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Digitale Arbeitswelt – Chancen und Herausforderungen für Beschäftigte und Arbeitsmarkt

Der digitale Wandel der Arbeitswelt gilt als eine der großen Herausforderungen für Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft. Wie arbeiten wir in Zukunft? Welche Auswirkungen hat die Digitalisierung und die Nutzung Künstlicher Intelligenz auf Beschäftigung und Arbeitsmarkt? Welche Qualifikationen werden künftig benötigt? Wie verändern sich Tätigkeiten und Berufe? Welche arbeits- und sozialrechtlichen Konsequenzen ergeben sich daraus?
Dieses Themendossier dokumentiert Forschungsergebnisse zum Thema in den verschiedenen Wirtschaftsbereichen und Regionen.
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  • Literaturhinweis

    New Technology, Older Workers: How Workplace Technology is Associated with Indicators of Job Retention (2026)

    Abrams, Leah ; Schneider, Daniel ; Harknett, Kristen ;

    Zitatform

    Abrams, Leah, Daniel Schneider & Kristen Harknett (2026): New Technology, Older Workers: How Workplace Technology is Associated with Indicators of Job Retention. In: Journal of Aging & Social Policy, Jg. 38, H. 4, S. 635-651. DOI:10.1080/08959420.2025.2523122

    Abstract

    "Middle-aged and older adults who are employed in precarious, high-strain jobs may face challenges to continued work, risking economic insecurity and poor wellbeing in retirement. Technology in the workplace, an under-studied aspect of work environments, could accommodate aging workers or could add stress to their jobs. This study examines how technology in sales and surveillance at work are related to job satisfaction and planned job exits among approximately 6,000 workers aged 50–69 employed in the low-wage service sector (e.g. retail, pharmacy, grocery, hardware, fast food, casual dining, delivery, and hotel). On-the-job surveillance was related to lower job satisfaction and higher reports of looking for a new job, especially when combined with sanctioning for slow speed of work. However, rewards for speed, and to a lesser extent the use of leaderboards, were associated with higher job satisfaction, demonstrating the potential of technology to enhance the work experience for older employees. The use of sales technologies was not associated with job satisfaction or intentions to look for a new job. These results provide a uniquely detailed portrait of prevailing labor market conditions for aging workers in the service sector and demonstrate how certain kinds of technology matter for older workers ’ employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Automation and Polarization (2026)

    Acemoglu, Daron ; Löbbing, Jonas;

    Zitatform

    Acemoglu, Daron & Jonas Löbbing (2026): Automation and Polarization. In: Journal of Political Economy, Jg. 134, H. 3, S. 1017-1072. DOI:10.1086/739330

    Abstract

    "We develop an assignment model of automation. Each of a continuum of tasks of variable complexity is assigned to either capital or one of a continuum of labor skills. We characterize conditions for interiorautomation, whereby tasks of intermediate complexity are performed by capital. Interior automation arises when the most skilled workers have a comparative advantage in the most complex tasks relative to capital, and when the wages of the least skilled workers are sufficiently low relative to both their own productivity and the effective cost of capital in low-complexity tasks. Minimum wages and other sourcesof higher wages at the bottom make interior automation less likely. Starting with interior automation, a reduction in the cost of capital (or an increase in capital productivity) causes employment and wage polarization. Specifically, further automation pushes workers into tasks at the lower and upper ends ofthe task distribution. It also monotonically increases the skill premium above a threshold and reduces the skill premium below this threshold. Moreover, automation tends to reduce the real wage of Workers with comparative advantage profiles close to that of capital. We show that large enough increases in capital productivity ultimately induce a transition to low-skill automation and qualitatively alter the effects of automation—thereafter inducing monotone increases in skill premia rather than wage polarization." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Who uses Generative AI? Patterns and inequalities across the EU: Employment and labour markets (2026)

    Adăscăliței, Dragoș ;

    Zitatform

    Adăscăliței, Dragoș (2026): Who uses Generative AI? Patterns and inequalities across the EU. Employment and labour markets. (Eurofound working paper), Dublin, 19 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper describes generative AI use patterns across EU27 Member States in 2025, analysing crossnational variation and socio-demographic inequalities based on Eurostat aggregate data. Overall use of generative AI reaches 32.7% at the EU27 level, ranging from 17.8% in Romania to 48.4% in Denmark. Country patterns do not follow clear geographic clustering, with high and low adopters distributed across all European regions. Private use systematically exceeds professional use, whilst educational use remains concentrated among young populations. Educational attainment emerges as a strong predictor of AI use, with high-educated individuals using generative AI at more than double the rate of low-educated individuals. Age is also a strong predictor, with 63.8% of those aged 16-24 having used generative AI in the past three months compared to just 6.5% of those aged 65 and above. The gender gaps in AI use are moderate but widen with education. In terms of broad occupational groups, the analysis demonstrates that uptake is heavily skewed towards ICT professions. Labour force status also matters decisively, with students (72.0%) far exceeding employed (36.4%), unemployed (28.3%), and retired/inactive populations (12.9%) in technology usage. These patterns reveal stratified diffusion of generative AI use with implications for labour market inequalities across the EU." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Automation, Learning, and Career Dynamics (2026)

    Afrouzi, Hassan; Drenik, Andrés; Blanco, Andres; Hurst, Erik ;

    Zitatform

    Afrouzi, Hassan, Andres Blanco, Andrés Drenik & Erik Hurst (2026): Automation, Learning, and Career Dynamics. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 35157), Cambridge, Mass, 58 S.

    Abstract

    "We study how an automating technology affects career dynamics, human capital, and welfare in an economy where workers acquire skill through the tasks they perform. In a continuous-time general equilibrium model, learning-by-doing is determined jointly with the share of tasks automated, the frontier of tasks managers maintain, and the worker-to-manager career transition. Economies with high learning capacity admit pairs of stationary equilibria strictly ranked by the aggregate learning rate. Cheaper technology has opposite effects across the two: in the high-learning equilibrium, it raises welfare through the learning channel itself; in the low-learning equilibrium, it tips the economy into a human-capital trap. The planner's first-best combines a tax on automation profits with a subsidy on frontier-maintenance expenditures at a common rate." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Enhancing Worker Productivity Without Automating Tasks: A Different Approach to AI and the Task-Based Model (2026)

    Agrawal, Ajay K.; Oettl, Alexander ; McHale, John ;

    Zitatform

    Agrawal, Ajay K., John McHale & Alexander Oettl (2026): Enhancing Worker Productivity Without Automating Tasks: A Different Approach to AI and the Task-Based Model. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 34781), Cambridge, Mass, 44 S.

    Abstract

    "The task-based approach has become the dominant framework for studying the labor-market effects of artificial intelligence (AI), typically emphasizing the replacement of human workers by machines. Motivated by growing empirical evidence that contemporary AI is more often used as a tool that augments workers, this paper develops two related task-based models in which AI enhances worker productivity without automating tasks. Abstracting from capital, we develop a pair of related task-based models that examine how technological progress in AI that provides new tools to augment workers affects aggregate productivity and wage inequality. Both models emphasize the role of human capital in intermediating the effects of AI-related technological shocks. In the first model, AI use requires specialized expertise, and technological progress expands the set of tasks for which such expertise is effective. We show that a larger supply of AI expertise amplifies the productivity gains from improvements in AI technology while attenuating its adverse effects on wage inequality. The second model focuses on non-AI skills, allowing AI tools to alter the set of tasks that workers can perform given their skills. In equilibrium, workers allocate across tasks in response to wages, generating an endogenous distribution of skills across the task space. A central result is that aggregate productivity and wage inequality depend on different global properties of this equilibrium distribution: productivity is particularly sensitive to thinly staffed tasks that create bottlenecks, while wage inequality is driven by the concentration of workers in a narrow set of tasks. As a result, improvements in AI tools can induce non-monotonic co-movement between productivity and inequality. By linking these mechanisms to multidimensional human capital---including AI expertise and higher-order non-AI skills---the paper highlights the role of education and training policies in shaping the economic consequences of AI-driven technological change." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Do AI Expectations Reduce Unemployment in the United States? Evidence from an AI Attention Index (2026)

    Akyildirim, Erdinc; Gozgor, Giray; Bekci, Suzan;

    Zitatform

    Akyildirim, Erdinc, Suzan Bekci & Giray Gozgor (2026): Do AI Expectations Reduce Unemployment in the United States? Evidence from an AI Attention Index. (CESifo working paper 12653), München, 13 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper constructs an AI Attention Index from LexisNexis news coverage and embeds it within an augmented Phillips curve framework. It then examines the relationship between AI attention and unemployment in the United States using monthly data from January 2000 to December 2025. We find that greater AI attention is associated with lower unemployment. Nonlinear estimates reveal a U-shaped relationship, indicating diminishing marginal effects within the observed data range. The relationship weakens after the onset of COVID-19, with both linear and nonlinear effects reduced. These findings indicate that labour market effects of AI-related expectations are sensitive to macroeconomic regime shifts." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    AI adoption, productivity and employment: Evidence from European firms (2026)

