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FDZ-Literatur / FDZ Literature

Die FDZ-Literaturdatenbank umfasst neben Datensatzbeschreibungen und Methodenberichten die zahlreichen Forschungsarbeiten, die auf Basis der am FDZ angebotenen Daten entstanden sind. Hier finden Sie aktuell laufende Projekte von FDZ-Nutzenden.
Darüber hinaus stehen die Literaturdatenbank zum IAB-Betriebspanel sowie die Literaturdatenbank zum PASS zur Verfügung.

Apart from dataset descriptions and methodology reports, the FDZ literature database contains numerous research papers written on the basis of the data provided by the FDZ. Here you can find currently ungoing research projects of FDZ users.
In addition, literature databases on the IAB Establishment Panel and the Panel Study Labour Market and Social Security (PASS) are available for research.

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im Aspekt "Stichprobe der Integr. Arbeitsmarktbiografien/Sample of integrated labour market biographies (SIAB)"
  • Literaturhinweis

    Technologischer Wandel und Löhne: Die Anpassung der Berufe spielt eine entscheidende Rolle (2026)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Demir, Gökay; Uhlendorff, Arne ; Green, Colin ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Gökay Demir, Colin Green & Arne Uhlendorff (2026): Technologischer Wandel und Löhne: Die Anpassung der Berufe spielt eine entscheidende Rolle. (IAB-Kurzbericht 01/2026), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2601

    Abstract

    "Technischer Fortschritt verändert die Arbeitswelt - besonders in Berufen, in denen viele Tätigkeiten leicht automatisiert werden können. In den letzten Jahrzehnten ist der Anteil an Routinetätigkeiten in vielen Berufen deutlich zurückgegangen - häufig zugunsten nicht routine­mäßiger kognitiver Tätigkeiten wie Analysieren, Planen oder Beraten. Dabei verzeichnen Berufe, deren Tätigkeiten sich im Laufe der Zeit stärker an den technologischen Wandel angepasst haben, steigende Löhne. Sie zeichnen sich zudem durch intensivere Weiterbildungsaktivitäten aus. In Berufen, deren Tätigkeitsprofil sich kaum verändert hat, stagnieren die Löhne dagegen häufiger." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Demir, Gökay; Uhlendorff, Arne ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Stratification of post-birth labour supply in a high- and low- maternal employment regime (2026)

    Filser, Andreas ; Wagner, Sander ; Achard, Pascal ; Müller, Dana ; Frodermann, Corinna ;

    Zitatform

    Filser, Andreas, Pascal Achard, Corinna Frodermann, Dana Müller & Sander Wagner (2026): Stratification of post-birth labour supply in a high- and low- maternal employment regime. In: Research in Social Stratification and Mobility, Jg. 102, 2026-01-30. DOI:10.1016/j.rssm.2026.101133

    Abstract

    "This paper compares the magnitude and stratification of motherhood employment penalties in France and Germany, two countries with contrasting institutional orientations towards maternal employment. While prior research has documented cross-national variation in the size of motherhood penalties, less is known about how macro-level contexts shape their stratification across socioeconomic groups. Using harmonized administrative employment data on 18,948 French and 72,632 German mothers, who were employed prior to first birth between 1997 and 2014, we estimate labour market participation trajectories for five years following childbirth. Across both countries, women with higher pre-birth income, higher education, and employment in higher-wage firms experience substantially smaller reductions in labour supply, with income emerging as the strongest stratifying dimension. Motherhood penalties are markedly smaller in France, amounting to less than one-third of the reduction observed in Germany. Yet penalties in France are more strongly stratified: mothers in the lowest income quintile experience participation losses 3.14 times larger than mothers in the highest quintile, compared to a ratio of 1.17 in Germany. Within Germany, East German mothers face smaller but more stratified penalties than West German mothers. Finally, we test whether the macro-level pattern of larger penalties associated with weaker stratification also generalizes to 65 NUTS-2 regions. We find no systematic association between the size and stratification of motherhood penalties at the regional level. The findings suggest that institutional contexts supporting high maternal employment reduce overall penalties but pose particular challenges for mothers from lower socio-economic backgrounds who reintegrate less rapidly into the labour market." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2026 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Filser, Andreas ; Müller, Dana ; Frodermann, Corinna ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Unemployment Insurance Reforms and Labour Market Dynamics (2026)

