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Migration und Integration

Bei dem Thema Einwanderung nach Deutschland gilt es auch die Bedingungen einer gelingenden Integration von Zugewanderten in Gesellschaft, Bildung und Arbeit zu untersuchen. Die Arbeitsmarktforschung beschäftigt sich mit der Frage, wie die Integration in das Bildungs- und Ausbildungssystem, der Zugang zum Arbeitsmarkt sowie die Bedingungen der sozialen Teilhabe und kulturellen Integration verbessert werden können.

Aktuelle Studien zeigen zudem, dass Deutschland angesichts seiner demographischen Herausforderungen dringend auf Zuwanderung angewiesen ist. Inwiefern kann Zuwanderung der Schrumpfung und Alterung des Erwerbspersonenpotenzials entgegenwirken? Welche Entwicklungen in der nationalen und europäischen Einwanderungspolitik begünstigen die Einwanderung von Erwerbspersonen und Fachkräften? Die hier zusammengestellte Literatur bietet einen aktuellen und umfassenden Überblick über den Themenkomplex Migration und Integration.

Literatur zum Thema Flucht und Asyl finden Sie in unserer IAB-Infoplattform Fluchtmigrantinnen und -migranten - Bildung und Arbeitsmarkt.

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The migrant-native ‘equilibrium’ in Western European labour markets: a long-term analysis (2026)

    Avola, Maurizio ; Vegetti, Federico ; Piccitto, Giorgio ;

    Zitatform

    Avola, Maurizio, Giorgio Piccitto & Federico Vegetti (2026): The migrant-native ‘equilibrium’ in Western European labour markets: a long-term analysis. In: Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, S. 1-21. DOI:10.1080/1369183x.2026.2620584

    Abstract

    "Research on the migrant penalty in European labour markets reveals a significant gap between migrants and natives across various outcomes, which appears to be linked to specific features of the labour market structure. As the proportion of low-status jobs increases at the regional level, a trade-off ‘equilibrium’ emerges between migrants’ likelihood of being employed and the quality of the jobs they hold, compared to natives. This study aims to explore whether the Great Recession has altered this migrant-native equilibrium. To address this, we analyze EU-LFS data from 13 countries and 140 European regions, examining three distinct periods: pre-crisis, during the crisis, and post-crisis. Our findings indicate that during the economic downturn, this equilibrium shifted, weakening the trade-off between employment probability and job quality. Furthermore, the shift continued in the post-crisis phase, suggesting that the Great Recession may have triggered a structural transformation of the migrant-native equilibrium in European labour markets, rather than just a temporary adjustment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Analysis of unemployment hysteresis of country groups for migration policy: PANIC fourier evidence (2025)

    Akcan, Ahmet Tayfur ; Ergül, Murat; Yagmur, İdris; Karataş, Ali Rauf;

    Zitatform

    Akcan, Ahmet Tayfur, İdris Yagmur, Murat Ergül & Ali Rauf Karataş (2025): Analysis of unemployment hysteresis of country groups for migration policy: PANIC fourier evidence. In: Comparative Migration Studies, Jg. 13. DOI:10.1186/s40878-025-00467-7

    Abstract

    "One of the most important reasons for international migration is unemployment, along with economic concerns. Domestic and international migration movements generally take place from regions with high unemployment to the regions where unemployment is low. Therefore, analyzing the labor market is important for predicting and directing migration movements. The World Bank grouping of countries includes 47 country groups according to their geographical and income status. In our study, the unemployment hysteresis of 48 groups, which includes the average of these 47 country groups and the world in general, has been analyzed. For the analysis of the unemployment hysteresis, six different variables were used: total unemployment rate, female unemployment rate, male unemployment rate, youth unemployment rate, youth female unemployment rate, and youth male unemployment rate. For analysis of unemployment hysteresis, the Fourier PANIC panel unit root test, which entered the literature in 2023, was used. Significant results were obtained for country groups. The results of the analysis show that the unemployment hysteresis is valid for total unemployment worldwide, while the natural rate hypothesis is prominent for youth and young males. While hysteresis is observed in total and male unemployment in low- and middle-income countries, the natural rate hypothesis is generally valid in high-income countries; however, hysteresis persists in female unemployment. Therefore, at the global level, encouraging controlled and need-driven migration movements from regions where the unemployment hysteresis is valid to regions where the natural rate hypothesis is valid, can contribute to reducing imbalances in labor markets. At the national level, selective labor transfer policies, taking into account labor market needs, can be implemented from regions with high unemployment hysteresis." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The effect of immigration on the wage of natives, combining intensive and extensive labour supply margins (2025)

    Badaoui, Eliane ; Walsh, Frank ;

    Zitatform

    Badaoui, Eliane & Frank Walsh (2025): The effect of immigration on the wage of natives, combining intensive and extensive labour supply margins. In: Journal of Economics, Jg. 146, H. 1, S. 1-57. DOI:10.1007/s00712-025-00903-3

    Abstract

    "We incorporate positive labor supply elasticities on the intensive and extensive margins into a standard model looking at the impact of immigration on hourly and weekly wages in the host region. When natives and migrants are perfect substitutes, a higher labor supply elasticity on the extensive margin reduces the magnitude of the negative hourly and weekly wage elasticity resulting from immigration. Conversely, a higher labor supply elasticity on the intensive margin is very likely to amplify the negative impact of immigration on the weekly wage, due to a reduction in weekly working hours. Simulations suggest that incorporating labour supply effects offsets negative wage effects, especially for parameter values that would otherwise imply a relatively large negative wage elasticity from immigration. The change in the wage elasticity of migration from incorporating labor supply effects is often small, but for special cases where labour supply elasticities are substantial the effects can be important." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The integration of migrants in the German labour market: evidence over 50 years (2025)

    Berbée, Paul; Stuhler, Jan ;

    Zitatform

    Berbée, Paul & Jan Stuhler (2025): The integration of migrants in the German labour market: evidence over 50 years. In: Economic Policy, Jg. 40, H. 122, S. 481-549. DOI:10.1093/epolic/eiae040

    Abstract

    "SUMMARY: Germany has become the second-most important destination for migrants worldwide. Using all waves from the microcensus, we study their labur market integration over the last 50 years and highlight differences to the US case. Although the employment gaps between immigrant and native men decline after arrival, they remain large for most cohorts; the average gap after one decade is 10 percentage points. Conversely, income gaps tend to widen post-arrival. Compositional differences explain how those gaps vary across groups, and why they worsened over time; after accounting for composition, integration outcomes show no systematic trend. Still, economic conditions do matter, and employment collapsed in some cohorts after structural shocks hit the German labor market in the early 1990s. Lastly, we examine the integration of recent arrivals during the European refugee ‘crisis’ and the Russo-Ukrainian war." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Effects of Immigration on Places and People – Identification and Interpretation (2025)

    Dustmann, Christian ; Schönberg, Uta; Otten, Sebastian ; Stuhler, Jan ;

    Zitatform

    Dustmann, Christian, Sebastian Otten, Uta Schönberg & Jan Stuhler (2025): The Effects of Immigration on Places and People – Identification and Interpretation. In: Journal of labor economics, S. 1-52. DOI:10.1086/739196

    Abstract

    "Most studies on the labor market effects of immigration use repeated cross-sectional data to estimate the effects of immigration on regions. This paper shows that such regional effects are composites of effects that address fundamental questions in the immigration debate but remain unidentified with repeated cross-sectional data. We provide a unifying empirical Framework that decomposes the regional effects of immigration into their underlying components and show how these are identifiable from data that track workers over time. Our empirical application illustrates that such analysis yields a far more informative picture of immigration’s effects on wages, employment, and occupational upgrading." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Dustmann, Christian ; Schönberg, Uta;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Migrant wealth in Germany (2025)

    Faininger, Rudolf; Flechtner, Svenja ;

    Zitatform

    Faininger, Rudolf & Svenja Flechtner (2025): Migrant wealth in Germany. In: Journal of Economic Inequality, Jg. 23, H. 4, S. 1255-1282. DOI:10.1007/s10888-025-09668-7

    Abstract

    "Migrant households in Germany hold significantly less wealth than native households, with disparities varying by origin and generation. Using SOEP data (2012, 2017), this study quantifies gaps across the wealth distribution and examines income, saving rates, and portfolio composition. Migrants from low- and middle-income countries exhibit the largest gaps, with persistent disadvantages in the upper distribution. Second-generation high-income country migrants show signs of convergence. Disparities are mainly due to portfolio composition and differences in earnings and savings behavior. The findings underscore the heterogeneity of migrant wealth accumulation and contribute to research on wealth inequality and migration economics." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Problem or Opportunity? Immigration, Job Search, Entrepreneurship and Labor Market Outcomes of Natives in Germany (2025)

    Iftikhar, Zainab ; Zaharieva, Anna ;

    Zitatform

    Iftikhar, Zainab & Anna Zaharieva (2025): Problem or Opportunity? Immigration, Job Search, Entrepreneurship and Labor Market Outcomes of Natives in Germany. (ECONtribute discussion paper 358), Köln ; Bonn, 50 S.