    Aldasoro, Iñaki; Gambacorta, Leonardo; Pal, Rozalia; Wolski, Marcin; Weiß, Christoph; Revoltella, Debora;

    Zitatform

    Aldasoro, Iñaki, Leonardo Gambacorta, Rozalia Pal, Debora Revoltella, Christoph Weiß & Marcin Wolski (2026): AI adoption, productivity and employment: Evidence from European firms. (Economics - working papers / European Investment Bank 2026/02), Luxembourg, 32 S. DOI:10.2867/1772538

    Abstract

    "This paper provides new evidence on how the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) affects productivity and employment in Europe. Using matched EIBIS-ORBIS data on more than 12,000 non-financial firms in the European Union (EU) and United States (US), we instrument the adoption of AI by EU firms by assigning the adoption rates of US peers to isolate exogenous technological exposure. Our results show that AI adoption increases the level of labor productivity by 4%. Productivity gains are due to capital deepening, as we find no adverse effects on firm-level employment. This suggests that AI increases worker output rather than replacing labor in the short run, though longer-term effects remain uncertain. However, productivity benefits of AI adoption are unevenly distributed and concentrate in medium and large firms. Moreover, AI-adopting firms are more innovative and their workers earn higher wages. Our analysis also highlights the critical role of complementary investments in software and data or workforce training to fully unlock the productivity gains of AI adoption." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The effect of AI on labour demand: A critical assessment of 'Power and Progress' by Acemoglu and Johnson (2026)

    Aldred, Jonathan;

    Zitatform

    Aldred, Jonathan (2026): The effect of AI on labour demand: A critical assessment of 'Power and Progress' by Acemoglu and Johnson. In: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Jg. 78, S. 188-196. DOI:10.1016/j.strueco.2026.03.008

    Abstract

    "Task-based models of production have led to a theoretical reappraisal of the effect of new technology on labour demand. This paper critically assesses the policy implications of this research agenda, with particular reference to Acemoglu and Johnson’s recent book, Power and Progress. While Acemoglu and Johnson take welcome steps away from previous orthodoxy, their analysis has several flaws which affect the policy lessons to be drawn, including: (i) the explanation for anti-labour bias is unclear; (ii) worker-friendly technologies are not clearly characterised in theory, and hard to identify in practice; (iii) macroeconomic policy orthodoxy is largely unquestioned. More generally, much of Power and Progress remains unhelpfully constrained by theoretical commitments to mainstream economics." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2026 The Author. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The end of work feels near. How do people perceive the impact of digital technologies and automation? (2026)

    Arntz, Melanie ; Blesse, Sebastian ; Doerrenberg, Philipp ;

    Zitatform

    Arntz, Melanie, Sebastian Blesse & Philipp Doerrenberg (2026): The end of work feels near. How do people perceive the impact of digital technologies and automation? In: Labour Economics, Jg. 102, 2026-05-11. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2026.102897

    Abstract

    "Anxieties about technological change in the context of the labor market are a recurring historical phenomenon. Using customized survey data collected in 2019 in the US and Germany, prior to the recent wave of generative AI applications, we study how respondents perceive the impact of the digital (automation) technologies available at the time of the survey on the labor market. We document that a majority views digital technologies and automation as a major threat to overall employment and as a cause of rising inequality, while a quarter is concerned about their own labor market prospects. Providing scientific information on the likely labor market implications of digital technologies in a randomized experiment reduces these concerns. Yet, treatment responses depend on prior beliefs about the future of work, resulting in heterogeneous and opposing treatment effects on policy demand." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2026 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Arntz, Melanie ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Technologischer Wandel und Löhne: Die Anpassung der Berufe spielt eine entscheidende Rolle (2026)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Demir, Gökay ; Uhlendorff, Arne ; Green, Colin ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Gökay Demir, Colin Green & Arne Uhlendorff (2026): Technologischer Wandel und Löhne: Die Anpassung der Berufe spielt eine entscheidende Rolle. (IAB-Kurzbericht 01/2026), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2601

    Abstract

    "Technischer Fortschritt verändert die Arbeitswelt - besonders in Berufen, in denen viele Tätigkeiten leicht automatisiert werden können. In den letzten Jahrzehnten ist der Anteil an Routinetätigkeiten in vielen Berufen deutlich zurückgegangen - häufig zugunsten nicht routine­mäßiger kognitiver Tätigkeiten wie Analysieren, Planen oder Beraten. Dabei verzeichnen Berufe, deren Tätigkeiten sich im Laufe der Zeit stärker an den technologischen Wandel angepasst haben, steigende Löhne. Sie zeichnen sich zudem durch intensivere Weiterbildungsaktivitäten aus. In Berufen, deren Tätigkeitsprofil sich kaum verändert hat, stagnieren die Löhne dagegen häufiger." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Demir, Gökay ; Uhlendorff, Arne ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Technological progress, occupational structure and gender gaps in the German labour market (2026)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Gonschor, Myrielle;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald & Myrielle Gonschor (2026): Technological progress, occupational structure and gender gaps in the German labour market. In: International Journal of Manpower, Jg. 47, H. 2, S. 403-422. DOI:10.1108/ijm-10-2024-0711

    Abstract

    "Purpose: This study examines whether advances in technology and shifts in the occupational structure have enhanced women's position within the labour market. It answers the following research questions: First, how has the occupational employment structure evolved over the last decades, and how is this related to gender gaps? Second, which factors explain the gender gap and its narrowing over time? Design/methodology/approach: We use individual-level panel data from the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) for West Germany over the period 1985–2017 and individual-level task data from the BIBB Employment survey. We use the task intensity of an occupation and the task group an occupation belongs to as proxies for technological change. To analyze explanatory factors, we use a Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition. Findings: Women are increasingly engaging in non-routine manual and interactive occupations. The concurrent narrowing of the gender wage gap is attributable to declining gender wage gaps within task groups rather than between them. Observable factors, such as education have grown in importance to the gender wage gap, whereas the importance of unexplained factors has strongly declined. Technological change plays no significant role in the evolution of the gender wage gap. By contrast, part-time employment exerts a substantial influence on the gender wage gap. Originality/value: Our analysis includes part-time and high-skilled workers frequently excluded from other studies. The use of individual-level data combined with task information for occupations facilitates the examination of long-run developments such as technological change both between and within task groups." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Emerald Group) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    How important are within‐occupation task changes for wage growth? Evidence from administrative micro data (2026)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Demir, Gökay ; Uhlendorff, Arne ; Green, Colin ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Gökay Demir, Colin Green & Arne Uhlendorff (2026): How important are within‐occupation task changes for wage growth? Evidence from administrative micro data. In: Economica, S. 1-40. DOI:10.1111/ecca.70054

    Abstract

    "We examine how changes in task content over time condition occupational wage development. Using survey data from Germany, we document substantial heterogeneity in within-occupation changes in task content. Combining this evidence with administrative data on individual employment outcomes over a 25-year period, we find important heterogeneity in wage penalties amongst jobs that were initially routine-task-intensive. While occupations that remain (relatively) routine-intensive generate substantial wage penalties, occupations with a decreasing routine intensity experience stable or even increasing wages. These findings suggest that changing task profiles of occupations is an important adaptation mechanism to technological change. They cannot be explained by composition or cohort effects." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Demir, Gökay ; Uhlendorff, Arne ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Systematic literature review on the digital transformation of the personnel selection process (2026)

    Baranyi, Virág ;

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    Baranyi, Virág (2026): Systematic literature review on the digital transformation of the personnel selection process. In: German Journal of Human Resource Management, Jg. 40, H. 2, S. 223-254. DOI:10.1177/23970022251363012

    Abstract

    "Digital Transformation technologies (DT technologies) are reshaping work processes, including personnel selection, an area traditionally viewed as inherently human-centric. While prior studies have examined various digital technologies in personnel selection, they have not provided sufficient evidence on the different levels of digitalization in selection processes and the factors influencing organizations’ adoption decisions. To address these gaps, this study systematically reviews 94 Scopus-indexed studies to analyze how DT technologies are applied across selection stages, categorizing practices into Manual, Digitalized, and Digitally Transformed approaches. By further distinguishing between Digital Technologies and AI Enhancements, this study offers a structured framework for understanding how organizations integrate digital technologies into selection and what drives or hinders their adoption. The findings highlight both the benefits (efficiency gains, potential bias reduction, improved candidate experience) and challenges (ethical concerns, algorithmic bias, technical and cultural barriers, and candidate perceptions) associated with these technologies, providing insights for both academic research and HR practice." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Winners and losers when firms robotize: wage effects across occupations and education (2026)