    Hartung, Benjamin; Jung, Philip ; Kuhn, Moritz ;

    Zitatform

    Hartung, Benjamin, Philip Jung & Moritz Kuhn (2026): Unemployment Insurance Reforms and Labour Market Dynamics. In: The Review of Economic Studies, Jg. 93, H. 1, S. 517-555. DOI:10.1093/restud/rdaf019

    Abstract

    "A key question in labour market research is how the unemployment insurance system affects unemployment rates and labor market dynamics. We provide new answers to this old question by studying one of the largest unemployment insurance reforms in recent decades, the German Hartz reforms. On average, lower separation rates into unemployment account for 76% of declining unemployment after the reform, a fact unexplained by existing research focussing on job-finding rates. Exploiting institutional changes by age, employment duration, and wages, we establish a causal link between the reform and changes in labor market dynamics. Relying on the labour market theory, we generalize our empirical findings beyond the German case and establish separation rate changes as an important macroeconomic adjustment channel after unemployment insurance reforms. We derive analytically that the change of separation rates increases in proportion to average unemployment duration suggesting an equally important role for most other European labor markets." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Geography of job creation and job destruction (2026)

    Kuhn, Moritz ; Manovskii, Iourii; Qiu, Xincheng ;

    Zitatform

    Kuhn, Moritz, Iourii Manovskii & Xincheng Qiu (2026): The Geography of job creation and job destruction. In: Journal of monetary economics, Jg. 158. DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103898

    Abstract

    "Spatial differences in labor market performance are large and highly persistent. Using data from the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom, we document striking similarities across these countries in the spatial differences in unemployment, vacancies, and vacancy filling, job finding, and separation rates. The novel facts on the geography of vacancies and vacancy filling are instrumental in guiding and disciplining the development of a theory of local labor market performance. We find that a spatial version of a Diamond–Mortensen–Pissarides model with endogenous separations and on-the-job search quantitatively accounts for all the documented empirical regularities. The model also quantitatively rationalizes why differences in job-separation rates have primary importance in inducing differences in unemployment across space while changes in the job-finding rate are the main driver in unemployment fluctuations over the business cycle." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2026 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Long-Run Career Outcomes of Multiple Job Holding (2026)

    Muffert, Johanna; Riphahn, Regina T. ;

    Zitatform

    Muffert, Johanna & Regina T. Riphahn (2026): Long-Run Career Outcomes of Multiple Job Holding. In: ILR review, Jg. 79, H. 1, S. 114-141. DOI:10.1177/00197939251361359

    Abstract

    "Multiple job holding (MJH) is increasingly frequent in industrialized countries. Individuals holding a secondary job add to their experience, skills, and networks. The authors study the long-run labor market outcomes after MJH and investigate whether career effects can be validated. They employ high-quality administrative data from Germany. A doubly robust estimation method combines entropy balancing with fixed-effects difference-in-differences regressions. Findings show that income from primary employment declines after MJH spells and overall annual earnings from all jobs increase briefly. Job mobility increases after times of MJH. Interestingly, the beneficial long-term effects of MJH are largest for disadvantaged groups in the labor market, such as females, those with low earnings, and/or low education. Overall, the authors find only limited benefits of MJH." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Update: Identifying mothers in administrative data (2026)

    Müller, Dana ; Filser, Andreas ; Frodermann, Corinna ; Seidlitz, Arnim ;

    Zitatform

    Müller, Dana, Andreas Filser, Corinna Frodermann & Arnim Seidlitz (2026): Update: Identifying mothers in administrative data. (FDZ-Methodenreport 01/2026 (en)), Nürnberg, 13 S. DOI:10.5164/IAB.FDZM.2601.en.v1