    Abstract

    "In this study we evaluate the effects of low-skilled immigration on small businesses, wages and employment in Germany. We develop a search and matching model with heterogeneous workers, cross-skill matching, and endogenous entry into entrepreneurship. The model is calibrated using German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) data. Quantitative analysis shows that low-skilled immigration benefits high-skilled workers while negatively affecting the welfare of low-skilled workers. It leads to the endogenous expansion of immigrant entrepreneurial activities, generating positive spillovers for all demographic groups except native entrepreneurs. Overall, there is a marginal loss to the economy in terms of per worker welfare. This loss is mitigated with increased skilled migration from India. Policies restricting immigrant entrepreneurship relax competition for native small businesses but reduce welfare for all other worker groups. Ethnic segregation of small businesses benefits low-skill native entrepreneurs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Impact of Immigration on Wages and Employment in the UK Using Longitudinal Administrative Data (2025)

    Lemos, Sara ; Portes, Jonathan ;

    Zitatform

    Lemos, Sara & Jonathan Portes (2025): The Impact of Immigration on Wages and Employment in the UK Using Longitudinal Administrative Data. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 18199), Bonn, 16 S.

    Abstract

    "We study the labour market impact of immigration to the United Kingdom, focusing on the large inflows following the 2004 EU enlargement. Using the Lifetime Labour Market Database (LLMDB)—a longitudinal 1% sample of National Insurance records—we provide the first analysisof immigration's effects on employment and wages based on high-quality administrative microdata. Exploiting individual, area and time fixed effects, as well as area-time, individual-time and individual-area fixed effects, we reduce endogeneity concerns that have limited previous work. We find limited aggregate impacts, but distributional consequences: existing immigrants—particularly those who were young or low paid—experienced modest negative employment effects, while natives faced little evidence of displacement. For wages, impacts were mixed: existing immigrants overall gained, but low-paid immigrants lost. The results suggest labour market adjustment operated through both substitution and complementarities across groups. More broadly, we provide a methodological framework for analysing the much larger and more diverse post-2021 immigration flows." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Zuwanderungsmonitor Januar (2024)

    Brücker, Herbert ; Keita, Sekou ; Vallizadeh, Ehsan ; Hauptmann, Andreas ;

    Zitatform

    Brücker, Herbert, Andreas Hauptmann, Sekou Keita & Ehsan Vallizadeh (2024): Zuwanderungsmonitor Januar. (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung. Aktuelle Daten und Indikatoren), Nürnberg, 5 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.ZM.2401

    Abstract

    "Die ausländische Bevölkerung in Deutschland ist nach Angaben des Ausländerzentralregisters im Dezember 2023 gegenüber dem Vormonat um rund 19.000 Personen gestiegen. - Die Beschäftigungsquote der ausländischen Bevölkerung betrug im November 2023 54,1 Prozent und ist damit im Vergleich zum Vorjahresmonat um 0,8 Prozentpunkte gestiegen. - Die absolute Zahl der Arbeitslosen mit einer ausländischen Staatsangehörigkeit ist im Januar 2024 gegenüber dem Vorjahresmonat um 98.000 Personen gestiegen. Dies entspricht einem Anstieg von 10,3 Prozent. - Die Arbeitslosenquote der ausländischen Bevölkerung lag im November 2023 bei 14,5 Prozent und ist im Vergleich zum Vorjahresmonat um 0,4 Prozentpunkte gestiegen. - Die SGB-II-Hilfequote der ausländischen Bevölkerung lag im Oktober 2023 bei 20,9 Prozent und ist gegenüber dem Vorjahresmonat unverändert." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Zuwanderungsmonitor Dezember (2024)

    Brücker, Herbert ; Vallizadeh, Ehsan ; Keita, Sekou ; Hauptmann, Andreas ;

    Zitatform

    Brücker, Herbert, Andreas Hauptmann, Sekou Keita & Ehsan Vallizadeh (2024): Zuwanderungsmonitor Dezember. (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung. Aktuelle Daten und Indikatoren), Nürnberg, 5 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.ZM.2312

    Abstract

    "Die ausländische Bevölkerung in Deutschland ist nach Angaben des Ausländerzentralregisters im November 2023 gegenüber dem Vormonat um rund 48.000 Personen gestiegen. - Die Beschäftigungsquote der ausländischen Bevölkerung betrug im Oktober 2023 54,3 Prozent und ist damit im Vergleich zum Vorjahresmonat um 0,7 Prozentpunkte gestiegen. - Die absolute Zahl der Arbeitslosen mit einer ausländischen Staatsangehörigkeit ist im Dezember 2023 gegenüber dem Vorjahresmonat um 93.000 Personen gestiegen. Dies entspricht einem Anstieg von 10,4 Prozent. - Die Arbeitslosenquote der ausländischen Bevölkerung lag im Oktober 2023 bei 14,6 Prozent und ist im Vergleich zum Vorjahresmonat um 0,4 Prozentpunkte gestiegen. - Die SGB-II-Hilfequote der ausländischen Bevölkerung lag im September 2023 bei 21,0 Prozent und ist gegenüber dem Vorjahresmonat unverändert." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Immigration's Effect on US Wages and Employment Redux (2024)

    Caiumi, Alessandro; Peri, Giovanni ;

    Zitatform

    Caiumi, Alessandro & Giovanni Peri (2024): Immigration's Effect on US Wages and Employment Redux. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 32389), Cambridge, Mass, 63 S. DOI:10.3386/w32389

    Abstract

    "In this article we revive, extend and improve the approach used in a series of influential papers written in the 2000s to estimate how changes in the supply of immigrant workers affected natives' wages in the US. We begin by extending the analysis to include the more recent years 2000-2022. Additionally, we introduce three important improvements. First, we introduce an IV that uses a new skill-based shift-share for immigrants and the demographic evolution for natives, which we show passes validity tests and has reasonably strong power. Second, we provide estimates of the impact of immigration on the employment-population ratio of natives to test for crowding out at the national level. Third, we analyze occupational upgrading of natives in response to immigrants. Using these estimates, we calculate that immigration, thanks to native-immigrant complementarity and college skill content of immigrants, had a positive and significant effect between +1.7 to +2.6\% on wages of less educated native workers, over the period 2000-2019 and no significant wage effect on college educated natives. We also calculate a positive employment rate effect for most native workers. Even simulations for the most recent 2019-2022 period suggest small positive effects on wages of non-college natives and no significant crowding out effects on employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Impact of Migration on Productivity: Evidence from the United Kingdom (2024)

    Campo, Francesco ; Forte, Giuseppe ; Portes, Jonathan ;

    Zitatform

    Campo, Francesco, Giuseppe Forte & Jonathan Portes (2024): The Impact of Migration on Productivity: Evidence from the United Kingdom. In: The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, Jg. 24, H. 2, S. 537-564. DOI:10.1515/bejeap-2023-0179

    Abstract

    "The UK saw a sharp rise in work-related migration, particularly from the EU, in the 2000s and 2010s, with profound impacts on the labour market. We investigate the relationship between migration and productivity in Great Britain between 2002 and 2018, using an instrumental variable approach which follows the commonly used shift-share methodology. Our results, which are robust to a variety of tests, suggest that immigration has a positive and significant impact (in both the statistical sense and more broadly) on productivity, as measured by GVA per job at the Travel-to-Work-Area level. We indeed find that a 1 p.p. increase in the share of migrants is associated with a 0.84 % increase in productivity in 2SLS estimates. We discuss the implications for post-Brexit immigration policy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © De Gruyter) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Immigrants' Pathways to the Income Elite in Germany (2024)

    Collischon, Matthias ; Wunder, Anja ; Zimmermann, Florian ;

    Zitatform

    Collischon, Matthias, Anja Wunder & Florian Zimmermann (2024): Immigrants' Pathways to the Income Elite in Germany. In: Sociology, Jg. 58, H. 5, S. 1225-1236., 2024-05-07. DOI:10.1177/00380385241257485

