integrierten Erwerbsbiographien. Für den Zeitraum 1980 bis 2010 verdeutlichen die Auswertungen einen durchgreifenden sozio-demographischen und strukturellen Wandel der Arbeitswelt. Während sich in der Mehrzahl der Wirtschaftsgruppen eine Abnahme der Beschäftigung zeigt, gewinnen die ohnehin schon beschäftigungsstarken Branchen wie das Kredit- und Versicherungsgewerbe und die Erziehungs-, Sozial- und Gesundheitseinrichtungen weiter an Bedeutung. Es zeigt sich eine bedeutende Zunahme des Anteils der Frauen, der Teilzeittätigkeit, sowie eine Alterung und Qualifizierung in nahezu allen Wirtschaftsgruppen. Dabei erfasst der Wandel die Wirtschaftsgruppen und besonders die Berufe unterschiedlich stark. Gleichzeitig kann auch 2010 von typischen Frauenberufen mit Beschäftigungsanteilen von über 95 % gesprochen werden, etwa bei KindergärtnerInnen und SprechstundenhelferInnen. Die berufliche Mobilität hat im Hinblick auf alle betrachteten Mobilitätskennziffern zugenommen. Während sozialversicherungspflichtig Beschäftigte im Jahr 1990 rechnerisch in 28 verschiedenen Betrieben arbeiteten (pro 100 Beschäftigungsjahre), waren es 2010 bereits 34. Die Änderungen fallen im Zeitraum 1990 bis 2000 größer aus als von 2000 zu 2010. Altersadjustiert bleibt eine kontinuierliche Zunahme der Betriebs-, Berufs und Branchenwechsel erhalten, während bei der räumlichen Mobilität über Bundesländer kein Trend beobachtet werden kann. Bei allen Kennziffern ist die berufliche Mobilität bei Jüngeren besonders ausgeprägt. Berufsspezifisch finden sich besonders auffällige Änderungen für Frauen mit Schweißer-, Post-, Verkehrs- und Industrieberufe; für Männer bei Kassierern und Friseuren. Diese Berufe sind dadurch gekennzeichnet, dass das Risiko für Betriebswechsel im Jahr 2010 im Vergleich zu 1990 um mindestens 30 % erhöht war. Die erzielten Ergebnisse können durch die Datenbasis beeinflusst sein. Z.B. sind geringfügig Beschäftigte erst seit 1999 in das gesetzliche Meldesystem eingeschlossen. Zudem ist eine Analyse der Ursachen der beruflichen Mobilität - etwa eine erhöhte Wechselbereitschaft oder erzwungene Wechsel - aufgrund der Datengrundlage nicht möglich." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Fall in German Unemployment: A Flow Analysis (2020)

    Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos ; Robin, Jean-Marc ; Launov, Andrey ;

    Zitatform

    Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos, Andrey Launov & Jean-Marc Robin (2020): The Fall in German Unemployment: A Flow Analysis. (CESifo working paper 8799), München, 50 S.

    Abstract

    "In this paper we investigate the recent fall in unemployment, and the rise in part-time work and labour market participation amongst prime-aged Germans. We show that unemployment fell because the Hartz reforms induced a large fraction of the long-term unemployed to deregister as jobseekers. However, labour force participation actually increased because many female non-participants accepted low-paid, part-time jobs. Counterfactual simulations using estimated transition probabilities show that observed changes in the stocks of registered and unregistered unemployment as well as marginal, contributed part-time and full-time employment after 2002 essentially resulted from changes in registered and unregistered unemployment outflows. Yet to obtain the full decrease in registered male unemployment, we need to account for the effect of wage moderation. A calibrated Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model suggests that wage moderation is at most half as strong as the unemployment reforms in explaining changes in unemployment, non-participation and part-time employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Preparing the sample of integrated labour market biographies (SIAB) for scientific analysis (2020)

    Dauth, Wolfgang ; Eppelsheimer, Johann;

    Zitatform

    Dauth, Wolfgang & Johann Eppelsheimer (2020): Preparing the sample of integrated labour market biographies (SIAB) for scientific analysis. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 54, S. 1-10., 2020-07-25. DOI:10.1186/s12651-020-00275-9

    Abstract

    "Preparing the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB) for scientific analysis is a complicated and error-prone task. This paper elaborates on the steps necessary to prepare the SIAB and provides examples of how the preparation can be done. Among other topics covered, we show how to generate and merge additional variables, impute right-censored wages, deal with parallel employment episodes, and clean the dataset. Finally, we present a case study on the individual long-term effects of job loss from plant closure to demonstrate how our prepared version of the SIAB can be used to carry out an empirical analysis. The supplementary material of this paper contains extensively commented Stata do-files to replicate our data preparation and the subsequent analysis." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Dauth, Wolfgang ;
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