    Abstract

    "Die administrativen Daten der Bundesagentur für Arbeit bieten eine wichtige Datenbasis für die Arbeitsmarktforschung. Welche Informationen gesammelt werden, ist über die Aufgaben der Bundesagentur für Arbeit definiert. Daher sind nicht alle Informationen in den Daten enthalten, die für verschiedene Forschungsfragen relevant sind. Das betrifft zum Beispiel Informationen zu der Geburt von Kindern, die wichtig für die Analyse der Erwerbsbiografien von Frauen sein können. Nach wie vor unterbrechen insbesondere Mütter ihre Erwerbstätigkeit, um sich der Kinderbetreuung zu widmen. Diese Erwerbsunterbrechungen können unterschiedliche Effekte auf die Erwerbsbiografien von Müttern haben, wie z.B. Lohneinbußen, Karrierenachteile oder vermehrte Teilzeitbeschäftigung. Die FDZ-Methodenreports 13/2017 und 02/2022 (Müller/Strauch 2017; Müller et al. 2022) zeigten eine Möglichkeit, familienbedingte Erwerbsunterbrechungen mit Hilfe indirekter Identifikatoren in den administrativen Daten zu ermitteln. Mit dem vorliegenden FDZ-Methodenreport wurde diese Identifikationsstrategie aktualisiert und an neue Datensatzversionen angepasst. Wir validieren unsere Identifikationsstrategie mit Hilfe offizieller Geburtsstatistiken. Der Programmcode wird als Anhang zur Verfügung gestellt und kann nach Bedarf angepasst werden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Müller, Dana ; Filser, Andreas ; Frodermann, Corinna ; Seidlitz, Arnim ;

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Estimating the gains from trade in frictional local labor markets (2026)

    Pupato, Germán; Sand, Ben; Tschopp, Jeanne ;

    Zitatform

    Pupato, Germán, Ben Sand & Jeanne Tschopp (2026): Estimating the gains from trade in frictional local labor markets. In: The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Jg. 128, H. 1, S. 152-200. DOI:10.1111/sjoe.12592

    Abstract

    "We develop a theory and an empirical strategy to estimate the welfare gains from trade in economies with frictional local labor markets. Our welfare formula nests standard market structures and adds an adjustment margin via the employment rate. To identify two key parameters – the trade elasticity and the elasticity of substitution in consumption – we use a theoretically consistent identification strategy that exploits variation in industrial composition across local labor markets. Examining Germany's recent trade integration with China and Eastern Europe, we find that under monopolistic competition with free entry and firm heterogeneity, the welfare gains are 5.5 percent higher than in frictionless settings." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Skills or credentials? How skill specific and standardized vocational training moderates the wages of occupational mismatches (2026)

    Ruf, Kevin;

    Zitatform

    Ruf, Kevin (2026): Skills or credentials? How skill specific and standardized vocational training moderates the wages of occupational mismatches. In: Research in Social Stratification and Mobility, Jg. 102, 2026-02-02. DOI:10.1016/j.rssm.2026.101136

    Abstract

    "This article examines the relationship between institutional features of vocational education and wage outcomes following occupational mismatches using a multidimensional mismatch framework. Drawing on German administrative data for early‑career male VET graduates, the analysis assesses how two institutional dimensions, training standardization and skill specificity, relate to wage returns for horizontal, vertical, and full mismatches. The results show that higher standardization negatively moderates wage outcomes for horizontal and full mismatches, while greater skill specificity is linked to reduced transferability and increases wage penalties for vertical mismatches. Individuals in full mismatches experience large baseline penalties that appear less conditioned by institutional features. Horizontal mismatches do not show wage penalties when multiple mismatch dimensions are considered simultaneously. These findings suggest that distinct institutional features of the training system, credential verification and skill transferability, relate to mismatch outcomes and contribute to stratification in early‑career wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2026 Elsevier) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Ruf, Kevin;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Stretched thin: asking too much of an establishment survey (2026)

    Vom Berge, Philipp ;

    Zitatform

    Vom Berge, Philipp (2026): Stretched thin: asking too much of an establishment survey. In: Journal for labour market research, Jg. 60. DOI:10.1186/s12651-026-00425-5

    Abstract

    "Surveys are an important tool to learn about population characteristics in the social sciences. To make them reliable, survey institutes and methodologist put a lot of effort into ensuring their representativity. Still, every survey has its limits. Nonetheless, applied researchers often leave the safe waters of pre-defined sampling and weighting schemes to study very specific subpopulations or to analyze the data at a level of detail that was not intended by the creators of the survey. In this paper, I use the IAB Establishment Panel, a prominent and widely used German establishment survey, to show the consequences of pushing a survey beyond its limits. Despite not being representative at fine regional or sectoral scales, the survey is often used like that in applied research. I show that the approximation error from using aggregated survey responses can be massive and that using such aggregates can lead to very different conclusions than the ‘true’ population data in plausible empirical applications." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Vom Berge, Philipp ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Computers as Stepping Stones? Technological Change and Equality of Labor Market Opportunities (2025)