    Abstract

    "Owing to their high political and social impact, studying elites is a growing strand of scholarship in sociology. In this research note, we investigate immigrants’ pathways into the income elite, that is, the top 1% of Germany’s income distribution. Using data from the German Microcensus from 2009 to 2018 covering more than three million observations, we examine the prevalence of immigrants in the elite and immigrants’ pathways to access the elite, that is, education, self-employment, country-of-origin effects and integration. Our results show that immigrants are underrepresented in the elite by 46%. Smaller returns to education and self-employment compared with natives drive this underrepresentation. Regarding immigrant-specific pathways, immigrants from EU countries, who face fewer legal, cultural and social barriers, have higher chances of being in the elite than immigrants from non-EU countries. Finally, we find no evidence of integration, that is, years since migration, affecting immigrants’ elite status." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © SAGE) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Migrant*innen der ersten Generation gelingt der Aufstieg in die Einkommenselite deutlich seltener als Deutschen (2024)

    Collischon, Matthias ; Zimmermann, Florian ; Wunder, Anja ;

    Zitatform

    Collischon, Matthias, Anja Wunder & Florian Zimmermann (2024): Migrant*innen der ersten Generation gelingt der Aufstieg in die Einkommenselite deutlich seltener als Deutschen. In: IAB-Forum H. 24.10.2024. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20241024.01

    Abstract

    "Im obersten Prozent der Einkommensverteilung sind neben Frauen auch Migrant*innen deutlich unterrepräsentiert, insbesondere solche aus Nicht-EU-Staaten. Der Rückstand gegenüber der einheimischen Bevölkerung hat sich in den letzten Jahren noch vergrößert." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Distributional effects of immigration and imperfect labour markets (2024)

    Costas-Fernández, Julián ; Lodato, Simón ;

    Zitatform

    Costas-Fernández, Julián & Simón Lodato (2024): Distributional effects of immigration and imperfect labour markets. In: Economics Letters, Jg. 242. DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111832

    Abstract

    "In canonical models, the labour share is orthogonal to immigration shocks in the long run, regardless of the impact of immigration on productivity. In contrast, this paper provides evidence that immigration increases labour productivity while reducing the labour share. We produce this evidence using data from Great Britain with a shift-share instrument that exploits European Union expansions and changes in immigration to other high-income countries. Our results are consistent with the predictions from imperfect labour market models, where immigrant and native workers are heterogeneous in skills, and the former have lower labour supply elasticities than the latter. A significant implication of our analysis is that immigration redistributes income from workers to employers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Would the Euro Area Benefit from Greater Labor Mobility? (2024)

    Curdia, Vasco; Nechio, Fernanda;

    Zitatform

    Curdia, Vasco & Fernanda Nechio (2024): Would the Euro Area Benefit from Greater Labor Mobility? (Working papers series / Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 2024-06), San Francisco, Calif., 56 S. DOI:10.24148/wp2024-06

    Abstract

    "We assess how within euro area labor mobility impacts economic dynamics in response to shocks. In the analysis we use an estimated two-region monetary union dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that allows for a varying degree of labor mobility across regions. We find that, in contrast with traditional optimal currency area predictions, enhanced labor mobility can either mitigate or exacerbate the extent to which the two regions respond differently to shocks. The effects depend crucially on the nature of shocks and variable of interest. In some circumstances, even when it contributes to aligning the responses of the two regions, labor mobility may complicate monetary policy tradeoffs. Moreover, the presence and strength of financial frictions have important implications for the effects of labor mobility. If the periphery’s risk premium is more responsive to its indebtedness than our estimates, there are various shocks for which labor mobility may help stabilize the economy. Finally, the euro area’s economic performance following the Global Financial Crisis would not have been necessarily smoother with enhanced labor mobility." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Population Growth, Immigration, and Labor Market Dynamics (2024)

    Elsby, Michael W. L. ; Wadsworth, Jonathan ; Smith, Jennifer C. ;

    Zitatform

    Elsby, Michael W. L., Jennifer C. Smith & Jonathan Wadsworth (2024): Population Growth, Immigration, and Labor Market Dynamics. In: Demography, Jg. 61, H. 5, S. 1559-1584. DOI:10.1215/00703370-11579897

    Abstract

    "This article provides a first synthesis of population flows and labor market dynamics across immigrant and native-born populations. We devise a novel dynamic accounting methodology that integrates population flows from two sources—changes in birth cohort size and immigrant flows—with labor market dynamics. We illustrate the method using data for the United Kingdom, where population flows have been large and cyclical, driven first by the maturation of baby boom cohorts in the 1980s and later by immigration in the 2000s. New measures of labor market flows by migrant status uncover the flow origins of disparities in the levels and cyclicality of immigrant and native labor market outcomes and their more recent convergence. An application of our accounting framework reveals that population flows have played a nontrivial role in the volatility of labor markets among the UK-born and, especially, immigrants." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    What drives the substitutability between native and foreign workers? Evidence about the role of language (2024)

    Gentili, Elena; Mazzonna, Fabrizio ;

    Zitatform

    Gentili, Elena & Fabrizio Mazzonna (2024): What drives the substitutability between native and foreign workers? Evidence about the role of language. In: Economica, Jg. 91, H. 361, S. 210-237. DOI:10.1111/ecca.12501

    Abstract

    "This paper investigates the role of language in deter-mining the substitutability between foreign and nativeworkers. Our identification strategy exploits the linguis-tic diversity of Switzerland, a country with three mainofficial languages (German, French and Italian) shared by bordering countries. This makes the Swiss Labor market very peculiar, since both immigrants and nativesmay (or may not) share the language spoken in the area of residence. We modify the standard nested-cell labor demand model to account for the linguistic Background of native and immigrant workers. We provide evidence about the central role of language in determining theextent of the imperfect substitutability between native and foreign workers, and their differential specialization incommunication-intensive jobs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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    The effect of migration on careers of natives (2024)

    Haan, Peter; Wnuk, Izabela;

    Zitatform

    Haan, Peter & Izabela Wnuk (2024): The effect of migration on careers of natives. (DIW-Diskussionspapiere 2070), Berlin, 54 S.

    Abstract

    This paper examines the effect of increasing foreign staffing on the labor market outcomes of native workers in the German long-term care sector. Using administrative social security data covering the universe of long-term care workers and policy-induced exogenous variation, we find that increased foreign staffing reduces labor shortages but has diverging implications for the careers of native workers in the sector. While it causes a transition of those currently employed to jobs with better working conditions, higher wages, and non-manual tasks, it simultaneously diminishes re-employment prospects for the unemployed natives with LTC experience.

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The perceived impact of immigration on native workers’ labour market outcomes (2024)

    Hayo, Bernd ; Roth, Duncan ;

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    Hayo, Bernd & Duncan Roth (2024): The perceived impact of immigration on native workers’ labour market outcomes. In: European Journal of Political Economy, Jg. 85, 2024-09-02. DOI:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2024.102610

    Abstract

    "A sizeable literature analyses how immigration affects attitudes towards migrants and discusses differences between socio-economic groups and their potential correlation with perceived concerns about labour market competition. Against the background of the large-scale influx of refugees into Germany between 2015 and 2016, this paper uses data from a unique and representative survey of the German population to assess whether respondents express fears of job loss due to immigration. We focus on the importance of perceptions of migrants' ability to do one's job in relation to these fears. Moreover, we compare concerns about refugees with those about EU migrants and propose several hypotheses. Our findings indicate that: (i) Respondents are more likely to view EU migrants as potential competitors in the labour market. (ii) Workers in blue-collar occupations and without tertiary education are more likely to view migrants as potential competitors on the labour market. (iii) The perception of potential competition from migrants strongly predicts fear of job loss. Once we control for this perception, occupation and skill levels are no longer significantly related to the probability of reporting fear of job loss. Moreover, there are no longer significant differences between the two migrant groups. (iv) Anti-migrant sentiments are also associated with concerns about job loss." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Roth, Duncan ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    The perceived impact of immigration on native workers’ labor market outcomes (2024)

    Hayo, Bernd ; Roth, Duncan ;

    Zitatform

    Hayo, Bernd & Duncan Roth (2024): The perceived impact of immigration on native workers’ labor market outcomes. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 17278), 33 S.