    Barth, Erling ; Umblijs, Janis ; Røed, Marianne; Schøne, Pål ;

    Zitatform

    Barth, Erling, Marianne Røed, Pål Schøne & Janis Umblijs (2026): Winners and losers when firms robotize: wage effects across occupations and education. In: The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Jg. 128, H. 1, S. 3-32. DOI:10.1111/sjoe.12593

    Abstract

    "This paper analyses the impact of robots on workers' wages in the manufacturing sector, with a particular focus on relative wages for workers with different levels of education and in different occupations. Using high-quality matched employer–employee register data with firm-level information on the introduction of industrial robots, we identify the effects of robotization on relative wages within firms. Skilled blue-collar workers with a vocational degree experience a decline in wages when firms introduce robots, while there are only small effects for the other groups of workers. These results suggest that robots are substitutes for tasks undertaken by skilled blue-collar workers in manufacturing, and furthermore that the adoption of robots contributes to a polarization of the labor market and a hollowing out of the wage distribution, rather than to skill-biased technical change." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Investigating social protection amongst platform workers in Germany: forced individualisation, hybrid income generation and undesired regulation (2026)

    Beckmann, Fabian ; Hoose, Fabian ; Glanz, Sabrina ; Topal, Serkan ;

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    Beckmann, Fabian, Sabrina Glanz, Fabian Hoose & Serkan Topal (2026): Investigating social protection amongst platform workers in Germany: forced individualisation, hybrid income generation and undesired regulation. In: Journal of Social Policy, Jg. 55, H. 1, S. 100-118. DOI:10.1017/s0047279424000217

    Abstract

    "The social protection of platform workers is considered one of the most precarious features and political challenges of this new form of employment. Still, there have only been a few empirical investigations on this issue to date. This article presents an explorative empirical analysis of the social protection of platform workers in Germany – a conservative welfare regime with a strong link between standard employment and institutionalized social protection. On the basis of an online survey amongst 719 self-employed platform workers, we examine how different employment patterns correspond to institutionalized protection against sickness and old age. We empirically explore different protection types and analyse how they differ regarding working conditions in platform work and individual social policy preferences. Findings reveal that conditions of platform work and social protection as well as demands and regulatory preferences vary notably across different clusters of platform workers. Still, the vast majority votes against obligatory social insurances for platform workers and favors self-employment over dependent employment. Against this background, we discuss challenges for future attempts aiming at improving social protection for platform workers. This study adds to the literature by empirically exploring platform workers’ social protection and social policy preferences, which have been overlooked to date." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Automation Experiments and Inequality (2026)

    Benzell, Seth Gordon; Myers, Kyle R. ;

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    Benzell, Seth Gordon & Kyle R. Myers (2026): Automation Experiments and Inequality. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 34668), Cambridge, Mass, 26 S., App. DOI:10.3386/w34668

    Abstract

    "Many experiments study the productivity effects of automation technologies such as generative algorithms. A key test in these experiments relates to inequality: does the technology increase output more for high- or low-skill workers? However, the theoretical content of this empirical test has been unclear. Here, we formalize a theory that describes the experimental effect of automation technologies on worker-level output and, therefore, inequality. Worker-level output depends on a task-level production function, and workers are heterogeneous in their task-level skills. Workers perform a task themselves or delegate it to the automation technology. The inequality effect of improved automation depends on the interaction of two factors: (i) the correlation in task-level skills across workers, and (ii) workers' skills relative to the technology's effective skill. In many cases we study, the inequality effect is non-monotonic --- as technologies improve, inequality decreases then increases. The model and descriptive statistics of skill correlations generally suggest that the diversity of automation technologies will play an important role in the evolution of inequality." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Digital divide and income inequality: causal evidence from Italian provinces (2026)

    Bergantino, Angela Stefania ; Intini, Mario; Fusco, Giulio; Monturano, Gianluca;

    Zitatform

    Bergantino, Angela Stefania, Giulio Fusco, Mario Intini & Gianluca Monturano (2026): Digital divide and income inequality: causal evidence from Italian provinces. In: The Annals of Regional Science, Jg. 75, H. 1. DOI:10.1007/s00168-025-01440-z

    Abstract

    "The digital economy can function either as a catalyst to stimulate economic growth or else as a driver of socioeconomic inequality when its benefits are unevenly distributed. This study investigates the effect of rural digital connectivity on income inequality in Italy. Utilizing NUTS 3 panel data spanning 2014–2022, we conduct a counterfactual Difference-in-Differences approach with continuous treatment intensity to estimate the impact of introducing rural broadband coverage at speeds of 30 and 100 Mbps on multiple measures of income distribution, including the Gini, Theil, and Atkinson indices. The empirical framework incorporates a comprehensive set of socioeconomic controls, as well as provincial and time fixed effects, to account for unobserved heterogeneity and regional path dependencies. Our findings indicate that broadband expansion is significantly associated with increasing inequality, suggesting that access alone does not guarantee inclusive outcomes, particularly in localities characterized by structural fragility and limited human capital. Additional heterogeneity and spatial analyses demonstrate that these inequality effects are more evident in southern provinces and localities with a higher concentration of inner areas, where the digital divide remains more pronounced. These findings accentuate the dual role of digitalization and highlight the necessity of coordinated policy interventions that combine infrastructure investment with digital skills development, institutional capacity-building, and spatially integrated governance strategies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Mind the Gap: AI Adoption in Europe and the US (2026)

    Bick, Alexander ; Blandin, Adam; Deming, David; Jessen, Jonas ; Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola ;

    Zitatform

    Bick, Alexander, Adam Blandin, David Deming, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln & Jonas Jessen (2026): Mind the Gap: AI Adoption in Europe and the US. (RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 102/26), Berlin, 71 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper combines international evidence from worker and firm surveys conducted in 2025 and 2026 to document large gaps in AI adoption, both between the US and Europe and across European countries. Cross-country differences in worker demographics and firm composition account for an important share of these gaps. AI adoption, within and across countries, is also closely linked to firm personnel management practices and whether firms actively encourage AI use by workers. Micro-level evidence suggests that AI generates meaningful time savings for many workers. At the macro level, in recent years industries with higher AI adoption rates have experienced faster productivity growth. While we do not establish causality, this relationship is statistically significant and similar in magnitude in Europe and the US. We do not find clear evidence that industry-level AI adoption is associated with employment changes. We discuss limitations of existing data and outline priorities for future data collection to better assess the productivity and labor market effects of AI." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Jessen, Jonas ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Mind the Gap: AI Adoption in Europe and the US: BPEA Conference Draft, March 26-27, 2026 (2026)

    Bick, Alexander ; Deming, David J.; Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola ; Jessen, Jonas ; Blandin, Adam;

    Zitatform

    Bick, Alexander, Adam Blandin, David J. Deming, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln & Jonas Jessen (2026): Mind the Gap: AI Adoption in Europe and the US. BPEA Conference Draft, March 26-27, 2026. In: Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Jg. Conference Draft, H. Spring, S. 1-70.

    Abstract

    "This paper combines international evidence from worker and firm surveys conducted in 2025 and 2026 to document large gaps in AI adoption, both between the US and Europe and across European countries. Cross-country differences in worker demographics and firm composition account for an important share of these gaps. AI adoption, within and across countries, is also closely linked to firm personnel management practices and whether firms actively encourage AI use by workers. Micro-level evidence suggests that AI generates meaningful time savings for many workers. At the macro level, in recent years industries with higher AI adoption rates have experienced faster productivity growth. While we do not establish causality, this relationship is statistically significant and similar in magnitude in Europe and the US. We do not find clear evidence that industry-level AI adoption is associated with employment changes. We discuss limitations of existing data and outline priorities for future data collection to better assess the productivity and labor market effects of AI." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Jessen, Jonas ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Mind the Gap: KI-Einführung in Europa und den USA (2026)

    Bick, Alexander ; Blandin, Adam; Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola ; Jessen, Jonas ; Deming, David;