    Arntz, Melanie ; Lipowski, Cäcilia ; Neidhöfer, Guido ; Zierahn-Weilage, Ulrich ;

    Zitatform

    Arntz, Melanie, Cäcilia Lipowski, Guido Neidhöfer & Ulrich Zierahn-Weilage (2025): Computers as Stepping Stones? Technological Change and Equality of Labor Market Opportunities. In: Journal of labor economics, Jg. 43, H. 2, S. 503-543., 2023-08-18. DOI:10.1086/727490

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes whether technological change improves equality of labor market opportunities by increasing the returns to skills relative to the returns to parental background. We find that in Germany during the 1990s, the introduction of computer technologies improved the access to technology-adopting occupations for workers with low-educated parents, and reduced their wage penalty within these occupations. We also show that this significantly contributed to a decline in the overall wage penalty experienced by workers from disadvantaged parental back-grounds over this time period. Competing mechanisms, such as skill-specific labor supply shocks and skill-upgrading, do not explain these findings." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Arntz, Melanie ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Erfolgreiche Jobwechsel: Wie berufliche Mobilität Einkommen und Arbeitszufriedenheit steigert (2025)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Klauser, Roman ; Heinze, Inga; Hörnig, Lukas ;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald, Inga Heinze, Lukas Hörnig & Roman Klauser (2025): Erfolgreiche Jobwechsel. Wie berufliche Mobilität Einkommen und Arbeitszufriedenheit steigert. Gütersloh, 67 S. DOI:10.11586/2024198

    Abstract

    "Die Studie untersucht die Auswirkungen beruflicher Mobilität auf das Einkommen und die Arbeitszufriedenheit von Beschäftigten in Deutschland. Sie zeigt, dass ein Stellenwechsel häufig mit einem Zuwachs an Einkommen und Zufriedenheit verbunden ist – vor allem bei Unzufriedenen. Die größten Gewinne ergeben sich bei Wechseln in Berufe mit neuen Tätigkeiten und Anforderungen, aber auch Wechsel in den gleichen Beruf sind mit Einkommens- und Zufriedenheitszuwächsen verbunden. Die Analysen basieren auf der Stichprobe der Integrierten Arbeitsmarktbiografien (SIAB) und dem Sozio-oekonomischen Panel (SOEP). Die Studie ist entstanden in Zusammenarbeit mit dem RWI – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung unter der Leitung von Prof. Dr. Ronald Bachmann und seinem Autorenteam bestehend aus Inga Heinze, Dr. Lukas Hörnig und Roman Klauser." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Fachkräfte gewinnen und halten: Wie Engpassbereiche attraktiver werden (2025)

    Bachmann, Ronald ; Heinze, Inga;

    Zitatform

    Bachmann, Ronald & Inga Heinze (2025): Fachkräfte gewinnen und halten. Wie Engpassbereiche attraktiver werden. Güthersloh: Bertelsmann Stiftung, 95 S. DOI:10.11586/2025081

    Abstract

    "Der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt ist durch einen sich verschärfenden Fachkräftemangel gekennzeichnet. Vor diesem Hintergrund zielt die vorliegende Studie darauf ab, die Bestimmungsfaktoren beruflicher Wechsel in Engpassberufe hinein und aus diesen Berufen heraus zu untersuchen. Faktoren, die Zuflüsse erhöhen oder Abflüsse verringern, können den Fachkräftemangel reduzieren. Die Untersuchung erstreckt sich sowohl auf den gesamten deutschen Arbeitsmarkt als auch im Besonderen auf drei Fokusbereiche, die vom Fachkräftemangel besonders stark betroffen sind und die überdies für die Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft Deutschlands eine wichtige Rolle spielen. Bei den besagten Bereichen handelt es sich um das Handwerk, die Informations- und Kommunikationstechnologien ("IKT") und den Gesundheits- und Pflegebereich. Die der Untersuchung zugrunde liegenden Daten entstammen der Engpassanalyse der Bundesagentur für Arbeit zur Identifikation von Engpassbereichen, administrative Daten zu sozialversicherungspflichtig Beschäftigten und weiteren Quellen zu beruflichen Merkmalen wie Lohn oder Arbeitszufriedenheit." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Spatial Policies and Heterogeneous Employment Responses (2025)