    Abstract

    "A sizeable literature analyzes how immigration affects attitudes towards migrants and discusses differences between socio-economic groups and their potential correlation with perceived concerns about labor market competition. Against the background of the largescale influx of refugees into Germany between 2015 and 2016, this paper uses data from a unique and representative survey of the German population to assess whether respondents express fears of job loss due to immigration. We focus on the importance of perceptions of migrants’ ability to do one’s job in relation to these fears. Moreover, we compare concerns about refugees with those about EU migrants and propose several hypotheses. Our findings indicate that: (i) Respondents are more likely to view EU migrants as potential competitors in the labor market. (ii) Workers in blue-collar occupations and without tertiary education are more likely to view migrants as potential competitors on the labor market. (iii) The perception of potential competition from migrants strongly predicts fear of job loss. Once we control for this perception, occupation and skill levels are no longer significantly related to the probability of reporting fear of job loss. Moreover, there are no longer significant differences between the two migrant groups. (iv) Anti-migrant sentiments are also associated with concerns about job loss." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Roth, Duncan ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Does skill emigration hurt unskilled workers? Theory and cross-country evidence (2024)

    Kar, Saibal ; Marjit, Sugata ;

    Zitatform

    Kar, Saibal & Sugata Marjit (2024): Does skill emigration hurt unskilled workers? Theory and cross-country evidence. In: International Migration, Jg. 62, S. 41-56. DOI:10.1111/imig.13259

    Abstract

    "How does out-migration of skilled workers affect unskilled workers' wage in the source country? When skilled workers emigrate, unskilled wages tend to go down in some countries. If the sector that uses both skilled and unskilled workers shows a lower degree of capital intensity as compared to sectors that use only skilled workers in production, it is a common outcome. We use 19 years of cross-country data from the International Labor Organization (ILO) spanning Asia and Latin America to show that skill emigration reduces unskilled wage unambiguously for panel fixed effects and difference generalized method of moments (DGMM) estimates. The structure is also subjected to system GMM with endogenous covariates and allied robustness checks. Importantly, we find a critical level of tertiary education, such that countries generating more skill shall face weaker negative impact on unskilled wages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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    Modeling Migration-Induced Unemployment (2024)

    Michaillat, Pascal ;

    Zitatform

    Michaillat, Pascal (2024): Modeling Migration-Induced Unemployment. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 33047), Cambridge, Mass, 52 S.

    Abstract

    "Immigration is often blamed for increasing unemployment among local workers. However, standard models, such as the neoclassical model and the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides matching model, inherently assume that immigrants are absorbed into the labor market without affecting local unemployment. This paper presents a more general model of migration that allows for the possibility that not only the wages but also the unemployment rate of local workers may be affected by the arrival of newcomers. This extension is essential to capture the full range of potential impacts of labor migration on labor markets. The model blends a matching framework with job rationing. In it, the arrival of new workers can raise the unemployment rate among local workers, particularly in a depressed labor market where job opportunities are limited. On the positive side, in-migration helps firms fill vacancies more easily, boosting their profits. The overall impact of in-migration on local welfare varies with labor market conditions: in-migration reduces welfare when the labor market is inefficiently slack, but it enhances welfare when the labor market is inefficiently tight." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Does immigration affect native wages? A meta-analysis (2024)

    Nedoncelle, Clément ; Héricourt, Jérôme ; Aubry, Amandine ; Marchal, Léa ;

    Zitatform

    Nedoncelle, Clément, Léa Marchal, Amandine Aubry & Jérôme Héricourt (2024): Does immigration affect native wages? A meta-analysis. (KCG policy paper / Kiel Centre for Globalization 31), Kiel, 43 S.

    Abstract

    "The impact of immigration on native workers' wages has been a topic of long-standing debate. This meta-analysis reviews 42 studies published between 1987 to 2019, offering a comprehensive assessment of reduced-form estimates of the wage effect of immigration. The results confirm that immigration has a negligible effect on native wages. However, a more pronounced wage impact is observable for the U.S. and in recent years. Our analysis underscores the influence of methodological advances and increased data availability in shaping wage effect estimates. Results also highlight the role of the estimator (OLS vs. IV-2SLS, as well as the use of shift-share instruments) in determining the sign and magnitude of the estimated wage effect." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Dynamic agglomeration effects of foreigners and natives – The role of experience in high-quality sectors, tasks and establishments (2024)

    Niebuhr, Annekatrin ; Roth, Duncan ; Peters, Jan Cornelius ;

    Zitatform

    Niebuhr, Annekatrin, Jan Cornelius Peters & Duncan Roth (2024): Dynamic agglomeration effects of foreigners and natives – The role of experience in high-quality sectors, tasks and establishments. In: Regional Science and Urban Economics, Jg. 108, 2024-07-17. DOI:10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104040

    Abstract

    "We analyze whether the benefits of work experience that was acquired in denser locations can be explained by the quality of jobs that can be found in agglomerations using administrative data on individual employment biographies of workers in Germany. We find that 79% of the premium for work experience gained in the densest regions can be ascribed to the sectors, tasks and establishments in which experience was acquired. Moreover, we find that foreign and native workers, on average, benefit to a similar extent from dynamic agglomeration effects. However, low-skilled foreign workers receive a lower return to experience gained in dense regions than observationally identical natives. This difference can be explained by the fact that the former gain work experience in lower-quality jobs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Niebuhr, Annekatrin ; Roth, Duncan ;
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    Immigration and Worker-Firm Matching (2024)

    Orefice, Gianluca ; Peri, Giovanni ;

    Zitatform

    Orefice, Gianluca & Giovanni Peri (2024): Immigration and Worker-Firm Matching. In: The Review of Economics and Statistics, S. 1-45. DOI:10.1162/rest_a_01476

    Abstract

    "Positive assortative matching increases both the wages of more productive workers and wage dispersion. We study the effect of immigration on positive assortative matching using French employer-employee data from 1995 to 2005. We find that increases in the share of immigrants, driven by historical networks across local labor markets, generated stronger positive assortative matching between workers and firms. We present evidence suggesting that this effect was associated to higher wages for more productive workers and that the findings are consistent with increased workers' screening by firms." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © MIT Press Journals) ((en))

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    Immigration and unemployment. Do natives get it right? (2024)

    Porreca, Eleonora ; Rosolia, Alfonso;

    Zitatform

    Porreca, Eleonora & Alfonso Rosolia (2024): Immigration and unemployment. Do natives get it right? In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Jg. 225, S. 522-540. DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.004

    Abstract

    "We analyze whether natives correctly assess the effects of immigration on their own labor market opportunities. We relate self-reported job loss and job finding probabilities to the presence of foreign-born residents in a native’s neighborhood. We interpret coefficient estimates through the lens of a learning model that allows us to disentangle the true effect of immigration from the perception bias. Our results show that natives greatly overestimate the effects of immigrants on their likelihood of losing the current job against the lack of significant true effects; job seekers’ perceptions are instead broadly unaffected, a largely correct assessment given the failure to detect significant true effects. Overestimation of the adverse effects of immigration on separation rates is concentrated among females, the low educated, the youths, the residents of smaller towns and employees on permanent contracts; the complementary groups appear to correctly assess that immigration has at best only modest effects. We briefly discuss the implications of these findings for the interpretation of empirical work on the labor market effects of immigration." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Zum Entwurf einer Verordnung zur Weiterentwicklung der Fachkräfteeinwanderung: Stellungnahme des IAB im Rahmen der Verbändebeteiligung des BMAS und BMI vom 8.3.2023 (2023)

    Adunts, Davit ; Konle-Seidl, Regina ; Keita, Sekou ; Vallizadeh, Ehsan ; Brücker, Herbert ; Jaschke, Philipp ; Kosyakova, Yuliya ; Fendel, Tanja ; Hauptmann, Andreas ;

    Zitatform

    Adunts, Davit, Herbert Brücker, Tanja Fendel, Andreas Hauptmann, Philipp Jaschke, Sekou Keita, Regina Konle-Seidl, Yuliya Kosyakova & Ehsan Vallizadeh (2023): Zum Entwurf einer Verordnung zur Weiterentwicklung der Fachkräfteeinwanderung. Stellungnahme des IAB im Rahmen der Verbändebeteiligung des BMAS und BMI vom 8.3.2023. (IAB-Stellungnahme 03/2023), Nürnberg, 21 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.SN.2303

    Abstract

    "Der vorliegende Verordnungsentwurf des Bundesministeriums für Arbeit und Soziales und des Bundesministeriums des Inneren und für Heimat begleitet den Gesetzentwurf zur Weiterentwicklung der Fachkräfteeinwanderung, zu dem das IAB hier Stellung nimmt. Der Verordnungsentwurf enthält viele Einzelmaßnahmen, die unter anderem die Einwanderung von Pflegehilfskräften erleichtern und die Möglichkeiten kurzfristiger kontingentierter Beschäftigung erweitern. Diese Maßnahmen sind sinnvoll, werden aber keine größeren quantitativen Wirkungen entfalten. Relevanter ist die neu geschaffene Möglichkeit der Einwanderung von Personen, die über Berufserfahrung sowie Berufs-und Hochschulabschlüsse verfügen, die im Land des Erwerbs staatlich anerkannt sind, die auch ohne Gleichwertigkeitsprüfung der Abschlüsse einreisen können, sofern das Gehalt 45 Prozent der Betragsbemessungsgrenze der allgemeinen Rentenversicherung erreicht. Die Höhe der Gehaltsschwelle schließt allerdings Fachkräfte zu Beginn ihrer Erwerbsbiografie weitgehend aus. Allerdings kann bei tarifgebundenen Unternehmen davon abgewichen werden. Sinnvoller wäre gewesen, alle Unternehmen einzubeziehen, sofern der Arbeitsvertrag in Hinblick auf Entlohnung und Arbeitsbedingungen den jeweils geltenden Flächentarifverträgen entspricht. Ferner sieht der Verordnungsentwurf die Entfristung der sogenannten Westbalkanregelung und die Ausweitung des Kontingents auf 50.000 Personen vor. Dies ist vor dem Hintergrund der vorliegenden empirischen Erkenntnisse zu den Wirkungen der Westbalkanregelung volkswirtschaftlich sinnvoll." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    The Impact of Immigration on the Employment Dynamics of European Regions (2023)