    Zitatform

    Bick, Alexander, Adam Blandin, David Deming, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln & Jonas Jessen (2026): Mind the Gap: KI-Einführung in Europa und den USA. (CEPR discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 21337), London, 80 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper combines international evidence from worker and firm surveys conducted in 2025 and 2026 to document large gaps in AI adoption, both between the US and Europe and across European countries. Cross-country differences in worker demographics and firm composition account for an important share of these gaps. AI adoption, within and across countries, is also closely linked to firm personnel management practices and whether firms actively encourage AI use by workers. Micro-level evidence suggests that AI generates meaningful time savings for many workers. At the macro level, in recent years industries with higher AI adoption rates have experienced faster productivity growth. While we do not establish causality, this relationship is statistically significant and similar in magnitude in Europe and the US. We find no clear evidence that industry-level AI adoption is associated with employment changes. We discuss limitations of existing data and outline priorities for future data collection to better assess the productivity and labor market effects of AI." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Jessen, Jonas ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Re‐Skilling in the Age of Skill Shortage: Adult Education Rather Than Active Labor Market Policy: Special Issue: Bringing the Ecological and the Social Together in the Green Transition: A Multilevel Analysis (2026)

    Bonoli, Giuliano ; Felder-Stindt, Alina; Emmenegger, Patrick ;

    Zitatform

    Bonoli, Giuliano, Patrick Emmenegger & Alina Felder-Stindt (2026): Re‐Skilling in the Age of Skill Shortage: Adult Education Rather Than Active Labor Market Policy. Special Issue: Bringing the Ecological and the Social Together in the Green Transition: A Multilevel Analysis. In: Regulation and governance, Jg. 20, H. 2, S. 482-494. DOI:10.1111/rego.70065

    Abstract

    "European economies face the task of providing the necessary skills for the “twin transition ” in a period of skill shortage. As a result, we may expect countries to reorient their labor market policy towards re-skilling. We look for evidence of a reorientation in two relevant policy fields: active labor market policy (ALMP) and adult education (AE). We explore general trends in both fields based on quantitative indicators and compare recent policy developments in four countries with strong ALMP and AE sectors: Denmark, France, Germany, and Sweden. We do not observe clear evidence of a general movement away from activation and towards re-skilling in ALMP. However, in AE, we identify several re-skilling initiatives that address skill shortages. Relying on insights from queuing theories of hiring and training, we argue that due to changes in the population targeted by ALMP, the locus of re-skilling policy is increasingly moving towards AE." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Der KI-Irrtum: Warum Deutschland auf Zuwanderung angewiesen ist: Leitartikel (2026)

    Brücker, Herbert ; Kosyakova, Yuliya ; Weber, Enzo ;

    Zitatform

    Brücker, Herbert, Yuliya Kosyakova & Enzo Weber (2026): Der KI-Irrtum: Warum Deutschland auf Zuwanderung angewiesen ist. Leitartikel. In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Jg. 106, H. 5, S. 304-305. DOI:10.2478/wd-2026-0074

    Abstract

    "Sieben Millionen - so viele Arbeitskräfte wird Deutschland in den nächsten 15 Jahren allein aufgrund des demografischen Wandels verlieren. Bereits seit vielen Jahren ist der demografische Effekt negativ, mit mehr als 400.000 Arbeitskräften pro Jahr. Tatsächlich beginnt der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt jedoch erst jetzt zu schrumpfen. Denn bislang konnte dieser Rückgang überkompensiert werden - durch eine steigende Erwerbsbeteiligung von Älteren und Frauen; und vor allem durch Zuwanderung. Doch diese Ausgleichsmechanismen stoßen zunehmend an Grenzen. Europa altert insgesamt, und die Dynamik der Zuwanderung innerhalb Europas nimmt ab. Zugleich sind viele der besonders mobilen, jüngeren Kohorten bereits gewandert. Vor diesem Hintergrund wird Migration schwieriger - und genau hier setzt ein verbreitetes Argument an: Wenn Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) zunehmend Aufgaben übernimmt, braucht man doch keine zusätzlichen Arbeitskräfte mehr. Diese Folgerung ist ein Trugschluss. Arbeitskräfteknappheit lässt sich gesamtwirtschaftlich nicht einfach wegdigitalisieren." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Das knappe Gut Arbeit: Automatisierung, Arbeitskräftemangel und sozialer Konflikt (2026)

    Butollo, Florian ;

    Zitatform

    Butollo, Florian (2026): Das knappe Gut Arbeit. Automatisierung, Arbeitskräftemangel und sozialer Konflikt. (Edition Suhrkamp 2815), Berlin: Suhrkamp Verlag, 254 Seiten.

    Abstract

    "Angesichts von Digitalisierung und Künstlicher Intelligenz wird allerorten vor massiven Arbeitsplatzverlusten gewarnt. Gleichzeitig reißen die Klagen über Fachkräftemangel nicht ab, zahllose Stellen bleiben unbesetzt, und dem Pflegesektor droht der Kollaps. Florian Butollo geht diesem Paradoxon auf den Grund und analysiert, warum gerade Automatisierung immer mehr Arbeit schafft – und damit zur Keimzelle eines neuen sozialen Konflikts wird: Die anbrechende Ära der Arbeitskräfteknappheit ist geprägt vom Leiden an Überlastung und den Kämpfen dagegen. Zugleich stellt sich die Frage nach der Sinnhaftigkeit von Arbeit neu: Wofür wollen wir angesichts sozialer und ökologischer Krisen künftig unsere Arbeitskraft einsetzen – und welche Tätigkeiten können verschwinden?" (Verlagsangaben, IAB-Doku)

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    Crowdwork als Beruf?: Subjektivierung, Kompetenzerwerb und Lernen in der digitalen Plattformarbeit (2026)

    Büchter, Karin; Li-Gottwald, Jiayin; Kleemann, Frank; Schlömer, Tobias; Eckelt, Marcus; Krzywdzinski, Martin ;

    Zitatform

    Büchter, Karin, Tobias Schlömer, Frank Kleemann, Martin Krzywdzinski, Marcus Eckelt & Jiayin Li-Gottwald (Hrsg.) (2026): Crowdwork als Beruf? Subjektivierung, Kompetenzerwerb und Lernen in der digitalen Plattformarbeit. Verlag Barbara Budrich: Berlin, 314 S. DOI:10.3224/84743131

    Abstract

    "Crowdwork ist eine junge Arbeitsform, bei der einzelne Arbeitstätigkeiten über Online-Plattformen an externe Arbeitskräfte vergeben werden. Der Band präsentiert Erkenntnisse aus einem breit angelegten Forschungsprojekt, in dem arbeitssoziologische, berufs- und wirtschaftspädagogische Perspektiven auf das Tätigsein, auf Lernpraktiken von Crowdworker*innen und auf die individuelle Bedeutung plattformbasierter Arbeit eingenommen werden. Die Beiträge setzen sich mit Aspekten wie Subjektivierung, Wissensgenerierung, Kompetenzentwicklung, Beruflichkeit und Lernen in der plattformbasierten Arbeit auseinander." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Making digital welfare work: conceptualizing digital compensatory work by frontline professionals (2026)

    Carlsson, Julia S.; Svensson, Petra M.; Hjärpe, Teres;

    Zitatform

    Carlsson, Julia S., Teres Hjärpe & Petra M. Svensson (2026): Making digital welfare work: conceptualizing digital compensatory work by frontline professionals. In: Journal of Professions and Organization, Jg. 13, H. 3, S. 1-17. DOI:10.1093/jpo/joag011

    Abstract

    "Digital technologies in welfare organizations frequently generate gaps, ambiguities, and misalignments that require professional intervention. Yet prior research has tended to portray frontline workers mainly as resistant or adaptive actors, leaving under-examined their active contributions to sustaining broader digital infrastructures. This article introduces the concept of digital compensatory work to capture how professionals intervene when specific digital technologies fall short of their own standards for professional service delivery. Drawing on an exploratory literature review, we identify three forms of such compensatory work: complementing digital technologies, rectifying their shortcomings, and dismissing them when they conflict with professional judgment. By theorizing these practices, the article expands existing understandings of professional discretion in digital welfare services, shifting attention from resistance and adaptation to value-driven interventions that actively uphold service quality within digital infrastructures. In doing so, it contributes to debates on digital welfare and highlights the essential role of professional agency in sustaining human service organizations under conditions of digital transformation." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Revisiting the occupational impact of AI in the generative AI era (2026)

    Casas, P.; González-Vázquez, I.; Salotti, S.; Martínez-Plumed, F.; Gómez, E.; Fernández-Macías, E.;

    Zitatform

    Casas, P., E. Fernández-Macías, F. Martínez-Plumed, E. Gómez, I. González-Vázquez & S. Salotti (2026): Revisiting the occupational impact of AI in the generative AI era. (JRC working papers series on labour, education and technology 2026,02), Sevilla, 71 S.