    Bald, Fabian; Henkel, Marcel;

    Zitatform

    Bald, Fabian & Marcel Henkel (2025): Spatial Policies and Heterogeneous Employment Responses. (Discussion paper / Berlin School of Economics 63), Berlin, 77 S. DOI:10.48462/opus4-5764

    Abstract

    "This paper proposes that spatial policies improve economic outcomes by reducing barriers to supplying labor, with heterogeneous effects across demographic groups. Using quasi-experimental variation in Germany's fiscal transfer system, we estimate higher employment elasticities for female workers, with the strongest impact in places where public childcare supply is smaller. We propose a quantitative spatial model incorporating location decisions and group-specific frictions to labor force participation. We establish that optimal spatial policy would not unambiguously direct resources to low-wage areas but additionally target regions with high labor supply elasticities, yielding substantial welfare and labor force gains in the aggregate. This paper argues that accounting for differential employment responses significantly alters optimal place-based policy design, highlighting a novel channel for addressing efficiency and equity concerns in ageing economies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Ex ante heterogeneity, separations, and labor market dynamics (2025)

    Barreto, César; Merkl, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Barreto, César & Christian Merkl (2025): Ex ante heterogeneity, separations, and labor market dynamics. In: Journal of monetary economics, Jg. 156. DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103845

    Abstract

    "Our paper documents the importance of ex ante worker heterogeneity for labor market dynamics and for the composition of the unemployment pool over the business cycle. In recessions, the unemployment pool shifts toward workers with higher wages in their previous jobs. Based on administrative data for Germany and two-way worker and firm wage fixed effects, we show that this shift is mainly connected to worker heterogeneity, not to firm heterogeneity. We calibrate a search and matching model with ex ante worker heterogeneity to the estimated relative residual wage dispersion across worker fixed-effect groups. We show that a lower idiosyncratic match-specific shock dispersion for high-wage workers is key for the larger relative fluctuations of their separation rate as well as for the positive comovement between prior wages and fixed effects of unemployed workers with aggregate unemployment. We argue that firm-based explanations, such as cyclical financial frictions, are unlikely to be key drivers for the documented empirical patterns." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Quantile Selection in the Gender Pay Gap (2025)

    Batbayar, Egshiglen; Ilieva, Boryana; Haan, Peter; Breunig, Christoph;

    Zitatform

    Batbayar, Egshiglen, Christoph Breunig, Peter Haan & Boryana Ilieva (2025): Quantile Selection in the Gender Pay Gap. (arXiv papers 2511.16187), 48 S.

    Abstract

    "We propose a new approach to estimate selection-corrected quantiles of the gender wage gap. Our method employs instrumental variables that explain variation in the latent variable but, conditional on the latent process, do not directly affect selection. We provide semiparametric identification of the quantile parameters without imposing parametric restrictions on the selection probability, derive the asymptotic distribution of the proposed estimator based on constrained selection probability weighting, and demonstrate how the approach applies to the Roy model of labor supply. Using German administrative data, we analyze the distribution of the gender gap in full-time earnings. We find pronounced positive selection among women at the lower end, especially those with less education, which widens the gender gap in this segment, and strong positive selection among highly educated men at the top, which narrows the gender wage gap at upper quantiles." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Effects of monetary policy on labor income: the role of the employer (2025)

    Bobasu, Alina; Repele, Amalia;

    Zitatform

    Bobasu, Alina & Amalia Repele (2025): Effects of monetary policy on labor income: the role of the employer. (Working paper series / European Central Bank 3046), Frankfurt am Main, 34 S. DOI:10.2866/0975498