    Edo, Anthony ; Özgüzel, Cem ;

    Zitatform

    Edo, Anthony & Cem Özgüzel (2023): The Impact of Immigration on the Employment Dynamics of European Regions. (IZA discussion paper / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 16469), Bonn, 59 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper provides the first evidence on the regional impact of immigration on native employment in a cross-country framework. By exploiting the richness of the European Labour Force Surveys and past censuses, we show that the rise in the share of immigrants across European regions over the 2010-2019 period had a modest impact on the employment-to-population rate of natives. However, the effects are highly uneven across regions and workers, and over time. First, the short-run estimates show adverse employment effects in response to immigration, while these effects disappear in the longer run. Second, low-educated native workers experience employment losses due to immigration, whereas high-educated ones are more likely to experience employment gains. Third, the presence of institutions that provide employment protection and high coverage of collective wage agreements exert a protective effect on native employment. Finally, economically dynamic regions can better absorb immigrant workers, resulting in little or no effect on the native workforce." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Erwerbszuwanderung aus Drittstaaten könnte und sollte gestärkt werden (2023)

    Fitzenberger, Bernd ;

    Zitatform

    Fitzenberger, Bernd (2023): Erwerbszuwanderung aus Drittstaaten könnte und sollte gestärkt werden. In: IAB-Forum H. 08.02.2023 Nürnberg. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20230208.01

    Abstract

    "Uns droht aus verschiedenen Gründen eine wachsende Fach- und Arbeitskräftelücke. Da weder die Steigerung der inländischen Erwerbsbeteiligung, noch die Zuwanderung aus anderen EU-Staaten, noch die Erwerbspotenziale hier lebender Geflüchteter ausreichen werden, könnte und sollte mehr Erwerbszuwanderung aus Drittstaaten nach Deutschland dazu beitragen, diese Lücke zu schließen. Um diese Erwerbszuwanderung attraktiver zu machen, müssen die bestehenden Zugangshürden gesenkt werden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Fitzenberger, Bernd ;
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    The impact of immigration and integration policies on immigrant-native labour market hierarchies (2023)

    Guzi, Martin ; Kahanec, Martin ; Mýtna Kureková, Lucia ;

    Zitatform

    Guzi, Martin, Martin Kahanec & Lucia Mýtna Kureková (2023): The impact of immigration and integration policies on immigrant-native labour market hierarchies. In: Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, Jg. 49, H. 16, S. 4169-4187. DOI:10.1080/1369183X.2023.2207339

    Abstract

    "Across European Union (EU) labour markets, immigrant and native populations exhibit disparate labour market outcomes, signifying widespread labour market hierarchies. Despite the considerable investment in migration and integration policies, it remains unclear whether these contribute to or alleviate labour market hierarchies between natives and immigrants. Using a longitudinal model based on individual-level EU LFS and country-level DEMIG POLICY and POLMIG databases, we explore variation in changes of immigration and integration policies across Western EU member states to study how they are linked to labour market hierarchies in terms of unemployment and employment quality gaps between immigrant and native populations. Our findings suggest that designing less restrictive immigration and integration policies could aid in reducing existing labour market disadvantages for immigrants, enabling them to realise their full potential and reduce the immigrant-native labour market hierarchies." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Wage inequality across immigrant generations: Education, segregation, or differential pay? (2023)

    Han, JooHee ; Hermansen, Are Skeie ;

    Zitatform

    Han, JooHee & Are Skeie Hermansen (2023): Wage inequality across immigrant generations: Education, segregation, or differential pay? (SocArXiv papers), 41 S. DOI:10.31235/osf.io/yfmtp

    Abstract

    "Immigrants and their native-born children often face considerable wage penalties relative to natives, but less is known about whether this inequality arises through differences in educational qualifications, unequal sorting across occupations, and establishments, or differential pay for the same work. Using linked employer–employee data from Norway, we ask (a) whether immigrant–native wage gaps reflect in differences in education, sorting, or within-job pay, (b) whether wage gaps differ by immigrant generation, and (c) whether wage gaps vary across different segments of the labor market. We find that immigrant–native wage inequality primarily reflects sorting into lower-paying jobs and wage gaps are considerably reduced across immigrant generations. When doing the same work for the same employer, immigrant-background workers, especially children of immigrants, earn similar wages to natives. Sorting into jobs seems more meritocratic for university graduates, professionals, and in the public sector, but within-job pay differentials are strikingly similar across market segments." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Employment Effects of Offshoring, Technological Change and Migration in a Group of Western European Economies: Impact on Different Occupations (2023)

    Landesmann, Michael ; Leitner, Sandra M. ;

    Zitatform

    Landesmann, Michael & Sandra M. Leitner (2023): Employment Effects of Offshoring, Technological Change and Migration in a Group of Western European Economies. Impact on Different Occupations. (WIIW working paper 226), Wien, 72 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper estimates conditional demand models to examine the impact of offshoring, technological change, and migration on the labour demand of native workers differentiated by four different types of occupational groups managers/professionals, clerical workers, craft (skilled) workers and manual workers. The analysis is conducted for an unbalanced panel of five economies Austria, Belgium, France, Spain, and Switzerland covering the period 2005-2018. Our results point to important and occupation-specific effects offshoring seems to have beneficial employment effects for native craft workers in this set of economies, while negative effects for native manual workers across a wide set of industries (including manufacturing and services industries) and managers/professionals in manufacturing. Furthermore, there are important distinctions whether offshoring occurs in other advanced economies, in the EU13 or in developing countries. The analysis of the impact of technological change shows the strong positive impact which the additional IT equipment has on most occupational groups of native workers (with the exception of manual workers), while robotisation in manufacturing showed strongly negative impacts on the employment of all groups of workers and especially of craft workers. Increasing immigrant shares in the work forces showed strongly negative impacts on native workers – however, considering only the partial substitution effects and not including the potential for productivity and demand effects – and this is mostly accounted for by immigration from low- to medium-income source countries." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Immigration and Offshoring: two forces of globalisation and their impact on employment and the bargaining power of occupational groups (2023)

    Landesmann, Michael ; Leitner, Sandra M. ;

    Zitatform

    Landesmann, Michael & Sandra M. Leitner (2023): Immigration and Offshoring: two forces of globalisation and their impact on employment and the bargaining power of occupational groups. In: Review of world economics, Jg. 159, H. 2, S. 361-397. DOI:10.1007/s10290-022-00470-5

    Abstract

    "This paper estimates conditional demand models to examine the impact of immigration and different measures of offshoring on the labour demand and demand elasticities of native workers in four different types of occupational groups: managers/professionals, clerical workers, craft (skilled) workers and manual workers. The analysis is conducted for the period 2008–2017 for four economies Austria, Belgium, France and Spain. Our results point to important and occupation-specific direct and indirect effects: both offshoring – particularly services offshoring – and immigration have negative direct employment effects on all occupations, but native clerks and manual workers are affected the most, and native managers/professionals the least. Our results also identify an important elasticity-channel of immigration and offshoring and show that some groups of native workers can also gain from globalisation through an improvement in their wage-bargaining position. Overall, our results indicate a deterioration in the bargaining power of native manual workers arising from both immigration and offshoring and an improvement in the bargaining position of native craft workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    International Migration Outlook 2023 (2023)

    Zitatform

    (2023): International Migration Outlook 2023. (International migration outlook 47), Paris, 403 S. DOI:10.1787/b0f40584-en

    Abstract

    "The 2023 edition of International Migration Outlook analyses recent developments in migration movements and the labour market inclusion of immigrants in OECD countries. It also monitors recent policy changes in migration governance and integration in OECD countries. This edition includes two special chapters on the labour market integration of migrant mothers and on fertility patterns among migrant populations in OECD countries. The Outlook also includes country notes and a detailed statistical annex." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Indicators of Immigrant Integration 2023: Settling in (2023)