    Abstract

    "Generative AI is reshaping what artificial intelligence can do in the workplace, calling into question pre-GenAI assessments of which workers and tasks are most exposed. In this paper we trace the evolution of AI exposure in the European labour market from 2008 to 2024 by linking 352 AI benchmarks to 14 cognitive abilities, 108 work tasks and 127 ISCO-3 occupations, weighting benchmarks by their research intensity in the AI literature and thus deriving AI exposure by cognitive ability. Bundling work tasks into occupations based on intensity indicators, we explore occupational exposure to AI. We find that the cognitive abilities most exposed to the recent surge of AI research are ideas-related, such as attention and search, comprehension and expression and logical reasoning. Because the associated information processing and problem-solving tasks are the most transversal across occupations, we find an exponential increase in AI exposure across all occupational categories of workers, even though comparatively high-skilled occupations are more exposed than elementary occupations. This points at a substantial and transversal labour market impact of AI." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    How welfare states influence online platform work in Europe (2026)

    Chueri, Juliana ; Törnberg, Petter;

    Zitatform

    Chueri, Juliana & Petter Törnberg (2026): How welfare states influence online platform work in Europe. In: Journal of European Social Policy, Jg. 36, H. 2, S. 119-135. DOI:10.1177/09589287251357463

    Abstract

    "Digital labor platforms are reshaping global labor markets by enabling the transnational contracting of service workers. While the dominant perspective emphasizes market forces, predicting that lower-wage countries will dominate the supply side, this view overlooks the institutional context in which platform labor emerges. This paper advances the argument that national welfare institutions are key to shaping participation in the platform economy. We provide the first large-scale cross-national comparative analysis of platform labor, combining micro-level data from one of the world’s largest remote work platforms with country-level indicators from 26 European countries. In line with market expectations, we find that lower-wage countries supply most low-skilled labor, while higher-wage countries show a more balanced distribution between low- and high-skilled workers. Crucially, however, our analysis reveals that greater welfare state generosity is associated with lower levels of platform participation, especially in low-skilled occupations. We argue that platform labor cannot be understood solely as a function of technological change or wage differentials. It is also an expression of structural constraints: where social protections are weak, people are more likely to turn to precarious forms of online work." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    The EU compromise machine and the politicisation of social policy: Lessons from the regulation of platform work (2026)

    Crespy, Amandine ; Marenco, Matteo ; Spasova, Slavina ; Kenn, Bastian ;

    Zitatform

    Crespy, Amandine, Bastian Kenn, Matteo Marenco & Slavina Spasova (2026): The EU compromise machine and the politicisation of social policy: Lessons from the regulation of platform work. In: Journal of European Social Policy, Jg. 36, H. 1, S. 18-33. DOI:10.1177/09589287251345912

    Abstract

    "Over the past few years, the legal status and the working conditions of platform workers have been among the most debated manifestations of the digital transformation of work. Tense negotiations on the EU platform work directive (from 2021 to 2024) epitomize long-standing conflicts in EU social policymaking, namely the opposition between capital and labor, on the one hand, and resistance to EU involvement or impact on Member States’ social arrangements, on the other. This paper provides an in-depth inquiry of the policy process by focussing specifically on the presumption of employment in platform work, which was first proposed as an EU-wide provision and eventually nationalized with its definition left to national arrangements. Drawing on this case and mobilizing the literature on positive integration entrepreneurship, and politicization, we shed light on the ‘drivers’ and ‘inhibitors’ of EU social regulation. On the one hand, we provide evidence that joint entrepreneurship of the European Parliament (EP) and the European Commission is a primary driver and argue for acknowledging the role of the EP as a key entrepreneur of ‘Social Europe’. On the other hand, divisions in the Council, underpinned by domestic politics, hinder ambitious social policy regulation at EU level in several respects. Furthermore, we tease out the role of politicization and theorize its ambivalent role as both a driver and inhibitor, depending on contingent party political orientations, contextual factors, but also the role played by Council presidencies, so far overlooked in the literature. We conclude that the drivers and inhibitors we identify, and the resulting dynamics of compromise, are relevant beyond the case of platform work. While stressing the crucial, yet ambivalent, role of politicization, our findings cast a shadow on what has recently been described as a great come back of ‘Social Europe’ with the European Pillar of Social Rights." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Measuring Task-Based Advanced Automation Technologies & Digital Assistance Systems in the National Educational Panel Study (2026)

    Dicks, Alexander ; Schulz, Benjamin; Grüttgen, Insa; Vicari, Basha ; Ehlert, Martin;

    Zitatform

    Dicks, Alexander, Martin Ehlert, Insa Grüttgen, Benjamin Schulz & Basha Vicari (2026): Measuring Task-Based Advanced Automation Technologies & Digital Assistance Systems in the National Educational Panel Study. (NEPS Survey Papers 128), Bamberg, 31 S. DOI:10.5157/NEPS:SP128:1.0

    Abstract

    "Wir stellen ein neues taskbasiertes Instrument zur Messung der Automatisierung am Arbeitsplatz vor. Dabei bezeichnen wir die Automatisierungstechnologien als „digitale Assistenzsysteme“, die wir als fortschrittliche Automatisierungssysteme definieren, wie beispielsweise Software und Geräte, die Aufgaben automatisch ausführen, um die Arbeitnehmer zu unterstützen. Dazu gehören Chatbots mit künstlicher Intelligenz, Algorithmen zur Bild- und Videoerstellung, Tools für vorausschauende Wartung und Analyse, digitale Anleitungssysteme sowie Wearables und kollaborative Roboter. Aufbauend auf dem taskbasierten Ansatz und unter Berücksichtigung der jüngsten technologischen Fortschritte haben wir für das Nationale Bildungspanel (NEPS) sieben Items entwickelt, die verschiedene Arten von digitalen Assistenzsystemen erfassen. Ergebnisse auf Grundlage von Daten der NEPS-Startkohorten 4 und 6 zeigen, dass die Nutzung der digitalen Assistenzsysteme je nach Alter und Bildungsniveau variiert und mit komplementären beruflichen Aufgaben sowie Indikatoren für die Digitalisierung am Arbeitsplatz korreliert. Das neue Instrument ergänzt bestehende NEPS-Items zur Digitalisierung am Arbeitsplatz und bietet Potenzial für eine Längsschnittanalyse des technologischen Wandels am Arbeitsplatz und dessen Auswirkungen auf Qualifikationsanforderungen, Ungleichheit und lebenslanges Lernen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Vicari, Basha ;
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    Biased by Design? Case Managers' Multidimensional Preferences Toward the Design of Algorithmic Decision Support Systems (2026)

    Dietz, Martin ; Sirman-Winkler, Mareike ; Osiander, Christopher ; Tepe, Markus ;

    Zitatform

    Dietz, Martin, Christopher Osiander, Mareike Sirman-Winkler & Markus Tepe (2026): Biased by Design? Case Managers' Multidimensional Preferences Toward the Design of Algorithmic Decision Support Systems. In: Public Administration Review, S. 1-14. DOI:10.1111/puar.70111

    Abstract

    "This study examines whether street-level bureaucrats' preferences toward algorithmic decision support (ADS) induce a unilateral shift of technology-related risks onto clients of the public employment service. Expanding on public value theory and research on moral agency in public service work, we argue that case managers' choices of ADS designs are shaped by a plurality of professional, service, and efficiency values. To test this argument, we conducted a conjoint experiment on a representative sample of German Federal Employment Agency case managers. Respondents compared pairs of hypothetical ADS systems that differed in their design features, reflecting varying degrees of the realization of public values. The empirical results indicate that case managers' choices do not result in biased design. Instead, case managers balance design features reflecting professional and service values while maintaining administrative efficiency. Case managers appreciate ADS support but firmly reject the mandatory use of such advice." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Wiley) ((en))

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    Dietz, Martin ; Osiander, Christopher ;
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    Impact of robotics on unemployment: Moderating effect of the national culture (2026)

    Du, Guangjie ; Lodh, Suman ; Nandy, Monomita ; Kumar, Vikas ; Dabić, Marina ; Choudrie, Jyoti ;

    Zitatform

    Du, Guangjie, Suman Lodh, Monomita Nandy, Marina Dabić, Vikas Kumar & Jyoti Choudrie (2026): Impact of robotics on unemployment: Moderating effect of the national culture. In: Technological forecasting & social change, Jg. 227. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2026.124643

    Abstract

    "The integration of robotics has created significant opportunities while simultaneously introduced labour market challenges. The aim of this exploratory research is to investigate the impact of robotic adoption on unemployment in a cross-country context. By presenting a novel theoretical framework that integrates the Innovation Diffusion Theory (IDT) and the Absorptive Capacity Theory (ACT), and analysing a panel data from 33 countries, we show that countries with stronger absorptive capacity are better positioned to convert robotics adoption into employment gains. We further test whether national culture, proxied by Hofstede's cultural dimensions, moderates this relationship, uncovering a substantial heterogeneity across six cultural factors. This provides a practical blueprint for policymakers with clear evidence that uniform approaches to robotics adoption are unlikely to be effective and robotics policies must be tailored to local cultural norms, institutional capabilities, and national readiness. The policymaker should prioritise capability building alongside adjustment measures that support inclusive labour-market transitions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2026 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc.) ((en))