    Abstract

    "This paper investigates the role of firms in the transmission of monetary policy to individual labor market outcomes, both the intensive and extensive margins. Using German matched employer-employee administrative data, we study the effects of monetary policy shocks on individual employment and labor income conditioning on the firm characteristics. First, we find that the employment of workers in young firms are especially sensitive to monetary policy shocks. Second, wages of workers in large firms react relatively more, with some pronounced asymmetries: differences between large and small firms are more evident during monetary policy easing. The differential wage response is driven by above-median workers and cannot be fully explained by a worker component. Notably, larger firms adjust wages more significantly despite experiencing similar changes in investment and turnover compared to smaller firms. Furthermore, monetary policy tightening disproportionately impacts low-skilled and low-wage earners, while easings amplify inequality due to substantial wage increases for top earners. Overall, the effect of monetary policy on inequalities is however larger in easing periods – driven by a large increase in wages for top earners." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Manufacturing Work Beyond Manufacturing Industries: A Reassessment of Structural Change (2025)

    Boddin, Dominik ; Kroeger, Thilo ;

    Zitatform

    Boddin, Dominik & Thilo Kroeger (2025): Manufacturing Work Beyond Manufacturing Industries. A Reassessment of Structural Change. (DIW-Diskussionspapiere 2144), Berlin, 40 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper studies the labor market impact of structural change by distinguishing between industry- and occupation-based measures of manufacturing and service employment. Using German data from 1975–2019, we find that 67% of manufacturing jobs lost in manufacturing industries are offset by new manufacturing jobs in service industries. Linking these aggregate patterns to worker-level outcomes, we show that the severity of displacement costs depends on the occupation–sector characteristics of the next job. Workers who retain manufacturing occupations in the service sector experience employment trajectories comparable to those remaining in manufacturing, indicating that structural change is less disruptive than commonly perceived." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Disentangling structural change, servitization, and skill-biased change (2025)

    Boddin, Dominik ; Kroeger, Thilo ;

    Zitatform

    Boddin, Dominik & Thilo Kroeger (2025): Disentangling structural change, servitization, and skill-biased change. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 97. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102778

    Abstract

    "This paper analyzes three key labor market trends – structural change, servitization, and skill-biased change – using German data from 1975 to 2017. Through a decomposition analysis, we discern their individual impacts on employment shifts, revealing their distinct roles in the German labor market’s evolution. Servitization and skill-biased change significantly influence employment growth alongside structural change. Surprisingly, for instance, structural change accounted for only two-thirds of job losses in the manufacturing sector. Further analysis uncovers more detailed patterns across tasks, firm types, and regions." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Local Effects of Education and Age Groups on Unemployment in Germany (2025)

    Busch, Fabian; Ochsen, Carsten ;

    Zitatform

    Busch, Fabian & Carsten Ochsen (2025): Local Effects of Education and Age Groups on Unemployment in Germany. In: Growth and Change, Jg. 56. DOI:10.1111/grow.70011

    Abstract

    "This article provides a comprehensive analysis of how regional changes in the age and education distribution of the labour force affect local and neighbourhood unemployment rates. Based on theoretical considerations, we argue that differences in job search, separation, and commuting are key factors in group differences, and therefore, changes in relative group size affect the level of unemployment. The empirical analysis focuses on local labour markets in Germany, using a dynamic spatial panel data model. According to the estimates, an increasing proportion of young and/or low-educated workers raises local unemployment, while larger proportions of older prime-age and/or highly educated workers raise unemployment in neighbouring labour markets. As a result, the recent ageing and education developments in the German labour force have led to a 25% reduction in the unemployment rate." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Impact of Labour Demand Shocks when Occupational Labour Supplies are Heterogeneous (2025)

    Böhm, Michael Johannes; Etheridge, Ben ; Irastorza-Fadrique, Aitor;

    Zitatform

    Böhm, Michael Johannes, Ben Etheridge & Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique (2025): The Impact of Labour Demand Shocks when Occupational Labour Supplies are Heterogeneous. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17851), Bonn, 120 S.

    Abstract

    "As technological advances accelerate and labor demands shift, the ability of workers to reallocate across occupations will be crucial for shaping labor market dynamics, inequality, and effective policy design. In this paper, we develop a tractable equilibrium model of the labor market that incorporates heterogeneous labour supply elasticities to different occupations and across different occupation pairs. Using worker flows from German administrative data, we estimate these elasticities and validate them through external measures such as occupational licensing and task distance. Our model quantifies the heterogeneous impacts of recent labor demand shifts on occupational wages and employment, highlighting the role of cross-occupation effects in shaping market responses to shocks. Finally, we leverage this framework to project employment flows and wage adjustments under future occupational demand shifts that are implied by the latest automation technologies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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