    Zitatform

    (2023): Indicators of Immigrant Integration 2023. Settling in. (Indicators of immigrant integration ... : settling in / OECD 4), Paris, 319 S. DOI:10.1787/1d5020a6-en

    Abstract

    "This joint OECD-European Commission publication presents a comprehensive comparison of the integration outcomes of immigrants and their children in OECD, EU and selected other countries. It includes 83 indicators covering three main areas: labour market and skills; living conditions; and civic engagement and social integration. The publication also provides detailed data on the characteristics of immigrant populations and households. Three special chapters are dedicated to focusing on the integration outcomes of specific groups: elderly migrants, youth with foreign-born parents, and third-country nationals in the European Union and European OECD countries." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Gesteuerte Erwerbsmigration nach Deutschland (2022)

    Adunts, David ; Fendel, Tanja ; Konle-Seidl, Regina ; Keita, Sekou ; Brücker, Herbert ; Hauptmann, Andreas ;

    Zitatform

    Adunts, David, Herbert Brücker, Tanja Fendel, Andreas Hauptmann, Sekou Keita & Regina Konle-Seidl (2022): Gesteuerte Erwerbsmigration nach Deutschland. (IAB-Forschungsbericht 23/2022), Nürnberg, 88 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FB.2223

    Abstract

    "Prognosen zufolge würde das Erwerbspersonenpotenzial ohne Wanderungen bis 2060 um rund ein Drittel sinken. Zu seiner Stabilisierung ist der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt in den kommenden Jahren vor allem auf die Einwanderung aus Drittstaaten angewiesen. Mit 10 Prozent aller Zuzüge spielt die Einwanderung aus Drittstaaten in Deutschland im Gegensatz zu Einwanderungsländern wie Kanada, Australien und Neuseeland jedoch nur eine untergeordnete Rolle im Wanderungsgeschehen. Für eine Erhöhung des Zuzugs von Fachkräften ist eine Bewertung der Mindestkriterien, an denen sich das im deutschen Recht verankerte System der Steuerung der Erwerbsmigration orientiert, erforderlich. Da diese Kriterien alle gleichzeitig erfüllt werden müssen, können sie restriktiv wirken. Eine Einreise ist bei Existenz einer Jobzusage oder eines Berufs-/Hochschulabschlusses, der zu einer deutschen Qualifikation als gleichwertig anerkannt wurde, möglich. Zudem wurden zuletzt neue Möglichkeiten für die Einreise zur Arbeits- oder Ausbildungsplatzsuche bei Nachweis von Sprachkenntnissen geschaffen. Die größte Hürde für den Zuzug ausländischer Fachkräfte ist vor dem Hintergrund des spezifischen deutschen Bildungs- und Ausbildungssystems mit hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit die Anerkennung der Gleichwertigkeit beruflicher Abschlüsse. Aufgrund durchaus hoher Erträge im Arbeitsmarkt sollte sie zwar gefördert werden, eine Steigerung der Erwerbsmigration kann jedoch sehr wahrscheinlich nur durch maßgebliche Vereinfachungen dieses Prozesses erzielt werden. Möglich wäre beispielsweise, die Anerkennung von Abschlüssen nur im Fall von reglementierten Berufen zu verlangen, um den mit der Berufsausübung verbundenen Risiken Rechnung zu tragen. Die Arbeitsplatzzusage ist als Zuzugsvoraussetzung grundsätzlich sinnvoll, weil die Beschäftigungsrisiken dann mittel- bis langfristig deutlich geringer ausfallen, und sich die Nachfrage nach ausländischen Arbeitskräften am konjunkturellen Bedarf orientieren kann. Deutsche Sprachkenntnisse begünstigen zwar die Arbeitsmarktintegration. Durch den Ausbau der Möglichkeiten des Spracherwerbs im Ausland wie auch nach der Migration - hier vor allem durch berufsbegleitende Angebote - kann das Migrationspotenzial erhöht und die Arbeitsmarktintegration erleichtert werden. Da Deutsch jedoch keine Weltsprache ist, ist es nicht realistisch, deutsche Sprachkenntnisse zum verpflichtenden Zuzugskriterium zu machen und zugleich die Erwerbsmigration zu steigern. Die Bundesregierung hat zuletzt in 2020 verschiedene gesetzliche Änderungen zur Vereinfachung des Fachkräftezuzugs eingeführt und inzwischen weitere Reformvorschläge diskutiert. Die Maßnahmen erscheinen sinnvoll, es ist aber offen, wie groß die quantitativen Wirkungen sein werden. Dafür sind einerseits grundlegende Reformen des Anerkennungsprozesses erforderlich. Andererseits sollte geprüft werden, ob Zuzugswege, die keine Qualifikationsanforderungen stellen, unter restriktiven aufenthaltsrechtlichen Bedingungen geöffnet werden können. Ein Vergleich zeigt, dass Personen, die wie bei der Westbalkanregelung einen Aufenthaltstitel zu Erwerbszwecken erhalten haben, der keine Qualifikationsauflagen vorschreibt, aber eine verbindliche Arbeitsplatzzusage verlangt und den Aufenthaltstitel an die Beschäftigung koppelt, eine hohe Beschäftigungsstabilität sowie geringe Arbeitslosigkeits- und Leistungsbezugsrisiken aufweisen. Bei Zuzugswegen, die Qualifikationsauflagen vorsehen, steigen wie erwartet die Qualifikation, das Anforderungsniveau der ausgeübten Tätigkeiten und die Verdienste. Der Schwerpunkt sollte daher auf dem Zuzug von qualifizierten Arbeitskräften liegen. Der zudem hohe Bedarf an ungelernten Arbeitskräften sollte jedoch nicht allein über die ungesteuerte Migration bedient werden. Schließlich sollte neben dem Zuzug von Fachkräften auch deren Integration in Arbeitsmarkt und andere gesellschaftliche Bereiche eine hohe Aufmerksamkeit zukommen. Da sich die Bedingungen für Migration und Arbeitsmarktintegration kontinuierlich verändern, sollten umgesetzte und vorgeschlagene Regelungen fortlaufend auf ihre Wirksamkeit überprüft werden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Development level of hosting areas and the impact of refugees on natives' labor market outcomes in Turkey (2022)

    Aracı, Doğu Tan; Kırdar, Murat Güray ; Demirci, Murat ;

    Zitatform

    Aracı, Doğu Tan, Murat Demirci & Murat Güray Kırdar (2022): Development level of hosting areas and the impact of refugees on natives' labor market outcomes in Turkey. In: European Economic Review, Jg. 145. DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104132

    Abstract

    "We examine how the impact of refugees on natives' labor market outcomes varies by the development level of hosting areas, which has important implications for the optimal allocation of refugees across regions and countries. For this purpose, in the context of the largest refugee group in the world in a single country, Syrian refugees in Turkey, we exploit the significant variation in the development level across regions of Turkey, several of which host a substantial number of refugees. We find that the impact of refugees on natives' labor market outcomes becomes significantly less adverse as the regional development level rises. For instance, the adverse effects of the refugee shock on women's employment and labor force participation observed at the mean level of development vanish at high levels of development. Moreover, while the refugee impact on men's employment is negative for the least developed regions, it is positive for highly developed regions. Our findings imply that developed regions and countries are better positioned to protect their local population from the short-term adverse effects of refugees in the labor market." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2022 Elsevier) ((en))

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    Does Immigration Affect Wages? A Meta-Analysis (2022)

    Aubry, Amandine ; Nedoncelle, Clément ; Marchal, Léa ; Héricourt, Jérôme ;

    Zitatform

    Aubry, Amandine, Jérôme Héricourt, Léa Marchal & Clément Nedoncelle (2022): Does Immigration Affect Wages? A Meta-Analysis. (Document de travail (Docweb) / CEPREMAP, Centre pour la recherche economique et ses applications 2202), Paris, 48 S.

    Abstract

    "Does immigration affect wages? No decisive answer has been provided until now. We propose an up-to-date meta-analysis of the literature investigating this question, based on 2,146 estimates from 64 studies published between 1972 and 2019. We find that, on average, the literature reports a negative and close to zero effect of immigration on native wages. This result holds for both low/medium-skilled and high-skilled native individuals. This average effect, however, hides a large heterogeneity across studies. Variation across estimates can be explained by the presence of structural heterogeneity such as the country of analysis or the use of micro-level data, as well as to heterogeneity in research designs such as the use of difference-in-differences. Finally, we estimate a significant and negative effect of publishing in leading academic journals and propose a discussion on the potential publication bias in the literature." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Das Fachkräfteeinwanderungsgesetz – Rechtliche Änderungen und erste Erkenntnisse zur quantitativen Entwicklung (2022)

    Becker, Eugenie; Graf, Johannes;

    Zitatform

    Becker, Eugenie & Johannes Graf (2022): Das Fachkräfteeinwanderungsgesetz – Rechtliche Änderungen und erste Erkenntnisse zur quantitativen Entwicklung. In: Zeitschrift für Berufsbildungsforschung, Jg. 51, H. 1, S. 16-18.