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    Algorithmic Profiling: Effective Tool for Targeting Active Labour Market Policies? (2026)

    Eppel, Rainer ; Schmoigl, Lukas ; Huemer, Ulrike; Mahringer, Helmut;

    Zitatform

    Eppel, Rainer, Ulrike Huemer, Helmut Mahringer & Lukas Schmoigl (2026): Algorithmic Profiling: Effective Tool for Targeting Active Labour Market Policies? In: Labour, S. 1-20. DOI:10.1111/labr.70013

    Abstract

    "Digitisation has sparked interest in automated decision making in Public Employment Services (PES). We evaluate an algorithmic profiling model in Austria that predicts the reemployment prospects of unemployed individuals to classify and assign them to active labour market policies. Our analysis shows that reallocating resources from jobseekers with low to medium prospects, as proposed by the PES, does not yield the expected efficiency gains. We find no systematic evidence that programmes are less effective for individuals with low predicted employment prospects than for those with medium prospects. These findings caution against crude algorithmic profiling and highlight the need for nuanced targeting strategies that prioritise the most disadvantaged jobseekers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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    Toward a Bad Job Economy: AI Adoption, Agency Costs, and Job Design (2026)

    Fahn, Matthias; Li, Jin ; Sun, Chang;

    Zitatform

    Fahn, Matthias, Jin Li & Chang Sun (2026): Toward a Bad Job Economy: AI Adoption, Agency Costs, and Job Design. (CESifo working paper 12612), München, 23 S., App.

    Abstract

    "We study how AI affects compensation and job design when performance depends on workers' non-contractible effort. In a principal–agent model with limited liability, AI reduces effort costs but disproportionately lowers the cost of achieving satisfactory performance. This raises the incentive cost of sustaining high effort and can induce firms to replace high-wage, high-effort good jobs with low-wage, low-effort bad jobs, even when good jobs create more total surplus. As a result, AI can lower wages, reduce worker welfare, and even depress profits. If workers can adopt AI unilaterally, adoption occurs even when the resulting equilibrium harms both parties; when adoption requires worker cooperation, resistance is strongest where AI erodes rents embodied in good jobs. In a search-and-matching extension, endogenous outside options amplify these forces, reinforcing a bad-job economy and potentially reducing employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Digitalisierung der Arbeitswelt - Fluch und Segen zugleich (2026)

    Franke, Andreas; Hildt, Elisabeth;

    Zitatform

    Franke, Andreas & Elisabeth Hildt (2026): Digitalisierung der Arbeitswelt - Fluch und Segen zugleich. In: IAB-Forum H. 16.03.2026. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20260316.01

    Abstract

    "Die Arbeitswelt unterliegt seit einigen Jahren einer rasanten Digitalisierung. Damit sind sowohl Chancen als auch Risiken für die psychische Gesundheit der Beschäftigten verbunden. Zudem ergeben sich daraus handfeste ethische Implikationen. So droht nicht zuletzt ein Gerechtigkeitsproblem, weil bestimmte Gruppen von Beschäftigten eher Gefahr laufen als andere, durch die Digitalisierung Nachteile zu erfahren und mit der digitalen Entwicklung nicht mehr Schritt halten zu können." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    App-based delivery services in Germany: Why people take up gig-work and usually quit quickly (2026)

    Friedrich, Martin ; Helm, Ines ; Müller, Christoph ; Jost, Ramona ; Lang, Julia ;

    Zitatform

    Friedrich, Martin, Ines Helm, Ramona Jost, Julia Lang & Christoph Müller (2026): App-based delivery services in Germany: Why people take up gig-work and usually quit quickly. In: IAB-Forum H. 27.04.2026. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20260427.01

    Abstract

    "App-based delivery services have spread rapidly in Germany in recent years. This has also fuelled public debate about the poor working conditions of the gig-workers in these services. However, there is still little reliable information about what motivates people to take on gig-work. Similarly, little is known about workers’ reasons for leaving these mostly short-term jobs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Künstliche Intelligenz in deutschen Betrieben: Jeder vierte Betrieb nutzt mittlerweile generative KI (2026)

    Friedrich, Martin ; Kagerl, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Friedrich, Martin & Christian Kagerl (2026): Künstliche Intelligenz in deutschen Betrieben: Jeder vierte Betrieb nutzt mittlerweile generative KI. (IAB-Kurzbericht 08/2026), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2608

    Abstract

    "Generativer Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) wird häufig bescheinigt, die Wirtschaft fundamental zu verändern. Wie verbreitet diese Technologie bereits in deutschen Betrieben ist, zeigen aktuelle Auswertungen aus dem IAB-Betriebspanel. Daten zum Themenschwerpunkt „Generative KI“ wurden 2025 erstmals erhoben." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Friedrich, Martin ; Kagerl, Christian ;
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    Retirement decisions in the age of COVID-19 pandemic: are older employees in digital occupations working longer? (2026)

    Gallo, Giovanni ; Nagore García, Amparo;

    Zitatform

    Gallo, Giovanni & Amparo Nagore García (2026): Retirement decisions in the age of COVID-19 pandemic: are older employees in digital occupations working longer? In: Review of Economics of the Household, S. 1-34. DOI:10.1007/s11150-025-09827-9

    Abstract

    "This paper investigates the retirement response to the pandemic and to the resulting acceleration in the adoption of new technologies. Using the European Union Statistics of Income and Living Conditions datasets and leveraging the natural experiment of many workers being forced to work from home in Europe during the lockdown, we compare the retirement response of older workers in digital occupations (i.e. more exposed to the accelerated adoption of new technologies) versus non-digital occupations to detect any differences in retirement behaviour, which we interpret as digitalization effects. In addition, we analyze changes in retirement decisions by gender and geographic area. We find that retirement rates increased during COVID-19 in Europe, especially in Mediterranean countries and among women. This trend may be linked to gender occupational segregation. In Mediterranean countries, digitalization increases female retirement, likely due to challenges in balancing digital work and family responsibilities while working from home. In Eastern countries, and to a lesser extent in Northern countries, digitalization leads to postponing retirement among women, likely due to greater gender equality in unpaid work. In contrast, the retirement age for men is less affected by the pandemic with no significant differences between digital and non-digital occupations. This may exacerbate the existing gender gap in labor force participation and pension outcomes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    Endogenous Task Bundling, Skills and Automation (2026)

    Gans, Joshua S. ;

    Zitatform

    Gans, Joshua S. (2026): Endogenous Task Bundling, Skills and Automation. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 35211), Cambridge, Mass, 48 S.

    Abstract

    "Empirical measures of AI's wage effect typically hold fixed the bundle of activities a worker is paid for at its pre-AI shape. We argue that this assumption hides much of the action. When automation breaks a job apart, firms decide how to recombine the surviving activities; whether they rebundle them into one broad role or split them into specialist roles changes which surviving skills the labour market actually rewards. A skill that played no role in the pre-AI wage can become the dominant component of the post-AI wage, while a skill that anchored the pre-AI wage can disappear from the schedule. We develop an assignment model in which the priced human bundle is endogenous, and we use it to show that a fixed-bundle wage regression can mis-sign the effect of AI exposure. In general, the omitted-redesign bias has no unconditional sign: it is the residual covariance between exposure and role-specific redesign terms. Under explicit sufficient conditions, exposure-correlated unbundling loads specialist comparative-advantage premia onto the exposure coefficient, while exposure-correlated rebundling loads a different, often opposite, omitted term. The sign must therefore be measured from local post-AI partition changes rather than assumed from exposure alone." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Nutzung und Verwendung von Künstlicher Intelligenz in Betrieben in Baden-Württemberg: Auswertung des IAB-Betriebspanels Baden-Württemberg (2026)

    Gasparro, Jonah; Wiemann, Jan Simon;

    Zitatform

    Gasparro, Jonah & Jan Simon Wiemann (2026): Nutzung und Verwendung von Künstlicher Intelligenz in Betrieben in Baden-Württemberg. Auswertung des IAB-Betriebspanels Baden-Württemberg. (IAW-Kurzberichte 2026,01), Tübingen, 46 S.

