Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung

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Zertifikat "audit berufundfamilie"


Inhaltsbereich: Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung

The long-lasting effect of technological change on the careers of young workers: Evidence from changes of mandatory training regulations

Projektnummer

3137

Projektherkunft

IAB-Projekt

Projektleiterin / Projektleiter

Projektstart

Mai 2014

Projektende

Januar 2017

Kurzbeschreibung

This project investigates how the increasing labor supply of fresh graduates with modern IT (information technology) skills impacts the careers of incumbent workers during periods of fundamental technological change. To identify the causal effect within a difference-in-difference framework, we exploit a regulatory change in a mandatory German apprenticeship training regulation that obligated fresh graduates of a large manufacturing occupation to acquire modern IT skills. The paper shows that fresh graduates with modern IT skills crowd incumbent workers out of their jobs and occupations. As a result, even young incumbent workers, who lack modern IT skills, experience long-lasting earnings reductions. The earnings effects prevail for more than 20 years and incumbent workers are more likely to leave their occupation or to become unemployed
 

Projektziel

To investigates how the increasing labor supply of fresh graduates with modern IT (information technology) skills impacts the careers of incumbent workers during periods of fundamental technological Change.

Beteiligte Institute

  • Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesagentur für Arbeit

Projektstatus

Abgeschlossen
 

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