    Abstract

    "Seit März 2020 eröffnet das Fachkräfteeinwanderungsgesetz Fachkräften aus Drittstaaten neue Migrationsperspektiven nach Deutschland. Der Beitrag nimmt dies zum Anlass, die rechtlichen Änderungen insbesondere für nicht akademische Fachkräfte darzustellen und einen ersten quantitativen Überblick über die Entwicklung der Erwerbsmigration anhand von Daten aus dem Ausländerzentralregister zu geben." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku, © W. Bertelsmann Verlag)

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    Wages of Skilled Migrant and Native Employees in Germany: New Light on an Old Issue (2022)

    Brunow, Stephan ; Jost, Oskar ;

    Zitatform

    Brunow, Stephan & Oskar Jost (2022): Wages of Skilled Migrant and Native Employees in Germany: New Light on an Old Issue. In: International migration review, Jg. 56, H. 2, S. 410-432. DOI:10.1177/01979183211040505

    Abstract

    "The German Council of Economic Experts (GCEE) argues for a labor market-driven immigration of skilled migrants into Germany to overcome a decline in workforce due to demographic ageing. We pick up this current debate on skilled immigration by analyzing the migrant-native wage differential for skilled workers in Germany and consider various information on firms. Our results indicate that the wage gap is mainly explained by observable characteristics, especially labor market experience and firm characteristics. However, we find lower rewards for migrants' labor market experience than for natives (flatter experience curves). Our results show that these differences in experience curves become negligible in the long run. Moreover, we reveal firms' wage-setting policies: Firms evaluate a worker's education independent of migration backgrounds, as migrants possess the same productivity levels as their German counterparts in the same occupations and task levels. Due to Germany's heterogeneous immigration structure, we are able to compare the results for different migrant subgroups and, thus, derive valuable insights into the migrant-native wage structure with a wide reach beyond Germany. This article adds to current debates in various industrialized countries with demographic ageing patterns, as it focuses on an important group for domestic labor markets: skilled immigrants." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    War in the Ukraine: Consequences for the Governance of Refugee Migration and Integration (2022)

    Brücker, Herbert ;

    Zitatform

    Brücker, Herbert (2022): War in the Ukraine: Consequences for the Governance of Refugee Migration and Integration. In: CESifo forum, Jg. 23, H. 4, S. 41-48.

    Abstract

    "This paper addresses some important aspects of the challenges of the war in the Ukraine for the governance of refugee migration and the integration of refugees from Ukraine with a special focus on Germany. Refugee migration from the Ukraine differs largely from past refugee migration episodes since the EU has activated the so-called “Mass Influx Directive.” This has important humanitarian, social, and economic consequences, which are discussed in the following section. This also affects the socio-demographic structure of the refugee population and hence their integration chances (see the second section). The third section addresses an underrated aspect relevant to the integration of refugees: regional dispersal policies, while the fourth section discusses the central role of education and child care policies for the integration of the Ukrainian population, particularly females. The fifth section briefly addresses some other important aspects of integration policies – language and integration programs, labor market policies, the acknowledgment of foreign degrees, and job placement policies. Finally, the sixth section concludes the paper." (Text excerpt, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Die Folgen des Ukraine-Kriegs für Migration und Integration: Eine erste Einschätzung (2022)

    Brücker, Herbert ; Stepanok, Ignat ; Jaschke, Philipp ; Kosyakova, Yuliya ; Goßner, Laura ; Kassam, Kamal ; Hauptmann, Andreas ;

    Zitatform

    Brücker, Herbert, Laura Goßner, Andreas Hauptmann, Philipp Jaschke, Kamal Kassam, Yuliya Kosyakova & Ignat Stepanok (2022): Die Folgen des Ukraine-Kriegs für Migration und Integration: Eine erste Einschätzung. (IAB-Forschungsbericht 02/2022), Nürnberg, 27 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FB.2202

    Abstract

    "Der Krieg in der Ukraine wird das Migrations- und Integrationsgeschehen in Europa nachhaltig beeinflussen. Seit Ausbruch des Kriegs sind bis zum Redaktionsschluss dieses Berichtes mehr als 500.000 Menschen aus der Ukraine in die Europäische Union und nach Moldawien geflüchtet, d.h. pro Tag rund 100.000 Menschen. Krieg und Vertreibung lösen sehr viel größere Migrationsbewegungen als beispielsweise wirtschaftliche Faktoren aus. Zudem sind die Grenzen der EU weitgehend geöffnet, unter anderem weil für Staatsangehörige aus der Ukraine keine Visumspflicht besteht und die EU mit hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit die sogenannte Massenzustrom-Richtlinie anwenden wird und damit den Geflüchteten ein vorübergehendes Aufenthaltsrecht einräumen wird. Vor diesem Hintergrund ist mit einer außergewöhnlich hohen Migration aus der Ukraine zu rechnen, auch wenn der Umfang des Migrationspotenzials beim gegenwärtig Stand der Erkenntnis nicht seriös quantifiziert werden kann. Die Fluchtmigration konzentriert sich gegenwärtig auf die unmittelbaren Nachbarstaaten der EU und Moldawien. Schon in der Vergangenheit war die Migration hier stark konzentriert, während auf Deutschland gemessen an der Bevölkerung nur ein unterdurchschnittlicher Anteil entfiel. Wie vergangene Krisen gezeigt haben, kann sich aber die Regionalstruktur der Zielländer sehr schnell verändern. Auch Deutschland sollte sich deshalb auf einen starken Anstieg der Migration aus der Ukraine einstellen. In der Vergangenheit waren Migrantinnen und Migranten aus der Ukraine mit einem Akademikeranteil von rund der Hälfte überdurchschnittlich gut qualifiziert, 57 Prozent der Migrationsbevölkerung aus der Ukraine sind Frauen. Beschäftigungs-, Arbeitslosen- und Leistungsbezieherquoten von ukrainischen Staatsangehörigen in Deutschland entsprechen dem Durchschnitt der ausländischen Bevölkerung in Deutschland. Die Bevölkerung mit einem Migrationshintergrund aus der Ukraine insgesamt, also unter Berücksichtigung der deutschen Staatsangehörigen, ist deutlich besser in den Arbeitsmarkt integriert. Auch die Geflüchteten aus der Ukraine, die gegenwärtig das Land verlassen, dürften sich durch ein überdurchschnittliches Bildungsniveau und einen hohen Anteil von Frauen und Kindern auszeichnen. Die Integration von Geflüchteten kann stark erleichtert werden, wenn schnell Rechts- und Planungssicherheit u.a. durch längere Aufenthaltserlaubnisse und Perspektiven für einen dauerhaften Aufenthalt in Deutschland hergestellt werden. Zudem sollten bei der Verteilung von Geflüchteten Arbeitsmarktkriterien herangezogen werden. Aufbauend auf den Erfahrungen der Integration anderer Geflüchteter sollte die Integration durch Sprach- und Arbeitsmarktprogramme, eine schnelle Arbeitsmarktberatung und -vermittlung, die Anerkennung beruflicher Abschlüsse und den Erwerb weiterer Bildungsabschlüsse unterstützt werden. Vor dem Hintergrund des hohen Frauen- und Kinderanteils sind auch die schnelle Integration von Kindern und Jugendlichen in das Bildungssystem, breite Betreuungsangebote und das gezielte Angebot von Sprach- und Integrationsprogrammen für Frauen zentral." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Does emigration increase the wages of non-emigrants in sending countries: Emigration can increase the wages of non-emigrants, but may eventually lead to lower productivity and wage losses (2022)

    Elsner, Benjamin ;

    Zitatform

    Elsner, Benjamin (2022): Does emigration increase the wages of non-emigrants in sending countries. Emigration can increase the wages of non-emigrants, but may eventually lead to lower productivity and wage losses. (IZA world of labor 208), Bonn, 12 S. DOI:10.15185/izawol.208.v2

    Abstract

    "Auswanderung kann das Lohnniveau und die Lohnverteilung in den Herkunftsländern stärker verändern als in den aufnehmenden Staaten. Kurzfristig führt die Emigration zu Fachkräftemangel, der die Löhne von Nicht-Emigranten mit ähnlich guten Qualifikationen erhöht, während die Löhne von Arbeitnehmern mit abweichenden, geringeren Qualifikationen fallen. Langfristig kann der Gesamtlohneffekt jedoch negativ sein. Da Geringqualifizierte in den Herkunftsländern durch die Auswanderung in der Regel verlieren, sollte sich die Politik darauf konzentrieren, sie dazu zu befähigen die Lücken zu füllen, die von besser qualifizierten Emigranten hinterlassen werden." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    The Role of Labor Market Institutions in the Impact of Immigration on Wages and Employment (2022)