    Abstract

    "KI ist in den Betrieben in Baden-Württemberg angekommen, wird aber noch nicht flächendeckend genutzt. 31 Prozent der Betriebe nutzen generative und/oder nicht-generative KI. Die Nutzung wird vor allem von generativer KI getragen: 28 Prozent der Betriebe setzen generative KI ein; damit liegt Baden-Württemberg über dem deutschlandweiten Vergleichswert von 24 Prozent. Nicht-generative KI ist mit 7 Prozent deutlich seltener verbreitet. KI wurde überwiegend erst ab 2024 in den Betrieben eingeführt. Die Nutzung von KI unterscheidet sich deutlich nach Betriebsgröße und Branche. Größere Betriebe nutzen KI wesentlich häufiger als kleinere Betriebe. Die Nutzung von KI ist darüber hinaus im Dienstleistungssektor besonders verbreitet. Der Einsatz generativer KI wird bislang nur teilweise durch Investitionen, Weiterbildungsmaßnahmen oder formale Regelungen begleitet. Größere Betriebe weisen solche begleitenden Maßnahmen häufiger als Klein(st)betriebe auf. Betriebe, die derzeit keine KI nutzen und auch keinen künftigen Einsatz planen, begründen dies vor allem mit fehlenden Anwendungsmöglichkeiten. Als weitere Gründe nennen diese Betriebe fehlendes Wissen, Inkompatibilitäten mit bestehenden betrieblichen Strukturen, rechtliche Unsicherheiten sowie Datenschutz- und Datensicherheitsbedenken. Die Nutzung von KI in den Betrieben in Baden-Württemberg hängt besonders deutlich mit der Exportneigung und dem Vorhandensein eines Betriebsrats zusammen. Exportierende Betriebe sowie Betriebe mit Betriebsrat nutzen KI häufiger als nichtexportierende Betriebe beziehungsweise Betriebe ohne Betriebsrat. Im Handwerk ist KI bislang weniger verbreitet als in der Gesamtwirtschaft: Rund 21 Prozent der Handwerksbetriebe nutzen generative und/oder nicht-generative KI." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    AI‐powered skill classification: mapping technology intensity in the German labour market (2026)

    Genz, Sabrina ; Lehmer, Florian ; Gregory, Terry ;

    Zitatform

    Genz, Sabrina, Terry Gregory & Florian Lehmer (2026): AI‐powered skill classification: mapping technology intensity in the German labour market. In: Fiscal Studies, Jg. 47, H. 1, S. 25-51., 2026-02-20. DOI:10.1111/1475-5890.70020

    Abstract

    "The rapid evolution of technology is reshaping labour markets by altering skill demands and job profiles. This paper introduces a novel skill-based measure of occupational technology intensity – the occupational technology skill share (OTSS) – that distinguishes between manual, digital and frontier technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI). Using natural language processing, generative AI and supervised machine learning, we develop an AI-powered skill classification that enriches occupation-linked skill labels with standardised GenAI-generated descriptions and structured indicators of technological content, enabling transparent classification by technology intensity. We compute OTSS for all occupations in the German labour market. For the average worker in 2023, manual technologies account for the largest share of skill content (42 per cent), followed by digital (38 per cent) and frontier technologies (20 per cent). Frontier technologies remain concentrated in specialised occupations, while digital technologies are widespread. Linking these measures to administrative data from 2012 to 2023 shows a broad shift from manual and digital toward frontier skills across occupations, and reveals a non-linear, U-shaped relationship between changes in frontier skill intensity and employment growth." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Lehmer, Florian ;
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    Outsourcing Domestic Work in the Crisis of Social Reproduction: Platform‐Mediated Cleaning and the Role of Clients (2026)

    Gerold, Stefanie ; Gruszka, Katarzyna ; Sardadvar, Karin ; Pillinger, Anna ; Theine, Hendrik ;

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    Gerold, Stefanie, Katarzyna Gruszka, Karin Sardadvar, Hendrik Theine & Anna Pillinger (2026): Outsourcing Domestic Work in the Crisis of Social Reproduction: Platform‐Mediated Cleaning and the Role of Clients. In: New Technology, Work and Employment, Jg. 41, H. 2, S. 186-197. DOI:10.1111/ntwe.70015

    Abstract

    "Amid the crisis of social reproduction, outsourcing domestic work has become increasingly appealing, with labour platforms offering new avenues to do so. This article explores the largely overlooked perspective of clients using platform-mediated cleaning services, focusing on Helpling in Germany. Drawing on a multi-method study, we examine clients’ motivations for hiring cleaners through platforms and their perceptions of working conditions. We also analyse interactions between clients and cleaners, and how these are shaped by the platform. Our findings suggest that platforms like Helpling are attractive because of their convenience and their promise of an allegedly legal alternative to informal arrangements. While some clients express concerns over precarious working conditions, others justify them through market logic or assumptions about cleaners’ backgrounds. The platform infrastructure helps mediate trust, yet personal relations between clients and cleaners limit the platform's strategy of delegating management and control mechanisms to clients." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Flexibility and Social Protection in the Gig Economy: Experimental Evidence on Work Location and Scheduling (2026)

    Ghorpade, Yashodhan; Abdur Rahman, Amanina; Jasmin, Alyssa;

    Zitatform

    Ghorpade, Yashodhan, Alyssa Jasmin & Amanina Abdur Rahman (2026): Flexibility and Social Protection in the Gig Economy: Experimental Evidence on Work Location and Scheduling. (IZA discussion paper / IZA Network @ LISER 18589), Esch-sur-Alzette, 26 S.

    Abstract

    "Debates on gig work often treat flexibility and social protection as substitutes. This paper shows that gig workers value different forms of flexibility differently, and that preferences for flexibility and social protection can be complementary. Using discrete-choice experiments with digital freelancers in Malaysia, with standard workers as a benchmark, we examine preferences for work location and scheduling autonomy. Four findings emerge. First, gig workers strongly value spatial autonomy and are willing to pay to work-from-home. Second, preferences for scheduling flexibility are heterogeneous, with many, including freelancers, preferring fixed schedules. Third, willingness to pay for long-term protection in the form of retirement savings increases with both types of autonomy. Fourth, willingness to pay for unemployment insurance is linked only to work-location flexibility. Gig workers possibly associate remote work, but not flexible hours, with greater employment uncertainty, and therefore demand stronger protection against unemployment risks. Flexibility and protection can therefore act as complements rather than substitutes in the gig economy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Contextualizing inequalities in the gig economy: evidence from online cleaning platforms in five European cities (2026)

    Giuliani, Giovanni Amerigo ; Paraciani, Rebecca ;

    Zitatform

    Giuliani, Giovanni Amerigo & Rebecca Paraciani (2026): Contextualizing inequalities in the gig economy: evidence from online cleaning platforms in five European cities. In: The international journal of sociology and social policy, Jg. 46, H. 5-6, S. 736-755. DOI:10.1108/ijssp-12-2024-0619

    Abstract

    "Purpose: This paper explores the impact of national contexts on the profile of workers in the gig economy, with a specific focus on online cleaning platforms. The study aims to understand how national contexts influence the gender and ethnic composition of workers on domestic cleaning platforms, examining the intersectional effects of gender and ethnicity in platform-based work. Design/methodology/approach: Focusing on the case of the Yoopies platform operating in five Western European cities – Berlin, Copenhagen, Paris, Rome and Stockholm – this exploratory research is based on an original dataset that combines platform-based data directly collected from Yoopies with national-level data provided by Eurostat. Hypotheses were tested using simple correlation analysis to assess cross-country differences. Findings: The study shows that national contexts play an important role in shaping the gender and ethnic composition of workers on online cleaning platforms. Specifically, it identifies how structural features of the offline labor market influence the gendering and racialization of these platforms, highlighting variations across countries. The research also finds evidence of intersectional effects, where gender and ethnicity intersect to shape the profile of platform workers. Originality/value: This paper contributes to the growing literature on domestic work in the digital platform economy by providing a comparative perspective on cross-country differences in the composition of the platform workforce. It highlights the importance of national offline labor market characteristics in contributing to shaping platform-mediated work and provides new insights into the intersectionality of gender, ethnicity, and work in the gig economy. The findings contribute to both platform economy research and labor market studies, offering implications for policy and future research on the dynamics of digital work." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Emerald Group) ((en))

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    The Self-Other Gap in Perceived Automation Risk: Evidence from the United States and Canada (2026)

    Glavin, Paul ; Schieman, Scott ; Wilson, Alexander ;

    Zitatform

    Glavin, Paul, Scott Schieman & Alexander Wilson (2026): The Self-Other Gap in Perceived Automation Risk: Evidence from the United States and Canada. In: Socius, Jg. 12, S. 1-3. DOI:10.1177/23780231261453968

