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Arbeitsmarktspiegel: Labour market developments following the introduction of the minimum wage

Background:

The project Arbeitsmarktspiegel was commissioned by the German Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs. The first three IAB Research Reports (IAB-Forschungsberichte) were published in January 2016, October 2016 and February 2017. Since August 2017 the results of the fourth edition are available. Further Research Reports on the topic of the Arbeitsmarktspiegel are planned, the next will be published in Winter 2017/2018.

In preparation of the project, a study was authored on behalf of the German Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs examining the practicability of the planned analyses and preparing computations. The results of this feasibility study of a minimum wage monitoring (working title of the present Arbeitsmarktspiegel) is published as another IAB-Research Report which describes the preliminary work and methodological concepts underlying the Arbeitsmarktspiegel (Only available in German).

Topics and results

The IAB Research Report 9/2017 „Arbeitsmarktspiegel: Entwicklungen nach Einführung des Mindestlohns (Ausgabe 4)“ describes important developments on the German labour market since the introduction of the minimum wage in Germany. Based on preliminary forecasts for January and February 2017, we also observe current developments following the minimum wage increase from € 8.50 to € 8.84 on January 1, 2017. Overall employment is continuously increasing two years after the introduction of the minimum wage, mainly due to an increase in employment subject to social security. The number of marginal employees, which had decreased considerably after the introduction of the minimum wage in 2015, has since continued to follow a slightly declining path. As to the minimum wage increase in 2017, the preliminary data for January and February 2017 so far do not suggest any effects on employment. Next to employment trends in general, the Arbeitsmarktspiegel examines developments for specific subgroups of the labour market, especially differences with regard to gender, industry, and region.

The fourth edition of the Arbeitsmarktspiegel represents an updated and substantially modified version.

Data Tool

A web-based data tool is available alongside the published Research Reports. This tool comprises the aggregated data underlying the IAB Research Report 9/2017 „Arbeitsmarktspiegel: Entwicklungen nach Einführung des Mindestlohns (Ausgabe 4)“. In addition to the statistics presented in the report, further characteristics and subgroups can be selected. Graphs and diagrams are generated automatically. You can access the data tool via the following link:
Data tool (06 September 2017)
 

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