    Foged, Mette ; Yasenov, Vasil ; Hasager, Linea ;

    Zitatform

    Foged, Mette, Linea Hasager & Vasil Yasenov (2022): The Role of Labor Market Institutions in the Impact of Immigration on Wages and Employment. In: The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Jg. 124, H. 1, S. 164-213. DOI:10.1111/sjoe.12452

    Abstract

    "We collect 1,030 previously estimated wage effects and 432 employment effects of immigration and document that the mean and median impact on the relative wage are negative and significantly different from the small positive mean and median impact on the average wage. The pattern is reversed for employment effects where the magnitudes are also smaller. Combining the effect sizes with measures of labor market institutions we find that institutions may shield native workers from relative wage consequences but reduce the average wage impact of immigration. We do not detect a significant and robust association for the employment effects. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons) ((en))

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    Die Bedeutung der Zuwanderung für den wirtschaftlichen Erfolg Deutschlands: Aktueller Stand und politische Gestaltungsmöglichkeiten (2022)

    Geis-Thöne, Wido;

    Zitatform

    Geis-Thöne, Wido (2022): Die Bedeutung der Zuwanderung für den wirtschaftlichen Erfolg Deutschlands. Aktueller Stand und politische Gestaltungsmöglichkeiten. (IW-Analysen / Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft Köln 151), Köln, 71 S.

    Abstract

    "As a result of demographic change, Germany will become increasingly dependent on immigration to secure its pool of skilled labour and stabilise its economic performance. Immigrants are already making an important contribution in this respect. In 2019, for example, almost every sixth person in skilled employment had not been born on German soil and one in twenty had entered the country since 2007. Taking only university graduates between the ages of 25 and 34, the share of immigrants rises to approximately a quarter and of those who have moved to Germany since 2007 to around a fifth. The figures show that non-natives are also making a growing contribution to innovation and entrepreneurship in this country. Despite this, the overall immigrant population is still disproportionately low-skilled and either employed in menial positions or not active in the labour market at all. Immigration policy must therefore continue to be selective and specifically target potential employees and trainees from non-EU countries who either already possess the specialist qualifications needed in Germany or can rapidly acquire them." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Assessing the demographic impact of migration on the working-age population across European territories (2022)

    Ghio, Daniela ; Goujon, Anne ; Natale, Fabrizio ;

    Zitatform

    Ghio, Daniela, Anne Goujon & Fabrizio Natale (2022): Assessing the demographic impact of migration on the working-age population across European territories. In: Demographic Research, Jg. 46, S. 261-272. DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2022.46.9

    Abstract

    "Background: Ageing is central in the European Union (EU) policy debate, with all member states being concerned about implications of growing shares of older people and declining shares of working-age populations for the sustainability of welfare and health systems. Beyond this general context, ageing patterns differ largely across EU territories because of distinctive demographic and spatial dynamics. Objective: We study the relative contribution of cohort turnover and migration flows in shaping the demographic evolution of the working-age population at the local level. Methods: Using Eurostat data, we decompose the changes that have occurred in the working-age population into cohort turnover and net migration effects for the 2015–2019 period, at territorial (NUTS3 and urban-intermediate-rural) levels. Results: The majority (63%) of European (NUTS3) territories experienced negative cohort turnover effects alongside positive net migration effects during the 2015–2019 period. However, in only 27% of these territories, net migration counterbalanced the deficit in the working-age population due to cohort turnover. Conclusions: In 2015–2019, migration was the underlying force in the evolution of the working-age population, partially compensating for the loss of population due to the cohort turnover. This effect was particularly pronounced in urban areas. Contribution: Our contribution is twofold. First, we map EU NUTS3 territories where the working-age population is declining rapidly. Second, we give an assessment of the varied role of migration in mitigating the effect of ageing and shrinking working-age populations across EU urban, intermediate, and rural areas." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Max-Planck-Institut für demographische Forschung) ((en))

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    Does Migration Pay Off in Later Life? Income and Subjective Well-Being of Older Migrants in Europe (2022)

    Gruber, Stefan ; Sand, Gregor ;

    Zitatform

    Gruber, Stefan & Gregor Sand (2022): Does Migration Pay Off in Later Life? Income and Subjective Well-Being of Older Migrants in Europe. In: Social indicators research, Jg. 160, H. 2/3, S. 969-988. DOI:10.1007/s11205-020-02502-9

    Abstract

    "This study examines whether intra-European migration pays off in terms of income and subjective well-being (SWB) for migrants aged 50 + who are now growing old abroad and in what way their SWB is associated with their relative income position. Using panel data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe allows us to go beyond the classical comparison with the native reference group and draw on information about respondents who stayed in the place of origin ('stayers'). Our findings indicate that migration does pay off in later life. Compared to similar stayers, migrants have higher income and higher SWB levels. Furthermore, we find that older migrants' SWB is positively associated with their relative income position for those with an income above the income of both stayers in the origin and natives in the destination country." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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    The impact of EU immigration on labour market outcomes in Germany over the past decade (2022)

    Hammer, Luisa ; Hertweck, Matthias Sebastian;

    Zitatform

    Hammer, Luisa & Matthias Sebastian Hertweck (2022): The impact of EU immigration on labour market outcomes in Germany over the past decade. (Research Brief / Deutsche Bundesbank 45 (en)), Frankfurt am Main, 4 S.

    Abstract

    "Im Vergleich zu früheren Arbeiten zum Zuwanderungsgeschehen in Deutschland während der 1990er-Jahre (zum Beispiel D’Amuri et al., 2010) fallen in der vorliegenden Studie insbesondere die Beschäftigungseffekte der EU-Zuwanderung im vergangenen Jahrzehnt deutlich positiver aus. Dieser Befund ist vermutlich auf das Zusammenspiel zweier Faktoren zurückzuführen: Zum einen ist der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt in den vergangenen 20 Jahren deutlich flexibler geworden. Die Beschäftigungsverhältnisse in den neu entstandenen Wirtschaftszweigen wie der Zeitarbeit werden zwar niedrig entlohnt, bieten Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderern aber niedrigschwellige Möglichkeiten, erste Erfahrungen auf dem deutschen Arbeitsmarkt zu erwerben. Zum anderen förderte die EU-Arbeitnehmerfreizügigkeit diejenige arbeitsmarktorientierte Zuwanderung, die passgenau auf die Erfordernisse des deutschen Arbeitsmarkts ausgerichtet war. Somit schlossen EU-Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderer die Lücken, die durch ansässige Arbeitskräfte nur schlecht gefüllt werden konnten. Eine Verdrängung von ansässigen Arbeitskräften fand daher nicht statt. Vielmehr hat der Zuzug von Arbeitskräften aus der EU möglicherweise dazu beigetragen, dass Ansässige leichter neu geschaffene Stellen fanden, die sich in Unternehmen gut mit den relativ niedrig bezahlten Arbeitsplätzen der EU-Zuwanderinnen und Zuwanderer ergänzten." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

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    Hammer, Luisa ;
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    Beschäftigungsaufnahme von Geflüchteten: Anspruchslöhne sinken mit längerer Aufenthaltsdauer (2022)

    Jaschke, Philipp ; Vallizadeh, Ehsan ; Brücker, Herbert ; Altenburg, Marc;

    Zitatform

    Jaschke, Philipp, Ehsan Vallizadeh, Herbert Brücker & Marc Altenburg (2022): Beschäftigungsaufnahme von Geflüchteten: Anspruchslöhne sinken mit längerer Aufenthaltsdauer. (IAB-Kurzbericht 20/2022), Nürnberg, 8 S. DOI:10.48720/IAB.KB.2220

    Abstract

    "Krieg und Verfolgung führen oft dazu, dass Geflüchtete sich nicht ausreichend auf die Migration vorbereiten können. Daher fehlen ihnen häufig wichtige Informationen über berufliche Anforderungen und die Funktionsweise des Arbeitsmarktes in Deutschland. Das kann die Wahrnehmungen und die Einschätzungen von arbeitsuchenden Geflüchteten über Erwerbschancen und erzielbare Löhne verzerren. Dieser Bericht liefert erste Erkenntnisse über die Determinanten des Anspruchslohns der Geflüchteten sowie über den Zusammenhang zwischen diesem Lohn – auch als Reservationslohn bezeichnet – und der Aufnahme einer Erwerbstätigkeit." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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    Jaschke, Philipp ; Brücker, Herbert ;
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