    Abstract

    "This visualization shows a systematic misperception in how workers judge automation risk. Drawing on the 2026 Measuring Employment Sentiments and Social Inequality study, the authors compare paired measures of perceived automation likelihood for self and most others, using nationally representative samples of American and Canadian workers. Approximately three quarters of study participants in both countries rated their own jobs as at low risk of automation in the next few years, yet more than 70 percent believed that most other workers face at least some likelihood of automation. The pattern aligns with pluralistic ignorance: most workers hold one view of their own automation risk while assuming that most others hold a different one. The self-other gap is invariant across occupational categories and across two distinct national contexts, consistent with an informational asymmetry in which beliefs about others’ risk reflect prevailing public narratives about artificial intelligence rather than workers’ direct experience." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Labour productivity gains or offshoring? Implications for post-growth proposals on the future of work (2026)

    Godé, Lukas; Mair, Simon ; Gómez-Baggethun, Erik;

    Zitatform

    Godé, Lukas, Simon Mair & Erik Gómez-Baggethun (2026): Labour productivity gains or offshoring? Implications for post-growth proposals on the future of work. In: Ecological economics, Jg. 239. DOI:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108778

    Abstract

    "Two visions prevail about the future of work in sustainable post-growth economies. According to the first, labour productivity gains resulting from technological development will enable to work less. The second contends instead that such gains are not always desirable and could be constrained by a shift towards less polluting production, potentially resulting in more work. Yet, conventional measures of labour productivity on which these proposals are based can conceal a displacement of labour requirements abroad. In this paper, we conduct a case study on Germany in 1995 –2020 to assess whether and to which extent labour productivity gainsresult from offshoring, and implications for post-growth proposals on the future of work. We first retrieve global labour requirements of German production across upstream supply chains. We then decompose conventional labour productivity gains to evaluate whether they result from a reduction in global labour requirements or of their increased displacement towards upstream sectors. Finally, we examine possible impacts on labour offshoring of shifting production to sectors with low productivity gains. We use a socially extended Multi-Regional Input-Output model based on OECD data. Our results show that a quarter of the global labour requirements for German production is provided abroad. This share increased until 2007 before it stabilized or decreased. We identify some potential for working time reduction without increases in labour offshoring. Shifting to service sectors could furthermore reduce labour offshoring relative to production. Yet critically, German production may cover only a fraction of domestic consumption. Related implications for post-growth proposals require further attention." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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    AI-Powered Skill Classification: Mapping Technology Intensity in the German Labor Market (2026)

    Grenz, Sabrina; Lehmer, Florian ; Gregory, Terry ;

    Zitatform

    Grenz, Sabrina, Terry Gregory & Florian Lehmer (2026): AI-Powered Skill Classification: Mapping Technology Intensity in the German Labor Market. (IZA discussion paper / IZA Network @ LISER 18415), Bonn: IZA Network @ LISER, 47 S.

    Abstract

    "The rapid evolution of technology is reshaping labor markets by altering skill demands and job profiles. This paper introduces a novel skill-based measure of occupational technology intensity – the Occupational Technology Skill Share (OTSS) – that distinguishes between manual, digital, and frontier technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI). Using natural language processing, generative AI, and supervised machine learning, we develop an AI-powered skill classification that enriches occupation linked skill labels with standardized GenAI-generated descriptions and structured indicators of technological content, enabling transparent classification by technology intensity. We compute OTSS for all occupations in the German labor market. For the average worker in 2023, manual technologies account for the largest share of skill content (42%), followed by digital (38%) and frontier technologies (20%). Frontier technologies remain concentrated in specialized occupations, while digital technologies are widespread. Linking these measures to administrative data from 2012–2023 shows a broad shift from manual and digital toward frontier skills across occupations, and reveals a non-linear, U-shaped relationship between changes in frontier skill intensity and employment growth." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Lehmer, Florian ;
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    Generative AI and Career Choices (2026)

    Gschwendt, Christian ; Viarengo, Martina ; Zoellner, Thea S.;

    Zitatform

    Gschwendt, Christian, Martina Viarengo & Thea S. Zoellner (2026): Generative AI and Career Choices. (Working paper / Swiss Leading House 251), Zürich, 52 S.

    Abstract

    "The economic impact of technological change will critically depend on how future workers invest in their human capital. Yet, little is known about how future workers themselves evaluate and choose their educational and occupational paths in light of emerging technologies. This paper examines how adolescents currently at the school-to-work transition stage value working with generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) in their future occupations, and how automation risk and opportunities for continuing education shape these preferences. We field a discrete-choice experiment among a nationally representative sample of over 7,000 Swiss adolescents aged around 15. We find that adolescents generally exhibit an aversion to collaborating with GenAI at work, with females consistently more averse than males. However, preferences are nuanced: adolescents welcome greater GenAI collaboration, provided that GenAI usage levels remain moderate and that it is not accompanied by increases in job-automation risk. Finally, continuing education opportunities in occupations improve attitudes towards working with GenAI across genders. Our results challenge simple narratives of technology acceptance or rejection, revealing that adolescents' willingness to work with GenAI depends on how it is implemented - its intensity, associated displacement risks, and accompanying skill development - rather than the technology itself. Our findings suggest that the way future workers value GenAI collaboration in their career choices critically depends on its intensity and on the interplay with automation risk and AI-related educational opportunities." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Automation, skill and job creation (2026)

    Guo, Kaizhao ;

    Zitatform

    Guo, Kaizhao (2026): Automation, skill and job creation. In: Empirical economics, Jg. 70, H. 5. DOI:10.1007/s00181-026-02912-7

    Abstract

    "This paper explores the heterogeneous effects of automation technologies on employment rate across US regions from different income groups, and investigates mechanisms through proportion of skilled workers. Automation, measured by both robotic penetration and ICT trade volumes, is replacing labour force. Exploiting variations across US commuting zones, this study finds that employment reductions are significant and substantial in low and middle income areas, and rising income levels could cause insignificant employment responses. Leveraging shift-share IV strategies and generalised model specifications, further evidence suggests that a simple net job creation channel can explain these patterns. Specifically, displacement effects outweigh productivity effects in low income CZs with lower proportion of skilled labour, and job losses are larger in middle income CZs with concentration of routine occupations; job creations are complementing job destructions with growing income levels and higher skill shares. These technical changes are particularly significant in manufacturing sectors." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    Arbeitszeit, Produktivität, KI - wie Deutschland sein Arbeitskräfteangebot stabilisieren kann: Teil des Zeitgesprächs "Arbeitszeit im Wandel - Wie sich Wohlstand trotz sinkenden Arbeitskräfteangebots sichern lässt" (2026)

    Hammermann, Andrea; Stettes, Oliver;

    Zitatform

    Hammermann, Andrea & Oliver Stettes (2026): Arbeitszeit, Produktivität, KI - wie Deutschland sein Arbeitskräfteangebot stabilisieren kann. Teil des Zeitgesprächs "Arbeitszeit im Wandel - Wie sich Wohlstand trotz sinkenden Arbeitskräfteangebots sichern lässt". In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Jg. 106, H. 4, S. 248-252. DOI:10.2478/wd-2026-0064

    Abstract

    "Längere Arbeitszeiten können einen wichtigen Beitrag zur Stabilisierung des Arbeitskräfteangebots leisten, während Investitionen in technologischen und organisatorischen Fortschritt notwendig sind, um die Arbeitsproduktivität zu steigern. Vor diesem Hintergrund geht der Beitrag der Frage nach, wie sich das Arbeitskräfteangebot in Deutschland trotz des demografischen Wandels stabilisieren und der Wohlstand langfristig sichern lässt. Empirische Befunde legen nahe, dass KI und Humankapital in der Regel komplementär wirken und KIAnwendungen menschliche Arbeit eher ergänzen als ersetzen. Entscheidend für den Erhalt des Wohlstands ist somit, beide Hebel – Arbeitszeitund Produktivität – gemeinsam zu nutzen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Use of Gen AI in the Workplace and the Value of Access to Training (2026)

    Hashim, Ali; Klaauw, Wilbert van der; Koşar, Gizem ;

    Zitatform

    Hashim, Ali, Gizem Koşar & Wilbert van der Klaauw (2026): Use of Gen AI in the Workplace and the Value of Access to Training. (Liberty Street Economics / Federal Reserve Bank of New York 2026-04-14), New York, NY: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 5 S. DOI:10.59576/lse.20260414

    Abstract

    "The rapid spread of generative AI (AI) tools is reshaping the workplace at a remarkable rate. Yet relatively little is known about whether workers have access to these tools, how the tools affect workers’ daily productivity, and how much workers value the training needed to use the tools effectively. In this post, we shed light on these issues by drawing on supplemental questions in the November 2025 Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE), fielded to a representative sample of the U.S. population. We find that adoption of AI tools at work is heterogeneous, that a sizable share of workers see AI training as important, and that a significant share of employers are nonetheless not yet providing access to AI tools or training on how to use them." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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